FinalWin Prob.pScore
169%95
95
1631%88
104
ORTG#PossPace
CLE logo CLE
110.58678.3
MIA logo MIA
118.28897.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCLEMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA95
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0CLEGibson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 7 AST)95
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)92
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0CLEGibson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 6 AST)92
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Chalmers 8 AST)89
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:19MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)89
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20CLEMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 1:28MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Wade 12 AST)89
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 1:48MIAHEAT Rebound89
1.5%
98
98.5%
Q4 - 1:49CLEMISS West 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
1.8%
98
98.2%
Q4 - 2:07MIAHaslem Layup (13 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)89
2.5%
98
97.5%
Q4 - 2:27CLEJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (38 PTS)89
3.4%
96
96.6%
Q4 - 2:45CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)86
1.5%
96
98.5%
Q4 - 2:46MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot86
1.2%
96
98.8%
Q4 - 3:06CLEWest 13' Jump Shot (20 PTS)86
1.4%
96
98.6%
Q4 - 3:24MIAMarion Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (Wade 11 AST)84
1.0%
96
99.0%
Q4 - 3:38MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)84
3.3%
94
96.7%
Q4 - 3:39CLEMISS West Free Throw 1 of 184
3.4%
94
96.6%
Q4 - 3:53CLEWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)82
2.2%
94
97.8%
Q4 - 3:54MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot82
1.9%
94
98.1%
Q4 - 4:15CLEJames Driving Slam Dunk (35 PTS)82
1.4%
94
98.6%
Q4 - 4:28MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T13)80
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 4:37MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)80
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 4:39CLEMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 4:52MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)80
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 5:00MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)80
1.9%
91
98.1%
Q4 - 5:01CLEMISS Wallace Dunk80
4.1%
91
95.9%
Q4 - 5:02CLEWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)80
5.1%
91
94.9%
Q4 - 5:03CLEMISS James 13' Running Jump Shot80
4.0%
91
96.0%
Q4 - 5:17MIACook Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)80
5.0%
91
95.0%
Q4 - 5:17MIACook Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)80
5.3%
90
94.7%
Q4 - 5:39MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
6.6%
89
93.4%
Q4 - 5:40CLEMISS West 3PT Jump Shot80
7.3%
89
92.7%
Q4 - 6:02MIAHaslem 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)80
12.9%
89
87.1%
Q4 - 6:20CLEWest 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (James 5 AST)80
16.3%
87
83.7%
Q4 - 6:45MIAChalmers Driving Layup (18 PTS)77
9.6%
87
90.4%
Q4 - 6:49CLEChalmers STEAL (3 STL)77
12.4%
85
87.6%
Q4 - 7:11MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)77
19.9%
85
80.1%
Q4 - 7:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)77
29.7%
82
70.3%
Q4 - 7:18CLEMISS West 3PT Jump Shot77
31.7%
82
68.3%
Q4 - 7:36MIAMarion Driving Dunk (12 PTS)77
36.3%
82
63.7%
Q4 - 7:51MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
42.4%
80
57.6%
Q4 - 7:53CLEMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
44.7%
80
55.3%
Q4 - 8:17MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)77
51.9%
80
48.1%
Q4 - 8:17MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)77
53.3%
79
46.7%
Q4 - 8:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)77
58.5%
78
41.5%
Q4 - 8:25CLEMISS Gibson 8' Running Jump Shot77
60.4%
