Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, January 2, 2009

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	6	Spurs	72%	97	91
	29	Grizzlies	28%	89	80

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
SAS	104.6	87	88.9
MEM	93.0	86	84.2

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

-12

MEM

+18

-16

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.08 54.2%

MEM

0.90 44.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	MEM
Q4 - 0:00.0	SAS		91 100%	80 0%
Q4 - 0:15.0	SAS	Oberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	91 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0	MEM	MISS Lowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot	91 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0	SAS	Parker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)	91 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 0:46.0	MEM	Ross Layup (8 PTS) (Mayo 2 AST)	91 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 0:53.0	MEM	Lowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	91 99.9%	78 0.1%
Q4 - 0:56.0	SAS	Tolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	91 99.9%	78 0.1%
Q4 - 0:56.0	SAS	MISS Tolliver Tip Shot	91 99.9%	78 0.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0	SAS	MISS Duncan 22' Jump Shot	91 99.9%	78 0.1%
Q4 - 1:23	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)	91 99.9%	78 0.1%
Q4 - 1:23	MEM	Gasol Tip Shot (15 PTS)	91 99.9%	78 0.1%
Q4 - 1:24	MEM	MISS Ross 25' 3PT Jump Shot	91 99.9%	76 0.1%
Q4 - 1:38	SAS	Bowen 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)	91 99.9%	76 0.1%
Q4 - 1:59	MEM	Mayo Layup (12 PTS)	88 99.9%	76 0.1%
Q4 - 2:03	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)	88 99.9%	74 0.1%
Q4 - 2:05	SAS	MISS Parker Layup	88 99.9%	74 0.1%
Q4 - 2:18	MEM	Ross Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	88 99.9%	74 0.1%
Q4 - 2:18	MEM	Ross Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	88 99.9%	73 0.1%
Q4 - 2:22	MEM	Warrick REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	88 99.9%	72 0.1%
Q4 - 2:24	MEM	MISS Mayo 26' 3PT Jump Shot	88 99.9%	72 0.1%
Q4 - 2:39	SAS	Parker Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)	88 99.9%	72 0.1%
Q4 - 2:39	SAS	Parker Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)	87 99.9%	72 0.1%
Q4 - 2:41	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	86 99.9%	72 0.1%
Q4 - 2:43	MEM	MISS Gasol 7' Jump Shot	86 99.9%	72 0.1%
Q4 - 3:01	SAS	Duncan 6' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)	86 99.9%	72 0.1%
Q4 - 3:13	SAS	Ginobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	84 99.8%	72 0.2%
Q4 - 3:18	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)	84 99.7%	72 0.3%
Q4 - 3:18	MEM	MISS Mayo 25' 3PT Jump Shot	84 99.8%	72 0.2%
Q4 - 3:22	MEM	Mayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	84 99.7%	72 0.3%
Q4 - 3:22	MEM	MISS Mayo 2' Tip Shot	84 99.8%	72 0.2%
Q4 - 3:24	MEM	MISS Mayo 7' Jump Shot	84 99.8%	72 0.2%
Q4 - 3:42	MEM	Lowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	84 99.3%	72 0.7%
Q4 - 3:43	SAS	MISS Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot	84 99.4%	72 0.6%
Q4 - 4:03	MEM	Mayo Slam Dunk (10 PTS)	84 99.6%	72 0.4%
Q4 - 4:09	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)	84 99.7%	70 0.3%
Q4 - 4:10	SAS	MISS Mason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot	84 99.7%	70 0.3%
Q4 - 4:31	MEM	Lowry Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)	84 99.8%	70 0.2%
Q4 - 4:38	MEM	Ross REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	84 99.9%	67 0.1%
Q4 - 4:40	SAS	MISS Mason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot	84 99.9%	67 0.1%
Q4 - 4:58	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	84 99.9%	67 0.1%
Q4 - 4:58	MEM	Gasol 4' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS)	84 99.9%	67 0.1%
Q4 - 5:01	MEM	MISS Gasol Layup	84 99.9%	65 0.1%
Q4 - 5:25	SAS	Bonner 7' Jump Shot (16 PTS)	84 99.9%	65 0.1%
Q4 - 5:41	MEM	Warrick Dunk (16 PTS)	82 99.9%	65 0.1%
Q4 - 5:43	MEM	Warrick REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	82 99.9%	63 0.1%
Q4 - 5:45	MEM	MISS Lowry 3PT Jump Shot	82 99.9%	63 0.1%
