FinalWin Prob.pScore
843%95
106
1257%97
102
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
110.49689.7
ATL logo ATL
106.396103.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL106
100%
102
0%
Q4 - 0:05.0ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 2 of 2106
99.7%
102
0.3%
Q4 - 0:05.0ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)106
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 0:12.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)105
99.7%
99
0.3%
Q4 - 0:12.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)104
99.7%
99
0.3%
Q4 - 0:12.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)103
99.4%
99
0.6%
Q4 - 0:14.0ATLMISS Bibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot103
99.0%
99
1.0%
Q4 - 0:16.0ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)103
97.5%
99
2.5%
Q4 - 0:16.0ORLMISS Lewis Free Throw 1 of 2102
97.1%
99
2.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0ATLSmith Putback Layup (18 PTS)102
98.1%
99
1.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)102
99.1%
97
0.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0ATLMISS Williams 28' 3PT Jump Shot102
99.7%
97
0.3%
Q4 - 0:30.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)102
97.8%
97
2.2%
Q4 - 0:32.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 2102
98.2%
97
1.8%
Q4 - 0:32.0ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)102
98.8%
97
1.2%
Q4 - 0:32.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:13)101
98.1%
97
1.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0ATLMISS Johnson 12' Jump Shot101
97.5%
97
2.5%
Q4 - 0:45.0ORLLewis Foul Turnover (P2.T18)101
92.6%
97
7.4%
Q4 - 0:53.0ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)101
95.5%
97
4.5%
Q4 - 0:55.0ATLMISS Bibby Running Layup101
94.3%
97
5.7%
Q4 - 0:59.0ORLWilliams STEAL (3 STL)101
90.6%
97
9.4%
Q4 - 1:24ATLBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)101
93.2%
97
6.8%
Q4 - 1:24ATLBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)101
93.7%
96
6.3%
Q4 - 1:24ATLHAWKS Rebound101
95.7%
95
4.3%
Q4 - 1:25ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot101
97.1%
95
2.9%
Q4 - 1:32ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)101
95.1%
95
4.9%
Q4 - 1:32ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)100
94.7%
95
5.3%
Q4 - 1:45ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)99
90.7%
95
9.3%
Q4 - 1:45ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)99
96.1%
92
3.9%
Q4 - 1:46ATLMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup99
97.3%
92
2.7%
Q4 - 1:56ORLLewis 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS)99
96.0%
92
4.0%
Q4 - 2:17ATLHorford Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T13)97
94.6%
92
5.4%
Q4 - 2:37ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)97
89.9%
92
10.1%
Q4 - 2:39ORLMISS Turkoglu 20' Jump Shot97
91.7%
92
8.3%
Q4 - 3:05ATLSmith Running Dunk (16 PTS)97
92.9%
92
7.1%
Q4 - 3:09ORLSmith STEAL (2 STL)97
94.9%
90
5.1%
Q4 - 3:24ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)97
97.1%
90
2.9%
Q4 - 3:25ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot97
96.6%
90
3.4%
Q4 - 3:43ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)97
92.0%
90
8.0%
Q4 - 3:44ORLMISS Nelson 27' 3PT Jump Shot97
92.9%
90
7.1%
Q4 - 3:57ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:12)97
94.7%
90
5.3%
Q4 - 3:59ATLMISS Bibby 28' 3PT Jump Shot97
94.1%
90
5.9%
Q4 - 4:14ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)97
92.4%
90
7.6%
Q4 - 4:14ORLMISS Lee 8' Running Jump Shot97
93.2%
90
6.8%
Q4 - 4:35ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)97
94.9%
90
5.1%
Q4 - 4:36ATLMISS Williams 12' Running Jump Shot97
94.3%
90
5.7%
