FinalWin Prob.pScore
1432%91
93
968%97
90
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
108.18679.7
DEN logo DEN
101.18996.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN93
100%
90
0%
Q4 - 0:04.0DETAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)93
98.5%
90
1.5%
Q4 - 0:04.0DETAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)92
98.0%
90
2.0%
Q4 - 0:05.0DENSmith Free Throw 3 of 3 (11 PTS)91
96.8%
90
3.2%
Q4 - 0:05.0DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 3 (10 PTS)91
93.6%
89
6.4%
Q4 - 0:05.0DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 391
95.7%
88
4.3%
Q4 - 0:07.0DETAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)91
94.9%
88
5.1%
Q4 - 0:07.0DETAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)90
93.6%
88
6.4%
Q4 - 0:08.0DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)89
86.8%
88
13.2%
Q4 - 0:08.0DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)89
89.6%
87
10.4%
Q4 - 0:09.0DETAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)89
93.3%
86
6.7%
Q4 - 0:09.0DETAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)88
91.7%
86
8.3%
Q4 - 0:12.0DENSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)87
85.4%
86
14.6%
Q4 - 0:20.0DETPrince 9' Running Jump Shot (19 PTS)87
58.1%
86
41.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)85
36.3%
86
63.7%
Q4 - 0:41.0DENMISS Martin 6' Jump Hook Shot85
30.8%
86
69.2%
Q4 - 1:05DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)85
23.8%
86
76.2%
Q4 - 1:06DETMISS Prince 18' Jump Shot85
27.8%
86
72.2%
Q4 - 1:29DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)85
39.8%
86
60.2%
Q4 - 1:48DETMaxiell Dunk (9 PTS) (Iverson 3 AST)85
26.9%
86
73.1%
Q4 - 2:00DETIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
19.0%
86
81.0%
Q4 - 2:03DENMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot83
17.5%
86
82.5%
Q4 - 2:21DETAfflalo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)83
11.6%
86
88.4%
Q4 - 2:40DENBillups Reverse Layup (30 PTS)83
21.4%
86
78.6%
Q4 - 2:53DETAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)83
27.4%
84
72.6%
Q4 - 2:53DETAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)82
25.6%
84
74.4%
Q4 - 3:04DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)81
21.6%
84
78.4%
Q4 - 3:06DENMISS Nene Layup81
18.6%
84
81.4%
Q4 - 3:26DETPrince 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Iverson 2 AST)81
12.8%
84
87.2%
Q4 - 3:33DETAfflalo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)78
8.8%
84
91.2%
Q4 - 3:35DETMISS Iverson 19' Jump Shot78
6.7%
84
93.3%
Q4 - 3:49DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)78
8.4%
84
91.6%
Q4 - 3:49DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 278
9.2%
83
90.8%
Q4 - 3:56DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
8.1%
83
91.9%
Q4 - 3:57DENMISS Martin 9' Jump Shot78
10.5%
83
89.5%
Q4 - 4:07DENNUGGETS Rebound78
8.0%
83
92.0%
Q4 - 4:07DENMISS Nene Driving Dunk78
10.4%
83
89.6%
Q4 - 4:24DETNene STEAL (2 STL)78
7.9%
83
92.1%
Q4 - 4:29DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)78
11.5%
83
88.5%
Q4 - 4:30DENMISS Smith 18' Fadeaway Jumper78
10.3%
83
89.7%
Q4 - 4:56DETIverson Driving Layup (23 PTS)78
7.8%
83
92.2%
Q4 - 5:11DENBillups 17' Jump Shot (28 PTS)76
7.5%
83
92.5%
Q4 - 5:26DETMcDyess 5' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)76
10.0%
81
90.0%
Q4 - 5:26DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)74
7.5%
81
92.5%
Q4 - 5:26DETMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot74
6.0%
81
94.0%
Q4 - 5:51DENSmith 9' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)74
7.4%
81
92.6%
Q4 - 6:13DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)74
11.6%
79
88.4%
Q4 - 6:14DETMISS Iverson Free Throw 2 of 274
12.0%
79
88.0%
Q4 - 6:14DETIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)74
14.4%
79
85.6%
Q4 - 6:21DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
11.7%
79
88.3%
Q4 - 6:23DETMISS Iverson 3PT Jump Shot73
9.6%
79
90.4%
Q4 - 6:26DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)73
11.7%
79
88.3%
Q4 - 6:28DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
9.6%
79
90.4%
Q4 - 6:43DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)73
