FinalWin Prob.pScore
1716%85
86
184%98
93
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
93.59299.5
CLE logo CLE
104.58982.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CavaliersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CavaliersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACLE
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA86
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0CLEMISS Wallace 1' Tip Shot86
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0CLEWallace REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)86
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)86
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0CLEVarejao Tip Shot (12 PTS)86
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0CLEWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)86
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0CLEMISS Wallace Tip Shot86
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)86
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0CLEMISS Varejao 1' Tip Shot86
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0CLEMISS West Free Throw 2 of 286
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 0:10.0CLEWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)86
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 0:10.0CLEWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.7%
90
99.3%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)86
2.2%
90
97.8%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Cook 29' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 0:21.0CLEGibson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T17)86
2.4%
90
97.6%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIACook 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)86
1.2%
90
98.8%
Q4 - 0:34.0CLEWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)83
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 0:34.0CLEWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)83
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 0:51.0CLEWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)83
1.3%
88
98.7%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot83
1.7%
88
98.3%
Q4 - 1:09CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)83
3.9%
88
96.1%
Q4 - 1:09CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)83
4.4%
87
95.6%
Q4 - 1:29MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)83
8.1%
86
91.9%
Q4 - 1:29MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)82
7.2%
86
92.8%
Q4 - 1:43CLEVarejao Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)81
5.9%
86
94.1%
Q4 - 1:43CLEMISS Varejao Free Throw 1 of 281
6.8%
85
93.2%
Q4 - 2:00MIAWade 1' Dunk (29 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)81
5.7%
85
94.3%
Q4 - 2:03CLEVarejao Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)79
4.3%
85
95.7%
Q4 - 2:28MIACook Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)79
2.2%
85
97.8%
Q4 - 2:28MIACook Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)78
2.0%
85
98.0%
Q4 - 2:28MIAHeat Rebound77
1.6%
85
98.4%
Q4 - 2:28CLEMISS Williams 13' Jump Shot77
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q4 - 2:43CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q4 - 2:46MIAWallace BLOCK (3 BLK)77
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q4 - 2:55CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)77
2.0%
85
98.0%
Q4 - 2:55CLEMISS James Free Throw 1 of 277
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q4 - 2:55CLECAVALIERS Rebound77
1.8%
84
98.2%
Q4 - 2:55CLEMISS West 3PT Jump Shot77
2.6%
84
97.4%
Q4 - 3:14CLEJump Ball West vs. Wade: Tip to Varejao77
1.7%
84
98.3%
Q4 - 3:27MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)77
3.1%
84
96.9%