Q4 - 6:06	SAS	Mason Jr. 21' Jump Shot (3 PTS)	82 99.8%	63 0.2%
Q4 - 6:23	MEM	Gay Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T17)	80 99.8%	63 0.2%
Q4 - 6:34	MEM	Gay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	80 99.7%	63 0.3%
Q4 - 6:35	SAS	MISS Mason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot	80 99.7%	63 0.3%
Q4 - 6:43	SAS	Finley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	80 99.8%	63 0.2%
Q4 - 6:46	MEM	MISS Gay Reverse Layup	80 99.7%	63 0.3%
Q4 - 6:54	MEM	Warrick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	80 99.7%	63 0.3%
Q4 - 6:55	SAS	MISS Mason Jr. Layup	80 99.7%	63 0.3%
Q4 - 7:15	SAS	Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	80 99.7%	63 0.3%
Q4 - 7:19	MEM	MISS Warrick 7' Jump Shot	80 99.6%	63 0.4%
Q4 - 7:22	MEM	Lowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	80 99.5%	63 0.5%
Q4 - 7:26	MEM	MISS Warrick Layup	80 99.6%	63 0.4%
Q4 - 7:35	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	80 99.5%	63 0.5%
Q4 - 7:37	SAS	MISS Hill Layup	80 99.6%	63 0.4%
Q4 - 7:56	MEM	Gay Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T16)	80 99.7%	63 0.3%
Q4 - 8:11	MEM	Arthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	80 99.4%	63 0.6%
Q4 - 8:13	MEM	MISS Gay 24' 3PT Jump Shot	80 99.5%	63 0.5%
Q4 - 8:31	SAS	Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)	80 99.4%	63 0.6%
Q4 - 8:47	MEM	Conley Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)	77 99.0%	63 1.0%
Q4 - 8:47	MEM	Conley Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)	77 99.0%	62 1.0%
Q4 - 8:58	SAS	Finley 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)	77 99.2%	61 0.8%
Q4 - 9:05	SAS	Ginobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	74 98.3%	61 1.7%
Q4 - 9:07	MEM	MISS Arthur 16' Jump Shot	74 98.2%	61 1.8%
Q4 - 9:24	SAS	Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)	74 97.9%	61 2.1%
Q4 - 9:27	MEM	Warrick Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)	71 96.6%	61 3.4%
Q4 - 9:46	MEM	GRIZZLIES Rebound	71 95.8%	61 4.2%
Q4 - 9:48	SAS	MISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot	71 96.1%	61 3.9%
Q4 - 9:57	MEM	Arthur 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)	71 96.7%	61 3.3%
Q4 - 10:32	SAS	Ginobili Free Throw 3 of 3 (10 PTS)	71 97.0%	59 3.0%
Q4 - 10:32	SAS	Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 3 (9 PTS)	70 96.9%	59 3.1%
Q4 - 10:32	SAS	MISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 3	69 96.8%	59 3.2%
Q4 - 10:44	MEM	Conley Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	69 96.2%	59 3.8%
Q4 - 10:44	MEM	MISS Conley Free Throw 1 of 2	69 96.4%	58 3.6%
Q4 - 10:46	MEM	Arthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	69 96.2%	58 3.8%
Q4 - 10:48	SAS	Warrick BLOCK (2 BLK)	69 96.5%	58 3.5%
Q4 - 11:03	MEM	Conley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)	69 96.5%	58 3.5%
Q4 - 11:21	SAS	Ginobili 21' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)	69 95.8%	58 4.2%
Q4 - 11:41	MEM	Arthur 7' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Warrick 1 AST)	67 94.8%	58 5.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0	SAS		67 95.8%	56 4.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0	SAS	Spurs Rebound	67 96.5%	56 3.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0	SAS	MISS Parker 32' 3PT Jump Shot	67 96.0%	56 4.0%
Q3 - 0:03.0	MEM	Conley 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	67 96.0%	56 4.0%
Q3 - 0:29.0	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	67 96.8%	54 3.2%
Q3 - 0:32.0	SAS	MISS Ginobili 18' Step Back Jump Shot	67 97.0%	54 3.0%
Q3 - 0:39.0	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	67 97.4%	54 2.6%
Q3 - 0:39.0	MEM	MISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 2	67 97.5%	53 2.5%
Q3 - 0:39.0	MEM	Buckner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	67 97.4%	53 2.6%
Q3 - 0:40.0	SAS	MISS Tolliver 3PT Jump Shot	67 97.6%	53 2.4%
Q3 - 0:55.0	MEM	Gasol Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)	67 97.8%	53 2.2%
Q3 - 1:10	MEM	Buckner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	67 97.1%	53 2.9%
Q3 - 1:13	SAS	MISS Parker 23' Jump Shot	67 97.3%	53 2.7%
