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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 27, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Hawks59%100119
25Grizzlies41%96104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 24.4
31.3
29.2
15
87%
7
0
0
1
1
1
2
5
5-6
83%
5-5
3-7
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29.3
30.7
33.9
22
53%
4
7
1
1
0
2
1
3
9-11
82%
5-11
5-12
45%
46%
1-5
20%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.5
27.4
24.2
19
101%
1
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
44%
4-4
100%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 24.9
24.9
35.4
11
55%
6
4
0
2
5
3
0
6
0-0
-
4-9
6-12
44%
49%
1-1
100%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.4
17.9
33.8
2
18%
7
1
1
1
0
1
0
7
0-1
0%
1-5
6-11
20%
52%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.7
29.6
16.6
17
84%
11
1
0
1
2
2
5
6
7-7
100%
5-7
2-3
71%
48%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.6
25.4
25.8
13
53%
1
2
3
1
0
2
0
1
3-3
100%
5-9
3-8
56%
45%
0-2
0%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.8
20.0
3.4
8
51%
6
0
1
0
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
3-7
0-1
43%
41%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 22.4
16.1
11.1
5
50%
0
1
0
1
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
43%
1-1
100%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.0
14.6
10.6
7
117%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
1-1
100%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 22.0
2.1
16.5
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
44%
0-1
0%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.9
0.8
0
0-0
43%
Pape Sy
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 22.6
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 32.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.0
36.1
31.3
23
69%
5
8
0
1
0
2
1
4
4-4
100%
8-13
4-9
62%
46%
1-2
50%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.0
33.5
33.5
9
50%
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-7
4-9
43%
47%
1-2
50%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.6
30.7
15.8
19
71%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
3-3
100%
8-12
2-5
67%
44%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.2
30.7
34.7
21
55%
10
2
1
1
0
0
2
8
6-7
86%
6-14
5-11
43%
48%
1-2
50%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.3
15.4
30.7
4
29%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-6
6-12
17%
47%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 25.4
26.3
14.0
17
68%
5
2
3
0
1
2
0
5
0-1
0%
7-11
2-5
64%
47%
1-1
100%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 23.7
18.7
17.3
0
0%
3
0
0
0
2
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
55%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 19.6
14.5
18.5
6
100%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
45%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 25.8
11.9
7.9
3
32%
0
0
2
0
0
3
0
0
3-6
50%
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-2
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 28.8
11.1
12.8
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-6
2-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.3
6.3
12.4
2
53%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 25.4
4.7
7.1
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.7
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.