Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, January 2, 2009

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	5	Hornets	54%	92	92
	14	Trail Blazers	46%	91	77

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
NOH	116.5	79	79.3
POR	97.5	79	78.7

Scoring Opportunities

NOH

+15

-12

POR

+17

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOH

1.11 55.4%

POR

0.93 46.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	NOH	POR
Q4 - 0:00.0	NOH		92 100%	77 0%
Q4 - 0:10.0	POR	Outlaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)	92 99.9%	77 0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0	POR	MISS Outlaw Free Throw 1 of 2	92 99.9%	76 0.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0	NOH	Armstrong 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)	92 99.9%	76 0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0	NOH	Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)	90 99.9%	76 0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0	POR	MISS Bayless 20' Jump Shot	90 99.9%	76 0.1%
Q4 - 0:50.0	NOH	Armstrong Alley Oop Layup (10 PTS) (Paul 11 AST)	90 99.9%	76 0.1%
Q4 - 1:08	NOH	West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	88 99.9%	76 0.1%
Q4 - 1:11	POR	MISS Outlaw Driving Layup	88 99.9%	76 0.1%
Q4 - 1:15	NOH	Posey Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)	88 99.9%	76 0.1%
Q4 - 1:15	NOH	Posey Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)	87 99.9%	76 0.1%
Q4 - 1:33	POR	Blake 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Fernandez 2 AST)	86 99.7%	76 0.3%
Q4 - 1:46	NOH	Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Paul 10 AST)	86 99.8%	73 0.2%
Q4 - 2:03	POR	Outlaw 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Blake 6 AST)	83 99.6%	73 0.4%
Q4 - 2:16	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)	83 99.7%	71 0.3%
Q4 - 2:17	NOH	MISS Paul 17' Jump Shot	83 99.8%	71 0.2%
Q4 - 2:38	NOH	Paul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	83 99.9%	71 0.1%
Q4 - 2:39	POR	MISS Fernandez 3PT Jump Shot	83 99.8%	71 0.2%
Q4 - 2:51	NOH	Paul 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS)	83 99.5%	71 0.5%
Q4 - 3:20	POR	Outlaw 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Aldridge 5 AST)	81 99.4%	71 0.6%
Q4 - 3:45	NOH	Armstrong Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Paul 9 AST)	81 99.0%	69 1.0%
Q4 - 4:02	POR	Outlaw Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)	79 98.6%	69 1.4%
Q4 - 4:22	NOH	Paul 14' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)	79 98.0%	69 2.0%
Q4 - 4:43	POR	Fernandez 19' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS) (Aldridge 4 AST)	77 97.2%	69 2.8%
Q4 - 5:05	NOH	Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)	77 96.7%	67 3.3%
Q4 - 5:21	POR	Blake 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)	74 94.0%	67 6.0%
Q4 - 5:26	POR	Oden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	74 95.6%	65 4.4%
Q4 - 5:27	POR	MISS Outlaw 10' Jump Shot	74 96.5%	65 3.5%
Q4 - 5:47	NOH	Armstrong REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	74 95.6%	65 4.4%
Q4 - 5:47	NOH	Armstrong Putback Dunk (6 PTS)	74 95.6%	65 4.4%
Q4 - 5:48	NOH	MISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot	72 92.5%	65 7.5%
Q4 - 5:58	NOH	Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)	72 94.1%	65 5.9%
Q4 - 5:59	POR	MISS Blake 20' Jump Shot	72 93.5%	65 6.5%
Q4 - 6:24	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	72 89.9%	65 10.1%
Q4 - 6:24	NOH	MISS Daniels 21' Jump Shot	72 90.8%	65 9.2%
Q4 - 6:49	POR	Oden 5' Driving Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Blake 5 AST)	72 92.5%	65 7.5%
Q4 - 7:06	NOH	Paul 5' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)	72 93.0%	63 7.0%
Q4 - 7:29	NOH	Daniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	70 91.2%	63 8.8%
Q4 - 7:30	POR	MISS Oden 5' Hook Shot	70 90.5%	63 9.5%
