FinalWin Prob.pScore
331%95
70
169%102
96
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
78.78989.0
MIA logo MIA
110.38787.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA70
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0ORLIlgauskas BLOCK (1 BLK)70
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAHouse 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)70
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 1:00MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)70
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 1:01ORLMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 1:18MIAIlgauskas 3' Tip Shot (8 PTS)70
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:19MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:5 Def:0)70
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20MIAMISS Ilgauskas 2' Tip Shot70
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)70
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22MIAMISS Ilgauskas 3' Layup70
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)70
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24MIAMISS Bosh 13' Fadeaway Jumper70
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)70
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)70
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 2:22ORLAnderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)70
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37MIAHouse 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)67
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:01ORLAnderson 3' Driving Layup (9 PTS)67
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 3:21ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)65
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 3:22MIAMISS House 2' Driving Layup65
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 3:40ORLLewis Foul Turnover (P3.T16)65
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 3:54ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)65
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 3:55MIAMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot65
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 4:17MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)65
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 4:18ORLMISS Duhon Free Throw 2 of 265
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 4:18ORLDuhon Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)65
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 4:35MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)64
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 4:47MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 4:48ORLMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 4:59ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 5:01MIAMISS Ilgauskas 17' Jump Shot64
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 5:19ORLAnderson 1' Tip Shot (7 PTS)64
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 5:21ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)62
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 5:23ORLMISS Lewis 11' Jump Shot62
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 5:41MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)62
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 5:41MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)62
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 5:48MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)62
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 5:49ORLMISS Anderson 22' Jump Shot62
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 6:00ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)62
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 6:01MIAMISS James 23' Jump Shot62
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 6:17ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)62
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 6:17ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)61
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 6:45MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS)60
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 6:59MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)60
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 7:00ORLMISS Howard 14' Jump Shot60
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 7:18ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)60
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 7:19MIAMISS Bosh 13' Turnaround Jump Shot60
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 7:34ORLAnderson 3' Layup (5 PTS)60
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 7:36ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)58
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 7:37ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 7:44MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)58
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 7:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)58
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 8:00ORLMISS Howard 2' Driving Layup58
