FinalWin Prob.pScore
743%97
91
1257%99
109
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
105.88692.4
ATL logo ATL
129.88478.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL91
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0DENKleiza Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T7)91
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:29.0DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0ATLMISS Evans 21' Jump Shot91
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:45.0ATLHAWKS Rebound91
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0DENMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot91
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06ATLWest Traveling Turnover (P1.T13)91
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25DENKleiza Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)91
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:32DENJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33ATLMISS Murray 28' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)88
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53DENMISS Kleiza 21' Jump Shot88
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:05ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)88
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:05ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)88
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:24DENMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot88
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:33ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)88
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:33ATLMISS Williams Free Throw Technical88
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)88
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:51DENMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 288
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:51DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 288
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)88
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)88
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:31DENSmith Driving Layup (11 PTS)88
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 3:34DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)86
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 3:36DENMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 3:50ATLBibby Free Throw Technical (20 PTS)86
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 3:53ATLBibby 29' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)86
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 3:57ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)86
0.8%
98
99.2%
Q4 - 4:00DENWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)86
0.9%
98
99.1%
Q4 - 4:13ATLJohnson 20' Fadeaway Jumper (25 PTS)86
1.2%
98
98.8%
Q4 - 4:34DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)86
1.6%
96
98.4%
Q4 - 4:34DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 285
1.5%
96
98.5%
Q4 - 4:54ATLHorford 10' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Smith 6 AST)85
1.6%
96
98.4%
Q4 - 5:11ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)85
3.7%
94
96.3%
Q4 - 5:13DENMISS Anthony 1' Layup85
4.1%
94
95.9%
Q4 - 5:28ATLSmith Alley Oop Layup (10 PTS) (Bibby 8 AST)85
5.2%
94
94.8%
Q4 - 5:42DENMartin 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS)85
6.9%
92
93.1%
Q4 - 6:10ATLBibby 30' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)83
6.8%
92
93.2%
Q4 - 6:33DENAnthony Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)83
11.5%
89
88.5%
Q4 - 6:46DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
15.2%
89
84.8%
Q4 - 6:47ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 283
14.6%
89
85.4%
Q4 - 6:47ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)83
12.4%
89
87.6%
Q4 - 6:47ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)83
15.0%
88
85.0%
Q4 - 6:48ATLMISS Smith 3' Layup83
18.0%
88
