FinalWin Prob.pScore
948%104
95
1252%105
101
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
103.392101.7
NOH
108.69384.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENNOH
Q4 - 0:00.0NOH95
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0DENBillups 1' Driving Layup (20 PTS)95
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0NOHStojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)93
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0NOHStojakovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)93
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T20)93
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)93
1.0%
99
99.0%
Q4 - 0:28.0NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)93
1.1%
98
98.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0DENHarrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)93
2.3%
97
97.7%
Q4 - 0:43.0NOHPaul Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)90
0.9%
97
99.1%
Q4 - 0:43.0NOHWest 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS)90
1.9%
96
98.1%
Q4 - 0:56.0NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
5.0%
94
95.0%
Q4 - 0:58.0DENOkafor BLOCK (4 BLK)90
6.4%
94
93.6%
Q4 - 1:15DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)90
12.5%
94
87.5%
Q4 - 1:16NOHMISS Paul 27' 3PT Jump Shot90
10.7%
94
89.3%
Q4 - 1:40DENBillups 2' Layup (18 PTS)90
9.2%
94
90.8%
Q4 - 1:44NOHAriza Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)88
6.2%
94
93.8%
Q4 - 2:05NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)88
3.7%
94
96.3%
Q4 - 2:06DENMISS Billups 13' Jump Shot88
4.5%
94
95.5%
Q4 - 2:21NOHWest 10' Turnaround Fadeaway (13 PTS) (Ariza 4 AST)88
7.0%
94
93.0%
Q4 - 2:47DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P3.T19)88
9.2%
92
90.8%
Q4 - 3:00DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)88
18.9%
92
81.1%
Q4 - 3:01NOHMISS Paul 13' Jump Shot88
16.3%
92
83.7%
Q4 - 3:17DENAnthony 19' Pullup Jump Shot (24 PTS)88
11.2%
92
88.8%
Q4 - 3:28NOHPaul Free Throw 3 of 3 (17 PTS)86
8.4%
92
91.6%
Q4 - 3:28NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 3 (16 PTS)86
8.9%
91
91.1%
Q4 - 3:28NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 3 (15 PTS)86
9.5%
90
90.5%
Q4 - 3:43NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)86
21.6%
89
78.4%
Q4 - 3:45NOHMISS Paul 2' Layup86
26.8%
89
73.2%
Q4 - 3:50NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)86
21.4%
89
78.6%
Q4 - 3:52DENOkafor BLOCK (3 BLK)86
23.6%
89
76.4%
Q4 - 4:03DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)86
29.0%
89
71.0%
Q4 - 4:04NOHMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
26.5%
89
73.5%
Q4 - 4:10NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)86
21.1%
89
78.9%
Q4 - 4:11NOHMISS West 15' Jump Shot86
26.4%
89
73.6%
Q4 - 4:34DENAfflalo 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Nene 3 AST)86
20.9%
89
79.1%
Q4 - 4:56NOHAriza 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)84
15.5%
89
84.5%
Q4 - 5:10NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)84
30.8%
86
69.2%
Q4 - 5:11DENMISS Anthony 16' Jump Shot84
33.2%
86
66.8%
Q4 - 5:28NOHWest 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)84
39.0%
86
61.0%
Q4 - 5:46DENBillups Foul Turnover (P3.T18)84
46.7%
84
53.3%
Q4 - 5:56DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
55.9%
84
44.1%
Q4 - 5:57NOHMISS Belinelli 3PT Jump Shot84
53.1%
84
46.9%
Q4 - 6:10DENShel. Williams Foul Turnover (P4.T17)84
47.2%
84
52.8%
Q4 - 6:22NOHPaul 12' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)84
55.4%
84
44.6%
Q4 - 6:30NOHHORNETS Rebound84
62.2%
82
37.8%
Q4 - 6:32DENMISS Smith 21' Step Back Jump Shot84
64.5%
82
35.5%
Q4 - 6:54NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)84
69.6%
82
30.4%
Q4 - 6:54NOHPaul 7' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)84
69.6%
82
30.4%
Q4 - 6:56NOHMISS Paul 2' Layup84
79.3%
80
20.7%
Q4 - 7:18DENHarrington 10' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)84
73.5%
80
26.5%
