FinalWin Prob.pScore
1227%99
99
673%108
90
ORTG#PossPace
NOH
103.19698.5
SAS logo SAS
94.79596.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOHSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0NOH99
100%
90
0%
Q4 - 0:05.0NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)99
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:07.0SASMISS Blair 26' 3PT Jump Bank Shot99
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)99
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)98
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0SASBlair Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)97
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0SASBlair REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)97
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 0:20.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)97
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 0:20.0SASMISS Duncan 3' Layup97
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:22.0SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 0:27.0NOHPaul 6' Driving Bank Shot (23 PTS)97
99.5%
90
0.5%
Q4 - 0:49.0NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)95
97.2%
90
2.8%
Q4 - 0:50.0SASMISS Neal 3PT Jump Shot95
96.4%
90
3.6%
Q4 - 1:05NOHGreen 3' Driving Layup (12 PTS) (West 3 AST)95
92.1%
90
7.9%
Q4 - 1:26NOHGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
83.9%
90
16.1%
Q4 - 1:28SASMISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot93
81.0%
90
19.0%
Q4 - 1:44SASBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)93
70.4%
90
29.6%
Q4 - 1:44NOHMISS West 3' Layup93
73.8%
90
26.2%
Q4 - 2:05SASGinobili 10' Fadeaway Jumper (23 PTS)93
81.5%
90
18.5%
Q4 - 2:18SASBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)93
86.3%
88
13.7%
Q4 - 2:20NOHMISS Green 22' Jump Shot93
88.7%
88
11.3%
Q4 - 2:38SASJefferson 2' Dunk (18 PTS)93
92.7%
88
7.3%
Q4 - 2:58SASJump Ball Hill vs. Thornton: Tip to Neal93
92.5%
86
7.5%
Q4 - 3:16SASNeal 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)93
95.7%
86
4.3%
Q4 - 3:32NOHThornton 5' Jump Shot (17 PTS)93
95.5%
83
4.5%
Q4 - 3:52NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)91
94.3%
83
5.7%
Q4 - 3:54SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot91
93.6%
83
6.4%
Q4 - 4:09SASBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)91
91.9%
83
8.1%
Q4 - 4:11NOHMISS Paul 10' Running Jump Shot91
92.8%
83
7.2%
Q4 - 4:39SASJefferson 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Neal 2 AST)91
94.7%
83
5.3%
Q4 - 5:02SASBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)91
93.5%
81
6.5%
Q4 - 5:04NOHMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
94.2%
81
5.8%
Q4 - 5:30SASJefferson 17' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Neal 1 AST)91
95.5%
81
4.5%
Q4 - 5:36SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
96.7%
79
3.3%
Q4 - 5:38NOHMISS Paul 18' Jump Shot91
97.0%
79
3.0%
Q4 - 6:00SASHill 1' Dunk (6 PTS)91
97.7%
79
2.3%
Q4 - 6:03NOHHill STEAL (1 STL)91
97.0%
77
3.0%
Q4 - 6:04NOHPaul Free Throw Technical (21 PTS)91
97.9%
77
2.1%
Q4 - 6:18SASGinobili 28' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)90
97.2%
77
2.8%
Q4 - 6:33NOHPaul 29' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (West 2 AST)90
98.4%
74
1.6%
Q4 - 7:00SASJefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)87
97.2%
74
2.8%
Q4 - 7:13NOHGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Thornton 3 AST)87
97.5%
71
2.5%
Q4 - 7:26NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)84
95.9%
71
4.1%
Q4 - 7:28SASMISS Blair 15' Jump Shot84
95.6%
71
4.4%
Q4 - 7:50NOHSmith 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Green 2 AST)84
94.6%
71
5.4%
Q4 - 8:04SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (18 PTS)82
90.9%
71
9.1%
Q4 - 8:19NOHSmith 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Thornton 2 AST)82
93.0%
69
7.0%
Q4 - 8:39SASBlair 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Hill 7 AST)80
91.1%
69
8.9%
Q4 - 8:51SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
93.0%
67
7.0%
Q4 - 8:53NOHMISS Thornton 19' Pullup Jump Shot80
93.5%
67
6.5%
