FinalWin Prob.pScore
2125%90
100
575%98
98
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
108.79293.6
SAS logo SAS
108.99088.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL100
100%
98
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)100
99.1%
98
0.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0SASMISS Duncan Layup100
98.7%
98
1.3%
Q4 - 0:09.0MILBucks Turnover: 5 Second Inbound (T#11)100
81.0%
98
19.0%
Q4 - 0:09.0SASMason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)100
95.0%
98
5.0%
Q4 - 0:16.0MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)100
98.9%
95
1.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0MILMISS Redd Free Throw 1 of 299
98.7%
95
1.3%
Q4 - 0:30.0SASDuncan 19' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Parker 10 AST)99
97.2%
95
2.8%
Q4 - 0:37.0MILBell Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Bogut 4 AST)99
98.9%
93
1.1%
Q4 - 0:56.0MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)97
93.4%
93
6.6%
Q4 - 0:57.0SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup97
91.9%
93
8.1%
Q4 - 1:05MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)97
86.3%
93
13.7%
Q4 - 1:05MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)96
83.5%
93
16.5%
Q4 - 1:20MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)95
76.1%
93
23.9%
Q4 - 1:21SASMISS Parker 11' Floating Jump Shot95
72.3%
93
27.7%
Q4 - 1:33SASSPURS Rebound95
61.2%
93
38.8%
Q4 - 1:34MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
65.3%
93
34.7%
Q4 - 1:51SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P3.T12)95
70.6%
93
29.4%
Q4 - 2:07MILJefferson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)95
58.9%
93
41.1%
Q4 - 2:21SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)95
74.3%
93
25.7%
Q4 - 2:21SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 295
76.6%
92
23.4%
Q4 - 2:44MILBell 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)95
70.6%
92
29.4%
Q4 - 3:11SASDuncan 1' Layup (19 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)93
60.4%
92
39.6%
Q4 - 3:36MILBogut Slam Dunk (18 PTS) (Ridnour 6 AST)93
61.9%
90
38.1%
Q4 - 3:55SASGinobili 8' Driving Bank Shot (13 PTS)91
53.9%
90
46.1%
Q4 - 4:21MILRedd 1' Driving Layup (24 PTS)91
62.8%
88
37.2%
Q4 - 4:42MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)89
54.2%
88
45.8%
Q4 - 4:43SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
51.0%
88
49.0%
Q4 - 4:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)89
43.6%
88
56.4%
Q4 - 4:58MILMISS Redd 11' Jump Shot89
46.9%
88
53.1%
Q4 - 5:14SASParker Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)89
51.0%
88
49.0%
Q4 - 5:29MILBogut 1' Dunk (16 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)89
42.3%
88
57.7%
Q4 - 5:47MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)87
34.6%
88
65.4%
Q4 - 5:49SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Bank Shot87
32.2%
88
67.8%
Q4 - 6:15MILRidnour 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Redd 4 AST)87
27.0%
88
73.0%
Q4 - 6:33SASMason Jr. Dunk (12 PTS) (Parker 9 AST)84
16.9%
88
83.1%
Q4 - 6:37MILGinobili STEAL (1 STL)84
21.4%
86
78.6%
Q4 - 6:47SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)84
27.3%
86
72.7%
Q4 - 6:47SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)84
29.0%
85
71.0%
Q4 - 7:04MILBogut 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Ridnour 5 AST)84
32.2%
84
67.8%
Q4 - 7:23SASMason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)82
26.9%
84
73.1%
Q4 - 7:43MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)82
38.7%
81
61.3%
Q4 - 8:07SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)82
44.0%
81
56.0%
Q4 - 8:07SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)82
45.4%
80
54.6%
Q4 - 8:08SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)82
50.7%
79
49.3%
Q4 - 8:10MILDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)82