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 8:12ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 8:13MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 8:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)58
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 8:23ORLMISS Lewis 19' Jump Shot58
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 8:39MIAHaslem 12' Jump Shot (11 PTS)58
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 9:08ORLAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duhon 1 AST)58
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 9:17ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 9:18MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 9:30MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)55
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 9:31MIAMISS Wade 9' Floating Jump Shot55
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 9:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)55
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 9:55ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 255
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 9:55ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 255
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 10:09MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)55
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 10:30ORLPietrus Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)55
0.2%
79
99.8%
Q4 - 10:35ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q4 - 10:36MIAMISS Haslem 4' Jump Shot55
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q4 - 11:04ORLPietrus Traveling Turnover (P2.T14)55
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q4 - 11:12ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q4 - 11:13MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot55
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q4 - 11:35MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)55
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q4 - 11:36ORLMISS Duhon 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL55
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound55
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Pietrus 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q3 - 0:06.0ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q3 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Fadeaway Jumper55
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q3 - 0:31.0ORLHouse STEAL (3 STL)55
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAWade 2' Layup (26 PTS) (House 1 AST)55
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q3 - 0:48.0ORLHouse STEAL (2 STL)55
0.6%
77
99.4%
Q3 - 1:03ORLDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q3 - 1:04MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot55
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q3 - 1:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q3 - 1:23ORLMISS Redick 14' Jump Shot55
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q3 - 1:39MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)55
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q3 - 1:39MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)55
0.8%
76
99.2%
Q3 - 1:39MIAHEAT Rebound55
1.0%
75
99.0%
Q3 - 1:40MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot55
1.1%
75
98.9%
Q3 - 1:51MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
1.0%
75
99.0%
Q3 - 1:52ORLMISS Pietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
1.0%
75
99.0%
Q3 - 2:07MIAWade 2' Dunk (24 PTS)55
1.4%
75
98.6%
Q3 - 2:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
1.6%
73
98.4%
Q3 - 2:09MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
1.9%
73
98.1%
Q3 - 2:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)55
1.6%
73
98.4%
Q3 - 2:15MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot55
1.9%
73
98.1%
Q3 - 2:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)55
1.6%
73
98.4%
Q3 - 2:32MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
1.8%
73
98.2%
Q3 - 2:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)55
1.6%
73
98.4%
Q3 - 2:46ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
1.7%
73
98.3%
Q3 - 3:00MIAHaslem 4' Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)55
1.9%
73
98.1%
Q3 - 3:08MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
2.6%
71
97.4%
Q3 - 3:09ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
2.8%
71
97.2%
Q3 - 3:20MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P1.T10)55
3.1%
71
96.9%
Q3 - 3:30ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)55
2.6%
71
97.4%
Q3 - 3:30ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 1 of 254
2.5%
71
97.5%
Q3 - 3:30ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
2.6%
71
97.4%
Q3 - 3:31ORLMISS Bass 3' Layup54
2.3%
71
97.7%
Q3 - 3:33ORLBass REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)54
2.6%
71
97.4%
Q3 - 3:34ORLMISS Nelson 15' Fadeaway Jumper54
2.3%
71
97.7%
Q3 - 3:58MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P2.T9)54
2.6%
71
97.4%
Q3 - 4:08ORLPietrus 20' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)54
2.3%
71
97.7%
Q3 - 4:24ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
2.0%
71
98.0%
Q3 - 4:25MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot52
1.9%
71
98.1%