Q3 - 1:32	MEM	Conley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	67 97.6%	53 2.4%
Q3 - 1:32	MEM	Conley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	67 97.7%	52 2.3%
Q3 - 1:36	MEM	Conley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	67 98.0%	51 2.0%
Q3 - 1:37	SAS	MISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot	67 98.2%	51 1.8%
Q3 - 1:51	SAS	Ginobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	67 98.4%	51 1.6%
Q3 - 1:52	MEM	MISS Warrick 19' Jump Shot	67 98.3%	51 1.7%
Q3 - 2:05	SAS	Tolliver Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)	67 97.8%	51 2.2%
Q3 - 2:24	SAS	Ginobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	67 98.1%	51 1.9%
Q3 - 2:26	MEM	MISS Warrick 26' 3PT Jump Shot	67 98.0%	51 2.0%
Q3 - 2:50	SAS	Ginobili Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)	67 97.8%	51 2.2%
Q3 - 3:04	MEM	Warrick Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)	67 98.0%	51 2.0%
Q3 - 3:22	MEM	Ross REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	67 98.6%	48 1.4%
Q3 - 3:23	MEM	MISS Warrick 7' Turnaround Jump Shot	67 98.8%	48 1.2%
Q3 - 3:48	SAS	Parker Layup (17 PTS)	67 98.6%	48 1.4%
Q3 - 3:52	MEM	Mayo Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)	65 98.3%	48 1.7%
Q3 - 4:09	SAS	Ginobili 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	65 97.8%	48 2.2%
Q3 - 4:30	MEM	Mayo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)	63 97.5%	48 2.5%
Q3 - 4:52	SAS	Parker Driving Layup (15 PTS)	63 96.9%	48 3.1%
Q3 - 5:01	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)	61 96.0%	48 4.0%
Q3 - 5:02	MEM	MISS Gasol 18' Jump Shot	61 95.8%	48 4.2%
Q3 - 5:24	SAS	Bonner 28' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)	61 95.3%	48 4.7%
Q3 - 5:30	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)	58 93.7%	48 6.3%
Q3 - 5:33	MEM	MISS Lowry Layup	58 93.3%	48 6.7%
Q3 - 5:53	SAS	Bonner Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)	58 92.5%	48 7.5%
Q3 - 6:10	MEM	Gay 8' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)	56 91.2%	48 8.8%
Q3 - 6:26	MEM	GRIZZLIES Rebound	56 92.3%	46 7.7%
Q3 - 6:26	SAS	MISS Mason Jr. 27' 3PT Jump Shot	56 92.7%	46 7.3%
Q3 - 6:34	SAS	Ginobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	56 93.4%	46 6.6%
Q3 - 6:36	MEM	MISS Gay 15' Jump Shot	56 93.1%	46 6.9%
Q3 - 6:59	SAS	Gay STEAL (1 STL)	56 92.3%	46 7.7%
Q3 - 7:07	SAS	Finley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	56 92.9%	46 7.1%
Q3 - 7:09	MEM	MISS Lowry Driving Layup	56 92.6%	46 7.4%
Q3 - 7:17	SAS	Duncan Layup (18 PTS) (Mason Jr. 2 AST)	56 91.8%	46 8.2%
Q3 - 7:36	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	54 90.7%	46 9.3%
Q3 - 7:37	MEM	MISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 1	54 90.5%	46 9.5%
Q3 - 7:41	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	54 91.8%	44 8.2%
Q3 - 7:41	MEM	MISS Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot	54 92.6%	44 7.4%
Q3 - 8:18	SAS	Bonner 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)	54 91.6%	44 8.4%
Q3 - 8:31	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	52 90.4%	44 9.6%
Q3 - 8:32	MEM	MISS Mayo 25' 3PT Jump Shot	52 90.0%	44 10.0%
Q3 - 8:44	SAS	Parker Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)	52 88.9%	44 11.1%
Q3 - 8:44	SAS	MISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 2	51 88.6%	44 11.4%
Q3 - 9:00	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	51 89.0%	44 11.0%
Q3 - 9:02	SAS	MISS Parker 9' Jump Shot	51 87.9%	44 12.1%
Q3 - 9:17	MEM	Gay 10' Jump Shot (7 PTS)	51 88.9%	44 11.1%
Q3 - 9:36	SAS	Duncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)	51 90.3%	42 9.7%
Q3 - 9:44	SAS	Bonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	48 87.4%	42 12.6%
Q3 - 9:49	SAS	MISS Duncan 7' Running Jump Shot	48 86.2%	42 13.8%
Q3 - 10:18	MEM	Gasol Driving Slam Dunk (8 PTS)	48 87.2%	42 12.8%
Q3 - 10:24	MEM	GRIZZLIES Rebound	48 88.7%	40 11.3%
Q3 - 10:24	MEM	MISS Gasol Layup	48 89.7%	40 10.3%
Q3 - 10:47	SAS	Finley Running Layup (2 PTS)	48 88.7%	40 11.3%
Q3 - 10:49	SAS	Finley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	46 87.2%	40 12.8%
Q3 - 10:53	MEM	MISS Gasol 7' Hook Shot	46 86.7%	40 13.3%