Q4 - 7:54	NOH	Armstrong Dunk (4 PTS) (Daniels 4 AST)	70 88.5%	63 11.5%
Q4 - 7:59	NOH	Daniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	68 85.6%	63 14.4%
Q4 - 8:00	POR	MISS Outlaw 18' Pullup Jump Shot	68 84.5%	63 15.5%
Q4 - 8:19	POR	Oden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	68 80.5%	63 19.5%
Q4 - 8:19	NOH	MISS West 21' Jump Shot	68 81.7%	63 18.3%
Q4 - 8:43	POR	Aldridge Backcourt Turnover (P3.T13)	68 84.2%	63 15.8%
Q4 - 9:03	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	68 79.2%	63 20.8%
Q4 - 9:04	POR	MISS Przybilla 8' Hook Shot	68 81.7%	63 18.3%
Q4 - 9:06	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	68 79.2%	63 20.8%
Q4 - 9:07	POR	MISS Bayless 7' Floating Jump Shot	68 81.7%	63 18.3%
Q4 - 9:23	POR	Fernandez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	68 79.3%	63 20.7%
Q4 - 9:24	NOH	MISS Posey 3PT Turnaround Jump Shot	68 80.4%	63 19.6%
Q4 - 9:41	NOH	Daniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	68 82.8%	63 17.2%
Q4 - 9:42	POR	MISS Bayless Driving Layup	68 81.8%	63 18.2%
Q4 - 10:01	NOH	West 17' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)	68 78.0%	63 22.0%
Q4 - 10:04	NOH	Hornets Rebound	66 73.8%	63 26.2%
Q4 - 10:05	NOH	MISS West 7' Jump Bank Shot	66 70.8%	63 29.2%
Q4 - 10:18	POR	MISS Aldridge 4' Jump Shot	66 72.5%	63 27.5%
Q4 - 11:00	POR	Aldridge 6' Running Hook Shot (13 PTS)	63 58.9%	63 41.1%
Q4 - 11:16	NOH	West 8' Jump Shot (23 PTS)	63 64.0%	61 36.0%
Q4 - 11:36	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)	61 58.6%	61 41.4%
Q4 - 11:36	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	61 53.6%	61 46.4%
Q4 - 11:36	POR	MISS Rodriguez 3' Running Layup	61 57.1%	61 42.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0	POR		61 53.6%	61 46.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	61 53.6%	61 46.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0	POR	MISS Blake 30' 3PT Running Jump Shot	61 57.1%	61 42.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0	NOH	Paul Driving Reverse Layup (8 PTS)	61 53.7%	61 46.3%
Q3 - 0:08.0	POR	Outlaw 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Aldridge 3 AST)	59 48.0%	61 52.0%
Q3 - 0:31.0	NOH	Blake STEAL (1 STL)	59 53.7%	59 46.3%
Q3 - 0:46.0	NOH	Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	59 58.1%	59 41.9%
Q3 - 0:48.0	POR	MISS Aldridge Free Throw 2 of 2	59 57.6%	59 42.4%
Q3 - 0:48.0	POR	Aldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)	59 54.2%	59 45.8%
Q3 - 0:48.0	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)	59 58.7%	58 41.3%
Q3 - 0:48.0	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)	59 58.7%	58 41.3%
Q3 - 0:48.0	POR	MISS Aldridge Tip Shot	59 61.7%	58 38.3%
Q3 - 0:48.0	POR	MISS Oden 8' Hook Shot	59 61.7%	58 38.3%
Q3 - 1:09	NOH	Posey 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Paul 8 AST)	59 58.2%	58 41.8%
Q3 - 1:27	POR	Oden Foul Turnover (P1.T11)	56 48.0%	58 52.0%
Q3 - 1:43	NOH	West Foul Turnover (P4.T12)	56 43.6%	58 56.4%
Q3 - 1:56	NOH	Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	56 48.0%	58 52.0%
Q3 - 1:58	POR	MISS Aldridge 20' Jump Shot	56 46.7%	58 53.3%
Q3 - 2:20	NOH	Paul Driving Layup (6 PTS)	56 43.9%	58 56.1%
Q3 - 2:28	NOH	Paul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	54 39.3%	58 60.7%
Q3 - 2:29	POR	MISS Fernandez 3PT Jump Shot	54 37.9%	58 62.1%
Q3 - 2:45	NOH	Posey 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)	54 34.9%	58 65.1%
Q3 - 2:59	POR	Aldridge Driving Layup (10 PTS)	51 26.8%	58 73.2%
Q3 - 3:19	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	51 31.9%	56 68.1%
Q3 - 3:20	NOH	MISS West 13' Jump Shot	51 33.2%	56 66.8%
Q3 - 3:45	POR	Outlaw Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T10)	51 36.1%	56 63.9%
Q3 - 3:57	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	51 31.8%	56 68.2%
Q3 - 3:58	NOH	MISS Paul 26' 3PT Jump Shot	51 33.1%	56 66.9%
