FinalWin Prob.pScore
1727%98
115
573%106
135
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
109.5105106.3
DEN logo DEN
129.8104102.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN115
0%
135
100%
Q4 - 0:21.0DENBalkman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)115
0%
135
100%
Q4 - 0:22.0INDMISS Graham 20' Jump Shot115
0%
135
100%
Q4 - 0:30.0INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)115
0%
135
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0DENMISS Atkins 26' 3PT Jump Shot115
0%
135
100%
Q4 - 0:43.0INDRush 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)115
0%
135
100%
Q4 - 0:54.0DENAtkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)112
0%
135
100%
Q4 - 1:00DENBalkman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)112
0.1%
132
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02INDMISS Jack 9' Running Jump Shot112
0.1%
132
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11DENBalkman 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Atkins 1 AST)112
0.1%
132
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29INDJack Driving Layup (17 PTS) (Graham 2 AST)112
0.1%
129
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31INDGraham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)110
0.1%
129
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33DENMISS Kleiza Layup110
0.1%
129
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)110
0.1%
129
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)109
0.1%
129
99.9%
Q4 - 2:04DENMartin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS)108
0.1%
129
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)108
0.1%
126
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29DENMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot108
0.1%
126
99.9%
Q4 - 2:52DENJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)108
0.1%
126
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53INDMISS Hibbert 7' Jump Hook Shot108
0.1%
126
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12DENMartin Dunk (22 PTS) (Kleiza 2 AST)108
0.1%
126
99.9%
Q4 - 3:33INDHibbert 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jack 7 AST)108
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 3:44INDJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)106
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 3:45DENMISS Kleiza 24' 3PT Jump Shot106
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 3:59DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)106
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 4:01INDMISS Graham 22' Jump Shot106
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 4:09INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)106
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 4:10DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot106
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 4:31INDGraham Driving Layup (16 PTS)106
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 4:44DENCarter 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)104
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 5:05INDGranger 8' Jump Bank Shot (36 PTS)104
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 5:17DENCarter 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 11 AST)102
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 5:39INDRush 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Granger 5 AST)102
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 5:45INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)99
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 5:46DENMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot99
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 5:57DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)99
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 5:59INDMISS Diener 26' 3PT Jump Shot99
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 6:08DENBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Anthony 9 AST)99
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 6:14DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)99