Q4 - 9:11SASHill 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)80
92.9%
67
7.1%
Q4 - 9:15SASSPURS Rebound80
94.4%
65
5.6%
Q4 - 9:18SASMISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 280
95.4%
65
4.6%
Q4 - 9:18SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)80
94.6%
65
5.4%
Q4 - 9:31NOHHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)80
95.5%
64
4.5%
Q4 - 9:34NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
96.5%
64
3.5%
Q4 - 9:36NOHMcDyess BLOCK (2 BLK)80
95.9%
64
4.1%
Q4 - 9:57SASGinobili 9' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Hill 6 AST)80
96.5%
64
3.5%
Q4 - 10:20NOHThornton 15' Step Back Jump Shot (15 PTS)80
96.4%
62
3.6%
Q4 - 10:41SASNeal 8' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hill 5 AST)78
95.6%
62
4.4%
Q4 - 10:57NOHThornton 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bayless 2 AST)78
96.4%
60
3.6%
Q4 - 11:07NOHHornets Rebound76
94.5%
60
5.5%
Q4 - 11:08SASMISS Hill 3' Finger Roll Layup76
94.1%
60
5.9%
Q4 - 11:14SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
93.3%
60
6.7%
Q4 - 11:16NOHMISS Green 14' Jump Shot76
93.7%
60
6.3%
Q4 - 11:25NOHBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
94.5%
60
5.5%
Q4 - 11:26SASMISS McDyess 15' Fadeaway Jumper76
94.2%
60
5.8%
Q4 - 11:46NOHMbenga 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T13)76
93.4%
60
6.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOH76
94.6%
60
5.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHHornets Rebound76
94.6%
60
5.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0NOHMISS Thornton 42' 3PT Jump Shot76
92.5%
60
7.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)76
93.3%
60
6.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0SASMISS Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
93.0%
60
7.0%
Q3 - 0:07.0SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
92.1%
60
7.9%
Q3 - 0:08.0NOHMISS Mbenga 10' Jump Shot76
92.5%
60
7.5%
Q3 - 0:12.0NOHMbenga REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
93.4%
60
6.6%
Q3 - 0:14.0NOHMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot76
92.6%
60
7.4%
Q3 - 0:36.0NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
93.4%
60
6.6%
Q3 - 0:38.0SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
93.1%
60
6.9%
Q3 - 0:41.0SASBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)76
92.2%
60
7.8%
Q3 - 0:43.0SASMISS Blair 7' Jump Shot76
93.1%
60
6.9%
Q3 - 1:02NOHGreen Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)76
91.0%
60
9.0%
Q3 - 1:06NOHGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
87.0%
60
13.0%
Q3 - 1:08SASMISS Neal 11' Jump Shot73
86.4%
60
13.6%
Q3 - 1:33NOHGreen 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)73
85.0%
60
15.0%
Q3 - 1:39SASMcDyess Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)71
82.0%
60
18.0%
Q3 - 1:50NOHThornton 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)71
79.3%
60
20.7%
Q3 - 2:06NOHMbenga REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
73.1%
60
26.9%
Q3 - 2:08SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot69
72.0%
60
28.0%
Q3 - 2:31NOHBlair STEAL (2 STL)69
69.5%
60
30.5%
Q3 - 2:49NOHGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
73.3%
60
26.7%
Q3 - 2:51SASMISS Parker 8' Jump Shot69
72.2%
60
27.8%
Q3 - 2:58SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)69
69.6%
60
30.4%
Q3 - 3:00NOHMISS Thornton 3' Layup69
70.7%
60
29.3%
Q3 - 3:13SASNeal Foul Turnover (P1.T12)69
71.2%
60
28.8%
Q3 - 3:24NOHAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)69
67.2%
60
32.8%
Q3 - 3:30NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
59.0%
60
41.0%
Q3 - 3:32SASMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
57.7%
60
42.3%
Q3 - 3:35SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
54.4%
60
45.6%
Q3 - 3:37SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot66
57.7%
60
42.3%
Q3 - 3:45SASParker Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)66
54.5%
60
45.5%
Q3 - 3:52SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)66
58.9%
59
41.1%
Q3 - 3:55NOHMISS Paul 4' Running Layup66
60.3%
59
39.7%
