FinalWin Prob.pScore
2716%89
80
484%102
89
ORTG#PossPace
WAS logo WAS
88.99085.1
ORL logo ORL
95.79398.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventWASORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL80
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0WASMISS McGuire 18' Jump Shot80
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)80
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)80
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0WASButler Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)80
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)80
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 0:33.0ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)80
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 0:33.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)80
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 0:35.0ORLMISS Nelson 17' Jump Shot80
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q4 - 0:48.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)80
1.2%
85
98.8%
Q4 - 0:49.0WASMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot80
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 1:06ORLNelson Layup (12 PTS)80
3.7%
85
96.3%
Q4 - 1:18WASButler 20' Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Jamison 2 AST)80
7.3%
83
92.7%
Q4 - 1:30WASWizards Rebound78
5.2%
83
94.8%
Q4 - 1:31ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot78
4.4%
83
95.6%
Q4 - 1:40WASButler 20' Jump Shot (27 PTS)78
3.3%
83
96.7%
Q4 - 1:51ORLNelson Driving Layup (10 PTS)76
2.4%
83
97.6%
Q4 - 2:04WASJamison 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Butler 5 AST)76
3.6%
81
96.4%
Q4 - 2:14WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)73
1.6%
81
98.4%
Q4 - 2:16ORLMISS Lewis 17' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot73
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q4 - 2:39WASButler 13' Fadeaway Jumper (25 PTS)73
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q4 - 2:56WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)71
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q4 - 2:57ORLMISS Nelson 9' Jump Shot71
0.7%
81
99.3%
Q4 - 3:14ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)71
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q4 - 3:15ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.7%
81
99.3%
Q4 - 3:20ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)71
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q4 - 3:21WASNelson BLOCK (1 BLK)71
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q4 - 3:31ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)71
1.5%
81
98.5%
Q4 - 3:31ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 271
1.6%
80
98.4%
Q4 - 3:48WASJames Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P5.T14)71
1.3%
80
98.7%
Q4 - 3:48WASJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
2.0%
80
98.0%
Q4 - 3:50ORLMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
1.8%
80
98.2%
Q4 - 4:08WASMcGuire 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)71
1.3%
80
98.7%
Q4 - 4:16ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)69
0.9%
80
99.1%
Q4 - 4:27ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q4 - 4:28ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q4 - 4:53WASJames Foul Turnover (P4.T13)69
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q4 - 4:57ORLLewis Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)69
0.9%
80
99.1%
Q4 - 5:08ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)69
1.0%
80
99.0%
Q4 - 5:10WASMISS Jamison 9' Jump Shot69
1.1%
80
98.9%
Q4 - 5:24ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)69
1.4%
80
98.6%
Q4 - 5:24ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 269
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q4 - 5:37WASYoung 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)69
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q4 - 5:48WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)67
1.0%
79
99.0%
