FinalWin Prob.pScore
1521%93
105
279%104
108
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
114.19290.4
LAL logo LAL
112.59697.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

LakersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

LakersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIALAL
Q4 - 0:00.0LAL105
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)105
2.0%
108
98.0%
Q4 - 0:04.0LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)105
2.4%
107
97.6%
Q4 - 0:06.0LALRadmanovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)102
1.3%
106
98.7%
Q4 - 0:06.0LALRadmanovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)102
1.6%
105
98.4%
Q4 - 0:06.0LALRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)102
3.9%
104
96.1%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Quinn 3PT Jump Shot102
5.8%
104
94.2%
Q4 - 0:18.0LALBynum REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)102
15.4%
104
84.6%
Q4 - 0:18.0LALBynum Layup (24 PTS)102
15.4%
104
84.6%
Q4 - 0:18.0LALMISS Bryant Layup102
50.5%
102
49.5%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAHaslem Driving Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)102
30.8%
102
69.2%
Q4 - 0:41.0LALBryant Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T17)100
18.0%
102
82.0%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)100
10.7%
102
89.3%
Q4 - 1:08LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)98
7.4%
102
92.6%
Q4 - 1:08LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)98
7.9%
101
92.1%
Q4 - 1:25MIABeasley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)98
13.9%
100
86.1%
Q4 - 1:34MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)95
6.0%
100
94.0%
Q4 - 1:36LALMISS Fisher 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
5.1%
100
94.9%
Q4 - 1:50LALGasol REBOUND (Off:8 Def:10)95
4.1%
100
95.9%
Q4 - 1:51MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot95
4.7%
100
95.3%
Q4 - 2:02MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)95
7.4%
100
92.6%
Q4 - 2:04LALMISS Bynum 6' Jump Shot95
6.1%
100
93.9%
Q4 - 2:19LALLAKERS Rebound95
3.8%
100
96.2%
Q4 - 2:20LALMISS Fisher 3PT Jump Shot95
6.1%
100
93.9%
Q4 - 2:38MIABeasley 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Quinn 7 AST)95
3.8%
100
96.2%
Q4 - 2:55LALGasol 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (14 PTS)93
3.4%
100
96.6%
Q4 - 3:14MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)93
4.5%
98
95.5%
Q4 - 3:14MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 292
4.1%
98
95.9%
Q4 - 3:29LALFisher 3' Layup (13 PTS)92
5.2%
98
94.8%
Q4 - 3:50MIABeasley 15' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Quinn 6 AST)92
9.2%
96
90.8%
Q4 - 4:08LALGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)90
6.5%
96
93.5%
Q4 - 4:08LALGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)90
7.0%
95
93.0%
Q4 - 4:08LALGasol REBOUND (Off:8 Def:9)90
9.0%
94
91.0%
Q4 - 4:08MIAMISS Wade 27' 3PT Jump Shot90
10.1%
94
89.9%
Q4 - 4:23LALRadmanovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Fisher 11 AST)90
13.0%
94
87.0%
Q4 - 4:38LALJump Ball Bynum vs. Beasley: Tip to Gasol90
24.1%
91
75.9%
Q4 - 4:38MIAMISS Beasley 6' Jump Shot90
26.5%
91
73.5%
Q4 - 4:56LALGasol REBOUND (Off:8 Def:8)90
32.6%
91
67.4%
Q4 - 4:56LALGasol Tip Shot (10 PTS)90
32.6%
91
67.4%
Q4 - 4:59LALGasol REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8)90
41.1%
89
58.9%
Q4 - 4:59LALMISS Gasol Tip Shot90
48.4%
89
51.6%
Q4 - 5:00LALMISS Radmanovic 9' Jump Shot90
48.4%
89
51.6%
Q4 - 5:20MIABeasley Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)90
39.7%
89
60.3%
Q4 - 5:24LALRadmanovic Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)90
48.4%
89
51.6%
Q4 - 5:32MIABeasley Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)90