78
39.6%
Q4 - 8:44CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)77
64.4%
78
35.6%
Q4 - 8:45MIAMISS Beasley 4' Running Jump Shot77
62.6%
78
37.4%
Q4 - 8:55CLEJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (33 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)77
58.4%
78
41.6%
Q4 - 9:19CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)74
47.5%
78
52.5%
Q4 - 9:20MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup74
45.7%
78
54.3%
Q4 - 9:24MIAHEAT Rebound74
41.8%
78
58.2%
Q4 - 9:25MIAMISS Wade Layup74
45.7%
78
54.3%
Q4 - 9:40CLEWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)74
41.7%
78
58.3%
Q4 - 9:40CLEWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)73
41.1%
78
58.9%
Q4 - 9:44CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
35.7%
78
64.3%
Q4 - 9:46CLEMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
32.1%
78
67.9%
Q4 - 9:51CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)72
35.7%
78
64.3%
Q4 - 9:53CLEMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot72
32.1%
78
67.9%
Q4 - 10:12MIABanks Layup (3 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)72
38.1%
78
61.9%
Q4 - 10:16CLEWade STEAL (3 STL)72
43.6%
76
56.4%
Q4 - 10:43MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)72
49.1%
76
50.9%
Q4 - 10:43MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)72
50.4%
75
49.6%
Q4 - 10:57CLEJames 18' Jump Shot (30 PTS)72
54.8%
74
45.2%
Q4 - 11:10MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P2.T12)70
50.4%
74
49.6%
Q4 - 11:24CLEWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 4 AST)70
45.4%
74
54.6%
Q4 - 11:43MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)67
34.8%
74
65.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA67
30.3%
74
69.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound67
30.3%
74
69.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
33.3%
74
66.7%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAHEAT Rebound67
32.2%
74
67.8%
Q3 - 0:06.0CLEMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
33.4%
74
66.6%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)67
36.2%
74
63.8%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)67
37.1%
73
62.9%
Q3 - 0:38.0CLEJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS)67
41.6%
72
58.4%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)64
31.6%
72
68.4%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAHEAT Rebound64
27.8%
72
72.2%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot64
30.4%
72
69.6%
Q3 - 1:14CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)64
28.9%
72
71.1%
Q3 - 1:21CLEHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
21.2%
72
78.8%
Q3 - 1:22MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
20.3%
72
79.7%
Q3 - 1:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)61
18.4%
72
81.6%
Q3 - 1:31MIAMISS Cook 3PT Jump Shot61
20.3%
72
79.7%
Q3 - 1:51CLEGibson Layup (3 PTS) (West 3 AST)61
18.4%
72
81.6%
Q3 - 1:56MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)59
15.3%
72
84.7%
Q3 - 2:13CLEJames Driving Layup (22 PTS)59
14.8%
72
85.2%
Q3 - 2:34MIAMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)57
12.5%
72
87.5%
Q3 - 2:34MIAMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)57
13.0%
71
87.0%
Q3 - 2:47MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)57
14.7%
70
85.3%
Q3 - 2:48CLEMISS West 5' Running Jump Shot57
15.4%
70
84.6%
Q3 - 2:58MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)57
17.2%
70
82.8%
Q3 - 3:15CLEJames Driving Slam Dunk (20 PTS)57
25.6%
67
74.4%
Q3 - 3:36MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)55
22.4%
67
77.6%
Q3 - 3:42MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)55
29.1%
64
70.9%
Q3 - 3:43MIAMISS Cook 18' Jump Shot55
31.9%
64
68.1%
Q3 - 3:57CLEWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)55
29.0%
64
71.0%
Q3 - 3:57CLEWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)54
27.2%
64
72.8%
