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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
October 29, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Grizzlies21%9491
7Mavericks79%10590
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.2
43.9
31.8
21
51%
8
3
3
1
1
1
3
5
3-4
75%
9-16
5-11
56%
47%
0-3
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.1
37.4
33.7
8
31%
5
6
4
1
0
4
1
4
2-4
50%
3-10
5-10
30%
45%
0-1
0%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.0
36.9
32.8
20
53%
4
2
3
1
1
1
1
3
4-4
100%
2-8
4-8
25%
46%
4-9
44%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.7
33.0
32.6
10
59%
15
4
1
1
0
1
6
9
6-8
75%
2-5
4-8
40%
53%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.6
26.6
25.0
14
64%
5
1
1
1
1
1
2
3
2-2
100%
6-10
4-8
60%
44%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 28.8
13.7
11.3
10
74%
2
0
0
1
0
3
1
1
2-4
50%
4-5
1-3
80%
47%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 19.6
12.4
15.3
6
31%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
4-6
67%
1-6
2-3
17%
43%
0-1
0%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 23.7
11.8
18.2
1
57%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 25.8
10.6
10.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 25.4
10.5
21.9
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-7
0%
46%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 25.4
3.1
5.4
1
27%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.3
8.4
0
1-2
41%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.3
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 23.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 32.4
37.9
35.1
27
77%
7
2
0
1
0
2
1
6
4-6
67%
10-14
8-15
71%
50%
1-1
100%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.1
36.4
32.1
13
48%
3
5
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-1
0%
5-8
4-8
63%
50%
1-5
20%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 37.6
34.7
31.3
9
46%
6
10
2
2
0
5
2
4
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
2-7
29%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 30.6
34.2
31.5
18
49%
6
1
2
1
1
2
3
3
2-3
67%
8-17
5-11
47%
47%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 28.1
28.4
21.2
3
54%
9
0
0
0
3
2
0
9
3-4
75%
0-1
2-3
0%
59%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 32.5
24.1
25.4
12
47%
7
0
1
1
0
1
2
5
3-4
75%
3-10
4-9
30%
52%
1-1
100%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 30.9
19.6
21.5
0
0%
4
0
1
0
2
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
55%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.3
16.0
19.7
7
60%
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
2-5
100%
48%
1-4
25%
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.0
8.9
10.0
1
57%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 24.0
4.3
0
1-1
55%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 29.6
4.3
0
0-0
41%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 33.5
3.1
0
0-0
43%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.4
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.7
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 22.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.