Q4 - 7:36NOHOkafor 2' Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)82
68.2%
80
31.8%
Q4 - 7:48DENGreen STEAL (1 STL)82
73.5%
78
26.5%
Q4 - 8:01NOHOkafor 3' Layup (11 PTS) (Belinelli 2 AST)82
76.9%
78
23.1%
Q4 - 8:24DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Afflalo 4 AST)82
81.4%
76
18.6%
Q4 - 8:40NOHPaul 17' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)79
72.2%
76
27.8%
Q4 - 8:51DENHarrington 2' Dunk (6 PTS) (Shel. Williams 1 AST)79
77.2%
74
22.8%
Q4 - 9:01NOHBayless Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)77
70.8%
74
29.2%
Q4 - 9:26DENShel. Williams 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)77
65.7%
74
34.3%
Q4 - 9:32NOHThornton Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)75
60.1%
74
39.9%
Q4 - 9:37NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
54.3%
74
45.7%
Q4 - 9:38DENMISS Harrington 3PT Jump Shot75
56.1%
74
43.9%
Q4 - 9:56DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)75
60.1%
74
39.9%
Q4 - 9:57NOHMISS Thornton 15' Jump Shot75
58.3%
74
41.7%
Q4 - 10:11DENShel. Williams Foul Turnover (P3.T15)75
53.7%
74
46.3%
Q4 - 10:11DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)75
59.4%
74
40.6%
Q4 - 10:11DENAriza BLOCK (1 BLK)75
55.5%
74
44.5%
Q4 - 10:27NOHBayless Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)75
59.4%
74
40.6%
Q4 - 10:30NOHBayless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
53.7%
74
46.3%
Q4 - 10:32DENMbenga BLOCK (1 BLK)75
55.5%
74
44.5%
Q4 - 10:41DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
59.4%
74
40.6%
Q4 - 10:42NOHMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot75
57.7%
74
42.3%
Q4 - 10:55DENAnthony 17' Pullup Jump Shot (22 PTS)75
53.8%
74
46.2%
Q4 - 11:10NOHSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)73
48.0%
74
52.0%
Q4 - 11:10NOHSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)73
49.4%
73
50.6%
Q4 - 11:28DENShel. Williams 2' Putback Dunk (6 PTS)73
53.4%
72
46.6%
Q4 - 11:31DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)71
48.0%
72
52.0%
Q4 - 11:33DENMISS Lawson 35' 3PT Jump Shot71
44.3%
72
55.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN71
48.0%
72
52.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)71
48.0%
72
52.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
44.6%
72
55.4%
Q3 - 0:18.0NOHThornton 1' Driving Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)71
47.8%
72
52.2%
Q3 - 0:34.0DENAnthony Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)71
53.4%
70
46.6%
Q3 - 0:51.0NOHAriza Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)71
58.0%
70
42.0%
Q3 - 1:10DENAnthony 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS)71
53.1%
70
46.9%
Q3 - 1:27NOHSmith 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Thornton 1 AST)69
47.7%
70
52.3%
Q3 - 1:44DENHarrington 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)69
53.1%
68
46.9%
Q3 - 2:06NOHSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)66
43.0%
68
57.0%
Q3 - 2:23NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
38.6%
68
61.4%
Q3 - 2:24NOHMISS Thornton 9' Running Jump Shot66
41.6%
68
58.4%
Q3 - 2:40DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)66
38.6%
68
61.4%
Q3 - 2:41DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)66
43.0%
68
57.0%
Q3 - 2:42DENWest BLOCK (2 BLK)66
39.9%
68
60.1%
Q3 - 2:43DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)66
43.0%
68
57.0%
Q3 - 2:44DENMISS Billups 15' Jump Shot66
39.9%
68
60.1%
Q3 - 3:05DENNuggets Rebound66
43.6%
68
56.4%
Q3 - 3:05NOHMISS Ariza 16' Jump Shot66
42.2%
68
57.8%
Q3 - 3:23DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)66
39.0%
68
61.0%
Q3 - 3:42NOHPaul 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS)63
31.0%
68
69.0%
Q3 - 3:53NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)63
34.8%
66
65.2%
Q3 - 3:54DENMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
36.1%
66
63.9%
Q3 - 4:14NOHAriza 2' Dunk (8 PTS)63
39.6%
66
60.4%
Q3 - 4:18DENAriza STEAL (4 STL)63
43.1%
64
56.9%
Q3 - 4:27DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)63