Q3 - 4:23	POR	Blake Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)	51 36.8%	56 63.2%
Q3 - 4:36	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	51 32.2%	56 67.8%
Q3 - 4:37	POR	MISS Outlaw 3PT Jump Shot	51 35.4%	56 64.6%
Q3 - 5:06	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	51 33.0%	56 67.0%
Q3 - 5:09	NOH	MISS West 14' Fadeaway Jumper	51 34.2%	56 65.8%
Q3 - 5:28	NOH	Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	51 37.2%	56 62.8%
Q3 - 5:29	POR	MISS Batum 24' 3PT Jump Shot	51 35.9%	56 64.1%
Q3 - 5:42	NOH	Paul Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)	51 32.9%	56 67.1%
Q3 - 5:59	NOH	Armstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	51 37.2%	56 62.8%
Q3 - 6:00	POR	MISS Aldridge 9' Turnaround Jump Shot	51 35.8%	56 64.2%
Q3 - 6:16	POR	Przybilla Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	51 33.9%	56 66.1%
Q3 - 6:16	POR	Przybilla Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	51 35.4%	55 64.6%
Q3 - 6:16	NOH	Chandler Foul Turnover (P3.T10)	51 41.5%	54 58.5%
Q3 - 6:29	POR	Aldridge Dunk (8 PTS)	51 45.7%	54 54.3%
Q3 - 6:31	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	51 49.4%	52 50.6%
Q3 - 6:32	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	51 49.4%	52 50.6%
Q3 - 6:32	POR	MISS Aldridge Tip Shot	51 52.4%	52 47.6%
Q3 - 6:33	POR	MISS Blake Driving Reverse Layup	51 52.4%	52 47.6%
Q3 - 6:39	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	51 49.4%	52 50.6%
Q3 - 6:40	NOH	MISS West 10' Jump Bank Shot	51 50.7%	52 49.3%
Q3 - 7:02	NOH	Hornets Rebound	51 53.4%	52 46.6%
Q3 - 7:03	POR	MISS Fernandez 24' 3PT Jump Shot	51 52.2%	52 47.8%
Q3 - 7:19	NOH	West 20' Pullup Jump Shot (21 PTS)	51 49.5%	52 50.5%
Q3 - 7:32	POR	Fernandez 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Aldridge 2 AST)	49 45.8%	52 54.2%
Q3 - 7:57	NOH	West 18' Step Back Jump Shot (19 PTS)	49 53.3%	49 46.7%
Q3 - 8:22	POR	Fernandez Driving Finger Roll Layup (14 PTS) (Batum 1 AST)	47 49.7%	49 50.3%
Q3 - 8:39	POR	Fernandez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	47 53.2%	47 46.8%
Q3 - 8:40	NOH	MISS Paul 16' Fadeaway Jumper	47 54.4%	47 45.6%
Q3 - 9:01	NOH	Paul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	47 57.2%	47 42.8%
Q3 - 9:04	POR	MISS Aldridge 4' Jump Shot	47 56.0%	47 44.0%
Q3 - 9:20	NOH	West 21' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)	47 53.4%	47 46.6%
Q3 - 9:26	NOH	Paul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	45 49.8%	47 50.2%
Q3 - 9:27	POR	MISS Aldridge 19' Jump Shot	45 48.7%	47 51.3%
Q3 - 9:47	NOH	Paul Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T9)	45 46.0%	47 54.0%
Q3 - 9:49	NOH	Paul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	45 49.8%	47 50.2%
Q3 - 9:50	NOH	MISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot	45 47.2%	47 52.8%
Q3 - 10:17	POR	Przybilla 6' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Blake 4 AST)	45 50.0%	47 50.0%
Q3 - 10:30	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	45 53.5%	45 46.5%
Q3 - 10:31	NOH	MISS Stojakovic 17' Pullup Jump Shot	45 54.6%	45 45.4%
Q3 - 10:46	NOH	Hornets Rebound	45 57.1%	45 42.9%
Q3 - 10:46	POR	MISS Aldridge 18' Jump Shot	45 56.0%	45 44.0%
Q3 - 11:04	NOH	West Traveling Turnover (P3.T8)	45 53.8%	45 46.2%
Q3 - 11:22	POR	Aldridge 8' Driving Hook Shot (6 PTS)	45 57.4%	45 42.6%
Q3 - 11:41	POR	Fernandez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	45 60.5%	43 39.5%
Q3 - 11:42	NOH	MISS Paul 18' Jump Shot	45 61.6%	43 38.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0	NOH		45 64.0%	43 36.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0	NOH	Hornets Rebound	45 64.0%	43 36.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0	NOH	MISS Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot	45 61.6%	43 38.4%
Q2 - 0:05.0	POR	Outlaw Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)	45 63.4%	43 36.6%
Q2 - 0:24.0	NOH	Outlaw STEAL (1 STL)	45 61.1%	43 38.9%
