| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 MIA | 114.8 | 88 | 89.2 |
NJN | 90.7 | 86 | 85.8 |
Scoring Opportunities
MIA
80
+7
-8
87
NJN
71
+24
-15
95
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.16 58.0%
NJN
0.82 41.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | MIA | NJN |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 101 100% | 78 0% | |
| Q4 - 0:19.0 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 101 99.9% | 78 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:20.0 | NJN | MISS Williams 12' Jump Shot | 101 99.9% | 78 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:33.0 | MIA | House 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST) | 101 99.9% | 78 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:48.0 | NJN | Petro 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST) | 99 99.9% | 78 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:57.0 | NJN | Petro REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 99 99.9% | 76 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:59.0 | MIA | MISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot | 99 99.9% | 76 0.1% |
| Q4 - 1:18 | NJN | Humphries 2' Dunk (6 PTS) (Graham 1 AST) | 99 99.9% | 76 0.1% |
| Q4 - 1:20 | MIA | Williams STEAL (1 STL) | 99 99.9% | 74 0.1% |
| Q4 - 1:26 | NJN | James Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15) | 99 99.9% | 74 0.1% |
| Q4 - 1:40 | NJN | NETS Rebound | 99 99.9% | 74 0.1% |
| Q4 - 1:40 | MIA | MISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 2 | 99 99.9% | 74 0.1% |
| Q4 - 1:40 | MIA | MISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 2 | 99 99.9% | 74 0.1% |
| Q4 - 1:42 | MIA | Magloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 99 99.9% | 74 0.1% |
| Q4 - 1:43 | MIA | MISS House 12' Running Bank Shot | 99 99.9% | 74 0.1% |
| Q4 - 1:54 | NJN | Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14) | 99 99.9% | 74 0.1% |
| Q4 - 1:59 | NJN | Petro REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 99 99.9% | 74 0.1% |
| Q4 - 2:00 | NJN | MISS Humphries 17' Jump Shot | 99 99.9% | 74 0.1% |
| Q4 - 2:12 | NJN | Petro REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 99 99.9% | 74 0.1% |
| Q4 - 2:14 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 99 99.9% | 74 0.1% |
| Q4 - 2:21 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 99 99.9% | 74 0.1% |
| Q4 - 2:23 | MIA | MISS Haslem 10' Jump Shot | 99 99.9% | 74 0.1% |
| Q4 - 2:35 | MIA | Stackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 99 99.9% | 74 0.1% |
| Q4 - 2:36 | NJN | MISS Williams 14' Jump Shot | 99 99.9% | 74 0.1% |
| Q4 - 2:53 | MIA | House 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 99 99.9% | 74 0.1% |
| Q4 - 3:13 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 97 99.9% | 74 0.1% |
| Q4 - 3:14 | NJN | MISS Graham 17' Jump Shot | 97 99.9% | 74 0.1% |
| Q4 - 3:39 | MIA | Haslem 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST) | 97 99.9% | 74 0.1% |
| Q4 - 3:58 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 95 99.9% | 74 0.1% |
| Q4 - 3:59 | MIA | MISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot | 95 99.9% | 74 0.1% |
| Q4 - 4:14 | NJN | Graham Traveling Turnover (P1.T13) | 95 99.9% | 74 0.1% |
| Q4 - 4:36 | MIA | Arroyo 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (House 4 AST) | 95 99.9% | 74 0.1% |
| Q4 - 4:53 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 93 99.9% | 74 0.1% |
| Q4 - 4:54 | NJN | MISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 | 93 99.9% | 74 0.1% |
| Q4 - 4:54 | NJN | Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 93 99.9% | 74 0.1% |
| Q4 - 5:01 | NJN | Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 93 99.9% | 73 0.1% |
| Q4 - 5:02 | MIA | MISS Haslem 5' Jump Shot | 93 99.9% | 73 0.1% |
| Q4 - 5:18 | NJN | Favors Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS) | 93 99.9% | 73 0.1% |
| Q4 - 5:18 | NJN | Favors Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS) | 93 99.9% | 72 0.1% |
| Q4 - 5:20 | NJN | Favors REBOUND (Off:10 Def:3) | 93 99.9% | 71 0.1% |
| Q4 - 5:21 | NJN | MISS Graham 3PT Jump Shot | 93 99.9% | 71 0.1% |