0.2%
117
99.8%
Q4 - 6:15INDMISS Foster Driving Layup99
0.2%
117
99.8%
Q4 - 6:26INDPacers Rebound99
0.3%
117
99.7%
Q4 - 6:26INDAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)99
0.2%
117
99.8%
Q4 - 6:43DENAnthony 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Carter 7 AST)99
0.3%
117
99.7%
Q4 - 6:49DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)99
0.4%
115
99.6%
Q4 - 6:50INDMISS Jack 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
0.4%
115
99.6%
Q4 - 6:57DENBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)99
0.6%
115
99.4%
Q4 - 7:18DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)99
1.3%
112
98.7%
Q4 - 7:20INDMISS Granger Free Throw 2 of 299
1.4%
112
98.6%
Q4 - 7:20INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (34 PTS)99
1.7%
112
98.3%
Q4 - 7:34DENAnthony Driving Layup (19 PTS)98
1.3%
112
98.7%
Q4 - 7:45DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)98
1.7%
110
98.3%
Q4 - 7:46INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
1.9%
110
98.1%
Q4 - 7:54INDDiener REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)98
2.3%
110
97.7%
Q4 - 7:56DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot98
2.1%
110
97.9%
Q4 - 8:03DENBillups Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (18 PTS)98
2.2%
110
97.8%
Q4 - 8:03DENBillups Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (17 PTS)98
2.3%
109
97.7%
Q4 - 8:04INDBillups STEAL (1 STL)98
3.6%
108
96.4%
Q4 - 8:21INDPacers Rebound98
4.6%
108
95.4%
Q4 - 8:22DENMISS Billups 3PT Jump Shot98
4.2%
108
95.8%
Q4 - 8:39INDGranger 21' Jump Shot (33 PTS) (Nesterovic 4 AST)98
3.6%
108
96.4%
Q4 - 8:45INDPacers Rebound96
2.8%
108
97.2%
Q4 - 8:46INDMISS Nesterovic 10' Jump Hook Shot96
2.3%
108
97.7%
Q4 - 9:09DENNene Slam Dunk (18 PTS) (Billups 10 AST)96
3.4%
108
96.6%
Q4 - 9:11INDSmith STEAL (2 STL)96
4.3%
106
95.7%
Q4 - 9:24DENSmith Dunk (10 PTS) (Billups 9 AST)96
5.3%
106
94.7%
Q4 - 9:28INDSmith STEAL (1 STL)96
6.7%
104
93.3%
Q4 - 9:39DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)96
8.3%
104
91.7%
Q4 - 9:42DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)96
6.7%
104
93.3%
Q4 - 9:44INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
7.2%
104
92.8%
Q4 - 9:50INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)96
8.3%
104
91.7%
Q4 - 9:51INDMISS Jack Reverse Layup96
7.1%
104
92.9%
Q4 - 10:08DENBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Carter 6 AST)96
8.9%
104
91.1%
Q4 - 10:24DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)96
13.4%
101
86.6%
Q4 - 10:25INDMISS Graham Layup96
14.2%
101
85.8%
Q4 - 10:41DENBillups 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)96
16.2%
101
83.8%
Q4 - 11:10INDGraham Dunk (14 PTS) (Nesterovic 3 AST)96
20.0%
99
80.0%
Q4 - 11:30DENNene 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)94
16.6%
99
83.4%
Q4 - 11:48INDGranger Layup (31 PTS) (Nesterovic 2 AST)94
20.0%
97
80.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND92
16.6%
97
83.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound92
16.6%
97
83.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDMISS Diener 51' 3PT Jump Shot92
14.7%
97
85.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)92
17.0%
97
83.0%
Q3 - 0:02.0DENMISS Smith 8' Running Bank Shot92
16.2%
97
83.8%
Q3 - 0:20.0DENNUGGETS Rebound92
14.6%
97
85.4%
Q3 - 0:22.0DENMISS Carter Free Throw 2 of 292
16.6%
97
83.4%
Q3 - 0:22.0DENMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 292
14.8%
97
85.2%
Q3 - 0:23.0INDCarter STEAL (2 STL)92
14.6%
97
85.4%
Q3 - 0:41.0DENAndersen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)92
17.0%
97
83.0%
Q3 - 0:43.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)92
14.6%
97
85.4%
Q3 - 0:44.0DENMISS Smith Driving Layup92
16.2%
97
83.8%
Q3 - 0:55.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)92
14.6%
97
85.4%
Q3 - 0:57.0DENMISS Kleiza 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
16.2%
97
83.8%
Q3 - 1:05DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)92
14.8%
97
85.2%
Q3 - 1:06DENMISS Kleiza 3PT Jump Shot92
16.4%
97
83.6%
Q3 - 1:20INDGraham Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)92