Q4 - 3:27CLEMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
2.5%
84
97.5%
Q4 - 3:48MIAHaslem Traveling Turnover (P4.T15)77
2.8%
84
97.2%
Q4 - 4:02CLEJames Slam Dunk (30 PTS) (West 4 AST)77
4.1%
84
95.9%
Q4 - 4:06MIAWest STEAL (3 STL)77
5.7%
82
94.3%
Q4 - 4:20CLEWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (James 9 AST)77
8.4%
82
91.6%
Q4 - 4:32CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)77
16.2%
79
83.8%
Q4 - 4:33MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
18.0%
79
82.0%
Q4 - 4:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)77
22.7%
79
77.3%
Q4 - 4:46CLEMISS West 3PT Jump Shot77
20.5%
79
79.5%
Q4 - 5:01CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)77
17.7%
79
82.3%
Q4 - 5:02MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot77
19.3%
79
80.7%
Q4 - 5:22CLEWilliams 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (James 8 AST)77
23.3%
79
76.7%
Q4 - 5:46MIAHaslem Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)77
29.6%
77
70.4%
Q4 - 5:56MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)77
37.6%
77
62.4%
Q4 - 5:58CLEWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)77
29.6%
77
70.4%
Q4 - 5:58CLEMISS Wallace 1' Tip Shot77
35.1%
77
64.9%
Q4 - 6:00CLEMISS James Free Throw 2 of 277
36.5%
77
63.5%
Q4 - 6:00CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)77
31.6%
77
68.4%
Q4 - 6:00CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)77
37.2%
76
62.8%
Q4 - 6:02MIAVarejao BLOCK (2 BLK)77
37.0%
76
63.0%
Q4 - 6:15CLEWest 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 7 AST)77
42.4%
76
57.6%
Q4 - 6:28MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (27 PTS)77
57.2%
73
42.8%
Q4 - 6:35CLEWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)75
50.1%
73
49.9%
Q4 - 6:35CLEWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)75
51.2%
72
48.8%
Q4 - 6:45CLEWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)75
57.4%
71
42.6%
Q4 - 6:47MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
59.7%
71
40.3%
Q4 - 7:16CLEJames 8' Running Bank Shot (27 PTS)75
60.3%
71
39.7%
Q4 - 7:25CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
66.4%
69
33.6%
Q4 - 7:26MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot75
68.4%
69
31.6%
Q4 - 7:44CLEVarejao 1' Dunk (9 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)75
72.9%
69
27.1%
Q4 - 8:08MIABeasley 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)75
74.1%
67
25.9%
Q4 - 8:19CLEWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)73
68.7%
67
31.3%
Q4 - 8:19CLEWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)73
69.3%
66
30.7%
Q4 - 8:32CLECAVALIERS Rebound73
74.2%
65
25.8%
Q4 - 8:35MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 173
74.9%
65
25.1%
Q4 - 8:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)71
68.9%
65
31.1%
Q4 - 8:51CLEMISS Gibson 3PT Jump Shot71
67.2%
65
32.8%
Q4 - 9:03MIAGibson STEAL (1 STL)71
60.0%
65
40.0%
Q4 - 9:19MIAHeat Rebound71
65.5%
65
34.5%
Q4 - 9:19CLEMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
63.9%
65
36.1%
Q4 - 9:38MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)71
60.2%
65
39.8%
Q4 - 9:50CLEIlgauskas 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 6 AST)69
54.1%
65
45.9%
Q4 - 10:02CLECAVALIERS Rebound69
62.4%
62
37.6%
Q4 - 10:02MIAMISS Banks 5' Running Jump Shot69
64.0%
62
36.0%
Q4 - 10:14MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)69
67.6%
62
32.4%
Q4 - 10:15CLEMISS Varejao Free Throw 2 of 269
66.9%
62
33.1%
Q4 - 10:15CLEVarejao Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)69
64.1%
62
35.9%
Q4 - 10:26CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
67.8%
61
32.2%
Q4 - 10:27MIAMISS Banks 27' 3PT Jump Shot69
69.2%
61
30.8%
Q4 - 10:47CLEJames 22' Jump Shot (25 PTS)69
72.5%
61
27.5%
