FinalWin Prob.pScore
542%91
105
458%94
98
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
115.49191.3
SAS logo SAS
106.59291.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS105
100%
98
0%
Q4 - 0:06.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)105
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:07.0SASMISS Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot105
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)105
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)104
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)103
99.8%
98
0.2%
Q4 - 0:13.0SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot103
99.6%
98
0.4%
Q4 - 0:16.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)103
99.1%
98
0.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0SASMISS Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot103
99.6%
98
0.4%
Q4 - 0:25.0SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)103
98.2%
98
1.8%
Q4 - 0:26.0ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 2 of 2103
98.4%
98
1.6%
Q4 - 0:26.0ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)103
99.1%
98
0.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)102
98.2%
98
1.8%
Q4 - 0:29.0SASMISS Parker 3' Layup102
97.4%
98
2.6%
Q4 - 0:35.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)102
95.4%
98
4.6%
Q4 - 0:37.0ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot102
96.6%
98
3.4%
Q4 - 0:51.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)102
95.5%
98
4.5%
Q4 - 0:53.0SASMISS Parker 6' Jump Shot102
94.3%
98
5.7%
Q4 - 0:59.0ORLGinobili STEAL (1 STL)102
90.4%
98
9.6%
Q4 - 1:21SASBonner 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)102
93.1%
98
6.9%
Q4 - 1:27ORLNelson 16' Jump Shot (19 PTS)102
95.4%
96
4.6%
Q4 - 1:39ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)100
91.2%
96
8.8%
Q4 - 1:40SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Shot100
89.5%
96
10.5%
Q4 - 1:56ORLNelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Lewis 4 AST)100
84.2%
96
15.8%
Q4 - 2:18SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)97
70.0%
96
30.0%
Q4 - 2:18SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)97
71.3%
95
28.7%
Q4 - 2:34ORLRedick 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)97
76.0%
94
24.0%
Q4 - 3:01SASGinobili 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (16 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)94
57.1%
94
42.9%
Q4 - 3:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)94
64.7%
92
35.3%
Q4 - 3:15ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
68.9%
92
31.1%
Q4 - 3:25SASBonner Illegal Screen Turnover (P1.T11)94
77.3%
92
22.7%
Q4 - 3:39ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)94
62.2%
92
37.8%
Q4 - 3:39ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)93
59.0%
92
41.0%
Q4 - 4:04SASParker 20' Jump Shot (31 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)92
53.8%
92
46.2%
Q4 - 4:23ORLNelson 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS)92
62.7%
90
37.3%
Q4 - 4:43SASDuncan 1' Layup (18 PTS)90
53.9%
90
46.1%
Q4 - 5:02ORLLewis Free Throw 3 of 3 (15 PTS)90
60.3%
88
39.7%
Q4 - 5:02ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 3 (14 PTS)89
59.1%
88
40.9%
Q4 - 5:02ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 3 (13 PTS)88
57.7%
88
42.3%
Q4 - 5:13SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P2.T10)87
43.9%
88
56.1%
Q4 - 5:22ORLRedick Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)87
35.5%
88
64.5%
Q4 - 5:46SASBonner 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)87
44.0%
88
56.0%
Q4 - 6:11ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)87
51.2%
86
48.8%
Q4 - 6:11ORLHoward 1' Putback Slam Dunk (22 PTS)87
51.2%
86
48.8%
Q4 - 6:13ORLMISS Turkoglu 2' Running Layup85
38.7%
