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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
October 30, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Hornets27%9999
6Spurs73%10890
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.5
31.1
35.8
25
69%
7
5
2
2
0
3
0
7
7-7
100%
6-13
5-10
46%
49%
2-2
100%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 25.3
31.1
33.6
9
67%
4
0
0
2
0
3
0
4
3-4
75%
0-2
3-6
0%
45%
2-3
67%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.2
25.7
32.6
18
53%
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
9-17
6-13
53%
48%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.6
22.8
25.6
3
38%
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 28.1
18.6
28.2
9
67%
4
1
0
1
1
0
0
4
3-4
75%
3-5
4-7
60%
51%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 23.4
30.5
18.1
17
61%
7
3
2
1
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
7-11
3-6
64%
47%
1-3
33%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.3
23.4
13.1
12
57%
4
2
1
0
0
1
0
4
1-1
100%
4-9
2-4
44%
46%
1-1
100%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 24.7
20.8
13.5
6
60%
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
44%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.8
15.4
5.7
0
0%
2
0
1
0
3
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.2
11.3
13.6
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
0-2
2-4
0%
42%
0-0
-
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.1
9.6
5.3
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 33.4
16.3
0
2-4
42%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.6
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.9
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 21.5
38.3
20.6
4
20%
11
0
2
1
1
3
4
7
0-0
-
2-9
4-7
22%
53%
0-1
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 33.3
36.9
30.8
23
54%
2
6
2
2
0
2
0
2
5-5
100%
6-8
4-7
75%
50%
2-11
18%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 30.4
33.4
23.2
18
68%
4
3
0
1
1
1
1
3
3-5
60%
6-7
2-5
86%
50%
1-4
25%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.5
27.5
31.4
7
30%
7
1
1
1
0
2
2
5
3-4
75%
2-10
6-12
20%
52%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.5
26.9
34.0
13
57%
4
4
0
1
0
3
1
3
3-3
100%
5-10
8-15
50%
51%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 24.5
26.5
28.3
6
38%
2
7
2
1
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
3-7
67%
50%
0-4
0%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.1
21.2
18.2
6
38%
8
0
0
0
2
1
3
5
0-0
-
3-8
2-5
38%
50%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.1
18.8
4.1
8
67%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
47%
2-4
50%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 21.6
10.6
22.1
5
51%
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 23.4
12.7
0
2-3
47%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 30.4
7.9
0
0-1
46%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 24.5
5.2
0
0-1
48%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 25.8
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 30.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.