Q4 - 11:09MIACook 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Banks 5 AST)69
74.0%
59
26.0%
Q4 - 11:23CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)67
69.5%
59
30.5%
Q4 - 11:23CLEMISS James Free Throw 1 of 267
70.5%
58
29.5%
Q4 - 11:45CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
69.8%
58
30.2%
Q4 - 11:46MIAMISS Beasley 8' Jump Shot67
71.1%
58
28.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA67
74.0%
58
26.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound67
74.0%
58
26.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Banks 32' 3PT Jump Shot67
71.2%
58
28.8%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAHeat Rebound67
71.3%
58
28.7%
Q3 - 0:23.0CLEMISS Gibson 21' Jump Shot67
70.2%
58
29.8%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (23 PTS)67
67.6%
58
32.4%
Q3 - 0:40.0CLEJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)65
62.4%
58
37.6%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAWest STEAL (2 STL)65
58.1%
58
41.9%
Q3 - 0:54.0CLEVarejao Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)65
62.4%
58
37.6%
Q3 - 1:09MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)65
56.0%
58
44.0%
Q3 - 1:09MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)64
55.1%
58
44.9%
Q3 - 1:25CLEGibson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (West 3 AST)63
50.8%
58
49.2%
Q3 - 1:43MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS)63
61.0%
55
39.0%
Q3 - 2:01CLEVarejao 1' Layup (6 PTS) (James 5 AST)61
53.1%
55
46.9%
Q3 - 2:17MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS)61
57.9%
53
42.1%
Q3 - 2:25MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)59
53.3%
53
46.7%
Q3 - 2:26CLEMISS Varejao 1' Layup59
51.9%
53
48.1%
Q3 - 2:41MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)59
48.8%
53
51.2%
Q3 - 2:44CLEGibson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)59
53.4%
53
46.6%
Q3 - 2:52MIAWade 5' Running Bank Shot (15 PTS)59
48.8%
53
51.2%
Q3 - 3:08CLECAVALIERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)57
41.7%
53
58.3%
Q3 - 3:08CLECAVALIERS Rebound57
37.2%
53
62.8%
Q3 - 3:08CLEMISS Pavlovic 1' Layup57
40.3%
53
59.7%
Q3 - 3:36MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)57
37.3%
53
62.7%
Q3 - 3:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)55
33.5%
53
66.5%
Q3 - 3:56CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
29.4%
53
70.6%
Q3 - 3:56CLEMISS Ilgauskas 1' Tip Shot55
32.2%
53
67.8%
Q3 - 3:58CLEMISS West 20' Jump Shot55
32.2%
53
67.8%
Q3 - 4:24MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)55
28.6%
53
71.4%
Q3 - 4:46MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)53
25.7%
53
74.3%
Q3 - 4:47CLEMISS Ilgauskas 20' Jump Shot53
24.5%
53
75.5%
Q3 - 4:56CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
22.0%
53
78.0%
Q3 - 4:57MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot53
23.1%
53
76.9%
Q3 - 5:01CLEIlgauskas Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)53
24.7%
53
75.3%
Q3 - 5:05CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
21.4%
53
78.6%
Q3 - 5:06MIAMISS Marion 19' Jump Shot53
22.4%
53
77.6%
Q3 - 5:34CLEWest Driving Layup (3 PTS)53
24.8%
53
75.2%
Q3 - 5:52CLEWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)53
27.7%
51
72.3%
Q3 - 5:54MIAMISS Chalmers 7' Running Jump Shot53
28.9%
51
71.1%
Q3 - 6:24CLEJames 1' Driving Layup (22 PTS)53
30.4%
51
69.6%
Q3 - 6:43MIAMarion 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)53
33.6%
49
66.4%
Q3 - 6:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)51
30.4%
49
69.6%
Q3 - 6:52CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
26.8%
49
73.2%
Q3 - 6:52CLEMISS Ilgauskas 1' Tip Shot51
29.3%
49
70.7%
Q3 - 6:54CLEMISS West 1' Layup51
29.3%
49
70.7%
Q3 - 6:59MIAWest STEAL (1 STL)51
26.8%
49
73.2%