86
61.3%
Q4 - 6:32SASMason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Finley 3 AST)85
44.0%
86
56.0%
Q4 - 6:41SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)85
58.8%
83
41.2%
Q4 - 6:42ORLMISS Nelson Driving Layup85
61.1%
83
38.9%
Q4 - 6:56SASDuncan 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS)85
66.3%
83
33.7%
Q4 - 7:10SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)85
70.1%
81
29.9%
Q4 - 7:12ORLMISS Howard 1' Layup85
72.0%
81
28.0%
Q4 - 7:26SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)85
76.1%
81
23.9%
Q4 - 7:26SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)85
77.4%
80
22.6%
Q4 - 7:38ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)85
80.5%
79
19.5%
Q4 - 7:50ORLMagic Rebound82
70.7%
79
29.3%
Q4 - 7:51ORLMISS Nelson 11' Jump Shot82
66.1%
79
33.9%
Q4 - 8:08SASFinley 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)82
68.6%
79
31.4%
Q4 - 8:22ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)82
74.1%
77
25.9%
Q4 - 8:22ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)81
73.4%
77
26.6%
Q4 - 8:38ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
68.7%
77
31.3%
Q4 - 8:39SASMISS Mason Jr. 18' Jump Shot80
67.0%
77
33.0%
Q4 - 8:57ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)80
63.1%
77
36.9%
Q4 - 9:05ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
49.8%
77
50.2%
Q4 - 9:07SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot77
48.0%
77
52.0%
Q4 - 9:35ORLBogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)77
44.0%
77
56.0%
Q4 - 9:41ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)74
32.4%
77
67.6%
Q4 - 9:42ORLMISS Redick 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
29.0%
77
71.0%
Q4 - 9:57ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
32.4%
77
67.6%
Q4 - 9:58SASMISS Duncan 7' Turnaround Jump Shot74
30.9%
77
69.1%
Q4 - 10:08SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)74
28.3%
77
71.7%
Q4 - 10:09ORLMISS Nelson 18' Jump Shot74
29.7%
77
70.3%
Q4 - 10:32SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Mason Jr. 3 AST)74
33.0%
77
67.0%
Q4 - 10:41SASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
43.8%
74
56.2%
Q4 - 10:43ORLMISS Gortat 3' Layup74
45.4%
74
54.6%
Q4 - 10:56ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
49.3%
74
50.7%
Q4 - 10:58SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
47.6%
74
52.4%
Q4 - 11:12SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
43.7%
74
56.3%
Q4 - 11:14ORLMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot74
45.3%
74
54.7%
Q4 - 11:46SASThomas 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)74
48.8%
74
51.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL74
54.4%
72
45.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
59.4%
72
40.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
56.9%
72
43.1%
Q3 - 0:17.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)74
53.9%
72
46.1%
Q3 - 0:17.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)73
53.1%
72
46.9%
Q3 - 0:30.0SASHill Driving Layup (4 PTS)72
48.2%
72
51.8%
Q3 - 0:44.0ORLRedick Foul Turnover (P2.T11)72
53.9%
70
46.1%
Q3 - 0:56.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)72
58.4%
70
41.6%
Q3 - 0:56.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)72
59.0%
69
41.0%
Q3 - 1:11ORLTurkoglu Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)72
62.6%
68
37.4%
Q3 - 1:26SASGinobili Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T9)72
66.7%
68
33.3%
Q3 - 1:26ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P5.T9)72
62.7%
68
37.3%
Q3 - 1:43ORLLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
66.8%
68
33.2%
Q3 - 1:44SASMISS Ginobili 3' Layup72
65.5%
68
34.5%
Q3 - 2:02ORLRedick 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)72
61.2%
68
38.8%