52.6%
79
47.4%
Q4 - 8:26SASFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)82
57.0%
79
43.0%
Q4 - 8:37SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
69.3%
76
30.7%
Q4 - 8:38MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
70.9%
76
29.1%
Q4 - 8:46MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)82
74.4%
76
25.6%
Q4 - 8:48SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot82
72.9%
76
27.1%
Q4 - 8:53SASSPURS Rebound82
69.3%
76
30.7%
Q4 - 8:53SASMISS Hill 2' Layup82
72.9%
76
27.1%
Q4 - 9:00SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
69.3%
76
30.7%
Q4 - 9:02MILMISS Bell 22' Jump Shot82
68.0%
76
32.0%
Q4 - 9:22MILBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)82
71.5%
76
28.5%
Q4 - 9:23MILMISS Redd 21' Jump Shot82
68.2%
76
31.8%
Q4 - 9:31MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)82
71.6%
76
28.4%
Q4 - 9:33MILMISS Villanueva 15' Turnaround Jump Shot82
68.2%
76
31.8%
Q4 - 9:52SASMason Jr. Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)82
71.7%
76
28.3%
Q4 - 9:53SASSPURS Rebound82
66.8%
76
33.2%
Q4 - 9:53SASMISS Hill 5' Jump Shot82
70.2%
76
29.8%
Q4 - 10:08MILVillanueva 6' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)82
64.0%
76
36.0%
Q4 - 10:13MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)80
58.5%
76
41.5%
Q4 - 10:14MILUdoka BLOCK (1 BLK)80
54.7%
76
45.3%
Q4 - 10:31SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)80
58.6%
76
41.4%
Q4 - 10:31SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 280
60.1%
75
39.9%
Q4 - 10:40SASSPURS Rebound80
58.7%
75
41.3%
Q4 - 10:40SASMISS Duncan 9' Turnaround Jump Shot80
62.5%
75
37.5%
Q4 - 10:52SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
58.8%
75
41.2%
Q4 - 10:53MILMISS Ridnour 24' 3PT Jump Bank Shot80
60.4%
75
39.6%
Q4 - 11:14MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)80
61.6%
75
38.4%
Q4 - 11:16SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 280
61.0%
75
39.0%
Q4 - 11:16SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)80
57.9%
75
42.1%
Q4 - 11:25SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
62.0%
74
38.0%
Q4 - 11:26MILMISS Bogut 16' Jump Shot80
63.4%
74
36.6%
Q4 - 11:47SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)80
66.7%
74
33.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL80
62.1%
74
37.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASHill Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)80
64.4%
74
35.6%
Q3 - 0:07.0SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
60.3%
74
39.7%
Q3 - 0:08.0MILMISS Ridnour 19' Jump Shot80
61.6%
74
38.4%
Q3 - 0:30.0MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)80
64.6%
74
35.4%
Q3 - 0:31.0SASMISS Ginobili 14' Jump Shot80
63.3%
74
36.7%
Q3 - 0:43.0MILRidnour 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS)80
60.4%
74
39.6%
Q3 - 0:59.0SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)78
54.8%
74
45.2%
Q3 - 1:05SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
63.3%
71
36.7%
Q3 - 1:06MILMISS Redd 17' Jump Shot78
64.6%
71
35.4%
Q3 - 1:20SASGinobili 14' Running Bank Shot (11 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)78
67.4%
71
32.6%
Q3 - 1:36SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
72.0%
69
28.0%
Q3 - 1:37MILMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
73.1%
69
26.9%
Q3 - 1:54MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)78
75.5%
69
24.5%
Q3 - 1:56SASMISS Parker 8' Jump Shot78
74.5%
69
25.5%
Q3 - 2:03SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)78
69.3%
69
30.7%
Q3 - 2:04MILMISS Bogut 1' Layup78
70.5%
69
29.5%
Q3 - 2:22SASParker 1' Reverse Layup (17 PTS)78
73.3%
69
26.7%
Q3 - 2:31MILBogut 2' Layup (12 PTS)78
76.8%
67
23.2%
Q3 - 2:50MILBucks Rebound76
73.4%
67
26.6%
Q3 - 2:50SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup76
72.2%
67
27.8%