Q3 - 4:21MIAMarion Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)53
27.0%
64
73.0%
Q3 - 4:46CLEWest 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Gibson 1 AST)53
30.0%
62
70.0%
Q3 - 5:03MIAMarion Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)50
25.3%
62
74.7%
Q3 - 5:14CLEJames Foul Turnover (P3.T11)50
31.6%
59
68.4%
Q3 - 5:21CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
35.7%
59
64.3%
Q3 - 5:22MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot50
34.4%
59
65.6%
Q3 - 5:44CLEJames Layup (18 PTS) (West 2 AST)50
31.5%
59
68.5%
Q3 - 5:52CLEWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
28.4%
59
71.6%
Q3 - 5:53MIAMISS Wade Layup48
27.2%
59
72.8%
Q3 - 6:02MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
26.8%
59
73.2%
Q3 - 6:03CLEMISS West Layup48
27.8%
59
72.2%
Q3 - 6:17MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS)48
30.2%
59
69.8%
Q3 - 6:19MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)48
33.4%
57
66.6%
Q3 - 6:20MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup48
36.2%
57
63.8%
Q3 - 6:34CLEWest Driving Layup (10 PTS)48
33.4%
57
66.6%
Q3 - 6:54MIAWade Driving Layup (17 PTS)46
30.1%
57
69.9%
Q3 - 7:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)46
35.0%
55
65.0%
Q3 - 7:02CLEMISS Wallace 12' Jump Shot46
36.1%
55
63.9%
Q3 - 7:13CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
38.7%
55
61.3%
Q3 - 7:14MIAMISS Magloire Layup46
37.5%
55
62.5%
Q3 - 7:35CLEWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)46
34.9%
55
65.1%
Q3 - 7:45CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
38.6%
55
61.4%
Q3 - 7:47MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot46
37.4%
55
62.6%
Q3 - 8:08CLEJames 8' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)46
35.6%
55
64.4%
Q3 - 8:16MIAWade Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)44
32.5%
55
67.5%
Q3 - 8:16CLECavaliers Rebound44
35.9%
54
64.1%
Q3 - 8:17CLEWade BLOCK (1 BLK)44
33.3%
54
66.7%
Q3 - 8:21MIAMarion Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)44
35.9%
54
64.1%
Q3 - 8:38CLEWilliams Foul Turnover (P2.T9)44
32.2%
54
67.8%
Q3 - 9:02MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)44
37.0%
54
63.0%
Q3 - 9:02MIAHEAT Rebound44
33.5%
54
66.5%
Q3 - 9:03MIAMISS Anthony Layup44
35.9%
54
64.1%
Q3 - 9:27CLEWest 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)44
33.4%
54
66.6%
Q3 - 9:33MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)41
27.3%
54
72.7%
Q3 - 9:55CLEWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (West 1 AST)41
24.3%
54
75.7%
Q3 - 10:24MIAWade Dunk (14 PTS)38
20.8%
54
79.2%
Q3 - 10:27CLEWade STEAL (2 STL)38
23.2%
52
76.8%
Q3 - 10:48MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)38
25.9%
52
74.1%
Q3 - 11:00CLEIlgauskas 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 3 AST)38
28.7%
50
71.3%
Q3 - 11:24CLECavaliers Rebound36
27.7%
50
72.3%
Q3 - 11:25MIAMISS Anthony Dunk36
26.8%
50
73.2%
Q3 - 11:43CLEIlgauskas 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 2 AST)36
24.8%
50
75.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA34
22.4%
50
77.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound34
19.9%
50
80.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 74' 3PT Jump Shot34
21.6%
50
78.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
21.9%
50
78.1%
Q2 - 0:02.0CLEMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot34
22.4%
50
77.6%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)34
23.5%
50
76.5%
Q2 - 0:35.0CLEWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)34
29.3%
47
70.7%
Q2 - 0:35.0CLEWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)33
29.0%
47
71.0%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 3 AST)32
26.0%
47
74.0%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
32.2%
44
67.8%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 232
34.2%
44
65.8%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 232
32.2%
44
67.8%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)32
32.1%
44