Q3 - 4:06SASMcDyess 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)66
62.3%
59
37.7%
Q3 - 4:19NOHOkafor Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)66
65.6%
57
34.4%
Q3 - 4:31SASJefferson 9' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)63
58.1%
57
41.9%
Q3 - 4:47NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)63
61.7%
55
38.3%
Q3 - 4:47NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)62
61.1%
55
38.9%
Q3 - 4:59SASNeal 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jefferson 3 AST)61
58.2%
55
41.8%
Q3 - 5:10NOHOkafor Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)61
63.8%
52
36.2%
Q3 - 5:10NOHMISS Okafor Free Throw 1 of 260
62.4%
52
37.6%
Q3 - 5:15NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
64.3%
52
35.7%
Q3 - 5:17SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot60
62.9%
52
37.1%
Q3 - 5:34SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
59.9%
52
40.1%
Q3 - 5:35NOHMISS West 11' Jump Shot60
61.3%
52
38.7%
Q3 - 5:48SASDuncan Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)60
64.4%
52
35.6%
Q3 - 5:58SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
60.0%
52
40.0%
Q3 - 6:00NOHJefferson BLOCK (1 BLK)60
61.4%
52
38.6%
Q3 - 6:24SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
62.3%
52
37.7%
Q3 - 6:24SASJefferson 1' Layup (6 PTS)60
62.3%
52
37.7%
Q3 - 6:26SASMISS Jefferson 4' Jump Shot60
68.4%
50
31.6%
Q3 - 6:33SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
65.7%
50
34.3%
Q3 - 6:35NOHMISS West 11' Running Jump Shot60
66.9%
50
33.1%
Q3 - 6:55SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)60
69.6%
50
30.4%
Q3 - 6:55SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)60
70.3%
49
29.7%
Q3 - 7:03SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
70.2%
48
29.8%
Q3 - 7:04SASMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
72.5%
48
27.5%
Q3 - 7:14NOHPaul 2' Layup (15 PTS)60
70.3%
48
29.7%
Q3 - 7:23NOHBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
67.2%
48
32.8%
Q3 - 7:24SASMISS Duncan 5' Hook Shot58
66.1%
48
33.9%
Q3 - 7:40NOHPaul 3' Driving Layup (13 PTS)58
63.6%
48
36.4%
Q3 - 8:04SASDuncan 3' Layup (7 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)56
59.1%
48
40.9%
Q3 - 8:27NOHPaul 5' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS)56
62.5%
46
37.5%
Q3 - 8:35NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)54
59.1%
46
40.9%
Q3 - 8:36SASMISS Blair 5' Jump Shot54
57.9%
46
42.1%
Q3 - 8:53NOHPaul 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)54
55.2%
46
44.8%
Q3 - 9:56NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
50.6%
46
49.4%
Q3 - 9:57SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot52
49.4%
46
50.6%
Q3 - 10:10NOHWest 10' Jump Shot (18 PTS)52
45.4%
46
54.6%
Q3 - 10:40NOHHornets Rebound50
42.1%
46
57.9%
Q3 - 10:41SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot50
41.0%
46
59.0%
Q3 - 10:41NOHOkafor Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)50
38.6%
46
61.4%
Q3 - 10:51NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
32.2%
46
67.8%
Q3 - 10:52SASMISS Ginobili 1' Driving Layup47
31.2%
46
68.8%
Q3 - 10:52NOHAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)47
29.1%
46
70.9%
Q3 - 10:52NOHAriza Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)46
28.2%
46
71.8%
Q3 - 10:59NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
26.3%
46
73.7%
Q3 - 11:00SASMISS Ginobili 2' Driving Layup45
25.4%
46
74.6%
Q3 - 11:07SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
23.3%
46
76.7%
Q3 - 11:08NOHMISS Paul 21' Jump Shot45
24.1%
46
75.9%
Q3 - 11:08SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)45
26.0%
46
74.0%
Q3 - 11:08SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)45
26.6%
45
73.4%
Q3 - 11:15SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
28.6%
44
71.4%
Q3 - 11:16NOHMISS Okafor 2' Layup45
29.5%
44
70.5%
Q3 - 11:26NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
31.7%
44
68.3%
Q3 - 11:28SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Bank Shot45
30.8%
44
69.2%
Q3 - 11:40NOHWest 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Okafor 1 AST)45
28.6%
44