14.8%
97
85.2%
Q3 - 1:20INDGraham Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)91
14.4%
97
85.6%
Q3 - 1:20INDPacers Rebound90
12.3%
97
87.7%
Q3 - 1:20INDMISS Granger 27' 3PT Jump Shot90
11.0%
97
89.0%
Q3 - 1:28DENKleiza Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)90
12.3%
97
87.7%
Q3 - 1:45INDGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Diener 4 AST)90
10.5%
97
89.5%
Q3 - 1:51INDGraham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
7.2%
97
92.8%
Q3 - 1:52DENMISS Martin 8' Running Bank Shot87
6.8%
97
93.2%
Q3 - 1:57INDCarter STEAL (1 STL)87
6.1%
97
93.9%
Q3 - 2:14DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)87
7.6%
97
92.4%
Q3 - 2:14DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)87
8.1%
96
91.9%
Q3 - 2:30INDFoster Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)87
9.1%
95
90.9%
Q3 - 2:44DENAnthony Dunk (17 PTS) (Billups 8 AST)87
10.7%
95
89.3%
Q3 - 2:46DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
12.6%
93
87.4%
Q3 - 2:47INDMISS Nesterovic 20' Jump Shot87
13.3%
93
86.7%
Q3 - 3:04DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)87
15.0%
93
85.0%
Q3 - 3:04DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)87
15.4%
92
84.6%
Q3 - 3:08DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)87
17.3%
91
82.7%
Q3 - 3:09INDMISS Foster Free Throw 2 of 287
17.6%
91
82.4%
Q3 - 3:09INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)87
19.1%
91
80.9%
Q3 - 3:09INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)86
17.4%
91
82.6%
Q3 - 3:10INDMISS Diener 16' Jump Shot86
15.6%
91
84.4%
Q3 - 3:31INDGraham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
17.4%
91
82.6%
Q3 - 3:33DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 286
17.1%
91
82.9%
Q3 - 3:33DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 286
15.4%
91
84.6%
Q3 - 3:35DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
14.9%
91
85.1%
Q3 - 3:36DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
16.6%
91
83.4%
Q3 - 3:48DENBillups Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)86
14.9%
91
85.1%
Q3 - 4:02INDJack 8' Running Bank Shot (15 PTS)86
17.3%
90
82.7%
Q3 - 4:27DENAnthony Layup (13 PTS)84
15.3%
90
84.7%
Q3 - 4:58INDJack 12' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)84
17.3%
88
82.7%
Q3 - 5:10DENKleiza 7' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)82
15.4%
88
84.6%
Q3 - 5:16DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)82
17.4%
86
82.6%
Q3 - 5:19INDMartin BLOCK (2 BLK)82
18.2%
86
81.8%
Q3 - 5:37INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)82
20.3%
86
79.7%
Q3 - 5:38DENMISS Jones Driving Layup82
19.3%
86
80.7%
Q3 - 5:46DENJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
17.4%
86
82.6%
Q3 - 5:47INDMISS Hibbert Free Throw 2 of 282
17.7%
86
82.3%
Q3 - 5:47INDMISS Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 282
19.1%
86
80.9%
Q3 - 5:55INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)82
20.3%
86
79.7%
Q3 - 5:56DENMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot82
19.3%
86
80.7%
Q3 - 6:16INDGraham Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)82
17.5%
86
82.5%
Q3 - 6:22INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)82
20.1%
86
79.9%
Q3 - 6:24DENMISS Anthony 8' Running Jump Shot82
19.3%
86
80.7%
Q3 - 6:32DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
17.5%
86
82.5%
Q3 - 6:33INDMISS Granger 16' Jump Shot82
18.2%
86
81.8%
Q3 - 6:54DENAnthony 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Kleiza 1 AST)82
20.1%
86
79.9%
Q3 - 7:09INDHibbert 5' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Granger 4 AST)82
22.5%
84
77.5%
Q3 - 7:21DENKleiza Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)80
20.0%
84
80.0%
Q3 - 7:27DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
17.5%
84
82.5%
Q3 - 7:28INDMISS Graham Layup80
18.3%
84
81.7%
Q3 - 7:38DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)80
20.0%
84
80.0%
Q3 - 7:38DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)80
20.8%
83
79.2%
Q3 - 7:46DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
22.5%
82
77.5%
Q3 - 7:47INDMISS Granger 23' Jump Shot80