Q3 - 11:14	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	46 85.6%	40 14.4%
Q3 - 11:16	SAS	MISS Parker 21' Jump Shot	46 86.1%	40 13.9%
Q3 - 11:27	MEM	Lowry Palming Turnover (P2.T10)	46 87.3%	40 12.7%
Q3 - 11:40	SAS	Bonner Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)	46 85.5%	40 14.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0	SAS		44 83.9%	40 16.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0	SAS	Spurs Rebound	44 83.9%	40 16.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0	SAS	Warrick BLOCK (1 BLK)	44 82.4%	40 17.6%
Q2 - 0:04.0	MEM	GRIZZLIES Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)	44 83.6%	40 16.4%
Q2 - 0:04.0	MEM	GRIZZLIES Rebound	44 82.2%	40 17.8%
Q2 - 0:04.0	MEM	MISS Warrick 24' 3PT Jump Shot	44 83.2%	40 16.8%
Q2 - 0:27.0	MEM	Warrick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	44 82.1%	40 17.9%
Q2 - 0:29.0	SAS	MISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot	44 82.6%	40 17.4%
Q2 - 0:39.0	MEM	Gay Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)	44 83.6%	40 16.4%
Q2 - 0:52.0	MEM	Lowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	44 82.1%	40 17.9%
Q2 - 0:53.0	SAS	MISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot	44 82.6%	40 17.4%
Q2 - 1:01	SAS	Ginobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	44 83.6%	40 16.4%
Q2 - 1:02	MEM	MISS Gay 26' 3PT Jump Shot	44 83.2%	40 16.8%
Q2 - 1:07	MEM	Arthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	44 82.2%	40 17.8%
Q2 - 1:09	SAS	MISS Parker Driving Layup	44 82.7%	40 17.3%
Q2 - 1:12	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	44 83.6%	40 16.4%
Q2 - 1:16	MEM	MISS Gay Finger Roll Layup	44 83.2%	40 16.8%
Q2 - 1:26	SAS	Duncan Foul Turnover (P2.T10)	44 82.2%	40 17.8%
Q2 - 1:44	MEM	Gasol Dunk (6 PTS) (Gay 3 AST)	44 83.6%	40 16.4%
Q2 - 1:52	SAS	Spurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)	44 85.8%	38 14.2%
Q2 - 2:07	SAS	Mason Jr. Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)	44 87.1%	38 12.9%
Q2 - 2:25	MEM	Mayo 13' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)	43 85.5%	38 14.5%
Q2 - 2:33	SAS	Spurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)	43 87.0%	36 13.0%
Q2 - 2:33	SAS	Spurs Rebound	43 88.4%	36 11.6%
Q2 - 2:33	SAS	Gasol BLOCK (1 BLK)	43 87.5%	36 12.5%
Q2 - 2:58	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	43 88.4%	36 11.6%
Q2 - 2:58	MEM	MISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 2	43 88.7%	35 11.3%
Q2 - 3:11	SAS	Parker 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)	43 88.3%	35 11.7%
Q2 - 3:29	MEM	Warrick 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)	41 87.2%	35 12.8%
Q2 - 3:39	SAS	Parker Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	41 88.3%	33 11.7%
Q2 - 3:39	SAS	Parker Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	40 88.0%	33 12.0%
Q2 - 3:43	MEM	Gay Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)	39 87.2%	33 12.8%
Q2 - 4:04	MEM	Warrick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	39 85.5%	33 14.5%
Q2 - 4:05	SAS	MISS Finley 21' Jump Shot	39 86.0%	33 14.0%
Q2 - 4:31	MEM	Mayo Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)	39 87.1%	33 12.9%
Q2 - 4:37	MEM	Conley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	39 88.3%	31 11.7%
Q2 - 4:39	SAS	MISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot	39 88.7%	31 11.3%
Q2 - 4:53	SAS	Bonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	39 89.6%	31 10.4%
Q2 - 4:54	MEM	MISS Mayo 20' Jump Shot	39 89.2%	31 10.8%
Q2 - 5:08	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	39 88.4%	31 11.6%
Q2 - 5:10	SAS	MISS Finley 18' Jump Shot	39 88.7%	31 11.3%
Q2 - 5:20	MEM	Gay Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)	39 89.5%	31 10.5%
Q2 - 5:33	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	39 88.3%	31 11.7%
Q2 - 5:35	MEM	MISS Gay 22' Jump Shot	39 89.1%	31 10.9%
Q2 - 5:50	SAS	Duncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)	39 88.3%	31 11.7%
Q2 - 5:50	SAS	MISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 2	38 88.0%	31 12.0%
Q2 - 6:10	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	38 88.1%	31 11.9%
Q2 - 6:12	MEM	MISS Arthur 18' Jump Shot	38 87.6%	31 12.4%