Q3 - 2:22ORLMagic Rebound69
52.1%
68
47.9%
Q3 - 2:24SASMISS Hill 17' Jump Shot69
50.7%
68
49.3%
Q3 - 2:50ORLHoward 1' Dunk (17 PTS) (Turkoglu 5 AST)69
47.5%
68
52.5%
Q3 - 3:10SASDuncan 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)67
42.8%
68
57.2%
Q3 - 3:27ORLHoward 4' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)67
47.0%
66
53.0%
Q3 - 3:46ORLMagic Rebound65
42.8%
66
57.2%
Q3 - 3:46SASMISS Ginobili 19' Jump Shot65
41.4%
66
58.6%
Q3 - 4:03SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
37.9%
66
62.1%
Q3 - 4:04ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
39.4%
66
60.6%
Q3 - 4:27ORLMagic Rebound65
42.9%
66
57.1%
Q3 - 4:28SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot65
41.4%
66
58.6%
Q3 - 4:58ORLTurkoglu 1' Reverse Layup (19 PTS)65
38.0%
66
62.0%
Q3 - 5:19SASParker 17' Jump Shot (29 PTS)63
34.4%
66
65.6%
Q3 - 5:28SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
37.8%
64
62.2%
Q3 - 5:29ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 263
38.4%
64
61.6%
Q3 - 5:29ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)63
41.2%
64
58.8%
Q3 - 5:48SASGinobili 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)62
38.3%
64
61.7%
Q3 - 6:09ORLTurkoglu 9' Jump Shot (16 PTS)62
41.8%
62
58.2%
Q3 - 6:23SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)60
38.2%
62
61.8%
Q3 - 6:23SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)60
39.1%
61
60.9%
Q3 - 6:23SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)60
41.8%
60
58.2%
Q3 - 6:30SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
45.8%
59
54.2%
Q3 - 6:33ORLMISS Turkoglu 4' Running Finger Roll Layup60
47.1%
59
52.9%
Q3 - 6:56SASDuncan Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)60
50.1%
59
49.9%
Q3 - 7:16ORLTurkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)60
45.3%
59
54.7%
Q3 - 7:32SASParker 17' Jump Shot (25 PTS)57
38.0%
59
62.0%
Q3 - 7:41SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
41.5%
57
58.5%
Q3 - 7:42ORLMISS Lewis 8' Jump Shot57
42.7%
57
57.3%
Q3 - 7:53SASParker 6' Floating Jump Shot (23 PTS)57
45.5%
57
54.5%
Q3 - 8:13ORLBonner STEAL (2 STL)57
48.7%
55
51.3%
Q3 - 8:14ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)57
52.8%
55
47.2%
Q3 - 8:16SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot57
51.5%
55
48.5%
Q3 - 8:34ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P3.T7)57
48.7%
55
51.3%
Q3 - 8:57SASParker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)57
52.8%
55
47.2%
Q3 - 9:21ORLTurkoglu 2' Running Reverse Layup (11 PTS)57
59.6%
52
40.4%
Q3 - 9:29ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)55
56.0%
52
44.0%
Q3 - 9:31SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot55
54.9%
52
45.1%
Q3 - 9:50SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
52.3%
52
47.7%
Q3 - 9:52SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot55
54.9%
52
45.1%
Q3 - 10:02SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
51.8%
52
48.2%
Q3 - 10:04ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
52.9%
52
47.1%
Q3 - 10:10ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
55.4%
52
44.6%
Q3 - 10:12SASMISS Duncan 4' Running Jump Shot55
54.3%
52
45.7%
Q3 - 10:30SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
51.8%
52
48.2%
Q3 - 10:31ORLMISS Lewis 18' Jump Shot55
52.9%
52
47.1%
Q3 - 10:59SASFinley 2' Dunk (8 PTS)55
55.4%
52
44.6%
Q3 - 11:02ORLFinley STEAL (1 STL)55
58.2%
50
41.8%
Q3 - 11:04ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
61.8%
50
38.2%
Q3 - 11:06SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot55
60.7%
50
39.3%
Q3 - 11:15SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
58.2%
50
41.8%
Q3 - 11:16ORLMISS Nelson 4' Jump Shot55
59.3%
50
40.7%
Q3 - 11:24ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
61.8%
50
38.2%