Q2 - 0:33.0	POR	Blake Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	45 63.5%	43 36.5%
Q2 - 0:33.0	POR	Blake Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	45 64.1%	42 35.9%
Q2 - 0:33.0	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	45 67.2%	41 32.8%
Q2 - 0:35.0	NOH	Blake BLOCK (1 BLK)	45 67.9%	41 32.1%
Q2 - 0:39.0	POR	Diogu Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)	45 69.5%	41 30.5%
Q2 - 1:04	NOH	Paul Driving Layup (4 PTS)	45 67.1%	41 32.9%
Q2 - 1:11	POR	Outlaw 16' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)	43 63.4%	41 36.6%
Q2 - 1:35	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	43 67.1%	39 32.9%
Q2 - 1:35	NOH	Chandler Tip Shot (7 PTS)	43 67.1%	39 32.9%
Q2 - 1:36	NOH	MISS Stojakovic 7' Pullup Jump Shot	41 61.8%	39 38.2%
Q2 - 1:50	POR	Outlaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	41 63.3%	39 36.7%
Q2 - 1:50	POR	MISS Outlaw Free Throw 1 of 2	41 64.0%	38 36.0%
Q2 - 1:59	NOH	Chandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	41 64.2%	38 35.8%
Q2 - 1:59	NOH	MISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 2	40 63.0%	38 37.0%
Q2 - 1:59	NOH	Hornets Rebound	40 63.3%	38 36.7%
Q2 - 1:59	NOH	MISS Paul 8' Running Jump Shot	40 61.8%	38 38.2%
Q2 - 2:08	NOH	Paul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	40 63.6%	38 36.4%
Q2 - 2:10	POR	MISS Fernandez 25' 3PT Jump Shot	40 62.7%	38 37.3%
Q2 - 2:23	NOH	West 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS)	40 60.5%	38 39.5%
Q2 - 2:39	POR	Outlaw 16' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)	38 57.5%	38 42.5%
Q2 - 3:01	NOH	Chandler Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)	38 60.4%	36 39.6%
Q2 - 3:06	POR	Fernandez Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	36 57.9%	36 42.1%
Q2 - 3:06	POR	Fernandez Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)	36 58.3%	35 41.7%
Q2 - 3:29	POR	Fernandez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	36 60.4%	34 39.6%
Q2 - 3:29	NOH	MISS West 16' Turnaround Jump Shot	36 61.4%	34 38.6%
Q2 - 3:45	POR	Przybilla Layup (6 PTS)	36 63.8%	34 36.2%
Q2 - 3:46	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	36 66.2%	32 33.8%
Q2 - 3:47	POR	MISS Blake 25' 3PT Jump Shot	36 68.4%	32 31.6%
Q2 - 4:12	NOH	West Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)	36 66.1%	32 33.9%
Q2 - 4:12	NOH	West 10' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)	35 63.3%	32 36.7%
Q2 - 4:29	POR	Przybilla Dunk (4 PTS) (Fernandez 1 AST)	33 60.6%	32 39.4%
Q2 - 4:52	NOH	West 10' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)	33 63.3%	30 36.7%
Q2 - 5:10	POR	Fernandez 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)	31 60.6%	30 39.4%
Q2 - 5:17	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	31 66.2%	27 33.8%
Q2 - 5:18	NOH	MISS Butler 4' Turnaround Jump Shot	31 67.0%	27 33.0%
Q2 - 5:20	NOH	Butler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	31 68.7%	27 31.3%
Q2 - 5:21	NOH	MISS Chandler 7' Jump Shot	31 67.0%	27 33.0%
Q2 - 5:41	POR	Fernandez Dunk (7 PTS) (Blake 3 AST)	31 68.7%	27 31.3%
Q2 - 5:45	NOH	Aldridge STEAL (1 STL)	31 71.3%	25 28.7%
Q2 - 6:06	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	31 73.3%	25 26.7%
Q2 - 6:07	POR	MISS Przybilla Layup	31 72.4%	25 27.6%
Q2 - 6:13	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	31 70.5%	25 29.5%
Q2 - 6:14	NOH	Peterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	31 73.3%	25 26.7%
Q2 - 6:14	NOH	MISS Peterson Tip Shot	31 71.4%	25 28.6%
Q2 - 6:15	NOH	MISS Peterson Layup	31 71.4%	25 28.6%
Q2 - 6:18	NOH	Peterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	31 73.3%	25 26.7%
Q2 - 6:18	NOH	MISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot	31 71.4%	25 28.6%
Q2 - 6:33	POR	Fernandez 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Aldridge 1 AST)	31 73.3%	25 26.7%
Q2 - 6:54	NOH	Posey Driving Layup (4 PTS)	31 77.2%	22 22.8%