48.3%
64
51.7%
Q3 - 4:28NOHMISS Thornton 16' Jump Shot63
46.7%
64
53.3%
Q3 - 4:51DENAfflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)63
43.2%
64
56.8%
Q3 - 5:03DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)60
35.5%
64
64.5%
Q3 - 5:04NOHMISS West 4' Jump Bank Shot60
34.2%
64
65.8%
Q3 - 5:23DENShel. Williams 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)60
31.4%
64
68.6%
Q3 - 5:45DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
28.2%
64
71.8%
Q3 - 5:46NOHMISS West 15' Jump Shot58
27.1%
64
72.9%
Q3 - 6:01NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
25.5%
64
74.5%
Q3 - 6:02DENMISS Billups 21' Jump Shot58
26.6%
64
73.4%
Q3 - 6:07NOHWest Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)58
29.0%
64
71.0%
Q3 - 6:28DENAnthony 4' Driving Layup (18 PTS)58
25.5%
64
74.5%
Q3 - 6:41DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
22.8%
64
77.2%
Q3 - 6:42NOHMISS Okafor 4' Hook Shot56
21.8%
64
78.2%
Q3 - 7:03DENAnthony 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS)56
20.7%
64
79.3%
Q3 - 7:24DENNuggets Rebound54
18.3%
64
81.7%
Q3 - 7:25NOHMISS Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
17.6%
64
82.4%
Q3 - 7:33DENAriza STEAL (3 STL)54
16.0%
64
84.0%
Q3 - 7:52NOHOkafor 4' Layup (9 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)54
18.3%
64
81.7%
Q3 - 8:03DENAriza STEAL (2 STL)54
21.1%
62
78.9%
Q3 - 8:12DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)54
23.9%
62
76.1%
Q3 - 8:13NOHMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
23.0%
62
77.0%
Q3 - 8:45DENAnthony 18' Step Back Jump Shot (14 PTS)54
21.1%
62
78.9%
Q3 - 9:05NOHBelinelli 23' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ariza 3 AST)52
19.2%
62
80.8%
Q3 - 9:20DENAnthony 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)52
21.6%
60
78.4%
Q3 - 9:39DENNuggets Rebound50
19.2%
60
80.8%
Q3 - 9:39NOHMISS Okafor 1' Layup50
18.5%
60
81.5%
Q3 - 9:43NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
17.0%
60
83.0%
Q3 - 9:45DENWest BLOCK (1 BLK)50
17.6%
60
82.4%
Q3 - 9:51DENBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
19.2%
60
80.8%
Q3 - 9:52DENMISS Billups 20' Jump Shot50
17.6%
60
82.4%
Q3 - 9:57DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)50
19.2%
60
80.8%
Q3 - 9:58NOHMISS Belinelli 22' Jump Shot50
18.5%
60
81.5%
Q3 - 10:30NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
17.7%
60
82.3%
Q3 - 10:31DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
20.0%
60
80.0%
Q3 - 10:31DENMISS Shel. Williams 3' Tip Shot50
18.4%
60
81.6%
Q3 - 10:32DENMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot50
18.4%
60
81.6%
Q3 - 10:44DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
19.9%
60
80.1%
Q3 - 10:45NOHMISS Okafor Free Throw 2 of 250
19.6%
60
80.4%
Q3 - 10:45NOHOkafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)50
18.5%
60
81.5%
Q3 - 10:49NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
19.9%
59
80.1%
Q3 - 10:50DENMISS Shel. Williams 5' Jump Shot50
20.6%
59
79.4%
Q3 - 11:11DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
23.1%
59
76.9%
Q3 - 11:12NOHMISS Belinelli 4' Driving Layup50
22.3%
59
77.7%
Q3 - 11:18NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)50
20.6%
59
79.4%
Q3 - 11:20NOHMISS Ariza Free Throw 3 of 350
22.7%
59
77.3%
Q3 - 11:20NOHMISS Ariza Free Throw 2 of 350
21.4%
59
78.6%
Q3 - 11:20NOHMISS Ariza Free Throw 1 of 350
19.9%
59
80.1%
Q3 - 11:34NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
20.6%
59
79.4%
Q3 - 11:35DENOkafor BLOCK (2 BLK)50
21.3%
59
78.7%
Q3 - 11:45NOHWest Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)50
23.1%
59
76.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOH50
20.5%
59
79.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)50
21.9%
59
78.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0NOHMISS Belinelli 23' Jump Shot50
23.1%
59
76.9%
Q2 - 0:05.0DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)50
21.8%
59
78.2%
Q2 - 0:05.0DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)49
