FinalWin Prob.pScore
859%93
91
1841%90
84
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
107.18582.0
MIA logo MIA
94.48993.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA91
100%
84
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)91
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:04.0SASMISS Hill Free Throw 2 of 291
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:04.0SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)91
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIABeasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Marion 4 AST)90
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0SASFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)90
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0SASFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)89
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)88
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0SASParker Driving Layup (8 PTS)88
99.7%
81
0.3%
Q4 - 0:48.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)86
98.5%
81
1.5%
Q4 - 0:49.0SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot86
97.5%
81
2.5%
Q4 - 1:12SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
97.4%
81
2.6%
Q4 - 1:13MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot86
96.8%
81
3.2%
Q4 - 1:25SASMason Jr. 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)86
94.5%
81
5.5%
Q4 - 1:30SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
91.0%
81
9.0%
Q4 - 1:31MIAMISS Wade Layup84
89.0%
81
11.0%
Q4 - 1:36SASWade STEAL (4 STL)84
83.4%
81
16.6%
Q4 - 1:49SASSpurs Rebound84
88.4%
81
11.6%
Q4 - 1:50MIAMISS Chalmers 8' Jump Shot84
86.5%
81
13.5%
Q4 - 2:00SASHaslem STEAL (1 STL)84
82.2%
81
17.8%
Q4 - 2:15SASSpurs Rebound84
89.5%
81
10.5%
Q4 - 2:16MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot84
87.4%
81
12.6%
Q4 - 2:31MIAHEAT Rebound84
81.0%
81
19.0%
Q4 - 2:32MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot84
87.5%
81
12.5%
Q4 - 2:55SASGinobili Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T10)84
80.5%
81
19.5%
Q4 - 2:59SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
88.1%
81
11.9%
Q4 - 3:00MIAMISS Beasley Layup84
86.2%
81
13.8%
Q4 - 3:14MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)84
80.5%
81
19.5%
Q4 - 3:15SASMISS Mason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
83.3%
81
16.7%
Q4 - 3:35MIABeasley 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)84
84.3%
81
15.7%
Q4 - 3:53SASParker Layup (6 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)84
88.8%
79
11.2%
Q4 - 4:06MIAChalmers 6' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)82
84.9%
79
15.1%
Q4 - 4:35SASGinobili Driving Layup (10 PTS)82
89.1%
77
10.9%
Q4 - 4:40MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T12)80
85.1%
77
14.9%
Q4 - 4:51SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)80
78.9%
77
21.1%
Q4 - 5:15MIAHaslem Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 12 AST)80
82.1%
77
17.9%
Q4 - 5:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)80
86.4%
75
13.6%
Q4 - 5:17MIAMISS Marion 3PT Jump Shot80
89.0%
75
11.0%
Q4 - 5:35SASDuncan 6' Hook Shot (19 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)80
86.5%
75
13.5%
Q4 - 6:01SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)78
80.8%
75
19.2%
Q4 - 6:02MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot78
79.2%
75
20.8%
Q4 - 6:15MIAHEAT Rebound78
75.4%
75
24.6%
Q4 - 6:16SASMISS Mason Jr. 16' Jump Shot78
77.1%
75
22.9%
Q4 - 6:36MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)78
80.8%
75
19.2%
Q4 - 6:54SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)78
88.5%
72
11.5%
Q4 - 7:19MIABeasley 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 11 AST)75
79.9%
72
20.1%
Q4 - 7:31MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)75
83.7%
70
16.3%
Q4 - 7:32SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot75
84.9%
70
15.1%
Q4 - 7:53MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)75
87.5%
70
12.5%
Q4 - 8:13SASMason Jr. 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)75
89.1%
68
10.9%
Q4 - 8:28SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)73
86.2%
68
13.8%
Q4 - 8:29MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot73
85.3%
68
14.7%
Q4 - 8:45SASMason Jr. 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS)73
83.0%
68
17.0%
Q4 - 8:59SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)71
78.9%
68
21.1%
Q4 - 9:00MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot71