| Q4 - 5:32 | NJN | Humphries REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 93 99.9% | 71 0.1% |
| Q4 - 5:33 | MIA | MISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot | 93 99.9% | 71 0.1% |
| Q4 - 5:57 | NJN | Graham 2' Dunk (2 PTS) | 93 99.9% | 71 0.1% |
| Q4 - 6:14 | NJN | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 93 99.9% | 69 0.1% |
| Q4 - 6:15 | MIA | MISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 93 99.9% | 69 0.1% |
| Q4 - 6:33 | MIA | Arroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 93 99.9% | 69 0.1% |
| Q4 - 6:34 | NJN | MISS Graham 22' Jump Shot | 93 99.9% | 69 0.1% |
| Q4 - 6:53 | MIA | Haslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST) | 93 99.9% | 69 0.1% |
| Q4 - 7:01 | MIA | House REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 91 99.9% | 69 0.1% |
| Q4 - 7:02 | NJN | MISS James 3' Layup | 91 99.9% | 69 0.1% |
| Q4 - 7:14 | NJN | Graham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 91 99.9% | 69 0.1% |
| Q4 - 7:16 | MIA | MISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot | 91 99.9% | 69 0.1% |
| Q4 - 7:29 | NJN | Favors Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 91 99.9% | 69 0.1% |
| Q4 - 7:29 | NJN | Favors Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 91 99.9% | 68 0.1% |
| Q4 - 7:30 | NJN | Favors REBOUND (Off:9 Def:3) | 91 99.9% | 67 0.1% |
| Q4 - 7:31 | NJN | MISS Williams 2' Driving Dunk | 91 99.9% | 67 0.1% |
| Q4 - 7:36 | NJN | NETS Rebound | 91 99.9% | 67 0.1% |
| Q4 - 7:37 | NJN | MISS James 2' Driving Layup | 91 99.9% | 67 0.1% |
| Q4 - 7:45 | NJN | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 91 99.9% | 67 0.1% |
| Q4 - 7:46 | MIA | MISS Jones 20' Jump Shot | 91 99.9% | 67 0.1% |
| Q4 - 8:10 | NJN | Lopez 5' Hook Shot (20 PTS) (James 2 AST) | 91 99.9% | 67 0.1% |
| Q4 - 8:30 | MIA | Arroyo 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST) | 91 99.9% | 65 0.1% |
| Q4 - 8:45 | MIA | Arroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 89 99.9% | 65 0.1% |
| Q4 - 8:46 | NJN | MISS Morrow 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 89 99.9% | 65 0.1% |
| Q4 - 9:10 | MIA | House 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST) | 89 99.9% | 65 0.1% |
| Q4 - 9:19 | NJN | Harris Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS) | 87 99.9% | 65 0.1% |
| Q4 - 9:19 | NJN | Harris Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS) | 87 99.9% | 64 0.1% |
| Q4 - 9:35 | NJN | NETS Rebound | 87 99.9% | 63 0.1% |
| Q4 - 9:36 | MIA | MISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 87 99.9% | 63 0.1% |
| Q4 - 9:42 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 87 99.9% | 63 0.1% |
| Q4 - 9:44 | NJN | MISS Lopez 16' Jump Shot | 87 99.9% | 63 0.1% |
| Q4 - 10:03 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS) | 87 99.8% | 63 0.2% |
| Q4 - 10:03 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS) | 86 99.8% | 63 0.2% |
| Q4 - 10:19 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 85 99.8% | 63 0.2% |
| Q4 - 10:20 | MIA | MISS Jones 18' Jump Shot | 85 99.8% | 63 0.2% |
| Q4 - 10:35 | NJN | Morrow 10' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 1 AST) | 85 99.8% | 63 0.2% |
| Q4 - 10:45 | MIA | Farmar STEAL (1 STL) | 85 99.9% | 61 0.1% |
| Q4 - 10:58 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 85 99.9% | 61 0.1% |
| Q4 - 11:00 | NJN | MISS James 16' Jump Shot | 85 99.9% | 61 0.1% |
| Q4 - 11:10 | NJN | Outlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 85 99.8% | 61 0.2% |
| Q4 - 11:11 | MIA | MISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 85 99.8% | 61 0.2% |
| Q4 - 11:19 | NJN | Outlaw Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12) | 85 99.8% | 61 0.2% |
| Q4 - 11:40 | NJN | NETS Rebound | 85 99.8% | 61 0.2% |
| Q4 - 11:41 | NJN | MISS Outlaw 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 85 99.8% | 61 0.2% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 85 99.8% | 61 0.2% | |
| Q3 - 0:01.0 | MIA | Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 85 99.8% | 61 0.2% |
| Q3 - 0:02.0 | NJN | MISS James Free Throw 2 of 2 | 85 99.8% | 61 0.2% |
