FinalWin Prob.pScore
153%97
80
647%96
88
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
87.99194.7
BOS logo BOS
95.79288.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0BOS80
0%
88
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)80
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot80
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)80
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 0:27.0BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)80
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 0:46.0BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot80
1.4%
86
98.6%
Q4 - 0:49.0BOSAllen 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Pierce 3 AST)80
2.4%
86
97.6%
Q4 - 1:10MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (31 PTS)80
12.3%
83
87.7%
Q4 - 1:15BOSGarnett Foul Turnover (P7.T20)78
8.1%
83
91.9%
Q4 - 1:28MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)78
5.3%
83
94.7%
Q4 - 1:36MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q4 - 1:37BOSMISS Garnett Free Throw 2 of 275
2.2%
83
97.8%
Q4 - 1:37BOSMISS Garnett Free Throw 1 of 275
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q4 - 1:55BOSCELTICS Rebound75
1.6%
83
98.4%
Q4 - 1:57MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
1.9%
83
98.1%
Q4 - 2:05MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)75
2.9%
83
97.1%
Q4 - 2:06BOSMISS Rondo Driving Layup75
2.4%
83
97.6%
Q4 - 2:25MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)75
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q4 - 2:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q4 - 2:34BOSMISS Garnett 16' Jump Shot72
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q4 - 2:59BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 3:00MIAMISS Wade 8' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot72
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q4 - 3:11BOSGarnett Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T19)72
1.0%
83
99.0%
Q4 - 3:30MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)72
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 3:30MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)71
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q4 - 3:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)70
1.1%
83
98.9%
Q4 - 3:33MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
0.9%
83
99.1%
Q4 - 3:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)70
1.1%
83
98.9%
Q4 - 3:41BOSMISS Garnett 4' Turnaround Jump Shot70
0.9%
83
99.1%
Q4 - 3:56MIAGarnett STEAL (3 STL)70
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q4 - 4:13BOSDavis 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Garnett 3 AST)70
1.0%
83
99.0%
Q4 - 4:16BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)70
1.4%
81
98.6%
Q4 - 4:17BOSMISS Garnett 2' Alley Oop Layup70
1.8%
81
98.2%
Q4 - 4:29BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)70
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q4 - 4:30MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot70
1.5%
81
98.5%
Q4 - 4:51BOSPierce Free Throw 3 of 3 (17 PTS)70
2.0%
81
98.0%
Q4 - 4:51BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 3 (16 PTS)70
2.1%
80
97.9%
Q4 - 4:51BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 3 (15 PTS)70
2.2%
79
97.8%
Q4 - 4:56BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)70
4.0%
78
96.0%
Q4 - 4:57MIAMISS Wade 1' Alley Oop Layup70
4.6%
78
95.4%
Q4 - 5:02MIAJames Free Throw Technical (26 PTS)70
8.8%
78
91.2%
Q4 - 5:10MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)69
6.4%
78
93.6%
Q4 - 5:11MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot69
5.1%
78
94.9%
Q4 - 5:26BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Rondo 17 AST)69
6.3%
78
93.7%
Q4 - 5:43MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)69
11.4%
75
88.6%
Q4 - 6:04BOSGarnett 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)66
8.6%
75
91.4%
Q4 - 6:26MIAWade Layup (10 PTS)66
10.9%
73
89.1%
Q4 - 6:35MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
8.4%
73
91.6%
Q4 - 6:36BOSMISS Rondo 22' Jump Shot64
7.7%
73
92.3%
Q4 - 6:59BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
