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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 27, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Rockets43%101128
17Warriors57%104132
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 27.4
39.1
16.7
16
62%
8
6
1
1
0
3
4
4
0-2
0%
8-12
1-2
67%
48%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 30.5
37.5
31.6
36
61%
16
0
1
1
1
0
4
12
8-12
67%
14-24
6-13
58%
50%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 25.8
35.9
37.7
13
39%
3
7
2
1
0
3
1
2
3-4
75%
2-7
4-10
29%
44%
2-8
25%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 27.7
34.9
29.0
28
65%
0
4
1
1
1
1
0
0
17-17
100%
4-10
4-8
40%
45%
1-4
25%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 32.1
22.6
28.6
6
68%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
3-3
1-2
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.1
22.9
20.6
11
79%
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
9-9
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 22.4
20.0
22.3
7
52%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-4
50%
1-2
3-5
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 28.9
15.7
9.0
7
54%
8
1
2
0
0
0
5
3
1-1
100%
3-6
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 22.3
8.4
6.4
2
25%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
41%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 34.5
3.0
20.2
2
114%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
2-5
-
47%
0-0
-
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.9
6.9
0
1-2
43%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.3
6.7
0
1-2
48%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 24.6
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.6
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 30.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.0
39.8
33.6
46
79%
3
2
2
2
0
1
0
3
9-12
75%
17-22
6-12
77%
48%
1-2
50%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 27.5
39.7
33.5
17
62%
15
6
0
1
1
3
3
12
5-6
83%
6-11
8-14
55%
53%
0-0
-
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.6
39.1
35.5
25
70%
2
11
0
2
1
5
1
1
4-4
100%
6-10
5-11
60%
47%
3-6
50%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24.9
35.9
20.8
15
54%
3
2
2
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
48%
3-6
50%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.6
26.9
22.7
8
67%
11
1
1
1
2
0
4
7
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
57%
0-0
-
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 26.6
16.8
11.8
8
46%
4
1
0
0
1
0
3
1
4-4
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 24.1
16.6
30.6
7
58%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.1
10.7
13.2
4
50%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.9
6.4
11.4
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.6
4.5
11.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.7
2.9
4.0
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 24.7
0.8
9.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 23.4
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.9
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.