| Q3 - 0:02.0 | NJN | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 85 99.8% | 61 0.2% |
| Q3 - 0:02.0 | NJN | NETS Rebound | 85 99.8% | 60 0.2% |
| Q3 - 0:03.0 | MIA | MISS James 11' Fadeaway Bank Shot | 85 99.8% | 60 0.2% |
| Q3 - 0:16.0 | NJN | Farmar Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11) | 85 99.8% | 60 0.2% |
| Q3 - 0:33.0 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 85 99.8% | 60 0.2% |
| Q3 - 0:33.0 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS) | 84 99.8% | 60 0.2% |
| Q3 - 0:38.0 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 83 99.8% | 60 0.2% |
| Q3 - 0:39.0 | NJN | MISS Favors Free Throw 2 of 2 | 83 99.7% | 60 0.3% |
| Q3 - 0:39.0 | NJN | Favors Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 83 99.7% | 60 0.3% |
| Q3 - 0:56.0 | MIA | House 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ilgauskas 1 AST) | 83 99.8% | 59 0.2% |
| Q3 - 1:18 | NJN | Williams 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS) | 80 99.6% | 59 0.4% |
| Q3 - 1:36 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS) | 80 99.7% | 57 0.3% |
| Q3 - 1:36 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 1 of 2 | 79 99.6% | 57 0.4% |
| Q3 - 1:52 | NJN | Favors 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 79 99.6% | 57 0.4% |
| Q3 - 2:12 | MIA | House 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 7 AST) | 79 99.6% | 55 0.4% |
| Q3 - 2:23 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 77 99.6% | 55 0.4% |
| Q3 - 2:24 | NJN | MISS Farmar 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 77 99.6% | 55 0.4% |
| Q3 - 2:35 | MIA | Haslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 77 99.5% | 55 0.5% |
| Q3 - 2:35 | MIA | Haslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 76 99.5% | 55 0.5% |
| Q3 - 2:56 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 75 99.4% | 55 0.6% |
| Q3 - 2:57 | NJN | MISS Favors 1' Putback Dunk | 75 99.4% | 55 0.6% |
| Q3 - 2:58 | NJN | Favors REBOUND (Off:8 Def:3) | 75 99.3% | 55 0.7% |
| Q3 - 2:59 | NJN | MISS Williams 4' Driving Layup | 75 99.4% | 55 0.6% |
| Q3 - 3:07 | NJN | Favors REBOUND (Off:7 Def:3) | 75 99.2% | 55 0.8% |
| Q3 - 3:08 | MIA | MISS Wade 4' Layup | 75 99.2% | 55 0.8% |
| Q3 - 3:15 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 75 99.3% | 55 0.7% |
| Q3 - 3:16 | NJN | MISS Petro Free Throw 2 of 2 | 75 99.3% | 55 0.7% |
| Q3 - 3:16 | NJN | MISS Petro Free Throw 1 of 2 | 75 99.2% | 55 0.8% |
| Q3 - 3:30 | MIA | Bosh 6' Hook Shot (18 PTS) (James 6 AST) | 75 99.2% | 55 0.8% |
| Q3 - 3:46 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 73 99.0% | 55 1.0% |
| Q3 - 3:47 | NJN | MISS Farmar 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 73 99.0% | 55 1.0% |
| Q3 - 4:14 | MIA | Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 5 AST) | 73 98.7% | 55 1.3% |
| Q3 - 4:36 | NJN | Farmar 3' Driving Layup (5 PTS) | 71 98.5% | 55 1.5% |
| Q3 - 4:55 | NJN | Lopez REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 71 98.7% | 53 1.3% |
| Q3 - 4:56 | MIA | MISS Wade 16' Fadeaway Jumper | 71 98.8% | 53 1.2% |
| Q3 - 5:05 | NJN | Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10) | 71 98.8% | 53 1.2% |
| Q3 - 5:23 | NJN | Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 71 98.6% | 53 1.4% |
| Q3 - 5:24 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 2 of 2 | 71 98.6% | 53 1.4% |
| Q3 - 5:24 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS) | 71 98.7% | 53 1.3% |
| Q3 - 5:26 | NJN | Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9) | 70 98.6% | 53 1.4% |
| Q3 - 5:39 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS) | 70 98.3% | 53 1.7% |
| Q3 - 5:39 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS) | 69 98.2% | 53 1.8% |
| Q3 - 5:41 | NJN | Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8) | 68 98.0% | 53 2.0% |
| Q3 - 6:04 | MIA | James 3' Layup (14 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST) | 68 97.5% | 53 2.5% |
| Q3 - 6:12 | NJN | Harris Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7) | 66 97.1% | 53 2.9% |
| Q3 - 6:19 | NJN | Humphries REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 66 96.6% | 53 3.4% |