Q3 - 3:05MILBell Layup (7 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)76
66.9%
67
33.1%
Q3 - 3:10MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)74
63.1%
67
36.9%
Q3 - 3:11MILDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)74
60.0%
67
40.0%
Q3 - 3:31SASDuncan 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)74
63.2%
67
36.8%
Q3 - 3:51MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)74
67.1%
65
32.9%
Q3 - 3:51MILBogut 1' Layup (10 PTS)74
67.1%
65
32.9%
Q3 - 3:53MILMISS Ridnour 16' Jump Shot72
60.1%
65
39.9%
Q3 - 4:16SASFinley 15' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)72
62.1%
65
37.9%
Q3 - 4:39MILBell 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ridnour 4 AST)72
65.5%
63
34.5%
Q3 - 4:57MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)70
62.2%
63
37.8%
Q3 - 4:58SASMISS Ginobili 19' Jump Shot70
60.7%
63
39.3%
Q3 - 5:12MILJefferson 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)70
55.3%
63
44.7%
Q3 - 5:34SASGinobili 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)68
51.8%
63
48.2%
Q3 - 5:40SASSPURS Rebound68
55.4%
61
44.6%
Q3 - 5:41SASMISS Ginobili 1' Layup68
58.6%
61
41.4%
Q3 - 5:55MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)68
55.5%
61
44.5%
Q3 - 5:55MILMISS Redd Free Throw 1 of 267
54.9%
61
45.1%
Q3 - 6:02MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
54.0%
61
46.0%
Q3 - 6:03SASMISS Mason Jr. 17' Jump Shot67
52.7%
61
47.3%
Q3 - 6:11SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
49.8%
61
50.2%
Q3 - 6:12MILMISS Mbah a Moute 17' Jump Shot67
51.1%
61
48.9%
Q3 - 6:37MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)67
54.2%
61
45.8%
Q3 - 6:38SASMISS Parker 7' Jump Shot67
52.8%
61
47.2%
Q3 - 6:52MILRedd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Bogut 3 AST)67
49.8%
61
50.2%
Q3 - 7:13SASThomas Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)64
40.7%
61
59.3%
Q3 - 7:34MILMbah a Moute 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Redd 3 AST)64
44.4%
59
55.6%
Q3 - 7:52SASMason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bonner 2 AST)62
40.8%
59
59.2%
Q3 - 8:11MILRedd 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS)62
47.2%
56
52.8%
Q3 - 8:25SASMason Jr. 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)60
43.8%
56
56.2%
Q3 - 8:50SASThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)60
47.3%
54
52.7%
Q3 - 8:51MILMISS Ridnour 8' Jump Bank Shot60
48.5%
54
51.5%
Q3 - 8:58MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)60
51.3%
54
48.7%
Q3 - 8:59SASMISS Finley 15' Jump Shot60
50.1%
54
49.9%
Q3 - 9:14MILRidnour 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)60
46.5%
54
53.5%
Q3 - 9:22MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)58
43.0%
54
57.0%
Q3 - 9:23SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
41.8%
54
58.2%
Q3 - 9:35SASSPURS Rebound58
39.3%
54
60.7%
Q3 - 9:35MILMISS Mbah a Moute 21' Jump Shot58
40.4%
54
59.6%
Q3 - 9:44MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)58
43.0%
54
57.0%
Q3 - 9:45SASMISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
41.9%
54
58.1%
Q3 - 9:58SASSPURS Rebound58
39.3%
54
60.7%
Q3 - 9:58MILMISS Jefferson 21' Jump Shot58
40.4%
54
59.6%
Q3 - 10:14SASFinley 15' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)58
41.8%
54
58.2%
Q3 - 10:27MILRidnour 10' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)58
45.3%
52
54.7%
Q3 - 10:36MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
41.9%
52
58.1%
Q3 - 10:38SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Bank Shot56
40.8%
52
59.2%
Q3 - 10:59MILRidnour 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS)56
38.5%
52
61.5%
Q3 - 11:18MILRidnour Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)54
34.5%
52
65.5%
Q3 - 11:24SASFinley 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)53
31.4%
52
68.6%
Q3 - 11:44MILRidnour 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)53