23.3%
82
76.7%
Q3 - 8:05DENAnthony 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)80
25.3%
82
74.7%
Q3 - 8:27INDGraham Layup (10 PTS) (Jack 6 AST)80
28.0%
80
72.0%
Q3 - 8:37INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)78
25.3%
80
74.7%
Q3 - 8:41DENMISS Billups 8' Running Jump Shot78
24.3%
80
75.7%
Q3 - 8:57INDJack 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Granger 3 AST)78
22.3%
80
77.7%
Q3 - 9:11INDGraham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
17.6%
80
82.4%
Q3 - 9:12DENMISS Billups 20' Jump Shot75
17.0%
80
83.0%
Q3 - 9:26INDGraham Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)75
15.6%
80
84.4%
Q3 - 9:26INDMISS Graham Free Throw 1 of 274
15.3%
80
84.7%
Q3 - 9:44DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)74
15.6%
80
84.4%
Q3 - 9:44DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 274
15.9%
79
84.1%
Q3 - 9:52DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)74
15.5%
79
84.5%
Q3 - 9:53INDMISS Foster 20' Jump Shot74
16.2%
79
83.8%
Q3 - 10:12INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)74
17.6%
79
82.4%
Q3 - 10:14DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 174
17.4%
79
82.6%
Q3 - 10:29INDGraham 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jack 5 AST)74
19.8%
77
80.2%
Q3 - 10:41DENBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Martin 3 AST)72
17.6%
77
82.4%
Q3 - 10:52DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
22.2%
74
77.8%
Q3 - 10:53INDMISS Jack 22' Jump Shot72
22.9%
74
77.1%
Q3 - 10:59INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)72
24.8%
74
75.2%
Q3 - 11:02DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot72
23.8%
74
76.2%
Q3 - 11:22INDFoster Driving Layup (8 PTS)72
22.0%
74
78.0%
Q3 - 11:30DENJones Foul Turnover (P1.T11)70
19.8%
74
80.2%
Q3 - 11:34DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
17.6%
74
82.4%
Q3 - 11:36INDNene BLOCK (3 BLK)70
18.2%
74
81.8%
Q3 - 11:41INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)70
19.8%
74
80.2%
Q3 - 11:43DENMISS Billups 11' Jump Shot70
19.1%
74
80.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND70
17.6%
74
82.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound70
19.8%
74
80.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDMISS Jack Layup70
18.2%
74
81.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)70
19.6%
74
80.4%
Q2 - 0:17.0INDMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)70
18.0%
74
82.0%
Q2 - 0:17.0INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)69
17.6%
74
82.4%
Q2 - 0:34.0DENBillups Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)68
15.7%
74
84.3%
Q2 - 0:43.0INDFoster Driving Layup (6 PTS)68
18.0%
72
82.0%
Q2 - 0:53.0INDGranger Free Throw Technical (26 PTS)66
15.7%
72
84.3%
Q2 - 0:53.0DENAndersen Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T9)65
14.0%
72
86.0%
Q2 - 1:01DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
13.0%
72
87.0%
Q2 - 1:03INDMISS Granger 3PT Jump Shot65
13.3%
72
86.7%
Q2 - 1:06INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)65
14.1%
72
85.9%
Q2 - 1:08INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
13.3%
72
86.7%
Q2 - 1:13INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
14.1%
72
85.9%
Q2 - 1:15DENMISS Smith 23' Jump Shot65
13.7%
72
86.3%
Q2 - 1:30INDMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)65
13.0%
72
87.0%
Q2 - 1:30INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)64
12.7%
72
87.3%
Q2 - 1:30INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
11.2%
72
88.8%
Q2 - 1:31INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
10.6%
72
89.4%
Q2 - 1:44DENMartin Layup (14 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)63
11.2%
72
88.8%
Q2 - 2:06INDGraham Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)63
12.8%
70
87.2%
Q2 - 2:06INDMISS Graham Free Throw 1 of 262
12.6%
70
87.4%
Q2 - 2:18DENSmith 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)62
12.8%
70
87.2%
Q2 - 2:26DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
15.9%
67
84.1%
Q2 - 2:28INDJones BLOCK (1 BLK)62
16.5%
67
83.5%
Q2 - 2:42INDPacers Rebound62