Q4 - 4:45ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)97
92.5%
90
7.5%
Q4 - 4:47ORLMISS Howard 2' Layup97
93.4%
90
6.6%
Q4 - 5:13ATLSmith Running Layup (14 PTS)97
92.3%
90
7.7%
Q4 - 5:15ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)97
94.3%
88
5.7%
Q4 - 5:17ORLHorford BLOCK (3 BLK)97
94.9%
88
5.1%
Q4 - 5:26ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)97
96.0%
88
4.0%
Q4 - 5:28ATLMISS Williams 9' Turnaround Jump Shot97
95.6%
88
4.4%
Q4 - 5:39ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)97
94.4%
88
5.6%
Q4 - 5:40ORLMISS Nelson 28' 3PT Jump Shot97
95.0%
88
5.0%
Q4 - 6:04ATLMurray Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)97
94.4%
88
5.6%
Q4 - 6:07ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)97
92.5%
88
7.5%
Q4 - 6:09ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot97
93.1%
88
6.9%
Q4 - 6:26ATLJohnson 17' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)97
94.5%
88
5.5%
Q4 - 6:46ORLHoward Putback Layup (22 PTS)97
95.8%
86
4.2%
Q4 - 6:48ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)95
94.5%
86
5.5%
Q4 - 6:49ORLMISS Nelson 3' Driving Layup95
93.3%
86
6.7%
Q4 - 7:10ATLJones Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)95
93.0%
86
7.0%
Q4 - 7:28ORLHoward Putback Dunk (20 PTS)95
90.9%
86
9.1%
Q4 - 7:29ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)93
88.5%
86
11.5%
Q4 - 7:30ORLMISS Nelson 4' Driving Layup93
86.2%
86
13.8%
Q4 - 8:00ATLJones 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 9 AST)93
88.6%
86
11.4%
Q4 - 8:16ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)93
89.5%
84
10.5%
Q4 - 8:16ORLMagic Rebound93
91.6%
84
8.4%
Q4 - 8:17ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
90.1%
84
9.9%
Q4 - 8:45ATLMurray 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Johnson 8 AST)93
91.6%
84
8.4%
Q4 - 8:59ORLEvans STEAL (2 STL)93
93.5%
82
6.5%
Q4 - 9:17ATLEvans Running Dunk (8 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)93
93.6%
82
6.4%
Q4 - 9:19ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)93
95.0%
80
5.0%
Q4 - 9:21ORLMISS Turkoglu 2' Driving Layup93
95.3%
80
4.7%
Q4 - 9:42ATLJohnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)93
96.0%
80
4.0%
Q4 - 9:48ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
97.5%
77
2.5%
Q4 - 9:50ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 293
97.6%
77
2.4%
Q4 - 9:50ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 293
97.9%
77
2.1%
Q4 - 10:06ATLEvans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)93
97.5%
77
2.5%
Q4 - 10:18ORLHoward 5' Hook Shot (18 PTS) (Redick 2 AST)93
98.4%
74
1.6%
Q4 - 10:45ATLSmith 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)91
98.0%
74
2.0%
Q4 - 11:02ORLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 8 AST)91
97.9%
72
2.1%
Q4 - 11:11ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)88
96.9%
72
3.1%
Q4 - 11:12ATLMISS Murray 20' Jump Shot88
96.7%
72
3.3%
Q4 - 11:23ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)88
96.2%
72
3.8%
Q4 - 11:23ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)87
95.9%
72
4.1%
Q4 - 11:38ATLSmith 5' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)86
95.3%
72
4.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL86
96.2%
70
3.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound86
96.2%
70
3.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Johnson 50' 3PT Jump Shot86
96.7%
70
3.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
95.5%
70
4.5%
Q3 - 0:03.0ORLMISS Redick 28' 3PT Jump Shot86
95.7%
70
4.3%
Q3 - 0:09.0ATLMurray Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)86
96.2%
70
3.8%
Q3 - 0:13.0ORLWilliams STEAL (2 STL)86
95.5%
70
4.5%