6.2%
73
93.8%
Q4 - 7:01MIAMISS Haslem 5' Jump Hook Shot64
8.7%
73
91.3%
Q4 - 7:24BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Rondo 16 AST)64
10.4%
73
89.6%
Q4 - 7:33BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)64
16.5%
70
83.5%
Q4 - 7:34MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup64
17.8%
70
82.2%
Q4 - 7:47BOSDavis Layup (11 PTS) (Garnett 2 AST)64
21.0%
70
79.0%
Q4 - 8:08MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)64
28.1%
68
71.9%
Q4 - 8:29BOSDavis 1' Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Rondo 15 AST)61
18.7%
68
81.3%
Q4 - 8:43MIAWade Foul Turnover (P6.T16)61
23.0%
66
77.0%
Q4 - 8:57BOSRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)61
27.8%
66
72.2%
Q4 - 9:24MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 3 AST)61
24.8%
66
75.2%
Q4 - 9:41BOSRondo 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)59
20.5%
66
79.5%
Q4 - 9:55BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
24.8%
64
75.2%
Q4 - 9:57BOSMISS Robinson 3PT Jump Shot59
27.9%
64
72.1%
Q4 - 10:16MIAHaslem 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)59
26.0%
64
74.0%
Q4 - 10:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)57
21.9%
64
78.1%
Q4 - 10:26BOSMISS Robinson 17' Jump Shot57
20.7%
64
79.3%
Q4 - 10:33BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)57
18.2%
64
81.8%
Q4 - 10:34MIAMISS Bosh 11' Jump Shot57
19.3%
64
80.7%
Q4 - 10:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)57
21.9%
64
78.1%
Q4 - 10:53BOSMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 257
21.3%
64
78.7%
Q4 - 10:53BOSO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)57
19.0%
64
81.0%
Q4 - 11:03MIAIlgauskas Foul Turnover (P2.T15)57
23.2%
63
76.8%
Q4 - 11:12BOSO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T17)57
27.2%
63
72.8%
Q4 - 11:24BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
23.1%
63
76.9%
Q4 - 11:25MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
24.3%
63
75.7%
Q4 - 11:42MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)57
27.1%
63
72.9%
Q4 - 11:43BOSMISS Rondo 7' Floating Jump Shot57
25.8%
63
74.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOS57
23.0%
63
77.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOSCELTICS Rebound57
23.0%
63
77.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0BOSMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot57
27.0%
63
73.0%
Q3 - 0:02.0BOSO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
24.5%
63
75.5%
Q3 - 0:02.0BOSMISS Davis 14' Jump Shot57
27.0%
63
73.0%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAJames Driving Layup (25 PTS)57
24.5%
63
75.5%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
20.6%
63
79.4%
Q3 - 0:33.0BOSMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot55
19.6%
63
80.4%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)55
17.6%
63
82.4%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)54
17.0%
63
83.0%
Q3 - 0:59.0MIAHeat Rebound53
14.6%
63
85.4%
Q3 - 1:00BOSMISS Daniels 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
13.9%
63
86.1%
Q3 - 1:17MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 2 AST)53
13.4%
63
86.6%
Q3 - 1:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)50
9.2%
63
90.8%
Q3 - 1:32BOSMISS Allen 5' Floating Jump Shot50
8.8%
63
91.2%
Q3 - 1:51MIAIlgauskas Foul Turnover (P1.T14)50
7.8%
63
92.2%
Q3 - 2:01BOSDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)50
10.3%
63
89.7%
Q3 - 2:01BOSMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 250
10.8%
62
89.2%
Q3 - 2:19MIAJames 22' Pullup Jump Shot (21 PTS)50
10.3%
62
89.7%
Q3 - 2:27BOSDavis 8' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)48
8.6%
62
91.4%
Q3 - 2:56MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)48
10.2%
60
89.8%
Q3 - 3:24BOSDaniels 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Rondo 14 AST)45
8.2%
60
91.8%
Q3 - 3:30MIAGarnett STEAL (2 STL)45
9.6%
58
90.4%
Q3 - 3:43MIAHeat Rebound45
11.3%
58
88.7%
Q3 - 3:43BOSMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot45
10.8%
58
89.2%
Q3 - 3:59BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)45
