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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 27, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Celtics63%9687
21Cavaliers37%9195
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 24.7
38.4
39.3
18
70%
4
9
3
2
0
4
2
2
1-2
50%
7-11
6-12
64%
49%
1-1
100%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 35.3
35.4
35.2
12
39%
4
4
0
1
0
1
2
2
4-5
80%
4-8
3-6
50%
50%
0-5
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 33.0
33.3
36.7
13
50%
2
2
1
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
4-10
4-9
40%
47%
1-2
50%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 34.4
29.1
31.8
9
46%
15
1
2
1
1
3
1
14
3-4
75%
3-8
6-12
38%
50%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 38.6
21.0
17.1
7
72%
2
3
0
0
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
3-4
4-6
75%
55%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 24.8
32.9
25.8
14
64%
5
1
1
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
7-11
3-7
64%
46%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 29.8
18.4
9.6
4
50%
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
48%
0-1
0%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 32.0
12.4
14.5
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
47%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 26.4
12.1
11.2
8
46%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
5-6
83%
0-3
1-3
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 25.3
7.0
6.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 27.3
12.5
0
1-3
46%
Semih Erden
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.2
3.0
0
0-1
49%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 19.9
Luke Harangody
F · 6'7" 245 · 22.8
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 26.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 35.4
34.9
22.9
10
39%
2
6
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-2
0%
2-8
1-2
25%
45%
2-4
50%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
34.7
20.3
14
43%
2
3
2
1
0
4
1
1
2-3
67%
6-15
3-7
40%
45%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 28.1
32.5
25.9
8
82%
10
4
1
1
1
1
1
9
2-2
100%
3-3
3-5
100%
52%
0-1
0%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 22.1
29.8
20.7
21
77%
6
1
0
0
1
1
1
5
5-6
83%
8-11
3-7
73%
52%
0-0
-
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 30.4
29.2
19.8
10
63%
5
1
1
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
52%
2-5
40%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 24.7
27.1
17.8
16
48%
4
8
0
0
1
2
0
4
6-6
100%
2-6
1-2
33%
42%
2-8
25%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 34.4
20.9
27.8
4
33%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
4-8
33%
47%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.0
15.5
14.4
10
73%
4
1
1
0
0
1
3
1
2-2
100%
4-6
2-3
67%
53%
0-0
-
Jawad Williams
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.7
15.4
15.0
2
20%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.4
15.7
0
2-4
50%
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.8
15.5
0
2-4
49%
Manny Harris
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.1
13.6
0
1-3
42%
Christian Eyenga
F · 6'7" 210 · 21.3
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 27.9
Samardo Samuels
· 6'9" 260 · 21.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.