39.7%
89
60.3%
Q4 - 5:36LALGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)88
32.2%
89
67.8%
Q4 - 5:36LALMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 288
33.7%
88
66.3%
Q4 - 5:48LALGasol REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)88
31.9%
88
68.1%
Q4 - 5:48MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 288
33.0%
88
67.0%
Q4 - 5:48MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)88
38.0%
88
62.0%
Q4 - 6:05LALBryant Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)87
31.1%
88
68.9%
Q4 - 6:27LALVujacic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
24.7%
88
75.3%
Q4 - 6:30MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup87
26.6%
88
73.4%
Q4 - 6:38MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
31.2%
88
68.8%
Q4 - 6:39LALMISS Bryant 17' Jump Shot87
29.1%
88
70.9%
Q4 - 6:53MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)87
24.8%
88
75.2%
Q4 - 6:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)84
15.3%
88
84.7%
Q4 - 6:54MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot84
12.7%
88
87.3%
Q4 - 7:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)84
15.6%
88
84.4%
Q4 - 7:04LALMISS Bryant 17' Jump Shot84
14.4%
88
85.6%
Q4 - 7:24MIAWade Driving Finger Roll Layup (27 PTS)84
12.0%
88
88.0%
Q4 - 7:41LALVujacic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Fisher 10 AST)82
9.5%
88
90.5%
Q4 - 7:53MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Quinn 5 AST)82
15.3%
85
84.7%
Q4 - 8:01MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
12.7%
85
87.3%
Q4 - 8:02LALMISS Bynum 13' Jump Shot80
11.9%
85
88.1%
Q4 - 8:25MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)80
10.1%
85
89.9%
Q4 - 8:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
6.2%
85
93.8%
Q4 - 8:34LALMISS Fisher 12' Jump Bank Shot77
5.8%
85
94.2%
Q4 - 8:56LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
4.9%
85
95.1%
Q4 - 8:57MIAMISS Quinn 27' 3PT Jump Shot77
5.3%
85
94.7%
Q4 - 9:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
7.0%
85
93.0%
Q4 - 9:05LALMISS Powell 17' Jump Shot77
6.6%
85
93.4%
Q4 - 9:20LALAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
5.6%
85
94.4%
Q4 - 9:21MIAMISS Beasley 22' Jump Shot77
6.0%
85
94.0%
Q4 - 9:34LALBynum Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)77
6.9%
85
93.1%
Q4 - 9:48LALVujacic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
10.9%
82
89.1%
Q4 - 9:50MIAMISS Cook 17' Jump Shot77
11.6%
82
88.4%
Q4 - 10:01MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
13.7%
82
86.3%
Q4 - 10:02LALMISS Powell 19' Jump Shot77
12.9%
82
87.1%
Q4 - 10:16MIAVujacic STEAL (1 STL)77
11.3%
82
88.7%
Q4 - 10:33LALVujacic 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Fisher 9 AST)77
13.7%
82
86.3%
Q4 - 10:39MIAFisher STEAL (3 STL)77
16.6%
80
83.4%
Q4 - 10:50LALAriza Traveling Turnover (P3.T14)77
20.0%
80
80.0%
Q4 - 11:01MIABeasley Layup (11 PTS)77
17.0%
80
83.0%
Q4 - 11:17LALVujacic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Fisher 8 AST)75
14.0%
80
86.0%
Q4 - 11:32MIABeasley 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)75
20.2%
77
79.8%
Q4 - 11:45MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
16.7%
77
83.3%
Q4 - 11:46LALMISS Fisher 19' Jump Shot73
15.9%
77
84.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA73
14.1%
77
85.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound73
16.7%
77
83.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Diawara 69' 3PT Jump Shot73
14.9%
77
85.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0LALBryant Driving Finger Roll Layup (15 PTS)73
16.9%
77
83.1%
Q3 - 0:10.0MIAQuinn 28' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)73
20.4%
75
79.6%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
14.2%
75
