FinalWin Prob.pScore
2525%97
85
1275%106
94
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
103.78273.1
ATL logo ATL
110.68596.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL85
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0DETPrince 2' Running Layup (17 PTS)85
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0ATLJohnson 29' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)83
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)83
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0DETMISS Villanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0ATLSmith 1' Alley Oop Layup (22 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)83
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 1:00ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)83
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q4 - 1:02DETMISS Gordon 22' Jump Shot83
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q4 - 1:07ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)83
2.2%
89
97.8%
Q4 - 1:07ATLHAWKS Rebound83
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q4 - 1:07ATLMISS Horford 20' Jump Shot83
1.8%
89
98.2%
Q4 - 1:26ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
1.7%
89
98.3%
Q4 - 1:31DETMISS Summers 20' Turnaround Jump Shot83
2.3%
89
97.7%
Q4 - 1:43DETGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
3.9%
89
96.1%
Q4 - 1:44ATLMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
3.3%
89
96.7%
Q4 - 1:58DETGordon Foul Turnover (P3.T8)83
2.3%
89
97.7%
Q4 - 2:08ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)83
4.5%
89
95.5%
Q4 - 2:17ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)83
9.7%
86
90.3%
Q4 - 2:19DETMISS Gordon 19' Jump Shot83
11.7%
86
88.3%
Q4 - 2:45ATLSmith 1' Running Layup (20 PTS) (Johnson 8 AST)83
18.2%
86
81.8%
Q4 - 2:50DETPachulia STEAL (1 STL)83
22.7%
84
77.3%
Q4 - 3:07ATLJohnson Traveling Turnover (P2.T13)83
36.3%
84
63.7%
Q4 - 3:30DETMcGrady 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)83
23.3%
84
76.7%
Q4 - 3:49ATLHorford Dunk (18 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)81
19.0%
84
81.0%
Q4 - 4:02DETGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)81
25.0%
82
75.0%
Q4 - 4:19ATLHorford 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS)81
33.6%
82
66.4%
Q4 - 4:34ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)81
42.1%
80
57.9%
Q4 - 4:35DETMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
45.3%
80
54.7%
Q4 - 5:03ATLHorford 2' Running Layup (14 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)81
49.3%
80
50.7%
Q4 - 5:06ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)81
57.1%
78
42.9%
Q4 - 5:07DETMISS Villanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
59.8%
78
40.2%
Q4 - 5:16DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)81
65.8%
78
34.2%
Q4 - 5:17DETMISS Monroe 2' Layup81
59.9%
78
40.1%
Q4 - 5:38ATLPachulia 2' Driving Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)81
66.0%
78
34.0%
Q4 - 5:48ATLHAWKS Rebound81
72.8%
76
27.2%
Q4 - 5:48ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
77.5%
76
22.5%
Q4 - 6:13DETPrince 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)81
67.8%
76
32.2%
Q4 - 6:34DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)78
54.2%
76
45.8%
Q4 - 6:37ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot78
51.7%
76
48.3%
Q4 - 7:01DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)78
43.5%
76
56.5%
Q4 - 7:01DETMonroe 1' Tip Shot (7 PTS)78
43.5%
76
56.5%
Q4 - 7:04DETMISS Prince 20' Jump Shot76
32.6%
76
67.4%
Q4 - 7:23DETPistons Rebound76
37.5%
76
62.5%
Q4 - 7:24ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot76
35.3%
76
64.7%
Q4 - 7:40DETGordon Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)76
30.7%
76
69.3%
Q4 - 7:45DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
37.5%
76
62.5%
Q4 - 7:47ATLMISS Smith 2' Putback Layup76
35.4%
76
64.6%
Q4 - 7:48ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)76
30.7%
76
69.3%
Q4 - 7:49ATLMISS Horford 5' Jump Shot76