37.5%
49
62.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL51
34.5%
49
65.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0SASParker Layup (15 PTS)51
33.5%
49
66.5%
Q2 - 0:21.0MILBell 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)51
37.4%
47
62.6%
Q2 - 0:34.0MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
30.7%
47
69.3%
Q2 - 0:35.0SASMISS Bowen 4' Jump Shot48
30.0%
47
70.0%
Q2 - 1:00MILRidnour 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)48
28.5%
47
71.5%
Q2 - 1:23MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
22.7%
47
77.3%
Q2 - 1:24SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 245
22.4%
47
77.6%
Q2 - 1:24SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)45
20.9%
47
79.1%
Q2 - 1:25MILParker STEAL (2 STL)45
23.3%
46
76.7%
Q2 - 1:38SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)45
25.0%
46
75.0%
Q2 - 1:50SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
31.1%
43
68.9%
Q2 - 1:51MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
31.7%
43
68.3%
Q2 - 2:10MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
32.8%
43
67.2%
Q2 - 2:11SASMISS Mason Jr. 20' Jump Shot45
31.9%
43
68.1%
Q2 - 2:26SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
30.0%
43
70.0%
Q2 - 2:28MILMISS Redd 17' Jump Shot45
30.8%
43
69.2%
Q2 - 2:36MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
32.8%
43
67.2%
Q2 - 2:38SASMISS Duncan 13' Running Bank Shot45
31.9%
43
68.1%
Q2 - 3:13MILRedd 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS)45
29.3%
43
70.7%
Q2 - 3:27MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
27.2%
43
72.8%
Q2 - 3:28SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot43
26.3%
43
73.7%
Q2 - 3:47MILRedd 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ridnour 3 AST)43
24.4%
43
75.6%
Q2 - 4:02SASParker 17' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)41
22.1%
43
77.9%
Q2 - 4:26SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
24.1%
41
75.9%
Q2 - 4:27MILMISS Ridnour 14' Jump Shot41
24.9%
41
75.1%
Q2 - 4:45MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)41
26.6%
41
73.4%
Q2 - 4:46MILMISS Mbah a Moute 15' Jump Shot41
24.9%
41
75.1%
Q2 - 5:09SASDuncan 14' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)41
26.3%
41
73.7%
Q2 - 5:24MILRedd 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ridnour 2 AST)41
28.8%
39
71.2%
Q2 - 5:42SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)39
26.3%
39
73.7%
Q2 - 5:57MILJefferson Foul Turnover (P2.T6)39
31.3%
36
68.7%
Q2 - 6:00MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
33.8%
36
66.2%
Q2 - 6:01SASMISS Parker 1' Layup39
32.7%
36
67.3%
Q2 - 6:08MILDuncan STEAL (1 STL)39
30.7%
36
69.3%
Q2 - 6:17MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
33.7%
36
66.3%
Q2 - 6:18SASMISS Mason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
32.8%
36
67.2%
Q2 - 6:25SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
30.7%
36
69.3%
Q2 - 6:26MILMISS Bogut 12' Jump Shot39
31.6%
36
68.4%
Q2 - 6:37MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
33.7%
36
66.3%
Q2 - 6:38SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Bank Shot39
32.8%
36
67.2%
Q2 - 6:57SASSPURS Rebound39
30.8%
36
69.2%
Q2 - 6:58MILMISS Redd 14' Turnaround Jump Shot39
31.6%
36
68.4%
Q2 - 7:07SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)39
32.8%
36
67.2%
Q2 - 7:27MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)39
30.3%
36
69.7%
Q2 - 7:27MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)38
30.0%
36
70.0%
Q2 - 7:40MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
28.1%
36
71.9%
Q2 - 7:43MILBonner BLOCK (1 BLK)37
26.5%
36
73.5%
Q2 - 8:02SASFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)37
27.7%
36
72.3%
Q2 - 8:16SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
32.3%
33
67.7%
Q2 - 8:18MILMISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 237