Q2 - 7:14	NOH	Peterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	29 75.1%	22 24.9%
Q2 - 7:14	POR	MISS Batum 3PT Jump Shot	29 74.5%	22 25.5%
Q2 - 7:41	NOH	Peterson Layup (2 PTS) (Daniels 3 AST)	29 72.9%	22 27.1%
Q2 - 7:59	POR	Rodriguez 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	27 70.7%	22 29.3%
Q2 - 8:10	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	27 72.4%	20 27.6%
Q2 - 8:12	POR	MISS Bayless 17' Jump Shot	27 73.9%	20 26.1%
Q2 - 8:47	POR	Batum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	27 72.5%	20 27.5%
Q2 - 8:47	NOH	MISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot	27 73.1%	20 26.9%
Q2 - 9:12	NOH	Armstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	27 74.1%	20 25.9%
Q2 - 9:15	NOH	MISS Daniels 20' Jump Shot	27 72.6%	20 27.4%
Q2 - 9:23	POR	Outlaw Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)	27 74.1%	20 25.9%
Q2 - 9:38	NOH	Armstrong Dunk (2 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)	27 72.0%	20 28.0%
Q2 - 9:54	POR	Bayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	25 69.8%	20 30.2%
Q2 - 9:54	POR	Bayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	25 70.2%	19 29.8%
Q2 - 10:14	NOH	West 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (8 PTS)	25 71.6%	18 28.4%
Q2 - 10:30	NOH	West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	23 69.5%	18 30.5%
Q2 - 10:33	POR	MISS Diogu 9' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot	23 68.8%	18 31.2%
Q2 - 10:49	NOH	Diogu STEAL (1 STL)	23 67.1%	18 32.9%
Q2 - 11:02	POR	Przybilla Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Bayless 2 AST)	23 69.0%	18 31.0%
Q2 - 11:11	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	23 71.1%	16 28.9%
Q2 - 11:12	NOH	MISS Posey 5' Turnaround Jump Shot	23 71.7%	16 28.3%
Q2 - 11:32	POR	Diogu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)	23 73.2%	16 26.8%
Q2 - 11:47	NOH	West Layup (6 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)	23 71.1%	16 28.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0	NOH		21 69.0%	16 31.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0	NOH	Hornets Rebound	21 69.0%	16 31.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0	NOH	MISS Paul 21' Jump Shot	21 67.5%	16 32.5%
Q1 - 0:03.0	NOH	Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	21 68.1%	16 31.9%
Q1 - 0:05.0	POR	MISS Rodriguez 27' 3PT Jump Shot	21 67.6%	16 32.4%
Q1 - 0:28.0	NOH	Posey 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)	21 66.5%	16 33.5%
Q1 - 0:51.0	POR	Diogu Layup (2 PTS)	19 63.8%	16 36.2%
Q1 - 0:53.0	POR	Diogu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	19 66.5%	14 33.5%
Q1 - 0:54.0	POR	MISS Outlaw Driving Layup	19 67.7%	14 32.3%
Q1 - 1:13	NOH	Stojakovic 4' Driving Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)	19 66.4%	14 33.6%
Q1 - 1:26	NOH	Hornets Rebound	17 63.5%	14 36.5%
Q1 - 1:27	NOH	MISS Stojakovic 19' Step Back Jump Shot	17 62.5%	14 37.5%
Q1 - 1:48	POR	Aldridge Foul Turnover (P2.T4)	17 63.5%	14 36.5%
Q1 - 1:51	NOH	Przybilla STEAL (1 STL)	17 62.0%	14 38.0%
Q1 - 1:55	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	17 63.5%	14 36.5%
Q1 - 1:56	NOH	MISS Chandler Alley Oop Layup	17 62.5%	14 37.5%
Q1 - 2:08	POR	Outlaw 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Blake 2 AST)	17 63.5%	14 36.5%
Q1 - 2:16	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	17 66.0%	12 34.0%
Q1 - 2:17	POR	MISS Bayless 3PT Jump Shot	17 67.1%	12 32.9%
Q1 - 2:39	NOH	Stojakovic 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)	17 66.0%	12 34.0%
Q1 - 3:05	POR	Outlaw 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST)	14 61.7%	12 38.3%
Q1 - 3:11	NOH	Bayless STEAL (1 STL)	14 63.8%	10 36.2%
Q1 - 3:32	POR	Bayless Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Blake 1 AST)	14 65.9%	10 34.1%
Q1 - 3:48	NOH	Chandler Foul Turnover (P1.T2)	14 67.9%	8 32.1%
Q1 - 4:01	NOH	Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	14 69.4%	8 30.6%
