| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 MIA | 102.1 | 95 | 93.8 |
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Scoring Opportunities
MIA
80
+7
-15
87
DEN
78
+11
-16
89
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.11 55.7%
DEN
1.19 59.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | MIA | DEN |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | DEN | 97 0% | 108 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:06.0 | MIA | Wade 16' Jump Bank Shot (31 PTS) | 97 0.1% | 108 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:14.0 | DEN | Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Carter 9 AST) | 95 0.1% | 108 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:36.0 | DEN | Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 95 0.1% | 105 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:37.0 | MIA | MISS Diawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 95 0.1% | 105 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:46.0 | DEN | Nene Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 95 0.1% | 105 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:46.0 | DEN | Nene Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 95 0.1% | 104 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:58.0 | DEN | Martin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8) | 95 0.3% | 103 99.7% |
| Q4 - 1:00 | MIA | MISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot | 95 0.4% | 103 99.6% |
| Q4 - 1:11 | MIA | Marion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12) | 95 0.9% | 103 99.1% |
| Q4 - 1:12 | DEN | MISS Billups Free Throw 2 of 2 | 95 0.8% | 103 99.2% |
| Q4 - 1:12 | DEN | Billups Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS) | 95 0.5% | 103 99.5% |
| Q4 - 1:13 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS) | 95 0.9% | 102 99.1% |
| Q4 - 1:13 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS) | 94 0.8% | 102 99.2% |
| Q4 - 1:19 | MIA | Marion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11) | 93 0.6% | 102 99.4% |
| Q4 - 1:20 | DEN | MISS Martin 14' Running Jump Shot | 93 0.5% | 102 99.5% |
| Q4 - 1:37 | DEN | Nene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 93 0.5% | 102 99.5% |
| Q4 - 1:38 | DEN | MISS Carter Free Throw 2 of 2 | 93 0.9% | 102 99.1% |
| Q4 - 1:38 | DEN | Carter Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 93 0.6% | 102 99.4% |
| Q4 - 1:57 | DEN | Billups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 93 1.0% | 101 99.0% |
| Q4 - 1:59 | MIA | MISS Quinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 93 1.2% | 101 98.8% |
| Q4 - 2:15 | DEN | Smith Dunk (21 PTS) | 93 2.0% | 101 98.0% |
| Q4 - 2:18 | MIA | Billups STEAL (3 STL) | 93 2.6% | 99 97.4% |
| Q4 - 2:28 | MIA | Marion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10) | 93 5.2% | 99 94.8% |
| Q4 - 2:30 | DEN | MISS Smith 28' 3PT Jump Shot | 93 4.2% | 99 95.8% |
| Q4 - 2:47 | MIA | Marion 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Diawara 2 AST) | 93 2.6% | 99 97.4% |
| Q4 - 3:03 | DEN | Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Carter 8 AST) | 90 1.6% | 99 98.4% |
| Q4 - 3:07 | DEN | Carter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 90 3.4% | 96 96.6% |
| Q4 - 3:08 | DEN | MISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 90 5.0% | 96 95.0% |
| Q4 - 3:31 | MIA | Wade 9' Jump Bank Shot (27 PTS) | 90 5.5% | 96 94.5% |
| Q4 - 3:45 | DEN | Billups 11' Jump Shot (20 PTS) | 88 3.8% | 96 96.2% |
| Q4 - 4:07 | MIA | Marion Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS) | 88 5.1% | 94 94.9% |
| Q4 - 4:07 | MIA | Marion Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS) | 87 4.7% | 94 95.3% |
| Q4 - 4:09 | MIA | Quinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 86 3.6% | 94 96.4% |
| Q4 - 4:11 | MIA | Martin BLOCK (3 BLK) | 86 2.7% | 94 97.3% |
| Q4 - 4:25 | DEN | Carter 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 6 AST) | 86 3.5% | 94 96.5% |
| Q4 - 4:41 | MIA | Chalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T14) | 86 4.9% | 92 95.1% |
| Q4 - 4:51 | MIA | Marion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9) | 86 7.3% | 92 92.7% |