Q3 - 0:34.0ATLMurray Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)86
96.3%
70
3.7%
Q3 - 0:34.0ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
97.5%
67
2.5%
Q3 - 0:34.0ATLMISS Jones 3' Layup86
97.8%
67
2.2%
Q3 - 0:44.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)86
97.5%
67
2.5%
Q3 - 0:46.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
97.7%
67
2.3%
Q3 - 1:08ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)86
97.6%
67
2.4%
Q3 - 1:09ATLMISS Murray 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
97.4%
67
2.6%
Q3 - 1:14ATLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)86
97.1%
67
2.9%
Q3 - 1:16ORLMISS Lewis 18' Jump Shot86
97.3%
67
2.7%
Q3 - 1:20ORLMagic Rebound86
97.6%
67
2.4%
Q3 - 1:20ORLWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)86
97.3%
67
2.7%
Q3 - 1:41ATLWilliams Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)86
97.6%
67
2.4%
Q3 - 1:52ORLRedick 7' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lewis 3 AST)86
97.2%
67
2.8%
Q3 - 2:12ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
95.8%
67
4.2%
Q3 - 2:14ATLMISS Murray Free Throw 1 of 184
95.7%
67
4.3%
Q3 - 2:26ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)84
96.5%
65
3.5%
Q3 - 2:26ORLMISS Lewis Free Throw 1 of 283
96.5%
65
3.5%
Q3 - 2:27ORLMagic Rebound83
96.5%
65
3.5%
Q3 - 2:27ORLMISS Lee 16' Jump Shot83
96.1%
65
3.9%
Q3 - 2:45ATLJones Putback Layup (2 PTS)83
96.6%
65
3.4%
Q3 - 2:47ATLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)83
97.1%
63
2.9%
Q3 - 2:48ATLMISS Evans 21' Jump Shot83
97.5%
63
2.5%
Q3 - 3:04ORLLee 2' Running Layup (11 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)83
96.6%
63
3.4%
Q3 - 3:24ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)81
96.0%
63
4.0%
Q3 - 3:26ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 281
95.9%
63
4.1%
Q3 - 3:26ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 281
95.4%
63
4.6%
Q3 - 3:29ORLWilliams STEAL (1 STL)81
95.3%
63
4.7%
Q3 - 3:39ATLMurray Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)81
96.1%
63
3.9%
Q3 - 3:50ORLRedick 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)81
95.3%
63
4.7%
Q3 - 4:07ATLMurray 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bibby 7 AST)78
92.8%
63
7.2%
Q3 - 4:21ORLHoward 1' Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)78
94.7%
60
5.3%
Q3 - 4:40ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)76
94.0%
60
6.0%
Q3 - 4:40ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 276
94.1%
59
5.9%
Q3 - 4:44ORLMurray STEAL (1 STL)76
93.8%
59
6.2%
Q3 - 5:03ATLWilliams 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Bibby 6 AST)76
94.0%
59
6.0%
Q3 - 5:07ORLLewis Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)76
94.8%
57
5.2%
Q3 - 5:22ORLLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
95.7%
57
4.3%
Q3 - 5:23ATLMISS Bibby 18' Jump Shot76
95.4%
57
4.6%
Q3 - 5:32ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
94.8%
57
5.2%
Q3 - 5:35ORLMISS Lewis 4' Turnaround Jump Shot76
95.1%
57
4.9%
Q3 - 5:51ATLBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)76
95.7%
57
4.3%
Q3 - 5:51ATLBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)76
95.8%
56
4.2%
Q3 - 6:03ORLLee 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Turkoglu 7 AST)76
95.7%
55
4.3%
Q3 - 6:19ATLBibby 4' Alley Oop Layup (13 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)73
94.3%
55
5.7%
Q3 - 6:29ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 3 of 3 (18 PTS)73
95.1%
53
4.9%
Q3 - 6:29ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 3 (17 PTS)72
95.0%
53
5.0%
Q3 - 6:29ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 371
94.8%
53
5.2%
Q3 - 6:35ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)71
