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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
October 26, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Rockets27%94110
3Lakers73%102112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 25.8
41.6
32.7
24
64%
3
9
0
1
0
2
1
2
6-6
100%
3-10
4-9
30%
43%
4-6
67%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 30.5
33.2
29.9
18
46%
16
4
1
1
0
4
4
12
4-4
100%
7-18
5-11
39%
48%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 32.1
31.4
27.5
3
30%
6
4
0
1
2
2
2
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
1-3
33%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 27.7
29.5
29.0
26
65%
3
2
0
1
1
4
1
2
7-7
100%
5-11
3-8
45%
44%
3-6
50%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 30.1
23.4
28.2
9
38%
11
2
0
0
2
4
4
7
1-2
50%
4-11
5-10
36%
50%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 34.5
24.6
10.7
9
60%
9
2
2
0
1
2
2
7
7-8
88%
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 22.4
21.7
16.1
13
62%
5
0
0
0
0
2
2
3
1-1
100%
6-8
2-4
75%
47%
0-2
0%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.1
15.1
29.7
8
44%
0
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
46%
0-2
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 27.4
14.8
16.2
0
0%
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 22.3
4.7
5.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
39%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 28.9
12.9
0
1-2
44%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.2
8.5
0
1-3
46%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.6
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.9
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 24.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 30.3
40.1
34.4
29
54%
11
2
0
1
2
3
4
7
7-9
78%
11-23
6-11
48%
53%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 32.2
37.1
35.3
27
53%
5
7
1
1
0
1
0
5
11-12
92%
8-17
7-14
47%
48%
0-3
0%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.0
32.9
27.2
14
67%
10
1
1
1
0
4
1
9
0-1
0%
7-9
3-6
78%
51%
0-1
0%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 31.0
29.4
30.0
8
27%
7
2
4
1
0
1
4
3
0-0
-
1-9
2-5
11%
44%
2-6
33%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 36.2
22.9
23.2
2
14%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
43%
0-1
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 30.7
21.5
22.7
10
85%
0
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
3-4
75%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.9
21.3
15.0
16
89%
1
1
4
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
45%
4-5
80%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 37.5
16.9
6.0
0
0%
2
1
0
0
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 30.6
15.8
22.8
6
52%
5
2
0
1
0
1
4
1
4-4
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
53%
0-1
0%
Derrick Caracter
F · 6'9" 275 · 22.5
2.2
6.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 26.6
10.3
0
1-1
44%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 21.0
7.1
0
1-2
48%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 23.0
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.