| Q4 - 4:52 | DEN | MISS Martin 11' Jump Shot | 86 6.5% | 92 93.5% |
| Q4 - 5:20 | MIA | Wade Driving Dunk (25 PTS) | 86 6.7% | 92 93.3% |
| Q4 - 5:46 | DEN | Billups Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 84 4.9% | 92 95.1% |
| Q4 - 5:46 | DEN | Billups Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS) | 84 5.0% | 91 95.0% |
| Q4 - 5:56 | DEN | Nene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 84 6.6% | 90 93.4% |
| Q4 - 5:59 | MIA | Nene BLOCK (1 BLK) | 84 7.3% | 90 92.7% |
| Q4 - 6:13 | MIA | Diawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 84 10.5% | 90 89.5% |
| Q4 - 6:14 | DEN | MISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 84 9.6% | 90 90.4% |
| Q4 - 6:35 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 84 7.8% | 90 92.2% |
| Q4 - 6:35 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 83 7.4% | 90 92.6% |
| Q4 - 6:47 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 82 6.0% | 90 94.0% |
| Q4 - 6:49 | MIA | MISS Wade 14' Fadeaway Jumper | 82 4.8% | 90 95.2% |
| Q4 - 7:06 | DEN | Andersen Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Carter 7 AST) | 82 6.8% | 90 93.2% |
| Q4 - 7:25 | DEN | Andersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 82 8.6% | 88 91.4% |
| Q4 - 7:25 | MIA | MISS Beasley 12' Jump Shot | 82 9.3% | 88 90.7% |
| Q4 - 7:38 | DEN | Nene Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16) | 82 11.3% | 88 88.7% |
| Q4 - 7:42 | DEN | Nene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 82 8.6% | 88 91.4% |
| Q4 - 7:44 | DEN | MISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 2 | 82 10.9% | 88 89.1% |
| Q4 - 7:44 | DEN | Andersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS) | 82 9.4% | 88 90.6% |
| Q4 - 7:59 | DEN | Kleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 82 11.0% | 87 89.0% |
| Q4 - 7:59 | MIA | MISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 82 12.0% | 87 88.0% |
| Q4 - 8:05 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 82 15.0% | 87 85.0% |
| Q4 - 8:06 | MIA | Andersen BLOCK (2 BLK) | 82 13.0% | 87 87.0% |
| Q4 - 8:24 | DEN | Nene 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Carter 6 AST) | 82 15.0% | 87 85.0% |
| Q4 - 8:34 | DEN | Andersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 82 18.7% | 85 81.3% |
| Q4 - 8:36 | MIA | MISS Wade 21' Jump Shot | 82 19.9% | 85 80.1% |
| Q4 - 8:53 | MIA | Magloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 82 22.9% | 85 77.1% |
| Q4 - 8:55 | DEN | MISS Smith 17' Fadeaway Jumper | 82 21.5% | 85 78.5% |
| Q4 - 9:26 | MIA | Diawara 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Beasley 3 AST) | 82 19.5% | 85 80.5% |
| Q4 - 9:42 | MIA | Magloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 79 12.9% | 85 87.1% |
| Q4 - 9:44 | DEN | MISS Kleiza 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 79 12.1% | 85 87.9% |
| Q4 - 9:51 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS) | 79 10.5% | 85 89.5% |
| Q4 - 9:51 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS) | 78 10.1% | 85 89.9% |
| Q4 - 9:52 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 77 8.3% | 85 91.7% |
| Q4 - 9:54 | DEN | MISS Kleiza 17' Jump Shot | 77 7.8% | 85 92.2% |
| Q4 - 10:08 | DEN | Andersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 77 7.3% | 85 92.7% |
| Q4 - 10:09 | DEN | MISS Martin 6' Jump Hook Shot | 77 8.5% | 85 91.5% |
| Q4 - 10:33 | MIA | Beasley 9' Jump Shot (12 PTS) | 77 7.3% | 85 92.7% |
| Q4 - 10:45 | DEN | Andersen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15) | 75 5.9% | 85 94.1% |
| Q4 - 11:01 | MIA | Quinn 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST) | 75 5.4% | 85 94.6% |
| Q4 - 11:21 | DEN | Martin Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 72 3.5% | 85 96.5% |
| Q4 - 11:21 | DEN | Martin Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 72 3.7% | 84 96.3% |
| Q4 - 11:24 | MIA | Martin STEAL (3 STL) | 72 4.3% | 83 95.7% |
| Q4 - 11:35 | MIA | Magloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 72 5.3% | 83 94.7% |
| Q4 - 11:36 | DEN | MISS Smith 12' Jump Shot | 72 5.0% | 83 95.0% |
| Q4 - 11:46 | DEN | MISS Smith Free Throw Technical | 72 4.3% | 83 95.7% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 72 4.3% | 83 95.7% | |