21.6%
59
78.4%
Q2 - 0:26.0NOHMensah-Bonsu 3' Putback Layup (2 PTS)48
19.1%
59
80.9%
Q2 - 0:27.0NOHMensah-Bonsu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
21.7%
57
78.3%
Q2 - 0:28.0NOHMISS Paul 4' Running Jump Shot48
23.0%
57
77.0%
Q2 - 0:35.0NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
21.7%
57
78.3%
Q2 - 0:35.0DENMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
22.3%
57
77.7%
Q2 - 0:53.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
23.6%
57
76.4%
Q2 - 0:55.0NOHMISS Belinelli 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
23.0%
57
77.0%
Q2 - 1:11DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)48
22.3%
57
77.7%
Q2 - 1:11DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)47
22.1%
57
77.9%
Q2 - 1:20NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)46
19.6%
57
80.4%
Q2 - 1:20NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)46
19.9%
56
80.1%
Q2 - 1:20DENBillups Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)46
22.3%
55
77.7%
Q2 - 1:30DENNene 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)45
20.1%
55
79.9%
Q2 - 1:56NOHOkafor 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS)43
17.6%
55
82.4%
Q2 - 2:17DENAnthony 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Afflalo 3 AST)43
20.3%
53
79.7%
Q2 - 2:24DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
18.3%
53
81.7%
Q2 - 2:25NOHMISS Paul 8' Jump Shot41
17.8%
53
82.2%
Q2 - 2:46DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)41
16.5%
53
83.5%
Q2 - 2:46DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)40
16.0%
53
84.0%
Q2 - 2:46DENNuggets Rebound39
14.8%
53
85.2%
Q2 - 2:46NOHMISS Thornton 6' Jump Shot39
14.3%
53
85.7%
Q2 - 2:50NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
13.2%
53
86.8%
Q2 - 2:51NOHMISS Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
14.3%
53
85.7%
Q2 - 3:19DENSmith 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)39
13.7%
53
86.3%
Q2 - 3:34NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)37
12.6%
53
87.4%
Q2 - 3:34NOHMISS West Free Throw 1 of 237
12.7%
52
87.3%
Q2 - 3:34NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
12.3%
52
87.7%
Q2 - 3:35DENMISS Anthony 6' Jump Shot37
12.8%
52
87.2%
Q2 - 3:52NOHPaul 4' Layup (4 PTS) (West 1 AST)37
14.0%
52
86.0%
Q2 - 3:57NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
15.2%
50
84.8%
Q2 - 3:58DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
15.8%
50
84.2%
Q2 - 4:19NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
17.6%
50
82.4%
Q2 - 4:19NOHWest 1' Putback Layup (8 PTS)37
17.6%
50
82.4%
Q2 - 4:20NOHMISS Thornton 2' Layup37
20.7%
48
79.3%
Q2 - 4:23DENThornton STEAL (1 STL)37
19.3%
48
80.7%
Q2 - 4:42NOHWest Backcourt Turnover (P1.T7)37
21.4%
48
78.6%
Q2 - 5:09DENAfflalo 3' Layup (5 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)37
20.0%
48
80.0%
Q2 - 5:14NOHStojakovic Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)35
18.2%
48
81.8%
Q2 - 5:28NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
16.5%
48
83.5%
Q2 - 5:30DENMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot35
17.0%
48
83.0%
Q2 - 5:43DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
18.1%
48
81.9%
Q2 - 5:44NOHMISS West 17' Jump Shot35
17.6%
48
82.4%
Q2 - 6:03DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)35
17.0%
48
83.0%
Q2 - 6:03DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 234
16.7%
48
83.3%
Q2 - 6:18NOHThornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)34
17.3%
48
82.7%
Q2 - 6:26DENPaul STEAL (1 STL)34
20.5%
45
79.5%
Q2 - 6:38DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
22.7%
45
77.3%
Q2 - 6:39NOHMISS Stojakovic 19' Jump Shot34
22.0%
45
78.0%
Q2 - 7:03NOHMbenga REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
21.2%
45
78.8%
Q2 - 7:04DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 2 of 234
21.4%
45
78.6%
Q2 - 7:04DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 234
22.7%
45
77.3%
Q2 - 7:10NOHThornton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stojakovic 2 AST)34