11.6%
79
88.4%
Q4 - 6:45DENMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot73
10.7%
79
89.3%
Q4 - 7:03DETIverson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Prince 4 AST)73
9.7%
79
90.3%
Q4 - 7:23DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)70
5.9%
79
94.1%
Q4 - 7:23DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)70
6.3%
78
93.7%
Q4 - 7:32DENJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
7.5%
77
92.5%
Q4 - 7:34DETMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
8.1%
77
91.9%
Q4 - 8:00DENCarter 8' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)70
9.8%
77
90.2%
Q4 - 8:17DETAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)70
13.6%
75
86.4%
Q4 - 8:35DENCarter 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)67
8.5%
75
91.5%
Q4 - 8:56DETIverson Driving Layup (17 PTS)67
10.8%
73
89.2%
Q4 - 9:09DENAndersen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)65
9.6%
73
90.4%
Q4 - 9:24DETPrince 10' Jump Shot (14 PTS)65
7.7%
73
92.3%
Q4 - 9:40DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
6.1%
73
93.9%
Q4 - 9:41DENMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot63
5.7%
73
94.3%
Q4 - 9:56DENCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
4.9%
73
95.1%
Q4 - 9:57DETMISS McDyess 20' Jump Shot63
5.2%
73
94.8%
Q4 - 10:23DENSmith 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)63
6.8%
73
93.2%
Q4 - 10:40DETIverson Driving Layup (15 PTS)63
8.4%
71
91.6%
Q4 - 10:57DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)61
6.7%
71
93.3%
Q4 - 10:57DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)61
7.1%
70
92.9%
Q4 - 11:14DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)61
9.1%
69
90.9%
Q4 - 11:14DETMISS Johnson Layup61
9.7%
69
90.3%
Q4 - 11:33DENCarter Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)61
10.9%
69
89.1%
Q4 - 11:39DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
13.3%
67
86.7%
Q4 - 11:41DETMISS Stuckey 13' Running Bank Shot61
14.1%
67
85.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN61
15.8%
67
84.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound61
13.3%
67
86.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Smith 29' 3PT Jump Shot61
15.0%
67
85.0%
Q3 - 0:05.0DETIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)61
14.1%
67
85.9%
Q3 - 0:05.0DETIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)60
13.6%
67
86.4%
Q3 - 0:25.0DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)59
11.5%
67
88.5%
Q3 - 0:25.0DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)59
12.1%
66
87.9%
Q3 - 0:46.0DENNUGGETS Rebound59
14.0%
65
86.0%
Q3 - 0:47.0DETMISS Stuckey 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
14.7%
65
85.3%
Q3 - 1:04DETBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)59
16.7%
65
83.3%
Q3 - 1:06DENMISS Andersen 15' Jump Shot59
15.9%
65
84.1%
Q3 - 1:23DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
14.3%
65
85.7%
Q3 - 1:24DETMISS Iverson 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
15.0%
65
85.0%
Q3 - 1:52DENSmith 14' Fadeaway Jumper (3 PTS)59
16.6%
65
83.4%
Q3 - 2:07DETPrince 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)59
19.9%
63
80.1%
Q3 - 2:28DENAndersen Layup (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)57
17.1%
63
82.9%
Q3 - 2:42DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)57
19.9%
61
80.1%
Q3 - 2:42DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 256
19.4%
61
80.6%
Q3 - 3:01DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)56
20.1%
61
79.9%
Q3 - 3:01DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)56
21.0%
60
79.0%
Q3 - 3:12DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
23.0%
59
77.0%
Q3 - 3:14DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 2 of 256
23.4%
59
76.6%
Q3 - 3:14DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 256
25.7%
59
74.3%
Q3 - 3:16DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
26.5%
59
73.5%
Q3 - 3:18DENMISS Martin Layup56
25.4%
59
74.6%
Q3 - 3:36DETMaxiell Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)56
23.0%
59
77.0%
Q3 - 3:36DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)55
21.8%
59
78.2%
Q3 - 3:45DETBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)54