94.3%
53
5.7%
Q3 - 7:00ORLTurkoglu 27' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)71
93.3%
53
6.7%
Q3 - 7:23ATLWilliams 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST)68
90.0%
53
10.0%
Q3 - 7:29ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
91.3%
51
8.7%
Q3 - 7:31ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
91.7%
51
8.3%
Q3 - 7:41ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)68
92.5%
51
7.5%
Q3 - 7:43ATLMISS Johnson 10' Jump Shot68
92.1%
51
7.9%
Q3 - 7:59ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)68
91.3%
51
8.7%
Q3 - 7:59ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)67
90.9%
51
9.1%
Q3 - 7:59ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)66
90.1%
51
9.9%
Q3 - 8:01ORLMISS Lee 18' Jump Shot66
88.3%
51
11.7%
Q3 - 8:19ATLWilliams 12' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)66
89.5%
51
10.5%
Q3 - 8:44ORLTurkoglu 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)66
90.7%
49
9.3%
Q3 - 9:10ORLMagic Rebound64
88.9%
49
11.1%
Q3 - 9:11ATLMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot64
88.4%
49
11.6%
Q3 - 9:42ORLTurkoglu 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)64
87.3%
49
12.7%
Q3 - 10:02ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)62
84.7%
49
15.3%
Q3 - 10:03ATLMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
84.1%
49
15.9%
Q3 - 10:09ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)62
82.7%
49
17.3%
Q3 - 10:11ORLHorford BLOCK (2 BLK)62
83.3%
49
16.7%
Q3 - 10:27ATLBibby 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)62
84.7%
49
15.3%
Q3 - 10:38ORLLee Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T9)62
86.5%
47
13.5%
Q3 - 10:43ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)62
88.1%
47
11.9%
Q3 - 11:04ORLBibby STEAL (2 STL)62
85.6%
47
14.4%
Q3 - 11:21ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)62
87.4%
47
12.6%
Q3 - 11:21ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)62
87.6%
46
12.4%
Q3 - 11:38ORLHoward 7' Running Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Turkoglu 6 AST)62
88.8%
45
11.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL60
87.4%
45
12.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound60
85.7%
45
14.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Murray 42' 3PT Jump Shot60
86.9%
45
13.1%
Q2 - 0:03.0ORLLewis 28' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)60
85.2%
45
14.8%
Q2 - 0:28.0ATLHorford 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)57
81.0%
45
19.0%
Q2 - 0:38.0ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)57
83.4%
43
16.6%
Q2 - 0:38.0ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)56
83.2%
43
16.8%
Q2 - 0:59.0ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
81.1%
43
18.9%
Q2 - 1:00ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 255
80.8%
43
19.2%
Q2 - 1:00ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)55
79.3%
43
20.7%
Q2 - 1:07ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)55
80.8%
42
19.2%
Q2 - 1:09ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot55
81.9%
42
18.1%
Q2 - 1:13ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)55
80.9%
42
19.1%
Q2 - 1:15ATLMISS Johnson 8' Running Jump Shot55
81.9%
42
18.1%
Q2 - 1:33ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)55
80.9%
42
19.1%
Q2 - 1:33ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)54
80.6%
42
19.4%
Q2 - 1:49ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)53
78.2%
42
21.8%
Q2 - 1:50ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot53
77.7%
42
22.3%
Q2 - 2:04ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)53
75.2%
42
24.8%
Q2 - 2:04ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)52