Q1 - 4:02	POR	MISS Aldridge 7' Driving Hook Shot	14 68.8%	8 31.2%
Q1 - 4:26	NOH	Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)	14 67.4%	8 32.6%
Q1 - 4:29	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	11 63.5%	8 36.4%
Q1 - 4:31	NOH	MISS West 3PT Jump Shot	11 62.0%	8 38.0%
Q1 - 4:54	POR	Fernandez Backcourt Turnover (P2.T3)	11 63.6%	8 36.4%
Q1 - 5:05	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	11 60.9%	8 39.1%
Q1 - 5:06	NOH	MISS Stojakovic 3PT Jump Shot	11 61.6%	8 38.4%
Q1 - 5:31	NOH	Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	11 63.2%	8 36.8%
Q1 - 5:32	POR	MISS Outlaw 19' Turnaround Jump Shot	11 62.5%	8 37.5%
Q1 - 5:51	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	11 60.9%	8 39.1%
Q1 - 5:52	POR	MISS Aldridge 12' Jump Shot	11 62.5%	8 37.5%
Q1 - 6:18	NOH	Chandler Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)	11 61.0%	8 39.0%
Q1 - 6:25	POR	Fernandez Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)	9 59.0%	8 41.0%
Q1 - 6:36	POR	Batum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	9 56.8%	8 43.2%
Q1 - 6:36	POR	MISS Aldridge 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot	9 58.3%	8 41.7%
Q1 - 6:51	NOH	West 19' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)	9 56.8%	8 43.2%
Q1 - 7:09	NOH	Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	7 55.0%	8 45.0%
Q1 - 7:10	POR	MISS Fernandez 3PT Jump Shot	7 54.2%	8 45.8%
Q1 - 7:21	NOH	Paul Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	7 52.6%	8 47.4%
Q1 - 7:21	NOH	Paul Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	6 52.3%	8 47.7%
Q1 - 7:26	POR	Aldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	5 50.7%	8 49.3%
Q1 - 7:26	POR	Aldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	5 51.2%	7 48.8%
Q1 - 7:31	NOH	West 4' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)	5 52.6%	6 47.4%
Q1 - 7:44	NOH	Paul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	3 50.7%	6 49.3%
Q1 - 7:45	POR	MISS Blake 21' Jump Shot	3 50.0%	6 50.0%
Q1 - 8:06	POR	Blake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	3 48.6%	6 51.4%
Q1 - 8:07	NOH	MISS West 20' Jump Shot	3 49.3%	6 50.7%
Q1 - 8:19	POR	Fernandez Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	3 50.7%	6 49.3%
Q1 - 8:19	POR	Fernandez Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	3 51.0%	5 49.0%
Q1 - 8:41	NOH	Stojakovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)	3 52.8%	4 47.2%
Q1 - 9:07	POR	Oden 4' Hook Bank Shot (2 PTS)	0 49.4%	4 50.6%
Q1 - 9:29	NOH	Hornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)	0 51.5%	2 48.5%
Q1 - 9:54	NOH	Hornets Rebound	0 53.3%	2 46.7%
Q1 - 9:56	NOH	Oden BLOCK (1 BLK)	0 52.0%	2 48.0%
Q1 - 10:16	NOH	Hornets Rebound	0 53.7%	2 46.3%
Q1 - 10:16	POR	MISS Blake 3PT Jump Shot	0 53.1%	2 46.9%
Q1 - 10:27	POR	Oden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	0 51.7%	2 48.3%
Q1 - 10:28	NOH	MISS Paul Driving Layup	0 52.3%	2 47.7%
Q1 - 10:37	NOH	West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 53.7%	2 46.3%
Q1 - 10:39	POR	MISS Aldridge Layup	0 53.1%	2 46.9%
Q1 - 10:41	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	0 51.7%	2 48.3%
Q1 - 10:42	POR	MISS Aldridge 8' Running Jump Shot	0 53.1%	2 46.9%
Q1 - 10:58	POR	Blake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 51.7%	2 48.3%
Q1 - 10:59	NOH	MISS Butler 12' Jump Shot	0 52.3%	2 47.7%
Q1 - 11:11	POR	Aldridge 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)	0 53.8%	2 46.2%
Q1 - 11:23	POR	Oden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 55.4%	0 44.6%
Q1 - 11:24	NOH	MISS Stojakovic 8' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot	0 55.9%	0 44.1%
Q1 - 11:41	POR	Aldridge Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	0 57.1%	0 42.9%
Q1 - 12:00	POR	Jump Ball Oden vs. Chandler: Tip to Blake	0 55.4%	0 44.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOH

1.11 55.4%

POR

0.93 46.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

NOH

67%

POR

48%

Midrange

NOH

43%

POR

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

NOH

12.0

47%

71%

POR

6.0

24%

35%

Free Throws

NOH

86%

POR

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. West	25	57%	12.5 / 22
C. Paul	17	50%	8.5 / 17
J. Posey	15	75%	7.5 / 10
P. Stojakovic	14	64%	7.0 / 11
H. Armstrong	12	100%	6.0 / 6
T. Chandler	7	58%	3.5 / 6
M. Peterson	2	33%	1.0 / 3
R. Butler	0	-	0.0 / 2
A. Daniels	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Trail Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Fernandez	19	73%	9.5 / 13
T. Outlaw	16	53%	8.0 / 15
L. Aldridge	13	33%	6.5 / 20
J. Przybilla	10	83%	5.0 / 6
S. Blake	7	39%	3.5 / 9
G. Oden	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Bayless	4	29%	2.0 / 7
S. Rodriguez	2	33%	1.0 / 3
I. Diogu	2	50%	1.0 / 2
N. Batum	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOH

+15

-12

POR

+17

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOH

1.11 55.4%

POR

0.93 46.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	108.6 113.3	NOH 116.5 POR 97.5 +19.0
Pace	88.0 87.1	NOH 79.3 +0.7 POR 78.7
Avg. Poss. Time	16.8 17.2	NOH 18.2 +0.2 POR 18.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	50.1% 51.1%	NOH 56.6% +14.1% POR 42.5%
TO %	13.3% 13.8%	NOH 14.1% +0.6% POR 14.7%
ORB %	24.6% 32.6%	NOH 32.1% +1.5% POR 30.6%
FTrt	28.8 30.6	NOH 9.2 POR 24.7 +15.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	55.3% 55.2%	NOH 51.3% POR 55.2% +3.9%
STL %	8.2% 7.7%	NOH 6.3% POR 7.6% +1.3%
BLK %	7.2% 8.0%	NOH 7.1% +3.7% POR 3.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.62 and 2.62.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	53.1% 53.6%	NOH 55.4% +9.0% POR 46.4%
Rim FG%	58.6% 59.5%	NOH 66.7% +18.9% POR 47.8%
Mid FG%	42.5% 40.8%	NOH 42.9% +0.5% POR 42.4%
3P %	36.4% 38.3%	NOH 47.1% +23.6% POR 23.5%
FT %	80.7% 76.6%	NOH 85.7% +2.4% POR 83.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	29.0% 33.3%	NOH 31.6% +0.1% POR 31.5%
Mid Att. %	47.0% 42.7%	NOH 46.1% POR 45.2% +0.8%
3P Att. %	24.0% 23.9%	NOH 22.4% POR 23.3% +0.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	NOH	POR
Possessions	79	79
Possession Minutes	23.9	24.1
Points	92	77
Rebounds	34	30
Assists	20	16
Steals	5	6
Blocks	4	2
Turnovers (Team)	12 (1)	13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (6)	11 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (3)	19 (3)
Field Goals	39-76	29-73
At-the-Rim FG	16-24	11-23
Midrange FG	15-35	14-33
2-Point FG	31-59	25-56
3-Point FG	8-17	4-17
Free Throws	6-7	15-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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5 New Orleans Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
David West F · 6'9" 250 · 28	44.0	25	57%	4	0	1	2	4	4	0	4	1-1	100%	12-20	60%	0-1	0%
Chris Paul G · 6'0" 175 · 24	36.9	17	50%	7	11	1	0	3	2	1	6	2-2	100%	6-13	46%	1-3	33%
Peja Stojakovic F · 6'10" 229 · 32	36.3	14	64%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-5	20%	4-6	67%
Tyson Chandler C · 7'1" 240 · 26	24.4	7	58%	4	1	0	0	3	2	3	1	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Rasual Butler G · 6'7" 215 · 30	19.7	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	4	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
James Posey F · 6'8" 217 · 32	35.6	15	75%	9	2	0	0	0	1	0	9	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	3-7	43%
Hilton Armstrong F-C · 6'11" 235 · 24	23.6	12	100%	3	1	2	1	0	4	2	1	0-0	-	6-6	100%	0-0	-
Antonio Daniels G · 6'4" 205 · 34	13.4	0	0%	3	4	0	1	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Morris Peterson G · 6'7" 220 · 31	6.1	2	33%	3	0	1	0	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Devin Brown G · 6'5" 210 · 30
Sean Marks F-C · 6'10" 250 · 33
Ryan Bowen F · 6'9" 218 · 33
Julian Wright #32 · F · 6'8" 225 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Melvin Ely #33 · C-F · 6'10" 260 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	55%	34	20	5	4	12	0	9	25	6-7	86%	31-59	53%	8-17	47%