20.1%
59
79.9%
Q3 - 3:47DENMISS Martin 12' Jump Hook Shot54
19.2%
59
80.8%
Q3 - 3:57DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)54
17.2%
59
82.8%
Q3 - 3:59DETMISS Iverson 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
18.1%
59
81.9%
Q3 - 4:18DETBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)54
20.5%
59
79.5%
Q3 - 4:20DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 2 of 254
17.7%
59
82.3%
Q3 - 4:20DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 254
19.0%
59
81.0%
Q3 - 4:20DETPistons Rebound54
20.5%
59
79.5%
Q3 - 4:20DENMISS Kleiza Driving Finger Roll Layup54
19.5%
59
80.5%
Q3 - 4:39DETCarter STEAL (1 STL)54
17.3%
59
82.7%
Q3 - 5:08DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
20.4%
59
79.6%
Q3 - 5:08DENMartin Putback Dunk (12 PTS)54
20.4%
59
79.6%
Q3 - 5:09DENMISS Carter 6' Running Jump Shot54
25.3%
57
74.7%
Q3 - 5:35DETIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)54
22.9%
57
77.1%
Q3 - 5:35DETIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)53
22.4%
57
77.6%
Q3 - 5:38DETIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
20.5%
57
79.5%
Q3 - 5:39DENMISS Martin 21' Jump Shot52
19.5%
57
80.5%
Q3 - 5:59DETStuckey Driving Layup (9 PTS)52
17.5%
57
82.5%
Q3 - 6:05DETBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
15.8%
57
84.2%
Q3 - 6:07DENMISS Billups 21' Jump Shot50
15.1%
57
84.9%
Q3 - 6:16DETKleiza STEAL (1 STL)50
13.6%
57
86.4%
Q3 - 6:28DETIverson Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)50
15.7%
57
84.3%
Q3 - 6:33DETBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
13.7%
57
86.3%
Q3 - 6:37DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 249
13.4%
57
86.6%
Q3 - 6:37DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)49
12.3%
57
87.7%
Q3 - 6:39DENJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
13.6%
56
86.4%
Q3 - 6:40DENMISS Jones 7' Jump Shot49
15.0%
56
85.0%
Q3 - 7:04DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)49
13.9%
56
86.1%
Q3 - 7:05DETMISS Iverson 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
14.5%
56
85.5%
Q3 - 7:11DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
16.0%
56
84.0%
Q3 - 7:13DENMISS Billups Driving Layup49
15.3%
56
84.7%
Q3 - 7:17DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)49
13.9%
56
86.1%
Q3 - 7:19DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
15.3%
56
84.7%
Q3 - 7:33DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
13.9%
56
86.1%
Q3 - 7:35DETMISS Prince 3PT Jump Shot49
14.5%
56
85.5%
Q3 - 7:53DENBillups 27' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS)49
15.9%
56
84.1%
Q3 - 8:11DETIverson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)49
20.4%
53
79.6%
Q3 - 8:27DENMartin Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7)46
16.1%
53
83.9%
Q3 - 8:41DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)46
14.0%
53
86.0%
Q3 - 8:41DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)45
13.7%
53
86.3%
Q3 - 9:01DETBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
12.6%
53
87.4%
Q3 - 9:02DENMISS Martin 18' Jump Bank Shot44
12.1%
53
87.9%
Q3 - 9:22DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
11.0%
53
89.0%
Q3 - 9:23DETMISS Stuckey 12' Jump Shot44
11.5%
53
88.5%
Q3 - 9:40DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
12.6%
53
87.4%
Q3 - 9:41DENMISS Nene 19' Jump Shot44
12.1%
53
87.9%
Q3 - 9:57DETStuckey 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS)44
11.0%
53
89.0%
Q3 - 10:04DENMartin Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)42
10.0%
53
90.0%
Q3 - 10:09DETMartin STEAL (1 STL)42
8.8%
53
91.2%
Q3 - 10:19DETIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
10.0%
53
90.0%
Q3 - 10:21DENMISS Nene 19' Jump Shot42
9.6%
53
90.4%
Q3 - 10:38DETPrince 14' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)42
8.7%
53
91.3%
Q3 - 11:02DENBillups Free Throw 3 of 3 (23 PTS)40
8.0%
53
92.0%
Q3 - 11:02DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 3 (22 PTS)40
8.1%
52
91.9%
Q3 - 11:02DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 3 (21 PTS)40
8.2%
51
91.8%
Q3 - 11:13DETIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)40
10.2%
50
89.8%