67.9%
Q2 - 0:54.0CLEMISS James Running Finger Roll Layup32
32.8%
44
67.2%
Q2 - 1:09MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)32
35.7%
44
64.3%
Q2 - 1:09MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)32
36.3%
43
63.7%
Q2 - 1:18CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)32
39.6%
42
60.4%
Q2 - 1:18CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)31
38.8%
42
61.2%
Q2 - 1:25CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
35.6%
42
64.4%
Q2 - 1:28MIAMISS Magloire 7' Jump Hook Shot30
35.0%
42
65.0%
Q2 - 1:48CLEMarion STEAL (2 STL)30
33.4%
42
66.6%
Q2 - 2:03MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)30
37.5%
42
62.5%
Q2 - 2:03MIAHEAT Rebound30
34.4%
42
65.6%
Q2 - 2:04MIAMISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot30
36.6%
42
63.4%
Q2 - 2:28CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)30
34.4%
42
65.6%
Q2 - 2:28CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)29
33.7%
42
66.3%
Q2 - 2:31CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
31.6%
42
68.4%
Q2 - 2:32MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot28
30.8%
42
69.2%
Q2 - 2:54CLEJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)28
28.8%
42
71.2%
Q2 - 3:12MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)28
33.1%
42
66.9%
Q2 - 3:32MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)28
38.3%
39
61.7%
Q2 - 3:33CLEMISS James Free Throw 2 of 228
38.7%
39
61.3%
Q2 - 3:33CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)28
40.6%
39
59.4%
Q2 - 3:51MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)27
38.7%
39
61.3%
Q2 - 4:13MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
42.6%
37
57.4%
Q2 - 4:14CLEMISS West 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
43.5%
37
56.5%
Q2 - 4:24MIAMarion Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)27
45.7%
37
54.3%
Q2 - 4:27CLEMarion STEAL (1 STL)27
42.5%
37
57.5%
Q2 - 4:37CLEWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)27
45.7%
37
54.3%
Q2 - 4:38MIAMISS Wade 16' Turnaround Jump Shot27
44.7%
37
55.3%
Q2 - 4:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
42.5%
37
57.5%
Q2 - 4:45MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup27
44.7%
37
55.3%
Q2 - 5:05CLEWallace Driving Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)27
44.1%
37
55.9%
Q2 - 5:21CLEWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)25
41.0%
37
59.0%
Q2 - 5:22MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 225
40.7%
37
59.3%
Q2 - 5:22MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)25
38.9%
37
61.1%
Q2 - 5:22MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
41.1%
36
58.9%
Q2 - 5:24CLEMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
42.0%
36
58.0%
Q2 - 5:29CLEWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)25
43.9%
36
56.1%
Q2 - 5:31MIAMISS Wade 18' Turnaround Jump Shot25
43.1%
36
56.9%
Q2 - 5:47CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)25
41.1%
36
58.9%
Q2 - 5:47CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)24
40.4%
36
59.6%
Q2 - 6:02CLEWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
39.3%
36
60.7%
Q2 - 6:03MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 123
38.9%
36
61.1%
Q2 - 6:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)23
41.6%
34
58.4%
Q2 - 6:18CLEMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
42.6%
34
57.4%
Q2 - 6:45MIAAnthony 10' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)23
44.9%
34
55.1%
Q2 - 7:01MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
48.6%
32
51.4%
Q2 - 7:02CLEMISS James 14' Jump Shot23
49.5%
32
50.5%
Q2 - 7:15CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)23
51.4%
32
48.6%
Q2 - 7:16CLEMISS James Free Throw 2 of 223
48.9%
32
51.1%
Q2 - 7:16CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)23
50.7%
32
49.3%
Q2 - 7:29MIABeasley Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)22
48.6%
32
51.4%
Q2 - 7:40MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)22