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5 New Orleans Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
David West F · 6'9" 250 · 28	44.0	25	57%	4	0	1	2	4	4	0	4	1-1	100%	12-20	60%	0-1	0%
Chris Paul G · 6'0" 175 · 24	36.9	17	50%	7	11	1	0	3	2	1	6	2-2	100%	6-13	46%	1-3	33%
Peja Stojakovic F · 6'10" 229 · 32	36.3	14	64%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-5	20%	4-6	67%
Tyson Chandler C · 7'1" 240 · 26	24.4	7	58%	4	1	0	0	3	2	3	1	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Rasual Butler G · 6'7" 215 · 30	19.7	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	4	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
James Posey F · 6'8" 217 · 32	35.6	15	75%	9	2	0	0	0	1	0	9	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	3-7	43%
Hilton Armstrong F-C · 6'11" 235 · 24	23.6	12	100%	3	1	2	1	0	4	2	1	0-0	-	6-6	100%	0-0	-
Antonio Daniels G · 6'4" 205 · 34	13.4	0	0%	3	4	0	1	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Morris Peterson G · 6'7" 220 · 31	6.1	2	33%	3	0	1	0	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Devin Brown G · 6'5" 210 · 30
Sean Marks F-C · 6'10" 250 · 33
Ryan Bowen F · 6'9" 218 · 33
Julian Wright #32 · F · 6'8" 225 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Melvin Ely #33 · C-F · 6'10" 260 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	55%	34	20	5	4	12	0	9	25	6-7	86%	31-59	53%	8-17	47%

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14 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge F · 6'11" 260 · 23	37.8	13	33%	10	5	1	0	3	3	5	5	3-4	75%	5-18	28%	0-0	-
Steve Blake G · 6'3" 172 · 29	36.8	7	39%	2	6	1	1	1	0	0	2	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-4	25%
Rudy Fernandez G · 6'6" 185 · 24	36.1	19	73%	4	2	0	0	2	1	0	4	4-4	100%	3-3	100%	3-8	38%
Nicolas Batum F · 6'8" 230 · 20	18.3	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Greg Oden C · 7'0" 273 · 21	15.6	4	50%	4	0	0	1	1	4	1	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Joel Przybilla C · 7'1" 245 · 29	32.5	10	83%	7	0	1	0	0	4	3	4	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Travis Outlaw F · 6'9" 207 · 24	29.8	16	53%	0	0	1	0	4	1	0	0	2-4	50%	7-12	58%	0-1	0%
Jerryd Bayless G · 6'3" 200 · 20	15.2	4	29%	0	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	0-1	0%
Sergio Rodriguez G · 6'3" 176 · 23	10.4	2	33%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Ike Diogu F · 6'9" 250 · 25	7.5	2	50%	1	0	1	0	2	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Channing Frye F · 6'11" 255 · 26
Shavlik Randolph F · 6'10" 236 · 25
Martell Webster #8 · F-G · 6'7" 230 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Brandon Roy #7 · G · 6'6" 211 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Raef LaFrentz #9 · C-F · 6'11" 240 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	77	46%	30	16	6	2	13	0	11	19	15-18	83%	25-56	45%	4-17	24%

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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE