| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 MIA | 90.5 | 84 | 81.5 |
 ORL | 102.4 | 84 | 86.7 |
Scoring Opportunities
MIA
72
+10
-12
82
ORL
70
+20
-14
90
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
0.90 45.2%
ORL
0.91 45.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | MIA | ORL |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | ORL | 76 0% | 86 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:17.0 | ORL | Lewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 76 0.1% | 86 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:18.0 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 76 0.1% | 86 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:36.0 | MIA | Beasley 12' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) | 76 0.1% | 86 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:58.0 | ORL | Howard Alley Oop Dunk (15 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST) | 74 0.1% | 86 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:10 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8) | 74 0.1% | 84 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:11 | MIA | MISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 74 0.2% | 84 99.8% |
| Q4 - 1:22 | ORL | Lewis 13' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST) | 74 0.4% | 84 99.6% |
| Q4 - 1:40 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7) | 74 1.0% | 82 99.0% |
| Q4 - 1:41 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 74 1.2% | 82 98.8% |
| Q4 - 1:48 | ORL | Lewis Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15) | 74 1.9% | 82 98.1% |
| Q4 - 2:03 | MIA | Wade Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P4.T12) | 74 1.1% | 82 98.9% |
| Q4 - 2:07 | ORL | Turkoglu Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14) | 74 2.0% | 82 98.0% |
| Q4 - 2:35 | MIA | Haslem 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST) | 74 1.0% | 82 99.0% |
| Q4 - 2:51 | ORL | Lewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS) | 72 1.1% | 82 98.9% |
| Q4 - 2:51 | ORL | Lewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS) | 72 1.1% | 81 98.9% |
| Q4 - 2:51 | ORL | Lewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 72 1.5% | 80 98.5% |
| Q4 - 2:51 | MIA | MISS Marion 12' Jump Shot | 72 1.8% | 80 98.2% |
| Q4 - 3:10 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 72 2.6% | 80 97.4% |
| Q4 - 3:11 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6) | 72 1.5% | 80 98.5% |
| Q4 - 3:11 | ORL | MISS Howard Tip Shot | 72 2.1% | 80 97.9% |
| Q4 - 3:12 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu Driving Reverse Layup | 72 2.1% | 80 97.9% |
| Q4 - 3:22 | ORL | Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10) | 72 1.4% | 80 98.6% |
| Q4 - 3:24 | MIA | MISS Haslem 6' Jump Shot | 72 1.7% | 80 98.3% |
| Q4 - 3:40 | ORL | Lee Traveling Turnover (P3.T13) | 72 4.0% | 80 96.0% |
| Q4 - 3:51 | ORL | Lee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 72 2.6% | 80 97.4% |
| Q4 - 3:53 | MIA | MISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot | 72 3.0% | 80 97.0% |
| Q4 - 4:05 | ORL | Howard Foul Turnover (P4.T12) | 72 3.8% | 80 96.2% |
| Q4 - 4:17 | ORL | Lewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 72 2.5% | 80 97.5% |
| Q4 - 4:18 | ORL | MISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 1 | 72 3.6% | 80 96.4% |
| Q4 - 4:18 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6) | 72 5.3% | 78 94.7% |
| Q4 - 4:20 | ORL | MISS Lewis Driving Layup | 72 7.0% | 78 93.0% |
| Q4 - 4:33 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6) | 72 5.3% | 78 94.7% |
| Q4 - 4:34 | MIA | MISS Wade 11' Jump Shot | 72 5.9% | 78 94.1% |
| Q4 - 4:56 | ORL | Lee 8' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST) | 72 7.7% | 78 92.3% |
| Q4 - 5:07 | ORL | MAGIC Rebound | 72 13.1% | 76 86.9% |
| Q4 - 5:08 | ORL | MISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 72 16.1% | 76 83.9% |
| Q4 - 5:30 | MIA | Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 6 AST) | 72 13.0% | 76 87.0% |
| Q4 - 5:53 | MIA | Marion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 69 7.1% | 76 92.9% |
| Q4 - 5:54 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 | 69 6.8% | 76 93.2% |