85.8%
Q3 - 0:32.0LALMISS Bryant 22' Jump Shot70
13.6%
75
86.4%
Q3 - 0:45.0MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)70
12.2%
75
87.8%
Q3 - 1:07LALBryant Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)67
8.5%
75
91.5%
Q3 - 1:15LALPowell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)67
10.3%
73
89.7%
Q3 - 1:17MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot67
10.8%
73
89.2%
Q3 - 1:32MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
12.1%
73
87.9%
Q3 - 1:33LALMISS Powell 12' Jump Shot67
11.5%
73
88.5%
Q3 - 1:48MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)67
10.3%
73
89.7%
Q3 - 1:48MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)66
10.0%
73
90.0%
Q3 - 1:59LALBryant Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)65
8.5%
73
91.5%
Q3 - 2:17LALPowell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)65
7.4%
73
92.6%
Q3 - 2:18MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 165
7.6%
73
92.4%
Q3 - 2:19LALRadmanovic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)63
6.2%
73
93.8%
Q3 - 2:30MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)63
5.2%
73
94.8%
Q3 - 2:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)60
3.6%
73
96.4%
Q3 - 2:44MIAMISS Cook Layup60
3.2%
73
96.8%
Q3 - 3:02LALFisher 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bryant 7 AST)60
3.8%
73
96.2%
Q3 - 3:24LALGasol REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)60
5.3%
70
94.7%
Q3 - 3:25MIAMISS Marion 13' Jump Shot60
5.6%
70
94.4%
Q3 - 3:54LALBryant 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Fisher 7 AST)60
6.4%
70
93.6%
Q3 - 3:59LALFisher REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)60
8.8%
67
91.2%
Q3 - 4:00MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
9.3%
67
90.7%
Q3 - 4:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
10.8%
67
89.2%
Q3 - 4:08MIAMISS Wade 24' Jump Shot60
9.5%
67
90.5%
Q3 - 4:13MIAHeat Rebound60
10.8%
67
89.2%
Q3 - 4:14MIARadmanovic BLOCK (1 BLK)60
9.5%
67
90.5%
Q3 - 4:26LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)60
10.8%
67
89.2%
Q3 - 4:44MIAMarion Layup (12 PTS) (Quinn 4 AST)60
14.2%
64
85.8%
Q3 - 5:02LALBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)58
12.5%
64
87.5%
Q3 - 5:02LALMISS Bynum Free Throw 1 of 258
13.0%
63
87.0%
Q3 - 5:02LALGasol REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)58
12.3%
63
87.7%
Q3 - 5:03LALGasol REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)58
12.3%
63
87.7%
Q3 - 5:03LALMISS Gasol Tip Shot58
13.8%
63
86.2%
Q3 - 5:04LALGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)58
12.3%
63
87.7%
Q3 - 5:04LALMISS Gasol Tip Shot58
13.8%
63
86.2%
Q3 - 5:06LALMISS Bynum Layup58
13.8%
63
86.2%
Q3 - 5:21LALLAKERS Rebound58
12.3%
63
87.7%
Q3 - 5:21MIAMISS Quinn 16' Jump Shot58
12.9%
63
87.1%
Q3 - 5:33MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)58
14.5%
63
85.5%
Q3 - 5:37LALMISS Bynum 9' Jump Shot58
13.8%
63
86.2%
Q3 - 5:50MIAQuinn 10' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)58
12.3%
63
87.7%
Q3 - 6:03MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
10.9%
63
89.1%
Q3 - 6:04LALMISS Bryant 16' Jump Shot56
10.3%
63
89.7%
Q3 - 6:14LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
9.3%
63
90.7%
Q3 - 6:15MIAMISS Cook 21' Jump Shot56
9.7%
63
90.3%
Q3 - 6:38MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)56
10.8%
63
89.2%
Q3 - 6:40LALMISS Bynum Free Throw 2 of 256
10.6%
63
89.4%
Q3 - 6:40LALBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)56
9.8%
63
90.2%
Q3 - 6:40LALRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)56
10.7%
62
89.3%
Q3 - 6:40LALMISS Gasol Layup56
11.9%
62
88.1%
Q3 - 6:51MIAQuinn Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Cook 2 AST)56
10.7%
62
89.3%