| Q3 - 0:01.0 | DEN | Smith 22' Jump Shot (16 PTS) | 72 5.7% | 83 94.3% |
| Q3 - 0:07.0 | DEN | Andersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 72 7.1% | 81 92.9% |
| Q3 - 0:08.0 | MIA | MISS Marion 9' Turnaround Jump Shot | 72 7.5% | 81 92.5% |
| Q3 - 0:27.0 | MIA | Marion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8) | 72 8.4% | 81 91.6% |
| Q3 - 0:32.0 | DEN | MISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 2 | 72 8.2% | 81 91.8% |
| Q3 - 0:32.0 | DEN | Smith Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS) | 72 7.2% | 81 92.8% |
| Q3 - 0:42.0 | MIA | Marion 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS) | 72 8.5% | 80 91.5% |
| Q3 - 0:59.0 | DEN | Smith 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Carter 5 AST) | 70 6.9% | 80 93.1% |
| Q3 - 1:14 | MIA | Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12) | 70 8.8% | 78 91.2% |
| Q3 - 1:31 | DEN | Carter Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 70 10.4% | 78 89.6% |
| Q3 - 1:31 | DEN | Carter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 70 10.8% | 77 89.2% |
| Q3 - 1:34 | DEN | Martin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 70 12.5% | 76 87.5% |
| Q3 - 1:35 | MIA | MISS Haslem Layup | 70 13.2% | 76 86.8% |
| Q3 - 1:41 | MIA | Marion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 70 14.6% | 76 85.4% |
| Q3 - 1:43 | DEN | MISS Billups 16' Jump Bank Shot | 70 14.0% | 76 86.0% |
| Q3 - 2:01 | MIA | Haslem Layup (10 PTS) | 70 12.8% | 76 87.2% |
| Q3 - 2:02 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 68 10.8% | 76 89.2% |
| Q3 - 2:05 | MIA | Smith BLOCK (1 BLK) | 68 9.6% | 76 90.4% |
| Q3 - 2:19 | DEN | Smith 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Carter 4 AST) | 68 10.8% | 76 89.2% |
| Q3 - 2:29 | DEN | Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 68 12.8% | 74 87.2% |
| Q3 - 2:31 | MIA | MISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot | 68 13.4% | 74 86.6% |
| Q3 - 2:37 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 68 15.0% | 74 85.0% |
| Q3 - 2:38 | MIA | Martin BLOCK (2 BLK) | 68 13.4% | 74 86.6% |
| Q3 - 2:50 | DEN | Carter Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14) | 68 15.0% | 74 85.0% |
| Q3 - 3:02 | MIA | Marion Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS) | 68 12.8% | 74 87.2% |
| Q3 - 3:04 | DEN | Billups Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T13) | 65 9.4% | 74 90.6% |
| Q3 - 3:30 | MIA | Haslem 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST) | 65 7.9% | 74 92.1% |
| Q3 - 4:00 | DEN | Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Smith 3 AST) | 63 6.7% | 74 93.3% |
| Q3 - 4:06 | DEN | Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 63 9.5% | 71 90.5% |
| Q3 - 4:07 | MIA | MISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot | 63 10.1% | 71 89.9% |
| Q3 - 4:30 | DEN | Kleiza 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Billups 5 AST) | 63 11.4% | 71 88.6% |
| Q3 - 4:36 | DEN | Kleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 63 15.1% | 68 84.9% |
| Q3 - 4:37 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 63 15.9% | 68 84.1% |
| Q3 - 5:03 | DEN | Billups 14' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS) | 63 17.8% | 68 82.2% |
| Q3 - 5:21 | DEN | Martin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 63 20.1% | 66 79.9% |
| Q3 - 5:23 | MIA | MISS Marion 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 63 21.0% | 66 79.0% |
| Q3 - 5:43 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 63 23.3% | 66 76.7% |
| Q3 - 5:45 | DEN | MISS Martin 21' Jump Shot | 63 22.3% | 66 77.7% |
| Q3 - 6:04 | MIA | Marion 7' Jump Hook Shot (15 PTS) | 63 20.1% | 66 79.9% |
| Q3 - 6:23 | DEN | Jones Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 61 17.8% | 66 82.2% |
| Q3 - 6:23 | DEN | Jones Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 61 18.3% | 65 81.7% |
| Q3 - 6:43 | MIA | Marion Layup (13 PTS) (Wade 2 AST) | 61 20.1% | 64 79.9% |
| Q3 - 6:48 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 59 17.8% | 64 82.2% |
| Q3 - 6:50 | DEN | Jones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 59 15.4% | 64 84.6% |