71.4%
Q3 - 12:00SASGinobili 3' Layup (14 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)43
26.1%
44
73.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS43
28.6%
42
71.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
28.6%
42
71.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS McDyess 13' Jump Shot43
30.8%
42
69.2%
Q2 - 0:09.0SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)43
28.9%
42
71.1%
Q2 - 0:28.0NOHPaul 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)43
31.6%
41
68.4%
Q2 - 0:36.0NOHHornets Rebound40
25.6%
41
74.4%
Q2 - 0:37.0SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Bank Shot40
25.0%
41
75.0%
Q2 - 0:51.0NOHPaul 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)40
23.7%
41
76.3%
Q2 - 1:01SASMcDyess 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)38
20.8%
41
79.2%
Q2 - 1:24NOHWest 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)38
23.6%
39
76.4%
Q2 - 1:31NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
20.8%
39
79.2%
Q2 - 1:33SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
20.3%
39
79.7%
Q2 - 1:48NOHWest 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)36
19.3%
39
80.7%
Q2 - 2:03NOHHornets Rebound34
17.1%
39
82.9%
Q2 - 2:03SASMISS Blair 8' Jump Shot34
16.5%
39
83.5%
Q2 - 2:17NOHPaul Foul Turnover (P3.T11)34
15.3%
39
84.7%
Q2 - 2:21SASParker 2' Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)34
17.1%
39
82.9%
Q2 - 2:27SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
18.9%
37
81.1%
Q2 - 2:29NOHMISS Paul 5' Fadeaway Jumper34
19.5%
37
80.5%
Q2 - 2:44NOHHornets Rebound34
21.0%
37
79.0%
Q2 - 2:44NOHMISS Okafor 8' Jump Shot34
19.5%
37
80.5%
Q2 - 2:54NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
21.0%
37
79.0%
Q2 - 2:55SASMISS Parker 3' Layup34
20.3%
37
79.7%
Q2 - 3:00SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
18.9%
37
81.1%
Q2 - 3:01NOHMISS Ariza 7' Jump Shot34
19.3%
37
80.7%
Q2 - 3:20SASDuncan Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)34
21.0%
37
79.0%
Q2 - 3:25SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)34
18.7%
37
81.3%
Q2 - 3:36NOHBlair STEAL (1 STL)34
20.6%
36
79.4%
Q2 - 3:53NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
23.1%
36
76.9%
Q2 - 3:54SASMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 134
22.8%
36
77.2%
Q2 - 3:58SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
25.0%
34
75.0%
Q2 - 3:59NOHMISS Paul 4' Jump Shot34
25.8%
34
74.2%
Q2 - 4:04NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)34
27.2%
34
72.8%
Q2 - 4:06SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot34
26.4%
34
73.6%
Q2 - 4:22NOHWest 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)34
24.7%
34
75.3%
Q2 - 4:32SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)32
22.7%
34
77.3%
Q2 - 4:48SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
20.5%
34
79.5%
Q2 - 4:49NOHMISS Belinelli 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
21.1%
34
78.9%
Q2 - 5:11NOHMensah-Bonsu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
22.6%
34
77.4%
Q2 - 5:13NOHMISS West 8' Jump Shot32
21.2%
34
78.8%
Q2 - 5:36SASGinobili 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)32
22.6%
34
77.4%
Q2 - 5:45SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
24.7%
32
75.3%
Q2 - 5:47NOHMISS West 18' Jump Shot32
25.4%
32
74.6%
Q2 - 6:04SASBlair Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)32
27.0%
32
73.0%
Q2 - 6:26NOHWest 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)32
24.5%
32
75.5%
Q2 - 6:47SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)30
22.7%
32
77.3%
Q2 - 6:47SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)30
23.0%
31
77.0%
Q2 - 6:53SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)30
24.5%
30
75.5%
Q2 - 6:54NOHMISS Thornton 22' Jump Shot30
25.2%
30
74.8%
Q2 - 7:10NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
26.5%
30
73.5%
Q2 - 7:12SASMISS Anderson 15' Fadeaway Jumper30
25.8%
30
74.2%
Q2 - 7:37NOHBelinelli 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)30
24.3%
30
75.7%
Q2 - 7:50NOHBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
20.6%
30
79.4%