74.9%
42
25.1%
Q2 - 2:11ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
72.9%
42
27.1%
Q2 - 2:13ORLMISS Lewis 21' Jump Shot51
71.0%
42
29.0%
Q2 - 2:29ATLBibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)51
72.9%
42
27.1%
Q2 - 2:33ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
77.6%
39
22.4%
Q2 - 2:34ATLMISS Smith 5' Turnaround Jump Shot51
79.1%
39
20.9%
Q2 - 2:43ORLNelson 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)51
77.6%
39
22.4%
Q2 - 3:09ATLJohnson 11' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)49
74.9%
39
25.1%
Q2 - 3:18ORLHorford STEAL (1 STL)49
76.8%
37
23.2%
Q2 - 3:34ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
79.3%
37
20.7%
Q2 - 3:36ATLMISS Horford 20' Jump Shot49
78.6%
37
21.4%
Q2 - 3:53ORLNelson Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T6)49
76.9%
37
23.1%
Q2 - 4:02ATLHorford Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)49
78.4%
37
21.6%
Q2 - 4:21ORLNelson 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)49
76.2%
37
23.8%
Q2 - 4:38ATLHorford 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)47
74.1%
37
25.9%
Q2 - 4:55ORLNelson 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)47
76.2%
35
23.8%
Q2 - 5:07ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
73.3%
35
26.7%
Q2 - 5:08ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 245
73.0%
35
27.0%
Q2 - 5:08ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 245
71.6%
35
28.4%
Q2 - 5:21ORLLee 2' Running Layup (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 5 AST)45
71.0%
35
29.0%
Q2 - 5:25ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
68.5%
35
31.5%
Q2 - 5:27ATLMISS Horford 13' Turnaround Jump Shot43
67.7%
35
32.3%
Q2 - 5:45ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)43
65.9%
35
34.1%
Q2 - 5:46ORLMISS Nelson 29' 3PT Jump Shot43
66.7%
35
33.3%
Q2 - 5:57ORLLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
68.5%
35
31.5%
Q2 - 6:00ATLMISS Bibby 28' 3PT Jump Shot43
67.7%
35
32.3%
Q2 - 6:11ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
64.9%
35
35.1%
Q2 - 6:16ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 243
65.4%
35
34.6%
Q2 - 6:16ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)43
66.6%
35
33.4%
Q2 - 6:26ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)42
65.4%
35
34.6%
Q2 - 6:27ATLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot42
64.5%
35
35.5%
Q2 - 6:45ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)42
62.3%
35
37.7%
Q2 - 7:00ATLJohnson 3' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)40
60.0%
35
40.0%
Q2 - 7:11ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)40
62.1%
33
37.9%
Q2 - 7:11ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)39
61.7%
33
38.3%
Q2 - 7:16ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
59.4%
33
40.6%
Q2 - 7:20ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot38
58.6%
33
41.4%
Q2 - 7:37ORLRedick 2' Running Layup (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)38
56.6%
33
43.4%
Q2 - 7:42ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)36
53.9%
33
46.1%
Q2 - 7:51ORLNelson 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
51.0%
33
49.0%
Q2 - 8:02ATLWilliams 3' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)34
47.9%
33
52.1%
Q2 - 8:20ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)34
50.7%
31
49.3%
Q2 - 8:30ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)34
53.4%
31
46.6%
Q2 - 8:31ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot34
52.6%
31
47.4%
Q2 - 8:50ORLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)34
50.7%
31
49.3%
Q2 - 9:07ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)31
44.9%
31
55.1%