17.7%
67
82.3%
Q2 - 2:42DENMISS Billups Driving Layup62
17.2%
67
82.8%
Q2 - 2:49DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
15.9%
67
84.1%
Q2 - 2:50INDMISS Diener 3PT Jump Shot62
16.5%
67
83.5%
Q2 - 2:59DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)62
17.7%
67
82.3%
Q2 - 3:13DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
15.8%
67
84.2%
Q2 - 3:16DENMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
17.2%
67
82.8%
Q2 - 3:29INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)62
15.8%
67
84.2%
Q2 - 3:29INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)61
15.5%
67
84.5%
Q2 - 3:35DENMartin 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)60
14.4%
67
85.6%
Q2 - 3:51INDMurphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Foster 4 AST)60
12.7%
67
87.3%
Q2 - 4:08DENMartin 7' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)57
10.4%
67
89.6%
Q2 - 4:27INDGranger 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Foster 3 AST)57
11.5%
65
88.5%
Q2 - 4:37DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)55
10.4%
65
89.6%
Q2 - 4:37DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 255
10.7%
64
89.3%
Q2 - 4:51INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)55
10.3%
64
89.7%
Q2 - 4:51INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)54
10.0%
64
90.0%
Q2 - 5:01DENJones 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS)53
9.5%
64
90.5%
Q2 - 5:12INDMurphy Driving Layup (8 PTS)53
10.6%
62
89.4%
Q2 - 5:20INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
9.5%
62
90.5%
Q2 - 5:21DENMISS Billups 20' Jump Shot51
9.2%
62
90.8%
Q2 - 5:25DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
8.6%
62
91.4%
Q2 - 5:28INDMISS Foster 6' Jump Hook Shot51
8.8%
62
91.2%
Q2 - 5:46DENNene Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)51
9.5%
62
90.5%
Q2 - 5:52DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
10.6%
60
89.4%
Q2 - 5:53INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
10.9%
60
89.1%
Q2 - 6:03INDGranger Free Throw Technical (21 PTS)51
12.1%
60
87.9%
Q2 - 6:14DENKleiza 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Anthony 7 AST)50
10.9%
60
89.1%
Q2 - 6:25INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)50
13.2%
57
86.8%
Q2 - 6:25INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)49
13.0%
57
87.0%
Q2 - 6:27DENCarter 12' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS)48
12.1%
57
87.9%
Q2 - 6:38INDGranger 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)48
13.2%
55
86.8%
Q2 - 6:51INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
12.1%
55
87.9%
Q2 - 6:52DENMISS Anthony 12' Jump Shot46
11.7%
55
88.3%
Q2 - 7:11INDJack 7' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)46
10.8%
55
89.2%
Q2 - 7:20DENSmith 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)44
9.8%
55
90.2%
Q2 - 7:34INDMurphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Granger 2 AST)44
10.8%
53
89.2%
Q2 - 7:44DENAndersen 10' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)41
8.9%
53
91.1%
Q2 - 8:05DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
10.1%
51
89.9%
Q2 - 8:07INDMISS Daniels 20' Jump Shot41
10.4%
51
89.6%
Q2 - 8:13DENNene Foul Turnover (P2.T6)41
11.1%
51
88.9%
Q2 - 8:24INDNesterovic Layup (2 PTS) (Jack 4 AST)41
10.1%
51
89.9%
Q2 - 8:35INDGranger Free Throw Technical (16 PTS)39
9.1%
51
90.9%
Q2 - 8:42DENKleiza Layup (6 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)38
8.2%
51
91.8%
Q2 - 8:45DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)38
9.1%
49
90.9%
Q2 - 8:46INDMISS Nesterovic Layup38
9.4%
49
90.6%
Q2 - 9:04DENSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)38
10.1%
49
89.9%
Q2 - 9:08DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
12.2%
46
87.8%
Q2 - 9:12INDSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)38
12.6%
46
87.4%
Q2 - 9:33DENAndersen Layup (4 PTS)38
13.5%
46
86.5%
Q2 - 9:35DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
14.8%
44
85.2%
Q2 - 9:37DENMISS Kleiza 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
15.7%
44
84.3%
Q2 - 9:55INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)38