Q3 - 4:39ORLRichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)52
1.6%
71
98.4%
Q3 - 4:39ORLRichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)51
1.6%
71
98.4%
Q3 - 4:39ORLRedick Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)50
1.4%
71
98.6%
Q3 - 4:46ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
1.2%
71
98.8%
Q3 - 4:47MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
1.1%
71
98.9%
Q3 - 5:01ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)49
1.1%
71
98.9%
Q3 - 5:15MIAArroyo 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)49
1.4%
71
98.6%
Q3 - 5:25MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
1.6%
69
98.4%
Q3 - 5:26ORLMISS Bass 19' Jump Shot49
1.7%
69
98.3%
Q3 - 5:48ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
1.9%
69
98.1%
Q3 - 5:49MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot49
1.8%
69
98.2%
Q3 - 5:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
1.6%
69
98.4%
Q3 - 5:57ORLMISS Bass 19' Jump Shot49
1.6%
69
98.4%
Q3 - 6:12MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 7 AST)49
2.1%
69
97.9%
Q3 - 6:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
2.4%
67
97.6%
Q3 - 6:30ORLMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
2.6%
67
97.4%
Q3 - 6:33ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)49
2.9%
67
97.1%
Q3 - 6:34ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
2.6%
67
97.4%
Q3 - 6:54MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)49
2.9%
67
97.1%
Q3 - 6:54MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)49
3.0%
66
97.0%
Q3 - 7:09ORLBass Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T10)49
3.6%
65
96.4%
Q3 - 7:13ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
4.3%
65
95.7%
Q3 - 7:14ORLMISS Nelson 12' Fadeaway Jumper49
3.8%
65
96.2%
Q3 - 7:20ORLMagic Rebound49
4.2%
65
95.8%
Q3 - 7:21ORLWade BLOCK (2 BLK)49
3.8%
65
96.2%
Q3 - 7:29ORLMagic Rebound49
4.2%
65
95.8%
Q3 - 7:30ORLMISS Bass 6' Jump Shot49
3.8%
65
96.2%
Q3 - 7:39ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
4.2%
65
95.8%
Q3 - 7:40MIAMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot49
4.0%
65
96.0%
Q3 - 7:57ORLBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)49
3.6%
65
96.4%
Q3 - 7:57ORLBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)48
3.5%
65
96.5%
Q3 - 7:57ORLBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
3.1%
65
96.9%
Q3 - 7:58ORLMISS Redick 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
2.8%
65
97.2%
Q3 - 8:07ORLBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
3.3%
65
96.7%
Q3 - 8:08MIAMISS Wade 17' Fadeaway Jumper47
3.2%
65
96.8%
Q3 - 8:31ORLNelson 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS)47
2.8%
65
97.2%
Q3 - 8:55MIAJames 9' Jump Shot (13 PTS)45
2.5%
65
97.5%
Q3 - 9:09ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T9)45
3.0%
63
97.0%
Q3 - 9:17MIAJames 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS)45
3.5%
63
96.5%
Q3 - 9:23MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
4.0%
61
96.0%
Q3 - 9:24ORLMISS Nelson 4' Jump Shot45
4.2%
61
95.8%
Q3 - 9:45MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)45
4.6%
61
95.4%
Q3 - 9:45MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 245
4.7%
60
95.3%
Q3 - 9:55ORLBosh STEAL (1 STL)45
4.6%
60
95.4%
Q3 - 10:07MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)45
5.6%
60
94.4%
Q3 - 10:18MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)45
7.2%
57
92.8%
Q3 - 10:19ORLMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
7.5%
57
92.5%
Q3 - 10:58MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)45
8.2%
57
91.8%
Q3 - 11:05MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)45
10.9%
54
89.1%
Q3 - 11:06MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot45
12.0%
54
88.0%
Q3 - 11:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
10.9%
54
89.1%
Q3 - 11:18ORLBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)45
11.4%
54
88.6%
Q3 - 11:36MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)45
12.4%
54
87.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL45
15.6%
51
84.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound45
17.7%
51
82.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLMISS Richardson 12' Floating Jump Shot45
16.8%
51
83.2%
Q2 - 0:17.0MIAHaslem 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)45
17.8%
51
82.2%
Q2 - 0:32.0ORLGortat Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T7)45
16.3%
51
83.7%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)45
17.8%
51
82.2%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 245
18.2%
50
81.8%
Q2 - 0:55.0ORLHoward 14' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)45
18.2%
50
81.8%
Q2 - 1:15MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)43
16.0%
50
84.0%
Q2 - 1:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
20.4%
47
79.6%
Q2 - 1:31ORLMISS Pietrus Free Throw 2 of 243
20.6%
47
79.4%
Q2 - 1:31ORLMISS Pietrus Free Throw 1 of 243
21.9%
47
78.1%
Q2 - 1:35MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T7)43
22.0%
47
78.0%
Q2 - 1:46MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)43
20.4%
47
79.6%
Q2 - 1:47MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot43
21.5%
47
78.5%
