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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
October 30, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Bobcats38%9488
17Bucks62%9898
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.3
42.7
39.8
11
47%
3
1
0
2
0
6
0
3
5-6
83%
3-8
5-11
38%
49%
0-1
0%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 32.6
42.4
28.5
23
67%
2
3
2
1
1
3
0
2
4-5
80%
5-8
4-9
63%
44%
3-7
43%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 23.0
39.5
36.8
26
91%
4
5
1
1
0
1
1
3
3-3
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
39%
5-6
83%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 28.5
24.6
32.4
5
51%
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
3-6
-
52%
1-4
25%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 33.1
22.4
14.9
3
31%
3
0
0
0
1
2
0
3
1-2
50%
1-4
3-5
25%
50%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.2
21.3
23.7
8
35%
7
0
2
1
2
4
2
5
2-3
67%
3-10
4-9
30%
45%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 25.1
15.6
12.6
4
67%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
47%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.9
14.2
14.4
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 23.1
12.7
14.6
6
104%
4
0
1
1
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
46%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 28.7
4.6
10.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Sherron Collins
G · 5'11" 205 · 23.6
4.9
0
0-1
38%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 30.2
2.4
0
0-1
41%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.0
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 28.6
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 28.2
41.7
31.3
23
64%
3
3
2
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
45%
5-11
45%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 21.1
40.2
35.2
20
94%
10
10
0
1
0
3
1
9
5-6
83%
3-5
4-10
60%
41%
3-3
100%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.9
35.3
30.4
14
50%
8
1
1
1
4
2
3
5
2-2
100%
6-13
6-11
46%
53%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 30.9
33.7
25.9
14
55%
3
4
2
1
0
3
1
2
4-4
100%
2-8
3-7
25%
48%
2-3
67%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 29.1
13.2
23.7
4
41%
1
0
0
1
1
2
1
0
2-2
100%
1-4
4-9
25%
48%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.1
34.8
15.9
9
67%
9
1
1
1
0
0
5
4
1-4
25%
4-5
2-4
80%
49%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 31.0
18.2
25.7
9
37%
3
0
1
1
0
4
2
1
5-5
100%
2-7
5-10
29%
51%
0-3
0%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 23.6
12.7
10.2
2
114%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.5
4.7
13.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 34.4
4.5
9.4
3
150%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
1-1
100%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.5
1.0
13.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 21.9
9.3
0
1-2
50%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 31.2
Darington Hobson
G · 6'7" 210 · 23.1
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.