Q3 - 7:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
29.1%
49
70.9%
Q3 - 7:10CLEMISS James 20' Jump Shot51
28.1%
49
71.9%
Q3 - 7:30MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)51
26.0%
49
74.0%
Q3 - 7:42MIAHeat Rebound49
23.3%
49
76.7%
Q3 - 7:43CLEMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
22.4%
49
77.6%
Q3 - 8:09MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)49
20.2%
49
79.8%
Q3 - 8:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
18.0%
49
82.0%
Q3 - 8:20CLEMISS West 6' Running Jump Shot47
17.3%
49
82.7%
Q3 - 8:44CLEWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)47
15.7%
49
84.3%
Q3 - 8:46MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 247
16.0%
49
84.0%
Q3 - 8:46MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)47
17.4%
49
82.6%
Q3 - 8:48CLEWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)46
15.9%
49
84.1%
Q3 - 9:07CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
13.8%
49
86.2%
Q3 - 9:08MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 146
14.0%
49
86.0%
Q3 - 9:32CLEWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (James 4 AST)44
12.2%
49
87.8%
Q3 - 9:47MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P1.T8)44
15.6%
46
84.4%
Q3 - 10:01CLEWilliams Layup (10 PTS) (James 3 AST)44
17.4%
46
82.6%
Q3 - 10:05CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
19.5%
44
80.5%
Q3 - 10:08MIAMISS Haslem 1' Putback Layup44
20.2%
44
79.8%
Q3 - 10:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)44
21.9%
44
78.1%
Q3 - 10:12MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot44
20.2%
44
79.8%
Q3 - 10:26CLEWest Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)44
21.9%
44
78.1%
Q3 - 10:46MIAAnthony 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)44
19.5%
44
80.5%
Q3 - 11:01CLEIlgauskas Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)42
17.1%
44
82.9%
Q3 - 11:17CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
15.1%
44
84.9%
Q3 - 11:19MIAMISS Anthony 14' Jump Hook Shot42
15.7%
44
84.3%
Q3 - 11:38CLEWallace Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)42
17.1%
44
82.9%
Q3 - 11:40CLEWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)42
15.1%
44
84.9%
Q3 - 11:41CLEMISS James 23' Jump Shot42
16.5%
44
83.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA42
15.1%
44
84.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0CLEJames 23' Jump Shot (20 PTS)42
17.1%
44
82.9%
Q2 - 0:20.0MIAMarion 8' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)42
19.2%
42
80.8%
Q2 - 0:38.0CLEWilliams 1' Reverse Layup (8 PTS)40
16.7%
42
83.3%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)40
19.1%
40
80.9%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 239
18.7%
40
81.3%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)39
18.7%
40
81.3%
Q2 - 0:57.0CLEMISS Williams Reverse Layup39
18.2%
40
81.8%
Q2 - 1:05MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)39
17.0%
40
83.0%
Q2 - 1:14MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
18.4%
40
81.6%
Q2 - 1:16CLEMISS Varejao 12' Hook Shot39
18.0%
40
82.0%
Q2 - 1:34MIAMarion Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)39
17.0%
40
83.0%
Q2 - 1:38MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
18.4%
40
81.6%
Q2 - 1:39CLEMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot39
18.0%
40
82.0%
Q2 - 1:55CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
17.0%
40
83.0%
Q2 - 1:56MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot39
17.4%
40
82.6%
Q2 - 2:14CLEJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)39
18.2%
40
81.8%
Q2 - 2:33MIAHaslem Layup (9 PTS)39
22.3%
37
77.7%
Q2 - 2:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
20.2%
37
79.8%
Q2 - 2:37MIAWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)37
18.8%
37
81.2%