Q2 - 2:06ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)43
20.1%
47
79.9%
Q2 - 2:06ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)42
19.8%
47
80.2%
Q2 - 2:12ORLMagic Rebound41
18.2%
47
81.8%
Q2 - 2:13ORLMISS Nelson 14' Jump Bank Shot41
16.9%
47
83.1%
Q2 - 2:24MIAIlgauskas 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 5 AST)41
18.2%
47
81.8%
Q2 - 2:42ORLHoward 12' Hook Shot (17 PTS)41
20.1%
45
79.9%
Q2 - 3:03MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)39
18.4%
45
81.6%
Q2 - 3:03MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 239
18.8%
44
81.2%
Q2 - 3:06MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
18.1%
44
81.9%
Q2 - 3:07ORLMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
18.7%
44
81.3%
Q2 - 3:30MIAJames Foul Turnover (P2.T6)39
20.3%
44
79.7%
Q2 - 3:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
18.1%
44
81.9%
Q2 - 3:35ORLMISS Howard 9' Hook Shot39
18.7%
44
81.3%
Q2 - 3:53MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)39
20.3%
44
79.7%
Q2 - 3:53MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)39
20.7%
43
79.3%
Q2 - 4:05MIAHEAT Rebound39
22.0%
42
78.0%
Q2 - 4:06ORLMISS Nelson 28' 3PT Jump Shot39
22.7%
42
77.3%
Q2 - 4:28MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T5)39
24.3%
42
75.7%
Q2 - 4:39ORLHoward 15' Jump Bank Shot (15 PTS)39
22.0%
42
78.0%
Q2 - 4:55MIAWade 6' Running Hook Shot (11 PTS)37
20.2%
42
79.8%
Q2 - 5:12ORLRedick 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS)37
22.2%
40
77.8%
Q2 - 5:21ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
20.2%
40
79.8%
Q2 - 5:22MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Layup35
19.6%
40
80.4%
Q2 - 5:28MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
18.4%
40
81.6%
Q2 - 5:29ORLMISS Nelson 21' Jump Shot35
18.9%
40
81.1%
Q2 - 5:53MIAArroyo 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)35
20.2%
40
79.8%
Q2 - 6:03MIAHEAT Rebound35
22.2%
38
77.8%
Q2 - 6:03MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup35
23.8%
38
76.2%
Q2 - 6:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
22.2%
38
77.8%
Q2 - 6:05MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
23.8%
38
76.2%
Q2 - 6:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
22.2%
38
77.8%
Q2 - 6:12ORLJones BLOCK (1 BLK)35
22.9%
38
77.1%
Q2 - 6:27MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)35
24.6%
38
75.4%
Q2 - 6:47ORLCarter 14' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)35
28.7%
35
71.3%
Q2 - 7:01MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)33
26.4%
35
73.6%
Q2 - 7:04ORLJones STEAL (1 STL)33
30.8%
32
69.2%
Q2 - 7:26MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)33
33.4%
32
66.6%
Q2 - 7:44ORLArroyo STEAL (1 STL)33
35.8%
30
64.2%
Q2 - 8:01ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
37.9%
30
62.1%
Q2 - 8:02MIAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot33
37.1%
30
62.9%
Q2 - 8:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
35.4%
30
64.6%
Q2 - 8:22ORLWade BLOCK (1 BLK)33
36.1%
30
63.9%
Q2 - 8:31ORLCarter Free Throw Technical (2 PTS)33
38.0%
30
62.0%
Q2 - 8:45MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)32
35.5%
30
64.5%
Q2 - 9:06ORLMagic Turnover: Backcourt (T#4)32
32.6%
30
67.4%
Q2 - 9:17ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
35.0%
30
65.0%
Q2 - 9:18MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot32
34.3%
30
65.7%
Q2 - 9:41ORLBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)32
32.6%
30
67.4%
Q2 - 9:41ORLMISS Bass Free Throw 1 of 231
32.3%
30
67.7%
Q2 - 9:41ORLBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
32.7%
30
67.3%
Q2 - 9:42ORLMISS Pietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
31.0%
30
69.0%
Q2 - 9:51ORLDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
32.7%
30
67.3%
Q2 - 9:52MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot31
32.0%
30
68.0%
Q2 - 10:06ORLBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)31
30.2%
30
69.8%
Q2 - 10:06ORLBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)30
29.9%
30
70.1%
Q2 - 10:22MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 4 AST)29
28.3%
30
71.7%
Q2 - 10:32ORLMagic Turnover: Backcourt (T#3)29
32.4%
27
67.6%
Q2 - 10:50MIAMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)29
34.9%
27
65.1%
Q2 - 10:50MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 229
35.9%
26
64.1%
Q2 - 11:06ORLPietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)29
34.6%
26
65.4%
Q2 - 11:22ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
30.3%
26
69.7%
Q2 - 11:23MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot26
29.6%
26
70.4%
Q2 - 11:28MIAHouse Free Throw Technical (2 PTS)26
28.1%
26
71.9%
Q2 - 11:38ORLGortat Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
30.2%
25
69.8%
Q2 - 11:38ORLGortat Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
29.6%
25
70.4%
Q2 - 11:48ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
28.2%
25
71.8%
Q2 - 11:49MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot24
27.6%
25
72.4%
Q2 - 12:00MIAHouse Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)24
26.1%
25
73.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL24
28.1%
24
71.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
30.3%
24