| Q4 - 5:54 | ORL | Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 69 5.4% | 76 94.6% |
| Q4 - 6:01 | ORL | Nelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 69 8.4% | 75 91.6% |
| Q4 - 6:02 | MIA | MISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 69 9.2% | 75 90.8% |
| Q4 - 6:12 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 69 11.2% | 75 88.8% |
| Q4 - 6:14 | ORL | MISS Lee Layup | 69 10.2% | 75 89.8% |
| Q4 - 6:20 | MIA | Marion Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 69 8.4% | 75 91.6% |
| Q4 - 6:20 | MIA | Marion Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 68 7.9% | 75 92.1% |
| Q4 - 6:34 | ORL | Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 67 6.4% | 75 93.6% |
| Q4 - 6:34 | ORL | Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 67 6.7% | 74 93.3% |
| Q4 - 6:42 | ORL | Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9) | 67 8.3% | 73 91.7% |
| Q4 - 6:44 | MIA | MISS Wade 20' Jump Shot | 67 9.1% | 73 90.9% |
| Q4 - 6:56 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 67 11.1% | 73 88.9% |
| Q4 - 6:57 | MIA | MISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot | 67 9.1% | 73 90.9% |
| Q4 - 7:11 | ORL | Lee Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11) | 67 12.0% | 73 88.0% |
| Q4 - 7:25 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5) | 67 9.2% | 73 90.8% |
| Q4 - 7:26 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 19' Jump Shot | 67 10.0% | 73 90.0% |
| Q4 - 7:29 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 67 12.0% | 73 88.0% |
| Q4 - 7:31 | MIA | Howard BLOCK (2 BLK) | 67 10.0% | 73 90.0% |
| Q4 - 7:38 | ORL | Battie Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10) | 67 12.0% | 73 88.0% |
| Q4 - 7:52 | MIA | Haslem Foul Turnover (P1.T11) | 67 9.2% | 73 90.8% |
| Q4 - 8:04 | MIA | Cook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 67 12.8% | 73 87.2% |
| Q4 - 8:06 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 | 67 12.5% | 73 87.5% |
| Q4 - 8:06 | ORL | Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS) | 67 10.6% | 73 89.4% |
| Q4 - 8:09 | MIA | Howard STEAL (2 STL) | 67 13.0% | 72 87.0% |
| Q4 - 8:30 | ORL | Battie 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST) | 67 16.0% | 72 84.0% |
| Q4 - 8:39 | MIA | Battie STEAL (1 STL) | 67 19.9% | 70 80.1% |
| Q4 - 8:56 | ORL | Lee Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9) | 67 24.2% | 70 75.8% |
| Q4 - 9:10 | MIA | Banks Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8) | 67 20.8% | 70 79.2% |
| Q4 - 9:32 | MIA | Marion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 67 24.8% | 70 75.2% |
| Q4 - 9:33 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 | 67 24.3% | 70 75.7% |
| Q4 - 9:33 | ORL | Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 67 21.2% | 70 78.8% |
| Q4 - 9:57 | MIA | Beasley 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 67 25.0% | 69 75.0% |
| Q4 - 10:14 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 65 21.0% | 69 79.0% |
| Q4 - 10:15 | ORL | MISS Johnson 11' Running Jump Shot | 65 19.9% | 69 80.1% |
| Q4 - 10:36 | MIA | Beasley Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7) | 65 17.5% | 69 82.5% |
| Q4 - 11:00 | ORL | Battie 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Lee 2 AST) | 65 21.0% | 69 79.0% |
| Q4 - 11:13 | ORL | Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8) | 65 25.4% | 67 74.6% |
| Q4 - 11:15 | MIA | Lee BLOCK (1 BLK) | 65 26.6% | 67 73.4% |
| Q4 - 11:29 | MIA | Cook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 65 29.4% | 67 70.6% |
| Q4 - 11:30 | ORL | MISS Lee 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 65 28.1% | 67 71.9% |
| Q4 - 11:41 | ORL | Battie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 65 25.4% | 67 74.6% |
| Q4 - 11:42 | ORL | MISS Lee 17' Jump Shot | 65 28.1% | 67 71.9% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | ORL | 65 25.4% | 67 74.6% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | ORL | Lee 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST) | 65 29.4% | 67 70.6% |
| Q3 - 0:18.0 | ORL | Battie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 65 34.2% | 65 65.8% |