| Q3 - 6:20 | MIA | MISS Wade 11' Jump Bank Shot | 66 96.7% | 53 3.3% |
| Q3 - 6:44 | NJN | Harris Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS) | 66 97.1% | 53 2.9% |
| Q3 - 6:53 | NJN | Humphries REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 66 97.9% | 50 2.1% |
| Q3 - 6:54 | MIA | MISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 66 98.0% | 50 2.0% |
| Q3 - 7:13 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 66 98.0% | 50 2.0% |
| Q3 - 7:14 | NJN | MISS Morrow 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 66 97.9% | 50 2.1% |
| Q3 - 7:24 | NJN | NETS Rebound | 66 97.6% | 50 2.4% |
| Q3 - 7:25 | MIA | MISS Wade 2' Layup | 66 97.8% | 50 2.2% |
| Q3 - 7:45 | NJN | Lopez Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 66 98.0% | 50 2.0% |
| Q3 - 7:45 | NJN | MISS Lopez Free Throw 1 of 2 | 66 98.0% | 49 2.0% |
| Q3 - 8:01 | MIA | Anthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 66 97.9% | 49 2.1% |
| Q3 - 8:01 | MIA | MISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 2 | 65 97.8% | 49 2.2% |
| Q3 - 8:10 | NJN | Harris Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6) | 65 97.9% | 49 2.1% |
| Q3 - 8:17 | NJN | Outlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 65 97.6% | 49 2.4% |
| Q3 - 8:18 | MIA | MISS James 3PT Jump Shot | 65 97.7% | 49 2.3% |
| Q3 - 8:42 | NJN | Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lopez 1 AST) | 65 97.9% | 49 2.1% |
| Q3 - 8:45 | NJN | Lopez REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 65 98.4% | 46 1.6% |
| Q3 - 8:46 | NJN | MISS Lopez 6' Hook Shot | 65 98.6% | 46 1.4% |
| Q3 - 9:07 | MIA | Arroyo 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 4 AST) | 65 98.4% | 46 1.6% |
| Q3 - 9:31 | NJN | Harris Traveling Turnover (P2.T5) | 62 97.8% | 46 2.2% |
| Q3 - 9:47 | NJN | Outlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 62 97.5% | 46 2.5% |
| Q3 - 9:48 | MIA | MISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot | 62 97.6% | 46 2.4% |
| Q3 - 9:58 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 62 97.8% | 46 2.2% |
| Q3 - 9:59 | NJN | MISS Outlaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 62 97.7% | 46 2.3% |
| Q3 - 10:16 | MIA | Arroyo 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 7 AST) | 62 97.4% | 46 2.6% |
| Q3 - 10:43 | NJN | Humphries 6' Driving Hook Shot (4 PTS) | 60 97.0% | 46 3.0% |
| Q3 - 10:57 | MIA | Humphries STEAL (2 STL) | 60 97.4% | 44 2.6% |
| Q3 - 11:21 | NJN | Humphries 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Harris 6 AST) | 60 97.6% | 44 2.4% |
| Q3 - 11:39 | MIA | Bosh 5' Hook Shot (16 PTS) | 60 97.9% | 42 2.1% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 58 97.6% | 42 2.4% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 58 97.6% | 42 2.4% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS Arroyo 34' 3PT Jump Shot | 58 97.4% | 42 2.6% |
| Q2 - 0:01.0 | MIA | Arroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 58 97.4% | 42 2.6% |
| Q2 - 0:03.0 | NJN | MISS Williams 3' Driving Layup | 58 97.3% | 42 2.7% |
| Q2 - 0:10.0 | MIA | Jones 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 6 AST) | 58 97.1% | 42 2.9% |
| Q2 - 0:30.0 | NJN | Farmar 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harris 5 AST) | 55 96.2% | 42 3.8% |
| Q2 - 0:33.0 | NJN | Favors REBOUND (Off:7 Def:2) | 55 97.2% | 39 2.8% |
| Q2 - 0:34.0 | NJN | MISS Williams 16' Jump Shot | 55 97.3% | 39 2.7% |
| Q2 - 0:46.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS) | 55 97.2% | 39 2.8% |
| Q2 - 0:46.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS) | 54 97.1% | 39 2.9% |
| Q2 - 1:04 | NJN | Williams 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 53 96.6% | 39 3.4% |
| Q2 - 1:21 | MIA | Bosh 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 5 AST) | 53 97.1% | 37 2.9% |
| Q2 - 1:37 | NJN | Favors 2' Tip Shot (6 PTS) | 51 96.6% | 37 3.4% |
| Q2 - 1:39 | NJN | Favors REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2) | 51 97.1% | 35 2.9% |
| Q2 - 1:40 | NJN | MISS Petro 19' Jump Shot | 51 97.3% | 35 2.7% |
| Q2 - 2:02 | NJN | Favors REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2) | 51 96.9% | 35 3.1% |