32.7%
33
67.3%
Q2 - 8:18MILJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)37
34.3%
33
65.7%
Q2 - 8:31SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)36
32.3%
33
67.7%
Q2 - 8:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
30.0%
33
70.0%
Q2 - 8:41MILFinley BLOCK (1 BLK)36
30.7%
33
69.3%
Q2 - 9:07SASFinley 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)36
31.8%
33
68.2%
Q2 - 9:20SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
36.6%
30
63.4%
Q2 - 9:21MILMISS Jefferson Layup36
37.4%
30
62.6%
Q2 - 9:35SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)36
39.2%
30
60.8%
Q2 - 9:41SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
44.4%
27
55.6%
Q2 - 9:42MILMISS Sessions 1' Layup36
45.2%
27
54.8%
Q2 - 9:57SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)36
47.1%
27
52.9%
Q2 - 9:57SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 236
47.8%
26
52.2%
Q2 - 10:14SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
46.3%
26
53.7%
Q2 - 10:16MILMISS Villanueva 15' Jump Shot36
47.1%
26
52.9%
Q2 - 10:24MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
49.0%
26
51.0%
Q2 - 10:26SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot36
48.2%
26
51.8%
Q2 - 10:46MILJefferson Foul Turnover (P1.T4)36
46.3%
26
53.7%
Q2 - 10:52SASHill Foul Turnover (P2.T5)36
49.0%
26
51.0%
Q2 - 10:55SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
46.3%
26
53.7%
Q2 - 10:56MILMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
47.1%
26
52.9%
Q2 - 11:09SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Sessions: Tip to Villanueva36
48.3%
26
51.7%
Q2 - 11:23MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
45.7%
26
54.3%
Q2 - 11:23MILVillanueva Dunk (5 PTS)36
45.7%
26
54.3%
Q2 - 11:24MILMISS Bell 2' Layup34
41.5%
26
58.5%
Q2 - 11:30SASHill Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)34
43.2%
26
56.8%
Q2 - 11:42MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)34
40.7%
26
59.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL31
36.0%
26
64.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
36.0%
26
64.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0MILMISS Sessions 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
33.5%
26
66.5%
Q1 - 0:06.0MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
34.6%
26
65.4%
Q1 - 0:07.0SASMISS Hill 9' Jump Shot31
34.1%
26
65.9%
Q1 - 0:29.0SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
33.0%
26
67.0%
Q1 - 0:30.0MILMISS Villanueva 5' Jump Shot31
33.6%
26
66.4%
Q1 - 0:41.0SASFinley 15' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
34.8%
26
65.2%
Q1 - 1:04MILRedd 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Sessions 1 AST)31
36.8%
24
63.2%
Q1 - 1:20SASHill 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)29
34.0%
24
66.0%
Q1 - 1:31MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)29
36.9%
22
63.1%
Q1 - 1:31MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)28
36.5%
22
63.5%
Q1 - 1:39SASParker 7' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS)27
34.0%
22
66.0%
Q1 - 1:41SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
36.9%
20
63.1%
Q1 - 1:43SASThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)27
36.9%
20
63.1%
Q1 - 1:43SASMISS Thomas 1' Tip Shot27
37.9%
20
62.1%
Q1 - 1:44SASMISS Parker 1' Reverse Layup27
37.9%
20
62.1%
Q1 - 2:06MILRedd 1' Layup (6 PTS)27
36.2%
20
63.8%
Q1 - 2:12MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
33.8%
20
66.2%
Q1 - 2:14SASMISS Parker 9' Floating Jump Shot25
33.3%
20
66.7%
Q1 - 2:31MILRedd 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)25
32.1%
20
67.9%
Q1 - 3:03SASParker Layup (8 PTS)23
29.6%
20
70.4%
Q1 - 3:08MILParker STEAL (1 STL)23
31.6%
18
68.4%
Q1 - 3:15SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
33.6%
18
66.4%
Q1 - 3:15SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
33.8%