Q3 - 11:13DETIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)39
10.0%
50
90.0%
Q3 - 11:22DETIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
9.1%
50
90.9%
Q3 - 11:23DENMISS Kleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
8.7%
50
91.3%
Q3 - 11:32DETNene STEAL (1 STL)38
7.9%
50
92.1%
Q3 - 11:47DENMartin 7' Running Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)38
9.1%
50
90.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN38
10.2%
48
89.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound38
10.2%
48
89.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Carter 80' 3PT Running Jump Shot38
11.2%
48
88.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
10.8%
48
89.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETJohnson Putback Dunk (6 PTS)38
10.8%
48
89.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETMISS Herrmann 24' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper36
8.7%
48
91.3%
Q2 - 0:12.0DENBillups 23' Jump Shot (20 PTS)36
9.3%
48
90.7%
Q2 - 0:35.0DETHerrmann Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)36
10.7%
46
89.3%
Q2 - 0:35.0DETHerrmann Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)35
10.5%
46
89.5%
Q2 - 0:54.0DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)34
9.3%
46
90.7%
Q2 - 0:54.0DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)34
9.4%
45
90.6%
Q2 - 1:08DETJohnson 7' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)34
11.0%
44
89.0%
Q2 - 1:29DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)32
9.5%
44
90.5%
Q2 - 1:42DETMcDyess Layup (4 PTS) (Iverson 1 AST)32
12.4%
41
87.6%
Q2 - 1:56DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)30
10.7%
41
89.3%
Q2 - 1:58DENMISS Kleiza Free Throw 2 of 230
10.5%
41
89.5%
Q2 - 1:58DENKleiza Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
9.7%
41
90.3%
Q2 - 2:01DENJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
11.0%
40
89.0%
Q2 - 2:02DETMISS Iverson 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
11.4%
40
88.6%
Q2 - 2:06DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
12.4%
40
87.6%
Q2 - 2:07DETMISS Prince 10' Jump Shot30
11.4%
40
88.6%
Q2 - 2:18DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
12.4%
40
87.6%
Q2 - 2:20DENMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot30
11.9%
40
88.1%
Q2 - 2:27DENJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
11.0%
40
89.0%
Q2 - 2:28DETMISS Herrmann 16' Turnaround Jump Shot30
11.4%
40
88.6%
Q2 - 2:47DENBillups Driving Layup (13 PTS)30
12.3%
40
87.7%
Q2 - 3:02DETIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)30
13.8%
38
86.2%
Q2 - 3:02DETMISS Iverson Free Throw 1 of 229
13.5%
38
86.5%
Q2 - 3:15DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)29
14.0%
38
86.0%
Q2 - 3:15DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)29
14.4%
37
85.6%
Q2 - 3:30DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)29
15.3%
36
84.7%
Q2 - 3:30DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 228
15.0%
36
85.0%
Q2 - 3:51DENNene Dunk (7 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)28
15.6%
36
84.4%
Q2 - 3:54DETJones STEAL (2 STL)28
17.0%
34
83.0%
Q2 - 3:56DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
19.2%
34
80.8%
Q2 - 3:58DENMISS Billups Driving Layup28
18.5%
34
81.5%
Q2 - 4:23DETHerrmann 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)28
17.2%
34
82.8%
Q2 - 4:49DENCarter 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)26
15.6%
34
84.4%
Q2 - 5:11DENJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
19.3%
31
80.7%
Q2 - 5:13DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 2 of 226
19.5%
31
80.5%
Q2 - 5:13DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)26
20.9%
31
79.1%
Q2 - 5:28DETPistons Rebound25
19.2%
31
80.8%
Q2 - 5:28DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
18.7%
31
81.3%
Q2 - 5:42DETAfflalo Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)25
17.5%
31
82.5%
Q2 - 5:58DENNene Foul Turnover (P2.T5)23
15.8%
31
84.2%
Q2 - 6:04DETMcDyess 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Herrmann 1 AST)23
14.5%
31
85.5%
Q2 - 6:25DENBillups 15' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)21
13.3%
31
86.7%
Q2 - 6:38DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