Q4 - 5:50ORLMISS Lewis 27' 3PT Jump Shot67
0.9%
79
99.1%
Q4 - 5:52ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)67
0.7%
79
99.3%
Q4 - 5:53ORLMISS Howard Slam Dunk67
0.9%
79
99.1%
Q4 - 6:06ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)67
1.0%
79
99.0%
Q4 - 6:08WASMISS Jamison 15' Jump Shot67
1.1%
79
98.9%
Q4 - 6:26ORLRedick Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)67
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q4 - 6:29ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
1.0%
79
99.0%
Q4 - 6:31WASMISS Jamison 16' Jump Shot67
1.1%
79
98.9%
Q4 - 6:47WASMcGuire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q4 - 6:48ORLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot67
1.2%
79
98.8%
Q4 - 7:14ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)67
1.3%
79
98.7%
Q4 - 7:14WASMISS Jamison 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q4 - 7:33WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)67
1.7%
79
98.3%
Q4 - 7:36ORLMISS Battie Layup67
1.5%
79
98.5%
Q4 - 7:51ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)67
1.2%
79
98.8%
Q4 - 7:52WASMISS Young 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q4 - 8:13ORLRedick 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Turkoglu 7 AST)67
2.0%
79
98.0%
Q4 - 8:30ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)67
2.6%
77
97.4%
Q4 - 8:31WASCrittenton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
3.3%
77
96.7%
Q4 - 8:31WASMISS Crittenton Layup67
2.8%
77
97.2%
Q4 - 8:34WASMISS Butler 28' 3PT Jump Shot67
2.8%
77
97.2%
Q4 - 8:56WASThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
3.3%
77
96.7%
Q4 - 8:59ORLMISS Turkoglu 17' Running Jump Shot67
3.0%
77
97.0%
Q4 - 9:08ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)67
3.1%
77
96.9%
Q4 - 9:10WASMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot67
3.3%
77
96.7%
Q4 - 9:18ORLBattie Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)67
3.8%
77
96.2%
Q4 - 9:40WASBlatche Driving Layup (8 PTS)67
3.0%
77
97.0%
Q4 - 10:01ORLBattie 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Turkoglu 6 AST)65
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q4 - 10:23WASButler Layup (23 PTS)65
3.4%
75
96.6%
Q4 - 10:30WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)63
2.7%
75
97.3%
Q4 - 10:34ORLMISS Battie Layup63
2.5%
75
97.5%
Q4 - 10:44ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
2.2%
75
97.8%
Q4 - 10:45WASMISS Crittenton 5' Jump Shot63
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q4 - 10:50WASYoung REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)63
2.7%
75
97.3%
Q4 - 10:53WASMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot63
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q4 - 10:59WASWizards Rebound63
2.7%
75
97.3%
Q4 - 10:59WASGortat BLOCK (2 BLK)63
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q4 - 11:20ORLRedick 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)63
3.0%
75
97.0%
Q4 - 11:30ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
4.6%
72
95.4%
Q4 - 11:32WASMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot63
4.8%
72
95.2%
Q4 - 11:47ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)63
5.5%
72
94.5%
Q4 - 11:47ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)63
5.7%
71
94.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL63
6.8%
70
93.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0WASButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)63
7.3%
70
92.7%
Q3 - 0:05.0ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)60
4.9%
70
95.1%
Q3 - 0:27.0ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)60
7.3%
67
92.7%
Q3 - 0:28.0WASMISS Blatche Free Throw 1 of 160
7.4%
67
92.6%
Q3 - 0:36.0ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P5.T11)58
5.9%
67
94.1%
Q3 - 0:44.0ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
4.9%
67
95.1%
Q3 - 0:47.0WASMISS Butler 16' Fadeaway Jumper58
5.2%
67
94.8%
Q3 - 1:09ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (16 PTS)58
6.1%
67
93.9%