| Q2 - 2:03 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 | 51 97.0% | 35 3.0% |
| Q2 - 2:03 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 51 97.2% | 35 2.8% |
| Q2 - 2:14 | NJN | Harris 14' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Farmar 1 AST) | 50 96.9% | 35 3.1% |
| Q2 - 2:29 | NJN | NETS Rebound | 50 97.3% | 33 2.7% |
| Q2 - 2:29 | NJN | MISS Williams 4' Driving Jump Shot | 50 97.5% | 33 2.5% |
| Q2 - 2:44 | MIA | Wade 3' Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Jones 1 AST) | 50 97.3% | 33 2.7% |
| Q2 - 3:06 | NJN | Williams 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 48 96.9% | 33 3.1% |
| Q2 - 3:22 | MIA | Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 4 AST) | 48 97.2% | 31 2.8% |
| Q2 - 3:38 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 45 96.6% | 31 3.4% |
| Q2 - 3:39 | NJN | MISS Favors 4' Hook Shot | 45 96.4% | 31 3.6% |
| Q2 - 3:50 | NJN | Harris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 45 96.0% | 31 4.0% |
| Q2 - 3:51 | MIA | MISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 45 96.2% | 31 3.8% |
| Q2 - 4:14 | NJN | Lopez 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Harris 4 AST) | 45 96.4% | 31 3.6% |
| Q2 - 4:17 | NJN | NETS Rebound | 45 96.8% | 29 3.2% |
| Q2 - 4:18 | NJN | MISS Lopez 2' Driving Layup | 45 97.1% | 29 2.9% |
| Q2 - 4:42 | MIA | Bosh 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) | 45 96.8% | 29 3.2% |
| Q2 - 4:59 | NJN | Williams 3' Layup (4 PTS) | 43 96.4% | 29 3.6% |
| Q2 - 5:00 | NJN | Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 43 96.8% | 27 3.2% |
| Q2 - 5:02 | NJN | MISS Favors 3' Layup | 43 97.0% | 27 3.0% |
| Q2 - 5:04 | NJN | Favors REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1) | 43 96.7% | 27 3.3% |
| Q2 - 5:06 | NJN | MISS Lopez 20' Jump Shot | 43 97.0% | 27 3.0% |
| Q2 - 5:19 | MIA | James Foul Turnover (P4.T5) | 43 96.7% | 27 3.3% |
| Q2 - 5:21 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 43 97.1% | 27 2.9% |
| Q2 - 5:22 | NJN | MISS Lopez 4' Jump Shot | 43 97.0% | 27 3.0% |
| Q2 - 5:24 | NJN | Lopez REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 43 96.7% | 27 3.3% |
| Q2 - 5:26 | NJN | MISS Lopez 2' Driving Layup | 43 97.0% | 27 3.0% |
| Q2 - 5:42 | MIA | Bosh 3' Driving Dunk (10 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST) | 43 96.7% | 27 3.3% |
| Q2 - 5:59 | NJN | Lopez 3' Layup (15 PTS) (Harris 3 AST) | 41 96.3% | 27 3.7% |
| Q2 - 6:08 | NJN | Humphries REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 41 96.5% | 25 3.5% |
| Q2 - 6:09 | MIA | MISS James 2' Driving Layup | 41 96.6% | 25 3.4% |
| Q2 - 6:17 | NJN | Jump Ball Morrow vs. Haslem: Tip to James | 41 96.9% | 25 3.1% |
| Q2 - 6:36 | MIA | James Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4) | 41 96.5% | 25 3.5% |
| Q2 - 6:50 | NJN | Lopez 1' Dunk (13 PTS) | 41 96.9% | 25 3.1% |
| Q2 - 7:13 | MIA | James 3' Dunk (12 PTS) (House 3 AST) | 41 97.1% | 23 2.9% |
| Q2 - 7:18 | MIA | House REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 39 96.8% | 23 3.2% |
| Q2 - 7:19 | NJN | MISS Harris 2' Driving Layup | 39 96.7% | 23 3.3% |
| Q2 - 7:28 | MIA | James 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS) | 39 96.4% | 23 3.6% |
| Q2 - 7:34 | NJN | Morrow 1' Layup (3 PTS) | 37 96.1% | 23 3.9% |
| Q2 - 7:35 | NJN | Morrow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 37 96.4% | 21 3.6% |
| Q2 - 7:37 | NJN | MISS James 3' Layup | 37 96.7% | 21 3.3% |
| Q2 - 7:38 | NJN | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 37 96.4% | 21 3.6% |
| Q2 - 7:40 | NJN | MISS Morrow 2' Layup | 37 96.7% | 21 3.3% |
| Q2 - 7:50 | MIA | Humphries STEAL (1 STL) | 37 96.4% | 21 3.6% |
| Q2 - 8:02 | NJN | Humphries Foul Turnover (P1.T3) | 37 96.7% | 21 3.3% |
| Q2 - 8:16 | NJN | Lopez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 37 96.3% | 21 3.7% |
| Q2 - 8:17 | NJN | MISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 37 96.6% | 21 3.4% |
| Q2 - 8:40 | NJN | Morrow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 37 96.3% | 21 3.7% |
| Q2 - 8:41 | MIA | MISS Ilgauskas 18' Jump Shot | 37 96.4% | 21 3.6% |