82.0%
Q4 - 7:01DENSmith 28' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Carter 7 AST)83
16.6%
88
83.4%
Q4 - 7:06DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
10.4%
88
89.6%
Q4 - 7:08ATLMISS Smith 28' 3PT Jump Shot80
9.6%
88
90.4%
Q4 - 7:26ATLHAWKS Rebound80
7.9%
88
92.1%
Q4 - 7:27DENMISS Anthony 9' Running Jump Shot80
8.6%
88
91.4%
Q4 - 7:54ATLPachulia Dunk (8 PTS) (Bibby 7 AST)80
10.3%
88
89.7%
Q4 - 8:26DENCarter 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)80
14.8%
86
85.2%
Q4 - 8:35DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
11.7%
86
88.3%
Q4 - 8:36ATLMISS Murray 21' Jump Shot78
10.9%
86
89.1%
Q4 - 8:55ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
9.3%
86
90.7%
Q4 - 8:56DENMISS Smith 28' 3PT Jump Shot78
10.0%
86
90.0%
Q4 - 9:02DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
13.3%
86
86.7%
Q4 - 9:04ATLMISS Smith 6' Hook Shot78
12.5%
86
87.5%
Q4 - 9:22DENKleiza Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)78
10.8%
86
89.2%
Q4 - 9:22DENKleiza Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)77
10.3%
86
89.7%
Q4 - 9:40ATLMurray 28' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)76
8.5%
86
91.5%
Q4 - 10:03DENMartin Running Dunk (17 PTS) (Carter 6 AST)76
14.4%
83
85.6%
Q4 - 10:07ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)74
11.8%
83
88.2%
Q4 - 10:10ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)74
9.6%
83
90.4%
Q4 - 10:11DENMISS Martin 2' Layup74
10.2%
83
89.8%
Q4 - 10:32ATLEvans Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Bibby 6 AST)74
11.7%
83
88.3%
Q4 - 10:35ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
14.3%
81
85.7%
Q4 - 10:36ATLMISS Evans 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
16.3%
81
83.7%
Q4 - 10:59DENSmith 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)74
14.3%
81
85.7%
Q4 - 11:09ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)72
12.8%
81
87.2%
Q4 - 11:24DENBalkman Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)72
10.6%
81
89.4%
Q4 - 11:24DENMISS Balkman Free Throw 1 of 271
9.9%
81
90.1%
Q4 - 11:43ATLEvans 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST)71
10.5%
81
89.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN71
15.4%
78
84.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound71
18.2%
78
81.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Kleiza 39' 3PT Jump Shot71
16.2%
78
83.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLMurray Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)71
19.1%
78
80.9%
Q3 - 0:19.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)71
16.5%
78
83.5%
Q3 - 0:21.0DENSmith BLOCK (2 BLK)71
17.2%
78
82.8%
Q3 - 0:38.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)71
19.1%
78
80.9%
Q3 - 0:38.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)71
19.8%
77
80.2%
Q3 - 0:52.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)71
22.8%
76
77.2%
Q3 - 0:53.0DENMISS Billups 28' 3PT Jump Shot71
23.8%
76
76.2%
Q3 - 1:12ATLJohnson 12' Running Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)71
26.5%
76
73.5%
Q3 - 1:18ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)71
30.9%
74
69.1%
Q3 - 1:20ATLMISS Murray 19' Jump Shot71
33.6%
74
66.4%
Q3 - 1:42ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)71
30.9%
74
69.1%
Q3 - 1:44DENMISS Martin 19' Jump Shot71
32.1%
74
67.9%
Q3 - 1:52ATLMurray Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)71
34.9%
74
65.1%
Q3 - 2:04DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)71
31.1%
74
68.9%
Q3 - 2:04DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)70
29.9%
74
70.1%
Q3 - 2:13DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
27.2%
74
72.8%
Q3 - 2:16ATLMISS Pachulia Driving Layup69
26.1%
74
73.9%
Q3 - 2:19ATLHAWKS Rebound69
23.7%
74
76.3%
Q3 - 2:20ATLMISS Johnson 16' Fadeaway Jumper69
26.1%
74
73.9%
Q3 - 2:39DENSmith 13' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)69
23.7%
74
76.3%
Q3 - 3:05ATLPachulia Running Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)67