14.8%
44
85.2%
Q2 - 9:55INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)37
14.6%
44
85.4%
Q2 - 10:01DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)36
13.7%
44
86.3%
Q2 - 10:08DENNUGGETS Rebound36
12.5%
44
87.5%
Q2 - 10:09DENMISS Kleiza Free Throw 1 of 136
13.5%
44
86.5%
Q2 - 10:23INDMurphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jack 3 AST)36
14.9%
42
85.1%
Q2 - 10:32DENCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)33
12.5%
42
87.5%
Q2 - 10:51INDGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Murphy 4 AST)33
11.3%
42
88.7%
Q2 - 11:08DENKleiza Dunk (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)30
9.7%
42
90.3%
Q2 - 11:12DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
10.7%
40
89.3%
Q2 - 11:13INDMISS Daniels 17' Jump Shot30
11.0%
40
89.0%
Q2 - 11:22INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
11.7%
40
88.3%
Q2 - 11:23DENMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot30
11.4%
40
88.6%
Q2 - 11:37INDGranger 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Murphy 3 AST)30
10.6%
40
89.4%
Q2 - 11:49INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
9.7%
40
90.3%
Q2 - 11:52DENMISS Kleiza Free Throw 2 of 228
9.6%
40
90.4%
Q2 - 11:52DENMISS Kleiza Free Throw 1 of 228
9.0%
40
91.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND28
8.8%
40
91.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound28
9.7%
40
90.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0INDMISS Jack 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
9.4%
40
90.6%
Q1 - 0:18.0INDDiener REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
9.8%
40
90.2%
Q1 - 0:21.0DENMISS Martin Finger Roll Layup28
9.6%
40
90.4%
Q1 - 0:37.0INDGranger 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Diener 3 AST)28
9.2%
40
90.8%
Q1 - 0:45.0DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)25
7.5%
40
92.5%
Q1 - 0:45.0DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
7.7%
39
92.3%
Q1 - 0:57.0INDJack 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Diener 2 AST)25
8.4%
38
91.6%
Q1 - 0:59.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
7.5%
38
92.5%
Q1 - 1:02DENMISS Billups Layup23
7.7%
38
92.3%
Q1 - 1:22INDDiener Layup (2 PTS) (Jack 2 AST)23
7.3%
38
92.7%
Q1 - 1:24DENSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)21
6.5%
38
93.5%
Q1 - 1:31DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
6.1%
38
93.9%
Q1 - 1:33DENMISS Martin 18' Jump Shot21
6.4%
38
93.6%
Q1 - 1:36DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
6.1%
38
93.9%
Q1 - 1:38INDMISS Foster 18' Jump Shot21
6.2%
38
93.8%
Q1 - 1:47INDJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
6.5%
38
93.5%
Q1 - 1:48DENMISS Martin 19' Jump Shot21
6.4%
38
93.6%
Q1 - 2:07DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
6.4%
38
93.6%
Q1 - 2:08INDMISS Granger 17' Jump Shot21
6.5%
38
93.5%
Q1 - 2:29DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P1.T2)21
6.8%
38
93.2%
Q1 - 2:40INDGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Foster 2 AST)21
6.4%
38
93.6%
Q1 - 2:53DENAnthony Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)18
5.3%
38
94.7%
Q1 - 3:02DENBillups Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)18
5.8%
36
94.2%
Q1 - 3:02DENNUGGETS Rebound18
6.3%
35
93.7%
Q1 - 3:02INDMISS Nesterovic 20' Jump Shot18
6.5%
35
93.5%
Q1 - 3:05INDGraham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
6.9%
35
93.1%
Q1 - 3:06INDMISS Granger 21' Jump Shot18
6.5%
35
93.5%
Q1 - 3:20DENMartin Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS) (Anthony 6 AST)18
6.9%
35
93.1%
Q1 - 3:39INDGraham 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)18
7.5%
33
92.5%
Q1 - 3:42INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
6.9%
33
93.1%
Q1 - 3:44INDMISS Graham 18' Jump Shot16
6.5%
33
93.5%
Q1 - 3:52INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
6.9%
33
93.1%
Q1 - 3:53DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
6.7%
33
93.3%
Q1 - 4:00INDGraham 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Diener 1 AST)16
6.3%
33
93.7%