| Q3 - 6:50 | DEN | MISS Jones Layup | 59 17.0% | 64 83.0% |
| Q3 - 6:52 | DEN | MISS Jones Layup | 59 17.0% | 64 83.0% |
| Q3 - 7:07 | DEN | Kleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 59 15.6% | 64 84.4% |
| Q3 - 7:09 | MIA | MISS Wade 21' Jump Shot | 59 16.2% | 64 83.8% |
| Q3 - 7:16 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 59 17.8% | 64 82.2% |
| Q3 - 7:18 | DEN | MISS Nene Layup | 59 17.1% | 64 82.9% |
| Q3 - 7:38 | MIA | Wade 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST) | 59 15.5% | 64 84.5% |
| Q3 - 7:43 | MIA | Marion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 57 13.7% | 64 86.3% |
| Q3 - 7:45 | DEN | MISS Billups 17' Jump Shot | 57 13.1% | 64 86.9% |
| Q3 - 7:58 | MIA | Chalmers Foul Turnover (P6.T11) | 57 11.9% | 64 88.1% |
| Q3 - 8:03 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 57 13.8% | 64 86.2% |
| Q3 - 8:05 | DEN | MISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 57 13.2% | 64 86.8% |
| Q3 - 8:11 | MIA | Billups STEAL (2 STL) | 57 12.0% | 64 88.0% |
| Q3 - 8:23 | DEN | Billups 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 57 13.8% | 64 86.2% |
| Q3 - 8:29 | DEN | Nene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 57 15.6% | 62 84.4% |
| Q3 - 8:30 | MIA | MISS Marion Layup | 57 16.2% | 62 83.8% |
| Q3 - 8:43 | DEN | Nene Traveling Turnover (P3.T12) | 57 17.8% | 62 82.2% |
| Q3 - 8:58 | MIA | Chalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T9) | 57 15.6% | 62 84.4% |
| Q3 - 9:16 | DEN | Billups Foul Turnover (P4.T11) | 57 17.8% | 62 82.2% |
| Q3 - 9:32 | MIA | Wade 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS) | 57 15.7% | 62 84.3% |
| Q3 - 9:37 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 55 13.9% | 62 86.1% |
| Q3 - 9:39 | DEN | MISS Jones Layup | 55 13.3% | 62 86.7% |
| Q3 - 9:41 | DEN | Jones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 55 12.2% | 62 87.8% |
| Q3 - 9:42 | DEN | MISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 55 13.3% | 62 86.7% |
| Q3 - 9:45 | DEN | Billups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 55 12.2% | 62 87.8% |
| Q3 - 9:47 | DEN | MISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot | 55 13.3% | 62 86.7% |
| Q3 - 10:06 | MIA | Haslem 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST) | 55 12.3% | 62 87.7% |
| Q3 - 10:15 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 53 10.9% | 62 89.1% |
| Q3 - 10:16 | DEN | MISS Nene 19' Jump Shot | 53 10.5% | 62 89.5% |
| Q3 - 10:20 | DEN | NUGGETS Rebound | 53 9.6% | 62 90.4% |
| Q3 - 10:20 | DEN | MISS Kleiza Driving Layup | 53 10.5% | 62 89.5% |
| Q3 - 10:36 | DEN | Kleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 53 9.6% | 62 90.4% |
| Q3 - 10:37 | MIA | MISS Wade 19' Jump Shot | 53 9.9% | 62 90.1% |
| Q3 - 10:46 | DEN | Kleiza Free Throw 3 of 3 (18 PTS) | 53 10.9% | 62 89.1% |
| Q3 - 10:46 | DEN | Kleiza Free Throw 2 of 3 (17 PTS) | 53 11.2% | 61 88.8% |
| Q3 - 10:46 | DEN | Kleiza Free Throw 1 of 3 (16 PTS) | 53 11.5% | 60 88.5% |
| Q3 - 10:59 | MIA | Wade 27' 3PT Turnaround Fadeaway (17 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST) | 53 14.0% | 59 86.0% |
| Q3 - 11:25 | DEN | Kleiza Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10) | 50 11.1% | 59 88.9% |
| Q3 - 11:40 | MIA | Chalmers Driving Reverse Layup (10 PTS) | 50 9.7% | 59 90.3% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | DEN | 48 8.6% | 59 91.4% | |
| Q2 - 0:01.0 | MIA | Smith STEAL (3 STL) | 48 8.0% | 59 92.0% |
| Q2 - 0:09.0 | DEN | Billups Driving Layup (9 PTS) | 48 8.8% | 59 91.2% |
| Q2 - 0:32.0 | MIA | Wade 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS) | 48 10.2% | 57 89.8% |
| Q2 - 0:43.0 | DEN | Billups Driving Reverse Layup (7 PTS) | 46 8.8% | 57 91.2% |
| Q2 - 0:59.0 | MIA | Wade Driving Dunk (12 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST) | 46 10.2% | 55 89.8% |
| Q2 - 1:09 | MIA | Marion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 44 8.9% | 55 91.1% |
| Q2 - 1:10 | DEN | MISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 44 8.7% | 55 91.3% |
| Q2 - 1:34 | MIA | Haslem 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Diawara 1 AST) | 44 8.2% | 55 91.8% |