Q3 - 1:30WASJames 7' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)58
7.4%
65
92.6%
Q3 - 1:56ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)56
6.1%
65
93.9%
Q3 - 2:07WASButler Driving Layup (18 PTS)56
8.9%
62
91.1%
Q3 - 2:19WASMcGuire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
7.5%
62
92.5%
Q3 - 2:21ORLMISS Battie 14' Jump Shot54
7.1%
62
92.9%
Q3 - 2:33WASJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)54
6.3%
62
93.7%
Q3 - 2:45WASWizards Rebound54
7.5%
62
92.5%
Q3 - 2:45ORLMISS Lewis Layup54
7.1%
62
92.9%
Q3 - 2:57ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)54
6.3%
62
93.7%
Q3 - 2:59WASMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot54
6.7%
62
93.3%
Q3 - 3:20WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
7.5%
62
92.5%
Q3 - 3:22ORLMISS Nelson 18' Jump Shot54
7.1%
62
92.9%
Q3 - 3:39WASButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (James 4 AST)54
6.3%
62
93.7%
Q3 - 3:42WASWizards Rebound51
4.5%
62
95.5%
Q3 - 3:42WASLewis BLOCK (1 BLK)51
4.0%
62
96.0%
Q3 - 3:52ORLLewis Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)51
4.5%
62
95.5%
Q3 - 4:15ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
3.9%
62
96.1%
Q3 - 4:17WASMISS Jamison Free Throw 2 of 251
4.0%
62
96.0%
Q3 - 4:17WASJamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)51
4.5%
62
95.5%
Q3 - 4:27ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lee 2 AST)50
4.0%
62
96.0%
Q3 - 4:45WASButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)50
5.5%
59
94.5%
Q3 - 5:01ORLLee 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)47
4.2%
59
95.8%
Q3 - 5:19WASButler Layup (10 PTS) (Blatche 1 AST)47
5.6%
56
94.4%
Q3 - 5:29WASWizards Rebound45
4.9%
56
95.1%
Q3 - 5:30WASMISS Blatche Layup45
4.3%
56
95.7%
Q3 - 5:37WASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
4.9%
56
95.1%
Q3 - 5:39ORLMISS Nelson Reverse Layup45
4.6%
56
95.4%
Q3 - 5:52WASJamison 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)45
4.1%
56
95.9%
Q3 - 6:15ORLHoward Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Turkoglu 5 AST)43
3.7%
56
96.3%
Q3 - 6:19ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)43
4.2%
54
95.8%
Q3 - 6:21WASLee BLOCK (1 BLK)43
4.5%
54
95.5%
Q3 - 6:25ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)43
5.0%
54
95.0%
Q3 - 6:45WASButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)43
4.2%
54
95.8%
Q3 - 7:05ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)40
3.3%
54
96.7%
Q3 - 7:05ORLHoward Putback Dunk (10 PTS)40
3.3%
54
96.7%
Q3 - 7:07ORLMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot40
4.3%
52
95.7%
Q3 - 7:15ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)40
3.8%
52
96.2%
Q3 - 7:17WASMISS James Layup40
4.0%
52
96.0%
Q3 - 7:40ORLTurkoglu 11' Jump Shot (11 PTS)40
4.4%
52
95.6%
Q3 - 7:43ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
5.1%
50
94.9%
Q3 - 7:44ORLMISS Lee 3PT Jump Shot40
5.7%
50
94.3%
Q3 - 8:11WASButler 16' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)40
5.2%
50
94.8%
Q3 - 8:34ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T8)38
4.6%
50
95.4%
Q3 - 8:46WASButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)38
3.9%
50
96.1%
Q3 - 9:07WASSongaila REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)35
3.0%
50
97.0%
Q3 - 9:08ORLMISS Howard 8' Hook Shot35
2.9%
50
97.1%
Q3 - 9:19ORLLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
2.6%
50
97.4%
Q3 - 9:20WASMISS Songaila 22' Jump Shot35
2.7%
50
97.3%
Q3 - 9:29WASSongaila REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
3.0%
50
97.0%
Q3 - 9:30ORLMISS Turkoglu 27' 3PT Jump Shot35
2.9%
50
97.1%
Q3 - 9:39ORLLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
2.6%
50
97.4%
Q3 - 9:40WASMISS Jamison 8' Hook Shot35
2.7%
50
97.3%
Q3 - 9:48WASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
3.0%
50
97.0%
Q3 - 9:50ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
2.9%
50
97.1%
Q3 - 10:05WASJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)35
2.7%
50
97.3%
Q3 - 10:08ORLLee Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)35