Q1 - 4:16DENMartin Dunk (8 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)14
6.0%
33
94.0%
Q1 - 4:38INDGranger Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)14
6.5%
31
93.5%
Q1 - 4:47DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
7.0%
31
93.0%
Q1 - 4:47DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
7.1%
30
92.9%
Q1 - 4:52DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
7.6%
29
92.4%
Q1 - 4:54INDMISS Foster 21' Jump Shot14
7.8%
29
92.2%
Q1 - 5:12DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
8.6%
29
91.4%
Q1 - 5:12DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
8.7%
28
91.3%
Q1 - 5:21DENBillups Free Throw Technical (2 PTS)14
9.2%
27
90.8%
Q1 - 5:37INDFoster Dunk (2 PTS) (Jack 1 AST)14
10.0%
26
90.0%
Q1 - 5:42INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
9.3%
26
90.7%
Q1 - 5:43DENMISS Nene Finger Roll Layup12
9.1%
26
90.9%
Q1 - 5:55INDJack 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Graham 1 AST)12
8.5%
26
91.5%
Q1 - 6:11DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)10
7.9%
26
92.1%
Q1 - 6:14INDNene STEAL (1 STL)10
9.2%
23
90.8%
Q1 - 6:28DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)10
10.0%
23
90.0%
Q1 - 6:28DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)10
10.3%
22
89.7%
Q1 - 6:35DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
10.8%
21
89.2%
Q1 - 6:36INDMISS Nesterovic 18' Jump Shot10
11.1%
21
88.9%
Q1 - 6:52DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)10
11.7%
21
88.3%
Q1 - 6:59DENBillups Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)10
13.5%
18
86.5%
Q1 - 7:07INDHibbert 6' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Murphy 2 AST)10
14.3%
17
85.7%
Q1 - 7:33DENAnthony 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)8
13.4%
17
86.6%
Q1 - 7:39DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
14.3%
15
85.7%
Q1 - 7:41INDMartin BLOCK (1 BLK)8
14.7%
15
85.3%
Q1 - 7:54DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)8
15.5%
15
84.5%
Q1 - 8:05DENJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
17.6%
12
82.4%
Q1 - 8:06INDMISS Hibbert 20' Jump Shot8
18.0%
12
82.0%
Q1 - 8:22DENJones 7' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)8
18.9%
12
81.1%
Q1 - 8:28DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
20.2%
10
79.8%
Q1 - 8:29INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
20.6%
10
79.4%
Q1 - 8:42INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
21.6%
10
78.4%
Q1 - 8:43DENMISS Anthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
21.2%
10
78.8%
Q1 - 8:49DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
20.2%
10
79.8%
Q1 - 8:52INDNene BLOCK (2 BLK)8
20.6%
10
79.4%
Q1 - 9:05DENMartin 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)8
21.6%
10
78.4%
Q1 - 9:19INDJack Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST)8
23.1%
8
76.9%
Q1 - 9:36DENJones Dunk (4 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)6
21.6%
8
78.4%
Q1 - 9:38DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
23.1%
6
76.9%
Q1 - 9:41INDNene BLOCK (1 BLK)6
23.5%
6
76.5%
Q1 - 9:50DENMartin Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)6
24.4%
6
75.6%
Q1 - 10:03INDGranger 6' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST)6
25.6%
4
74.4%
Q1 - 10:08INDPacers Rebound4
24.3%
4
75.7%
Q1 - 10:09INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
23.3%
4
76.7%
Q1 - 10:16INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
24.3%
4
75.7%
Q1 - 10:17DENMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot4
23.9%
4
76.1%
Q1 - 10:35DENJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
22.9%
4
77.1%
Q1 - 10:36INDMISS Jack 16' Jump Shot4
23.3%
4
76.7%
Q1 - 10:44DENNene 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)4
24.3%
4
75.7%
Q1 - 10:57INDHibbert Layup (2 PTS)4
25.6%
2
74.4%
Q1 - 10:58INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
24.3%
2
75.7%
Q1 - 10:59INDMISS Hibbert 6' Jump Hook Shot2
23.3%
2
76.7%
Q1 - 11:16DENJones Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)2
23.8%
2
76.2%
Q1 - 11:21DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
24.9%
0
75.1%
Q1 - 11:21INDMISS Granger 17' Jump Shot2