9.6%
58
90.4%
Q3 - 4:00MIAMISS James 1' Layup45
10.1%
58
89.9%
Q3 - 4:21BOSAllen 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Rondo 13 AST)45
12.1%
58
87.9%
Q3 - 4:32MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)45
16.0%
55
84.0%
Q3 - 4:32MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)44
15.5%
55
84.5%
Q3 - 4:37BOSJump Ball Rondo vs. House: Tip to James43
14.1%
55
85.9%
Q3 - 4:53MIABosh 1' Alley Oop Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)43
11.8%
55
88.2%
Q3 - 5:01BOSGarnett 3 Second Violation Turnover (P5.T15)41
11.1%
55
88.9%
Q3 - 5:15BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)41
9.4%
55
90.6%
Q3 - 5:16MIAMISS Ilgauskas Free Throw 2 of 241
9.6%
55
90.4%
Q3 - 5:16MIAIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)41
10.6%
55
89.4%
Q3 - 5:16MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)40
9.5%
55
90.5%
Q3 - 5:17MIAMISS James 1' Layup40
8.5%
55
91.5%
Q3 - 5:43MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
9.5%
55
90.5%
Q3 - 5:44MIAMISS House 23' Jump Shot40
8.4%
55
91.6%
Q3 - 6:02MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
10.5%
55
89.5%
Q3 - 6:03BOSMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 240
10.3%
55
89.7%
Q3 - 6:03BOSMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 240
9.6%
55
90.4%
Q3 - 6:27MIAArroyo 19' Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS)40
8.9%
55
91.1%
Q3 - 6:42BOSGarnett 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Rondo 12 AST)38
7.8%
55
92.2%
Q3 - 6:58MIAJames 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)38
8.9%
53
91.1%
Q3 - 7:14BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)35
7.4%
53
92.6%
Q3 - 7:21MIAPierce STEAL (1 STL)35
6.4%
53
93.6%
Q3 - 7:39MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
7.4%
53
92.6%
Q3 - 7:40BOSMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 235
7.2%
53
92.8%
Q3 - 7:40BOSMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 235
6.8%
53
93.2%
Q3 - 7:47BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)35
6.3%
53
93.7%
Q3 - 7:48MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
6.6%
53
93.4%
Q3 - 7:53MIAArroyo Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)35
7.4%
53
92.6%
Q3 - 8:15BOSGarnett 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Rondo 11 AST)34
6.8%
53
93.2%
Q3 - 8:34MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T11)34
7.8%
51
92.2%
Q3 - 8:45BOSO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)34
9.0%
51
91.0%
Q3 - 8:45BOSMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 234
9.5%
50
90.5%
Q3 - 8:46BOSO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)34
8.9%
50
91.1%
Q3 - 8:47BOSMISS O'Neal 1' Layup34
9.9%
50
90.1%
Q3 - 9:08MIABosh 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)34
9.5%
50
90.5%
Q3 - 9:29BOSAllen 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Rondo 10 AST)32
8.3%
50
91.7%
Q3 - 9:56BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
10.8%
47
89.2%
Q3 - 9:57MIAMISS Arroyo 16' Jump Shot32
11.2%
47
88.8%
Q3 - 10:19BOSO'Neal Layup (8 PTS) (Rondo 9 AST)32
13.2%
47
86.8%
Q3 - 10:32MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)32
14.8%
45
85.2%
Q3 - 10:32MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 231
14.4%
45
85.6%
Q3 - 10:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
14.9%
45
85.1%
Q3 - 10:43BOSMISS Garnett 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot31
14.3%
45
85.7%
Q3 - 10:58MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)31
13.1%
45
86.9%
Q3 - 10:58MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 230
12.7%
45
87.3%
Q3 - 11:15BOSCELTICS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)30
14.1%
45
85.9%
Q3 - 11:39MIARondo STEAL (2 STL)30
12.3%
45
87.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA30
14.0%
45
86.0%
Q2 - 0:02.0BOSDavis 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Rondo 8 AST)30
14.8%
45
85.2%
Q2 - 0:21.0MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
16.9%
43
83.1%
Q2 - 0:21.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
16.6%
43
83.4%
Q2 - 0:36.0BOSGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)28