17
66.2%
Q1 - 3:28MILBogut 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Villanueva 1 AST)23
35.7%
16
64.3%
Q1 - 3:55SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)21
33.6%
16
66.4%
Q1 - 3:55SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)21
34.0%
15
66.0%
Q1 - 4:09MILRidnour Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)21
34.7%
14
65.3%
Q1 - 4:13MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
36.8%
14
63.2%
Q1 - 4:14SASMISS Mason Jr. 22' Jump Shot21
36.2%
14
63.8%
Q1 - 4:33MILMbah a Moute 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)21
34.7%
14
65.3%
Q1 - 4:54SASParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Tolliver 2 AST)19
32.9%
14
67.1%
Q1 - 5:11MILRidnour 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
36.4%
11
63.6%
Q1 - 5:22SASGinobili 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Tolliver 1 AST)17
34.7%
11
65.3%
Q1 - 5:35SASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
36.4%
9
63.6%
Q1 - 5:36SASMISS Thomas 18' Jump Shot17
38.0%
9
62.0%
Q1 - 5:48SASTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
36.4%
9
63.6%
Q1 - 5:49MILMISS Jefferson 20' Jump Shot17
37.1%
9
62.9%
Q1 - 6:00SASThomas Foul Turnover (P1.T2)17
38.7%
9
61.3%
Q1 - 6:02SASTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
35.7%
9
64.3%
Q1 - 6:04MILMISS Redd 21' Jump Shot17
36.3%
9
63.7%
Q1 - 6:21MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
37.8%
9
62.2%
Q1 - 6:22SASMISS Tolliver 23' Jump Shot17
37.1%
9
62.9%
Q1 - 6:36MILBogut Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)17
35.7%
9
64.3%
Q1 - 6:57SASMason Jr. 15' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)17
37.9%
9
62.1%
Q1 - 7:05SASMISS Mason Jr. Free Throw Technical17
39.2%
7
60.8%
Q1 - 7:21MILMbah a Moute 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)17
39.2%
7
60.8%
Q1 - 7:36MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
37.4%
7
62.6%
Q1 - 7:37SASMISS Bonner 3PT Jump Shot15
36.7%
7
63.3%
Q1 - 7:55MILBogut 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Mbah a Moute 2 AST)15
35.2%
7
64.8%
Q1 - 8:04MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
33.0%
7
67.0%
Q1 - 8:06SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
32.4%
7
67.6%
Q1 - 8:18MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)13
31.2%
7
68.8%
Q1 - 8:18MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
30.9%
7
69.1%
Q1 - 8:21SASBonner Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)11
29.4%
7
70.6%
Q1 - 8:34MILBogut Dunk (4 PTS) (Mbah a Moute 1 AST)11
27.7%
7
72.3%
Q1 - 8:47SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)9
26.0%
7
74.0%
Q1 - 8:47SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 29
26.4%
6
73.6%
Q1 - 9:04MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
25.8%
6
74.2%
Q1 - 9:04MILBogut 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)9
25.8%
6
74.2%
Q1 - 9:06MILMISS Ridnour 17' Jump Shot7
23.3%
6
76.7%
Q1 - 9:15MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
24.2%
6
75.8%
Q1 - 9:16SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot7
23.8%
6
76.2%
Q1 - 9:34MILJefferson 1' Dunk (5 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)7
22.9%
6
77.1%
Q1 - 9:52SASDuncan 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)5
21.4%
6
78.6%
Q1 - 10:19MILRidnour 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
22.5%
4
77.5%
Q1 - 10:30SASFinley 13' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)3
21.3%
4
78.7%
Q1 - 10:44SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
22.5%
2
77.5%
Q1 - 10:45MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot3
23.0%
2
77.0%
Q1 - 10:54MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
23.9%
2
76.1%
Q1 - 10:55SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot3
23.5%
2
76.5%
Q1 - 11:19MILJefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ridnour 1 AST)3
22.0%
2
78.0%
Q1 - 11:41SASBonner 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)0
19.9%
2
80.1%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Bogut: Tip to Mason Jr.0
20.9%
0
79.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.08 53.8%
SAS
1.15 57.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
17
24
71%
SAS
10
20
50%
Midrange
MIL
19
44
43%
SAS
16
39
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
5
7.5
12
42%
63%
SAS
10
15.0
16
63%
94%
Free Throws
MIL
13
16
81%
SAS
16
23
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd2554%12.5 / 23
L. Ridnour2170%10.5 / 15
A. Bogut2071%10.0 / 14
C. Bell1179%5.5 / 7
C. Villanueva945%4.5 / 10
R. Jefferson844%4.0 / 9
L. Mbah a Moute650%3.0 / 6
R. Sessions0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2244%11.0 / 25
M. Finley20100%10.0 / 10
T. Parker1959%9.5 / 16
R. Mason Jr.1575%7.5 / 10
M. Ginobili1365%6.5 / 10
B. Bowen375%1.5 / 2
M. Bonner225%1.0 / 4
K. Thomas233%1.0 / 3
G. Hill225%1.0 / 4
A. Tolliver0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
83
+10
-9
93
SAS
78
+7
-12
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.08 53.8%
SAS
1.15 57.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.3
108.3
MIL 108.7
SAS 108.9 +0.2
Pace
93.0
88.7
MIL 93.6 +5.0
SAS 88.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
16.5
MIL 15.4 +0.9
SAS 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.3%
51.3%
MIL 54.4%
SAS 54.7% +0.3%
TO %
14.6%
12.4%
MIL 11.2% +1.2%
SAS 12.4%
ORB %
27.9%
22.2%
MIL 27.8% +19.5%
SAS 8.3%
FTrt
30.6
25.1
MIL 20.0
SAS 30.7 +10.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.9%
57.1%
MIL 48.8%
SAS 75.0% +26.2%
STL %
7.9%
6.5%
MIL 6.5% +2.1%
SAS 4.4%
BLK %
6.5%
6.1%
MIL 8.5% +1.1%
SAS 7.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.8%
53.4%
MIL 53.8%
SAS 57.6% +3.8%
Rim FG%
55.5%
58.8%
MIL 70.8% +20.8%
SAS 50.0%
Mid FG%
40.3%
42.7%
MIL 43.2% +2.2%
SAS 41.0%
3P %
36.3%
38.6%
MIL 41.7%
SAS 62.5% +20.8%
FT %
78.0%
76.2%
MIL 81.3% +11.7%
SAS 69.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
30.3%
MIL 30.0% +3.3%
SAS 26.7%
Mid Att. %
45.9%
44.9%
MIL 55.0%
SAS 52.0% +3.0%
3P Att. %
20.8%
24.8%
MIL 15.0%
SAS 21.3% +6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILSAS
Possessions9290
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points10098
Rebounds4329
Assists2027
Steals64
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)9 (2)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (0)3 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (1)26 (4)
Field Goals41-8036-75
At-the-Rim FG17-2410-20
Midrange FG19-4416-39
2-Point FG36-6826-59
3-Point FG5-1210-16
Free Throws13-1616-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 7'0" 260 · 24
44.5
20
71%
14
4
0
3
2
4
4
10
2-2
100%
9-13
69%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 29
44.3
25
54%
10
4
1
0
0
1
1
9
6-8
75%
8-15
53%
1-4
25%
G · 6'2" 175 · 28
41.3
21
70%
5
6
1
2
3
2
0
5
1-1
100%
7-12
58%
2-3
67%
F · 6'7" 233 · 29
34.5
8
44%
9
2
0
0
3
3
2
7
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 230 · 22
19.3
6
50%
1
2
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 30
25.4
11
79%
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
4-6
67%
1-1
100%
F · 6'11" 232 · 24
18.1
9
45%
3
1
1
0
1
3
2
1
3-3
100%
3-8
38%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 190 · 23
9.3
0
0%
0
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 240 · 31
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 32
F · 6'8" 230 · 22
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33
#19 · G · 6'3" 195 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#44 · F · 6'10" 240 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · F · 6'10" 255 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
54%
43
20
6
5
9
0
10
33
13-16
81%
36-68
53%
5-12
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.