Q2 - 2:50CLEIlgauskas Foul Turnover (P1.T6)37
20.2%
37
79.8%
Q2 - 2:55CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
18.2%
37
81.8%
Q2 - 2:57MIAMISS Marion 3' Jump Shot37
18.8%
37
81.2%
Q2 - 3:15CLEJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)37
19.9%
37
80.1%
Q2 - 3:21CLEWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
23.8%
34
76.2%
Q2 - 3:23CLEMISS Gibson 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
25.7%
34
74.3%
Q2 - 3:41CLECAVALIERS Rebound37
23.8%
34
76.2%
Q2 - 3:41MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup37
24.6%
34
75.4%
Q2 - 3:47MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
26.5%
34
73.5%
Q2 - 3:48CLEMISS James 3PT Jump Shot37
25.7%
34
74.3%
Q2 - 3:57CLEWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)37
23.8%
34
76.2%
Q2 - 3:59CLEMISS James 2' Driving Layup37
25.7%
34
74.3%
Q2 - 4:17MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)37
23.2%
34
76.8%
Q2 - 4:36CLEGibson 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)35
21.3%
34
78.7%
Q2 - 4:55MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)35
23.3%
32
76.7%
Q2 - 4:55MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)34
22.8%
32
77.2%
Q2 - 5:08CLEJames 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)33
20.9%
32
79.1%
Q2 - 5:27CLEWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
23.0%
30
77.0%
Q2 - 5:29MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 133
23.2%
30
76.8%
Q2 - 5:47CLEVarejao 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Gibson 1 AST)31
20.9%
30
79.1%
Q2 - 6:08MIAWade 1' Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)31
22.5%
28
77.5%
Q2 - 6:14MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
20.9%
28
79.1%
Q2 - 6:17CLEMISS Pavlovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
20.2%
28
79.8%
Q2 - 6:31CLECAVALIERS Rebound29
18.8%
28
81.2%
Q2 - 6:32MIAMISS Cook 16' Jump Bank Shot29
19.4%
28
80.6%
Q2 - 6:42MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)29
20.9%
28
79.1%
Q2 - 6:44CLEMISS Ilgauskas 7' Jump Hook Shot29
20.2%
28
79.8%
Q2 - 6:59CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)29
18.8%
28
81.2%
Q2 - 7:01MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 2 of 229
18.6%
28
81.4%
Q2 - 7:01MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)29
19.8%
28
80.2%
Q2 - 7:14CLEVarejao Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
18.5%
28
81.5%
Q2 - 7:14CLEVarejao Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
19.0%
27
81.0%
Q2 - 7:31CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
20.2%
26
79.8%
Q2 - 7:32MIAMISS Cook 16' Jump Shot28
20.8%
26
79.2%
Q2 - 7:47MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)28
22.2%
26
77.8%
Q2 - 7:48CLEMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot28
21.6%
26
78.4%
Q2 - 7:59CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
20.2%
26
79.8%
Q2 - 8:01MIAMISS Magloire 7' Jump Hook Shot28
20.4%
26
79.6%
Q2 - 8:21MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
21.7%
26
78.3%
Q2 - 8:23CLEMISS Ilgauskas 1' Layup28
21.1%
26
78.9%
Q2 - 8:38MIABeasley Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)28
19.9%
26
80.1%
Q2 - 8:49MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)28
21.7%
26
78.3%
Q2 - 8:51CLEMISS Gibson 1' Driving Layup28
21.2%
26
78.8%
Q2 - 9:07MIAHeat Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#4)28
19.5%
26
80.5%
Q2 - 9:16MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
21.3%
26
78.7%
Q2 - 9:17CLEMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
20.7%
26
79.3%
Q2 - 9:24CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
19.5%
26
80.5%
Q2 - 9:26MIAMISS Diawara 3PT Jump Shot28
20.1%
26
79.9%
Q2 - 9:28MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)28
21.3%
26
78.7%
