FinalWin Prob.pScore
2238%94
77
1562%98
90
ORTG#PossPace
CHI logo CHI
84.69198.6
MIA logo MIA
96.89386.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA77
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0CHIMISS Hughes 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0CHISefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Diawara 3PT Jump Shot77
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0CHIMISS Noah Layup77
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0CHISimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20CHIHughes Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)77
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20CHIHughes Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)76
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24MIAMISS Cook 17' Jump Shot75
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)75
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42CHIMISS Hughes 3PT Jump Shot75
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot75
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)75
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:15CHIMISS Hughes 18' Jump Shot75
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:32MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (28 PTS)75
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 2:56MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot75
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 3:19MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 3:20CHIMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 3:26MIABeasley Tip Shot (14 PTS)75
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 3:27MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 3:28MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot75
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q4 - 3:43MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q4 - 3:44CHIMISS Nocioni 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
1.2%
86
98.8%
Q4 - 4:09CHIBulls Rebound75
1.5%
86
98.5%
Q4 - 4:10MIAMISS Cook 24' Jump Shot75
1.3%
86
98.7%
Q4 - 4:36CHINocioni 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Rose 3 AST)75
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q4 - 4:46MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)73
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q4 - 4:46MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)73
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q4 - 4:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)73
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q4 - 4:47CHIBeasley BLOCK (2 BLK)73
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q4 - 4:49CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
1.4%
84
98.6%
Q4 - 4:50CHIMISS Thomas 9' Jump Shot73
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q4 - 5:05MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)73
2.4%
84
97.6%
Q4 - 5:05MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)73
2.6%
83
97.4%
Q4 - 5:17CHIGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)73
3.3%
82
96.7%
Q4 - 5:27MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)73
4.6%
82
95.4%
Q4 - 5:27MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 273
4.9%
81
95.1%
Q4 - 5:37MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
4.5%
81
95.5%
Q4 - 5:38CHIMISS Gordon 19' Jump Shot73
5.0%
81
95.0%
Q4 - 5:49MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)73
6.2%
81
93.8%
Q4 - 6:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)73
13.5%
78
86.5%
Q4 - 6:03CHIMISS Rose 13' Jump Shot73
14.6%
78
85.4%
Q4 - 6:10CHIRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
17.5%
78
82.5%
Q4 - 6:11MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot73
16.2%
78
83.8%
Q4 - 6:24MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
13.4%
78
86.6%
Q4 - 6:25CHIMISS Hughes 19' Jump Shot73
14.5%
78
85.5%
Q4 - 6:38MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)73
17.4%
78
82.6%
Q4 - 6:56CHINoah Tip Shot (2 PTS)73
22.0%
76
78.0%
Q4 - 6:57CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
17.4%
76
82.6%