Q2 - 9:07ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)31
45.3%
30
54.7%
Q2 - 9:26ORLTurkoglu 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS)31
47.5%
29
52.5%
Q2 - 9:36ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
44.9%
29
55.1%
Q2 - 9:37ATLMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot29
44.1%
29
55.9%
Q2 - 9:53ATLMorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
42.2%
29
57.8%
Q2 - 9:55ORLMISS Battie 16' Turnaround Jump Shot29
43.1%
29
56.9%
Q2 - 10:16ATLBibby 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)29
44.9%
29
55.1%
Q2 - 10:22ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
47.4%
27
52.6%
Q2 - 10:23ORLMISS Battie 19' Jump Shot29
48.2%
27
51.8%
Q2 - 10:42ATLMurray 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS)29
50.1%
27
49.9%
Q2 - 10:57ORLEvans STEAL (1 STL)29
55.3%
24
44.7%
Q2 - 11:08ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
57.4%
24
42.6%
Q2 - 11:10ATLMISS Murray 4' Running Layup29
56.7%
24
43.3%
Q2 - 11:15ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
54.9%
24
45.1%
Q2 - 11:16ORLMISS Redick 18' Jump Shot29
55.7%
24
44.3%
Q2 - 11:32ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
57.5%
24
42.5%
Q2 - 11:34ORLMISS Gortat 18' Jump Shot29
55.7%
24
44.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL29
57.5%
24
42.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
54.9%
24
45.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLEvans BLOCK (1 BLK)29
55.7%
24
44.3%
Q1 - 0:17.0ATLBibby Layup (4 PTS)29
56.3%
24
43.7%
Q1 - 0:19.0ORLBibby STEAL (1 STL)29
59.3%
22
40.7%
Q1 - 0:34.0ATLEvans 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)29
61.1%
22
38.9%
Q1 - 0:39.0ORLRedick 4' Driving Jump Shot (4 PTS)29
66.2%
19
33.8%
Q1 - 0:45.0ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
63.5%
19
36.5%
Q1 - 0:46.0ORLMISS Lee 17' Jump Shot27
62.2%
19
37.8%
Q1 - 0:59.0ATLMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)27
63.5%
19
36.5%
Q1 - 0:59.0ATLMISS Murray Free Throw 1 of 227
64.1%
18
35.9%
Q1 - 1:09ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)27
63.3%
18
36.7%
Q1 - 1:09ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)26
63.0%
18
37.0%
Q1 - 1:26ATLBibby 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)25
60.4%
18
39.6%
Q1 - 1:43ORLRedick 14' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)25
63.4%
16
36.6%
Q1 - 2:11ATLSmith 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)23
60.1%
16
39.9%
Q1 - 2:30ORLLewis 13' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)23
62.7%
14
37.3%
Q1 - 2:39ORLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
60.1%
14
39.9%
Q1 - 2:40ATLMISS Smith 28' 3PT Jump Shot21
59.6%
14
40.4%
Q1 - 2:50ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
58.3%
14
41.7%
Q1 - 2:51ORLMISS Lee 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
58.9%
14
41.1%
Q1 - 2:59ORLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
60.1%
14
39.9%
Q1 - 3:00ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot21
59.6%
14
40.4%
Q1 - 3:10ORLJohnson STEAL (1 STL)21
58.0%
14
42.0%
Q1 - 3:14ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)21
60.2%
14
39.8%
Q1 - 3:15ORLMISS Howard Putback Layup21
58.6%
14
41.4%
Q1 - 3:16ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
60.2%
14
39.8%
Q1 - 3:18ORLMISS Lewis 16' Jump Shot21
58.6%
14
41.4%
Q1 - 3:36ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)21
60.2%
14
39.8%
Q1 - 3:36ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 221
60.5%
13
39.5%
Q1 - 3:50ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)21
60.2%
13
39.8%
Q1 - 3:52ORLMISS Howard 5' Turnaround Jump Shot21
60.8%
13
39.2%
Q1 - 4:13ATLSmith 3' Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)21