21.3%
74
78.7%
Q3 - 3:21ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
24.2%
72
75.8%
Q3 - 3:23DENMISS Anthony 28' 3PT Jump Shot67
25.3%
72
74.7%
Q3 - 3:50ATLBibby 28' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)67
27.9%
72
72.1%
Q3 - 3:56ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)67
35.4%
69
64.6%
Q3 - 3:58DENMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot67
36.8%
69
63.2%
Q3 - 4:06DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)67
40.1%
69
59.9%
Q3 - 4:07ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)67
35.3%
69
64.7%
Q3 - 4:07ATLMISS Williams Tip Shot67
38.7%
69
61.3%
Q3 - 4:09ATLMISS Williams 10' Running Jump Shot67
38.7%
69
61.3%
Q3 - 4:27ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)67
35.4%
69
64.6%
Q3 - 4:29DENMISS Jones 3' Layup67
36.8%
69
63.2%
Q3 - 4:54ATLJohnson Driving Layup (21 PTS)67
40.1%
69
59.9%
Q3 - 5:14DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)67
43.4%
67
56.6%
Q3 - 5:14DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 266
42.1%
67
57.9%
Q3 - 5:29DENNuggets Rebound66
43.9%
67
56.1%
Q3 - 5:30ATLMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot66
42.5%
67
57.5%
Q3 - 5:40ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
39.3%
67
60.7%
Q3 - 5:41DENMISS Anthony 28' 3PT Jump Shot66
40.7%
67
59.3%
Q3 - 6:05ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)66
43.7%
67
56.3%
Q3 - 6:05ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)66
44.3%
66
55.7%
Q3 - 6:05ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)66
47.4%
65
52.6%
Q3 - 6:07ATLMISS Horford 17' Jump Shot66
50.4%
65
49.6%
Q3 - 6:30DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)66
47.4%
65
52.6%
Q3 - 6:30DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)65
46.7%
65
53.3%
Q3 - 6:43ATLWilliams 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Horford 4 AST)64
43.7%
65
56.3%
Q3 - 6:56DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)64
47.4%
63
52.6%
Q3 - 6:56DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)63
46.7%
63
53.3%
Q3 - 6:56DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)62
43.7%
63
56.3%
Q3 - 6:56DENSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)62
40.8%
63
59.2%
Q3 - 7:16DENNuggets Rebound62
43.3%
63
56.7%
Q3 - 7:18ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot62
42.1%
63
57.9%
Q3 - 7:24ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
39.4%
63
60.6%
Q3 - 7:26DENMISS Anthony 14' Jump Shot62
40.6%
63
59.4%
Q3 - 7:42ATLHorford Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)62
43.3%
63
56.7%
Q3 - 8:02DENMartin 3' Layup (12 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)62
39.2%
63
60.8%
Q3 - 8:09DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)60
36.0%
63
64.0%
Q3 - 8:11ATLMISS Johnson Driving Dunk60
34.8%
63
65.2%
Q3 - 8:30DENBillups Foul Turnover (P1.T5)60
32.3%
63
67.7%
Q3 - 8:45ATLHorford Running Dunk (11 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)60
36.0%
63
64.0%
Q3 - 8:46ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)60
39.2%
61
60.8%
Q3 - 8:49ATLMISS Johnson 29' 3PT Jump Shot60
41.9%
61
58.1%
Q3 - 9:06DENJones 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)60
39.4%
61
60.6%
Q3 - 9:19ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)58
36.0%
61
64.0%
Q3 - 9:31ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)58
43.0%
58
57.0%
Q3 - 9:32DENMISS Martin 20' Jump Shot58
44.1%
58
55.9%
Q3 - 9:48ATLJohnson 20' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)58
46.7%
58
53.3%
Q3 - 10:13DENMartin 6' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)58
49.9%
56
50.1%
Q3 - 10:37ATLSmith 3' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)56
46.4%
56
53.6%
Q3 - 10:42ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
50.0%
54
50.0%
Q3 - 10:44DENMISS Jones 7' Running Jump Shot56
51.1%
54
48.9%
Q3 - 10:49DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
53.6%
54
46.4%