14.5%
29
85.5%
Q2 - 6:39DETMISS Stuckey 21' Jump Shot21
15.0%
29
85.0%
Q2 - 6:56DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
16.2%
29
83.8%
Q2 - 6:58DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 221
15.9%
29
84.1%
Q2 - 6:58DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)21
15.0%
29
85.0%
Q2 - 7:11DETAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
16.1%
28
83.9%
Q2 - 7:11DETAfflalo Tip Shot (4 PTS)21
16.1%
28
83.9%
Q2 - 7:13DETMISS Herrmann 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
13.7%
28
86.3%
Q2 - 7:19DENNene Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)19
14.6%
28
85.4%
Q2 - 7:41DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
13.2%
28
86.8%
Q2 - 7:43DETMISS McDyess 20' Jump Shot19
13.7%
28
86.3%
Q2 - 8:02DENCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)19
14.9%
28
85.1%
Q2 - 8:05DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
13.6%
28
86.4%
Q2 - 8:07DETMISS Maxiell 13' Jump Shot19
14.0%
28
86.0%
Q2 - 8:19DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
14.9%
28
85.1%
Q2 - 8:21DENMISS Kleiza Driving Layup19
14.5%
28
85.5%
Q2 - 8:27DENCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
13.6%
28
86.4%
Q2 - 8:29DETMISS Herrmann Driving Finger Roll Layup19
14.0%
28
86.0%
Q2 - 8:45DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)19
14.9%
28
85.1%
Q2 - 8:47DETMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot19
14.0%
28
86.0%
Q2 - 9:03DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
15.0%
28
85.0%
Q2 - 9:04DENMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot19
14.5%
28
85.5%
Q2 - 9:08DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
13.6%
28
86.4%
Q2 - 9:10DENMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 219
14.8%
28
85.2%
Q2 - 9:10DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
13.9%
28
86.1%
Q2 - 9:20DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
15.0%
27
85.0%
Q2 - 9:21DETMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot19
15.4%
27
84.6%
Q2 - 9:35DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
16.4%
27
83.6%
Q2 - 9:38DENMISS Andersen Driving Dunk19
15.9%
27
84.1%
Q2 - 9:57DETAfflalo 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)19
15.0%
27
85.0%
Q2 - 10:03DETBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
14.0%
27
86.0%
Q2 - 10:05DETMISS Afflalo 20' Jump Shot17
13.1%
27
86.9%
Q2 - 10:24DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)17
14.0%
27
86.0%
Q2 - 10:25DENMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot17
13.6%
27
86.4%
Q2 - 10:44DENNUGGETS Rebound17
12.7%
27
87.3%
Q2 - 10:45DETMISS Bynum 20' Jump Shot17
13.1%
27
86.9%
Q2 - 11:07DENMartin Dunk (8 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)17
14.3%
27
85.7%
Q2 - 11:11DENCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
15.5%
25
84.5%
Q2 - 11:12DETMISS Iverson 17' Fadeaway Jumper17
16.0%
25
84.0%
Q2 - 11:25DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)17
16.9%
25
83.1%
Q2 - 11:26DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
16.5%
25
83.5%
Q2 - 11:32DENCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
15.5%
25
84.5%
Q2 - 11:34DETAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)17
16.0%
25
84.0%
Q2 - 11:48DENMartin Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)17
16.9%
25
83.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN17
15.5%
25
84.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound17
15.5%
25
84.5%
Q1 - 0:02.0DENMISS Smith 23' Jump Shot17
16.6%
25
83.4%
Q1 - 0:06.0DENCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
15.9%
25
84.1%
Q1 - 0:08.0DENMISS Martin 18' Jump Bank Shot17
16.6%
25
83.4%
Q1 - 0:29.0DETSmith STEAL (1 STL)17
15.9%
25
84.1%
Q1 - 0:48.0DENMartin Dunk (6 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)17
16.9%
25
83.1%
Q1 - 1:00DETMaxiell Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)17
18.7%
23
81.3%
Q1 - 1:00DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 216
18.1%
23
81.9%
Q1 - 1:01DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)16
18.6%
23
81.4%
Q1 - 1:02DETMISS Prince 9' Running Jump Shot16
17.9%
23
82.1%
Q1 - 1:22DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)16