35.4%
76
64.6%
Q4 - 7:55ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
30.7%
76
69.3%
Q4 - 7:57DETMISS Monroe 19' Jump Shot76
32.7%
76
67.3%
Q4 - 8:16ATLHorford 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)76
36.2%
76
63.8%
Q4 - 8:26ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)76
42.5%
74
57.5%
Q4 - 8:29DETMISS Villanueva 10' Turnaround Jump Shot76
44.4%
74
55.6%
Q4 - 8:47ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)76
48.9%
74
51.1%
Q4 - 8:47ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)76
50.8%
73
49.2%
Q4 - 8:51ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)76
55.5%
72
44.5%
Q4 - 8:53DETMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
57.4%
72
42.6%
Q4 - 9:09DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
59.1%
72
40.9%
Q4 - 9:11ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
57.4%
72
42.6%
Q4 - 9:17DETSmith STEAL (1 STL)76
53.3%
72
46.7%
Q4 - 9:32ATLJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)76
59.2%
72
40.8%
Q4 - 9:43DETVillanueva 1' Layup (14 PTS)76
53.4%
72
46.6%
Q4 - 9:48ATLCrawford Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)74
47.3%
72
52.7%
Q4 - 9:52ATLHAWKS Rebound74
41.5%
72
58.5%
Q4 - 9:52ATLMISS Powell 2' Layup74
45.5%
72
54.5%
Q4 - 10:03DETMcGrady 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)74
40.2%
72
59.8%
Q4 - 10:27ATLPachulia 4' Driving Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)72
35.0%
72
65.0%
Q4 - 10:42DETVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)72
40.3%
70
59.7%
Q4 - 10:42DETVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)71
39.4%
70
60.6%
Q4 - 10:44DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)70
35.0%
70
65.0%
Q4 - 10:47DETMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
31.4%
70
68.6%
Q4 - 10:52DETGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
35.0%
70
65.0%
Q4 - 10:53ATLMISS Crawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
33.4%
70
66.6%
Q4 - 11:15DETGordon 21' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Monroe 3 AST)70
29.7%
70
70.3%
Q4 - 11:29ATLPachulia Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)68
25.3%
70
74.7%
Q4 - 11:44DETGordon 18' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS) (Monroe 2 AST)68
21.5%
70
78.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL66
18.0%
70
82.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound66
15.1%
70
84.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Powell 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
17.4%
70
82.6%
Q3 - 0:14.0DETVillanueva 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Monroe 1 AST)66
15.6%
70
84.4%
Q3 - 0:33.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)64
12.9%
70
87.1%
Q3 - 0:33.0ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 264
13.2%
69
86.8%
Q3 - 0:33.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)64
13.1%
69
86.9%
Q3 - 0:34.0DETMISS Villanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
13.7%
69
86.3%
Q3 - 0:51.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
15.3%
69
84.7%
Q3 - 0:51.0ATLPachulia 2' Putback Layup (8 PTS)64
15.3%
69
84.7%
Q3 - 0:52.0ATLMISS Pachulia 1' Layup64
20.5%
67
79.5%
Q3 - 1:11ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
18.5%
67
81.5%
Q3 - 1:12DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 2 of 264
18.9%
67
81.1%
Q3 - 1:12DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 1 of 264
20.7%
67
79.3%
Q3 - 1:27ATLHorford 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)64
21.4%
67
78.6%
Q3 - 1:47DETGordon 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS)64
25.2%
65
74.8%
Q3 - 2:04DETPistons Rebound62
21.2%
65
78.8%
Q3 - 2:04ATLMISS Horford 3' Driving Layup62
20.3%
65
79.7%
Q3 - 2:15DETMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)62
18.3%
65
81.7%
Q3 - 2:15DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 1 of 261
17.5%
65
82.5%
Q3 - 2:31ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)61
18.3%
65
81.7%