Q3 - 6:55LALFisher Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)54
9.4%
62
90.6%
Q3 - 6:58LALRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
8.0%
62
92.0%
Q3 - 6:59LALMISS Bynum 15' Jump Shot54
8.9%
62
91.1%
Q3 - 7:13MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)54
8.2%
62
91.8%
Q3 - 7:28LALBynum Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)51
6.2%
62
93.8%
Q3 - 7:47MIAMagloire Foul Turnover (P1.T7)51
8.2%
59
91.8%
Q3 - 8:01LALFisher Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)51
9.6%
59
90.4%
Q3 - 8:01LALFisher Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)51
9.8%
58
90.2%
Q3 - 8:13LALLAKERS Rebound51
10.9%
57
89.1%
Q3 - 8:14MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot51
11.4%
57
88.6%
Q3 - 8:28MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
12.6%
57
87.4%
Q3 - 8:32MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup51
11.4%
57
88.6%
Q3 - 8:48MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)51
12.6%
57
87.4%
Q3 - 8:49LALMISS Radmanovic 3PT Jump Shot51
12.0%
57
88.0%
Q3 - 9:03LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
11.0%
57
89.0%
Q3 - 9:04MIAMISS Marion 7' Turnaround Jump Shot51
11.4%
57
88.6%
Q3 - 9:16LALFisher Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)51
12.5%
57
87.5%
Q3 - 9:23LALRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
11.0%
57
89.0%
Q3 - 9:24MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot51
11.4%
57
88.6%
Q3 - 9:50LALGasol Reverse Dunk (7 PTS)51
12.5%
57
87.5%
Q3 - 9:50LALGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)51
14.2%
55
85.8%
Q3 - 9:51LALMISS Bryant Layup51
15.5%
55
84.5%
Q3 - 10:04LALFisher REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)51
14.2%
55
85.8%
Q3 - 10:05LALMISS Fisher 9' Jump Shot51
15.4%
55
84.6%
Q3 - 10:19LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
14.2%
55
85.8%
Q3 - 10:20MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot51
14.7%
55
85.3%
Q3 - 10:38LALFisher Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)51
16.0%
55
84.0%
Q3 - 10:42MIAFisher STEAL (2 STL)51
18.0%
53
82.0%
Q3 - 10:55LALRadmanovic 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Fisher 6 AST)51
20.3%
53
79.7%
Q3 - 11:09LALGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)51
24.6%
50
75.4%
Q3 - 11:10MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot51
25.5%
50
74.5%
Q3 - 11:21MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
27.5%
50
72.5%
Q3 - 11:22LALMISS Bryant 16' Jump Shot51
26.6%
50
73.4%
Q3 - 11:37LALRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
24.6%
50
75.4%
Q3 - 11:38MIAMISS Haslem Layup51
25.5%
50
74.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0LAL51
27.5%
50
72.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0LALLAKERS Rebound51
24.7%
50
75.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0LALMISS Radmanovic 49' 3PT Jump Shot51
26.6%
50
73.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIARadmanovic STEAL (2 STL)51
24.7%
50
75.3%
Q2 - 0:04.0LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)51
26.7%
50
73.3%
Q2 - 0:04.0LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)51
27.0%
49
73.0%
Q2 - 0:10.0MIACook 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)51
30.1%
48
69.9%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAHeat Rebound48
24.2%
48
75.8%
Q2 - 0:32.0LALMISS Bryant 27' 3PT Jump Shot48
23.6%
48
76.4%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAQuinn 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS)48
22.3%
48
77.7%
Q2 - 1:17LALFisher 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Radmanovic 1 AST)46
19.4%
48
80.6%
Q2 - 1:26LALPowell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)46
22.2%
46
77.8%
Q2 - 1:27LALMISS Radmanovic 3PT Jump Shot46
23.3%