| Q2 - 9:01 | NJN | Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Morrow 1 AST) | 37 96.5% | 21 3.5% |
| Q2 - 9:14 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 37 97.2% | 18 2.8% |
| Q2 - 9:14 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 36 97.1% | 18 2.9% |
| Q2 - 9:32 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 35 96.9% | 18 3.1% |
| Q2 - 9:33 | NJN | MISS Lopez 14' Jump Shot | 35 96.8% | 18 3.2% |
| Q2 - 9:49 | NJN | NETS Rebound | 35 96.5% | 18 3.5% |
| Q2 - 9:50 | NJN | MISS Harris 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup | 35 96.8% | 18 3.2% |
| Q2 - 10:05 | NJN | Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 35 96.3% | 18 3.7% |
| Q2 - 10:06 | MIA | MISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot | 35 96.5% | 18 3.5% |
| Q2 - 10:18 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 35 96.7% | 18 3.3% |
| Q2 - 10:19 | NJN | MISS Favors 17' Jump Shot | 35 96.6% | 18 3.4% |
| Q2 - 10:35 | MIA | Ilgauskas 2' Layup (8 PTS) (James 3 AST) | 35 96.4% | 18 3.6% |
| Q2 - 10:46 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 33 96.0% | 18 4.0% |
| Q2 - 10:47 | NJN | MISS Outlaw 8' Running Bank Shot | 33 95.9% | 18 4.1% |
| Q2 - 11:08 | MIA | Ilgauskas 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS) | 33 95.4% | 18 4.6% |
| Q2 - 11:10 | MIA | Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 31 95.0% | 18 5.0% |
| Q2 - 11:11 | MIA | MISS James 14' Turnaround Jump Shot | 31 94.6% | 18 5.4% |
| Q2 - 11:29 | MIA | Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 31 95.0% | 18 5.0% |
| Q2 - 11:30 | NJN | MISS Favors 3' Layup | 31 94.8% | 18 5.2% |
| Q2 - 11:45 | MIA | Ilgauskas 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 2 AST) | 31 94.4% | 18 5.6% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 29 93.9% | 18 6.1% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | House REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 29 93.9% | 18 6.1% |
| Q1 - 0:01.0 | NJN | MISS Farmar 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup | 29 93.5% | 18 6.5% |
| Q1 - 0:26.0 | NJN | Favors REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1) | 29 93.2% | 18 6.8% |
| Q1 - 0:27.0 | MIA | MISS Wade 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 29 93.3% | 18 6.7% |
| Q1 - 0:40.0 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 29 93.7% | 18 6.3% |
| Q1 - 0:40.0 | NJN | MISS Farmar 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 29 93.5% | 18 6.5% |
| Q1 - 1:00 | MIA | Ilgauskas 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (House 2 AST) | 29 93.2% | 18 6.8% |
| Q1 - 1:13 | NJN | Favors 4' Putback Layup (4 PTS) | 27 92.3% | 18 7.7% |
| Q1 - 1:14 | NJN | Favors REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0) | 27 93.1% | 16 6.9% |
| Q1 - 1:15 | NJN | MISS Williams 2' Layup | 27 93.4% | 16 6.6% |
| Q1 - 1:22 | NJN | Favors REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0) | 27 93.1% | 16 6.9% |
| Q1 - 1:25 | NJN | MISS Outlaw 6' Running Jump Shot | 27 93.4% | 16 6.6% |
| Q1 - 1:43 | NJN | Petro REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 27 93.1% | 16 6.9% |
| Q1 - 1:44 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 | 27 93.2% | 16 6.8% |
| Q1 - 1:44 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 27 93.6% | 16 6.4% |
| Q1 - 2:01 | NJN | Favors 3' Dunk (2 PTS) (Petro 1 AST) | 26 92.9% | 16 7.1% |
| Q1 - 2:03 | NJN | Favors REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 26 93.6% | 14 6.4% |
| Q1 - 2:05 | NJN | MISS Outlaw 3PT Jump Shot | 26 93.9% | 14 6.1% |
| Q1 - 2:25 | MIA | Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (House 1 AST) | 26 93.6% | 14 6.4% |
| Q1 - 2:48 | NJN | MISS Favors Free Throw 2 of 2 | 23 92.2% | 14 7.8% |
| Q1 - 2:48 | NJN | MISS Favors Free Throw 1 of 2 | 23 91.8% | 14 8.2% |
| Q1 - 2:59 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 23 92.3% | 14 7.7% |
| Q1 - 2:59 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 23 91.7% | 14 8.3% |
| Q1 - 2:59 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 | 22 91.5% | 14 8.5% |
| Q1 - 3:04 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 22 91.8% | 14 8.2% |
