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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
October 31, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Jazz36%98120
10Thunder64%10399
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 25.8
41.4
32.2
23
60%
10
1
1
1
1
2
2
8
11-12
92%
6-14
6-13
43%
49%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 25.7
38.3
30.5
30
67%
16
6
1
1
0
2
3
13
6-8
75%
12-19
6-11
63%
52%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.7
38.2
26.1
19
69%
4
4
1
1
1
3
2
2
3-4
75%
5-9
3-6
56%
50%
2-3
67%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.3
36.5
34.3
16
60%
6
15
0
1
0
3
0
6
3-3
100%
5-11
4-8
45%
48%
1-1
100%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 34.1
18.6
30.5
7
117%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
3-6
100%
44%
1-1
100%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.6
24.8
17.0
21
73%
4
0
1
1
1
1
1
3
2-3
67%
5-8
2-3
63%
48%
3-5
60%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 20.6
14.9
22.0
4
40%
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
46%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 31.4
11.5
13.4
0
0%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 23.0
5.9
6.8
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 34.7
4.5
7.5
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 23.9
3.3
9.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.4
2.2
8.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 31.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.2
38.8
38.6
17
50%
9
1
0
1
0
1
2
7
7-7
100%
5-10
4-9
50%
49%
0-4
0%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.1
38.5
39.3
28
61%
4
1
2
1
2
6
0
4
8-9
89%
4-13
8-16
31%
49%
4-6
67%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.0
30.1
35.6
22
67%
4
5
4
1
1
3
1
3
8-8
100%
7-12
6-13
58%
45%
0-1
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.5
23.5
26.5
6
38%
5
1
2
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
48%
0-3
0%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.3
14.9
19.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
49%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 21.2
32.8
19.0
7
36%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
5-6
83%
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-5
0%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 21.1
22.6
28.0
6
50%
6
0
0
1
2
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-6
4-7
50%
54%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.4
16.1
11.7
6
51%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-4
1-2
25%
46%
1-1
100%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 22.0
10.8
5.4
5
64%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
2-3
1-1
67%
50%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.5
9.1
14.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
38%
0-0
-
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.2
2.7
3.1
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
51%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 28.9
1.7
0
0-0
42%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.7
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.0
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 33.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.