FinalWin Prob.pScore
2626%97
88
1574%105
96
ORTG#PossPace
GSW logo GSW
91.796101.3
MIA logo MIA
100.09691.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventGSWMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA88
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0GSWMISS Azubuike Driving Layup88
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)88
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)88
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0GSWWatson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)88
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAWade Driving Layup (30 PTS)85
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0GSWNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)85
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 0:52.0GSWNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)84
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 1:00GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)83
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 1:01MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 283
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 1:01MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 283
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 1:02GSWNelson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T17)83
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 1:06MIACook 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)83
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 1:23GSWAzubuike 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)83
1.0%
90
99.0%
Q4 - 1:32MIAWade Driving Layup (28 PTS)80
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 1:42MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)80
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q4 - 1:43GSWMISS Morrow 17' Jump Shot80
1.1%
88
98.9%
Q4 - 1:53MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P3.T21)80
1.8%
88
98.2%
Q4 - 2:00MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q4 - 2:01GSWMISS Azubuike 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
1.2%
88
98.8%
Q4 - 2:13MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)80
1.9%
88
98.1%
Q4 - 2:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)80
2.1%
87
97.9%
Q4 - 2:25MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
2.6%
86
97.4%
Q4 - 2:27GSWMISS Watson 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
3.1%
86
96.9%
Q4 - 2:37MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T20)80
5.1%
86
94.9%
Q4 - 2:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)80
2.5%
86
97.5%
Q4 - 2:46GSWMISS Watson 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
3.1%
86
96.9%
Q4 - 3:06MIAMarion Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)80
5.7%
86
94.3%
Q4 - 3:25GSWMorrow 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Azubuike 3 AST)80
7.6%
84
92.4%
Q4 - 3:46MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)78
7.4%
84
92.6%
Q4 - 3:46MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)78
8.0%
83
92.0%
Q4 - 3:46MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
10.2%
82
89.8%
Q4 - 3:47GSWMISS Azubuike 17' Jump Shot78
11.5%
82
88.5%
Q4 - 4:07GSWMorrow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)78
14.5%
82
85.5%
Q4 - 4:08MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 278
13.8%
82
86.2%
Q4 - 4:08MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 278
11.0%
82
89.0%
Q4 - 4:19GSWMorrow Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)78
10.0%
82
90.0%
Q4 - 4:21GSWNelson 3' Jump Shot (4 PTS)77
7.0%
82
93.0%
Q4 - 4:26GSWNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)75
5.0%
82
95.0%
Q4 - 4:27GSWMISS Nelson 5' Jump Shot75
3.8%
82
96.2%
Q4 - 4:38GSWMorrow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)75
4.9%
82
95.1%
Q4 - 4:40MIAMISS Cook 14' Jump Shot75
4.4%
82
95.6%
Q4 - 4:44MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)75
3.3%
82
96.7%
Q4 - 4:45MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
4.3%
82
95.7%
Q4 - 4:56MIAHEAT Rebound75
3.3%
82
96.7%
Q4 - 4:57MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
4.3%
82
95.7%
Q4 - 5:05MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)75
4.8%
82
95.2%
Q4 - 5:06GSWMISS Nelson Driving Layup75
5.3%
82
94.7%
Q4 - 5:12MIAWade 4' Running Jump Shot (24 PTS)75
6.6%
82
93.4%
Q4 - 5:26GSWNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)75
8.8%
80
91.2%
Q4 - 5:26GSWNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)74
8.0%
80
92.0%
Q4 - 5:27MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T19)73
6.5%
80
93.5%
Q4 - 5:37GSWMorrow 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)73
4.7%
80
95.3%
Q4 - 5:42MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (22 PTS)71
3.4%
80
96.6%
Q4 - 5:52MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)71
4.6%
78
95.4%
Q4 - 6:01MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
7.1%
78
92.9%
Q4 - 6:05MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)71
5.7%
78
94.3%
Q4 - 6:07GSWMISS Morrow 21' Jump Shot71
6.3%
78
93.7%
Q4 - 6:43GSWAzubuike REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)71
7.6%
78
92.4%
Q4 - 6:44MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 171
7.3%
78
92.7%
Q4 - 6:44MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
9.9%
76
90.1%
Q4 - 6:44MIAMISS Marion Alley Oop Layup71
12.1%
76
87.9%
Q4 - 6:56GSWTuriaf Tip Shot (5 PTS)71
9.9%
76
90.1%
Q4 - 6:57GSWTuriaf REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)69
7.6%
76
92.4%
Q4 - 6:58GSWMISS Turiaf Tip Shot69
6.2%
76
93.8%
Q4 - 6:59GSWTuriaf REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
7.6%
76
92.4%
Q4 - 7:00GSWMISS Nelson 4' Jump Shot69
6.2%
76
93.8%
Q4 - 7:09GSWWatson Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)69
8.4%
76
91.6%
Q4 - 7:23MIAWade Driving Layup (20 PTS)68
6.5%
76
93.5%
Q4 - 7:38GSWAzubuike 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Turiaf 2 AST)68
8.2%
74
91.8%
Q4 - 7:58MIAQuinn Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T18)65
5.0%
74
95.0%
Q4 - 8:22GSWWatson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Turiaf 1 AST)65
4.4%
74
95.6%
Q4 - 8:43GSWTuriaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
2.6%
74
97.4%
Q4 - 8:44MIAMISS Diawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
2.5%
74
97.5%
Q4 - 8:55GSWWarriors Turnover: Backcourt (T#16)62
2.1%
74
97.9%
Q4 - 9:09MIAAnthony 10' Turnaround Hook Shot (5 PTS)62
3.2%
74
96.8%
Q4 - 9:30GSWBelinelli 8' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)62
4.1%
72
95.9%
Q4 - 9:46MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)60
3.2%
72
96.8%
Q4 - 9:46MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 260
3.4%
71
96.6%
Q4 - 10:06GSWRandolph Layup (10 PTS)60
3.7%
71
96.3%
Q4 - 10:08GSWRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
2.9%
71
97.1%
Q4 - 10:09GSWBeasley BLOCK (1 BLK)58
2.5%
71
97.5%
Q4 - 10:23MIABeasley 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)58
2.9%
71
97.1%
Q4 - 10:47GSWWatson 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Belinelli 3 AST)58
3.6%
69
96.4%
Q4 - 11:09GSWMorrow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
3.3%
69
96.7%
Q4 - 11:10MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot56
3.1%
69
96.9%
Q4 - 11:20MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
2.7%
69
97.3%
Q4 - 11:21GSWMISS Morrow 22' Jump Shot56
2.9%
69
97.1%
Q4 - 11:34MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)56
3.3%
69
96.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0GSW56
4.1%
67
95.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAWade 14' Jump Shot (18 PTS)56
5.5%
67
94.5%
Q3 - 0:20.0GSWWade STEAL (3 STL)56
6.7%
65
93.3%
Q3 - 0:39.0GSWMorrow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
7.9%
65
92.1%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Beasley Reverse Layup56
7.6%
65
92.4%
Q3 - 0:48.0GSWWade STEAL (2 STL)56
6.7%
65
93.3%
Q3 - 0:53.0GSWMorrow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)56
7.9%
65
92.1%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup56
7.5%
65
92.5%
Q3 - 1:06GSWMorrow Foul Turnover (P2.T13)56
7.0%
65
93.0%
Q3 - 1:15MIABeasley Traveling Turnover (P2.T17)56
8.3%
65
91.7%
Q3 - 1:27MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
7.0%
65
93.0%
Q3 - 1:28GSWWade BLOCK (3 BLK)56
7.4%
65
92.6%
Q3 - 1:39MIAHaslem Layup (14 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)56
8.3%
65
91.7%
Q3 - 2:05GSWTuriaf Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)56
10.3%
63
89.7%
Q3 - 2:22MIACook Foul Turnover (P2.T16)53
7.3%
63
92.7%
Q3 - 2:28GSWNelson Foul Turnover (P1.T12)53
6.1%
63
93.9%
Q3 - 2:33GSWRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
7.3%
63
92.7%
Q3 - 2:35MIAMISS Wade 6' Running Jump Shot53
6.9%
63
93.1%
Q3 - 2:52GSWAzubuike Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)53
6.1%
63
93.9%
Q3 - 3:04GSWMorrow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)53
7.6%
63
92.4%
Q3 - 3:05GSWMISS Randolph 18' Jump Shot53
6.7%
63
93.3%
Q3 - 3:20MIAMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)53
7.6%
63
92.4%
Q3 - 3:20MIAMISS Marion Free Throw 1 of 253
7.8%
62
92.2%
Q3 - 3:35MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)53
7.5%
62
92.5%
Q3 - 3:36GSWMISS Biedrins Free Throw 2 of 253
7.7%
62
92.3%
Q3 - 3:36GSWMISS Biedrins Free Throw 1 of 253
8.3%
62
91.7%
Q3 - 3:46MIAMarion Dunk (6 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)53
8.9%
62
91.1%
Q3 - 3:57MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
10.4%
60
89.6%
Q3 - 3:58GSWWade BLOCK (2 BLK)53
10.9%
60
89.1%
Q3 - 4:02MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)53
12.7%
60
87.3%
Q3 - 4:18GSWMorrow Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)53
10.5%
60
89.5%
Q3 - 4:22MIAMarion Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)53
12.6%
60
87.4%
Q3 - 4:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)53
10.5%
60
89.5%
Q3 - 4:32MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup53
12.0%
60
88.0%
Q3 - 4:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)53
10.5%
60
89.5%
Q3 - 4:40GSWMISS Biedrins Tip Shot53
11.1%
60
88.9%
Q3 - 4:42GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)53
12.6%
60
87.4%
Q3 - 4:43GSWMISS Watson 15' Jump Shot53
11.1%
60
88.9%
Q3 - 5:00MIACook Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)53
12.6%
60
87.4%
Q3 - 5:00MIAMISS Cook Free Throw 1 of 253
12.9%
59
87.1%
Q3 - 5:13GSWWright 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)53
12.5%
59
87.5%
Q3 - 5:26MIAHaslem Putback Layup (12 PTS)51
11.0%
59
89.0%
Q3 - 5:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)51
12.5%
57
87.5%
Q3 - 5:29MIAMISS Wade 12' Fadeaway Jumper51
14.0%
57
86.0%
Q3 - 5:40GSWWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)51
12.5%
57
87.5%
Q3 - 5:40GSWWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)50
12.1%
57
87.9%
Q3 - 5:54MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS)49
11.0%
57
89.0%
Q3 - 6:10GSWWright Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)49
12.7%
55
87.3%
Q3 - 6:34MIAWade Dunk (14 PTS) (Marion 3 AST)46
9.6%
55
90.4%
Q3 - 6:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)46
11.0%
53
89.0%
Q3 - 6:44GSWMISS Biedrins 4' Jump Shot46
11.5%
53
88.5%
Q3 - 6:54MIAWade 10' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)46
12.8%
53
87.2%
Q3 - 7:13GSWBiedrins Layup (6 PTS) (Azubuike 1 AST)46
14.7%
51
85.3%
Q3 - 7:22GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)44
13.0%
51
87.0%
Q3 - 7:23MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot44
12.4%
51
87.6%
Q3 - 7:41MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
11.2%
51
88.8%
Q3 - 7:42GSWMISS Azubuike 21' Jump Shot44
11.7%
51
88.3%
Q3 - 8:04MIAHaslem 6' Driving Hook Shot (10 PTS)44
13.1%
51
86.9%
Q3 - 8:22GSWWright Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)44
14.7%
49
85.3%
Q3 - 8:39MIAAnthony Dunk (3 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)41
11.5%
49
88.5%
Q3 - 8:45MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)41
12.9%
47
87.1%
Q3 - 8:47GSWAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)41
13.5%
47
86.5%
Q3 - 8:54GSWAzubuike REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)41
14.9%
47
85.1%
Q3 - 8:55MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot41
14.3%
47
85.7%
Q3 - 9:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)41
13.1%
47
86.9%
Q3 - 9:10GSWMISS Azubuike 22' Jump Shot41
13.6%
47
86.4%
Q3 - 9:24MIAChalmers Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T13)41
14.9%
47
85.1%
Q3 - 9:35GSWAzubuike Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)41
13.1%
47
86.9%
Q3 - 9:46MIAMarion Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)41
14.9%
47
85.1%
Q3 - 9:55MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)41
13.1%
47
86.9%
Q3 - 9:56GSWMISS Wright 7' Jump Shot41
13.6%
47
86.4%
Q3 - 10:14MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)41
14.9%
47
85.1%
Q3 - 10:14MIAHEAT Rebound41
13.2%
47
86.8%
Q3 - 10:15MIAMISS Chalmers 14' Jump Shot41
14.4%
47
85.6%
Q3 - 10:40GSWBelinelli Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)41
13.2%
47
86.8%
Q3 - 10:43MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)41
14.9%
47
85.1%
Q3 - 10:52MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)41
13.2%
47
86.8%
Q3 - 10:53GSWWade BLOCK (1 BLK)41
13.7%
47
86.3%
Q3 - 11:16GSWWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
15.0%
47
85.0%
Q3 - 11:17MIAMISS Marion 7' Running Jump Shot41
14.5%
47
85.5%
Q3 - 12:00GSWAzubuike Foul Turnover (P2.T7)41
13.2%
47
86.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA41
15.0%
47
85.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound41
13.2%
47
86.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 36' 3PT Jump Shot41
14.5%
47
85.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0GSWWatson 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)41
13.7%
47
86.3%
Q2 - 0:21.0MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)39
11.8%
47
88.2%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
13.7%
45
86.3%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Marion Alley Oop Dunk39
14.5%
45
85.5%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
13.7%
45
86.3%
Q2 - 0:43.0GSWMISS Azubuike 5' Hook Shot39
14.0%
45
86.0%
Q2 - 0:58.0GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)39
14.9%
45
85.1%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
14.5%
45
85.5%
Q2 - 1:23MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)39
13.8%
45
86.2%
Q2 - 1:24GSWMISS Azubuike 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
14.2%
45
85.8%
Q2 - 1:40MIACook Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)39
15.0%
45
85.0%
Q2 - 1:55GSWBelinelli Driving Layup (5 PTS)39
13.8%
45
86.2%
Q2 - 1:59GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)37
11.9%
45
88.1%
Q2 - 2:00GSWMISS Belinelli 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
11.3%
45
88.7%
Q2 - 2:22MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)37
12.2%
45
87.8%
Q2 - 2:34MIAHEAT Rebound37
15.1%
42
84.9%
Q2 - 2:35GSWMISS Belinelli 3PT Jump Shot37
15.6%
42
84.4%
Q2 - 2:50MIACook 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)37
16.9%
42
83.1%
Q2 - 2:56GSWMarion STEAL (1 STL)37
20.8%
39
79.2%
Q2 - 3:11GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)37
22.9%
39
77.1%
Q2 - 3:12MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 237
22.5%
39
77.5%
Q2 - 3:12MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)37
21.1%
39
78.9%
Q2 - 3:16MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)37
22.5%
38
77.5%
Q2 - 3:17GSWMISS Belinelli 20' Jump Shot37
23.3%
38
76.7%
Q2 - 3:21GSWWarriors Rebound37
25.1%
38
74.9%
Q2 - 3:22GSWMISS Morrow 21' Jump Shot37
23.3%
38
76.7%
Q2 - 3:30MIAWade 6' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)37
25.1%
38
74.9%
Q2 - 3:44GSWRandolph 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)37
27.2%
36
72.8%
Q2 - 4:01MIAMarion Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)35
24.6%
36
75.4%
Q2 - 4:07GSWHaslem STEAL (1 STL)35
26.8%
34
73.2%
Q2 - 4:18MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)35
29.5%
34
70.5%
Q2 - 4:44GSWMorrow Layup (3 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)35
31.9%
32
68.1%
Q2 - 4:58MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)33
29.5%
32
70.5%
Q2 - 5:14MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
34.3%
29
65.7%
Q2 - 5:16GSWMISS Morrow Putback Layup33
35.1%
29
64.9%
Q2 - 5:17GSWMorrow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
36.9%
29
63.1%
Q2 - 5:19GSWMISS Belinelli 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
35.1%
29
64.9%
Q2 - 5:30GSWMorrow Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)33
36.9%
29
63.1%
Q2 - 5:45MIAWade Driving Layup (7 PTS)32
34.2%
29
65.8%
Q2 - 6:00MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)32
37.0%
27
63.0%
Q2 - 6:01MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot32