61.6%
13
38.4%
Q1 - 4:30ATLHAWKS Rebound21
63.6%
11
36.4%
Q1 - 4:30ORLHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)21
64.3%
11
35.7%
Q1 - 4:41ATLJohnson 19' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)21
65.8%
11
34.2%
Q1 - 4:50ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
67.6%
9
32.4%
Q1 - 4:51ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 121
67.9%
9
32.1%
Q1 - 4:58ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
65.8%
9
34.2%
Q1 - 4:59ATLMISS Smith 5' Jump Shot19
65.1%
9
34.9%
Q1 - 5:14ORLNelson 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)19
62.9%
9
37.1%
Q1 - 5:31ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
61.1%
9
38.9%
Q1 - 5:32ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 217
60.8%
9
39.2%
Q1 - 5:32ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 217
59.5%
9
40.5%
Q1 - 5:47ORLLewis 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)17
58.8%
9
41.2%
Q1 - 6:07ATLSmith 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)14
54.3%
9
45.7%
Q1 - 6:34ORLLee 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
56.4%
7
43.6%
Q1 - 6:48ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)12
54.4%
7
45.6%
Q1 - 7:04ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)12
51.9%
7
48.1%
Q1 - 7:05ORLMISS Turkoglu 3' Driving Layup12
52.6%
7
47.4%
Q1 - 7:13ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
54.3%
7
45.7%
Q1 - 7:15ATLMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot12
53.6%
7
46.4%
Q1 - 7:30ORLLewis 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
51.9%
7
48.1%
Q1 - 7:46ATLJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)10
50.0%
7
50.0%
Q1 - 7:59ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)10
47.7%
7
52.3%
Q1 - 8:01ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 210
48.0%
7
52.0%
Q1 - 8:01ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
49.1%
7
50.9%
Q1 - 8:16ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
47.7%
7
52.3%
Q1 - 8:17ATLMISS Horford 4' Jump Shot9
47.0%
7
53.0%
Q1 - 8:37ORLTurkoglu 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)9
45.6%
7
54.4%
Q1 - 8:51ATLWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)7
43.5%
7
56.5%
Q1 - 8:57ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)7
47.7%
4
52.3%
Q1 - 9:00ATLMISS Williams 4' Jump Shot7
49.2%
4
50.8%
Q1 - 9:07ORLSmith STEAL (1 STL)7
47.7%
4
52.3%
Q1 - 9:12ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
49.5%
4
50.5%
Q1 - 9:13ATLMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot7
49.0%
4
51.0%
Q1 - 9:31ORLTurkoglu 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)7
47.7%
4
52.3%
Q1 - 9:43ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
43.6%
4
56.4%
Q1 - 9:43ATLHorford Putback Layup (2 PTS)4
43.6%
4
56.4%
Q1 - 9:44ATLMISS Johnson 3' Jump Shot4
47.0%
2
53.0%
Q1 - 9:54ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
45.7%
2
54.3%
Q1 - 9:55ORLMISS Turkoglu 29' 3PT Jump Shot4
46.3%
2
53.7%
Q1 - 10:00ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
47.5%
2
52.5%
Q1 - 10:02ATLMISS Bibby 3' Running Layup4
46.6%
2
53.4%
Q1 - 10:14ORLLee 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)4
45.2%
2
54.8%
Q1 - 10:20ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
43.5%
2
56.5%
Q1 - 10:21ATLMISS Bibby 18' Jump Shot2
43.0%
2
57.0%
Q1 - 10:37ORLHoward 11' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)2
41.7%
2
58.3%
Q1 - 10:54ATLSmith 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)0
40.0%
2
60.0%
Q1 - 11:03ATLHAWKS Rebound0
41.5%
0
58.5%
Q1 - 11:05ATLMISS Bibby 29' 3PT Jump Shot0
42.6%
0
57.4%
Q1 - 11:22ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
41.5%
0
58.5%