Q3 - 2:34DETTeague STEAL (1 STL)61
24.7%
62
75.3%
Q3 - 2:51DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
28.2%
62
71.8%
Q3 - 2:53ATLMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
27.1%
62
72.9%
Q3 - 2:59ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)61
24.7%
62
75.3%
Q3 - 3:00DETMISS Summers 20' Jump Shot61
25.7%
62
74.3%
Q3 - 3:19ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)61
27.8%
62
72.2%
Q3 - 3:19ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)61
28.3%
61
71.7%
Q3 - 3:19ATLHAWKS Rebound61
31.4%
60
68.6%
Q3 - 3:19ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
34.3%
60
65.7%
Q3 - 3:25ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)61
31.4%
60
68.6%
Q3 - 3:28DETMISS McGrady 21' Fadeaway Jumper61
32.6%
60
67.4%
Q3 - 3:38DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
35.6%
60
64.4%
Q3 - 3:40ATLMISS Williams 9' Turnaround Jump Shot61
34.3%
60
65.7%
Q3 - 3:59DETSummers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)61
31.4%
60
68.6%
Q3 - 4:28ATLWilliams 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)58
24.4%
60
75.6%
Q3 - 4:32ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
27.2%
58
72.8%
Q3 - 4:34DETMISS Villanueva 4' Driving Jump Shot58
28.4%
58
71.6%
Q3 - 4:50ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)58
31.4%
58
68.6%
Q3 - 4:50ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 258
32.5%
57
67.5%
Q3 - 4:54ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
30.8%
57
69.2%
Q3 - 4:56DETMISS Daye 11' Jump Shot58
32.1%
57
67.9%
Q3 - 5:20ATLBibby 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)58
34.3%
57
65.7%
Q3 - 5:35DETPrince 6' Jump Shot (12 PTS)58
37.8%
55
62.2%
Q3 - 5:41DETPrince REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)56
34.4%
55
65.6%
Q3 - 5:42DETMISS Prince 11' Turnaround Hook Shot56
31.5%
55
68.5%
Q3 - 6:03DETSummers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
33.4%
55
66.6%
Q3 - 6:05DETMISS Summers 20' Jump Shot56
30.7%
55
69.3%
Q3 - 6:09DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)56
33.4%
55
66.6%
Q3 - 6:10DETMISS Daye 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
30.7%
55
69.3%
Q3 - 6:38ATLHorford 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)56
33.4%
55
66.6%
Q3 - 6:50DETPrince 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Gordon 4 AST)56
36.8%
53
63.2%
Q3 - 7:02DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)54
32.4%
53
67.6%
Q3 - 7:04ATLMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot54
31.3%
53
68.7%
Q3 - 7:13DETPistons Rebound54
29.0%
53
71.0%
Q3 - 7:13DETMISS Summers 5' Driving Jump Shot54
30.0%
53
70.0%
Q3 - 7:13DETSummers Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)54
29.0%
53
71.0%
Q3 - 7:34ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)54
32.5%
53
67.5%
Q3 - 7:34ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)54
33.0%
52
67.0%
Q3 - 7:38ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
35.8%
51
64.2%
Q3 - 7:40DETMISS Gordon 19' Jump Shot54
36.9%
51
63.1%
Q3 - 7:55DETDaye REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)54
39.6%
51
60.4%
Q3 - 7:58ATLMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup54
38.4%
51
61.6%
Q3 - 8:10DETPrince 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)54
35.2%
51
64.8%
Q3 - 8:13DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)52
32.1%
51
67.9%
Q3 - 8:16DETMISS Daye 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
29.7%
51
70.3%
Q3 - 8:33DETSummers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
32.1%
51
67.9%
Q3 - 8:35ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 252
31.6%
51
68.4%
Q3 - 8:35ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)52
29.8%
51
70.2%
Q3 - 8:39ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
31.9%
50
68.1%
Q3 - 8:41DETDaye REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)52
35.5%
50
64.5%
Q3 - 8:41DETMISS Daye 3' Tip Shot52
32.9%
50
67.1%
Q3 - 8:42DETDaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
35.5%