46
76.7%
Q2 - 1:41MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)46
22.2%
46
77.8%
Q2 - 1:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
23.8%
46
76.2%
Q2 - 1:55LALMISS Gasol Free Throw 2 of 246
23.6%
46
76.4%
Q2 - 1:55LALGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)46
22.0%
46
78.0%
Q2 - 2:09LALRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
23.5%
45
76.5%
Q2 - 2:10MIAMISS Marion 19' Jump Shot46
24.3%
45
75.7%
Q2 - 2:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
26.0%
45
74.0%
Q2 - 2:22LALMISS Gasol 19' Jump Shot46
25.2%
45
74.8%
Q2 - 2:34MIAWade 14' Jump Shot (15 PTS)46
23.6%
45
76.4%
Q2 - 2:50LALGasol 3' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)44
21.4%
45
78.6%
Q2 - 2:52LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
23.6%
43
76.4%
Q2 - 2:53LALMISS Bryant 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
25.3%
43
74.7%
Q2 - 3:04LALGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)44
23.0%
43
77.0%
Q2 - 3:05MIAMISS Quinn Layup44
23.8%
43
76.2%
Q2 - 3:23MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
25.7%
43
74.3%
Q2 - 3:25LALMISS Gasol 13' Jump Shot44
24.8%
43
75.2%
Q2 - 3:38LALBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
23.0%
43
77.0%
Q2 - 3:39MIAMISS Cook 16' Jump Shot44
23.8%
43
76.2%
Q2 - 3:43MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
25.7%
43
74.3%
Q2 - 3:45MIAMISS Cook 21' Jump Shot44
23.8%
43
76.2%
Q2 - 3:56MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)44
25.7%
43
74.3%
Q2 - 3:57LALMISS Fisher 7' Jump Shot44
24.8%
43
75.2%
Q2 - 4:00LALFisher REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
23.0%
43
77.0%
Q2 - 4:01LALMISS Fisher Layup44
24.2%
43
75.8%
Q2 - 4:11MIAMarion 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST)44
22.6%
43
77.4%
Q2 - 4:30LALRadmanovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Fisher 5 AST)42
20.7%
43
79.3%
Q2 - 4:41MIACook 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)42
24.8%
40
75.2%
Q2 - 4:57LALBynum Layup (14 PTS) (Fisher 4 AST)39
20.7%
40
79.3%
Q2 - 5:06LALFisher REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
22.5%
38
77.5%
Q2 - 5:08MIAMISS Marion Layup39
23.1%
38
76.9%
Q2 - 5:24LALRadmanovic Layup (7 PTS) (Fisher 3 AST)39
24.6%
38
75.4%
Q2 - 5:38MIAQuinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)39
26.9%
36
73.1%
Q2 - 5:57LALFisher 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)36
22.4%
36
77.6%
Q2 - 6:20MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)36
24.2%
34
75.8%
Q2 - 6:20MIAMagloire Tip Shot (4 PTS)36
24.2%
34
75.8%
Q2 - 6:22MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot34
20.9%
34
79.1%
Q2 - 6:34MIAHeat Rebound34
22.5%
34
77.5%
Q2 - 6:35MIAMISS Quinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
20.9%
34
79.1%
Q2 - 6:47LALAriza Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)34
22.5%
34
77.5%
Q2 - 7:00MIAWade 22' Jump Shot (13 PTS)34
20.3%
34
79.7%
Q2 - 7:11MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
18.3%
34
81.7%
Q2 - 7:12LALMISS Powell 21' Jump Shot32
17.8%
34
82.2%
Q2 - 7:20MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)32
16.6%
34
83.4%
Q2 - 7:20MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)31
16.3%
34
83.7%
Q2 - 7:38LALPowell Dunk (8 PTS) (Vujacic 2 AST)30
15.2%
34
84.8%
Q2 - 7:54MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)30
16.6%
32
83.4%
Q2 - 8:15LALAriza Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Vujacic 1 AST)27
13.8%
32
86.2%
Q2 - 8:25LALGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)27
15.2%
30
84.8%
Q2 - 8:26LALMISS Ariza 20' Jump Shot27
16.1%
30
83.9%
Q2 - 8:40MIAMarion 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)27
15.2%
30
84.8%
Q2 - 8:47MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