23.2%
45
76.8%
Q2 - 7:15NOHBayless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
27.2%
42
72.8%
Q2 - 7:17NOHMISS Bayless 7' Jump Shot34
28.9%
42
71.1%
Q2 - 7:28DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)34
27.2%
42
72.8%
Q2 - 7:28DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
26.7%
42
73.3%
Q2 - 7:31DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
25.2%
42
74.8%
Q2 - 7:32DENMISS Smith 7' Jump Shot32
23.7%
42
76.3%
Q2 - 7:47NOHBayless 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)32
25.2%
42
74.8%
Q2 - 8:03NOHGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
30.1%
39
69.9%
Q2 - 8:04DENMISS Afflalo 9' Jump Shot32
30.8%
39
69.2%
Q2 - 8:10NOHStojakovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)32
32.5%
39
67.5%
Q2 - 8:13DENSmith 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
30.1%
39
69.9%
Q2 - 8:29NOHStojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bayless 3 AST)30
27.9%
39
72.1%
Q2 - 8:43NOHBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
32.4%
36
67.6%
Q2 - 8:44DENMISS Ely 3' Layup30
33.1%
36
66.9%
Q2 - 8:44DENEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
34.8%
36
65.2%
Q2 - 8:45DENMISS Lawson 4' Jump Shot30
33.1%
36
66.9%
Q2 - 8:55NOHGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)30
34.8%
36
65.2%
Q2 - 8:55NOHGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)30
35.3%
35
64.7%
Q2 - 9:05NOHHORNETS Rebound30
37.4%
34
62.6%
Q2 - 9:05DENMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
38.2%
34
61.8%
Q2 - 9:13NOHSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T4)30
40.0%
34
60.0%
Q2 - 9:25DENLawson 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)30
37.4%
34
62.6%
Q2 - 9:45NOHThornton 4' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Bayless 2 AST)28
35.1%
34
64.9%
Q2 - 9:58DENHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)28
37.4%
32
62.6%
Q2 - 9:58DENMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 227
36.9%
32
63.1%
Q2 - 10:08DENLawson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)27
37.6%
32
62.4%
Q2 - 10:09DENMISS Smith 8' Jump Shot27
35.8%
32
64.2%
Q2 - 10:16NOHMensah-Bonsu Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T3)27
37.6%
32
62.4%
Q2 - 10:28DENLawson Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)27
35.0%
32
65.0%
Q2 - 10:36NOHBayless Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)27
37.6%
32
62.4%
Q2 - 10:39DENStojakovic STEAL (2 STL)27
42.3%
29
57.7%
Q2 - 10:55NOHSmith 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST)27
45.1%
29
54.9%
Q2 - 11:17DENLawson 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)27
47.3%
27
52.7%
Q2 - 11:43DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
45.0%
27
55.0%
Q2 - 11:44NOHMISS Bayless 3PT Jump Shot25
44.2%
27
55.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN25
42.3%
27
57.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound25
45.0%
27
55.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Lawson 7' Tip Shot25
43.1%
27
56.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
45.0%
27
55.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENMISS Anthony 21' Jump Shot25
43.2%
27
56.8%
Q1 - 0:15.0NOHBayless Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)25
44.6%
27
55.4%
Q1 - 0:30.0DENHarrington 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T5)25
42.6%
27
57.4%
Q1 - 0:45.0NOHGreen 4' Driving Slam Dunk (4 PTS)25
44.6%
27
55.4%
Q1 - 1:05DENAnthony 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)25
47.7%
25
52.3%
Q1 - 1:24NOHBayless Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)23
44.7%
25
55.3%
Q1 - 1:29DENWest STEAL (1 STL)23
43.0%
25
57.0%
Q1 - 1:43DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
44.7%
25
55.3%
Q1 - 1:44NOHMISS Stojakovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
44.1%
25
55.9%
Q1 - 1:58DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)23
42.9%
25
57.1%
Q1 - 1:58DENMISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 222