Q3 - 11:25SASMISS Bonner 7' Running Jump Shot55
60.7%
50
39.3%
Q3 - 11:45SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
58.2%
50
41.8%
Q3 - 11:46ORLMISS Turkoglu 11' Fadeaway Jumper55
59.3%
50
40.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS55
61.8%
50
38.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLNelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)55
58.3%
50
41.7%
Q2 - 0:08.0SASParker 1' Driving Layup (18 PTS)52
50.8%
50
49.2%
Q2 - 0:31.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
55.0%
48
45.0%
Q2 - 0:33.0ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
55.8%
48
44.2%
Q2 - 0:52.0ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
57.6%
48
42.4%
Q2 - 0:54.0SASMISS Ginobili 7' Fadeaway Jumper52
56.8%
48
43.2%
Q2 - 1:15ORLHoward 3' Dunk (13 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)52
54.7%
48
45.3%
Q2 - 1:25ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
50.6%
48
49.4%
Q2 - 1:26SASMISS Finley 12' Jump Shot50
49.8%
48
50.2%
Q2 - 1:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
48.2%
48
51.8%
Q2 - 1:36ORLMISS Lewis 4' Jump Shot50
48.9%
48
51.1%
Q2 - 1:47SASFinley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)50
50.5%
48
49.5%
Q2 - 1:53SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
48.2%
48
51.8%
Q2 - 1:55ORLMISS Howard 9' Jump Bank Shot50
48.9%
48
51.1%
Q2 - 2:13SASParker 13' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)50
50.5%
48
49.5%
Q2 - 2:36SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
53.7%
46
46.3%
Q2 - 2:37ORLMISS Lewis 4' Jump Shot50
54.7%
46
45.3%
Q2 - 2:59ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)50
56.9%
46
43.1%
Q2 - 3:01SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot50
55.6%
46
44.4%
Q2 - 3:18ORLLee 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)50
53.1%
46
46.9%
Q2 - 3:29SASParker 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (14 PTS)47
47.4%
46
52.6%
Q2 - 3:42ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)47
50.0%
44
50.0%
Q2 - 3:42ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)46
48.9%
44
51.1%
Q2 - 3:42ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)45
47.4%
44
52.6%
Q2 - 3:43ORLMISS Nelson 2' Driving Layup45
44.9%
44
55.1%
Q2 - 3:52ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
47.4%
44
52.6%
Q2 - 3:53SASMISS Bowen 1' Reverse Layup45
46.3%
44
53.7%
Q2 - 4:03SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
43.6%
44
56.4%
Q2 - 4:05ORLMISS Lewis 3' Layup45
44.6%
44
55.4%
Q2 - 4:27SASParker 1' Driving Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)45
46.9%
44
53.1%
Q2 - 4:37SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
49.7%
42
50.3%
Q2 - 4:39ORLMISS Nelson 3PT Jump Shot45
50.7%
42
49.3%
Q2 - 5:06SASThomas 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)45
52.6%
42
47.4%
Q2 - 5:27ORLBowen STEAL (1 STL)45
55.7%
40
44.3%
Q2 - 5:48SASParker 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)45
58.5%
40
41.5%
Q2 - 6:04ORLRedick 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)45
60.4%
38
39.6%
Q2 - 6:12ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)42
55.3%
38
44.7%
Q2 - 6:14SASMISS Thomas 7' Jump Shot42
54.3%
38
45.7%
Q2 - 6:32ORLRedick Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)42
52.0%
38
48.0%
Q2 - 6:38SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)42
55.3%
38
44.7%
Q2 - 6:45ORLThomas STEAL (1 STL)42
52.0%
38
48.0%
Q2 - 7:03SASThomas 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)42
54.7%
38
45.3%
Q2 - 7:22SASSPURS Rebound42
57.5%
36
42.5%
Q2 - 7:23ORLMISS Nelson 22' Jump Shot42
58.3%
36
41.7%
Q2 - 7:40ORLMagic Rebound42
60.3%
36
39.7%
Q2 - 7:41SASMISS Hill 3' Driving Jump Shot42
59.5%
36
40.5%
Q2 - 7:46SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
57.5%
36
42.5%
