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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
October 29, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Magic31%9570
1Heat69%10296
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.9
28.5
31.8
19
53%
7
0
2
1
1
1
0
7
3-7
43%
8-15
6-10
53%
56%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 28.7
24.8
26.2
10
39%
3
1
0
1
0
3
1
2
3-4
75%
2-8
3-6
25%
47%
1-3
33%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.2
24.7
26.8
2
10%
3
0
1
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
0-4
2-4
0%
46%
0-5
0%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 30.5
21.7
25.2
2
17%
6
1
0
1
0
0
2
4
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
41%
0-4
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 33.8
13.6
25.9
4
32%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-3
67%
1-4
3-7
25%
44%
0-1
0%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.3
30.9
21.8
4
41%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
0-2
0%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 28.7
23.6
15.9
5
36%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-2
0%
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.2
23.2
21.1
1
27%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-1
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 25.5
20.6
13.2
9
53%
6
1
0
0
0
1
3
3
7-8
88%
1-5
2-5
20%
47%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.7
14.5
16.1
2
114%
7
0
1
0
1
1
0
7
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
53%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.5
13.9
14.0
12
75%
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
44%
2-4
50%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 34.9
8.3
0
0-1
45%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 20.2
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.8
34.2
35.1
26
55%
6
3
0
2
2
4
2
4
6-8
75%
7-14
7-14
50%
51%
2-6
33%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 25.8
30.1
37.4
15
54%
6
7
0
2
0
3
0
6
1-2
50%
4-10
7-13
40%
54%
2-3
67%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 26.6
29.8
32.4
11
44%
10
1
1
1
1
0
1
9
7-8
88%
2-8
7-13
25%
51%
0-1
0%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 31.2
25.0
21.2
7
47%
4
4
1
1
0
0
0
4
1-1
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
47%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28.2
22.6
17.5
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.1
26.9
23.1
9
75%
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
39%
3-5
60%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.5
24.2
20.7
8
40%
3
1
3
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
0-6
2-4
0%
43%
2-3
67%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.4
22.7
21.1
11
63%
11
0
0
0
0
2
2
9
3-4
75%
4-7
3-6
57%
49%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 35.4
16.1
9.8
8
40%
5
0
0
0
1
0
5
0
0-0
-
4-10
1-3
40%
46%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.4
4.8
2.9
1
57%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.4
3.7
10.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 36.0
6.3
0
1-1
42%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 22.7
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.7
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 37.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.