50
64.5%
Q3 - 8:42DETMISS Daye 2' Tip Shot52
32.9%
50
67.1%
Q3 - 8:44DETMISS Daye 2' Layup52
32.9%
50
67.1%
Q3 - 9:04ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)52
34.7%
50
65.3%
Q3 - 9:04ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)52
35.3%
49
64.7%
Q3 - 9:18DETStuckey 13' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Daye 3 AST)52
38.1%
48
61.9%
Q3 - 9:33ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)50
34.7%
48
65.3%
Q3 - 9:43ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
31.4%
48
68.6%
Q3 - 9:44DETMISS Daye 16' Jump Shot50
32.4%
48
67.6%
Q3 - 10:10ATLSmith 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)50
33.9%
48
66.1%
Q3 - 10:30ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
37.1%
46
62.9%
Q3 - 10:31DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot50
38.1%
46
61.9%
Q3 - 10:56ATLHorford 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)50
40.6%
46
59.4%
Q3 - 11:16DETGordon 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)50
42.8%
44
57.2%
Q3 - 11:32ATLHorford 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T8)48
39.7%
44
60.3%
Q3 - 11:45ATLHAWKS Rebound48
36.3%
44
63.7%
Q3 - 11:45ATLMISS Johnson 4' Jump Shot48
38.7%
44
61.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET48
36.3%
44
63.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound48
39.8%
44
60.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETMISS Gordon 40' 3PT Jump Shot48
36.8%
44
63.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)48
38.5%
44
61.5%
Q2 - 0:03.0ATLMISS Powell 20' Jump Shot48
37.8%
44
62.2%
Q2 - 0:15.0DETGordon 19' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)48
36.1%
44
63.9%
Q2 - 0:40.0DETDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
32.5%
44
67.5%
Q2 - 0:42.0ATLMISS Smith 10' Jump Shot46
31.8%
44
68.2%
Q2 - 0:55.0DETVillanueva 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gordon 3 AST)46
30.2%
44
69.8%
Q2 - 1:11ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)44
26.6%
44
73.4%
Q2 - 1:11ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 244
27.4%
43
72.6%
Q2 - 1:33ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
27.3%
43
72.7%
Q2 - 1:35DETMISS Prince 12' Turnaround Jump Shot44
27.9%
43
72.1%
Q2 - 1:50DETGordon Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)44
29.2%
43
70.8%
Q2 - 2:05ATLHorford Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)43
26.7%
43
73.3%
Q2 - 2:19DETPrince 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)43
24.2%
43
75.8%
Q2 - 2:42ATLSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)41
22.0%
43
78.0%
Q2 - 3:00ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
26.6%
40
73.4%
Q2 - 3:01DETMISS Villanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
26.9%
40
73.1%
Q2 - 3:09DETPistons Rebound41
28.9%
40
71.1%
Q2 - 3:09DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)41
28.9%
40
71.1%
Q2 - 3:09DETSmith BLOCK (2 BLK)41
26.9%
40
73.1%
Q2 - 3:10DETMISS Villanueva 2' Driving Layup41
26.9%
40
73.1%
Q2 - 3:35ATLWilliams 1' Running Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)41
29.0%
40
71.0%
Q2 - 3:40ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
31.1%
38
68.9%
Q2 - 3:41DETMISS Gordon 3' Driving Layup41
32.1%
38
67.9%
Q2 - 4:03ATLSmith 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)41
33.3%
38
66.7%
Q2 - 4:25DETDaye 8' Driving Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)41
35.9%
36
64.1%
Q2 - 4:35ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)39
33.4%
36
66.6%
Q2 - 4:54DETVillanueva 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Daye 2 AST)39
30.6%
36
69.4%
Q2 - 5:03DETPistons Rebound37
27.9%
36
72.1%
Q2 - 5:03DETHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)37
26.3%
36
73.7%
Q2 - 5:03DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)37
27.9%
36
72.1%
Q2 - 5:04DETMISS Gordon 1' Layup37
26.3%
36
73.7%
Q2 - 5:17DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
27.9%
36
72.1%
Q2 - 5:20ATLMISS Johnson 7' Driving Jump Shot37