13.8%
30
86.2%
Q2 - 8:48MIAMISS Quinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
12.9%
30
87.1%
Q2 - 8:53MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
13.8%
30
86.2%
Q2 - 8:56LALMISS Gasol 8' Hook Shot25
13.4%
30
86.6%
Q2 - 9:23MIACook 5' Running Bank Shot (5 PTS)25
12.5%
30
87.5%
Q2 - 9:42LALFisher Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)23
11.4%
30
88.6%
Q2 - 9:44MIAFisher STEAL (1 STL)23
10.3%
30
89.7%
Q2 - 9:59LALPowell Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)23
11.4%
30
88.6%
Q2 - 10:01LALGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)23
12.6%
28
87.4%
Q2 - 10:02LALMISS Gasol 14' Jump Shot23
13.5%
28
86.5%
Q2 - 10:18LALAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)23
12.6%
28
87.4%
Q2 - 10:19MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot23
13.0%
28
87.0%
Q2 - 10:36LALPowell 22' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)23
13.8%
28
86.2%
Q2 - 10:56MIAMagloire Dunk (2 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)23
15.1%
26
84.9%
Q2 - 11:18LALPowell 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)21
14.0%
26
86.0%
Q2 - 11:31LALPowell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
12.8%
26
87.2%
Q2 - 11:31LALMISS Vujacic 15' Jump Shot21
13.6%
26
86.4%
Q2 - 11:43LALPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
12.8%
26
87.2%
Q2 - 11:43MIAPowell BLOCK (1 BLK)21
13.2%
26
86.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA21
14.0%
26
86.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0LALVujacic 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bryant 6 AST)21
14.0%
26
86.0%
Q1 - 0:23.0LALVujacic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
15.3%
24
84.7%
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
15.6%
24
84.4%
Q1 - 0:38.0LALPowell 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bryant 5 AST)21
16.3%
24
83.7%
Q1 - 0:50.0LALAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
18.0%
22
82.0%
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot21
18.4%
22
81.6%
Q1 - 1:04MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
19.0%
22
81.0%
Q1 - 1:05LALMISS Ariza Free Throw 2 of 221
18.8%
22
81.2%
Q1 - 1:05LALMISS Ariza Free Throw 1 of 221
17.9%
22
82.1%
Q1 - 1:05LALAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
18.0%
22
82.0%
Q1 - 1:06LALMISS Ariza Layup21
18.7%
22
81.3%
Q1 - 1:12LALVujacic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
18.0%
22
82.0%
Q1 - 1:13MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
18.3%
22
81.7%
Q1 - 1:27LALAriza Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)21
19.0%
22
81.0%
Q1 - 1:48LALAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
18.0%
22
82.0%
Q1 - 1:49MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 121
18.1%
22
81.9%
Q1 - 1:53MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
16.2%
22
83.8%
Q1 - 1:56LALMISS Powell 6' Jump Shot19
15.9%
22
84.1%
Q1 - 2:09LALAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
15.4%
22
84.6%
Q1 - 2:10MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
15.7%
22
84.3%
Q1 - 2:21MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
16.4%
22
83.6%
Q1 - 2:22LALMISS Ariza 16' Jump Shot19
16.0%
22
84.0%
Q1 - 2:36MIAWade Driving Layup (4 PTS)19
15.4%
22
84.6%
Q1 - 2:48LALBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)17
14.0%
22
86.0%
Q1 - 2:48LALBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)17
14.3%
21
85.7%
Q1 - 3:05MIAMarion Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)17
15.1%
20
84.9%
Q1 - 3:10LALBryant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)15
13.9%
20
86.1%
Q1 - 3:15MIACook 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)15
12.9%
20
87.1%
Q1 - 3:44LALGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