77.6%
68
22.4%
Q4 - 9:20SASHill Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)71
73.7%
68
26.3%
Q4 - 9:28MIABeasley Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)68
63.1%
68
36.9%
Q4 - 9:40SASWade STEAL (3 STL)68
57.6%
68
42.4%
Q4 - 9:55SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)68
63.1%
68
36.9%
Q4 - 9:56MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot68
61.4%
68
38.6%
Q4 - 10:05MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)68
57.8%
68
42.2%
Q4 - 10:06SASMISS Thomas 14' Jump Shot68
59.4%
68
40.6%
Q4 - 10:29MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)68
63.1%
68
36.9%
Q4 - 10:42SASHill 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bonner 2 AST)68
73.0%
65
27.0%
Q4 - 10:59MIAQuinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)65
63.1%
65
36.9%
Q4 - 11:07MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)65
72.5%
62
27.5%
Q4 - 11:08SASMISS Ginobili 19' Jump Shot65
73.7%
62
26.3%
Q4 - 11:20SASThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)65
76.3%
62
23.7%
Q4 - 11:21SASMISS Ginobili 15' Jump Shot65
73.7%
62
26.3%
Q4 - 11:39MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)65
76.4%
62
23.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA65
80.2%
60
19.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASGinobili Driving Layup (8 PTS)65
79.4%
60
20.6%
Q3 - 0:15.0SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
75.4%
60
24.6%
Q3 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Magloire 7' Jump Hook Shot63
74.4%
60
25.6%
Q3 - 0:31.0SASBonner 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)63
72.0%
60
28.0%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAMarion Dunk (15 PTS)60
62.5%
60
37.5%
Q3 - 0:46.0SASMarion STEAL (1 STL)60
67.7%
58
32.3%
Q3 - 1:08MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS)60
70.9%
58
29.1%
Q3 - 1:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
75.2%
56
24.8%
Q3 - 1:17SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
76.2%
56
23.8%
Q3 - 1:25SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
78.4%
56
21.6%
Q3 - 1:26MIAMISS Marion 5' Jump Shot60
77.4%
56
22.6%
Q3 - 1:45SASDuncan Layup (17 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)60
75.2%
56
24.8%
Q3 - 1:59MIABeasley Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)58
71.0%
56
29.0%
Q3 - 2:19SASHill 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)58
66.7%
56
33.3%
Q3 - 2:20SASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
57.9%
56
42.1%
Q3 - 2:22SASMISS Duncan 8' Turnaround Jump Shot55
54.7%
56
45.3%
Q3 - 2:45MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
57.9%
56
42.1%
Q3 - 2:45MIAMarion Tip Shot (13 PTS)55
57.9%
56
42.1%
Q3 - 2:47MIAMISS Magloire Layup55
65.4%
54
34.6%
Q3 - 3:11SASBowen Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)55
62.8%
54
37.2%
Q3 - 3:27MIAHaslem 9' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Marion 3 AST)55
67.1%
54
32.9%
Q3 - 3:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)55
70.7%
52
29.3%
Q3 - 3:40SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Bank Shot55
71.9%
52
28.1%
Q3 - 4:01MIAChalmers 29' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)55
74.3%
52
25.7%
Q3 - 4:23MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
79.9%
49
20.1%
Q3 - 4:24SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot55
80.9%
49
19.1%
Q3 - 4:32SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
83.0%
49
17.0%
Q3 - 4:34MIAMISS Magloire 8' Jump Hook Shot55
82.1%
49
17.9%
Q3 - 4:54SASGinobili 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)55
80.0%
49
20.0%
Q3 - 5:04SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
76.6%
49
23.4%
Q3 - 5:05MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot53
75.6%
49
24.4%
Q3 - 5:25SASGinobili Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)53
73.1%
49
26.9%
Q3 - 5:44MIAMarion Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)51
70.2%
49
29.8%
Q3 - 6:02SASParker Layup (4 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)51
73.1%
47
26.9%
Q3 - 6:24MIAWade Slam Dunk (14 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)49
70.0%
47
30.0%
Q3 - 6:29SASChalmers STEAL (1 STL)49
73.1%
45
26.9%
Q3 - 7:05SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)49
75.5%
45
24.5%
Q3 - 7:06MIAMISS Marion 10' Jump Shot49
74.6%
45
25.4%
Q3 - 7:26SASDuncan Driving Layup (15 PTS)49
72.5%
45
27.5%
Q3 - 7:47MIAWade Layup (12 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)47