18.6%
23
81.4%
Q1 - 1:40DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
22.1%
20
77.9%
Q1 - 1:40DETMaxiell Putback Dunk (4 PTS)16
22.1%
20
77.9%
Q1 - 1:41DETMISS Iverson Driving Layup14
19.3%
20
80.7%
Q1 - 2:08DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
20.4%
20
79.6%
Q1 - 2:11DENMISS Martin 15' Fadeaway Jumper14
20.0%
20
80.0%
Q1 - 2:30DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
19.2%
20
80.8%
Q1 - 2:31DETMISS Iverson 19' Jump Shot14
19.5%
20
80.5%
Q1 - 2:48DENNene 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
20.3%
20
79.7%
Q1 - 3:02DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
21.9%
18
78.1%
Q1 - 3:04DETMISS Prince 16' Jump Shot14
22.4%
18
77.6%
Q1 - 3:23DENBillups 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
23.6%
18
76.4%
Q1 - 3:31DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
25.3%
16
74.7%
Q1 - 3:33DENMISS Kleiza 10' Turnaround Jump Shot14
26.5%
16
73.5%
Q1 - 3:53DETIverson Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)14
25.3%
16
74.7%
Q1 - 4:07DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
23.4%
16
76.6%
Q1 - 4:09DENMISS Billups 9' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot12
22.9%
16
77.1%
Q1 - 4:22DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
21.8%
16
78.2%
Q1 - 4:24DETMISS Iverson 12' Jump Shot12
22.3%
16
77.7%
Q1 - 4:27DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
23.4%
16
76.6%
Q1 - 4:30DETMISS Prince 6' Running Hook Shot12
22.3%
16
77.7%
Q1 - 4:46DETBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
23.5%
16
76.5%
Q1 - 4:49DENMISS Kleiza 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
22.9%
16
77.1%
Q1 - 5:08DETMaxiell Dunk (2 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)12
22.0%
16
78.0%
Q1 - 5:28DENBillups Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)10
20.7%
16
79.3%
Q1 - 5:45DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
22.0%
14
78.0%
Q1 - 5:47DETMISS Prince 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
22.5%
14
77.5%
Q1 - 6:13DENNene 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)10
23.4%
14
76.6%
Q1 - 6:26DETStuckey 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
24.9%
12
75.1%
Q1 - 6:37DENBillups Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
23.4%
12
76.6%
Q1 - 6:51DETPrince 4' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)8
24.9%
10
75.1%
Q1 - 7:07DENMartin Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)6
23.2%
10
76.8%
Q1 - 7:27DETJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T2)6
24.6%
8
75.4%
Q1 - 7:48DENJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)6
26.4%
8
73.6%
Q1 - 7:48DENJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)6
26.8%
7
73.2%
Q1 - 8:06DETStuckey 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
27.8%
6
72.2%
Q1 - 8:32DENJones Layup (4 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)4
26.1%
6
73.9%
Q1 - 8:45DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
27.8%
4
72.2%
Q1 - 8:47DETMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 14
28.0%
4
72.0%
Q1 - 8:54DETPistons Rebound2
26.1%
4
73.9%
Q1 - 8:55DETMISS Stuckey 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
25.0%
4
75.0%
Q1 - 9:11DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
26.2%
4
73.8%
Q1 - 9:12DENMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
25.8%
4
74.2%
Q1 - 9:27DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
24.8%
4
75.2%
Q1 - 9:29DETNene BLOCK (1 BLK)2
25.2%
4
74.8%
Q1 - 9:53DENMartin Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
26.2%
4
73.8%
Q1 - 10:09DETPrince 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
24.8%
4
75.2%
Q1 - 10:29DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.6%
4
76.4%
Q1 - 10:30DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
23.1%
4
76.9%
Q1 - 10:36DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
22.2%
4
77.8%
Q1 - 10:37DETBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
23.6%
4
76.4%
Q1 - 10:37DETMISS Brown Tip Shot0
22.6%
4
77.4%
Q1 - 10:38DETMISS Brown Layup0
22.6%
4
77.4%
Q1 - 10:52DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.6%
4
76.4%
Q1 - 10:53DENMISS Kleiza Driving Layup0