Q2 - 6:33	SAS	Duncan Dunk (12 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)	38 86.6%	31 13.4%
Q2 - 6:52	MEM	Mayo Driving Layup (4 PTS)	36 85.5%	31 14.5%
Q2 - 7:06	MEM	Mayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	36 86.8%	29 13.2%
Q2 - 7:07	SAS	MISS Bonner 20' Jump Shot	36 87.2%	29 12.8%
Q2 - 7:18	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	36 88.1%	29 11.9%
Q2 - 7:20	MEM	MISS Warrick 18' Jump Shot	36 87.7%	29 12.3%
Q2 - 7:42	SAS	Hill Layup (4 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)	36 86.8%	29 13.2%
Q2 - 7:42	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	34 85.5%	29 14.5%
Q2 - 7:44	SAS	MISS Mason Jr. 22' Jump Shot	34 84.4%	29 15.6%
Q2 - 8:09	MEM	Warrick 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Gay 2 AST)	34 85.3%	29 14.7%
Q2 - 8:27	SAS	Arthur STEAL (1 STL)	34 86.6%	27 13.4%
Q2 - 8:31	MEM	Mayo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)	34 87.8%	27 12.2%
Q2 - 8:46	SAS	Hill Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	34 86.7%	27 13.3%
Q2 - 8:46	SAS	Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	33 86.4%	27 13.6%
Q2 - 8:51	MEM	Jump Ball Warrick vs. Hill: Tip to Bonner	32 85.3%	27 14.7%
Q2 - 8:52	MEM	GRIZZLIES Rebound	32 83.9%	27 16.1%
Q2 - 8:52	MEM	MISS Warrick 4' Jump Shot	32 84.9%	27 15.1%
Q2 - 8:53	MEM	Warrick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	32 83.9%	27 16.1%
Q2 - 8:55	MEM	MISS Mayo 6' Floating Jump Shot	32 84.9%	27 15.1%
Q2 - 9:08	MEM	Arthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	32 83.7%	27 16.3%
Q2 - 9:09	SAS	MISS Bonner 18' Jump Shot	32 84.1%	27 15.9%
Q2 - 9:23	MEM	Warrick 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Gay 1 AST)	32 85.1%	27 14.9%
Q2 - 9:25	MEM	GRIZZLIES Rebound	32 87.6%	24 12.4%
Q2 - 9:26	MEM	MISS Conley Layup	32 88.4%	24 11.6%
Q2 - 9:48	SAS	Finley Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)	32 87.6%	24 12.4%
Q2 - 10:04	MEM	Conley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	32 88.5%	24 11.5%
Q2 - 10:04	MEM	Conley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	32 88.7%	23 11.3%
Q2 - 10:17	SAS	Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	32 89.5%	22 10.5%
Q2 - 10:17	SAS	Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	31 89.4%	22 10.6%
Q2 - 10:33	MEM	Mayo 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	30 88.5%	22 11.5%
Q2 - 10:59	SAS	Thomas Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)	30 89.5%	20 10.5%
Q2 - 11:06	SAS	Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	28 88.2%	20 11.8%
Q2 - 11:07	SAS	MISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot	28 87.4%	20 12.6%
Q2 - 11:27	SAS	Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	28 88.2%	20 11.8%
Q2 - 11:29	MEM	MISS Warrick 8' Jump Shot	28 87.9%	20 12.1%
Q2 - 11:47	SAS	Ginobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)	28 87.1%	20 12.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0	MEM		28 88.2%	20 11.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0	MEM	GRIZZLIES Rebound	28 87.1%	20 12.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0	MEM	MISS Lowry 27' 3PT Jump Shot	28 87.9%	20 12.1%
Q1 - 0:04.0	SAS	Parker Driving Layup (8 PTS)	28 86.9%	20 13.1%
Q1 - 0:26.0	MEM	Gay Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)	26 85.5%	20 14.5%
Q1 - 0:38.0	SAS	Bowen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)	26 84.5%	20 15.5%
Q1 - 1:03	MEM	Warrick Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Buckner 1 AST)	23 81.4%	20 18.6%
Q1 - 1:22	SAS	Ginobili Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)	23 83.2%	18 16.8%
Q1 - 1:33	MEM	Arthur 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)	21 81.4%	18 18.6%
Q1 - 1:45	MEM	Buckner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	21 83.2%	16 16.8%
Q1 - 1:50	MEM	MISS Gay 20' Pullup Jump Shot	21 83.8%	16 16.2%
Q1 - 2:10	SAS	Parker 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)	21 83.0%	16 17.0%
Q1 - 2:25	MEM	Lowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	19 81.4%	16 18.6%
Q1 - 2:25	MEM	Lowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	19 81.7%	15 18.3%
