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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
October 28, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Wizards10%8683
3Magic90%103112
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.1
35.3
28.8
14
34%
1
9
3
1
0
3
0
1
2-3
67%
6-19
3-7
32%
39%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.8
33.5
29.2
12
64%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
41%
3-6
50%
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.9
24.4
20.9
9
46%
7
1
1
1
0
0
1
6
1-2
50%
4-6
3-6
67%
44%
0-3
0%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 24.2
24.0
28.3
6
30%
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-8
6-14
25%
45%
0-1
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 22.8
19.5
20.4
7
51%
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
0
1-2
50%
3-6
3-7
50%
47%
0-0
-
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 23.0
27.8
25.0
6
35%
5
0
1
1
0
2
0
5
2-6
33%
2-5
3-7
40%
39%
0-1
0%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.9
23.6
17.4
17
73%
2
0
2
1
1
0
0
2
6-6
100%
4-5
1-4
80%
39%
1-4
25%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.4
20.6
18.1
5
40%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
42%
0-2
0%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 25.9
11.2
9.8
1
57%
2
0
0
0
1
2
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 22.9
9.8
16.7
6
61%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
41%
0-0
-
Lester Hudson
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.2
6.6
6.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-1
0%
0-0
1-2
-
39%
0-2
0%
Hamady Ndiaye
C · 7'0" 235 · 23.8
3.7
11.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 30.5
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 20.9
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.9
29.6
35.1
23
66%
10
1
1
1
3
3
1
9
9-19
47%
7-9
6-11
78%
59%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 30.5
26.2
23.8
7
90%
7
5
0
1
0
1
1
6
2-2
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
1-2
50%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 33.8
25.5
27.1
18
72%
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-1
0%
6-7
3-7
86%
46%
2-5
40%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.2
23.9
31.3
13
65%
7
1
0
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
5-6
2-4
83%
49%
1-4
25%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 28.7
23.8
29.3
16
86%
2
6
2
1
0
2
1
1
2-3
67%
4-4
3-7
100%
50%
2-4
50%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.3
20.9
21.9
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.2
19.4
24.0
7
90%
1
3
0
1
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
3-3
1-2
100%
44%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.7
18.4
10.2
8
82%
7
0
1
0
0
2
2
5
2-2
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
55%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.5
16.4
9.5
6
32%
8
0
0
0
0
1
1
7
2-3
67%
2-5
1-2
40%
48%
0-3
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 25.5
16.1
6.0
4
33%
5
1
0
0
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
50%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 28.7
12.0
20.7
8
44%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-6
1-2
17%
50%
2-3
67%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 34.9
7.8
7.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-1
0%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 20.2
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.