23.1%
4
76.9%
Q1 - 10:57DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
22.2%
4
77.8%
Q1 - 10:58DETMISS Iverson 20' Jump Shot0
22.6%
4
77.4%
Q1 - 11:11DENJones Dunk (2 PTS)0
23.6%
4
76.4%
Q1 - 11:14DETJones STEAL (1 STL)0
24.8%
2
75.2%
Q1 - 11:27DENMartin 8' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)0
26.1%
2
73.9%
Q1 - 11:43DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
27.4%
0
72.6%
Q1 - 11:44DETMISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 20
27.6%
0
72.4%
Q1 - 11:44DETMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 20
28.1%
0
71.9%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Nene vs. Johnson: Tip to Brown0
28.8%
0
71.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.01 50.5%
DEN
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
15
21
71%
DEN
13
22
59%
Midrange
DET
12
32
38%
DEN
15
37
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
4
6.0
20
20%
30%
DEN
2
3.0
13
15%
23%
Free Throws
DET
27
40
68%
DEN
28
34
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Iverson2352%11.5 / 22
T. Prince1953%9.5 / 18
A. Afflalo1765%8.5 / 13
R. Stuckey941%4.5 / 11
J. Maxiell964%4.5 / 7
A. Johnson675%3.0 / 4
A. McDyess660%3.0 / 5
W. Herrmann440%2.0 / 5
K. Brown0-0.0 / 4
W. Bynum0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups3071%15.0 / 21
Nene1558%7.5 / 13
K. Martin1444%7.0 / 16
J. Smith1134%5.5 / 16
A. Carter975%4.5 / 6
D. Jones675%3.0 / 4
C. Andersen450%2.0 / 4
L. Kleiza17%0.5 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
76
+15
-10
91
DEN
79
+12
-10
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.01 50.5%
DEN
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.8
110.2
DET 108.1 +7.0
DEN 101.1
Pace
87.3
94.5
DET 79.7
DEN 96.6 +16.8
Avg. Poss. Time
17.1
14.7
DET 18.1
DEN 14.9 +3.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.3%
51.2%
DET 45.2% +2.1%
DEN 43.1%
TO %
12.7%
15.8%
DET 9.9% +0.4%
DEN 10.3%
ORB %
27.9%
27.5%
DET 31.1% +13.2%
DEN 17.9%
FTrt
28.2
38.2
DET 54.8 +7.6
DEN 47.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.7%
59.5%
DET 38.7%
DEN 40.0% +1.3%
STL %
6.8%
9.1%
DET 5.8%
DEN 9.0% +3.2%
BLK %
7.3%
9.7%
DET 6.8% +3.0%
DEN 3.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.0%
54.8%
DET 50.5% +1.0%
DEN 49.5%
Rim FG%
58.7%
60.5%
DET 71.4% +12.3%
DEN 59.1%
Mid FG%
41.2%
38.7%
DET 37.5%
DEN 40.5% +3.0%
3P %
34.9%
37.1%
DET 20.0% +4.6%
DEN 15.4%
FT %
75.1%
76.0%
DET 67.5%
DEN 82.4% +14.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.0%
39.7%
DET 28.8%
DEN 30.6% +1.8%
Mid Att. %
53.5%
37.6%
DET 43.8% +7.6%
DEN 51.4%
3P Att. %
16.5%
22.7%
DET 27.4% +9.3%
DEN 18.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.34 and 2.34.
Game TotalsDETDEN
Possessions8689
Possession Minutes25.922.1
Points9390
Rebounds4638
Assists1212
Steals58
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (1)7 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (2)31 (2)
Field Goals31-7330-72
At-the-Rim FG15-2113-22
Midrange FG12-3215-37
2-Point FG27-5328-59
3-Point FG4-202-13
Free Throws27-4028-34
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'0" 165 · 34
42.3
23
52%
4
3
1
0
1
3
0
4
9-11
82%
4-11
36%
2-7
29%
F · 6'9" 212 · 29
42.0
19
53%
6
4
0
0
2
0
1
5
4-6
67%
6-11
55%
1-4
25%
G · 6'5" 205 · 23
30.9
9
41%
4
2
2
0
3
2
0
4
1-4
25%
4-7
57%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 290 · 27
23.9
0
0%
8
1
0
1
0
2
2
6
0-2
0%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 22
22.1
6
75%
2
0
0
1
1
4
1
1
0-1
0%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34
23.1
6
60%
12
0
2
0
1
5
3
9
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 260 · 26
21.5
9
64%
7
0
0
1
0
1
4
3
3-6
50%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
20.9
17
65%
2
0
0
1
1
3
2
0
8-8
100%
3-4
75%
1-5
20%
F · 6'9" 225 · 30
8.6
4
40%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
G · 6'0" 185 · 26
4.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 34
G · 6'5" 185 · 26
#32 · G · 6'7" 193 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#42 · F · 6'9" 245 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
51%
46
12
5
4
10
0
14
32
27-40
68%
27-53
51%
4-20
20%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.