45.6%
32
54.4%
Q2 - 7:41CLEMISS Gibson 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
46.5%
32
53.5%
Q2 - 7:47CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
48.5%
32
51.5%
Q2 - 7:48CLEMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot22
46.5%
32
53.5%
Q2 - 7:58CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
48.5%
32
51.5%
Q2 - 7:59MIAMISS Diawara 3PT Jump Shot22
47.6%
32
52.4%
Q2 - 8:15MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
46.8%
32
53.2%
Q2 - 8:16CLEMISS Varejao Free Throw 2 of 222
47.2%
32
52.8%
Q2 - 8:16CLEMISS Varejao Free Throw 1 of 222
48.7%
32
51.3%
Q2 - 8:33CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
49.5%
32
50.5%
Q2 - 8:34MIAMISS Beasley 14' Jump Shot22
48.6%
32
51.4%
Q2 - 8:53CLEWilliams Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)22
46.8%
32
53.2%
Q2 - 9:08MIABanks Foul Turnover (P1.T2)22
50.0%
32
50.0%
Q2 - 9:13CLEGibson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)22
47.3%
32
52.7%
Q2 - 9:13CLEMISS Gibson Free Throw 1 of 221
46.8%
32
53.2%
Q2 - 9:27MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)21
47.3%
32
52.7%
Q2 - 9:27MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)21
47.9%
31
52.1%
Q2 - 9:27MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
49.9%
30
50.1%
Q2 - 9:28MIAMISS Cook 17' Jump Shot21
51.8%
30
48.2%
Q2 - 9:40MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
49.9%
30
50.1%
Q2 - 9:41CLEMISS Gibson 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
50.8%
30
49.2%
Q2 - 10:02CLEKinsey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
53.3%
30
46.7%
Q2 - 10:03MIAMISS Beasley 9' Running Jump Shot21
52.5%
30
47.5%
Q2 - 10:25CLEHickson Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)21
50.6%
30
49.4%
Q2 - 10:49MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Banks 1 AST)19
48.0%
30
52.0%
Q2 - 11:05MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
51.0%
28
49.0%
Q2 - 11:06CLEMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
51.8%
28
48.2%
Q2 - 11:23MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
53.6%
28
46.4%
Q2 - 11:23MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
54.2%
27
45.8%
Q2 - 11:37MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
56.1%
26
43.9%
Q2 - 11:38CLEMISS Gibson 3PT Jump Shot19
56.9%
26
43.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA19
58.6%
26
41.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound19
56.1%
26
43.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
57.9%
26
42.1%
Q1 - 0:14.0CLEVarejao Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Hickson 1 AST)19
57.1%
26
42.9%
Q1 - 0:16.0CLEGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
54.1%
26
45.9%
Q1 - 0:17.0CLEMISS Gibson 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
52.8%
26
47.2%
Q1 - 0:27.0CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
54.1%
26
45.9%
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Marion 9' Running Jump Shot17
53.5%
26
46.5%
Q1 - 0:42.0CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)17
52.2%
26
47.8%
Q1 - 0:42.0CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)16
51.6%
26
48.4%
Q1 - 0:55.0MIABanks Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)15
49.2%
26
50.8%
Q1 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Banks Free Throw 1 of 215
49.6%
25
50.4%
Q1 - 1:07MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
51.2%
25
48.8%
Q1 - 1:08CLEMISS Gibson 19' Jump Shot15
51.7%
25
48.3%
Q1 - 1:30MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)15
52.7%
25
47.3%
Q1 - 1:30MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 215
53.3%
24
46.7%
Q1 - 1:39MIAHEAT Rebound15
53.5%
24
46.5%
Q1 - 1:40MIAMISS Beasley Reverse Layup15
54.6%
24
45.4%
Q1 - 1:59CLEPavlovic Driving Layup (2 PTS)15
53.4%
24
46.6%
Q1 - 2:10MIAWade Driving Layup (6 PTS)13
51.4%
24
48.6%
Q1 - 2:21MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
54.1%
22
45.9%
Q1 - 2:22CLEMISS Pavlovic 14' Turnaround Jump Shot13