42.7%
25
57.3%
Q1 - 2:10NOHStojakovic 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mensah-Bonsu 1 AST)22
42.8%
25
57.2%
Q1 - 2:34DENStojakovic STEAL (1 STL)22
45.3%
23
54.7%
Q1 - 2:45NOHGreen 14' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
47.3%
23
52.7%
Q1 - 3:05DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)22
49.8%
21
50.2%
Q1 - 3:05DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)21
49.6%
21
50.4%
Q1 - 3:11DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
47.6%
21
52.4%
Q1 - 3:12NOHMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
46.9%
21
53.1%
Q1 - 3:23NOHMensah-Bonsu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
45.2%
21
54.8%
Q1 - 3:24DENMISS Harrington 17' Jump Shot20
45.9%
21
54.1%
Q1 - 3:48NOHOkafor 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)20
47.6%
21
52.4%
Q1 - 3:59NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
49.8%
19
50.2%
Q1 - 4:00NOHMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
51.4%
19
48.6%
Q1 - 4:12NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
49.5%
19
50.5%
Q1 - 4:13DENMISS Anthony 16' Jump Shot20
50.2%
19
49.8%
Q1 - 4:28NOHAriza 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Green 1 AST)20
51.9%
19
48.1%
Q1 - 4:39DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)20
53.9%
17
46.1%
Q1 - 4:39DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)19
53.6%
17
46.4%
Q1 - 4:46DENBillups Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)18
51.9%
17
48.1%
Q1 - 5:07NOHOkafor 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
49.5%
17
50.5%
Q1 - 5:19DENAriza STEAL (1 STL)17
51.4%
15
48.6%
Q1 - 5:29DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
53.8%
15
46.2%
Q1 - 5:31NOHMISS West 6' Jump Bank Shot17
53.0%
15
47.0%
Q1 - 5:53NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
51.4%
15
48.6%
Q1 - 5:56DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
52.1%
15
47.9%
Q1 - 6:03DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
53.4%
15
46.6%
Q1 - 6:04NOHMISS Belinelli 19' Jump Shot17
52.8%
15
47.2%
Q1 - 6:23DENBillups 4' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)17
51.3%
15
48.7%
Q1 - 6:41NOHBelinelli 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)15
49.3%
15
50.7%
Q1 - 6:46NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
53.4%
12
46.6%
Q1 - 6:48DENOkafor BLOCK (1 BLK)15
54.0%
12
46.0%
Q1 - 6:55NOHAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
55.6%
12
44.4%
Q1 - 6:55NOHAriza Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
56.2%
11
43.8%
Q1 - 7:10DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
57.1%
10
42.9%
Q1 - 7:10DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 214
56.8%
10
43.2%
Q1 - 7:25NOHWest 3' Layup (6 PTS)14
57.3%
10
42.7%
Q1 - 7:45DENNene 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)14
59.1%
8
40.9%
Q1 - 8:04NOHPaul 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
57.1%
8
42.9%
Q1 - 8:18DENNene 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)12
59.1%
6
40.9%
Q1 - 8:37NOHWest 14' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)10
57.1%
6
42.9%
Q1 - 8:44DENBelinelli STEAL (1 STL)10
59.1%
4
40.9%
Q1 - 8:46DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
61.0%
4
39.0%
Q1 - 8:47NOHMISS Okafor 2' Layup10
60.4%
4
39.6%
Q1 - 9:11DENBillups 4' Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
58.9%
4
41.1%
Q1 - 9:34NOHWest 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)8
57.0%
4
43.0%
Q1 - 9:54NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
58.9%
2
41.1%
Q1 - 9:55DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
59.5%
2
40.5%
Q1 - 10:14NOHAriza 2' Driving Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)8
60.1%
2
39.9%
Q1 - 10:32DENAfflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)8
61.6%
0
38.4%
Q1 - 10:40DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
58.4%
0
41.6%
Q1 - 10:41NOHMISS Okafor 6' Jump Shot5
57.8%
0
42.2%
Q1 - 11:00DENAnthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)5
