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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 27, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Pistons51%10098
28Nets49%99101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 32.7
31.8
25.1
13
46%
4
3
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
5-11
4-8
45%
44%
1-3
33%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 30.7
31.4
28.6
14
54%
2
1
0
1
2
0
0
2
4-7
57%
5-10
4-9
50%
47%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 24.5
29.4
29.3
14
55%
3
7
0
1
0
0
1
2
5-6
83%
3-8
5-11
38%
42%
1-2
50%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 36.1
27.0
22.5
6
46%
10
1
1
1
0
1
3
7
2-8
25%
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 22.4
21.2
13.9
4
25%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
51%
0-2
0%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.6
23.4
23.1
12
87%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
4-5
3-6
80%
45%
1-1
100%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 26.2
22.8
21.6
14
70%
3
0
1
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
47%
4-9
44%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 27.7
20.6
18.2
11
51%
6
0
1
0
0
1
2
4
1-4
25%
5-9
3-5
56%
52%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.8
18.6
17.9
10
44%
3
2
1
1
0
0
1
2
3-3
100%
2-8
2-5
25%
46%
1-2
50%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 31.4
13.8
15.2
0
0%
2
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 20.4
17.5
1
2-4
47%
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.8
8.7
0
1-2
43%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 23.7
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.1
Terrico White
G · 6'5" 213 · 20.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.1
37.4
24.9
13
62%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-1
0%
2-4
3-6
50%
48%
3-6
50%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 22.6
37.3
35.0
25
57%
9
0
0
1
3
1
3
6
3-4
75%
11-20
6-12
55%
50%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.7
30.7
30.8
22
62%
4
9
2
1
0
3
0
4
6-6
100%
8-14
4-8
57%
47%
0-1
0%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 26.1
21.4
17.3
5
32%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-5
2-4
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 35.3
5.4
6.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.3
32.4
21.5
10
56%
6
4
0
1
0
3
0
6
0-2
0%
5-7
3-7
71%
43%
0-1
0%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.9
22.0
17.9
10
64%
0
4
2
1
0
2
0
0
4-4
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
2-4
50%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 19.3
20.0
21.0
8
59%
10
0
0
1
0
1
3
7
2-4
50%
3-5
2-5
60%
48%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.7
18.1
16.8
4
100%
6
0
0
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
45%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 24.7
9.1
12.6
2
50%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.1
4.0
17.9
2
29%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.4
2.3
10.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 29.5
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 30.5
Ben Uzoh
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.