54.6%
22
45.4%
Q1 - 2:46MIAMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)13
55.9%
22
44.1%
Q1 - 2:46MIAMISS Marion Free Throw 1 of 213
56.4%
21
43.6%
Q1 - 2:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)13
56.3%
21
43.7%
Q1 - 2:55MIAMISS Marion Tip Shot13
57.6%
21
42.4%
Q1 - 2:56MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)13
56.3%
21
43.7%
Q1 - 2:57MIAMISS Marion Tip Shot13
57.6%
21
42.4%
Q1 - 2:58MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
56.3%
21
43.7%
Q1 - 2:59MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup13
57.6%
21
42.4%
Q1 - 3:04CLEWade STEAL (1 STL)13
56.8%
21
43.2%
Q1 - 3:21CLEWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
59.0%
21
41.0%
Q1 - 3:22CLEMISS James 20' Jump Shot13
57.5%
21
42.5%
Q1 - 3:40MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
59.0%
21
41.0%
Q1 - 3:40MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
59.4%
20
40.6%
Q1 - 3:59CLEJames Driving Layup (4 PTS)13
61.2%
19
38.8%
Q1 - 4:31MIAWade Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)11
59.6%
19
40.4%
Q1 - 4:35CLEChalmers STEAL (2 STL)11
61.6%
17
38.4%
Q1 - 4:52MIAMarion 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)11
63.8%
17
36.2%
Q1 - 5:19CLEWest 8' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)11
65.5%
15
34.5%
Q1 - 5:44MIAAnthony Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)9
63.8%
15
36.2%
Q1 - 5:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)9
65.5%
13
34.5%
Q1 - 5:54CLEMISS Ilgauskas 9' Turnaround Jump Shot9
66.2%
13
33.8%
Q1 - 6:19MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)9
68.0%
13
32.0%
Q1 - 6:25CLEChalmers STEAL (1 STL)9
71.5%
10
28.5%
Q1 - 6:32CLEWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
73.3%
10
26.7%
Q1 - 6:33MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot9
72.8%
10
27.2%
Q1 - 6:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
71.5%
10
28.5%
Q1 - 6:41CLEMarion BLOCK (1 BLK)9
72.1%
10
27.9%
Q1 - 6:56MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)9
73.3%
10
26.7%
Q1 - 7:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
76.6%
7
23.4%
Q1 - 7:04CLEMISS West 3PT Jump Shot9
77.1%
7
22.9%
Q1 - 7:31MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)9
78.2%
7
21.8%
Q1 - 7:49CLEWest 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)9
79.5%
5
20.5%
Q1 - 8:18MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)6
76.9%
5
23.1%
Q1 - 8:38CLEIlgauskas 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)6
79.7%
2
20.3%
Q1 - 8:51CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
78.3%
2
21.7%
Q1 - 8:53MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup4
77.9%
2
22.1%
Q1 - 8:59MIAHEAT Rebound4
76.9%
2
23.1%
Q1 - 9:00MIAMISS Marion Driving Layup4
77.9%
2
22.1%
Q1 - 9:03MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
77.4%
2
22.6%
Q1 - 9:04CLEMISS Ilgauskas 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
77.7%
2
22.3%
Q1 - 9:28MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
78.6%
2
21.4%
Q1 - 9:35MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
77.3%
2
22.7%
Q1 - 9:36MIAMISS Wade Driving Dunk4
78.2%
2
21.8%
Q1 - 9:47CLEIlgauskas Tip Shot (2 PTS)4
77.3%
2
22.7%
Q1 - 9:49CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
75.7%
2
24.3%
Q1 - 9:50CLEMISS Wallace 6' Hook Shot2
74.8%
2
25.2%
Q1 - 10:07CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
75.9%
2
24.1%
Q1 - 10:08MIAMISS Marion 8' Jump Shot2
75.5%
2
24.5%
Q1 - 10:30MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
74.5%
2
25.5%
Q1 - 10:31CLEMISS James Free Throw 1 of 12
74.7%
2
25.3%
Q1 - 10:34CLEWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
73.1%
2
26.9%
Q1 - 10:35MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot0
72.7%
2
27.3%
Q1 - 10:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
71.6%
2
28.4%
Q1 - 10:43CLEMISS West Layup0
72.1%
2
27.9%
Q1 - 11:07MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)0
73.5%
2
26.5%
Q1 - 11:19MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
74.7%
0
25.3%
Q1 - 11:20CLEMISS James 7' Jump Shot0
75.1%
0
24.9%
Q1 - 11:40CLEWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
76.0%
0
24.0%
Q1 - 11:41MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot0
75.6%
0
24.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to Haslem0
74.7%
0
25.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
1.16 57.9%
MIA
1.07 53.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CLE
14
20
70%
MIA
11
27
41%
Midrange
CLE
8
21
38%
MIA
12
31
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CLE
11
16.5
30
37%
55%
MIA
11
16.5
18
61%
92%
Free Throws
CLE
18
25
72%
MIA
25
32
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3866%19.0 / 29
D. West2063%10.0 / 16
M. Williams1050%5.0 / 10
D. Gibson945%4.5 / 10
Z. Ilgauskas867%4.0 / 6
B. Wallace440%2.0 / 5
A. Varejao250%1.0 / 2
J. Hickson2100%1.0 / 1
S. Pavlovic250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2140%10.5 / 26
M. Chalmers21105%10.5 / 10
D. Cook1785%8.5 / 10
S. Marion1458%7.0 / 12
U. Haslem1346%6.5 / 14
M. Beasley850%4.0 / 8
J. Anthony770%3.5 / 5
M. Banks375%1.5 / 2
J. Magloire0-0.0 / 2
Y. Diawara0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CLE
73
+9
-13
82
MIA
78
+19
-10
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
1.16 57.9%
MIA
1.07 53.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.0
107.6
CLE 110.5
MIA 118.2 +7.7
Pace
89.1
90.2
CLE 78.3
MIA 97.6 +19.2
Avg. Poss. Time
17.2
16.3
CLE 18.4
MIA 14.8 +3.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.9%
50.0%
CLE 54.2% +2.2%
MIA 52.0%
TO %
13.4%
13.1%
CLE 13.7%
MIA 12.6% +1.1%
ORB %
27.8%
24.6%
CLE 20.0%
MIA 28.6% +8.6%
FTrt
31.2
28.2
CLE 35.2
MIA 42.1 +6.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.0%
55.1%
CLE 51.5%
MIA 76.5% +25.0%
STL %
8.1%
8.7%
CLE 7.0%
MIA 9.1% +2.1%
BLK %
8.7%
9.2%
CLE 12.1% +7.2%
MIA 4.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.3%
52.6%
CLE 57.9% +4.3%
MIA 53.6%
Rim FG%
62.0%
59.5%
CLE 70.0% +29.3%
MIA 40.7%
Mid FG%
40.8%
41.8%
CLE 38.1%
MIA 38.7% +0.6%
3P %
39.3%
35.7%
CLE 36.7%
MIA 61.1% +24.4%
FT %
75.7%
75.4%
CLE 72.0%
MIA 78.1% +6.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
30.3%
CLE 28.2%
MIA 35.5% +7.4%
Mid Att. %
43.8%
45.2%
CLE 29.6% +11.2%
MIA 40.8%
3P Att. %
25.9%
24.5%
CLE 42.3% +18.6%
MIA 23.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCLEMIA
Possessions8688
Possession Minutes26.421.6
Points95104
Rebounds3342
Assists1726
Steals68
Blocks72
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)10 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (1)10 (9)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (1)32 (2)
Field Goals33-7134-76
At-the-Rim FG14-2011-27
Midrange FG8-2112-31
2-Point FG22-4123-58
3-Point FG11-3011-18
Free Throws18-2525-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 24
43.5
38
66%
2
7
0
2
5
2
0
2
11-14
79%
9-16
56%
3-8
38%
G · 6'3" 180 · 25
39.5
20
63%
3
3
2
0
2
3
1
2
0-1
0%
4-7
57%
4-9
44%
F · 6'9" 240 · 34
33.5
4
40%
8
0
1
2
2
1
1
7
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 198 · 26
33.2
10
50%
2
5
0
0
2
2
1
1
4-4
100%
0-2
0%
2-6
33%
C · 7'3" 260 · 34
24.5
8
67%
5
0
0
3
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 200 · 23
24.5
9
45%
1
1
2
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
2-6
33%
F · 6'11" 260 · 26
24.0
2
50%
10
0
1
0
1
5
3
7
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 20
9.9
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 25
4.8
2
50%
0
0
0
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 189 · 25
2.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 253 · 23
F · 6'9" 225 · 26
#55 · F-C · 6'11" 255 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · G · 6'3" 205 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#10 · G-F · 6'7" 240 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
58%
33
17
6
7
13
0
8
25
18-25
72%
22-41
54%
11-30
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.