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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 3, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Bobcats54%9485
28Nets46%9383
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 32.6
43.6
33.5
12
41%
5
6
2
1
0
3
1
4
6-6
100%
0-6
5-10
0%
46%
2-6
33%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 28.6
39.7
28.9
24
61%
3
3
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-4
50%
8-12
3-5
67%
54%
2-6
33%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.3
35.3
40.4
20
69%
11
1
0
2
0
3
3
8
8-8
100%
6-9
5-10
67%
50%
0-2
0%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 23.0
30.9
37.4
5
32%
6
7
1
1
0
0
0
6
2-2
100%
0-2
3-7
0%
41%
1-5
20%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 33.2
14.2
17.8
12
75%
6
0
1
0
1
1
3
3
0-0
-
6-8
3-6
75%
51%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 25.1
18.9
13.6
2
33%
2
2
1
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
49%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 28.8
17.8
8.4
2
29%
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
2
0-1
0%
1-3
1-1
33%
47%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.2
16.6
22.5
6
51%
3
0
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-2
0%
3-5
4-9
60%
46%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.9
13.2
14.2
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
45%
0-0
-
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 23.2
5.8
13.7
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Sherron Collins
G · 5'11" 205 · 23.6
4.1
3.7
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 30.2
1.9
0
0-0
44%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.0
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 28.7
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 22.6
40.1
31.1
17
43%
6
3
2
1
5
5
2
4
5-6
83%
6-17
6-13
35%
51%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.1
39.5
29.8
11
50%
4
4
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
48%
1-4
25%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.7
33.8
30.1
19
51%
4
8
0
1
1
3
0
4
4-4
100%
6-11
4-8
55%
48%
1-6
17%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 26.1
21.9
23.2
6
60%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
45%
2-3
67%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 30.5
18.1
29.8
2
33%
2
0
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 19.3
23.6
21.5
11
74%
8
0
0
1
0
0
4
4
1-1
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
50%
0-0
-
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.4
20.6
23.2
6
50%
5
4
1
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
3-6
3-8
50%
44%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.9
17.8
19.6
5
36%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-3
1-3
0%
46%
1-3
33%
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.1
11.9
12.6
4
69%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.7
6.6
19.3
2
100%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
46%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 24.8
6.2
10.8
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 29.5
0.0
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 35.3
Ben Uzoh
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.6
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.