Q2 - 7:48ORLMISS Lee 24' Jump Shot42
58.3%
36
41.7%
Q2 - 8:14SASThomas 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mason Jr. 2 AST)42
59.5%
36
40.5%
Q2 - 8:20SASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
62.2%
34
37.8%
Q2 - 8:22SASMISS Mason Jr. 19' Jump Shot42
63.9%
34
36.1%
Q2 - 8:44ORLHoward 2' Dunk (9 PTS) (Lee 3 AST)42
62.3%
34
37.7%
Q2 - 9:03SASGinobili 3' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)40
58.9%
34
41.1%
Q2 - 9:14SASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
61.5%
32
38.5%
Q2 - 9:16ORLMISS Redick 15' Jump Shot40
62.3%
32
37.7%
Q2 - 9:45SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)40
64.0%
32
36.0%
Q2 - 10:00ORLTurkoglu 28' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lee 2 AST)40
61.5%
32
38.5%
Q2 - 10:08SASHill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)37
55.9%
32
44.1%
Q2 - 10:26ORLRedick 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)37
53.3%
32
46.7%
Q2 - 10:40SASMason Jr. 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
48.1%
32
51.9%
Q2 - 10:54SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
50.7%
30
49.3%
Q2 - 10:55ORLMISS Redick 19' Jump Shot34
51.5%
30
48.5%
Q2 - 11:10ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
53.0%
30
47.0%
Q2 - 11:11SASMISS Ginobili 2' Layup34
52.2%
30
47.8%
Q2 - 11:23SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
50.4%
30
49.6%
Q2 - 11:25ORLMISS Gortat 14' Jump Shot34
51.2%
30
48.8%
Q2 - 11:45SASHill 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)34
53.0%
30
47.0%
Q2 - 11:49ORLMason Jr. STEAL (1 STL)34
55.5%
28
44.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS34
58.0%
28
42.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound34
55.5%
28
44.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
57.3%
28
42.7%
Q1 - 0:04.0ORLTurkoglu 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)34
54.9%
28
45.1%
Q1 - 0:23.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
51.9%
28
48.1%
Q1 - 0:23.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)32
52.3%
27
47.7%
Q1 - 0:37.0ORLLewis 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)32
55.0%
26
45.0%
Q1 - 0:54.0SASGinobili Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)30
52.0%
26
48.0%
Q1 - 0:59.0SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
50.1%
26
49.9%
Q1 - 1:01ORLMISS Johnson 12' Jump Shot30
50.3%
26
49.7%
Q1 - 1:12ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
51.4%
26
48.6%
Q1 - 1:13SASMISS Duncan 8' Turnaround Bank Shot30
51.0%
26
49.0%
Q1 - 1:35ORLLewis 9' Turnaround Fadeaway (7 PTS)30
49.8%
26
50.2%
Q1 - 1:53SASGinobili Foul Turnover (P1.T2)28
46.7%
26
53.3%
Q1 - 2:07ORLJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)28
44.8%
26
55.2%
Q1 - 2:28SASFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)25
39.9%
26
60.1%
Q1 - 2:28SASFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)25
40.3%
25
59.7%
Q1 - 2:59ORLLewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)25
42.6%
24
57.4%
Q1 - 3:17SASFinley 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)22
38.0%
24
62.0%
Q1 - 3:20SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
40.1%
22
59.9%
Q1 - 3:23SASMISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
41.7%
22
58.3%
Q1 - 3:28SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
40.1%
22
59.9%
Q1 - 3:30ORLDuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)22
40.8%
22
59.2%
Q1 - 3:37ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)22
42.3%
22
57.7%
Q1 - 3:38SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
41.7%
22
58.3%
Q1 - 3:59ORLLee 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)22
40.1%
22
59.9%
Q1 - 4:06SASGinobili 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)20
37.8%
22
62.2%
Q1 - 4:25SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