3.1%
50
96.9%
Q3 - 10:16WASSongaila Layup (8 PTS) (McGuire 2 AST)35
2.7%
50
97.3%
Q3 - 10:33ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)33
2.4%
50
97.6%
Q3 - 10:33ORLHoward Putback Dunk (8 PTS)33
2.4%
50
97.6%
Q3 - 10:34ORLMISS Howard Layup33
3.0%
48
97.0%
Q3 - 10:50ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)33
2.7%
48
97.3%
Q3 - 10:52WASMISS Songaila 13' Jump Shot33
2.8%
48
97.2%
Q3 - 11:16ORLTurkoglu 18' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)33
3.2%
48
96.8%
Q3 - 11:40WASJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)33
3.7%
46
96.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL30
2.8%
46
97.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound30
2.4%
46
97.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Nelson 16' Jump Shot30
2.7%
46
97.3%
Q2 - 0:06.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
2.6%
46
97.4%
Q2 - 0:08.0WASMISS Dixon 8' Running Jump Shot30
2.7%
46
97.3%
Q2 - 0:27.0WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
2.9%
46
97.1%
Q2 - 0:28.0ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 230
2.9%
46
97.1%
Q2 - 0:28.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)30
2.6%
46
97.4%
Q2 - 0:34.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
3.0%
45
97.0%
Q2 - 0:36.0WASMISS Blatche 17' Jump Shot30
3.1%
45
96.9%
Q2 - 0:50.0WASSongaila REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)30
3.3%
45
96.7%
Q2 - 0:52.0ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
3.2%
45
96.8%
Q2 - 0:58.0WASTurkoglu STEAL (3 STL)30
3.0%
45
97.0%
Q2 - 1:14ORLHoward Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T6)30
3.4%
45
96.6%
Q2 - 1:19WASTurkoglu STEAL (2 STL)30
3.1%
45
96.9%
Q2 - 1:26WASSongaila REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)30
3.4%
45
96.6%
Q2 - 1:27WASMISS Blatche 4' Jump Shot30
3.2%
45
96.8%
Q2 - 1:42WASWizards Rebound30
3.4%
45
96.6%
Q2 - 1:44ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
3.3%
45
96.7%
Q2 - 1:59ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
3.1%
45
96.9%
Q2 - 2:01WASMISS Jamison 7' Hook Shot30
3.2%
45
96.8%
Q2 - 2:18ORLLee Layup (5 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)30
3.5%
45
96.5%
Q2 - 2:23WASLee STEAL (2 STL)30
4.0%
43
96.0%
Q2 - 2:39ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)30
4.5%
43
95.5%
Q2 - 2:39ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)30
4.6%
42
95.4%
Q2 - 2:44ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
5.1%
41
94.9%
Q2 - 2:47WASMISS James Layup30
5.3%
41
94.7%
Q2 - 2:51WASJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
5.7%
41
94.3%
Q2 - 2:53WASMISS Jamison 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
5.3%
41
94.7%
Q2 - 3:05ORLLee Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)30
5.8%
41
94.2%
Q2 - 3:12WASLee STEAL (1 STL)30
5.0%
41
95.0%
Q2 - 3:34WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
5.8%
41
94.2%
Q2 - 3:35ORLMISS Battie 7' Hook Shot30
5.5%
41
94.5%
Q2 - 3:47ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)30
5.0%
41
95.0%
Q2 - 3:48WASGortat BLOCK (1 BLK)30
5.3%
41
94.7%
Q2 - 4:04WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)30
5.8%
41
94.2%
Q2 - 4:05ORLMISS Gortat Layup30
5.6%
41
94.4%
Q2 - 4:09ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
5.1%
41
94.9%
Q2 - 4:11ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot30
5.6%
41
94.4%
Q2 - 4:20ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
5.1%
41
94.9%
Q2 - 4:22WASMISS Young 13' Jump Shot30
5.3%
41
94.7%
Q2 - 4:40WASCrittenton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
5.8%
41
94.2%
Q2 - 4:41ORLMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot30
5.6%
41
94.4%
Q2 - 4:52ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
5.1%
41
94.9%
Q2 - 4:54WASMISS Jamison 8' Jump Shot30
5.3%
41
94.7%
Q2 - 5:14WASCrittenton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
5.9%
41
94.1%
Q2 - 5:15ORLMISS Lee 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
5.7%
41
94.3%