Q3 - 10:51ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot56
52.5%
54
47.5%
Q3 - 11:06DENBillups 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS)56
49.7%
54
50.3%
Q3 - 11:14DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
46.5%
54
53.5%
Q3 - 11:15ATLMISS Smith 6' Jump Shot54
45.3%
54
54.7%
Q3 - 11:38DENJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)54
42.8%
54
57.2%
Q3 - 11:38DENMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 253
42.0%
54
58.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN53
43.0%
54
57.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound53
43.0%
54
57.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Anthony 12' Turnaround Jump Shot53
40.5%
54
59.5%
Q2 - 0:12.0DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
42.6%
54
57.4%
Q2 - 0:14.0ATLMISS Bibby 28' 3PT Jump Shot53
41.8%
54
58.2%
Q2 - 0:33.0DENBillups 4' Driving Reverse Layup (9 PTS)53
40.1%
54
59.9%
Q2 - 0:43.0ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)51
36.2%
54
63.8%
Q2 - 0:43.0ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 251
37.0%
53
63.0%
Q2 - 0:43.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
36.9%
53
63.1%
Q2 - 0:44.0ATLMISS Johnson 11' Jump Shot51
38.6%
53
61.4%
Q2 - 1:00DENBillups 3' Reverse Layup (7 PTS)51
36.9%
53
63.1%
Q2 - 1:19ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)49
33.3%
53
66.7%
Q2 - 1:19ATLHAWKS Rebound49
31.2%
53
68.8%
Q2 - 1:19ATLMISS Johnson 12' Running Jump Shot49
32.7%
53
67.3%
Q2 - 1:46DENAnthony 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)49
31.2%
53
68.8%
Q2 - 2:05ATLBibby 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)47
28.4%
53
71.6%
Q2 - 2:27DENMartin Dunk (8 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)47
31.0%
51
69.0%
Q2 - 2:42ATLBibby Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)45
28.4%
51
71.6%
Q2 - 2:51DENAnthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)45
25.8%
51
74.2%
Q2 - 2:58ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)42
21.2%
51
78.8%
Q2 - 3:01ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
19.4%
51
80.6%
Q2 - 3:02DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot42
20.1%
51
79.9%
Q2 - 3:26ATLBibby 29' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)42
21.7%
51
78.3%
Q2 - 3:38ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
25.9%
48
74.1%
Q2 - 3:40DENMISS Carter 15' Jump Shot42
26.8%
48
73.2%
Q2 - 3:57ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)42
28.8%
48
71.2%
Q2 - 3:57ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)42
29.4%
47
70.6%
Q2 - 4:13DENSmith 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)42
31.3%
46
68.7%
Q2 - 4:30ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)40
28.9%
46
71.1%
Q2 - 4:30ATLHorford Putback Layup (9 PTS)40
28.9%
46
71.1%
Q2 - 4:32ATLMISS Williams 3' Running Layup40
33.2%
44
66.8%
Q2 - 4:56DENBalkman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)40
31.2%
44
68.8%
Q2 - 4:56DENBalkman Tip Shot (6 PTS)40
31.2%
44
68.8%
Q2 - 4:58DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)38
28.9%
44
71.1%
Q2 - 4:58DENMISS Anthony Tip Shot38
27.0%
44
73.0%
Q2 - 5:00DENMISS Anthony 5' Jump Shot38
27.0%
44
73.0%
Q2 - 5:16ATLWilliams 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)38
29.2%
44
70.8%
Q2 - 5:27ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
31.8%
42
68.2%
Q2 - 5:28DENMISS Smith 3' Driving Layup38
32.5%
42
67.5%
Q2 - 5:46ATLJohnson 17' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)38
34.3%
42
65.7%
Q2 - 6:02ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
36.9%
40
63.1%
Q2 - 6:03DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
37.9%
40
62.1%
Q2 - 6:22DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
40.1%
40
59.9%
Q2 - 6:23ATLMISS Williams Putback Layup38
39.1%
40
60.9%
Q2 - 6:26ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
36.9%
40
63.1%
Q2 - 6:28ATLMISS Williams 3' Driving Layup38
39.1%
40
60.9%
Q2 - 6:49DENBalkman Dunk (4 PTS)38
36.9%
40
63.1%
Q2 - 7:00ATLMurray 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)36
34.7%
40
65.3%
Q2 - 7:25DENKleiza 28' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)36
39.8%
37
60.2%
Q2 - 7:42ATLMurray 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)33
34.6%
37
65.4%
Q2 - 7:53ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
39.8%
34
60.2%
Q2 - 7:55DENMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot33
40.7%
34
59.3%
Q2 - 8:04DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
42.5%
34
57.5%
Q2 - 8:05DENMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot33
40.7%
34
59.3%
Q2 - 8:25ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
42.5%
34
57.5%
Q2 - 8:25ATLHorford Tip Shot (7 PTS)33
42.5%
34
57.5%
Q2 - 8:27ATLMISS Johnson Putback Layup33
47.1%
32
52.9%
Q2 - 8:29ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
45.3%
32
54.7%
Q2 - 8:31ATLMISS Johnson Layup33
47.1%
32
52.9%
Q2 - 8:33ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
45.3%
32
54.7%
Q2 - 8:36ATLMISS Johnson 20' Fadeaway Jumper33
47.1%
32
52.9%
Q2 - 8:51DENBalkman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
45.3%
32
54.7%
Q2 - 8:51DENBalkman Putback Layup (2 PTS)33
45.3%
32
54.7%
Q2 - 8:54DENMISS Carter 8' Running Jump Shot31
40.7%
32
59.3%
Q2 - 9:00ATLWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)31
42.5%
32
57.5%
Q2 - 9:21DENKleiza 4' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)31
39.7%
32
60.3%
Q2 - 9:37ATLJump Ball Horford vs. Carter: Tip to Smith29
37.2%
32
62.8%
Q2 - 10:00DENCarter 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Balkman 1 AST)29
34.7%
32
65.3%
Q2 - 10:22ATLMurray 18' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)26
30.3%
32
69.7%
Q2 - 10:44DENMartin 3' Running Layup (6 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)26
32.5%
30
67.5%
Q2 - 10:58ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)24
30.3%
30
69.7%
Q2 - 10:58ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 224
30.8%
29
69.2%
Q2 - 11:04ATLHAWKS Rebound24
30.5%
29
69.5%
Q2 - 11:05ATLMISS Horford 7' Hook Shot24
32.1%
29
67.9%
Q2 - 11:24DENCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)24
30.5%
29
69.5%
Q2 - 11:34DENNuggets Rebound24
32.8%
29
67.2%
Q2 - 11:34ATLMISS Murray 15' Jump Shot24
32.1%
29
67.9%
Q2 - 11:41ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)24
30.5%
29
69.5%
Q2 - 11:42DENMISS Balkman 17' Jump Shot24
31.2%
29
68.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN24
32.8%
29
67.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound24
32.8%
29
67.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Billups 29' 3PT Jump Shot24
31.2%
29
68.8%
Q1 - 0:07.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
32.6%
29
67.4%
Q1 - 0:07.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
33.1%
28
66.9%
Q1 - 0:07.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)24
35.3%
27
64.7%
Q1 - 0:09.0ATLMISS Pachulia Layup24
36.5%
27
63.5%
Q1 - 0:30.0ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
35.3%
27
64.7%
Q1 - 0:31.0DENMISS Billups 20' Jump Shot24
35.9%
27
64.1%
Q1 - 0:36.0DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
37.1%
27
62.9%
Q1 - 0:39.0ATLMISS Evans Layup24
36.5%
27
63.5%
Q1 - 0:40.0ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
35.3%
27
64.7%
Q1 - 0:41.0ATLMISS Horford 7' Jump Shot24
36.5%
27
63.5%
Q1 - 0:54.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
35.3%
27
64.7%
Q1 - 0:55.0DENMISS Smith 2' Layup24
35.8%
27
64.2%
Q1 - 1:11DENNuggets Rebound24
37.2%
27
62.8%
Q1 - 1:11ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot24
36.8%
27
63.2%
Q1 - 1:13ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
35.7%
27
64.3%
Q1 - 1:15ATLMISS Evans 27' 3PT Jump Shot24
36.7%
27
63.3%
Q1 - 1:22ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
35.7%
27
64.3%
Q1 - 1:26DENHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)24
36.1%
27
63.9%
Q1 - 1:39ATLMurray 4' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)24