| Q2 - 1:53 | DEN | Martin Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 42 7.0% | 55 93.0% |
| Q2 - 1:53 | DEN | Martin Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS) | 42 7.3% | 54 92.7% |
| Q2 - 1:56 | MIA | Martin STEAL (2 STL) | 42 8.2% | 53 91.8% |
| Q2 - 2:23 | DEN | Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Billups 4 AST) | 42 9.2% | 53 90.8% |
| Q2 - 2:29 | DEN | Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 42 11.5% | 50 88.5% |
| Q2 - 2:30 | MIA | MISS Wade 20' Jump Shot | 42 12.0% | 50 88.0% |
| Q2 - 2:45 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 42 12.9% | 50 87.1% |
| Q2 - 2:45 | DEN | MISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot | 42 12.5% | 50 87.5% |
| Q2 - 2:52 | DEN | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 42 11.5% | 50 88.5% |
| Q2 - 2:53 | MIA | MISS Haslem Driving Layup | 42 12.0% | 50 88.0% |
| Q2 - 3:04 | DEN | Billups Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 42 13.1% | 50 86.9% |
| Q2 - 3:04 | DEN | Billups Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS) | 42 13.2% | 49 86.8% |
| Q2 - 3:16 | MIA | Wade 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 42 14.3% | 48 85.7% |
| Q2 - 3:24 | DEN | Billups Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9) | 40 13.1% | 48 86.9% |
| Q2 - 3:33 | DEN | Kleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 40 11.5% | 48 88.5% |
| Q2 - 3:35 | MIA | MISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot | 40 12.0% | 48 88.0% |
| Q2 - 3:44 | MIA | Marion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 40 13.1% | 48 86.9% |
| Q2 - 3:47 | DEN | MISS Nene 4' Jump Hook Shot | 40 12.6% | 48 87.4% |
| Q2 - 4:00 | MIA | Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Marion 2 AST) | 40 11.5% | 48 88.5% |
| Q2 - 4:27 | DEN | Kleiza Dunk (15 PTS) (Nene 2 AST) | 37 9.4% | 48 90.6% |
| Q2 - 4:47 | MIA | Wade Driving Dunk (8 PTS) | 37 10.4% | 46 89.6% |
| Q2 - 5:05 | DEN | Smith Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Kleiza 2 AST) | 35 9.6% | 46 90.4% |
| Q2 - 5:22 | MIA | Anthony Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6) | 35 10.7% | 44 89.3% |
| Q2 - 5:40 | DEN | Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nene 1 AST) | 35 11.9% | 44 88.1% |
| Q2 - 5:47 | DEN | Nene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 35 14.6% | 41 85.4% |
| Q2 - 5:48 | DEN | MISS Kleiza 6' Turnaround Jump Shot | 35 15.7% | 41 84.3% |
| Q2 - 5:51 | DEN | Kleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 35 14.6% | 41 85.4% |
| Q2 - 5:53 | DEN | MISS Kleiza 8' Running Jump Shot | 35 15.7% | 41 84.3% |
| Q2 - 6:15 | MIA | Wade 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 35 14.7% | 41 85.3% |
| Q2 - 6:25 | DEN | Nene Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS) | 33 13.5% | 41 86.5% |
| Q2 - 6:33 | DEN | NUGGETS Rebound | 33 16.2% | 38 83.8% |
| Q2 - 6:33 | MIA | Andersen BLOCK (1 BLK) | 33 16.8% | 38 83.2% |
| Q2 - 6:48 | DEN | Kleiza Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Carter 3 AST) | 33 18.1% | 38 81.9% |
| Q2 - 7:06 | MIA | Haslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST) | 33 19.5% | 36 80.5% |
| Q2 - 7:16 | MIA | Diawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 31 17.9% | 36 82.1% |
| Q2 - 7:17 | DEN | MISS Carter 19' Jump Shot | 31 17.4% | 36 82.6% |
| Q2 - 7:35 | MIA | Wade Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST) | 31 16.2% | 36 83.8% |
| Q2 - 7:39 | DEN | Carter Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8) | 29 14.8% | 36 85.2% |
| Q2 - 7:41 | DEN | Carter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 29 13.4% | 36 86.6% |
| Q2 - 7:42 | MIA | MISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot | 29 13.8% | 36 86.2% |
| Q2 - 7:56 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 29 14.8% | 36 85.2% |
| Q2 - 7:56 | DEN | MISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 2 | 29 14.6% | 36 85.4% |
| Q2 - 7:56 | DEN | Andersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 29 13.8% | 36 86.2% |
| Q2 - 8:16 | DEN | Kleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 29 15.0% | 35 85.0% |
| Q2 - 8:18 | MIA | MISS Wade 18' Jump Shot | 29 15.4% | 35 84.6% |
| Q2 - 8:30 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 29 16.4% | 35 83.6% |
| Q2 - 8:30 | DEN | MISS Kleiza 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 29 15.9% | 35 84.1% |
| Q2 - 8:38 | MIA | Smith STEAL (2 STL) | 29 14.9% | 35 85.1% |
| Q2 - 8:57 | DEN | Kleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Smith 2 AST) | 29 16.3% | 35 83.7% |
| Q2 - 9:03 | DEN | Andersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 29 19.5% | 32 80.5% |
| Q2 - 9:05 | MIA | MISS Chalmers Driving Layup | 29 20.0% | 32 80.0% |
| Q2 - 9:16 | MIA | Magloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 29 21.2% | 32 78.8% |
| Q2 - 9:17 | DEN | MISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 2 | 29 21.0% | 32 79.0% |
| Q2 - 9:17 | DEN | Nene Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 29 19.9% | 32 80.1% |
| Q2 - 9:34 | MIA | Marion Driving Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST) | 29 21.2% | 31 78.8% |
| Q2 - 9:50 | DEN | Smith 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 27 19.5% | 31 80.5% |
| Q2 - 10:09 | MIA | Marion 7' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST) | 27 21.3% | 29 78.7% |
| Q2 - 10:41 | DEN | Andersen Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Carter 2 AST) | 25 19.6% | 29 80.4% |
| Q2 - 10:47 | MIA | Chalmers 8' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 25 21.3% | 27 78.7% |
| Q2 - 11:02 | MIA | Marion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 23 19.8% | 27 80.2% |
| Q2 - 11:03 | DEN | MISS Smith Driving Reverse Layup | 23 19.3% | 27 80.7% |
| Q2 - 11:12 | MIA | Marion Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 23 18.2% | 27 81.8% |
| Q2 - 11:12 | MIA | Marion Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 22 17.9% | 27 82.1% |
| Q2 - 11:19 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 21 16.8% | 27 83.2% |
| Q2 - 11:22 | DEN | MISS Kleiza 15' Turnaround Jump Shot | 21 16.3% | 27 83.7% |
| Q2 - 11:34 | DEN | Martin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 21 15.3% | 27 84.7% |
| Q2 - 11:38 | MIA | MISS Magloire 5' Jump Hook Shot | 21 15.8% | 27 84.2% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | DEN | 21 16.7% | 27 83.3% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | DEN | NUGGETS Rebound | 21 15.3% | 27 84.7% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | DEN | MISS Smith 48' 3PT Jump Shot | 21 16.3% | 27 83.7% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Smith STEAL (1 STL) | 21 15.3% | 27 84.7% |
| Q1 - 0:04.0 | DEN | Martin 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Smith 1 AST) | 21 16.6% | 27 83.4% |
| Q1 - 0:21.0 | MIA | Marion Layup (5 PTS) | 21 19.9% | 24 80.1% |
| Q1 - 0:22.0 | MIA | Marion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 19 18.0% | 24 82.0% |
| Q1 - 0:23.0 | MIA | MISS Quinn 3PT Jump Shot | 19 17.2% | 24 82.8% |
| Q1 - 0:34.0 | DEN | Carter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7) | 19 18.0% | 24 82.0% |
| Q1 - 0:38.0 | DEN | Andersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 19 16.9% | 24 83.1% |
| Q1 - 0:39.0 | MIA | MISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 19 17.2% | 24 82.8% |
| Q1 - 0:56.0 | DEN | Smith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 19 18.0% | 24 82.0% |
| Q1 - 0:56.0 | DEN | MISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 2 | 19 18.4% | 23 81.6% |
| Q1 - 1:02 | DEN | Martin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 19 18.5% | 23 81.5% |
| Q1 - 1:03 | MIA | MISS Diawara 3PT Jump Shot | 19 18.8% | 23 81.2% |
| Q1 - 1:19 | MIA | Marion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 19 19.5% | 23 80.5% |
| Q1 - 1:20 | DEN | MISS Jones 10' Jump Shot | 19 19.2% | 23 80.8% |
| Q1 - 1:33 | DEN | Smith Free Throw Technical (1 PTS) | 19 18.5% | 23 81.5% |
| Q1 - 1:45 | DEN | Andersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 19 20.0% | 22 80.0% |
| Q1 - 1:47 | MIA | MISS Quinn 3PT Jump Shot | 19 20.3% | 22 79.7% |
| Q1 - 2:01 | MIA | Quinn Free Throw Technical (1 PTS) | 19 21.2% | 22 78.8% |
| Q1 - 2:03 | DEN | Martin Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Carter 1 AST) | 18 19.7% | 22 80.3% |
| Q1 - 2:15 | MIA | Marion Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3) | 18 21.5% | 20 78.5% |
| Q1 - 2:26 | MIA | Marion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 18 22.8% | 20 77.2% |
| Q1 - 2:28 | DEN | MISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 2 | 18 22.6% | 20 77.4% |
| Q1 - 2:28 | DEN | MISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 2 | 18 21.7% | 20 78.3% |
| Q1 - 2:48 | MIA | Beasley 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST) | 18 21.5% | 20 78.5% |
| Q1 - 2:58 | DEN | Jones Driving Layup (4 PTS) | 16 19.7% | 20 80.3% |
| Q1 - 3:03 | DEN | Martin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 16 21.2% | 18 78.8% |
| Q1 - 3:05 | MIA | MISS Wade 19' Jump Shot | 16 21.7% | 18 78.3% |
| Q1 - 3:21 | DEN | Kleiza Traveling Turnover (P1.T6) | 16 22.8% | 18 77.2% |
| Q1 - 3:38 | MIA | Beasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 16 21.2% | 18 78.8% |
| Q1 - 3:38 | MIA | Beasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 15 20.9% | 18 79.1% |
| Q1 - 3:48 | DEN | Nene Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5) | 14 19.7% | 18 80.3% |
| Q1 - 4:01 | DEN | NUGGETS Rebound | 14 18.1% | 18 81.9% |
| Q1 - 4:01 | MIA | MISS Marion 18' Jump Shot | 14 18.6% | 18 81.4% |
| Q1 - 4:22 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 14 19.6% | 18 80.4% |
| Q1 - 4:23 | DEN | MISS Nene Layup | 14 19.1% | 18 80.9% |
| Q1 - 4:39 | DEN | Martin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 14 18.2% | 18 81.8% |
| Q1 - 4:40 | MIA | Martin BLOCK (1 BLK) | 14 18.6% | 18 81.4% |
| Q1 - 4:58 | DEN | Martin 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 2 AST) | 14 19.6% | 18 80.4% |
| Q1 - 5:13 | MIA | Beasley 7' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 14 21.1% | 16 78.9% |
| Q1 - 5:27 | DEN | Nene 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4) | 12 19.8% | 16 80.2% |
| Q1 - 5:44 | MIA | Beasley 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Marion 1 AST) | 12 18.3% | 16 81.7% |
| Q1 - 6:09 | DEN | Billups Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3) | 10 17.0% | 16 83.0% |
| Q1 - 6:10 | MIA | Billups STEAL (1 STL) | 10 15.8% | 16 84.2% |
| Q1 - 6:29 | DEN | Kleiza 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Martin 2 AST) | 10 17.0% | 16 83.0% |
| Q1 - 6:54 | MIA | Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST) | 10 19.5% | 13 80.5% |
| Q1 - 7:08 | DEN | Jones Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2) | 7 16.8% | 13 83.2% |
| Q1 - 7:30 | MIA | Beasley 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST) | 7 15.6% | 13 84.4% |
| Q1 - 7:52 | DEN | Nene Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Kleiza 1 AST) | 5 14.6% | 13 85.4% |
| Q1 - 7:56 | MIA | Marion Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 5 15.6% | 11 84.4% |
| Q1 - 7:56 | MIA | MISS Marion Free Throw 1 of 2 | 4 15.3% | 11 84.7% |
| Q1 - 8:08 | DEN | Billups Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1) | 4 15.5% | 11 84.5% |
| Q1 - 8:15 | DEN | Nene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 14.4% | 11 85.6% |
| Q1 - 8:17 | MIA | MISS Wade 17' Jump Shot | 4 14.7% | 11 85.3% |
| Q1 - 8:33 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 4 15.5% | 11 84.5% |
| Q1 - 8:33 | DEN | MISS Jones 6' Running Jump Shot | 4 15.1% | 11 84.9% |
| Q1 - 8:41 | MIA | Wade Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 4 14.4% | 11 85.6% |
| Q1 - 9:00 | DEN | Kleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Billups 1 AST) | 2 13.4% | 11 86.6% |
| Q1 - 9:16 | MIA | Marion Driving Dunk (2 PTS) | 2 15.9% | 8 84.1% |
| Q1 - 9:31 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 14.7% | 8 85.3% |
| Q1 - 9:32 | DEN | MISS Nene 11' Jump Shot | 0 14.5% | 8 85.5% |
| Q1 - 9:46 | DEN | Martin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 13.8% | 8 86.2% |
| Q1 - 9:47 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 0 14.1% | 8 85.9% |
| Q1 - 10:00 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 0 14.7% | 8 85.3% |
| Q1 - 10:02 | MIA | MISS Marion 13' Jump Shot | 0 14.6% | 8 85.4% |
| Q1 - 10:23 | DEN | Jones Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 0 15.3% | 8 84.7% |