Q2 - 5:39WASBlatche Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
5.2%
41
94.8%
Q2 - 5:39WASBlatche Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
5.1%
41
94.9%
Q2 - 5:52WASSongaila REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
4.7%
41
95.3%
Q2 - 5:54WASMISS Crittenton 17' Jump Shot28
4.3%
41
95.7%
Q2 - 6:12ORLLewis 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)28
4.9%
41
95.1%
Q2 - 6:28ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
5.4%
39
94.6%
Q2 - 6:30WASMISS Songaila Layup28
5.6%
39
94.4%
Q2 - 6:47WASCrittenton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
6.1%
39
93.9%
Q2 - 6:50ORLMISS Johnson Layup28
5.8%
39
94.2%
Q2 - 6:55WASLewis STEAL (1 STL)28
5.3%
39
94.7%
Q2 - 7:01WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
6.0%
39
94.0%
Q2 - 7:02ORLMISS Lewis Layup28
5.8%
39
94.2%
Q2 - 7:08WASHoward STEAL (1 STL)28
5.4%
39
94.6%
Q2 - 7:26ORLLewis Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)28
6.0%
39
94.0%
Q2 - 7:40ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
5.4%
39
94.6%
Q2 - 7:42WASMISS Blatche 17' Jump Shot28
5.6%
39
94.4%
Q2 - 7:57WASWizards Rebound28
6.0%
39
94.0%
Q2 - 7:57WASHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)28
5.6%
39
94.4%
Q2 - 7:58WASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
6.0%
39
94.0%
Q2 - 8:00WASMISS Young 13' Jump Shot28
5.6%
39
94.4%
Q2 - 8:26ORLRedick 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)28
6.1%
39
93.9%
Q2 - 8:40WASYoung 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
7.5%
36
92.5%
Q2 - 9:05ORLTurkoglu 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)26
6.8%
36
93.2%
Q2 - 9:14WASTurkoglu STEAL (1 STL)26
7.5%
34
92.5%
Q2 - 9:33ORLBattie Layup (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)26
8.3%
34
91.7%
Q2 - 9:39WASRedick STEAL (1 STL)26
9.2%
32
90.8%
Q2 - 10:00WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
10.1%
32
89.9%
Q2 - 10:01ORLMISS Battie 16' Jump Shot26
9.9%
32
90.1%
Q2 - 10:18ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
9.3%
32
90.7%
Q2 - 10:19WASMISS Thomas 5' Hook Shot26
9.5%
32
90.5%
Q2 - 10:44ORLBattie 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)26
10.2%
32
89.8%
Q2 - 11:06WASBlatche 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
11.4%
30
88.6%
Q2 - 11:19WASThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)24
10.4%
30
89.6%
Q2 - 11:21WASMISS Young 15' Jump Shot24
9.7%
30
90.3%
Q2 - 11:32WASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
10.4%
30
89.6%
Q2 - 11:34ORLMISS Turkoglu Driving Layup24
10.1%
30
89.9%
Q2 - 11:41ORLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
9.5%
30
90.5%
Q2 - 11:42WASMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot24
9.7%
30
90.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL24
10.4%
30
89.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound24
9.5%
30
90.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
10.1%
30
89.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0WASBattie STEAL (1 STL)24
9.6%
30
90.4%
Q1 - 0:12.0ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T3)24
10.2%
30
89.8%
Q1 - 0:29.0WASThomas 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS)24
9.6%
30
90.4%
Q1 - 0:51.0ORLLee 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)22
8.6%
30
91.4%
Q1 - 1:12WASJamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)22
10.5%
27
89.5%
Q1 - 1:12WASMISS Jamison Free Throw 1 of 221
10.3%
27
89.7%
Q1 - 1:28ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)21
10.2%
27
89.8%
Q1 - 1:28ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
10.4%
26
89.6%
Q1 - 1:42ORLMAGIC Rebound21
11.5%
25
88.5%
Q1 - 1:42WASMISS Jamison 16' Jump Shot21
11.7%
25
88.3%
Q1 - 1:51WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)21
12.1%
25
87.9%
Q1 - 1:52ORLMISS Turkoglu 22' Jump Shot21
11.9%
25
88.1%
Q1 - 2:15WASMcGuire Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)21
11.5%
25
88.5%
Q1 - 2:37ORLLewis 6' Hook Shot (8 PTS)18
9.6%
25
90.4%
Q1 - 2:55WASButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)18