11.0%
20
89.0%
Q1 - 3:44LALGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
11.1%
19
88.9%
Q1 - 3:51MIABeasley 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)12
11.9%
18
88.1%
Q1 - 4:13LALRadmanovic Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Bryant 4 AST)10
10.9%
18
89.1%
Q1 - 4:15LALGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)10
11.8%
16
88.2%
Q1 - 4:16MIAMISS Beasley 15' Jump Shot10
12.1%
16
87.9%
Q1 - 4:39LALBynum Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)10
12.8%
16
87.2%
Q1 - 5:01MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
12.0%
16
88.0%
Q1 - 5:16LALGasol Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)8
11.2%
16
88.8%
Q1 - 5:33LALGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
10.3%
16
89.7%
Q1 - 5:34MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot8
10.6%
16
89.4%
Q1 - 5:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
11.2%
16
88.8%
Q1 - 5:44LALMISS Gasol 15' Jump Shot8
10.9%
16
89.1%
Q1 - 5:57LALGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
10.3%
16
89.7%
Q1 - 5:58MIAMISS Marion 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
10.6%
16
89.4%
Q1 - 6:23LALBynum Driving Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Bryant 3 AST)8
11.0%
16
89.0%
Q1 - 6:27MIARadmanovic STEAL (1 STL)8
11.9%
14
88.1%
Q1 - 6:43LALBryant 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Fisher 2 AST)8
12.8%
14
87.2%
Q1 - 6:56MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P1.T1)8
14.8%
11
85.2%
Q1 - 7:03LALBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)8
15.7%
11
84.3%
Q1 - 7:03LALBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)8
16.0%
10
84.0%
Q1 - 7:18LALBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
16.8%
9
83.2%
Q1 - 7:19MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
17.2%
9
82.8%
Q1 - 7:45LALRadmanovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
18.1%
9
81.9%
Q1 - 8:05MIAAnthony Slam Dunk (2 PTS)8
16.6%
9
83.4%
Q1 - 8:28LALBynum 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bryant 2 AST)6
15.4%
9
84.6%
Q1 - 8:46LALLAKERS Rebound6
16.6%
7
83.4%
Q1 - 8:46MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup6
16.9%
7
83.1%
Q1 - 8:56MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
17.8%
7
82.2%
Q1 - 8:57LALMISS Gasol 18' Jump Shot6
17.4%
7
82.6%
Q1 - 9:11MIAMarion 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)6
16.6%
7
83.4%
Q1 - 9:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
15.5%
7
84.5%
Q1 - 9:26LALMISS Fisher 28' 3PT Jump Shot4
15.2%
7
84.8%
Q1 - 9:29LALGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
14.5%
7
85.5%
Q1 - 9:32MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
15.4%
7
84.6%
Q1 - 9:32MIAMISS Anthony Tip Shot4
14.8%
7
85.2%
Q1 - 9:34MIAMISS Marion 10' Jump Shot4
14.8%
7
85.2%
Q1 - 9:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
15.4%
7
84.6%
Q1 - 9:43LALMISS Gasol Layup4
15.2%
7
84.8%
Q1 - 9:50MIAMarion 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
14.5%
7
85.5%
Q1 - 10:12LALBynum Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)2
13.7%
7
86.3%
Q1 - 10:23LALFisher REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
14.6%
5
85.4%
Q1 - 10:25MIABynum BLOCK (1 BLK)2
14.9%
5
85.1%
Q1 - 10:25MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
15.6%
5
84.4%
Q1 - 10:27MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot2
14.9%
5
85.1%
Q1 - 10:32LALBynum Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
15.6%
5
84.4%
Q1 - 10:35LALRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
14.6%
5
85.4%
Q1 - 10:36MIAMISS Chalmers 11' Jump Shot2
14.9%
5
85.1%
Q1 - 11:02LALBynum 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bryant 1 AST)2
15.4%
5
84.6%