Q4 - 6:58CHIMISS Gordon 10' Floating Jump Shot71
14.4%
76
85.6%
Q4 - 7:21MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)71
18.7%
76
81.3%
Q4 - 7:30CHIHaslem STEAL (1 STL)71
28.3%
73
71.7%
Q4 - 7:46CHIHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
34.8%
73
65.2%
Q4 - 7:47MIAMISS Haslem 5' Jump Shot71
32.7%
73
67.3%
Q4 - 8:06CHIRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)71
29.5%
73
70.5%
Q4 - 8:06CHIRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)70
28.6%
73
71.4%
Q4 - 8:26MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)69
24.1%
73
75.9%
Q4 - 8:26MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)69
25.2%
72
74.8%
Q4 - 8:41CHIHughes 19' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)69
29.4%
71
70.6%
Q4 - 8:51MIACook 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)67
24.1%
71
75.9%
Q4 - 9:06CHINocioni Foul Turnover (P4.T14)67
35.6%
68
64.4%
Q4 - 9:21MIABanks Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)67
41.0%
68
59.0%
Q4 - 9:44CHISefolosha Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)67
35.6%
68
64.4%
Q4 - 9:44CHIMISS Sefolosha Free Throw 1 of 266
34.2%
68
65.8%
Q4 - 9:51MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)66
35.3%
68
64.7%
Q4 - 10:08CHIHughes Dunk (9 PTS)66
40.9%
66
59.1%
Q4 - 10:12MIABanks Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)64
35.4%
66
64.6%
Q4 - 10:15CHIBanks STEAL (1 STL)64
30.5%
66
69.5%
Q4 - 10:25CHINoah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
35.4%
66
64.6%
Q4 - 10:26MIAMISS Banks 21' Jump Shot64
33.9%
66
66.1%
Q4 - 10:54CHINocioni Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)64
30.5%
66
69.5%
Q4 - 11:11CHIHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
35.5%
66
64.5%
Q4 - 11:12MIAMISS Beasley 6' Jump Shot64
34.1%
66
65.9%
Q4 - 11:32MIABanks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
31.0%
66
69.0%
Q4 - 11:33CHIMISS Nocioni 20' Jump Shot64
32.3%
66
67.7%
Q4 - 11:45CHINoah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
35.5%
66
64.5%
Q4 - 11:46MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 164
34.8%
66
65.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA64
40.8%
64
59.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound64
40.8%
64
59.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Chalmers 54' 3PT Jump Shot64
44.3%
64
55.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0CHIHughes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)64
40.8%
64
59.2%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)64
45.2%
64
54.8%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)64
46.3%
63
53.7%
Q3 - 0:39.0CHINocioni 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)64
50.9%
62
49.1%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIABeasley 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)62
45.2%
62
54.8%
Q3 - 1:12CHIGordon 9' Floating Jump Shot (15 PTS)62
50.0%
60
50.0%
Q3 - 1:36CHIGray REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)60
44.7%
60
55.3%
Q3 - 1:37MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
43.3%
60
56.7%
Q3 - 1:58MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
40.3%
60
59.7%
Q3 - 1:59CHIMISS Hughes 22' Jump Shot60
41.7%
60
58.3%
Q3 - 2:18MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)60
44.3%
60
55.7%
Q3 - 2:18MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 260
45.3%
59
54.7%
Q3 - 2:38CHIHughes 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS)60
44.3%
59
55.7%
Q3 - 2:52MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)58
39.7%
59
60.3%
Q3 - 3:07MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
48.1%
56
51.9%
Q3 - 3:08CHIMISS Gordon 20' Jump Shot58
49.6%
56
50.4%
Q3 - 3:26CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)58
52.9%
56
47.1%
Q3 - 3:27CHIMISS Nocioni 19' Jump Shot58
49.6%
56
50.4%
Q3 - 3:33CHISefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
52.9%
56
47.1%
Q3 - 3:34MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot58
51.5%
56
48.5%
Q3 - 3:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)58
48.2%
56
51.8%
Q3 - 3:47MIAMISS Marion Layup58
51.5%
56
48.5%
Q3 - 3:58MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
48.2%
56
51.8%
Q3 - 3:59CHIMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
49.6%
56
50.4%
Q3 - 4:19CHIGray REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)58
52.5%
56
47.5%
Q3 - 4:21MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot58
51.0%
56
49.0%
Q3 - 4:47CHIGray Layup (12 PTS)58
47.5%
56
52.5%
Q3 - 5:05MIAChalmers 12' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS)56
43.0%
56
57.0%
Q3 - 5:30CHIHughes 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gray 1 AST)56
46.7%
54
53.3%
Q3 - 5:50MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Marion 3 AST)53
39.1%
54
60.9%
Q3 - 6:11CHIHughes 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)53
42.3%
52
57.7%
Q3 - 6:15CHIHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
38.7%
52
61.3%
Q3 - 6:16MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup51
37.5%
52
62.5%
Q3 - 6:34CHIGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)51
34.7%
52
65.3%
Q3 - 6:50MIAWade Driving Dunk (18 PTS)51
38.7%
52
61.3%
Q3 - 6:53CHIWade STEAL (1 STL)51
42.3%
50
57.7%
Q3 - 7:06MIAMarion Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)51
45.7%
50
54.3%
Q3 - 7:17MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)51
41.8%
50
58.2%
Q3 - 7:18CHIMISS Rose 19' Jump Shot51
43.0%
50
57.0%
Q3 - 7:41MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)51
45.8%
50
54.2%
Q3 - 7:52MIAHEAT Rebound51
53.3%
47
46.7%
Q3 - 7:53MIAMISS Anthony 2' Jump Shot51
56.1%
47
43.9%
Q3 - 7:59MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
53.3%
47
46.7%
Q3 - 8:00CHIMISS Deng 8' Jump Shot51
54.6%
47
45.4%
Q3 - 8:16MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)51
56.7%
47
43.3%
Q3 - 8:16MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 251
57.4%
46
42.6%
Q3 - 8:29CHIGordon 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS)51
56.4%
46
43.6%
Q3 - 8:42MIAMarion Putback Dunk (8 PTS)49
52.9%
46
47.1%
Q3 - 8:43MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)49
56.4%
44
43.6%
Q3 - 8:44MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot49
59.1%
44
40.9%
Q3 - 8:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)49
56.4%
44
43.6%
Q3 - 8:54CHIMISS Deng 21' Jump Shot49
57.6%
44
42.4%
Q3 - 9:05CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
59.6%
44
40.4%
Q3 - 9:06MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot49
58.5%
44
41.5%
Q3 - 9:24CHIThomas Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T8)49
56.0%
44
44.0%
Q3 - 9:40MIAMarion Tip Shot (6 PTS)49
59.7%
44
40.3%
Q3 - 9:42MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)49
63.1%
42
36.9%
Q3 - 9:43MIAMISS Marion Layup49
65.5%
42
34.5%
Q3 - 10:00CHIAnthony STEAL (1 STL)49
63.1%
42
36.9%
Q3 - 10:08CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
65.4%
42
34.6%
Q3 - 10:09MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot49
64.4%
42
35.6%
Q3 - 10:29CHIGray Layup (10 PTS)49
62.1%
42
37.9%
Q3 - 10:30CHIGray REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)47
58.7%
42
41.3%
Q3 - 10:31CHIAnthony BLOCK (4 BLK)47
56.3%
42
43.7%
Q3 - 10:37CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)47
58.7%
42
41.3%
Q3 - 10:38CHIMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
56.3%
42
43.7%
Q3 - 10:53MIAChalmers 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)47
58.7%
42
41.3%
Q3 - 11:11CHIGray 10' Hook Shot (8 PTS)47
61.2%
40
38.8%
Q3 - 11:23CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)45
58.1%
40
41.9%
Q3 - 11:24MIAMISS Wade 16' Fadeaway Jumper45
57.0%
40
43.0%
Q3 - 11:39CHIChalmers STEAL (2 STL)45
54.4%
40
45.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA45
58.1%
40
41.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)45
54.5%
40
45.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0CHIMISS Rose 10' Jump Shot45
55.2%
40
44.8%
Q2 - 0:22.0CHIRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
57.0%
40
43.0%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot45
56.2%
40
43.8%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)45
54.5%
40
45.5%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
56.2%
40
43.8%
Q2 - 0:39.0CHIThomas Dunk (6 PTS) (Nocioni 2 AST)45
54.4%
40
45.6%
Q2 - 0:43.0CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)43
50.3%
40
49.7%
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Chalmers 8' Jump Shot43
49.5%
40
50.5%
Q2 - 1:07CHIThomas Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)43
47.4%
40
52.6%
Q2 - 1:23MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)43
49.9%
40
50.1%
Q2 - 1:23MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 243
50.5%
39
49.5%
Q2 - 1:29CHIRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)43
50.8%
39
49.2%
Q2 - 1:29CHIRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)42
50.2%
39
49.8%
Q2 - 1:29MIAMISS Wade Free Throw Technical41
46.6%
39
53.4%
Q2 - 1:34CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)41
46.6%
39
53.4%
Q2 - 1:35MIAMISS Cook 3PT Jump Shot41
45.9%
39
54.1%
Q2 - 1:45MIAHEAT Rebound41
44.2%
39
55.8%
Q2 - 1:46MIAMISS Cook Driving Layup41
45.9%
39
54.1%
Q2 - 1:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)41
44.2%
39
55.8%
Q2 - 1:54MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
45.9%
39
54.1%
Q2 - 2:10CHIRose Driving Layup (6 PTS)41
43.2%
39
56.8%
Q2 - 2:15CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
40.2%
39
59.8%
Q2 - 2:16CHIMISS Thomas 16' Jump Shot39
38.1%
39
61.9%
Q2 - 2:31MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)39
40.2%
39
59.8%
Q2 - 2:45CHINocioni Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)39
37.2%
39
62.8%
Q2 - 3:02MIACook 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)39
40.2%
39
59.8%
Q2 - 3:23CHIGray Layup (6 PTS)39
45.9%
36
54.1%
Q2 - 3:24CHIGray REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)37
43.3%
36
56.7%
Q2 - 3:26CHIMISS Gordon 7' Floating Jump Shot37
40.8%
36
59.2%
Q2 - 3:40MIAWade 5' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)37
43.3%
36
56.7%
Q2 - 3:59CHIDeng Layup (8 PTS)37
45.9%
34
54.1%
Q2 - 4:00CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)35
43.3%
34
56.7%
Q2 - 4:01CHIMISS Deng Layup35
40.5%
34
59.5%
Q2 - 4:02CHIGray REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)35
42.7%
34
57.3%
Q2 - 4:03CHIMISS Nocioni 11' Jump Shot35
40.5%
34
59.5%
Q2 - 4:11CHIGray REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)35
42.7%
34
57.3%
Q2 - 4:13MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot35
41.7%
34
58.3%
Q2 - 4:27CHIGray 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)35
39.6%
34
60.4%
Q2 - 4:29CHIGray REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
36.9%
34
63.1%
Q2 - 4:30CHIMISS Gray 4' Jump Shot33
34.8%
34
65.2%
Q2 - 4:31CHIGray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
36.9%
34
63.1%
Q2 - 4:33CHIMISS Rose 6' Hook Shot33
34.8%
34
65.2%
Q2 - 4:59MIAAnthony 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)33
36.9%
34
63.1%
Q2 - 5:15CHINocioni 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)33
39.7%
32
60.3%
Q2 - 5:28MIAWade 10' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS)30
34.1%
32
65.9%
Q2 - 5:48CHIDeng 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nocioni 1 AST)30
36.9%
30
63.1%
Q2 - 6:06MIAChalmers Layup (6 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)28
34.3%
30
65.7%
Q2 - 6:09CHIChalmers STEAL (1 STL)28
36.5%
28
63.5%
Q2 - 6:24MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)28
39.7%
28
60.3%
Q2 - 6:29MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
42.0%
26
58.0%
Q2 - 6:30CHIMISS Hughes 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
43.0%
26
57.0%
Q2 - 6:46MIAMarion Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)28
45.3%
26
54.7%
Q2 - 7:04MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)28
47.5%
24
52.5%
Q2 - 7:05CHIMISS Rose 5' Jump Shot28
48.4%
24
51.6%
Q2 - 7:17CHIGray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
50.4%
24
49.6%
Q2 - 7:18MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot28
49.5%
24
50.5%
Q2 - 7:31CHINocioni Foul Turnover (P1.T2)28
47.5%
24
52.5%
Q2 - 8:01CHINoah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
49.8%
24
50.2%
Q2 - 8:02MIAMISS Banks 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
48.9%
24
51.1%
Q2 - 8:18CHIRose Putback Layup (4 PTS)28
47.1%
24
52.9%
Q2 - 8:19CHIRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
44.3%
24
55.7%
Q2 - 8:20CHIMISS Rose 8' Jump Shot26
42.5%
24
57.5%
Q2 - 8:30MIABeasley 6' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
44.3%
24
55.7%
Q2 - 8:47CHIRose Dunk (2 PTS) (Sefolosha 1 AST)26
47.2%
22
52.8%
Q2 - 8:50MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)24
44.3%
22
55.7%
Q2 - 9:02MIABanks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
41.2%
22
58.8%
Q2 - 9:04CHIMISS Sefolosha 19' Jump Shot24
42.0%
22
58.0%
Q2 - 9:19CHISefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
43.9%
22
56.1%
Q2 - 9:20MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot24
43.1%
22
56.9%
Q2 - 9:30MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
41.3%
22
58.7%
Q2 - 9:32CHIBeasley BLOCK (1 BLK)24
42.1%
22
57.9%
Q2 - 9:47MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)24
43.9%
22
56.1%
Q2 - 9:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
46.6%
20
53.4%
Q2 - 9:54CHIMISS Rose 18' Jump Shot24
47.4%
20
52.6%
Q2 - 10:02CHINoah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
49.0%
20
51.0%
Q2 - 10:03MIAMISS Anthony 4' Jump Shot24
48.1%
20
51.9%
Q2 - 10:20MIAHEAT Rebound24
46.3%
20
53.7%
Q2 - 10:20MIAMISS Anthony 4' Jump Shot24
48.1%
20
51.9%
Q2 - 10:21MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)24
46.3%
20
53.7%
Q2 - 10:22MIAMISS Beasley Driving Finger Roll Layup24
48.1%
20
51.9%
Q2 - 10:43CHINocioni 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hughes 1 AST)24
46.3%
20
53.7%
Q2 - 11:03MIAWade Driving Layup (6 PTS)21
41.0%
20
59.0%
Q2 - 11:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
43.5%
18
56.5%
Q2 - 11:12CHIMISS Nocioni 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
44.3%
18
55.7%
Q2 - 11:26MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P1.T6)21
46.1%
18
53.9%
Q2 - 11:36CHIBulls Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)21
43.5%
18
56.5%
Q2 - 11:36CHIBulls Rebound21
46.1%
18
53.9%
Q2 - 11:37CHIWade BLOCK (1 BLK)21
44.3%
18
55.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA21
46.1%
18
53.9%
Q1 - 0:06.0CHIGordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)21
43.2%
18
56.8%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Banks 1 AST)18
37.9%
18
62.1%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIABanks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
40.8%
16
59.2%
Q1 - 0:37.0CHICook BLOCK (1 BLK)18
41.4%
16
58.6%
Q1 - 0:44.0CHIHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
42.7%
16
57.3%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Haslem 6' Hook Shot18
42.1%
16
57.9%
Q1 - 1:04MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
40.7%
16
59.3%
Q1 - 1:05CHIMISS Gordon 8' Jump Shot18
41.2%
16
58.8%
Q1 - 1:14CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
42.3%
16
57.7%
Q1 - 1:15MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
41.8%
16
58.2%
Q1 - 1:44MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)18
40.7%
16
59.3%
Q1 - 1:45CHIMISS Hughes 18' Jump Shot18
41.2%
16
58.8%
Q1 - 1:59MIABanks Driving Layup (2 PTS)18
42.3%
16
57.7%
Q1 - 2:11MIAHEAT Rebound18
45.0%
14
55.0%
Q1 - 2:12MIAMISS Marion 17' Jump Shot18
46.3%
14
53.7%
Q1 - 2:32CHIGordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)18
45.0%
14
55.0%
Q1 - 2:38MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)15
40.1%
14
59.9%
Q1 - 2:42MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
38.3%
14
61.7%
Q1 - 2:44CHIMISS Nocioni 16' Jump Shot15
38.8%
14
61.2%
Q1 - 3:04CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
40.1%
14
59.9%
Q1 - 3:05CHIMISS Nocioni 3PT Jump Shot15
38.6%
14
61.4%
Q1 - 3:13CHINoah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
40.1%
14
59.9%
Q1 - 3:15MIAMISS Haslem 12' Jump Shot15
39.5%
14
60.5%
Q1 - 3:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)15
38.0%
14
62.0%
Q1 - 3:21MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup15
39.5%
14
60.5%
Q1 - 3:35MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)15
38.0%
14
62.0%
Q1 - 3:36CHIMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 115
38.3%
14
61.7%
Q1 - 3:42MIACook Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)13
35.8%
14
64.2%
Q1 - 4:02CHIGordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)13
33.5%
14
66.5%
Q1 - 4:08CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
29.8%
14
70.2%
Q1 - 4:09MIAMISS Marion 6' Jump Shot10
29.2%
14
70.8%
Q1 - 4:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)10
27.8%
14
72.2%
Q1 - 4:18CHIAnthony BLOCK (3 BLK)10
28.4%
14
71.6%
Q1 - 4:32MIAChalmers 7' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
29.8%
14
70.2%
Q1 - 4:57CHIThomas Dunk (4 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)10
31.6%
12
68.4%
Q1 - 5:01MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)8
30.0%
12
70.0%
Q1 - 5:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
28.0%
12
72.0%
Q1 - 5:05CHIMISS Deng 8' Hook Shot8
28.6%
12
71.4%
Q1 - 5:24MIAAnthony Dunk (2 PTS)8
30.0%
12
70.0%
Q1 - 5:26MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
31.6%
10
68.4%
Q1 - 5:27MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
33.0%
10
67.0%
Q1 - 5:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
31.6%
10
68.4%
Q1 - 5:44CHIMISS Gray 9' Turnaround Hook Shot8
32.2%
10
67.8%
Q1 - 5:56CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
33.7%
10
66.3%
Q1 - 5:57MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
33.0%
10
67.0%
Q1 - 6:20MIAHEAT Rebound8
31.5%
10
68.5%
Q1 - 6:21CHIMISS Deng 18' Jump Shot8
32.1%
10
67.9%
Q1 - 6:32CHIGray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
33.4%
10
66.6%
Q1 - 6:33MIAMISS Anthony 9' Hook Shot8
32.8%
10
67.2%
Q1 - 6:44MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)8
31.5%
10
68.5%
Q1 - 6:45CHIMISS Thomas 16' Jump Shot8
32.1%
10
67.9%
Q1 - 7:05MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T2)8
33.3%
10
66.7%
Q1 - 7:16MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
31.2%
10
68.8%
Q1 - 7:17CHIMISS Rose Layup8
31.9%
10
68.1%
Q1 - 7:21MIAAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
33.3%
10
66.7%
Q1 - 7:23MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
31.2%
10
68.8%
Q1 - 7:24CHIMISS Rose 16' Jump Shot8
31.9%
10
68.1%
Q1 - 7:32MIAWade 18' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)8
33.3%
10
66.7%
Q1 - 7:51CHIDeng 9' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
35.0%
8
65.0%
Q1 - 8:11MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)6
33.0%
8
67.0%
Q1 - 8:27MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
35.0%
6
65.0%
Q1 - 8:28CHIMISS Gray Free Throw 2 of 26
35.2%
6
64.8%
Q1 - 8:28CHIGray Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)6
36.3%
6
63.7%
Q1 - 8:39MIAWade Driving Layup (2 PTS)5
35.0%
6
65.0%
Q1 - 8:53CHIGordon Reverse Layup (2 PTS)5
36.9%
4
63.1%
Q1 - 9:01MIAMarion 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)3
35.1%
4
64.9%
Q1 - 9:13MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
37.1%
2
62.9%
Q1 - 9:14CHIMISS Gray Free Throw 2 of 23
37.3%
2
62.7%
Q1 - 9:14CHIGray Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
38.3%
2
61.7%
Q1 - 9:29MIAChalmers Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
36.9%
2
63.1%
Q1 - 9:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
38.9%
0
61.1%
Q1 - 9:38CHIMISS Deng 21' Jump Shot2
39.5%
0
60.5%
Q1 - 9:49CHIGray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
40.7%
0
59.3%
Q1 - 9:50MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot2
40.1%
0
59.9%
Q1 - 10:11MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
38.4%
0
61.6%
Q1 - 10:12CHIAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)2
39.0%
0
61.0%
Q1 - 10:16CHIBulls Rebound2
40.3%
0
59.7%
Q1 - 10:17CHIAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)2
39.0%
0
61.0%
Q1 - 10:30CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
40.3%
0
59.7%
Q1 - 10:31MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot2
39.7%
0
60.3%
Q1 - 10:49MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
38.5%
0
61.5%
Q1 - 10:50CHIMISS Rose 14' Jump Shot2
39.0%
0
61.0%
Q1 - 10:59CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
40.3%
0
59.7%
Q1 - 11:00MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
39.8%
0
60.2%
Q1 - 11:24CHIThomas 15' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)2
37.8%
0
62.2%
Q1 - 11:44CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.4%
0
63.6%
Q1 - 11:46MIAMISS Marion 5' Finger Roll Layup0
35.9%
0
64.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Gray: Tip to Haslem0
34.8%
0
65.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
0.85 42.3%
MIA
0.93 46.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHI
14
26
54%
MIA
15
28
54%
Midrange
CHI
11
42
26%
MIA
15
39
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHI
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
MIA
6
9.0
18
33%
50%
Free Throws
CHI
9
13
69%
MIA
12
18
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Gordon1547%7.5 / 16
L. Hughes1343%6.5 / 15
A. Gray1267%6.0 / 9
D. Rose1031%5.0 / 16
A. Nocioni1045%5.0 / 11
L. Deng840%4.0 / 10
T. Thomas638%3.0 / 8
J. Noah233%1.0 / 3
T. Sefolosha125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2852%14.0 / 27
M. Chalmers1673%8.0 / 11
M. Beasley1458%7.0 / 12
D. Cook1246%6.0 / 13
S. Marion844%4.0 / 9
U. Haslem627%3.0 / 11
J. Anthony433%2.0 / 6
M. Banks233%1.0 / 3
Y. Diawara0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHI
76
+15
-15
91
MIA
82
+15
-11
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
0.85 42.3%
MIA
0.93 46.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.4
107.6
CHI 84.6
MIA 96.8 +12.2
Pace
93.2
90.2
CHI 98.6 +12.0
MIA 86.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.3
CHI 14.6 +2.0
MIA 16.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.3%
50.0%
CHI 40.5%
MIA 45.9% +5.4%
TO %
14.7%
13.1%
CHI 15.1%
MIA 10.6% +4.5%
ORB %
28.0%
24.6%
CHI 24.5% +1.8%
MIA 22.7%
FTrt
30.0
28.2
CHI 15.5
MIA 21.2 +5.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.4%
55.1%
CHI 35.5%
MIA 36.1% +0.6%
STL %
7.9%
8.7%
CHI 7.7% +1.2%
MIA 6.5%
BLK %
8.3%
9.2%
CHI 9.0%
MIA 11.8% +2.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.6%
52.6%
CHI 42.3%
MIA 46.4% +4.1%
Rim FG%
56.2%
59.5%
CHI 53.8% +0.2%
MIA 53.6%
Mid FG%
40.7%
41.8%
CHI 26.2%
MIA 38.5% +12.3%
3P %
38.1%
35.7%
CHI 37.5% +4.2%
MIA 33.3%
FT %
79.6%
75.4%
CHI 69.2% +2.5%
MIA 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.0%
30.3%
CHI 31.0%
MIA 32.9% +2.0%
Mid Att. %
46.2%
45.2%
CHI 50.0%
MIA 45.9% +4.1%
3P Att. %
18.9%
24.5%
CHI 19.0%
MIA 21.2% +2.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHIMIA
Possessions9193
Possession Minutes22.125.8
Points7790
Rebounds4750
Assists1113
Steals76
Blocks68
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (2)10 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (1)40 (1)
Field Goals31-8436-85
At-the-Rim FG14-2615-28
Midrange FG11-4215-39
2-Point FG25-6830-67
3-Point FG6-166-18
Free Throws9-1312-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 190 · 20
38.4
10
31%
3
3
1
0
5
0
1
2
4-4
100%
3-14
21%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 205 · 26
37.1
15
47%
1
1
0
0
2
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-10
30%
3-6
50%
F · 6'10" 225 · 22
26.1
6
38%
6
0
4
1
2
2
1
5
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 270 · 24
25.3
12
67%
11
1
0
0
0
4
5
6
2-4
50%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 220 · 24
22.1
8
40%
9
2
0
0
0
0
3
6
0-1
0%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 185 · 30
29.5
13
43%
4
1
2
1
1
0
0
4
2-2
100%
4-9
44%
1-5
20%
· 6'7" 225 · 29
27.5
10
45%
3
2
0
1
4
5
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
33%
2-5
40%
F · 6'7" 220 · 25
17.0
1
25%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 230 · 24
15.8
2
33%
6
0
0
2
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 23
1.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 38
#51 · F-C · 6'8" 248 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#90 · F · 6'10" 250 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · G · 6'4" 190 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
77
42%
47
11
7
6
15
0
13
34
9-13
69%
25-68
37%
6-16
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.