39.8%
20
60.2%
Q1 - 4:26ORLMISS Redick 18' Jump Shot20
40.5%
20
59.5%
Q1 - 4:33ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
42.1%
20
57.9%
Q1 - 4:35SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot20
41.4%
20
58.6%
Q1 - 4:47SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
39.8%
20
60.2%
Q1 - 4:49ORLMISS Lee 17' Jump Shot20
40.5%
20
59.5%
Q1 - 5:00SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)20
42.1%
20
57.9%
Q1 - 5:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
39.7%
20
60.3%
Q1 - 5:07ORLMISS Nelson 13' Jump Shot20
40.4%
20
59.6%
Q1 - 5:19SASFinley 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)20
42.0%
20
58.0%
Q1 - 5:33ORLNelson 3' Layup (7 PTS)20
43.9%
18
56.1%
Q1 - 5:42ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)18
42.0%
18
58.0%
Q1 - 5:43SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot18
41.3%
18
58.7%
Q1 - 5:59ORLNelson 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS)18
39.7%
18
60.3%
Q1 - 6:10SASParker 1' Layup (8 PTS)16
37.6%
18
62.4%
Q1 - 6:26ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)16
39.6%
16
60.4%
Q1 - 6:26ORLMagic Rebound15
39.7%
16
60.3%
Q1 - 6:26ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 215
38.9%
16
61.1%
Q1 - 6:28ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)15
39.7%
16
60.3%
Q1 - 6:29ORLDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)15
38.2%
16
61.8%
Q1 - 6:46SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)15
39.7%
16
60.3%
Q1 - 6:46SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)15
40.3%
15
59.7%
Q1 - 7:02ORLTurkoglu 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)15
41.4%
14
58.6%
Q1 - 7:21SASDuncan 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)13
39.6%
14
60.4%
Q1 - 7:39ORLLewis 4' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)13
41.4%
12
58.6%
Q1 - 7:57SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)11
39.6%
12
60.4%
Q1 - 7:57SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)11
40.0%
11
60.0%
Q1 - 8:15ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
41.4%
10
58.6%
Q1 - 8:15ORLHoward 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)11
41.4%
10
58.6%
Q1 - 8:17ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
38.0%
10
62.0%
Q1 - 8:36SASParker 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)9
39.4%
10
60.6%
Q1 - 8:40SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
41.4%
8
58.6%
Q1 - 8:43SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot9
42.9%
8
57.1%
Q1 - 8:57ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
41.4%
8
58.6%
Q1 - 8:57ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
41.1%
8
58.9%
Q1 - 9:02ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
39.6%
8
60.4%
Q1 - 9:03SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot7
39.0%
8
61.0%
Q1 - 9:31ORLHoward 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)7
37.8%
8
62.2%
Q1 - 9:49SASDuncan 2' Running Layup (6 PTS)5
35.8%
8
64.2%
Q1 - 9:59SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
37.8%
6
62.2%
Q1 - 10:00ORLMISS Nelson 21' Jump Shot5
38.3%
6
61.7%
Q1 - 10:10SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)5
39.6%
6
60.4%
Q1 - 10:22ORLBonner STEAL (1 STL)5
41.3%
4
58.7%
Q1 - 10:32ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
43.2%
4
56.8%
Q1 - 10:33SASMISS Finley 20' Jump Shot5
42.6%
4
57.4%
Q1 - 10:52ORLHoward 3' Running Layup (2 PTS)5
41.3%
4
58.7%
Q1 - 11:03SASParker 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)3
39.4%
4
60.6%
Q1 - 11:20ORLNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)3
40.9%
2
59.1%
Q1 - 11:26ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
37.8%
2
62.2%
Q1 - 11:27ORLDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)0
36.7%
2
63.3%