Q1 - 11:22MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)2
16.3%
3
83.7%
Q1 - 11:40LALRadmanovic 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Fisher 1 AST)0
15.4%
3
84.6%
Q1 - 12:00LALJump Ball Bynum vs. Anthony: Tip to Radmanovic0
17.2%
0
82.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.6%
LAL
1.09 54.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
28
64%
LAL
18
28
64%
Midrange
MIA
16
42
38%
LAL
10
38
26%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
23
39%
59%
LAL
9
13.5
17
53%
79%
Free Throws
MIA
10
14
71%
LAL
25
31
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2756%13.5 / 24
M. Beasley2368%11.5 / 17
D. Cook1761%8.5 / 14
S. Marion1250%6.0 / 12
C. Quinn1250%6.0 / 12
U. Haslem850%4.0 / 8
J. Magloire4100%2.0 / 2
J. Anthony250%1.0 / 2
M. Chalmers0-0.0 / 3
J. Jones0-0.0 / 1
Y. Diawara0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Bynum2471%12.0 / 17
K. Bryant1956%9.5 / 17
V. Radmanovic1882%9.0 / 11
P. Gasol1437%7.0 / 19
D. Fisher1346%6.5 / 14
S. Vujacic10100%5.0 / 5
J. Powell844%4.0 / 9
T. Ariza220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
82
+13
-10
95
LAL
79
+19
-17
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.6%
LAL
1.09 54.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.6
112.4
MIA 114.1 +1.6
LAL 112.5
Pace
90.2
94.7
MIA 90.4
LAL 97.7 +7.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.1
MIA 15.9
LAL 14.7 +1.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
51.3%
MIA 51.1% +1.1%
LAL 50.0%
TO %
13.1%
13.8%
MIA 9.2% +5.8%
LAL 15.0%
ORB %
24.6%
29.3%
MIA 20.0%
LAL 37.0% +17.0%
FTrt
28.2
29.9
MIA 15.1
LAL 37.3 +22.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.1%
57.7%
MIA 48.8%
LAL 70.3% +21.5%
STL %
8.7%
9.2%
MIA 9.8% +3.5%
LAL 6.3%
BLK %
9.2%
8.2%
MIA 4.5% +0.2%
LAL 4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.6%
54.2%
MIA 53.6%
LAL 54.5% +0.9%
Rim FG%
59.5%
61.0%
MIA 64.3%
LAL 64.3%
Mid FG%
41.8%
41.8%
MIA 38.1% +11.8%
LAL 26.3%
3P %
35.7%
36.1%
MIA 39.1%
LAL 52.9% +13.8%
FT %
75.4%
77.1%
MIA 71.4%
LAL 80.6% +9.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
35.5%
MIA 30.1%
LAL 33.7% +3.6%
Mid Att. %
45.2%
42.8%
MIA 45.2% +0.6%
LAL 45.8%
3P Att. %
24.5%
21.7%
MIA 24.7% +4.2%
LAL 20.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIALAL
Possessions9296
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points105108
Rebounds3853
Assists2126
Steals96
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)17 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)36 (4)
Field Goals43-9337-83
At-the-Rim FG18-2818-28
Midrange FG16-4210-38
2-Point FG34-7028-66
3-Point FG9-239-17
Free Throws10-1425-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 27
41.0
27
56%
5
9
2
2
3
3
0
5
6-7
86%
9-19
47%
1-3
33%
F · 6'7" 228 · 31
35.4
12
50%
8
1
2
0
0
4
2
6
0-0
-
6-11
55%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 29
33.8
8
50%
7
0
1
0
1
5
3
4
2-4
50%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 23
9.3
0
0%
1
2
0
0
1
3
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 26
8.9
2
50%
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
31.8
12
50%
3
7
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
60%
2-7
29%
G · 6'5" 210 · 22
29.7
17
61%
1
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-6
17%
5-9
56%
F · 6'9" 235 · 20
22.0
23
68%
5
0
2
0
2
4
0
5
2-3
67%
9-15
60%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 265 · 31
16.0
4
100%
7
0
0
0
1
4
2
5
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28
6.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26
5.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#5 · G · 6'2" 205 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
54%
38
21
9
3
10
0
9
29
10-14
71%
34-70
49%
9-23
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.