27.2%
36
72.8%
Q2 - 5:42DETDaye 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)37
25.6%
36
74.4%
Q2 - 5:49DETGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
23.4%
36
76.6%
Q2 - 5:52ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
22.8%
36
77.2%
Q2 - 5:57ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
21.4%
36
78.6%
Q2 - 5:59DETMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot35
22.0%
36
78.0%
Q2 - 6:16ATLJohnson 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)35
23.5%
36
76.5%
Q2 - 6:35DETDaye Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)35
25.3%
34
74.7%
Q2 - 6:35DETDaye Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
25.0%
34
75.0%
Q2 - 6:43DETGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
23.5%
34
76.5%
Q2 - 6:47DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
23.5%
34
76.5%
Q2 - 6:47DETMISS Monroe 1' Tip Shot33
21.9%
34
78.1%
Q2 - 6:49DETMISS Gordon 20' Jump Shot33
21.9%
34
78.1%
Q2 - 7:03ATLPowell 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)33
23.1%
34
76.9%
Q2 - 7:21DETMcGrady Driving Reverse Layup (5 PTS)33
25.0%
32
75.0%
Q2 - 7:24DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
23.1%
32
76.9%
Q2 - 7:26DETMISS Monroe 16' Jump Shot31
21.7%
32
78.3%
Q2 - 7:52ATLPowell Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)31
23.1%
32
76.9%
Q2 - 8:09ATLHAWKS Rebound31
21.0%
32
79.0%
Q2 - 8:09DETMISS Daye 17' Turnaround Jump Shot31
21.6%
32
78.4%
Q2 - 8:28ATLBibby 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Powell 1 AST)31
22.9%
32
77.1%
Q2 - 8:42DETMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)31
24.8%
30
75.2%
Q2 - 8:42DETMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 230
24.3%
30
75.7%
Q2 - 8:55DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
24.9%
30
75.1%
Q2 - 8:56ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
24.2%
30
75.8%
Q2 - 9:09DETMcGrady 1' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Villanueva 3 AST)30
22.6%
30
77.4%
Q2 - 9:28ATLPachulia 2' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)28
20.9%
30
79.1%
Q2 - 9:43DETSummers 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Villanueva 2 AST)28
22.6%
28
77.4%
Q2 - 10:07ATLPachulia 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)26
21.0%
28
79.0%
Q2 - 10:22DETMonroe 1' Running Layup (4 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)26
22.6%
26
77.4%
Q2 - 10:28ATLTeague Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T4)24
21.0%
26
79.0%
Q2 - 10:53DETMonroe 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Villanueva 1 AST)24
19.2%
26
80.8%
Q2 - 11:12ATLPachulia 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)22
17.9%
26
82.1%
Q2 - 11:22ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
19.3%
24
80.7%
Q2 - 11:23DETMISS Daye 4' Jump Shot22
19.8%
24
80.2%
Q2 - 11:40ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)22
21.0%
24
79.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL22
19.3%
24
80.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
19.3%
24
80.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot22
19.7%
24
80.3%
Q1 - 0:25.0ATLPowell Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
20.6%
24
79.4%
Q1 - 0:25.0ATLPowell Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
21.0%
23
79.0%
Q1 - 0:25.0ATLPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
22.6%
22
77.4%
Q1 - 0:25.0DETMISS Villanueva 10' Jump Shot22
23.0%
22
77.0%
Q1 - 0:48.0ATLCrawford 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
24.0%
22
76.0%
Q1 - 1:05DETPrince 4' Driving Hook Shot (4 PTS)22
26.0%
20
74.0%
Q1 - 1:26ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
23.8%
20
76.2%
Q1 - 1:26ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
24.0%
19
76.0%
Q1 - 1:30DETVillanueva 5' Driving Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)20
26.0%
18
74.0%
Q1 - 1:57ATLTeague 10' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
23.8%
18
76.2%
Q1 - 2:10DETVillanueva 1' Running Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)18