Q1 - 2:35	SAS	Tolliver 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)	19 83.0%	14 17.0%
Q1 - 2:55	MEM	Warrick 12' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)	16 80.0%	14 20.0%
Q1 - 3:12	SAS	Duncan Dunk (10 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)	16 81.9%	12 18.1%
Q1 - 3:15	SAS	Tolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	14 80.4%	12 19.6%
Q1 - 3:17	MEM	MISS Buckner Layup	14 80.0%	12 20.0%
Q1 - 3:32	SAS	Duncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)	14 79.0%	12 21.0%
Q1 - 3:48	SAS	Tolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	11 75.7%	12 24.3%
Q1 - 3:50	MEM	MISS Buckner 19' Jump Shot	11 75.2%	12 24.8%
Q1 - 4:14	SAS	Parker 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Tolliver 1 AST)	11 74.2%	12 25.8%
Q1 - 4:32	MEM	Lowry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)	9 72.5%	12 27.5%
Q1 - 4:51	MEM	GRIZZLIES Rebound	9 70.6%	12 29.4%
Q1 - 4:52	SAS	MISS Tolliver 25' 3PT Jump Shot	9 71.2%	12 28.8%
Q1 - 5:16	SAS	Mason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	9 72.3%	12 27.7%
Q1 - 5:23	MEM	MISS Gay Alley Oop Layup	9 71.7%	12 28.3%
Q1 - 5:28	SAS	Gasol STEAL (2 STL)	9 70.3%	12 29.7%
Q1 - 5:45	MEM	Gay 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)	9 72.3%	12 27.7%
Q1 - 5:55	SAS	Finley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)	9 75.4%	9 24.6%
Q1 - 5:59	MEM	Gasol Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)	9 77.2%	9 22.8%
Q1 - 6:16	SAS	Duncan Layup (5 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)	9 75.9%	9 24.1%
Q1 - 6:22	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	7 74.3%	9 25.7%
Q1 - 6:24	MEM	MISS Ross 6' Running Jump Shot	7 73.8%	9 26.2%
Q1 - 6:33	MEM	Gay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	7 72.6%	9 27.4%
Q1 - 6:34	SAS	MISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot	7 73.1%	9 26.9%
Q1 - 6:44	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	7 74.3%	9 25.7%
Q1 - 6:46	MEM	MISS Ross 22' Jump Shot	7 73.8%	9 26.2%
Q1 - 6:57	SAS	Gasol STEAL (1 STL)	7 72.6%	9 27.4%
Q1 - 7:18	MEM	Gay Reverse Layup (2 PTS)	7 74.7%	9 25.3%
Q1 - 7:39	SAS	Duncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)	7 76.1%	7 23.9%
Q1 - 7:39	SAS	MISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 2	6 75.6%	7 24.4%
Q1 - 7:51	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	6 76.2%	7 23.8%
Q1 - 7:53	MEM	MISS Mayo 22' Jump Shot	6 75.7%	7 24.3%
Q1 - 8:16	SAS	Duncan 7' Turnaround Bank Shot (2 PTS)	6 74.9%	7 25.1%
Q1 - 8:38	MEM	Ross 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	4 73.2%	7 26.8%
Q1 - 8:53	MEM	GRIZZLIES Rebound	4 74.8%	5 25.2%
Q1 - 8:54	SAS	MISS Parker 5' Running Jump Shot	4 75.3%	5 24.7%
Q1 - 9:02	SAS	Finley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	4 77.0%	5 23.0%
Q1 - 9:03	MEM	MISS Gasol Layup	4 76.6%	5 23.4%
Q1 - 9:08	SAS	Lowry STEAL (1 STL)	4 75.6%	5 24.4%
Q1 - 9:19	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4 76.9%	5 23.1%
Q1 - 9:20	MEM	MISS Gasol 21' Jump Shot	4 76.5%	5 23.5%
Q1 - 9:47	SAS	Parker Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)	4 75.6%	5 24.4%
Q1 - 9:58	MEM	Ross 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)	2 73.9%	5 26.1%
Q1 - 10:12	SAS	Bonner 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)	2 75.8%	3 24.2%
Q1 - 10:28	SAS	Mason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 74.5%	3 25.5%
Q1 - 10:30	MEM	MISS Gasol Free Throw 2 of 2	0 74.3%	3 25.7%
Q1 - 10:30	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	0 73.4%	3 26.6%
Q1 - 10:38	MEM	Lowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 74.4%	2 25.6%
Q1 - 10:40	SAS	MISS Parker 13' Jump Shot	0 74.9%	2 25.1%
Q1 - 11:04	MEM	Gasol 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	0 76.3%	2 23.7%
Q1 - 11:17	MEM	Ross REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 77.4%	0 22.6%
Q1 - 11:19	SAS	MISS Mason Jr. 19' Jump Shot	0 77.8%	0 22.2%
Q1 - 11:35	SAS	Finley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 78.6%	0 21.4%
Q1 - 11:38	MEM	MISS Lowry 16' Pullup Jump Shot	0 78.2%	0 21.8%
Q1 - 12:00	MEM	Jump Ball Gasol vs. Duncan: Tip to Lowry	0 77.4%	0 22.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.08 54.2%