69.5%
45
30.5%
Q3 - 7:51MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)47
72.5%
43
27.5%
Q3 - 7:52SASMISS Mason Jr. 15' Jump Shot47
73.5%
43
26.5%
Q3 - 7:59SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
75.6%
43
24.4%
Q3 - 8:00MIAMISS Wade 7' Running Jump Shot47
74.7%
43
25.3%
Q3 - 8:14SASDuncan 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (13 PTS)47
72.1%
43
27.9%
Q3 - 8:29MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P2.T9)45
69.2%
43
30.8%
Q3 - 8:39MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
65.7%
43
34.3%
Q3 - 8:40SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 245
66.2%
43
33.8%
Q3 - 8:40SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)45
68.1%
43
31.9%
Q3 - 8:40SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)44
65.9%
43
34.1%
Q3 - 8:41SASMISS Bonner 6' Jump Shot44
63.3%
43
36.7%
Q3 - 8:48MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)44
65.9%
43
34.1%
Q3 - 8:48MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)44
66.7%
42
33.3%
Q3 - 8:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)44
69.0%
41
31.0%
Q3 - 8:49MIAMISS Haslem Dunk44
71.4%
41
28.6%
Q3 - 9:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
69.1%
41
30.9%
Q3 - 9:14SASMISS Duncan Finger Roll Layup44
70.1%
41
29.9%
Q3 - 9:35SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
72.2%
41
27.8%
Q3 - 9:36MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot44
71.3%
41
28.7%
Q3 - 9:54SASMason Jr. Driving Layup (5 PTS)44
69.1%
41
30.9%
Q3 - 10:07SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
65.9%
41
34.1%
Q3 - 10:08SASMISS Mason Jr. 21' Jump Shot42
63.6%
41
36.4%
Q3 - 10:23MIAMarion 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)42
65.9%
41
34.1%
Q3 - 10:46SASFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)42
69.0%
39
31.0%
Q3 - 10:49SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)39
62.6%
39
37.4%
Q3 - 10:50SASMISS Mason Jr. 21' Jump Shot39
60.2%
39
39.8%
Q3 - 11:10SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
63.0%
39
37.0%
Q3 - 11:11MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot39
62.0%
39
38.0%
Q3 - 11:28SASDuncan 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T4)39
59.5%
39
40.5%
Q3 - 11:43SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
63.0%
39
37.0%
Q3 - 11:45MIAMISS Marion 14' Jump Shot39
61.9%
39
38.1%
Q3 - 11:58SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)39
59.5%
39
40.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA39
63.0%
39
37.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound39
63.0%
39
37.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 48' 3PT Jump Shot39
60.5%
39
39.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMarion Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)39
62.7%
39
37.3%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
66.6%
37
33.4%
Q2 - 0:06.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
68.7%
37
31.3%
Q2 - 0:06.0SASMISS Duncan Tip Shot39
67.2%
37
32.8%
Q2 - 0:09.0SASMISS Parker Driving Layup39
67.2%
37
32.8%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAMarion Layup (5 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)39
68.8%
37
31.2%
Q2 - 0:37.0SASWade STEAL (2 STL)39
72.2%
35
27.8%
Q2 - 0:55.0MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T8)39
74.3%
35
25.7%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
72.2%
35
27.8%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot39
73.7%
35
26.3%
Q2 - 1:24SASBonner 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)39
72.2%
35
27.8%
Q2 - 1:47MIAMarion Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)36
65.8%
35
34.2%
Q2 - 2:00SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)36
72.2%
32
27.8%
Q2 - 2:00SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)35
71.4%
32
28.6%
Q2 - 2:23SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
69.1%
32
30.9%
Q2 - 2:24MIAMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
68.2%
32
31.8%
Q2 - 2:34MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)34
66.2%
32
33.8%
Q2 - 2:36SASMISS Duncan 12' Jump Bank Shot34
67.1%
32
32.9%
Q2 - 2:59MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)34
69.1%
32
30.9%
Q2 - 3:13MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)34
71.5%
30
28.5%
Q2 - 3:14SASChalmers BLOCK (1 BLK)34
72.4%
30
27.6%
Q2 - 3:23SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
74.4%
30
25.6%
Q2 - 3:24MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