| Q1 - 3:05 | NJN | MISS Morrow 24' Jump Shot | 22 91.5% | 14 8.5% |
| Q1 - 3:09 | NJN | Petro REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 22 91.0% | 14 9.0% |
| Q1 - 3:10 | NJN | MISS Farmar 9' Running Bank Shot | 22 91.5% | 14 8.5% |
| Q1 - 3:33 | MIA | Bosh 6' Hook Shot (8 PTS) | 22 91.0% | 14 9.0% |
| Q1 - 4:00 | NJN | Williams 4' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 20 90.2% | 14 9.8% |
| Q1 - 4:16 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 20 91.0% | 12 9.0% |
| Q1 - 4:16 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 | 19 90.8% | 12 9.2% |
| Q1 - 4:25 | NJN | Lopez Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 19 91.1% | 12 8.9% |
| Q1 - 4:25 | NJN | Lopez Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 19 91.2% | 11 8.8% |
| Q1 - 4:39 | MIA | Wade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2) | 19 91.7% | 10 8.3% |
| Q1 - 4:56 | NJN | Lopez Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS) | 19 92.4% | 10 7.6% |
| Q1 - 5:22 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 19 93.2% | 7 6.8% |
| Q1 - 5:22 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 18 93.1% | 7 6.9% |
| Q1 - 5:31 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 17 92.7% | 7 7.3% |
| Q1 - 5:32 | NJN | MISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot | 17 92.5% | 7 7.5% |
| Q1 - 5:40 | NJN | Morrow Free Throw Technical (1 PTS) | 17 92.0% | 7 8.0% |
| Q1 - 5:53 | MIA | Wade 2' Putback Layup (4 PTS) | 17 92.6% | 6 7.4% |
| Q1 - 5:54 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 15 92.1% | 6 7.9% |
| Q1 - 5:55 | MIA | MISS Anthony 2' Layup | 15 91.6% | 6 8.4% |
| Q1 - 6:13 | NJN | Lopez 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Favors 1 AST) | 15 92.0% | 6 8.0% |
| Q1 - 6:15 | NJN | Favors REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 15 92.6% | 4 7.4% |
| Q1 - 6:17 | NJN | MISS Morrow 4' Driving Layup | 15 93.0% | 4 7.0% |
| Q1 - 6:36 | MIA | Arroyo Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS) | 15 92.6% | 4 7.4% |
| Q1 - 6:51 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 12 91.4% | 4 8.6% |
| Q1 - 6:52 | NJN | MISS Morrow 19' Jump Shot | 12 91.2% | 4 8.8% |
| Q1 - 7:16 | MIA | James 2' Driving Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST) | 12 90.7% | 4 9.3% |
| Q1 - 7:38 | NJN | Lopez 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Harris 2 AST) | 10 90.0% | 4 10.0% |
| Q1 - 8:05 | MIA | Bosh 3' Layup (6 PTS) (James 1 AST) | 10 90.9% | 2 9.1% |
| Q1 - 8:20 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 8 90.2% | 2 9.8% |
| Q1 - 8:21 | NJN | MISS Lopez 6' Hook Shot | 8 90.0% | 2 10.0% |
| Q1 - 8:39 | MIA | Wade 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST) | 8 89.4% | 2 10.6% |
| Q1 - 8:53 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 6 88.6% | 2 11.3% |
| Q1 - 8:55 | NJN | MISS Lopez 11' Hook Shot | 6 88.4% | 2 11.6% |
| Q1 - 9:12 | MIA | Outlaw STEAL (1 STL) | 6 88.0% | 2 12.0% |
| Q1 - 9:18 | MIA | Arroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 6 88.8% | 2 11.2% |
| Q1 - 9:19 | NJN | MISS Smith 2' Putback Layup | 6 88.6% | 2 11.4% |
| Q1 - 9:20 | NJN | Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 6 88.0% | 2 12.0% |
| Q1 - 9:21 | NJN | MISS Harris 1' Driving Layup | 6 88.6% | 2 11.4% |
| Q1 - 9:26 | NJN | Outlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 6 88.0% | 2 12.0% |
| Q1 - 9:28 | MIA | MISS James 28' 3PT Jump Shot | 6 88.3% | 2 11.7% |
| Q1 - 9:39 | MIA | Arroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 6 88.8% | 2 11.2% |
| Q1 - 9:40 | NJN | MISS Smith 16' Jump Shot | 6 88.6% | 2 11.4% |
| Q1 - 9:51 | NJN | Lopez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 6 88.0% | 2 12.0% |
| Q1 - 9:52 | MIA | MISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot | 6 88.3% | 2 11.7% |
| Q1 - 10:04 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 6 88.7% | 2 11.3% |
| Q1 - 10:06 | NJN | MISS Morrow 10' Running Jump Shot | 6 88.4% | 2 11.6% |
| Q1 - 10:20 | MIA | Bosh 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST) | 6 87.8% | 2 12.2% |
| Q1 - 10:39 | NJN | Smith 5 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2) | 4 87.2% | 2 12.8% |