Q1 - 11:46SASDuncan 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)0
37.8%
2
62.2%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Howard: Tip to Parker0
39.3%
0
60.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.24 61.8%
SAS
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
15
28
54%
SAS
18
25
72%
Midrange
ORL
7
24
29%
SAS
18
39
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
14
21.0
22
64%
95%
SAS
3
4.5
13
23%
35%
Free Throws
ORL
19
22
86%
SAS
17
17
100%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard2480%12.0 / 15
J. Nelson2252%11.0 / 21
H. Turkoglu2170%10.5 / 15
R. Lewis1558%7.5 / 13
J. Redick1267%6.0 / 9
C. Lee550%2.5 / 5
A. Johnson350%1.5 / 3
K. Bogans3150%1.5 / 1
M. Gortat0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker3165%15.5 / 24
T. Duncan1856%9.0 / 16
M. Ginobili1856%9.0 / 16
M. Finley1050%5.0 / 10
K. Thomas880%4.0 / 5
R. Mason Jr.563%2.5 / 4
M. Bonner450%2.0 / 4
G. Hill440%2.0 / 5
B. Bowen0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
78
+8
-13
86
SAS
81
+7
-11
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.24 61.8%
SAS
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.0
108.3
ORL 115.4 +8.9
SAS 106.5
Pace
92.5
88.7
ORL 91.3
SAS 91.7 +0.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
16.5
ORL 15.8
SAS 15.7 +0.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.0%
51.3%
ORL 58.1% +5.5%
SAS 52.6%
TO %
14.6%
12.4%
ORL 13.4%
SAS 11.5% +1.9%
ORB %
24.1%
22.2%
ORL 15.8%
SAS 18.2% +2.4%
FTrt
35.1
25.1
ORL 29.7 +7.6
SAS 22.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
57.1%
ORL 61.1% +2.1%
SAS 59.0%
STL %
7.5%
6.5%
ORL 4.4%
SAS 7.6% +3.2%
BLK %
8.0%
6.1%
ORL 3.1%
SAS 5.8% +2.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.4%
53.4%
ORL 61.8% +6.1%
SAS 55.7%
Rim FG%
60.9%
58.8%
ORL 53.6%
SAS 72.0% +18.4%
Mid FG%
39.3%
42.7%
ORL 29.2%
SAS 46.2% +17.0%
3P %
38.1%
38.6%
ORL 63.6% +40.5%
SAS 23.1%
FT %
71.5%
76.2%
ORL 86.4%
SAS 100.0% +13.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.3%
30.3%
ORL 37.8% +5.4%
SAS 32.5%
Mid Att. %
35.2%
44.9%
ORL 32.4% +18.2%
SAS 50.6%
3P Att. %
33.5%
24.8%
ORL 29.7% +12.8%
SAS 16.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.58 and 2.58.
Game TotalsORLSAS
Possessions9192
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points10598
Rebounds3338
Assists2223
Steals47
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (2)6 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (4)32 (1)
Field Goals36-7439-77
At-the-Rim FG15-2818-25
Midrange FG7-2418-39
2-Point FG22-5236-64
3-Point FG14-223-13
Free Throws19-2217-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 265 · 23
41.5
24
80%
14
3
1
2
5
3
5
9
6-7
86%
9-12
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 29
38.8
15
58%
5
4
0
0
0
1
0
5
3-3
100%
3-8
38%
2-4
50%
F · 6'10" 220 · 30
37.0
21
70%
5
5
0
0
1
1
1
4
5-6
83%
5-9
56%
2-3
67%
G · 6'5" 200 · 23
34.0
5
50%
1
3
1
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-1
100%
G · 6'0" 190 · 27
33.9
22
52%
3
5
1
0
2
5
0
3
5-6
83%
4-12
33%
3-6
50%
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25
28.6
12
67%
1
1
1
0
4
4
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
4-6
67%
G · 6'3" 195 · 34
14.1
3
50%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 240 · 25
6.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29
5.6
3
150%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 240 · 33
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28
C · 6'10" 270 · 34
#32 · G-F · 6'7" 195 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#29 · G · 5'10" 180 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · F · 6'6" 215 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
62%
33
22
4
2
13
0
6
27
19-22
86%
22-52
42%
14-22
64%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.