37.2%
27
62.8%
Q1 - 2:02ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
40.1%
25
59.9%
Q1 - 2:04DENMISS Smith 28' 3PT Jump Shot24
40.7%
25
59.3%
Q1 - 2:28ATLJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)24
41.9%
25
58.1%
Q1 - 2:44DENBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)24
46.9%
22
53.1%
Q1 - 3:01ATLJohnson 13' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)21
42.2%
22
57.8%
Q1 - 3:20DENJones 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)21
44.4%
20
55.6%
Q1 - 3:44ATLJohnson 30' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)19
42.1%
20
57.9%
Q1 - 4:08DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)19
46.2%
17
53.8%
Q1 - 4:08DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 218
45.6%
17
54.4%
Q1 - 4:21ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)18
46.3%
17
53.7%
Q1 - 4:21ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
46.7%
16
53.3%
Q1 - 4:28ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
48.4%
15
51.6%
Q1 - 4:29DENMISS Anthony 4' Driving Layup18
49.2%
15
50.8%
Q1 - 4:48ATLJohnson 9' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
50.8%
15
49.2%
Q1 - 5:10DENAndersen Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)18
52.4%
13
47.6%
Q1 - 5:19DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
50.5%
13
49.5%
Q1 - 5:20DENMISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot16
48.8%
13
51.2%
Q1 - 5:22DENBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
50.5%
13
49.5%
Q1 - 5:24DENMISS Anthony Dunk16
48.8%
13
51.2%
Q1 - 5:26DENJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
50.5%
13
49.5%
Q1 - 5:28DENMISS Martin 18' Jump Shot16
48.8%
13
51.2%
Q1 - 5:50DENNuggets Rebound16
50.5%
13
49.5%
Q1 - 5:51ATLMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot16
49.8%
13
50.2%
Q1 - 6:06DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)16
47.9%
13
52.1%
Q1 - 6:06DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)15
47.6%
13
52.4%
Q1 - 6:14DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
45.9%
13
54.1%
Q1 - 6:16ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
45.2%
13
54.8%
Q1 - 6:27DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P2.T3)14
43.7%
13
56.3%
Q1 - 6:30ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
45.9%
13
54.1%
Q1 - 6:44DENAnthony Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)14
43.7%
13
56.3%
Q1 - 7:00DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
45.9%
13
54.1%
Q1 - 7:01ATLMISS Williams 29' 3PT Jump Shot14
45.1%
13
54.9%
Q1 - 7:13DENJones 4' Driving Layup (4 PTS)14
43.5%
13
56.5%
Q1 - 7:35ATLBibby 29' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)12
41.7%
13
58.3%
Q1 - 7:59DENMartin 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)12
45.6%
10
54.4%
Q1 - 8:07DENJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
43.5%
10
56.5%
Q1 - 8:10ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot10
42.9%
10
57.1%
Q1 - 8:22DENAnthony 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)10
41.5%
10
58.5%
Q1 - 8:35ATLHorford 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)8
39.5%
10
60.5%
Q1 - 8:52DENMartin 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)8
41.5%
8
58.5%
Q1 - 9:14DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
39.8%
8
60.2%
Q1 - 9:15ATLMISS Smith 28' 3PT Jump Shot6
39.2%
8
60.8%
Q1 - 9:39DENBillups 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
38.0%
8
62.0%
Q1 - 9:52ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
36.0%
8
64.0%
Q1 - 9:57DENSmith STEAL (1 STL)4
34.3%
8
65.7%
Q1 - 10:09ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
36.6%
8
63.4%
Q1 - 10:09ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
36.9%
7
63.1%
Q1 - 10:20DENAnthony 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
38.2%
6
61.8%
Q1 - 10:44ATLSmith Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)2
36.5%
6
63.5%
Q1 - 10:48ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