MEM

0.90 44.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

71%

MEM

54%

Midrange

SAS

44%

MEM

39%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

9.0

27%

41%

MEM

3.0

14%

21%

Free Throws

SAS

81%

MEM

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Duncan	20	77%	10.0 / 13
T. Parker	19	53%	9.5 / 18
M. Bonner	16	89%	8.0 / 9
M. Ginobili	13	59%	6.5 / 11
B. Bowen	6	150%	3.0 / 2
M. Finley	5	36%	2.5 / 7
G. Hill	4	67%	2.0 / 3
R. Mason Jr.	3	14%	1.5 / 11
A. Tolliver	3	38%	1.5 / 4
K. Thomas	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
H. Warrick	16	50%	8.0 / 16
M. Gasol	15	47%	7.5 / 16
O. Mayo	12	43%	6.0 / 14
R. Gay	9	35%	4.5 / 13
M. Conley	9	75%	4.5 / 6
Q. Ross	8	57%	4.0 / 7
D. Arthur	6	60%	3.0 / 5
K. Lowry	5	31%	2.5 / 8
G. Buckner	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

-12

MEM

+18

-16

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.08 54.2%

MEM

0.90 44.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	108.3 103.4	SAS 104.6 MEM 93.0 +11.6
Pace	88.7 90.3	SAS 88.9 +4.7 MEM 84.2
Avg. Poss. Time	16.5 16.2	SAS 16.2 +0.9 MEM 17.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	51.3% 48.6%	SAS 52.1% +11.1% MEM 41.0%
TO %	12.4% 15.6%	SAS 14.9% +1.4% MEM 16.3%
ORB %	22.2% 25.9%	SAS 16.7% MEM 29.5% +12.8%
FTrt	25.1 32.9	SAS 29.6 +2.7 MEM 26.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	57.1% 49.7%	SAS 64.7% +29.2% MEM 35.5%
STL %	6.5% 8.2%	SAS 13.8% +8.0% MEM 5.8%
BLK %	6.1% 7.9%	SAS 9.4% +3.3% MEM 6.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.46 and 2.46.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	53.4% 51.5%	SAS 54.2% +9.3% MEM 44.9%
Rim FG%	58.8% 55.3%	SAS 70.8% +17.2% MEM 53.6%
Mid FG%	42.7% 40.9%	SAS 44.0% +5.1% MEM 38.9%
3P %	38.6% 36.0%	SAS 27.3% +13.0% MEM 14.3%
FT %	76.2% 75.6%	SAS 81.0% +4.8% MEM 76.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	30.3% 37.2%	SAS 33.8% MEM 35.9% +2.1%
Mid Att. %	44.9% 45.3%	SAS 35.2% +10.9% MEM 46.2%
3P Att. %	24.8% 17.5%	SAS 31.0% +13.0% MEM 17.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	MEM
Possessions	87	86
Possession Minutes	23.5	24.5
Points	91	80
Rebounds	36	38
Assists	22	11
Steals	12	5
Blocks	6	3
Turnovers (Team)	12 (2)	16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (3)	13 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (0)	25 (4)
Field Goals	34-71	31-78
At-the-Rim FG	17-24	15-28
Midrange FG	11-25	14-36
2-Point FG	28-49	29-64
3-Point FG	6-22	2-14
Free Throws	17-21	16-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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6 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 27	33.5	19	53%	4	5	1	0	2	2	1	3	5-6	83%	7-14	50%	0-1	0%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 33	31.5	20	77%	10	5	0	3	3	2	1	9	4-6	67%	8-11	73%	0-0	-
Matt Bonner C · 6'10" 235 · 29	29.7	16	89%	2	1	1	1	0	5	1	1	0-0	-	5-7	71%	2-2	100%
Roger Mason Jr. G · 6'5" 205 · 28	28.7	3	14%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	1-1	100%	1-5	20%	0-6	0%
Michael Finley F · 6'7" 225 · 36	27.1	5	36%	5	0	1	0	2	1	0	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 31	23.7	13	59%	6	6	5	0	3	1	0	6	5-6	83%	4-5	80%	0-4	0%
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 38	16.8	6	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Anthony Tolliver F · 6'8" 240 · 24	15.3	3	38%	3	2	0	0	1	3	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
George Hill G · 6'3" 188 · 23	14.6	4	67%	2	0	4	1	1	2	1	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Kurt Thomas F · 6'9" 240 · 36	14.2	2	100%	1	1	0	1	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Ime Udoka G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31	2.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 34	2.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Malik Hairston #1 · G · 6'6" 220 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jacque Vaughn #11 · G · 6'1" 190 · 34	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Ian Mahinmi #28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	91	54%	36	22	12	6	12	0	5	31	17-21	81%	28-49	57%	6-22	27%