| Q1 - 10:27 | DEN | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 16.2% | 6 83.8% |
| Q1 - 10:28 | MIA | MISS Beasley 22' Jump Shot | 0 16.5% | 6 83.5% |
| Q1 - 10:51 | DEN | Nene Layup (4 PTS) (Martin 1 AST) | 0 17.3% | 6 82.7% |
| Q1 - 11:02 | MIA | Martin STEAL (1 STL) | 0 18.4% | 4 81.6% |
| Q1 - 11:16 | DEN | Kleiza Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 0 19.5% | 4 80.5% |
| Q1 - 11:16 | DEN | Kleiza Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 0 19.7% | 3 80.3% |
| Q1 - 11:21 | DEN | Billups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 20.5% | 2 79.5% |
| Q1 - 11:23 | MIA | MISS Anthony Layup | 0 20.9% | 2 79.1% |
| Q1 - 11:44 | DEN | Nene Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 0 21.7% | 2 78.3% |
| Q1 - 11:44 | DEN | Nene Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 0 22.0% | 1 78.0% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | DEN | Jump Ball Nene vs. Anthony: Tip to Kleiza | 0 22.8% | 0 77.2% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.11 55.7%
DEN
1.19 59.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
11
23
48%
DEN
14
22
64%
Midrange
MIA
21
40
53%
DEN
10
27
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
DEN
10
15.0
21
48%
71%
Free Throws
MIA
15
16
94%
DEN
30
40
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Wade | 31 | 62% | 15.5 / 25 | |
| S. Marion | 25 | 66% | 12.5 / 19 | |
| M. Chalmers | 12 | 75% | 6.0 / 8 | |
| M. Beasley | 12 | 46% | 6.0 / 13 | |
| U. Haslem | 10 | 50% | 5.0 / 10 | |
| C. Quinn | 4 | 40% | 2.0 / 5 | |
| Y. Diawara | 3 | 38% | 1.5 / 4 | |
| J. Anthony | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 | |
| J. Magloire | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Nuggets| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Kleiza | 21 | 70% | 10.5 / 15 | |
| C. Billups | 21 | 66% | 10.5 / 16 | |
| J. Smith | 21 | 66% | 10.5 / 16 | |
| Nene | 14 | 58% | 7.0 / 12 | |
| K. Martin | 14 | 64% | 7.0 / 11 | |
| D. Jones | 6 | 33% | 3.0 / 9 | |
| C. Andersen | 6 | 75% | 3.0 / 4 | |
| A. Carter | 5 | 50% | 2.5 / 5 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
MIA
80
+7
-15
87
DEN
78
+11
-16
89
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.11 55.7%
DEN
1.19 59.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 107.6 110.2 | MIA 102.1 DEN 114.9 +12.8 |
| Pace | 90.2 94.5 | MIA 93.8 DEN 95.2 +1.4 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 16.3 14.7 | MIA 15.3 DEN 15.1 +0.2 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 50.0% 51.2% | MIA 51.9% DEN 55.7% +3.8% |
| TO % | 13.1% 15.8% | MIA 14.8% +0.6% DEN 15.4% |
| ORB % | 24.6% 27.5% | MIA 13.5% DEN 23.7% +10.2% |
| FTrt | 28.2 38.2 | MIA 20.3 DEN 57.1 +36.8 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 55.1% 59.5% | MIA 50.0% DEN 70.6% +20.6% |
| STL % | 8.7% 9.1% | MIA 8.4% DEN 9.6% +1.2% |
| BLK % | 9.2% 9.7% | MIA 10.2% DEN 11.1% +0.9% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 52.6% 54.8% | MIA 55.7% DEN 59.3% +3.6% |
| Rim FG% | 59.5% 60.5% | MIA 47.8% DEN 63.6% +15.8% |
| Mid FG% | 41.8% 38.7% | MIA 52.5% +15.5% DEN 37.0% |
| 3P % | 35.7% 37.1% | MIA 37.5% DEN 47.6% +10.1% |
| FT % | 75.4% 76.0% | MIA 93.8% +18.8% DEN 75.0% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 30.3% 39.7% | MIA 29.1% DEN 31.4% +2.3% |
| Mid Att. % | 45.2% 37.6% | MIA 50.6% DEN 38.6% +12.1% |
| 3P Att. % | 24.5% 22.7% | MIA 20.3% DEN 30.0% +9.7% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
| Game Totals | MIA | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 95 | 94 |
| Possession Minutes | 24.3 | 23.7 |
| Points | 97 | 108 |
| Rebounds | 34 | 41 |
| Assists | 19 | 24 |
| Steals | 8 | 9 |
| Blocks | 5 | 7 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 15 (0) | 16 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 5 (2) | 9 (2) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 29 (3) | 32 (2) |
| Field Goals | 38-79 | 34-70 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 11-23 | 14-22 |
| Midrange FG | 21-40 | 10-27 |
| 2-Point FG | 32-63 | 24-49 |
| 3-Point FG | 6-16 | 10-21 |
| Free Throws | 15-16 | 30-40 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.