Q2 - 7:51SASMISS Anderson 2' Layup27
20.0%
30
80.0%
Q2 - 8:11NOHThornton 14' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)27
18.7%
30
81.3%
Q2 - 8:30NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
17.2%
30
82.8%
Q2 - 8:31SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
16.7%
30
83.3%
Q2 - 8:43SASSPURS Rebound25
15.7%
30
84.3%
Q2 - 8:43SASMISS Blair 3' Layup25
16.7%
30
83.3%
Q2 - 9:01NOHThornton 2' Dunk (7 PTS)25
15.7%
30
84.3%
Q2 - 9:04SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)23
14.4%
30
85.6%
Q2 - 9:17NOHSmith 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST)23
13.1%
30
86.9%
Q2 - 9:30SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
12.0%
30
88.0%
Q2 - 9:30SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
12.2%
29
87.8%
Q2 - 9:48NOHGreen 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Thornton 1 AST)21
13.1%
28
86.9%
Q2 - 9:56NOHMensah-Bonsu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
12.0%
28
88.0%
Q2 - 9:58SASMISS Blair 12' Jump Bank Shot19
11.7%
28
88.3%
Q2 - 10:12SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
11.1%
28
88.9%
Q2 - 10:13NOHMISS Green 18' Jump Shot19
11.4%
28
88.6%
Q2 - 10:29SASGinobili 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)19
12.2%
28
87.8%
Q2 - 10:34NOHGinobili STEAL (2 STL)19
13.3%
26
86.7%
Q2 - 10:50SASAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)19
14.6%
26
85.4%
Q2 - 10:50SASAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)19
14.9%
25
85.1%
Q2 - 10:54SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)19
15.8%
24
84.2%
Q2 - 10:56NOHMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot19
16.3%
24
83.7%
Q2 - 11:06NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
17.4%
24
82.6%
Q2 - 11:09SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
17.0%
24
83.0%
Q2 - 11:31NOHThornton 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)19
16.0%
24
84.0%
Q2 - 11:44NOHMensah-Bonsu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
14.7%
24
85.3%
Q2 - 11:46SASMISS McDyess 13' Jump Shot17
14.3%
24
85.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH17
13.4%
24
86.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
14.7%
24
85.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASMISS McDyess 12' Fadeaway Jumper17
14.3%
24
85.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)17
13.7%
24
86.3%
Q1 - 0:02.0SASMISS Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
14.3%
24
85.7%
Q1 - 0:17.0SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
13.7%
24
86.3%
Q1 - 0:18.0SASMISS Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
14.3%
24
85.7%
Q1 - 0:23.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
13.7%
24
86.3%
Q1 - 0:25.0NOHMcDyess BLOCK (1 BLK)17
14.0%
24
86.0%
Q1 - 0:30.0NOHMISS Bayless Free Throw Technical17
14.6%
24
85.4%
Q1 - 0:40.0SASAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)17
14.6%
24
85.4%
Q1 - 0:56.0NOHBayless Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)17
17.5%
21
82.5%
Q1 - 1:11SASMcDyess 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)17
18.7%
21
81.3%
Q1 - 1:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
20.6%
19
79.4%
Q1 - 1:33NOHMISS Green 17' Jump Shot17
20.9%
19
79.1%
Q1 - 1:51NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
21.7%
19
78.3%
Q1 - 1:53SASMISS Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
21.4%
19
78.6%
Q1 - 2:14NOHThornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Green 1 AST)17
20.6%
19
79.4%
Q1 - 2:29SASParker 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)14
17.5%
19
82.5%
Q1 - 2:39SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
19.1%
17
80.9%
Q1 - 2:41NOHMISS Green 18' Jump Shot14
19.5%
17
80.5%
Q1 - 2:55NOHHornets Rebound14
20.4%
17
79.6%
Q1 - 2:56NOHAnderson BLOCK (1 BLK)14
19.5%
17
80.5%
Q1 - 3:04NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
20.4%
17
79.6%
Q1 - 3:06SASMISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot14
19.9%
17
80.1%
Q1 - 3:17SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
18.9%
17
81.1%
Q1 - 3:19SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot14