25.3%
0
74.7%
Q1 - 11:36DENNene Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
26.3%
0
73.7%
Q1 - 11:54INDDaniels Layup (2 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)2
25.0%
0
75.0%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Nene vs. Hibbert: Tip to Granger0
23.8%
0
76.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.05 52.3%
DEN
1.36 68.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
15
26
58%
DEN
23
30
77%
Midrange
IND
16
44
36%
DEN
17
32
53%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
10
15.0
24
42%
63%
DEN
10
15.0
24
42%
63%
Free Throws
IND
23
29
79%
DEN
25
35
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Granger3669%18.0 / 26
J. Jack1753%8.5 / 16
S. Graham1653%8.0 / 15
T. Murphy1563%7.5 / 12
R. Hibbert1045%5.0 / 11
J. Foster945%4.5 / 10
B. Rush6150%3.0 / 2
M. Daniels233%1.0 / 3
T. Diener220%1.0 / 5
R. Nesterovic214%1.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Martin2578%12.5 / 16
C. Billups2475%12.0 / 16
C. Anthony2166%10.5 / 16
Nene18100%9.0 / 9
L. Kleiza1150%5.5 / 11
J. Smith1045%5.0 / 11
D. Jones857%4.0 / 7
A. Carter650%3.0 / 6
C. Andersen6100%3.0 / 3
R. Balkman3150%1.5 / 1
C. Atkins375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
96
+14
-9
110
DEN
89
+10
-15
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.05 52.3%
DEN
1.36 68.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
110.2
IND 109.5
DEN 129.8 +20.3
Pace
96.5
94.5
IND 106.3 +3.6
DEN 102.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.5
14.7
IND 13.5 +0.5
DEN 14.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.1%
51.2%
IND 48.9%
DEN 64.0% +15.1%
TO %
14.4%
15.8%
IND 7.8% +5.1%
DEN 12.9%
ORB %
25.5%
27.5%
IND 14.6%
DEN 21.6% +7.0%
FTrt
26.7
38.2
IND 30.9
DEN 40.7 +9.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.1%
59.5%
IND 78.0% +2.0%
DEN 76.0%
STL %
7.2%
9.1%
IND 6.7% +0.9%
DEN 5.8%
BLK %
8.1%
9.7%
IND 8.1%
DEN 11.4% +3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.2%
54.8%
IND 52.3%
DEN 68.2% +15.9%
Rim FG%
56.5%
60.5%
IND 57.7%
DEN 76.7% +19.0%
Mid FG%
40.6%
38.7%
IND 36.4%
DEN 53.1% +16.7%
3P %
37.8%
37.1%
IND 41.7%
DEN 41.7%
FT %
80.7%
76.0%
IND 79.3% +7.9%
DEN 71.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
39.7%
IND 27.7%
DEN 34.9% +7.2%
Mid Att. %
40.6%
37.6%
IND 46.8%
DEN 37.2% +9.6%
3P Att. %
24.4%
22.7%
IND 25.5%
DEN 27.9% +2.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDDEN
Possessions105104
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points115135
Rebounds3649
Assists3238
Steals76
Blocks58
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (7)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)41 (1)
Field Goals41-9450-86
At-the-Rim FG15-2623-30
Midrange FG16-4417-32
2-Point FG31-7040-62
3-Point FG10-2410-24
Free Throws23-2925-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 222 · 26
41.3
36
69%
4
5
0
0
1
1
1
3
10-11
91%
7-14
50%
4-8
50%
G · 6'3" 200 · 25
41.0
17
53%
2
7
0
0
1
4
0
2
0-0
-
7-13
54%
1-3
33%
F · 6'11" 245 · 29
31.6
15
63%
12
4
3
1
1
1
1
11
4-4
100%
1-2
50%
3-8
38%
C · 7'2" 270 · 22
18.1
10
45%
2
1
0
1
0
5
1
1
2-4
50%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 200 · 28
11.6
2
33%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27
29.1
16
53%
5
2
0
0
2
4
1
4
4-6
67%
6-12
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 32
23.3
9
45%
4
4
0
2
3
4
3
1
3-4
75%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 27
17.0
2
20%
2
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
C · 7'0" 255 · 33
15.7
2
14%
3
4
2
0
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-7
14%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23
6.7
6
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-2
100%
· 6'10" 240 · 22
4.6
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 165 · 26
#17 · G-F · 6'9" 230 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · G · 6'3" 188 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · F · 6'10" 230 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
115
52%
36
32
7
5
9
0
7
29
23-29
79%
31-70
44%
10-24
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.