73.5%
30
26.5%
Q2 - 3:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
71.5%
30
28.5%
Q2 - 3:46SASMISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
72.4%
30
27.6%
Q2 - 4:11MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)34
74.1%
30
25.9%
Q2 - 4:22MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)34
76.2%
28
23.8%
Q2 - 4:23SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 234
76.5%
28
23.5%
Q2 - 4:23SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)34
77.8%
28
22.2%
Q2 - 4:42SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
76.4%
28
23.6%
Q2 - 4:43MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot33
75.7%
28
24.3%
Q2 - 5:02SASUdoka 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)33
74.1%
28
25.9%
Q2 - 5:12MIAWade 31' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)30
69.2%
28
30.8%
Q2 - 5:39SASUdoka 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)30
74.0%
25
26.0%
Q2 - 5:51SASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
71.6%
25
28.4%
Q2 - 5:52MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot28
70.9%
25
29.1%
Q2 - 6:12SASFinley 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)28
68.6%
25
31.4%
Q2 - 6:19SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
66.6%
25
33.4%
Q2 - 6:20MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Bank Shot26
65.6%
25
34.4%
Q2 - 6:30MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)26
63.5%
25
36.5%
Q2 - 6:31SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot26
64.4%
25
35.6%
Q2 - 6:51MIAQuinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)26
66.6%
25
33.4%
Q2 - 6:57SASWade STEAL (1 STL)26
71.1%
22
28.9%
Q2 - 6:59SASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
73.8%
22
26.2%
Q2 - 7:00MIAMISS Haslem 7' Jump Shot26
73.0%
22
27.0%
Q2 - 7:13MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
71.3%
22
28.7%
Q2 - 7:14SASMISS Udoka 3PT Jump Shot26
72.1%
22
27.9%
Q2 - 7:24MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)26
73.7%
22
26.3%
Q2 - 7:45MIAHEAT Rebound26
71.3%
22
28.7%
Q2 - 7:46SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot26
72.0%
22
28.0%
Q2 - 7:58MIABeasley 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
73.7%
22
26.3%
Q2 - 8:16SASThomas 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
75.4%
20
24.6%
Q2 - 8:34MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)24
73.3%
20
26.7%
Q2 - 8:50SASHill 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)24
71.2%
20
28.8%
Q2 - 9:08MIAQuinn Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)21
66.2%
20
33.8%
Q2 - 9:21MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
63.7%
20
36.3%
Q2 - 9:22SASMISS Ginobili 17' Jump Shot21
64.5%
20
35.5%
Q2 - 9:46MIAHaslem 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)21
66.2%
20
33.8%
Q2 - 9:58MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
68.5%
18
31.5%
Q2 - 9:59SASMISS Finley 17' Jump Shot21
69.3%
18
30.7%
Q2 - 10:22MIADiawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)21
70.7%
18
29.3%
Q2 - 10:36MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
74.7%
15
25.3%
Q2 - 10:37SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
75.4%
15
24.6%
Q2 - 11:00SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
76.7%
15
23.3%
Q2 - 11:01MIAMISS Beasley 16' Jump Shot21
75.7%
15
24.3%
Q2 - 11:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
74.3%
15
25.7%
Q2 - 11:21SASMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot21
74.9%
15
25.1%
Q2 - 11:38SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
76.3%
15
23.7%
Q2 - 11:39MIAMISS Beasley 18' Jump Shot21
75.7%
15
24.3%
Q2 - 11:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
74.4%
15
25.6%
Q2 - 11:53SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
75.0%
15
25.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA21
76.3%
15
23.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound21
74.4%
15
25.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 47' 3PT Jump Shot21
75.7%
15
24.3%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)21
74.1%
15
25.9%
Q1 - 0:04.0SASMISS Ginobili 21' Jump Shot21
74.5%
15
25.5%
Q1 - 0:18.0MIAQuinn 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)21
75.5%
15
24.5%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
77.7%
13
22.3%
Q1 - 0:37.0SASMISS Thomas 19' Jump Shot21
78.1%
13
21.9%
Q1 - 1:01MIABeasley 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)21
78.6%
13
21.4%