Q2 - 9:30MIAVarejao BLOCK (1 BLK)28
20.1%
26
79.9%
Q2 - 9:45CLEWilliams 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)28
21.3%
26
78.7%
Q2 - 10:02MIABeasley 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Banks 4 AST)28
22.9%
24
77.1%
Q2 - 10:18CLEWilliams 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
21.2%
24
78.8%
Q2 - 10:42MIABeasley 8' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS)26
22.9%
22
77.1%
Q2 - 10:55MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)24
21.2%
22
78.8%
Q2 - 10:55MIAMISS Beasley 4' Running Jump Shot24
19.9%
22
80.1%
Q2 - 11:06CLEWilliams Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)24
21.1%
22
78.9%
Q2 - 11:26MIACook 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Diawara 1 AST)24
19.4%
22
80.6%
Q2 - 11:32MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
17.9%
22
82.1%
Q2 - 11:33CLEMISS Gibson 10' Jump Shot22
17.5%
22
82.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLE22
16.4%
22
83.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIACook 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Banks 3 AST)22
16.4%
22
83.6%
Q1 - 0:09.0CLEJames 18' Turnaround Fadeaway (10 PTS)19
13.5%
22
86.5%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)19
15.0%
20
85.0%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
12.4%
20
87.6%
Q1 - 0:41.0CLEMISS James 20' Jump Shot16
12.2%
20
87.8%
Q1 - 0:56.0CLEPavlovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
11.6%
20
88.4%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Beasley 13' Jump Shot16
11.9%
20
88.1%
Q1 - 1:16MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
12.4%
20
87.6%
Q1 - 1:17CLEMISS Varejao 1' Putback Layup16
12.1%
20
87.9%
Q1 - 1:19CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
11.7%
20
88.3%
Q1 - 1:20CLEMISS James Free Throw 1 of 116
12.3%
20
87.7%
Q1 - 1:23CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
13.8%
18
86.2%
Q1 - 1:25MIAWest BLOCK (1 BLK)16
14.0%
18
86.0%
Q1 - 1:32MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)16
14.6%
18
85.4%
Q1 - 1:34MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot16
14.0%
18
86.0%
Q1 - 1:51CLEJames 23' Jump Shot (6 PTS)16
14.6%
18
85.4%
Q1 - 2:05MIABeasley Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)16
16.1%
16
83.9%
Q1 - 2:15CLEJames Foul Turnover (P1.T4)16
17.1%
16
82.9%
Q1 - 2:22CLEWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
16.1%
16
83.9%
Q1 - 2:23MIAMISS Beasley 15' Jump Shot16
16.4%
16
83.6%
Q1 - 2:24MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
17.1%
16
82.9%
Q1 - 2:26MIAJames BLOCK (1 BLK)16
16.4%
16
83.6%
Q1 - 2:49MIABanks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
17.1%
16
82.9%
Q1 - 2:50CLEMISS Gibson 3PT Jump Shot16
16.8%
16
83.2%
Q1 - 3:07MIABanks 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)16
15.7%
16
84.3%
Q1 - 3:20CLECAVALIERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)13
13.4%
16
86.6%
Q1 - 3:20CLECAVALIERS Rebound13
12.4%
16
87.6%
Q1 - 3:20CLEMISS Gibson 27' 3PT Jump Shot13
13.1%
16
86.9%
Q1 - 3:34CLEWest Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)13
12.4%
16
87.6%
Q1 - 3:44CLECAVALIERS Rebound13
13.4%
15
86.6%
Q1 - 3:44CLEMISS Gibson 8' Jump Shot13
14.2%
15
85.8%
Q1 - 3:49CLEGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
13.4%
15
86.6%
Q1 - 3:50MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot13
13.8%
15
86.2%
Q1 - 4:13MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
14.3%
15
85.7%
Q1 - 4:14CLEMISS Varejao Free Throw 2 of 213
14.1%
15
85.9%
Q1 - 4:14CLEMISS Varejao Free Throw 1 of 213
13.6%
15
86.4%
Q1 - 4:25CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
13.2%
15
86.8%
Q1 - 4:26MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot13
13.5%
15
86.5%
Q1 - 4:32MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
14.3%
15
85.7%
Q1 - 4:33CLEMISS West 20' Jump Shot13
13.9%
15
86.1%
Q1 - 4:47MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Banks 2 AST)13
13.2%
15
86.8%
Q1 - 4:59CLEWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)11
12.2%
15
87.8%
Q1 - 5:22MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
11.4%
15
88.6%
Q1 - 5:22MIAMagloire Layup (5 PTS)11
11.4%
15
88.6%
Q1 - 5:23MIAMISS Wade 8' Running Jump Shot9
10.1%
15
89.9%
Q1 - 5:33MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
10.7%
15
89.3%
Q1 - 5:34CLEMISS West 3PT Jump Shot9
10.4%
15
89.6%
Q1 - 5:52MIAMagloire 1' Reverse Layup (3 PTS) (Banks 1 AST)9
9.8%
15
90.2%
Q1 - 6:05MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
8.9%
15
91.1%
Q1 - 6:06CLEWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)7
8.3%
15
91.7%
Q1 - 6:06CLEMISS Wallace 1' Tip Shot7
8.7%
15
91.3%
Q1 - 6:08CLEMISS Ilgauskas 20' Jump Shot7
8.7%
15
91.3%
Q1 - 6:31MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)7
8.3%
15
91.7%
Q1 - 6:52MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
7.7%
15
92.3%
Q1 - 6:53CLEMISS James Free Throw 1 of 15
7.6%
15
92.4%
Q1 - 6:53CLEWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)5
8.3%
13
91.7%
Q1 - 6:55MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
9.0%
13
91.0%
Q1 - 6:55MIAMISS Marion 1' Tip Shot5
8.5%
13
91.5%
Q1 - 6:56MIAMISS Magloire 3' Layup5
8.5%
13
91.5%
Q1 - 7:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
8.8%
13
91.2%
Q1 - 7:04MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 25
8.2%
13
91.8%
Q1 - 7:04MIAMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
8.5%
13
91.5%
Q1 - 7:20CLEIlgauskas 1' Layup (7 PTS) (James 1 AST)4
8.2%
13
91.8%
Q1 - 7:32CLEWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
8.8%
11
91.2%
Q1 - 7:34MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot4
9.0%
11
91.0%
Q1 - 7:49CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)4
9.5%
11
90.5%
Q1 - 7:49CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)4
9.6%
10
90.4%
Q1 - 8:06MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
10.1%
9
89.9%
Q1 - 8:30CLEIlgauskas 1' Layup (3 PTS) (West 1 AST)4
10.9%
9
89.1%
Q1 - 8:46MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)4
11.7%
7
88.3%
Q1 - 9:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
12.6%
7
87.4%
Q1 - 9:10CLEMISS Ilgauskas Free Throw 2 of 24
12.5%
7
87.5%
Q1 - 9:10CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
11.9%
7
88.1%
Q1 - 9:27CLECAVALIERS Rebound4
12.7%
6
87.3%
Q1 - 9:27MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup4
12.9%
6
87.1%
Q1 - 9:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
13.5%
6
86.5%
Q1 - 9:34CLEMISS James 23' Jump Shot4
13.2%
6
86.8%
Q1 - 9:58MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)4
12.7%
6
87.3%
Q1 - 10:17CLEWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
11.9%
6
88.1%
Q1 - 10:17CLEWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
12.0%
5
88.0%
Q1 - 10:21MIAIlgauskas BLOCK (1 BLK)2
12.9%
4
87.1%
Q1 - 10:21CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
12.6%
4
87.4%
Q1 - 10:22MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
13.5%
4
86.5%
Q1 - 10:22MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Reverse Layup2
12.9%
4
87.1%
Q1 - 10:42CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
13.5%
4
86.5%
Q1 - 10:42CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
13.7%
3
86.3%
Q1 - 10:44CLEWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
14.3%
2
85.7%
Q1 - 10:45MIAWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)2
14.6%
2
85.4%
Q1 - 11:01CLEWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
14.8%
2
85.2%
Q1 - 11:01CLEWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
14.0%
2
86.0%