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6 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 27	33.5	19	53%	4	5	1	0	2	2	1	3	5-6	83%	7-14	50%	0-1	0%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 33	31.5	20	77%	10	5	0	3	3	2	1	9	4-6	67%	8-11	73%	0-0	-
Matt Bonner C · 6'10" 235 · 29	29.7	16	89%	2	1	1	1	0	5	1	1	0-0	-	5-7	71%	2-2	100%
Roger Mason Jr. G · 6'5" 205 · 28	28.7	3	14%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	1-1	100%	1-5	20%	0-6	0%
Michael Finley F · 6'7" 225 · 36	27.1	5	36%	5	0	1	0	2	1	0	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 31	23.7	13	59%	6	6	5	0	3	1	0	6	5-6	83%	4-5	80%	0-4	0%
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 38	16.8	6	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Anthony Tolliver F · 6'8" 240 · 24	15.3	3	38%	3	2	0	0	1	3	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
George Hill G · 6'3" 188 · 23	14.6	4	67%	2	0	4	1	1	2	1	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Kurt Thomas F · 6'9" 240 · 36	14.2	2	100%	1	1	0	1	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Ime Udoka G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31	2.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 34	2.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Malik Hairston #1 · G · 6'6" 220 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jacque Vaughn #11 · G · 6'1" 190 · 34	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Ian Mahinmi #28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	91	54%	36	22	12	6	12	0	5	31	17-21	81%	28-49	57%	6-22	27%

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29 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
O.J. Mayo G · 6'5" 210 · 21	36.1	12	43%	2	2	0	0	3	2	1	1	0-0	-	6-11	55%	0-3	0%
Rudy Gay F · 6'8" 230 · 22	36.0	9	35%	2	3	1	0	6	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-9	33%	1-4	25%
Marc Gasol C · 7'1" 255 · 24	32.5	15	47%	11	1	2	1	2	3	5	6	3-7	43%	6-13	46%	0-0	-
Kyle Lowry G · 6'0" 196 · 23	30.7	5	31%	5	3	1	0	2	2	1	4	3-3	100%	1-4	25%	0-3	0%
Quinton Ross F · 6'6" 193 · 28	25.7	8	57%	3	0	0	0	0	2	1	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Hakim Warrick F · 6'9" 219 · 26	34.2	16	50%	6	1	0	2	2	0	3	3	1-1	100%	6-13	46%	1-3	33%
Mike Conley G · 6'0" 175 · 21	17.3	9	75%	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	2	7-8	88%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 21	15.5	6	60%	4	0	1	0	0	3	1	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Greg Buckner G · 6'4" 210 · 32	11.9	0	0%	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Marko Jaric G · 6'7" 224 · 30
Hamed Haddadi C · 7'2" 265 · 24
Darko Milicic #31 · C · 7'0" 275 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Darius Miles #23 · F · 6'9" 235 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Steve Francis #23 · G · 6'3" 210 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	80	45%	38	11	5	3	16	0	13	25	16-21	76%	29-64	45%	2-14	14%

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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE