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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
October 26, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Heat53%9780
6Celtics47%9688
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 25.8
42.6
33.9
31
59%
4
3
1
1
2
8
0
4
8-12
67%
7-15
6-12
47%
51%
3-6
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 26.6
37.6
32.4
8
34%
8
2
1
1
1
1
2
6
2-2
100%
3-11
7-14
27%
49%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.8
36.7
34.8
13
35%
4
6
3
2
0
6
0
4
4-6
67%
3-13
7-14
23%
49%
1-3
33%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28.2
16.7
17.3
2
100%
7
1
0
0
1
0
3
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 31.2
12.6
20.3
3
44%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.4
30.6
22.4
8
51%
11
0
0
0
1
0
4
7
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
47%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.5
26.5
14.3
8
50%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
41%
2-4
50%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.1
26.1
9.6
6
43%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
36%
2-7
29%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 35.4
10.7
12.6
1
57%
3
0
3
0
1
2
2
1
1-2
50%
0-0
2-4
-
44%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.4
25.1
1
2-3
46%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 37.7
10.3
0
1-3
46%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.4
4.9
0
0-1
45%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.7
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 36.0
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 22.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 24.7
41.5
37.1
4
22%
5
17
2
2
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
2-9
6-12
22%
48%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 33.0
40.5
31.2
19
90%
9
3
1
1
0
3
1
8
8-8
100%
1-3
4-8
33%
46%
3-4
75%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 35.3
39.3
29.7
20
74%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
49%
5-8
63%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 34.4
35.2
26.8
10
39%
10
3
3
1
0
7
2
8
2-4
50%
4-11
5-10
36%
49%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 38.6
18.1
15.6
9
43%
7
0
0
0
1
1
2
5
3-8
38%
3-7
3-6
43%
54%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 24.8
29.4
16.2
13
82%
5
0
0
1
1
0
1
4
1-2
50%
6-7
2-4
86%
44%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 29.8
12.8
7.7
8
80%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-4
1-2
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 32.0
12.8
21.2
1
13%
2
0
0
0
2
1
1
1
1-2
50%
0-3
4-9
0%
46%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 26.4
10.3
13.3
4
29%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
46%
0-3
0%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 27.3
23.0
1
2-5
45%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 25.3
12.4
0
2-4
44%
Semih Erden
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.2
5.5
0
1-1
47%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 26.0
Luke Harangody
F · 6'7" 245 · 22.8
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 19.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.