25.8%
16
74.2%
Q1 - 2:27DETPistons Rebound16
23.9%
16
76.1%
Q1 - 2:28DETMISS Stuckey 4' Driving Jump Shot16
22.9%
16
77.1%
Q1 - 2:49ATLJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)16
23.9%
16
76.1%
Q1 - 2:55ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
27.7%
13
72.3%
Q1 - 2:57DETMISS Villanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
28.2%
13
71.8%
Q1 - 3:07DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
29.1%
13
70.9%
Q1 - 3:09ATLMISS Horford 6' Turnaround Jump Shot16
28.5%
13
71.5%
Q1 - 3:37DETGordon 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)16
27.2%
13
72.8%
Q1 - 3:57ATLSmith 2' Running Layup (6 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)14
25.5%
13
74.5%
Q1 - 4:00ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
27.2%
11
72.8%
Q1 - 4:01DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)14
28.4%
11
71.6%
Q1 - 4:01DETMISS Wallace 1' Tip Shot14
27.0%
11
73.0%
Q1 - 4:03DETMISS Gordon 5' Jump Shot14
27.0%
11
73.0%
Q1 - 4:13DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
28.4%
11
71.6%
Q1 - 4:16ATLMISS Johnson 5' Driving Jump Shot14
27.8%
11
72.2%
Q1 - 4:35ATLHAWKS Rebound14
26.5%
11
73.5%
Q1 - 4:35DETMISS Stuckey 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
27.1%
11
72.9%
Q1 - 4:40DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
28.5%
11
71.5%
Q1 - 4:41DETMISS Villanueva 10' Turnaround Jump Shot14
27.1%
11
72.9%
Q1 - 4:57DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
28.5%
11
71.5%
Q1 - 4:58ATLMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
27.9%
11
72.1%
Q1 - 5:23DETPrince 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)14
26.3%
11
73.7%
Q1 - 5:39ATLWilliams 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)12
24.8%
11
75.2%
Q1 - 6:02DETPrince 5 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)12
25.9%
9
74.1%
Q1 - 6:14DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
27.6%
9
72.4%
Q1 - 6:16ATLMISS Williams 2' Driving Layup12
27.1%
9
72.9%
Q1 - 6:32ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
25.9%
9
74.1%
Q1 - 6:33DETMISS Gordon Free Throw 2 of 212
26.2%
9
73.8%
Q1 - 6:33DETGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)12
27.4%
9
72.6%
Q1 - 6:47ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)11
26.0%
9
74.0%
Q1 - 7:03DETGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)11
23.9%
9
76.1%
Q1 - 7:03DETGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)10
23.8%
9
76.2%
Q1 - 7:19ATLSmith 1' Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)9
22.6%
9
77.4%
Q1 - 7:22ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
23.9%
7
76.1%
Q1 - 7:23DETMISS Daye 3PT Jump Shot9
24.4%
7
75.6%
Q1 - 7:47ATLSmith 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)9
25.6%
7
74.4%
Q1 - 8:06DETGordon 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)9
26.7%
5
73.3%
Q1 - 8:29ATLHorford 13' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)7
25.2%
5
74.8%
Q1 - 8:35ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
26.7%
3
73.3%
Q1 - 8:36DETMISS Stuckey 3PT Jump Shot7
27.2%
3
72.8%
Q1 - 8:52DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
28.3%
3
71.7%
Q1 - 8:54DETSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)7
27.2%
3
72.8%
Q1 - 9:00DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
28.3%
3
71.7%
Q1 - 9:01ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
27.4%
3
72.6%
Q1 - 9:25DETGordon 6' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)7
26.4%
3
73.6%
Q1 - 9:54ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
24.9%
3
75.1%
Q1 - 10:09DETStuckey 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)5
23.2%
3
76.8%
Q1 - 10:31ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)2
20.9%
3
79.1%
Q1 - 10:53DETGordon 1' Running Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Daye 1 AST)2
23.2%
0
76.8%
Q1 - 11:12DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
21.6%
0
78.4%
Q1 - 11:13ATLMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot0