Q1 - 1:24SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
80.6%
11
19.4%
Q1 - 1:24SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
80.3%
11
19.7%
Q1 - 1:30SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
78.6%
11
21.4%
Q1 - 1:31MIAMISS Beasley Layup19
78.2%
11
21.8%
Q1 - 1:32MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
77.5%
11
22.5%
Q1 - 1:33MIAMISS Magloire 16' Jump Shot19
78.2%
11
21.8%
Q1 - 1:40MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
77.5%
11
22.5%
Q1 - 1:41SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
77.8%
11
22.2%
Q1 - 1:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
78.6%
11
21.4%
Q1 - 1:53MIAMISS Wade Layup19
78.2%
11
21.8%
Q1 - 2:11SASGinobili 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
77.0%
11
23.0%
Q1 - 2:22SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
75.0%
11
25.0%
Q1 - 2:23MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
74.6%
11
25.4%
Q1 - 2:39MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)17
73.6%
11
26.4%
Q1 - 2:40SASMISS Bonner 11' Jump Hook Shot17
74.1%
11
25.9%
Q1 - 3:03SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
75.4%
11
24.6%
Q1 - 3:04MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 217
75.1%
11
24.9%
Q1 - 3:04MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 217
74.0%
11
26.0%
Q1 - 3:26SASBonner 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)17
73.6%
11
26.4%
Q1 - 3:46MIAHaslem 7' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)15
71.8%
11
28.2%
Q1 - 3:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
73.6%
9
26.4%
Q1 - 4:00SASMISS Parker 10' Jump Shot15
74.1%
9
25.9%
Q1 - 4:07SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
75.0%
9
25.0%
Q1 - 4:08MIAMISS Magloire 8' Running Hook Shot15
74.5%
9
25.5%
Q1 - 4:27MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)15
73.2%
9
26.8%
Q1 - 4:28SASMISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
73.8%
9
26.2%
Q1 - 4:39MIAMagloire Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)15
75.0%
9
25.0%
Q1 - 4:57SASDuncan Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)15
73.3%
9
26.7%
Q1 - 5:20MIAWade Dunk (5 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)13
71.1%
9
28.9%
Q1 - 5:29MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)13
72.6%
7
27.4%
Q1 - 5:30MIAMISS Marion 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
74.0%
7
26.0%
Q1 - 5:46MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
72.7%
7
27.3%
Q1 - 5:47SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Shot13
73.2%
7
26.8%
Q1 - 6:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
74.4%
7
25.6%
Q1 - 6:14MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
73.9%
7
26.1%
Q1 - 6:21MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
72.7%
7
27.3%
Q1 - 6:22MIAMISS Marion 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
73.9%
7
26.1%
Q1 - 6:41SASBonner 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)13
72.7%
7
27.3%
Q1 - 6:59MIAChalmers 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
69.3%
7
30.7%
Q1 - 7:12SASDuncan 11' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)10
71.0%
5
29.0%
Q1 - 7:30MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P1.T3)8
69.4%
5
30.6%
Q1 - 7:44SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)8
67.4%
5
32.6%
Q1 - 7:44SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 27
66.9%
5
33.1%
Q1 - 7:59MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)7
67.6%
5
32.4%
Q1 - 8:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
65.8%
5
34.2%
Q1 - 8:18SASMISS Parker 7' Jump Shot7
66.3%
5
33.7%
Q1 - 8:35MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)7
67.6%
5
32.4%
Q1 - 8:42MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
71.2%
2
28.8%
Q1 - 8:43SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
71.7%
2
28.3%
Q1 - 8:57MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)7
72.9%
2
27.1%
Q1 - 9:12SASParker Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)7
71.3%
2
28.7%
Q1 - 9:26SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
69.5%
2
30.5%
Q1 - 9:27MIAMISS Marion 16' Jump Shot5
69.0%
2
31.0%
Q1 - 9:48SASMason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)5
67.9%
2
32.1%
Q1 - 10:00SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
64.1%
2
35.9%
Q1 - 10:01MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot2
63.7%
2
36.3%
Q1 - 10:22MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
62.5%
2
37.5%
Q1 - 10:23SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot2