14.8%
43
85.2%
Q2 - 0:36.0BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)28
15.0%
42
85.0%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAJames 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (House 2 AST)28
16.9%
41
83.1%
Q2 - 0:55.0BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)26
14.7%
41
85.3%
Q2 - 1:06BOSO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)26
14.2%
41
85.8%
Q2 - 1:07MIAMISS House 15' Jump Shot26
14.5%
41
85.5%
Q2 - 1:11BOSO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)26
15.3%
41
84.7%
Q2 - 1:13BOSO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)26
14.1%
41
85.9%
Q2 - 1:15MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot26
14.5%
41
85.5%
Q2 - 1:24MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
15.3%
41
84.7%
Q2 - 1:25BOSMISS Garnett 18' Jump Shot26
15.0%
41
85.0%
Q2 - 1:47MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)26
14.1%
41
85.9%
Q2 - 1:47MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 225
13.8%
41
86.2%
Q2 - 1:51MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
13.7%
41
86.3%
Q2 - 1:52BOSMISS Garnett 1' Layup25
13.4%
41
86.6%
Q2 - 2:02MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 1 AST)25
13.0%
41
87.0%
Q2 - 2:13BOSO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)22
10.4%
41
89.6%
Q2 - 2:13BOSO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)22
10.9%
40
89.1%
Q2 - 2:20BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
11.6%
39
88.4%
Q2 - 2:21MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot22
12.0%
39
88.0%
Q2 - 2:25MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)22
13.0%
39
87.0%
Q2 - 2:26MIAMISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot22
12.0%
39
88.0%
Q2 - 2:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)22
13.0%
39
87.0%
Q2 - 2:39BOSMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot22
12.5%
39
87.5%
Q2 - 2:47BOSAllen Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)22
11.6%
39
88.4%
Q2 - 3:01MIAJames 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS)22
13.6%
38
86.4%
Q2 - 3:22BOSRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)20
12.4%
38
87.6%
Q2 - 3:30BOSO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)20
10.9%
38
89.1%
Q2 - 3:32MIAO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)20
11.3%
38
88.7%
Q2 - 3:51BOSAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Rondo 7 AST)20
12.4%
38
87.6%
Q2 - 3:55BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
15.0%
35
85.0%
Q2 - 3:56BOSMISS Garnett 1' Putback Dunk20
16.4%
35
83.6%
Q2 - 3:57BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
15.0%
35
85.0%
Q2 - 3:58BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
16.4%
35
83.6%
Q2 - 4:17MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)20
15.7%
35
84.3%
Q2 - 4:34BOSAllen 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)20
17.5%
35
82.5%
Q2 - 4:42BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)20
19.1%
33
80.9%
Q2 - 4:43MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot20
19.8%
33
80.2%
Q2 - 5:07BOSGarnett 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
22.0%
33
78.0%
Q2 - 5:29MIAHouse 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
24.1%
31
75.9%
Q2 - 5:37MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)18
21.9%
31
78.1%
Q2 - 5:38BOSMISS Robinson 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
21.3%
31
78.7%
Q2 - 5:58MIAWade 1' Slam Dunk (7 PTS)18
20.0%
31
80.0%
Q2 - 6:02BOSGarnett Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)16
19.2%
31
80.8%
Q2 - 6:10MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)16
17.2%
31
82.8%
Q2 - 6:10MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 215
16.8%
31
83.2%
Q2 - 6:34BOSRobinson 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)15
17.4%
31
82.6%
Q2 - 6:38MIAGarnett STEAL (1 STL)15
18.8%
29
81.2%
Q2 - 6:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
20.9%
29
79.1%
Q2 - 6:44BOSMISS Robinson 2' Layup15
20.2%
29
79.8%
Q2 - 6:48BOSRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
18.8%
29
81.2%
Q2 - 6:49MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