| Q3 - 0:19.0 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 65 38.4% | 65 61.6% |
| Q3 - 0:19.0 | MIA | MISS Wade Tip Shot | 65 35.5% | 65 64.5% |
| Q3 - 0:20.0 | MIA | MISS Wade 9' Running Jump Shot | 65 35.5% | 65 64.5% |
| Q3 - 0:33.0 | ORL | Battie Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8) | 65 38.4% | 65 61.6% |
| Q3 - 0:47.0 | MIA | Cook 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Banks 2 AST) | 65 34.2% | 65 65.8% |
| Q3 - 1:07 | ORL | Lee 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST) | 63 29.1% | 65 70.9% |
| Q3 - 1:33 | MIA | Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 5 AST) | 63 38.3% | 62 61.7% |
| Q3 - 1:42 | ORL | Nelson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7) | 60 29.1% | 62 70.9% |
| Q3 - 1:49 | ORL | Gortat REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1) | 60 25.6% | 62 74.4% |
| Q3 - 1:52 | MIA | MISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot | 60 26.6% | 62 73.4% |
| Q3 - 1:55 | MIA | Magloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 60 29.1% | 62 70.9% |
| Q3 - 1:56 | MIA | MISS Banks 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 60 26.6% | 62 73.4% |
| Q3 - 2:17 | MIA | Magloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 60 29.0% | 62 71.0% |
| Q3 - 2:18 | ORL | MISS Gortat Free Throw 2 of 2 | 60 28.4% | 62 71.6% |
| Q3 - 2:18 | ORL | MISS Gortat Free Throw 1 of 2 | 60 26.2% | 62 73.8% |
| Q3 - 2:18 | ORL | Gortat REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0) | 60 25.3% | 62 74.7% |
| Q3 - 2:19 | ORL | MISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 60 27.8% | 62 72.2% |
| Q3 - 2:33 | ORL | Battie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 60 25.3% | 62 74.7% |
| Q3 - 2:34 | MIA | MISS Haslem 7' Running Jump Shot | 60 26.4% | 62 73.6% |
| Q3 - 2:55 | MIA | Magloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 60 29.0% | 62 71.0% |
| Q3 - 2:56 | ORL | MISS Nelson Driving Reverse Layup | 60 27.8% | 62 72.2% |
| Q3 - 3:20 | ORL | Battie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 60 24.9% | 62 75.1% |
| Q3 - 3:21 | MIA | MISS Wade 18' Fadeaway Jumper | 60 26.0% | 62 74.0% |
| Q3 - 3:36 | ORL | Nelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS) | 60 28.7% | 62 71.3% |
| Q3 - 3:36 | ORL | Nelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS) | 60 29.2% | 61 70.8% |
| Q3 - 3:46 | MIA | Wade 19' Jump Shot (33 PTS) | 60 32.3% | 60 67.7% |
| Q3 - 4:06 | ORL | Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 58 28.8% | 60 71.2% |
| Q3 - 4:06 | ORL | Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 58 30.0% | 59 70.0% |
| Q3 - 4:06 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4) | 58 31.8% | 58 68.2% |
| Q3 - 4:06 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu Driving Reverse Layup | 58 35.0% | 58 65.0% |
| Q3 - 4:21 | MIA | Wade 19' Fadeaway Jumper (31 PTS) | 58 31.8% | 58 68.2% |
| Q3 - 4:44 | ORL | Nelson Driving Reverse Layup (14 PTS) | 56 28.7% | 58 71.3% |
| Q3 - 5:00 | MIA | Wade 20' Jump Shot (29 PTS) | 56 31.8% | 56 68.2% |
| Q3 - 5:22 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4) | 54 28.3% | 56 71.7% |
| Q3 - 5:22 | ORL | Howard Putback Dunk (9 PTS) | 54 28.3% | 56 71.7% |
| Q3 - 5:24 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 54 34.2% | 54 65.8% |
| Q3 - 5:37 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 54 31.3% | 54 68.7% |
| Q3 - 5:38 | MIA | MISS Marion 9' Running Jump Shot | 54 32.6% | 54 67.4% |
| Q3 - 6:07 | ORL | Howard Foul Turnover (P3.T6) | 54 34.8% | 54 65.2% |
| Q3 - 6:15 | MIA | Wade 8' Running Bank Shot (27 PTS) | 54 31.0% | 54 69.0% |
| Q3 - 6:22 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 52 27.9% | 54 72.1% |
| Q3 - 6:24 | ORL | MISS Howard 6' Hook Shot | 52 26.9% | 54 73.1% |
| Q3 - 6:34 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 52 24.6% | 54 75.4% |
| Q3 - 6:36 | ORL | MISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 52 26.9% | 54 73.1% |
| Q3 - 6:57 | ORL | Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 52 24.6% | 54 75.4% |
| Q3 - 6:58 | MIA | Howard BLOCK (1 BLK) | 52 25.6% | 54 74.4% |