69.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
29.2%
24
70.8%
Q1 - 0:15.0ORLHoward 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bass 1 AST)24
28.1%
24
71.9%
Q1 - 0:38.0ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
25.8%
24
74.2%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAMISS James 6' Floating Jump Shot22
25.4%
24
74.6%
Q1 - 1:00MIAHEAT Rebound22
24.3%
24
75.7%
Q1 - 1:01MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot22
25.3%
24
74.7%
Q1 - 1:14ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)22
24.4%
24
75.6%
Q1 - 1:14ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 221
23.8%
24
76.2%
Q1 - 1:14ORLRedick Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)21
24.0%
24
76.0%
Q1 - 1:22ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
22.3%
24
77.7%
Q1 - 1:23MIAMISS James 19' Turnaround Jump Shot20
21.9%
24
78.1%
Q1 - 1:53ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)20
21.1%
24
78.9%
Q1 - 2:03ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
18.1%
24
81.9%
Q1 - 2:04MIAMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot17
17.7%
24
82.3%
Q1 - 2:23ORLBass 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
16.9%
24
83.1%
Q1 - 2:41MIAIlgauskas 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)15
15.5%
24
84.5%
Q1 - 3:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
16.9%
22
83.1%
Q1 - 3:01ORLMISS Howard 15' Jump Shot15
17.2%
22
82.8%
Q1 - 3:17MIAJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)15
18.2%
22
81.8%
Q1 - 3:23ORLBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
16.8%
22
83.2%
Q1 - 3:23ORLBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
16.7%
22
83.3%
Q1 - 3:41MIAWade 3' Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (James 2 AST)13
15.6%
22
84.4%
Q1 - 3:45ORLHouse STEAL (1 STL)13
16.8%
20
83.2%
Q1 - 3:55MIAIlgauskas 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)13
18.2%
20
81.8%
Q1 - 4:06ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)13
19.4%
18
80.6%
Q1 - 4:06ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 212
18.9%
18
81.1%
Q1 - 4:17MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)12
19.5%
18
80.5%
Q1 - 4:32ORLHoward 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)12
18.0%
18
82.0%
Q1 - 4:51MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)10
16.8%
18
83.2%
Q1 - 5:14ORLHoward 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (7 PTS)10
18.3%
16
81.7%
Q1 - 5:36MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
17.1%
16
82.9%
Q1 - 5:36MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
17.4%
15
82.6%
Q1 - 5:47MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
18.2%
14
81.8%
Q1 - 5:49MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 28
19.5%
14
80.5%
Q1 - 5:49MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)8
18.7%
14
81.3%
Q1 - 5:53MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
19.6%
13
80.4%
Q1 - 5:54ORLMISS Lewis 13' Jump Shot8
20.0%
13
80.0%
Q1 - 6:01ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
21.0%
13
79.0%
Q1 - 6:03MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
19.6%
13
80.4%
Q1 - 6:03MIAMISS Ilgauskas 2' Tip Shot8
20.6%
13
79.4%
Q1 - 6:06MIAMISS Bosh 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup8
20.6%
13
79.4%
Q1 - 6:18MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)8
19.6%
13
80.4%
Q1 - 6:19ORLMISS Howard 10' Jump Bank Shot8
20.0%
13
80.0%
Q1 - 6:36MIAWade 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (3 PTS)8
21.0%
13
79.0%
Q1 - 6:50MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)8
22.4%
11
77.6%
Q1 - 6:51ORLMISS Carter 22' Jump Shot8
22.8%
11
77.2%
Q1 - 7:02ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
23.8%
11
76.2%
Q1 - 7:03MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot8
23.4%
11
76.6%
Q1 - 7:16ORLLewis Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)8
22.3%
11
77.7%
Q1 - 7:27MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T1)8
23.8%
11
76.2%
Q1 - 7:31MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
22.3%
11
77.7%
Q1 - 7:31ORLMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
22.7%
11
77.3%
Q1 - 7:43MIAArroyo 16' Jump Shot (3 PTS)8
23.8%
11
76.2%
Q1 - 7:51MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
25.2%
9
74.8%
Q1 - 7:52ORLMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot8
25.7%
9
74.3%
Q1 - 8:11MIAJames 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS)8
26.6%
9
73.4%
Q1 - 8:31ORLNelson 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)8
28.3%
7
71.7%
Q1 - 8:40ORLMISS Carter Free Throw Technical6
26.6%
7
73.4%
Q1 - 8:51MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)6
26.6%
7
73.4%
Q1 - 8:51MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 26
27.0%
6
73.0%
Q1 - 8:57MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)6
26.7%
6
73.3%
Q1 - 8:58ORLMISS Lewis 15' Jump Shot6
27.1%
6
72.9%
Q1 - 9:11MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
28.2%
6
71.8%
Q1 - 9:24MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
31.4%
3
68.6%
Q1 - 9:25MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
32.5%
3
67.5%
Q1 - 9:37ORLHoward 10' Hook Shot (5 PTS)6
31.4%
3
68.6%
Q1 - 9:53ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
29.8%
3
70.2%