19.4%
29
80.6%
Q2 - 6:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)15
20.9%
29
79.1%
Q2 - 6:56MIAMISS House 3PT Jump Shot15
19.4%
29
80.6%
Q2 - 7:15BOSDaniels 6' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)15
21.6%
29
78.4%
Q2 - 7:21BOSDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
23.4%
27
76.6%
Q2 - 7:21MIAMISS Wade 17' Step Back Jump Shot15
24.0%
27
76.0%
Q2 - 7:36BOSRobinson Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)15
25.6%
27
74.4%
Q2 - 7:52MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)15
27.6%
25
72.4%
Q2 - 7:52MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)14
27.1%
25
72.9%
Q2 - 8:06BOSRobinson Foul Turnover (P1.T8)13
26.4%
25
73.6%
Q2 - 8:15BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
24.3%
25
75.7%
Q2 - 8:16MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot13
24.9%
25
75.1%
Q2 - 8:32BOSDaniels 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)13
26.4%
25
73.6%
Q2 - 8:40BOSDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
28.4%
23
71.6%
Q2 - 8:42MIAO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)13
29.1%
23
70.9%
Q2 - 9:06BOSPierce 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)13
31.3%
23
68.7%
Q2 - 9:13BOSO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
33.5%
21
66.5%
Q2 - 9:14MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup13
34.3%
21
65.7%
Q2 - 9:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)13
36.0%
21
64.0%
Q2 - 9:17MIAMISS Bosh 4' Jump Shot13
34.3%
21
65.7%
Q2 - 9:34BOSDaniels Foul Turnover (P1.T7)13
36.0%
21
64.0%
Q2 - 9:52MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (3 PTS)13
33.5%
21
66.5%
Q2 - 9:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
31.3%
21
68.7%
Q2 - 9:58BOSMISS Robinson 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
30.6%
21
69.4%
Q2 - 10:04BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
29.2%
21
70.8%
Q2 - 10:05MIADavis BLOCK (1 BLK)11
29.9%
21
70.1%
Q2 - 10:24BOSDaniels 1' Layup (2 PTS)11
31.6%
21
68.4%
Q2 - 10:46MIAHaslem Driving Layup (2 PTS) (House 1 AST)11
33.6%
19
66.4%
Q2 - 10:52BOSPierce Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)9
31.6%
19
68.4%
Q2 - 11:06BOSPierce Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)9
29.6%
19
70.4%
Q2 - 11:06MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P4.T7)9
31.7%
18
68.3%
Q2 - 11:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
34.1%
18
65.9%
Q2 - 11:15MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup9
32.4%
18
67.6%
Q2 - 11:32BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)9
34.0%
18
66.0%
Q2 - 11:32BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)9
34.4%
17
65.6%
Q2 - 11:38BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
36.2%
16
63.8%
Q2 - 11:39MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot9
36.9%
16
63.1%
Q2 - 11:48MIAHeat Rebound9
38.7%
16
61.3%
Q2 - 11:49MIAO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)9
36.9%
16
63.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOS9
38.7%
16
61.3%
Q1 - 0:18.0BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
36.9%
16
63.1%
Q1 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot9
37.4%
16
62.6%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
38.7%
16
61.3%
Q1 - 0:32.0BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
38.1%
16
61.9%
Q1 - 0:46.0BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
36.8%
16
63.2%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot9
37.4%
16
62.6%
Q1 - 1:03BOSDavis 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Rondo 6 AST)9
39.2%
16
60.8%
Q1 - 1:16BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
42.1%
14
57.9%
Q1 - 1:17MIAMISS James 7' Running Jump Shot9
42.6%
14
57.4%
Q1 - 1:25MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)9
43.8%
14
56.2%
Q1 - 1:26BOSMISS O'Neal 14' Jump Shot9
43.3%
14
56.7%
Q1 - 1:43MIAJames Foul Turnover (P3.T6)9
42.1%
14
57.9%
Q1 - 1:54BOSCELTICS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)9
43.8%
14
56.2%
Q1 - 1:54BOSCELTICS Rebound9
42.1%
14
57.9%
Q1 - 1:54BOSMISS Rondo 7' Turnaround Jump Shot9
43.2%
14
56.8%
