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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 27, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Bucks41%9891
13Hornets59%10095
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 21.1
41.3
32.4
15
48%
2
10
1
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
3-8
4-9
38%
38%
2-6
33%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 28.2
38.5
28.1
19
79%
5
1
3
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
42%
5-10
50%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.9
36.3
30.0
15
46%
15
1
0
1
1
1
4
11
3-10
30%
6-11
6-12
55%
51%
0-1
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 29.1
32.5
16.1
15
50%
11
1
0
0
0
1
3
8
1-2
50%
7-14
3-6
50%
46%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 30.9
32.5
30.0
5
31%
2
0
0
1
0
4
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
4-9
20%
46%
1-3
33%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 31.0
19.8
23.3
16
69%
7
0
0
1
0
3
0
7
8-8
100%
4-7
4-9
57%
48%
0-1
0%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.5
16.8
8.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.5
15.7
25.5
4
34%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
48%
0-1
0%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 21.9
4.4
10.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 34.4
2.1
4.2
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
42%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.1
25.8
1
3-6
47%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 23.6
9.1
0
1-1
48%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 23.8
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 31.2
Darington Hobson
G · 6'7" 210 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 25.3
41.4
31.4
11
40%
5
3
4
2
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
46%
1-6
17%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.5
37.2
32.1
17
62%
4
16
0
2
0
1
1
3
4-6
67%
5-9
4-8
56%
50%
1-2
50%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.6
35.5
12.0
18
52%
6
2
0
0
0
1
0
6
5-5
100%
5-10
1-2
50%
44%
1-5
20%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.2
27.0
31.8
22
70%
7
0
0
1
0
0
2
5
4-4
100%
9-14
6-12
64%
48%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 28.1
25.7
26.4
0
0%
9
0
0
1
0
1
1
8
0-0
-
0-0
4-7
-
52%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 24.7
24.6
8.8
8
37%
4
1
0
0
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
3-10
1-2
30%
46%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.2
12.1
16.6
4
35%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
2-4
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 23.4
11.2
28.0
8
55%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-3
67%
3-5
4-8
60%
48%
0-1
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.2
8.1
19.1
3
44%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
1-1
100%
1-2
2-6
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 33.4
7.7
24.8
3
75%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
43%
1-1
100%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.8
6.8
2.0
1
27%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.1
2.6
5.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.6
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.9
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.