Q1 - 11:24ORLMISS Nelson 2' Running Layup0
42.0%
0
58.0%
Q1 - 11:43ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
43.2%
0
56.8%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Howard: Tip to Bibby0
41.5%
0
58.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.16 58.2%
ATL
1.05 52.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
12
24
50%
ATL
16
26
62%
Midrange
ORL
16
30
53%
ATL
16
37
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
8
12.0
18
44%
67%
ATL
8
12.0
21
38%
57%
Free Throws
ORL
26
36
72%
ATL
14
25
56%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard2364%11.5 / 18
R. Lewis2063%10.0 / 16
H. Turkoglu2067%10.0 / 15
J. Nelson1544%7.5 / 17
C. Lee1155%5.5 / 10
J. Redick1179%5.5 / 7
A. Johnson6150%3.0 / 2
T. Battie0-0.0 / 2
M. Gortat0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith2166%10.5 / 16
M. Bibby1745%8.5 / 19
M. Williams1653%8.0 / 15
R. Murray1470%7.0 / 10
J. Johnson1334%6.5 / 19
A. Horford956%4.5 / 8
M. Evans8100%4.0 / 4
S. Jones467%2.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
79
+11
-17
90
ATL
83
+13
-13
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.16 58.2%
ATL
1.05 52.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.0
109.2
ORL 110.4 +4.2
ATL 106.3
Pace
92.5
89.8
ORL 89.7
ATL 103.2 +13.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
15.9
ORL 16.1
ATL 13.9 +2.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.0%
50.4%
ORL 55.6% +3.2%
ATL 52.4%
TO %
14.6%
13.6%
ORL 17.0%
ATL 12.0% +5.0%
ORB %
24.1%
26.0%
ORL 21.1% +0.6%
ATL 20.5%
FTrt
35.1
32.3
ORL 50.0 +20.2
ATL 29.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
56.1%
ORL 58.3%
ATL 67.5% +9.2%
STL %
7.5%
8.2%
ORL 6.3%
ATL 12.5% +6.2%
BLK %
8.0%
7.4%
ORL 3.2%
ATL 9.3% +6.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.4%
53.2%
ORL 58.2% +5.6%
ATL 52.6%
Rim FG%
60.9%
60.5%
ORL 50.0%
ATL 61.5% +11.5%
Mid FG%
39.3%
40.2%
ORL 53.3% +10.1%
ATL 43.2%
3P %
38.1%
36.6%
ORL 44.4% +6.3%
ATL 38.1%
FT %
71.5%
73.8%
ORL 72.2% +16.2%
ATL 56.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.3%
32.2%
ORL 33.3% +2.4%
ATL 31.0%
Mid Att. %
35.2%
42.4%
ORL 41.7% +2.4%
ATL 44.0%
3P Att. %
33.5%
25.3%
ORL 25.0%
ATL 25.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.58 and 2.58.
Game TotalsORLATL
Possessions9696
Possession Minutes25.722.3
Points106102
Rebounds4339
Assists2127
Steals612
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (1)30 (1)
Field Goals36-7240-84
At-the-Rim FG12-2416-26
Midrange FG16-3016-37
2-Point FG28-5432-63
3-Point FG8-188-21
Free Throws26-3614-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 265 · 23
39.8
23
64%
19
1
1
0
4
4
5
14
7-13
54%
8-12
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 29
38.5
20
63%
4
3
0
1
2
3
1
3
8-10
80%
3-8
38%
2-3
67%
F · 6'10" 220 · 30
37.4
20
67%
7
8
2
0
3
4
0
7
6-7
86%
4-7
57%
2-5
40%
G · 6'5" 200 · 23
37.0
11
55%
2
0
0
0
2
3
0
2
0-0
-
4-8
50%
1-2
50%
G · 6'0" 190 · 27
34.7
15
44%
5
5
2
0
3
4
0
5
5-6
83%
5-10
50%
0-4
0%
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25
19.5
11
79%
0
2
0
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-5
80%
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 195 · 34
13.3
6
150%
2
2
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-2
100%
C · 6'11" 240 · 33
11.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 25
8.2
0
0%
2
0
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 25
#20 · F · 6'6" 215 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#29 · G · 5'10" 180 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#31 · C · 6'10" 270 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
58%
43
21
6
2
17
0
8
35
26-36
72%
28-54
52%
8-18
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.