| Q1 - 10:58 | MIA | James 2' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST) | 4 86.2% | 2 13.8% |
| Q1 - 11:04 | NJN | Harris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 2 85.6% | 2 14.4% |
| Q1 - 11:19 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 2 84.8% | 2 15.2% |
| Q1 - 11:19 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 1 84.7% | 2 15.3% |
| Q1 - 11:27 | MIA | MISS Arroyo Free Throw Technical | 0 83.8% | 2 16.2% |
| Q1 - 11:41 | NJN | Lopez 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harris 1 AST) | 0 83.8% | 2 16.2% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | NJN | Jump Ball Lopez vs. Anthony: Tip to Smith | 0 84.8% | 0 15.2% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.16 58.0%
NJN
0.82 41.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
17
71%
NJN
14
36
39%
Midrange
MIA
19
34
56%
NJN
13
35
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
16
31%
47%
NJN
3
4.5
14
21%
32%
Free Throws
MIA
24
34
71%
NJN
15
23
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. James | 20 | 56% | 10.0 / 18 | |
| C. Bosh | 18 | 82% | 9.0 / 11 | |
| D. Wade | 17 | 57% | 8.5 / 15 | |
| C. Arroyo | 12 | 86% | 6.0 / 7 | |
| E. House | 11 | 69% | 5.5 / 8 | |
| Z. Ilgauskas | 10 | 83% | 5.0 / 6 | |
| J. Jones | 6 | 50% | 3.0 / 6 | |
| U. Haslem | 6 | 38% | 3.0 / 8 | |
| J. Anthony | 1 | 25% | 0.5 / 2 | |
| M. Chalmers | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 | |
| J. Magloire | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Nets
| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Lopez | 20 | 53% | 10.0 / 19 | |
| D. Harris | 13 | 81% | 6.5 / 8 | |
| D. Favors | 13 | 50% | 6.5 / 13 | |
| T. Williams | 11 | 37% | 5.5 / 15 | |
| K. Humphries | 6 | 75% | 3.0 / 4 | |
| A. Morrow | 5 | 28% | 2.5 / 9 | |
| J. Farmar | 5 | 36% | 2.5 / 7 | |
| J. Petro | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 | |
| S. Graham | 2 | 25% | 1.0 / 4 | |
| D. James | 1 | 10% | 0.5 / 5 | |
| T. Outlaw | 0 | - | 0.0 / 5 | |
| J. Smith | 0 | - | 0.0 / 2 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
MIA
80
+7
-8
87
NJN
71
+24
-15
95
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.16 58.0%
NJN
0.82 41.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 111.4 102.9 | MIA 114.8 NJN 90.7 +24.1 |
| Pace | 91.3 90.1 | MIA 89.2 +3.5 NJN 85.8 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 16.2 16.4 | MIA 16.1 +0.7 NJN 16.8 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 52.4% 47.4% | MIA 57.5% +20.4% NJN 37.1% |
| TO % | 14.4% 14.2% | MIA 8.9% +4.7% NJN 13.6% |
| ORB % | 25.2% 26.2% | MIA 17.2% NJN 35.2% +18.0% |
| FTrt | 36.3 28.3 | MIA 50.7 +23.6 NJN 27.1 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 54.1% 59.0% | MIA 80.6% +27.3% NJN 53.3% |
| STL % | 7.3% 6.1% | MIA 11.4% +5.6% NJN 5.8% |
| BLK % | 8.5% 7.4% | MIA 8.5% +8.5% NJN 0.0% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 55.7% 50.1% | MIA 58.0% +16.9% NJN 41.1% |
| Rim FG% | 64.7% 56.1% | MIA 70.6% +31.7% NJN 38.9% |
| Mid FG% | 42.2% 39.7% | MIA 55.9% +18.8% NJN 37.1% |
| 3P % | 37.0% 34.3% | MIA 31.3% +9.9% NJN 21.4% |
| FT % | 76.9% 75.9% | MIA 70.6% +5.4% NJN 65.2% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 31.6% 32.6% | MIA 25.4% NJN 42.4% +17.0% |
| Mid Att. % | 44.9% 47.3% | MIA 50.7% NJN 41.2% +9.6% |
| 3P Att. % | 23.5% 20.1% | MIA 23.9% +7.4% NJN 16.5% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
| Game Totals | MIA | NJN |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 88 | 86 |
| Possession Minutes | 23.7 | 24.1 |
| Points | 101 | 78 |
| Rebounds | 40 | 43 |
| Assists | 29 | 16 |
| Steals | 10 | 5 |
| Blocks | 6 | 0 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 8 (0) | 15 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 5 (2) | 19 (5) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 35 (2) | 24 (4) |
| Field Goals | 36-67 | 30-85 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 12-17 | 14-36 |
| Midrange FG | 19-34 | 13-35 |
| 2-Point FG | 31-51 | 27-71 |
| 3-Point FG | 5-16 | 3-14 |
| Free Throws | 24-34 | 15-23 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.