56.4%
0
43.6%
Q1 - 11:18DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
52.3%
0
47.7%
Q1 - 11:19NOHMISS West 10' Jump Shot2
51.9%
0
48.1%
Q1 - 11:40DENShel. Williams 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)2
50.8%
0
49.2%
Q1 - 12:00NOHJump Ball Okafor vs. Nene: Tip to Billups0
49.1%
0
50.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.10 55.2%
NOH
1.13 56.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
15
27
56%
NOH
17
26
65%
Midrange
DEN
14
30
47%
NOH
15
34
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
6
9.0
15
40%
60%
NOH
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
Free Throws
DEN
19
25
76%
NOH
19
24
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony2463%12.0 / 19
C. Billups2056%10.0 / 18
J. Smith1255%6.0 / 11
A. Harrington1155%5.5 / 10
A. Afflalo1083%5.0 / 6
S. Williams857%4.0 / 7
Nene660%3.0 / 5
T. Lawson433%2.0 / 6
M. Ely0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Paul1856%9.0 / 16
D. West1757%8.5 / 15
E. Okafor1359%6.5 / 11
T. Ariza1155%5.5 / 10
M. Thornton1056%5.0 / 9
P. Stojakovic758%3.5 / 6
J. Bayless675%3.0 / 4
W. Green6100%3.0 / 3
J. Smith675%3.0 / 4
M. Belinelli531%2.5 / 8
P. Mensah-Bonsu2100%0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
73
+12
-19
85
NOH
78
+11
-15
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.10 55.2%
NOH
1.13 56.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.7
106.0
DEN 103.3
NOH 108.6 +5.3
Pace
95.2
88.9
DEN 101.7 +16.8
NOH 84.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.3
16.2
DEN 14.2 +2.8
NOH 17.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.6%
49.3%
DEN 52.8%
NOH 53.2% +0.4%
TO %
14.5%
13.6%
DEN 19.4%
NOH 14.6% +4.8%
ORB %
23.8%
25.1%
DEN 31.4% +1.7%
NOH 29.7%
FTrt
36.7
29.6
DEN 34.7 +3.5
NOH 31.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
57.4%
DEN 54.3%
NOH 60.5% +6.2%
STL %
7.7%
8.5%
DEN 9.8%
NOH 11.8% +2.0%
BLK %
6.8%
7.6%
DEN 3.3%
NOH 14.0% +10.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.3%
52.0%
DEN 55.2%
NOH 56.7% +1.5%
Rim FG%
58.5%
57.5%
DEN 55.6%
NOH 65.4% +9.8%
Mid FG%
40.0%
42.1%
DEN 46.7% +2.6%
NOH 44.1%
3P %
38.8%
36.0%
DEN 40.0% +4.7%
NOH 35.3%
FT %
76.6%
76.5%
DEN 76.0%
NOH 79.2% +3.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
42.5%
32.2%
DEN 37.5% +3.7%
NOH 33.8%
Mid Att. %
31.8%
48.6%
DEN 41.7% +2.5%
NOH 44.2%
3P Att. %
25.8%
19.2%
DEN 20.8%
NOH 22.1% +1.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsDENNOH
Possessions9293
Possession Minutes21.726.3
Points95101
Rebounds3735
Assists1923
Steals911
Blocks28
Turnovers (Team)19 (1)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (1)11 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (5)24 (2)
Field Goals35-7238-77
At-the-Rim FG15-2717-26
Midrange FG14-3015-34
2-Point FG29-5732-60
3-Point FG6-156-17
Free Throws19-2519-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 240 · 26
39.6
24
63%
10
2
1
0
3
3
2
8
3-4
75%
9-15
60%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 250 · 28
36.8
6
60%
4
3
1
1
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
35.7
10
83%
0
4
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
2-3
67%
G · 6'3" 210 · 34
35.1
20
56%
2
5
3
0
4
3
1
1
10-11
91%
5-12
42%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 27
23.6
8
57%
13
1
0
0
4
3
4
9
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 31
25.2
11
55%
1
1
1
0
2
5
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
2-6
33%
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25
21.4
12
55%
3
2
1
0
3
2
1
2
5-6
83%
2-7
29%
1-1
100%
G · 5'11" 195 · 23
17.1
4
33%
3
1
2
0
2
0
2
1
0-2
0%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 32
5.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 220 · 26
F · 6'8" 225 · 26
G · 6'1" 190 · 35
#11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · F · 6'9" 225 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
55%
37
19
9
2
19
0
11
26
19-25
76%
29-57
51%
6-15
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.