Q1 - 2:17MIAWade Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T5)9
42.3%
14
57.7%
Q1 - 2:35MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)9
44.3%
14
55.7%
Q1 - 2:36BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
43.7%
14
56.3%
Q1 - 2:46BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
42.3%
14
57.7%
Q1 - 2:48BOSMISS Pierce 1' Layup9
43.7%
14
56.3%
Q1 - 2:58MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)9
42.3%
14
57.7%
Q1 - 2:58MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 28
41.8%
14
58.2%
Q1 - 3:14MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)8
42.5%
14
57.5%
Q1 - 3:15BOSMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot8
41.8%
14
58.2%
Q1 - 3:24BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
40.2%
14
59.8%
Q1 - 3:25MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
40.9%
14
59.1%
Q1 - 3:28MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)8
42.5%
14
57.5%
Q1 - 3:29MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
40.9%
14
59.1%
Q1 - 3:46BOSGarnett Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)8
42.5%
14
57.5%
Q1 - 4:11MIAAnthony 1' Layup (2 PTS)8
40.4%
14
59.6%
Q1 - 4:12MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)6
38.5%
14
61.5%
Q1 - 4:13MIAMISS Wade 3PT Step Back Jump Shot6
36.9%
14
63.1%
Q1 - 4:22MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
38.5%
14
61.5%
Q1 - 4:24BOSMISS Rondo 1' Layup6
37.8%
14
62.2%
Q1 - 4:30MIARondo STEAL (1 STL)6
36.2%
14
63.8%
Q1 - 4:47BOSAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)6
38.5%
14
61.5%
Q1 - 4:51BOSCELTICS Rebound6
42.6%
11
57.4%
Q1 - 4:52BOSMISS Rondo 1' Driving Layup6
44.2%
11
55.8%
Q1 - 5:10BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
42.8%
11
57.2%
Q1 - 5:12MIAMISS James 1' Layup6
43.5%
11
56.5%
Q1 - 5:33BOSAllen 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)6
45.1%
11
54.9%
Q1 - 5:41BOSO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
47.0%
9
53.0%
Q1 - 5:42MIAMISS Wade 3' Turnaround Jump Shot6
47.8%
9
52.2%
Q1 - 5:54MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
49.4%
9
50.6%
Q1 - 5:55BOSMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot6
48.7%
9
51.3%
Q1 - 6:13MIABosh Driving Dunk (2 PTS)6
47.3%
9
52.7%
Q1 - 6:26MIAMISS James Free Throw Technical4
45.3%
9
54.7%
Q1 - 6:44BOSO'Neal 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)4
45.3%
9
54.7%
Q1 - 6:50BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
47.3%
7
52.7%
Q1 - 6:52MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot4
47.9%
7
52.1%
Q1 - 7:04MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
49.7%
7
50.3%
Q1 - 7:06MIAMISS Wade 20' Step Back Jump Shot4
48.2%
7
51.8%
Q1 - 7:29BOSPierce 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)4
49.7%
7
50.3%
Q1 - 7:48MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)4
53.6%
4
46.4%
Q1 - 8:07BOSO'Neal 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)4
55.8%
4
44.2%
Q1 - 8:26MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
57.8%
2
42.2%
Q1 - 8:31BOSGarnett Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)4
59.7%
2
40.3%
Q1 - 8:43MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
57.8%
2
42.2%
Q1 - 8:57BOSRondo 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)2
55.8%
2
44.2%
Q1 - 9:12BOSO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
58.0%
0
42.0%
Q1 - 9:13MIAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot2
58.5%
0
41.5%
Q1 - 9:36MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
59.8%
0
40.2%
Q1 - 9:37BOSMISS O'Neal Layup2
59.2%
0
40.8%
Q1 - 9:40BOSO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
58.0%
0
42.0%
Q1 - 9:41BOSMISS Rondo 20' Jump Shot2
59.2%
0
40.8%
Q1 - 10:01BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
57.6%
0
42.4%
Q1 - 10:02MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot2
58.2%
0
41.8%
Q1 - 10:14BOSAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
59.6%
0
40.4%
Q1 - 10:26BOSCELTICS Rebound2
57.6%
0
42.4%
Q1 - 10:27MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup2
58.2%
0
41.8%
Q1 - 10:34MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
59.7%
0