21.2%
0
78.8%
Q1 - 11:29ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
20.6%
0
79.4%
Q1 - 11:31ATLMISS Smith 8' Turnaround Hook Shot0
21.3%
0
78.7%
Q1 - 11:41ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
20.6%
0
79.4%
Q1 - 11:43DETMISS Prince 10' Running Jump Shot0
20.9%
0
79.1%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Wallace: Tip to Prince0
21.6%
0
78.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.87 43.4%
ATL
1.16 58.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
14
31
45%
ATL
17
26
65%
Midrange
DET
19
42
45%
ATL
16
27
59%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
3
4.5
17
18%
26%
ATL
3
4.5
14
21%
32%
Free Throws
DET
10
15
67%
ATL
19
23
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Gordon2252%11.0 / 21
T. Prince1761%8.5 / 14
C. Villanueva1441%7.0 / 17
T. McGrady956%4.5 / 8
G. Monroe735%3.5 / 10
A. Daye623%3.0 / 13
R. Stuckey542%2.5 / 6
D. Summers542%2.5 / 6
B. Wallace0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith2269%11.0 / 16
A. Horford1869%9.0 / 13
J. Johnson1447%7.0 / 15
Z. Pachulia1286%6.0 / 7
M. Williams1150%5.5 / 11
J. Teague7117%3.5 / 3
M. Bibby440%2.0 / 5
J. Powell440%2.0 / 5
J. Crawford250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
74
+22
-8
96
ATL
72
+9
-13
81
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.87 43.4%
ATL
1.16 58.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
105.9
DET 103.7
ATL 110.6 +6.9
Pace
89.3
89.5
DET 73.1
ATL 96.8 +23.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.6
16.4
DET 19.7
ATL 14.9 +4.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.5%
50.1%
DET 41.7%
ATL 56.0% +14.3%
TO %
13.5%
14.2%
DET 7.6% +7.8%
ATL 15.4%
ORB %
27.4%
23.5%
DET 34.7% +22.2%
ATL 12.5%
FTrt
27.9
26.9
DET 16.7
ATL 34.3 +17.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.6%
60.7%
DET 58.3%
ATL 69.4% +11.1%
STL %
8.0%
6.8%
DET 8.5% +5.0%
ATL 3.5%
BLK %
6.6%
6.6%
DET 3.8%
ATL 4.1% +0.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.9%
52.8%
DET 43.4%
ATL 58.0% +14.6%
Rim FG%
59.2%
60.0%
DET 45.2%
ATL 65.4% +20.2%
Mid FG%
38.8%
42.5%
DET 45.2%
ATL 59.3% +14.1%
3P %
37.6%
35.2%
DET 17.6%
ATL 21.4% +3.8%
FT %
73.7%
78.0%
DET 66.7%
ATL 82.6% +15.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.3%
30.4%
DET 34.4%
ATL 38.8% +4.4%
Mid Att. %
44.8%
47.4%
DET 46.7%
ATL 40.3% +6.4%
3P Att. %
18.9%
22.2%
DET 18.9%
ATL 20.9% +2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETATL
Possessions8285
Possession Minutes26.921.1
Points8594
Rebounds3835
Assists2125
Steals73
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)17 (5)3 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)21 (2)32 (2)
Field Goals36-9036-67
At-the-Rim FG14-3117-26
Midrange FG19-4216-27
2-Point FG33-7333-53
3-Point FG3-173-14
Free Throws10-1519-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 205 · 28
41.7
22
52%
4
4
1
1
3
5
1
3
4-5
80%
9-16
56%
0-3
0%
F · 6'9" 212 · 31
36.7
17
61%
5
0
0
0
1
1
3
2
0-0
-
7-13
54%
1-1
100%
F · 6'11" 220 · 22
24.1
6
23%
4
3
0
0
0
3
2
2
2-2
100%
2-9
22%
0-3
0%
C · 6'9" 240 · 36
21.1
0
0%
6
2
0
0
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 25
13.5
5
42%
1
3
2
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
F · 6'11" 232 · 26
35.9
14
41%
4
3
1
1
0
4
0
4
2-2
100%
6-11
55%
0-5
0%
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 20
26.9
7
35%
8
3
0
0
0
3
6
2
1-4
25%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 31
24.3
9
56%
4
3
3
0
2
1
1
3
1-2
50%
4-6
67%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 240 · 23
15.8
5
42%
2
0
0
0
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
20%
1-1
100%
F · 6'7" 260 · 28
G · 6'7" 193 · 33
G · 6'0" 185 · 28
#9 · F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · F · 6'10" 231 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#23 · G · 6'5" 213 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
85
43%
38
21
7
2
8
0
17
21
10-15
67%
33-73
45%
3-17
18%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.