| Q3 - 7:17 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 52 27.5% | 54 72.5% |
| Q3 - 7:18 | MIA | MISS Marion 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 52 25.4% | 54 74.6% |
| Q3 - 7:33 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 52 27.5% | 54 72.5% |
| Q3 - 7:34 | ORL | MISS Nelson 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 52 26.6% | 54 73.4% |
| Q3 - 7:43 | ORL | Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 52 24.5% | 54 75.5% |
| Q3 - 7:44 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 52 25.4% | 54 74.6% |
| Q3 - 8:00 | MIA | Marion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 52 27.6% | 54 72.4% |
| Q3 - 8:02 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu Driving Layup | 52 26.4% | 54 73.6% |
| Q3 - 8:19 | MIA | Haslem 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 4 AST) | 52 24.3% | 54 75.7% |
| Q3 - 8:42 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 50 21.8% | 54 78.2% |
| Q3 - 8:43 | MIA | MISS Wade Layup | 50 20.0% | 54 80.0% |
| Q3 - 9:08 | ORL | Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST) | 50 21.8% | 54 78.2% |
| Q3 - 9:16 | ORL | Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 50 27.1% | 51 72.9% |
| Q3 - 9:18 | MIA | MISS Wade 20' Jump Shot | 50 28.1% | 51 71.9% |
| Q3 - 9:32 | ORL | Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Turkoglu 5 AST) | 50 30.2% | 51 69.8% |
| Q3 - 9:50 | MIA | Haslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 50 36.7% | 48 63.3% |
| Q3 - 9:50 | MIA | Haslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 49 36.0% | 48 64.0% |
| Q3 - 10:05 | ORL | Bogans Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST) | 48 32.9% | 48 67.1% |
| Q3 - 10:17 | ORL | Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 48 36.1% | 46 63.9% |
| Q3 - 10:18 | MIA | MISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot | 48 37.1% | 46 62.9% |
| Q3 - 10:28 | ORL | Lewis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5) | 48 39.5% | 46 60.5% |
| Q3 - 10:44 | MIA | Nelson STEAL (1 STL) | 48 36.2% | 46 63.8% |
| Q3 - 10:55 | ORL | Lewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 48 39.6% | 46 60.4% |
| Q3 - 10:55 | ORL | MISS Lewis Free Throw 1 of 2 | 48 40.1% | 45 59.9% |
| Q3 - 11:12 | MIA | Wade 17' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Marion 2 AST) | 48 38.8% | 45 61.2% |
| Q3 - 11:26 | ORL | Nelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4) | 46 35.8% | 45 64.2% |
| Q3 - 11:42 | MIA | Wade 20' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST) | 46 32.5% | 45 67.5% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 44 29.7% | 45 70.3% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | ORL | Howard Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3) | 44 29.7% | 45 70.3% |
| Q2 - 0:14.0 | MIA | Haslem 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST) | 44 27.1% | 45 72.9% |
| Q2 - 0:36.0 | ORL | Lewis 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST) | 42 23.9% | 45 76.1% |
| Q2 - 0:49.0 | MIA | Johnson STEAL (1 STL) | 42 29.8% | 42 70.2% |
| Q2 - 1:08 | ORL | Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Howard 2 AST) | 42 31.7% | 42 68.3% |
| Q2 - 1:28 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 42 38.5% | 39 61.5% |
| Q2 - 1:28 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS) | 41 37.8% | 39 62.2% |
| Q2 - 1:36 | MIA | Magloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 40 34.6% | 39 65.4% |
| Q2 - 1:37 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 40 34.0% | 39 66.0% |
| Q2 - 1:52 | MIA | Haslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST) | 40 32.5% | 39 67.5% |
| Q2 - 2:13 | MIA | Magloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 38 28.9% | 39 71.1% |
| Q2 - 2:13 | ORL | MISS Lee Free Throw 2 of 2 | 38 28.6% | 39 71.4% |
| Q2 - 2:13 | ORL | Lee Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 38 26.9% | 39 73.1% |
| Q2 - 2:22 | ORL | Lee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 38 28.9% | 38 71.1% |
| Q2 - 2:23 | MIA | MISS Wade 17' Jump Shot | 38 29.7% | 38 70.3% |
| Q2 - 2:40 | ORL | Howard Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST) | 38 31.6% | 38 68.4% |
| Q2 - 2:57 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS) | 38 34.5% | 36 65.5% |
| Q2 - 3:05 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 35 28.8% | 36 71.2% |
| Q2 - 3:07 | ORL | MISS Howard 7' Jump Shot | 35 27.9% | 36 72.1% |
| Q2 - 3:20 | MIA | Wade 19' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST) | 35 25.9% | 36 74.1% |
| Q2 - 3:32 | ORL | Nelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 33 24.0% | 36 76.0% |
| Q2 - 3:32 | ORL | Nelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 33 24.3% | 35 75.7% |
| Q2 - 3:47 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 33 26.0% | 34 74.0% |
| Q2 - 3:50 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu Driving Layup | 33 27.9% | 34 72.1% |
| Q2 - 3:59 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 33 26.0% | 34 74.0% |
| Q2 - 4:00 | ORL | MISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 33 27.9% | 34 72.1% |
| Q2 - 4:11 | ORL | Bogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 33 25.8% | 34 74.2% |
| Q2 - 4:12 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 33 26.6% | 34 73.4% |
| Q2 - 4:30 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 33 28.4% | 34 71.6% |
| Q2 - 4:32 | ORL | MISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 | 33 28.0% | 34 72.0% |
| Q2 - 4:32 | ORL | Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 33 26.8% | 34 73.2% |
| Q2 - 4:51 | ORL | Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 33 28.2% | 33 71.8% |
| Q2 - 4:52 | ORL | MISS Gortat 7' Running Hook Shot | 33 30.1% | 33 69.9% |
| Q2 - 5:13 | MIA | Wade 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) | 33 28.3% | 33 71.7% |
| Q2 - 5:26 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 31 25.9% | 33 74.1% |
| Q2 - 5:29 | ORL | Gortat REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0) | 31 23.7% | 33 76.3% |
| Q2 - 5:29 | ORL | MISS Gortat Tip Shot | 31 25.2% | 33 74.8% |
| Q2 - 5:31 | ORL | MISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 31 25.2% | 33 74.8% |
| Q2 - 5:38 | ORL | Nelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 31 23.7% | 33 76.3% |
| Q2 - 5:39 | MIA | MISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot | 31 24.3% | 33 75.7% |
| Q2 - 6:01 | ORL | Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 31 26.1% | 33 73.9% |
| Q2 - 6:14 | MIA | Wade 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) | 31 30.3% | 30 69.7% |
| Q2 - 6:30 | ORL | Turkoglu 15' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) | 29 28.4% | 30 71.6% |
| Q2 - 6:45 | MIA | Wade 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST) | 29 30.4% | 28 69.6% |
| Q2 - 6:57 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 27 28.3% | 28 71.7% |
| Q2 - 6:59 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu 3PT Jump Shot | 27 27.5% | 28 72.5% |
| Q2 - 7:02 | ORL | Gortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 27 25.6% | 28 74.4% |
| Q2 - 7:04 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu 10' Jump Shot | 27 27.1% | 28 72.9% |
| Q2 - 7:22 | ORL | Battie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 27 25.6% | 28 74.4% |
| Q2 - 7:25 | ORL | MISS Nelson 15' Jump Shot | 27 27.2% | 28 72.8% |
| Q2 - 7:34 | ORL | Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 27 25.6% | 28 74.4% |
| Q2 - 7:36 | MIA | Gortat BLOCK (1 BLK) | 27 26.3% | 28 73.7% |
| Q2 - 8:00 | ORL | Johnson Driving Layup (3 PTS) | 27 27.9% | 28 72.1% |
| Q2 - 8:06 | ORL | Battie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 27 30.0% | 26 70.0% |
| Q2 - 8:07 | MIA | MISS Beasley Layup | 27 30.7% | 26 69.3% |
| Q2 - 8:25 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 27 32.3% | 26 67.7% |
| Q2 - 8:26 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 27 31.6% | 26 68.4% |
| Q2 - 8:40 | MIA | Beasley 9' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) | 27 30.0% | 26 70.0% |
| Q2 - 8:53 | MIA | Banks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 25 27.7% | 26 72.3% |
| Q2 - 8:54 | ORL | MISS Gortat Layup | 25 27.0% | 26 73.0% |
| Q2 - 9:00 | ORL | Lee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 25 25.6% | 26 74.4% |
| Q2 - 9:01 | MIA | MISS Cook 22' Jump Shot | 25 25.9% | 26 74.1% |
| Q2 - 9:14 | MIA | Marion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 25 27.4% | 26 72.6% |
| Q2 - 9:16 | ORL | MISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 25 26.8% | 26 73.2% |
| Q2 - 9:33 | MIA | Magloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 25 25.3% | 26 74.7% |
| Q2 - 9:33 | MIA | Magloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 24 24.6% | 26 75.4% |
| Q2 - 9:46 | MIA | Cook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 23 23.4% | 26 76.6% |
| Q2 - 9:47 | ORL | MISS Battie 17' Jump Shot | 23 22.8% | 26 77.2% |
| Q2 - 9:59 | ORL | Gortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 23 21.5% | 26 78.5% |
| Q2 - 10:00 | ORL | MISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 23 22.8% | 26 77.2% |
| Q2 - 10:15 | ORL | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 23 21.6% | 26 78.4% |
| Q2 - 10:17 | MIA | MISS Beasley 16' Jump Shot | 23 22.1% | 26 77.9% |
| Q2 - 10:31 | MIA | Magloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 23 23.5% | 26 76.5% |
| Q2 - 10:32 | ORL | MISS Battie 12' Turnaround Jump Shot | 23 22.9% | 26 77.1% |
| Q2 - 10:47 | ORL | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 23 21.6% | 26 78.4% |
| Q2 - 10:48 | MIA | MISS Beasley Running Layup | 23 22.1% | 26 77.9% |
| Q2 - 10:57 | MIA | Marion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 23 23.5% | 26 76.5% |
| Q2 - 10:59 | ORL | MISS Lee 19' Jump Shot | 23 22.9% | 26 77.1% |
| Q2 - 11:13 | MIA | Beasley 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Marion 1 AST) | 23 21.8% | 26 78.2% |
| Q2 - 11:37 | ORL | Gortat Layup (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST) | 21 20.1% | 26 79.9% |
| Q2 - 11:43 | ORL | Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 21 21.8% | 24 78.2% |
| Q2 - 11:44 | MIA | MISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 21 22.3% | 24 77.7% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | ORL | 21 23.6% | 24 76.4% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | ORL | Lee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 21 21.8% | 24 78.2% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS Beasley 22' Jump Shot | 21 22.3% | 24 77.7% |
| Q1 - 0:07.0 | ORL | Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 21 23.2% | 24 76.8% |
| Q1 - 0:07.0 | ORL | MISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 | 21 23.6% | 23 76.4% |
| Q1 - 0:22.0 | MIA | Cook 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Banks 1 AST) | 21 23.6% | 23 76.4% |
| Q1 - 0:30.0 | ORL | Howard Traveling Turnover (P1.T2) | 19 21.5% | 23 78.5% |
| Q1 - 0:50.0 | ORL | Lewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 19 20.3% | 23 79.7% |
| Q1 - 0:51.0 | MIA | MISS Banks 20' Jump Shot | 19 20.6% | 23 79.4% |
| Q1 - 1:03 | ORL | Battie Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS) | 19 21.6% | 23 78.4% |
| Q1 - 1:19 | MIA | Marion Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4) | 19 25.5% | 20 74.5% |
| Q1 - 1:36 | ORL | Battie 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST) | 19 26.7% | 20 73.3% |
| Q1 - 1:50 | MIA | Wade 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 19 29.3% | 18 70.7% |
| Q1 - 1:58 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 17 26.7% | 18 73.3% |
| Q1 - 1:58 | MIA | MISS Marion 7' Running Jump Shot | 17 25.9% | 18 74.1% |
| Q1 - 2:03 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 17 26.9% | 18 73.1% |
| Q1 - 2:05 | ORL | MISS Lee 3PT Jump Shot | 17 26.4% | 18 73.6% |
| Q1 - 2:12 | MIA | Lewis STEAL (1 STL) | 17 25.4% | 18 74.6% |
| Q1 - 2:22 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 17 26.9% | 18 73.1% |
| Q1 - 2:23 | ORL | MISS Howard Layup | 17 26.4% | 18 73.6% |
| Q1 - 2:43 | MIA | Marion Reverse Layup (2 PTS) | 17 25.4% | 18 74.6% |
| Q1 - 3:10 | ORL | MAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1) | 15 23.4% | 18 76.6% |
| Q1 - 3:11 | ORL | MAGIC Rebound | 15 21.8% | 18 78.2% |
| Q1 - 3:11 | ORL | MISS Lewis 11' Jump Shot | 15 22.9% | 18 77.1% |
| Q1 - 3:16 | ORL | MAGIC Rebound | 15 21.8% | 18 78.2% |
| Q1 - 3:16 | ORL | MISS Lewis Layup | 15 22.9% | 18 77.1% |
| Q1 - 3:34 | ORL | Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 15 21.8% | 18 78.2% |
| Q1 - 3:35 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 1 | 15 22.0% | 18 78.0% |
| Q1 - 3:54 | ORL | Nelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 13 20.3% | 18 79.7% |
| Q1 - 3:54 | ORL | Nelson Tip Shot (7 PTS) | 13 20.3% | 18 79.7% |
| Q1 - 3:56 | ORL | MISS Lee Layup | 13 22.9% | 16 77.1% |
| Q1 - 4:01 | MIA | Lee STEAL (1 STL) | 13 21.6% | 16 78.4% |
| Q1 - 4:13 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 13 23.2% | 16 76.8% |
| Q1 - 4:14 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu 13' Jump Shot | 13 22.7% | 16 77.3% |
| Q1 - 4:23 | MIA | Howard STEAL (1 STL) | 13 21.6% | 16 78.4% |
| Q1 - 4:43 | ORL | Lee 12' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS) | 13 23.2% | 16 76.8% |
| Q1 - 5:07 | MIA | Wade 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 13 24.8% | 14 75.2% |
| Q1 - 5:15 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 11 23.5% | 14 76.5% |
| Q1 - 5:17 | ORL | MISS Howard Layup | 11 22.9% | 14 77.1% |
| Q1 - 5:27 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 11 21.7% | 14 78.3% |
| Q1 - 5:28 | MIA | MISS Marion 10' Jump Hook Shot | 11 22.3% | 14 77.7% |
| Q1 - 5:48 | ORL | Howard Layup (4 PTS) | 11 23.4% | 14 76.6% |
| Q1 - 6:13 | MIA | Wade 7' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) | 11 24.6% | 12 75.4% |
| Q1 - 6:22 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 9 23.1% | 12 76.9% |
| Q1 - 6:23 | ORL | MISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 9 22.6% | 12 77.4% |
| Q1 - 6:35 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 9 21.6% | 12 78.4% |
| Q1 - 6:36 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 11' Floating Jump Shot | 9 22.0% | 12 78.0% |
| Q1 - 6:41 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 9 23.1% | 12 76.9% |
| Q1 - 6:42 | MIA | MISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot | 9 22.1% | 12 77.9% |
| Q1 - 6:51 | MIA | Marion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 9 23.1% | 12 76.9% |
| Q1 - 6:53 | ORL | MISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 9 22.7% | 12 77.3% |
| Q1 - 7:06 | MIA | Haslem Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST) | 9 21.3% | 12 78.7% |
| Q1 - 7:13 | MIA | Marion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 7 20.1% | 12 79.9% |
| Q1 - 7:15 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu 10' Fadeaway Jumper | 7 19.6% | 12 80.4% |
| Q1 - 7:22 | ORL | Bogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 7 18.6% | 12 81.4% |
| Q1 - 7:24 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 7 19.0% | 12 81.0% |
| Q1 - 7:52 | ORL | Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Howard 1 AST) | 7 20.1% | 12 79.9% |
| Q1 - 8:10 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 7 22.7% | 9 77.3% |
| Q1 - 8:10 | MIA | Anthony Tip Shot (2 PTS) | 7 22.7% | 9 77.3% |
| Q1 - 8:11 | MIA | MISS Wade Running Layup | 5 20.3% | 9 79.7% |
| Q1 - 8:29 | ORL | Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST) | 5 21.2% | 9 78.8% |
| Q1 - 8:41 | ORL | Nelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 5 24.2% | 6 75.8% |
| Q1 - 8:43 | MIA | MISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 5 24.7% | 6 75.3% |
| Q1 - 8:48 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 5 25.8% | 6 74.2% |
| Q1 - 8:50 | ORL | MISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 5 25.3% | 6 74.7% |
| Q1 - 8:55 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 5 24.2% | 6 75.8% |
| Q1 - 8:57 | MIA | MISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot | 5 24.7% | 6 75.3% |
| Q1 - 9:19 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 5 25.7% | 6 74.3% |
| Q1 - 9:20 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 5 25.3% | 6 74.7% |
| Q1 - 9:34 | MIA | Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST) | 5 24.3% | 6 75.7% |
| Q1 - 9:54 | ORL | Howard Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST) | 2 21.4% | 6 78.6% |
| Q1 - 10:05 | ORL | MAGIC Rebound | 2 22.9% | 4 77.1% |
| Q1 - 10:07 | MIA | MISS Wade 17' Jump Shot | 2 23.3% | 4 76.7% |
| Q1 - 10:14 | MIA | Marion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 2 24.3% | 4 75.7% |
| Q1 - 10:15 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 2 23.3% | 4 76.7% |
| Q1 - 10:36 | ORL | Bogans Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 2 24.3% | 4 75.7% |
| Q1 - 10:36 | ORL | Bogans Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 2 24.6% | 3 75.4% |
| Q1 - 10:41 | MIA | Wade 11' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 2 25.6% | 2 74.4% |
| Q1 - 11:04 | ORL | Nelson Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 0 24.1% | 2 75.9% |
| Q1 - 11:12 | ORL | Lewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 25.3% | 0 74.7% |
| Q1 - 11:14 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 0 25.7% | 0 74.3% |
| Q1 - 11:37 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 26.6% | 0 73.4% |
| Q1 - 11:38 | ORL | MISS Lewis 10' Running Jump Shot | 0 26.2% | 0 73.8% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | ORL | Jump Ball Howard vs. Anthony: Tip to Nelson | 0 25.3% | 0 74.7% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
0.90 45.2%
ORL
0.91 45.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
3
10
30%
ORL
13
27
48%
Midrange
MIA
26
53
49%
ORL
8
22
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
3
4.5
16
19%
28%
ORL
8
12.0
27
30%
44%
Free Throws
MIA
9
10
90%
ORL
20
30
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Wade | 33 | 57% | 16.5 / 29 | |
| U. Haslem | 12 | 46% | 6.0 / 13 | |
| D. Cook | 10 | 56% | 5.0 / 9 | |
| M. Beasley | 8 | 44% | 4.0 / 9 | |
| M. Chalmers | 5 | 21% | 2.5 / 12 | |
| S. Marion | 4 | 29% | 2.0 / 7 | |
| J. Anthony | 2 | 100% | 1.0 / 1 | |
| J. Magloire | 2 | 100% | 1.0 / 1 | |
| M. Banks | 0 | - | 0.0 / 2 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Magic| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Lewis | 17 | 61% | 8.5 / 14 | |
| J. Nelson | 16 | 67% | 8.0 / 12 | |
| D. Howard | 15 | 58% | 7.5 / 13 | |
| C. Lee | 10 | 45% | 5.0 / 11 | |
| T. Battie | 9 | 75% | 4.5 / 6 | |
| H. Turkoglu | 7 | 19% | 3.5 / 18 | |
| K. Bogans | 7 | 58% | 3.5 / 6 | |
| A. Johnson | 3 | 30% | 1.5 / 5 | |
| M. Gortat | 2 | 20% | 1.0 / 5 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
MIA
72
+10
-12
82
ORL
70
+20
-14
90
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
0.90 45.2%
ORL
0.91 45.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 107.6 109.0 | MIA 90.5 +11.9 ORL 102.4 |
| Pace | 90.2 92.5 | MIA 81.5 ORL 86.7 +5.3 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 16.3 15.5 | MIA 17.7 ORL 16.6 +1.1 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 50.0% 52.0% | MIA 42.4% ORL 43.4% +1.0% |
| TO % | 13.1% 14.6% | MIA 12.6% +1.8% ORL 14.4% |
| ORB % | 24.6% 24.1% | MIA 15.9% ORL 33.3% +17.4% |
| FTrt | 28.2 35.1 | MIA 12.7 ORL 39.5 +26.8 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 55.1% 54.4% | MIA 46.9% ORL 65.5% +18.6% |
| STL % | 8.7% 7.5% | MIA 9.5% +1.2% ORL 8.3% |
| BLK % | 9.2% 8.0% | MIA 10.2% +3.9% ORL 6.3% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 52.6% 54.4% | MIA 45.2% ORL 45.7% +0.5% |
| Rim FG% | 59.5% 60.9% | MIA 30.0% ORL 48.1% +18.1% |
| Mid FG% | 41.8% 39.3% | MIA 49.1% +12.7% ORL 36.4% |
| 3P % | 35.7% 38.1% | MIA 18.8% ORL 29.6% +10.8% |
| FT % | 75.4% 71.5% | MIA 90.0% +23.3% ORL 66.7% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 30.3% 31.3% | MIA 12.7% ORL 35.5% +22.9% |
| Mid Att. % | 45.2% 35.2% | MIA 67.1% ORL 28.9% +38.1% |
| 3P Att. % | 24.5% 33.5% | MIA 20.3% ORL 35.5% +15.3% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.58 and 2.58.
| Game Totals | MIA | ORL |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 84 | 84 |
| Possession Minutes | 24.8 | 23.3 |
| Points | 76 | 86 |
| Rebounds | 41 | 54 |
| Assists | 15 | 19 |
| Steals | 8 | 7 |
| Blocks | 5 | 4 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 12 (0) | 14 (1) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 7 (3) | 17 (3) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 34 (0) | 37 (1) |
| Field Goals | 32-79 | 29-76 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 3-10 | 13-27 |
| Midrange FG | 26-53 | 8-22 |
| 2-Point FG | 29-63 | 21-49 |
| 3-Point FG | 3-16 | 8-27 |
| Free Throws | 9-10 | 20-30 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.