Q1 - 11:03MIAMISS Chalmers 17' Jump Shot2
14.2%
2
85.8%
Q1 - 11:21CLEWallace 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)2
14.8%
2
85.2%
Q1 - 11:43MIAAnthony 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
15.7%
0
84.3%
Q1 - 12:00CLEJump Ball Ilgauskas vs. Anthony: Tip to Marion0
14.9%
0
85.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.91 45.7%
CLE
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
29
55%
CLE
13
28
46%
Midrange
MIA
16
38
42%
CLE
11
28
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
3
4.5
14
21%
32%
CLE
7
10.5
20
35%
53%
Free Throws
MIA
13
20
65%
CLE
24
35
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2952%14.5 / 28
U. Haslem1568%7.5 / 11
D. Cook1267%6.0 / 9
M. Beasley938%4.5 / 12
M. Chalmers528%2.5 / 9
J. Magloire550%2.5 / 5
S. Marion433%2.0 / 6
J. Anthony450%2.0 / 4
M. Banks338%1.5 / 4
Y. Diawara0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3369%16.5 / 24
M. Williams2063%10.0 / 15
A. Varejao1250%6.0 / 12
D. West1146%5.5 / 12
Z. Ilgauskas1045%5.0 / 11
D. Gibson525%2.5 / 10
B. Wallace220%1.0 / 5
S. Pavlovic0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+13
-14
91
CLE
74
+16
-15
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.91 45.7%
CLE
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.6
112.0
MIA 93.5 +11.0
CLE 104.5
Pace
90.2
89.1
MIA 99.5 +16.8
CLE 82.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
17.2
MIA 14.5 +2.9
CLE 17.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
51.9%
MIA 45.1%
CLE 45.4% +0.3%
TO %
13.1%
13.4%
MIA 15.1% +0.6%
CLE 15.7%
ORB %
24.6%
27.8%
MIA 24.4%
CLE 27.3% +2.9%
FTrt
28.2
31.2
MIA 24.7
CLE 46.1 +21.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.1%
55.0%
MIA 65.7% +10.9%
CLE 54.8%
STL %
8.7%
8.1%
MIA 8.7% +2.0%
CLE 6.7%
BLK %
9.2%
8.7%
MIA 7.1%
CLE 11.9% +4.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.6%
54.3%
MIA 45.7%
CLE 48.9% +3.2%
Rim FG%
59.5%
62.0%
MIA 55.2% +8.8%
CLE 46.4%
Mid FG%
41.8%
40.8%
MIA 42.1% +2.8%
CLE 39.3%
3P %
35.7%
39.3%
MIA 21.4%
CLE 35.0% +13.6%
FT %
75.4%
75.7%
MIA 65.0%
CLE 68.6% +3.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
30.3%
MIA 35.8%
CLE 36.8% +1.0%
Mid Att. %
45.2%
43.8%
MIA 46.9%
CLE 36.8% +10.1%
3P Att. %
24.5%
25.9%
MIA 17.3%
CLE 26.3% +9.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIACLE
Possessions9289
Possession Minutes22.225.8
Points8693
Rebounds4346
Assists2317
Steals86
Blocks48
Turnovers (Team)14 (2)15 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (4)34 (5)
Field Goals35-8131-76
At-the-Rim FG16-2913-28
Midrange FG16-3811-28
2-Point FG32-6724-56
3-Point FG3-147-20
Free Throws13-2024-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 27
39.8
29
52%
4
8
2
0
2
2
0
4
5-7
71%
12-23
52%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 29
37.2
15
68%
9
1
0
1
4
2
4
5
1-1
100%
7-11
64%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 228 · 31
37.1
4
33%
10
1
2
0
4
3
1
9
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 23
34.0
5
28%
1
5
4
0
2
5
0
1
3-5
60%
1-4
25%
0-3
0%
C · 6'9" 245 · 26
14.7
4
50%
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 20
26.2
9
38%
5
1
0
0
2
2
3
2
1-3
33%
4-10
40%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 210 · 22
19.5
12
67%
3
1
0
1
0
5
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
2-4
50%
G · 6'2" 205 · 27
14.0
3
38%
1
5
0
2
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 265 · 31
12.1
5
50%
6
0
0
0
0
3
1
5
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26
5.5
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · G · 6'7" 192 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#22 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
46%
43
23
8
4
14
0
11
32
13-20
65%
32-67
48%
3-14
21%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.