38.2%
4
61.8%
Q1 - 10:49DENMISS Billups 20' Jump Shot2
38.7%
4
61.3%
Q1 - 11:07ATLBibby 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)2
40.0%
4
60.0%
Q1 - 11:27DENJones 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
41.5%
2
58.5%
Q1 - 11:42ATLJohnson 2' Layup (2 PTS)0
40.0%
2
60.0%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Andersen: Tip to Bibby0
41.5%
0
58.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.00 50.0%
ATL
1.20 59.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
15
27
56%
ATL
15
26
58%
Midrange
DEN
15
35
43%
ATL
11
29
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
ATL
12
18.0
23
52%
78%
Free Throws
DEN
16
23
70%
ATL
21
25
84%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Martin1963%9.5 / 15
C. Anthony1638%8.0 / 21
C. Billups1150%5.5 / 11
J. Smith1137%5.5 / 15
L. Kleiza1071%5.0 / 7
D. Jones964%4.5 / 7
R. Balkman770%3.5 / 5
A. Carter550%2.5 / 5
C. Andersen375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson2552%12.5 / 24
M. Bibby20100%10.0 / 10
A. Horford1673%8.0 / 11
R. Murray1372%6.5 / 9
M. Williams1250%6.0 / 12
J. Smith1045%5.0 / 11
Z. Pachulia867%4.0 / 6
M. Evans542%2.5 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
79
+12
-7
91
ATL
72
+18
-12
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.00 50.0%
ATL
1.20 59.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.2
109.2
DEN 105.8
ATL 129.8 +23.9
Pace
94.5
89.8
DEN 92.4 +13.9
ATL 78.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
15.9
DEN 15.6 +2.8
ATL 18.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
50.4%
DEN 48.7%
ATL 56.4% +7.7%
TO %
15.8%
13.6%
DEN 7.4% +5.3%
ATL 12.7%
ORB %
27.5%
26.0%
DEN 23.7%
ATL 45.5% +21.8%
FTrt
38.2
32.3
DEN 29.9
ATL 32.1 +2.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.5%
56.1%
DEN 57.1%
ATL 71.1% +14.0%
STL %
9.1%
8.2%
DEN 10.5% +9.3%
ATL 1.2%
BLK %
9.7%
7.4%
DEN 3.6%
ATL 6.5% +2.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.8%
53.2%
DEN 50.0%
ATL 59.9% +9.9%
Rim FG%
60.5%
60.5%
DEN 55.6%
ATL 57.7% +2.1%
Mid FG%
38.7%
40.2%
DEN 42.9% +5.0%
ATL 37.9%
3P %
37.1%
36.6%
DEN 33.3%
ATL 52.2% +18.9%
FT %
76.0%
73.8%
DEN 69.6%
ATL 84.0% +14.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.7%
32.2%
DEN 35.1% +1.7%
ATL 33.3%
Mid Att. %
37.6%
42.4%
DEN 45.5%
ATL 37.2% +8.3%
3P Att. %
22.7%
25.3%
DEN 19.5%
ATL 29.5% +10.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENATL
Possessions8684
Possession Minutes22.325.7
Points91109
Rebounds2744
Assists2027
Steals91
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)7 (0)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)15 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)18 (5)29 (2)
Field Goals35-7738-78
At-the-Rim FG15-2715-26
Midrange FG15-3511-29
2-Point FG30-6226-55
3-Point FG5-1512-23
Free Throws16-2321-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 225 · 31
36.5
19
63%
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
3-4
75%
8-13
62%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 25
32.3
16
38%
4
3
0
0
3
2
3
1
7-8
88%
3-14
21%
1-3
33%
C · 6'10" 245 · 30
31.8
3
75%
6
0
2
1
0
1
1
5
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 210 · 32
31.6
11
50%
1
5
2
0
1
4
1
0
0-0
-
4-7
57%
1-4
25%
G · 6'6" 225 · 28
21.0
9
64%
3
2
0
0
1
2
1
2
1-2
50%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23
27.0
11
37%
2
0
2
0
0
2
1
1
0-2
0%
4-9
44%
1-5
20%
F · 6'8" 234 · 24
23.2
10
71%
3
0
0
1
1
4
0
3
3-3
100%
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 225 · 24
17.6
7
70%
2
1
0
0
0
4
2
0
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 34
16.4
5
50%
3
7
3
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-1
100%
G · 5'11" 185 · 34
2.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 26
#35 · C · 7'1" 245 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 7'0" 240 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
50%
27
20
9
2
7
0
9
18
16-23
70%
30-62
48%
5-15
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.