63.0%
2
37.0%
Q1 - 10:42MIAChalmers 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
64.3%
2
35.7%
Q1 - 10:54MIAHEAT Rebound2
65.9%
0
34.1%
Q1 - 10:56MIAMISS Chalmers 7' Running Jump Shot2
67.1%
0
32.9%
Q1 - 11:20SASDuncan 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
65.6%
0
34.4%
Q1 - 11:42SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
64.2%
0
35.8%
Q1 - 11:43MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot0
63.7%
0
36.3%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Duncan: Tip to Chalmers0
62.6%
0
37.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.11 55.5%
MIA
0.97 48.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
12
16
75%
MIA
9
16
56%
Midrange
SAS
13
37
35%
MIA
21
49
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
10
15.0
22
45%
68%
MIA
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
Free Throws
SAS
11
15
73%
MIA
6
8
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan1950%9.5 / 19
G. Hill15125%7.5 / 6
M. Bonner1179%5.5 / 7
R. Mason Jr.1146%5.5 / 12
M. Ginobili1036%5.0 / 14
T. Parker844%4.0 / 9
M. Finley758%3.5 / 6
I. Udoka583%2.5 / 3
B. Bowen375%1.5 / 2
K. Thomas233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2444%12.0 / 27
S. Marion1554%7.5 / 14
M. Beasley1554%7.5 / 14
U. Haslem1045%5.0 / 11
M. Chalmers964%4.5 / 7
C. Quinn8100%4.0 / 4
Y. Diawara3150%1.5 / 1
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 0
J. Magloire0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
73
+8
-12
81
MIA
77
+10
-12
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.11 55.5%
MIA
0.97 48.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.3
107.6
SAS 107.1
MIA 94.4 +12.7
Pace
88.7
90.2
SAS 82.0
MIA 93.2 +11.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
16.3
SAS 17.6
MIA 15.4 +2.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.3%
50.0%
SAS 53.3% +5.2%
MIA 48.1%
TO %
12.4%
13.1%
SAS 12.8%
MIA 12.4% +0.4%
ORB %
22.2%
24.6%
SAS 17.5% +0.4%
MIA 17.1%
FTrt
25.1
28.2
SAS 20.0 +10.1
MIA 9.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.1%
55.1%
SAS 54.3%
MIA 66.7% +12.4%
STL %
6.5%
8.7%
SAS 8.2% +0.3%
MIA 7.9%
BLK %
6.1%
9.2%
SAS 4.6% +2.7%
MIA 1.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.4%
52.6%
SAS 55.5% +7.2%
MIA 48.3%
Rim FG%
58.8%
59.5%
SAS 75.0% +18.7%
MIA 56.3%
Mid FG%
42.7%
41.8%
SAS 35.1%
MIA 42.9% +7.8%
3P %
38.6%
35.7%
SAS 45.5% +8.0%
MIA 37.5%
FT %
76.2%
75.4%
SAS 73.3%
MIA 75.0% +1.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
30.3%
SAS 21.3% +1.6%
MIA 19.8%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
45.2%
SAS 49.3% +11.2%
MIA 60.5%
3P Att. %
24.8%
24.5%
SAS 29.3% +9.6%
MIA 19.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASMIA
Possessions8589
Possession Minutes24.922.9
Points9184
Rebounds4140
Assists1924
Steals77
Blocks31
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (1)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (2)33 (2)
Field Goals35-7536-81
At-the-Rim FG12-169-16
Midrange FG13-3721-49
2-Point FG25-5330-65
3-Point FG10-226-16
Free Throws11-156-8
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 33
35.5
19
50%
9
4
0
2
3
1
4
5
5-8
63%
7-15
47%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 235 · 29
31.4
11
79%
5
2
1
0
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
33%
3-4
75%
G · 6'2" 185 · 27
31.0
8
44%
1
7
2
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-9
44%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 28
27.8
11
46%
4
0
0
0
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
4-8
50%
1-4
25%
F · 6'7" 225 · 36
18.6
7
58%
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
G · 6'6" 205 · 31
26.8
10
36%
5
3
3
1
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
5-9
56%
0-5
0%
F · 6'7" 200 · 38
23.0
3
75%
2
0
0
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 240 · 36
17.2
2
33%
4
1
0
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 188 · 23
17.0
15
125%
7
1
0
0
1
1
0
7
4-5
80%
1-1
100%
3-3
100%
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31
7.9
5
83%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 240 · 24
3.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 245 · 34
0.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · G · 6'1" 190 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · G · 6'6" 220 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
56%
41
19
7
3
12
0
7
34
11-15
73%
25-53
47%
10-22
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.