10.6%
23
89.4%
Q1 - 3:00WASWizards Rebound18
11.3%
23
88.7%
Q1 - 3:01WASMISS James 3PT Jump Shot18
10.6%
23
89.4%
Q1 - 3:29ORLBattie 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
11.2%
23
88.8%
Q1 - 3:41ORLLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
12.2%
21
87.8%
Q1 - 3:42WASMISS Jamison 24' Jump Shot18
12.5%
21
87.5%
Q1 - 4:00ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
13.2%
21
86.8%
Q1 - 4:00ORLGortat Tip Shot (2 PTS)18
13.2%
21
86.8%
Q1 - 4:02ORLMISS Nelson 17' Jump Shot18
14.7%
19
85.3%
Q1 - 4:15ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
14.0%
19
86.0%
Q1 - 4:16WASMISS McGuire 20' Jump Shot18
14.3%
19
85.7%
Q1 - 4:38WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)18
15.1%
19
84.9%
Q1 - 4:39ORLMISS Lee 21' Jump Shot18
14.8%
19
85.2%
Q1 - 4:55WASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
14.0%
19
86.0%
Q1 - 4:55WASThomas Slam Dunk (2 PTS)18
14.0%
19
86.0%
Q1 - 4:57WASMISS McGuire Layup16
12.3%
19
87.7%
Q1 - 5:21ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)16
13.2%
19
86.8%
Q1 - 5:21ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)16
13.6%
18
86.4%
Q1 - 5:29WASSongaila 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jamison 1 AST)16
14.1%
17
85.9%
Q1 - 5:50ORLLewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)14
13.2%
17
86.8%
Q1 - 5:59ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
15.2%
14
84.8%
Q1 - 6:00WASMISS Jamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
15.5%
14
84.5%
Q1 - 6:07WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
15.9%
14
84.1%
Q1 - 6:09ORLMISS Howard Reverse Layup14
15.6%
14
84.4%
Q1 - 6:25ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
14.8%
14
85.2%
Q1 - 6:27WASMISS Butler 19' Turnaround Jump Shot14
15.2%
14
84.8%
Q1 - 6:51ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)14
16.0%
14
84.0%
Q1 - 7:08WASSongaila 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)14
16.7%
12
83.3%
Q1 - 7:20WASButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
15.7%
12
84.3%
Q1 - 7:21ORLMISS Nelson 3PT Jump Shot12
15.3%
12
84.7%
Q1 - 7:36WASJamison Driving Layup (6 PTS) (McGuire 1 AST)12
14.5%
12
85.5%
Q1 - 7:41ORLNelson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)10
13.6%
12
86.4%
Q1 - 7:49ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
12.5%
12
87.5%
Q1 - 7:51WASMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
12.9%
12
87.1%
Q1 - 8:15ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)10
13.3%
12
86.7%
Q1 - 8:26WASJamison Layup (4 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)10
15.4%
9
84.6%
Q1 - 8:47WASButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
14.3%
9
85.7%
Q1 - 8:49ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
14.0%
9
86.0%
Q1 - 8:59ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
13.3%
9
86.7%
Q1 - 9:00WASMISS Songaila 21' Jump Shot8
13.6%
9
86.4%
Q1 - 9:08WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
14.2%
9
85.8%
Q1 - 9:09ORLMISS Lee 3PT Jump Shot8
13.9%
9
86.1%
Q1 - 9:19ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
13.3%
9
86.7%
Q1 - 9:20WASMISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
13.6%
9
86.4%
Q1 - 9:40ORLNelson 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS)8
14.2%
9
85.8%
Q1 - 9:47ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
15.3%
7
84.7%
Q1 - 9:48WASMISS James 22' Jump Shot8
15.6%
7
84.4%
Q1 - 10:07ORLNelson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)8
16.0%
7
84.0%
Q1 - 10:19WASJamison 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Songaila 1 AST)8
18.0%
4
82.0%
Q1 - 10:33WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
17.0%
4
83.0%
Q1 - 10:34ORLMISS Nelson Driving Layup6
16.7%
4
83.3%
Q1 - 10:46WASMcGuire 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)6
15.9%
4
84.1%
Q1 - 10:54ORLLewis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
15.0%
4
85.0%
Q1 - 11:06WASJames 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
13.7%
4
86.3%
Q1 - 11:23ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)2