19.9%
17
80.1%
Q1 - 3:36NOHHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)14
18.9%
17
81.1%
Q1 - 4:01SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)14
20.1%
17
79.9%
Q1 - 4:26NOHAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
18.6%
17
81.4%
Q1 - 4:26NOHMISS Ariza Free Throw 1 of 213
18.2%
17
81.8%
Q1 - 4:30SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)13
18.7%
17
81.3%
Q1 - 4:39SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
17.3%
17
82.7%
Q1 - 4:42NOHMISS Thornton 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
17.7%
17
82.3%
Q1 - 4:50NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)13
18.7%
17
81.3%
Q1 - 4:51SASMISS McDyess 14' Jump Shot13
18.3%
17
81.7%
Q1 - 5:07NOHWest 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)13
17.4%
17
82.6%
Q1 - 5:12NOHHornets Rebound11
16.4%
17
83.6%
Q1 - 5:12NOHHill BLOCK (1 BLK)11
15.5%
17
84.5%
Q1 - 5:24SASParker Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T4)11
16.4%
17
83.6%
Q1 - 5:27NOHDuncan STEAL (1 STL)11
15.1%
17
84.9%
Q1 - 5:32SASParker 3' Layup (6 PTS)11
16.4%
17
83.6%
Q1 - 5:40NOHWest 6' Driving Bank Shot (4 PTS)11
17.4%
15
82.6%
Q1 - 5:53SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)9
16.3%
15
83.7%
Q1 - 6:09NOHWest Foul Turnover (P1.T5)9
15.1%
15
84.9%
Q1 - 6:20SASJefferson Foul Turnover (P1.T2)9
16.3%
15
83.7%
Q1 - 6:24NOHAriza Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)9
15.1%
15
84.9%
Q1 - 6:37SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)9
16.3%
15
83.7%
Q1 - 6:37SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)9
16.6%
14
83.4%
Q1 - 6:51NOHMbenga Foul Turnover (P1.T3)9
17.4%
13
82.6%
Q1 - 7:04SASDuncan 3' Layup (3 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)9
18.6%
13
81.4%
Q1 - 7:26NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
19.7%
11
80.3%
Q1 - 7:26NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
19.6%
11
80.4%
Q1 - 7:27NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
18.6%
11
81.4%
Q1 - 7:30SASMISS Duncan 6' Turnaround Jump Shot7
18.2%
11
81.8%
Q1 - 7:37SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)7
17.3%
11
82.7%
Q1 - 7:50SASSPURS Rebound7
18.5%
10
81.5%
Q1 - 7:50NOHBlair BLOCK (1 BLK)7
18.9%
10
81.1%
Q1 - 7:58SASBlair Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)7
19.8%
10
80.2%
Q1 - 8:10NOHPaul Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)7
18.4%
10
81.6%
Q1 - 8:15NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
19.6%
10
80.4%
Q1 - 8:17SASMISS Blair 3' Layup7
19.2%
10
80.8%
Q1 - 8:20SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
18.4%
10
81.6%
Q1 - 8:22NOHMISS West 9' Jump Shot7
18.8%
10
81.2%
Q1 - 8:36SASParker 7' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)7
19.6%
10
80.4%
Q1 - 8:53SASSPURS Rebound7
20.9%
8
79.1%
Q1 - 8:53NOHMISS Paul 16' Jump Shot7
21.3%
8
78.7%
Q1 - 9:02SASBlair 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)7
22.2%
8
77.8%
Q1 - 9:09SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
23.6%
6
76.4%
Q1 - 9:11SASMISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot7
24.6%
6
75.4%
Q1 - 9:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
23.6%
6
76.4%
Q1 - 9:30NOHMISS West 7' Jump Shot7
24.0%
6
76.0%
Q1 - 9:44SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)7
25.0%
6
75.0%
Q1 - 9:44SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 27
25.4%
5
74.6%
Q1 - 9:59NOHOkafor 3' Layup (2 PTS) (West 1 AST)7
25.0%
5
75.0%
Q1 - 10:09NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
23.5%
5
76.5%
Q1 - 10:10SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot5
23.1%
5
76.9%
Q1 - 10:27NOHAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)5
22.1%
5
77.9%
Q1 - 10:34NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
19.9%
5
80.1%
Q1 - 10:36SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
19.5%
5
80.5%
Q1 - 10:52NOHWest 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
18.6%
5
81.4%
Q1 - 11:13SASGinobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)0
17.6%
5
82.4%
Q1 - 11:19SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
19.7%
2
80.3%