Q1 - 9:54MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot4
29.3%
3
70.7%
Q1 - 10:03MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
27.9%
3
72.1%
Q1 - 10:04ORLMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
28.4%
3
71.6%
Q1 - 10:20ORLCarter Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)4
29.6%
3
70.4%
Q1 - 10:28ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
28.1%
3
71.9%
Q1 - 10:29MIAMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot3
27.6%
3
72.4%
Q1 - 10:41ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)3
26.5%
3
73.5%
Q1 - 10:56MIABosh 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
24.0%
3
76.0%
Q1 - 10:57MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)0
25.1%
1
74.9%
Q1 - 10:58MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup0
26.2%
1
73.8%
Q1 - 11:02MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
25.1%
1
74.9%
Q1 - 11:03ORLMISS Nelson 13' Jump Shot0
25.4%
1
74.6%
Q1 - 11:13ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.2%
1
73.8%
Q1 - 11:14MIAMISS Bosh 17' Fadeaway Jumper0
25.9%
1
74.1%
Q1 - 11:27MIAArroyo Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)0
25.1%
1
74.9%
Q1 - 11:37MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.4%
0
73.6%
Q1 - 11:38ORLMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
26.7%
0
73.3%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Howard: Tip to Nelson0
27.6%
0
72.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.80 39.8%
MIA
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
5
10
50%
MIA
6
15
40%
Midrange
ORL
12
35
34%
MIA
18
48
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
4
6.0
24
17%
25%
MIA
9
13.5
18
50%
75%
Free Throws
ORL
24
34
71%
MIA
21
27
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard1953%9.5 / 18
R. Anderson1275%6.0 / 8
J. Nelson1038%5.0 / 13
B. Bass950%4.5 / 9
M. Pietrus536%2.5 / 7
V. Carter440%2.0 / 5
J. Redick450%2.0 / 4
R. Lewis210%1.0 / 10
Q. Richardson217%1.0 / 6
M. Gortat2100%1.0 / 1
C. Duhon125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2657%13.0 / 23
L. James1554%7.5 / 14
C. Bosh1142%5.5 / 13
U. Haslem1161%5.5 / 9
J. Jones975%4.5 / 6
E. House844%4.0 / 9
Z. Ilgauskas840%4.0 / 10
C. Arroyo750%3.5 / 7
J. Magloire150%0.5 / 1
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
75
+13
-14
88
MIA
75
+17
-12
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.80 39.8%
MIA
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
111.4
ORL 78.7 +31.7
MIA 110.3
Pace
91.2
91.3
ORL 89.0 +2.0
MIA 87.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.2
ORL 16.2 +0.4
MIA 16.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.1%
52.4%
ORL 33.3%
MIA 46.3% +13.0%
TO %
15.7%
14.4%
ORL 16.0%
MIA 11.4% +4.6%
ORB %
26.1%
25.2%
ORL 17.8%
MIA 30.4% +12.6%
FTrt
32.8
36.3
ORL 49.3 +16.0
MIA 33.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.3%
54.1%
ORL 23.8%
MIA 51.5% +27.7%
STL %
7.3%
7.3%
ORL 5.6%
MIA 6.9% +1.3%
BLK %
7.5%
8.5%
ORL 4.8%
MIA 11.1% +6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.8%
55.7%
ORL 39.8%
MIA 51.6% +11.8%
Rim FG%
61.7%
64.7%
ORL 50.0% +10.0%
MIA 40.0%
Mid FG%
40.4%
42.2%
ORL 34.3%
MIA 37.5% +3.2%
3P %
36.6%
37.0%
ORL 16.7%
MIA 50.0% +33.3%
FT %
69.2%
76.9%
ORL 70.6%
MIA 77.8% +7.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.6%
31.6%
ORL 14.5%
MIA 18.5% +4.0%
Mid Att. %
34.5%
44.9%
ORL 50.7% +8.5%
MIA 59.3%
3P Att. %
32.8%
23.5%
ORL 34.8% +12.6%
MIA 22.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.63 and 2.63.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions8987
Possession Minutes24.024.0
Points7096
Rebounds4051
Assists517
Steals56
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)14 (2)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (5)14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (0)37 (2)
Field Goals21-6933-81
At-the-Rim FG5-106-15
Midrange FG12-3518-48
2-Point FG17-4524-63
3-Point FG4-249-18
Free Throws24-3421-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 265 · 25
28.5
19
53%
7
0
2
1
1
6
0
7
3-7
43%
8-15
53%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 190 · 29
24.8
10
38%
3
1
0
0
3
2
1
2
3-4
75%
2-8
25%
1-3
33%
F · 6'10" 235 · 31
24.7
2
10%
3
0
1
0
3
6
0
3
2-2
100%
0-4
0%
0-5
0%
F · 6'6" 228 · 31
21.7
2
17%
6
1
0
0
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-4
0%
G · 6'6" 220 · 34
13.6
4
40%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-3
67%
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26
30.9
4
50%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'6" 215 · 29
23.6
5
36%
1
0
0
0
3
0
0
1
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
23.2
1
25%
2
1
0
0
2
2
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 250 · 25
20.6
9
50%
6
1
0
0
1
0
3
3
7-8
88%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 27
14.5
2
100%
7
0
1
1
1
0
0
7
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 240 · 22
13.9
12
75%
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
3-4
75%
2-4
50%
G · 6'1" 180 · 35
#21 · C · 6'10" 275 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#35 · F · 6'10" 255 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
70
40%
40
5
5
3
14
0
8
32
24-34
71%
17-45
38%
4-24
17%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.