13.0%
4
87.0%
Q1 - 11:30WASSongaila 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)2
13.7%
2
86.3%
Q1 - 11:45ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
13.0%
2
87.0%
Q1 - 11:45ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
13.1%
1
86.9%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. McGuire: Tip to Nelson0
13.7%
0
86.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
0.90 44.9%
ORL
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
WAS
11
25
44%
ORL
11
23
48%
Midrange
WAS
20
50
40%
ORL
10
26
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
WAS
3
4.5
11
27%
41%
ORL
10
15.0
26
38%
58%
Free Throws
WAS
9
12
75%
ORL
17
20
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Butler2960%14.5 / 24
A. Jamison1334%6.5 / 19
D. Songaila850%4.0 / 8
A. Blatche840%4.0 / 10
M. James744%3.5 / 8
D. McGuire750%3.5 / 7
E. Thomas467%2.0 / 3
N. Young433%2.0 / 6
J. Crittenton0-0.0 / 3
J. Dixon0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Turkoglu2265%11.0 / 17
D. Howard1563%7.5 / 12
J. Nelson1439%7.0 / 18
R. Lewis1246%6.0 / 13
C. Lee857%4.0 / 7
T. Battie844%4.0 / 9
J. Redick8100%4.0 / 4
M. Gortat250%1.0 / 2
A. Johnson0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

WAS
75
+13
-15
88
ORL
78
+11
-15
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
0.90 44.9%
ORL
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.8
109.0
WAS 88.9
ORL 95.7 +6.8
Pace
91.6
92.5
WAS 85.1
ORL 98.7 +13.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
15.5
WAS 16.9
ORL 14.6 +2.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.0%
52.0%
WAS 41.3%
ORL 48.0% +6.7%
TO %
14.7%
14.6%
WAS 14.1% +1.1%
ORL 15.2%
ORB %
27.8%
24.1%
WAS 16.7%
ORL 22.5% +5.8%
FTrt
29.3
35.1
WAS 14.0
ORL 26.7 +12.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.8%
54.4%
WAS 50.0%
ORL 54.8% +4.8%
STL %
8.2%
7.5%
WAS 8.9%
ORL 9.7% +0.8%
BLK %
7.6%
8.0%
WAS 4.1%
ORL 8.0% +3.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.2%
54.4%
WAS 44.9%
ORL 50.0% +5.1%
Rim FG%
57.5%
60.9%
WAS 44.0%
ORL 47.8% +3.8%
Mid FG%
39.4%
39.3%
WAS 40.0% +1.5%
ORL 38.5%
3P %
33.0%
38.1%
WAS 27.3%
ORL 38.5% +11.2%
FT %
76.7%
71.5%
WAS 75.0%
ORL 85.0% +10.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.3%
31.3%
WAS 29.1%
ORL 30.7% +1.6%
Mid Att. %
44.7%
35.2%
WAS 58.1%
ORL 34.7% +23.5%
3P Att. %
18.0%
33.5%
WAS 12.8%
ORL 34.7% +21.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.58 and 2.58.
Game TotalsWASORL
Possessions9093
Possession Minutes25.422.6
Points8089
Rebounds3949
Assists1717
Steals89
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (5)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (3)40 (1)
Field Goals34-8631-75
At-the-Rim FG11-2511-23
Midrange FG20-5010-26
2-Point FG31-7521-49
3-Point FG3-1110-26
Free Throws9-1217-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 235 · 33
39.0
13
34%
9
2
1
0
1
2
0
9
2-4
50%
4-13
31%
1-4
25%
G · 6'7" 228 · 29
38.2
29
60%
5
5
3
0
3
3
1
4
3-3
100%
10-19
53%
2-5
40%
G · 6'2" 188 · 34
35.6
7
44%
2
5
1
0
5
2
1
1
1-1
100%
3-7
43%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 235 · 23
29.5
7
50%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 248 · 31
21.6
8
50%
5
2
2
0
0
5
2
3
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 22
24.9
8
40%
7
1
0
1
2
1
0
7
2-3
67%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 260 · 31
18.3
4
67%
4
0
1
1
1
3
2
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24
17.2
4
33%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 200 · 21
12.7
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 165 · 30
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 270 · 21
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 23
#0 · G · 6'4" 215 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · C · 7'0" 263 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#2 · F-G · 6'5" 218 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
80
45%
39
17
8
2
15
0
8
31
9-12
75%
31-75
41%
3-11
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.