40.3%
Q1 - 10:35BOSMISS Pierce 18' Step Back Jump Shot2
59.0%
0
41.0%
Q1 - 10:53MIAJames 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)2
57.6%
0
42.4%
Q1 - 11:19BOSGarnett Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
55.8%
0
44.2%
Q1 - 11:31MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
54.3%
0
45.7%
Q1 - 11:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
55.8%
0
44.2%
Q1 - 11:43BOSMISS O'Neal 1' Layup0
55.4%
0
44.6%
Q1 - 12:00BOSJump Ball O'Neal vs. Anthony: Tip to Rondo0
54.3%
0
45.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.93 46.5%
BOS
1.04 51.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
25
48%
BOS
17
32
53%
Midrange
MIA
7
29
24%
BOS
7
21
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
20
40%
60%
BOS
8
12.0
16
50%
75%
Free Throws
MIA
18
25
72%
BOS
16
25
64%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3160%15.5 / 26
D. Wade1334%6.5 / 19
C. Bosh836%4.0 / 11
U. Haslem850%4.0 / 8
E. House850%4.0 / 8
J. Jones643%3.0 / 7
C. Arroyo350%1.5 / 3
J. Anthony2100%1.0 / 1
Z. Ilgauskas150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Allen2077%10.0 / 13
P. Pierce1995%9.5 / 10
G. Davis1381%6.5 / 8
K. Garnett1038%5.0 / 13
S. O'Neal941%4.5 / 11
M. Daniels880%4.0 / 5
R. Rondo422%2.0 / 9
N. Robinson429%2.0 / 7
J. O'Neal113%0.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
74
+12
-17
86
BOS
74
+11
-18
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.93 46.5%
BOS
1.04 51.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
106.1
MIA 87.9
BOS 95.7 +7.7
Pace
91.3
90.6
MIA 94.7 +6.1
BOS 88.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.9
MIA 15.2 +1.1
BOS 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
51.9%
MIA 41.9%
BOS 52.2% +10.3%
TO %
14.4%
14.9%
MIA 16.7% +3.3%
BOS 20.0%
ORB %
25.2%
21.2%
MIA 24.4% +2.2%
BOS 22.2%
FTrt
36.3
30.5
MIA 33.8
BOS 36.2 +2.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
63.5%
MIA 55.6%
BOS 78.1% +22.5%
STL %
7.3%
9.1%
MIA 11.0% +4.5%
BOS 6.5%
BLK %
8.5%
6.8%
MIA 11.3% +3.9%
BOS 7.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.31 and 2.31.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
54.3%
MIA 46.5%
BOS 51.8% +5.3%
Rim FG%
64.7%
61.6%
MIA 48.0%
BOS 53.1% +5.1%
Mid FG%
42.2%
42.6%
MIA 24.1%
BOS 33.3% +9.2%
3P %
37.0%
36.5%
MIA 40.0%
BOS 50.0% +10.0%
FT %
76.9%
77.0%
MIA 72.0% +8.0%
BOS 64.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
37.4%
MIA 33.8%
BOS 46.4% +12.6%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
44.6%
MIA 39.2%
BOS 30.4% +8.8%
3P Att. %
23.5%
18.0%
MIA 27.0% +3.8%
BOS 23.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions9192
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points8088
Rebounds3942
Assists1525
Steals106
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)18 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (1)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (2)34 (2)
Field Goals27-7432-69
At-the-Rim FG12-2517-32
Midrange FG7-297-21
2-Point FG19-5424-53
3-Point FG8-208-16
Free Throws18-2516-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
42.6
31
60%
4
3
1
2
8
1
0
4
8-12
67%
7-15
47%
3-6
50%
F · 6'11" 235 · 27
37.6
8
36%
8
2
1
1
1
4
2
6
2-2
100%
3-11
27%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 29
36.7
13
34%
4
6
3
0
6
4
0
4
4-6
67%
3-13
23%
1-3
33%
C · 6'9" 245 · 28
16.7
2
100%
7
1
0
1
0
2
3
4
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 31
12.6
3
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 30
30.6
8
50%
11
0
0
1
0
4
4
7
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 32
26.5
8
50%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
2-4
50%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30
26.1
6
43%
2
1
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-7
29%
C · 7'3" 260 · 35
10.7
1
50%
3
0
3
1
2
4
2
1
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 24
F · 6'9" 250 · 38
C · 6'11" 265 · 32
#13 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#42 · F · 6'6" 218 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
80
47%
39
15
10
6
17
0
11
28
18-25
72%
19-54
35%
8-20
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.