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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
October 31, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Heat81%102101
27Nets19%9178
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 25.8
28.9
33.8
20
58%
7
7
2
1
0
5
0
7
10-12
83%
5-8
6-11
63%
54%
0-4
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.8
27.3
34.4
17
60%
6
7
2
2
1
1
1
5
8-12
67%
3-7
7-14
43%
51%
1-2
50%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 31.3
26.9
22.8
12
76%
5
4
1
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
4-5
2-5
80%
47%
1-2
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 26.6
25.8
31.2
18
83%
1
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
8-10
6-12
80%
51%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28.2
24.4
19.8
1
27%
3
2
1
0
4
0
0
3
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.1
30.7
24.6
6
50%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
39%
2-4
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.4
24.4
22.0
6
38%
7
0
2
0
0
0
2
5
2-2
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
49%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.5
23.9
22.1
11
69%
3
4
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
43%
1-3
33%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 35.4
18.3
12.6
10
83%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
5-6
2-4
83%
46%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.5
3.1
5.0
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.4
3.1
4.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-2
0%
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 36.0
3.1
4.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 37.7
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.7
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 22.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.7
28.8
32.1
13
70%
1
6
0
1
0
4
0
1
3-3
100%
2-5
4-9
40%
45%
2-3
67%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.1
27.9
32.4
5
26%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
46%
0-2
0%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 22.6
27.7
35.0
20
52%
5
1
0
1
0
0
3
2
4-5
80%
8-17
7-13
47%
49%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 26.1
21.8
25.0
0
0%
4
0
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-6
0%
43%
0-3
0%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 35.3
5.3
7.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.3
28.3
19.1
11
37%
4
2
1
0
0
4
1
3
1-2
50%
5-13
3-6
38%
42%
0-1
0%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 19.3
24.1
19.7
13
52%
13
1
0
0
0
0
10
3
5-8
63%
4-9
2-5
44%
45%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.7
20.2
19.6
6
75%
4
0
2
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
44%
0-0
-
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.1
18.5
8.1
1
10%
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
0-4
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.9
16.2
22.9
5
36%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
1-4
25%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 24.8
13.7
8.8
2
35%
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-2
0%
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.4
7.6
2.8
2
25%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Ben Uzoh
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.6
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 29.5
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 30.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.