Q1 - 11:21NOHMISS Belinelli 2' Finger Roll Layup0
20.0%
2
80.0%
Q1 - 11:39SASParker 3' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)0
20.7%
2
79.3%
Q1 - 11:45NOHGinobili STEAL (1 STL)0
21.9%
0
78.1%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Okafor: Tip to Ariza0
23.0%
0
77.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.11 55.6%
SAS
0.95 47.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOH
11
23
48%
SAS
16
27
59%
Midrange
NOH
21
44
48%
SAS
11
32
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOH
7
10.5
11
64%
95%
SAS
6
9.0
26
23%
35%
Free Throws
NOH
14
17
82%
SAS
18
21
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Paul2569%12.5 / 18
D. West1853%9.0 / 17
M. Thornton1761%8.5 / 14
W. Green1260%6.0 / 10
T. Ariza964%4.5 / 7
E. Okafor975%4.5 / 6
J. Smith660%3.0 / 5
M. Belinelli338%1.5 / 4
D. Mbenga0-0.0 / 1
J. Bayless0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili2357%11.5 / 20
R. Jefferson1875%9.0 / 12
T. Parker1359%6.5 / 11
G. Neal867%4.0 / 6
T. Duncan729%3.5 / 12
G. Hill638%3.0 / 8
A. McDyess638%3.0 / 8
J. Anderson550%2.5 / 5
D. Blair420%2.0 / 10
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOH
82
+7
-14
89
SAS
82
+13
-13
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.11 55.6%
SAS
0.95 47.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
111.5
NOH 103.1
SAS 94.7 +8.4
Pace
88.9
92.7
NOH 98.5 +2.0
SAS 96.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.7
NOH 14.6 +0.3
SAS 14.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.3%
52.7%
NOH 54.5% +12.1%
SAS 42.4%
TO %
13.6%
13.8%
NOH 15.8%
SAS 12.9% +2.9%
ORB %
25.1%
25.0%
NOH 9.1%
SAS 22.9% +13.8%
FTrt
29.6
29.9
NOH 21.8
SAS 24.7 +2.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.4%
58.3%
NOH 51.3%
SAS 72.7% +21.4%
STL %
8.5%
7.9%
NOH 7.3%
SAS 7.4% +0.1%
BLK %
7.6%
6.7%
NOH 8.5%
SAS 9.0% +0.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
55.3%
NOH 55.6% +8.2%
SAS 47.4%
Rim FG%
57.5%
60.3%
NOH 47.8%
SAS 59.3% +11.5%
Mid FG%
42.1%
41.6%
NOH 47.7% +13.3%
SAS 34.4%
3P %
36.0%
39.7%
NOH 63.6% +40.5%
SAS 23.1%
FT %
76.5%
76.7%
NOH 82.4%
SAS 85.7% +3.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.2%
34.3%
NOH 29.5%
SAS 31.8% +2.3%
Mid Att. %
48.6%
39.7%
NOH 56.4%
SAS 37.6% +18.8%
3P Att. %
19.2%
26.1%
NOH 14.1%
SAS 30.6% +16.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsNOHSAS
Possessions9695
Possession Minutes23.423.6
Points9990
Rebounds4041
Assists2024
Steals77
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)14 (2)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)3 (4)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (4)30 (2)
Field Goals39-7833-85
At-the-Rim FG11-2316-27
Midrange FG21-4411-32
2-Point FG32-6727-59
3-Point FG7-116-26
Free Throws14-1718-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'0" 175 · 25
31.1
25
69%
7
5
2
0
3
1
0
7
7-7
100%
6-13
46%
2-2
100%
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
31.1
9
64%
4
0
0
0
3
1
0
4
3-4
75%
0-2
0%
2-3
67%
F · 6'9" 250 · 30
25.7
18
53%
3
3
0
0
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
9-17
53%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
22.8
3
38%
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
C · 6'10" 255 · 28
18.6
9
75%
4
1
0
1
0
3
0
4
3-4
75%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 23
30.5
17
61%
7
3
2
0
1
1
0
7
0-0
-
7-11
64%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 205 · 29
23.4
12
60%
4
2
1
0
1
1
0
4
1-1
100%
4-9
44%
1-1
100%
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 25
20.8
6
60%
3
2
0
0
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 255 · 30
15.4
0
0%
2
0
1
3
2
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 22
11.3
0
0%
1
2
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 27
9.6
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 229 · 33
#20 · F · 6'7" 230 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#34 · C · 7'0" 270 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · F · 6'8" 230 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
56%
40
20
7
5
14
0
3
37
14-17
82%
32-67
48%
7-11
64%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.