Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Grizzlies20%98105
2Lakers80%109124
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.6
34.3
27.6
10
32%
7
2
2
1
1
1
2
5
0-1
0%
5-15
4-10
33%
45%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.1
34.1
35.9
16
65%
5
8
3
2
0
1
1
4
1-3
33%
3-7
5-11
43%
45%
3-4
75%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.2
32.3
39.3
30
78%
4
3
1
2
1
2
1
3
3-3
100%
9-15
7-14
60%
47%
3-3
100%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.8
28.3
31.4
11
54%
8
5
2
1
0
2
5
3
5-5
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
53%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.0
26.8
36.0
8
35%
1
0
2
1
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
2-7
4-9
29%
46%
1-4
25%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 25.4
20.1
14.8
8
41%
2
0
2
0
0
1
0
2
6-6
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
45%
0-2
0%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 23.7
14.4
11.9
3
80%
3
0
0
0
2
0
2
1
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 25.8
13.9
9.4
2
20%
1
2
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
42%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 28.8
13.9
16.3
5
34%
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
1-1
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
48%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 19.6
11.9
13.7
10
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
4-7
57%
3-6
2-4
50%
42%
0-1
0%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.3
10.1
3.6
2
50%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
42%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 25.5
4.2
0
0-1
45%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 23.8
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.0
34.2
32.0
17
108%
8
6
1
1
0
4
1
7
2-2
100%
3-3
4-8
100%
53%
3-4
75%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 30.3
28.9
35.8
21
61%
13
5
1
1
0
3
5
8
3-3
100%
9-16
8-14
56%
55%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 32.2
25.8
30.6
23
70%
5
1
1
1
0
2
1
4
6-8
75%
4-8
6-13
50%
50%
3-5
60%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 31.0
23.6
30.6
5
50%
4
0
0
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 36.2
23.4
25.8
8
58%
1
4
2
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-3
2-5
0%
45%
2-3
67%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 30.7
26.8
20.5
16
42%
14
2
1
1
1
2
9
5
4-7
57%
6-13
2-3
46%
54%
0-3
0%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.9
22.2
19.6
13
93%
1
0
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
3-3
100%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 30.7
21.2
17.7
10
83%
4
3
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
44%
2-2
100%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 21.0
11.3
8.4
4
50%
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
Derrick Caracter
F · 6'9" 275 · 22.5
10.0
4.9
6
53%
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
0
6-6
100%
0-3
1-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 37.5
9.1
8.2
0
0%
4
0
0
0
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 26.7
3.4
6.9
1
27%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.6
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.