38.5%
27
61.5%
Q2 - 6:12MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
36.3%
27
63.7%
Q2 - 6:13GSWMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot32
37.2%
27
62.8%
Q2 - 6:29GSWTuriaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
39.5%
27
60.5%
Q2 - 6:30MIAMISS Marion 7' Jump Shot32
38.5%
27
61.5%
Q2 - 6:42MIAHEAT Rebound32
36.3%
27
63.7%
Q2 - 6:42MIAMISS Chalmers Layup32
38.5%
27
61.5%
Q2 - 6:45GSWChalmers STEAL (1 STL)32
36.3%
27
63.7%
Q2 - 6:57MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)32
39.5%
27
60.5%
Q2 - 7:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
43.9%
24
56.1%
Q2 - 7:08GSWMISS Azubuike 22' Jump Shot32
44.8%
24
55.2%
Q2 - 7:23MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)32
46.8%
24
53.2%
Q2 - 7:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)32
52.4%
21
47.6%
Q2 - 7:29MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
54.4%
21
45.6%
Q2 - 7:37GSWWade STEAL (1 STL)32
52.4%
21
47.6%
Q2 - 7:42GSWRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
55.4%
21
44.6%
Q2 - 7:43MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
54.5%
21
45.5%
Q2 - 8:04GSWAzubuike Driving Layup (10 PTS)32
51.2%
21
48.8%
Q2 - 8:12MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)30
48.4%
21
51.6%
Q2 - 8:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
45.8%
21
54.2%
Q2 - 8:28GSWMISS Watson 21' Jump Shot30
46.6%
21
53.4%
Q2 - 8:59GSWWarriors Rebound30
48.5%
21
51.5%
Q2 - 9:00MIAMISS Diawara 20' Jump Shot30
47.7%
21
52.3%
Q2 - 9:19GSWAzubuike 2' Jump Shot (8 PTS)30
44.8%
21
55.2%
Q2 - 9:20GSWAzubuike REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)28
42.2%
21
57.8%
Q2 - 9:22GSWMISS Azubuike 3' Jump Shot28
40.4%
21
59.6%
Q2 - 9:23GSWAzubuike REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)28
42.2%
21
57.8%
Q2 - 9:24GSWMISS Morrow 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
40.4%
21
59.6%
Q2 - 9:42GSWTuriaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
42.2%
21
57.8%
Q2 - 9:43MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
41.4%
21
58.6%
Q2 - 10:01GSWRandolph Putback Dunk (6 PTS)28
39.1%
21
60.9%
Q2 - 10:02GSWRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
36.7%
21
63.3%
Q2 - 10:03GSWMISS Turiaf 19' Jump Shot26
35.0%
21
65.0%
Q2 - 10:26MIABanks Foul Turnover (P1.T7)26
36.7%
21
63.3%
Q2 - 10:36GSWRandolph Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)26
34.2%
21
65.8%
Q2 - 10:36GSWRandolph Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)25
33.6%
21
66.4%
Q2 - 10:53GSWAzubuike REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)24
32.0%
21
68.0%
Q2 - 10:54MIAMISS Beasley 22' Jump Shot24
31.3%
21
68.7%
Q2 - 11:08MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
29.6%
21
70.4%
Q2 - 11:09GSWMISS Azubuike 11' Running Jump Shot24
30.3%
21
69.7%
Q2 - 11:22GSWRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
31.8%
21
68.2%
Q2 - 11:23MIAMISS Cook 21' Jump Shot24
31.1%
21
68.9%
Q2 - 11:38MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
29.6%
21
70.4%
Q2 - 11:39GSWMISS Watson 20' Jump Shot24
30.3%
21
69.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
31.8%
21
68.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
29.6%
21
70.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0GSWMISS Morrow 22' Jump Shot24
30.3%
21
69.7%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P2.T6)24
30.8%
21
69.2%
Q1 - 0:18.0MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
29.3%
21
70.7%
Q1 - 0:19.0GSWMISS Belinelli 19' Jump Shot24
29.7%
21
70.3%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)24
30.8%
21
69.2%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
29.3%
21
70.7%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Beasley 3' Jump Shot24
30.4%
21
69.6%
Q1 - 0:46.0GSWBelinelli 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)24
29.3%
21
70.7%
Q1 - 1:00MIABeasley Driving Layup (2 PTS)21
25.0%
21
75.0%
Q1 - 1:21GSWAzubuike 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)21
27.0%
19
73.0%
Q1 - 1:39GSWWarriors Rebound19
24.7%
19
75.3%
Q1 - 1:39MIAMISS Beasley 15' Fadeaway Jumper19
24.3%
19
75.7%
Q1 - 2:00GSWRandolph 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
23.5%
19
76.5%
Q1 - 2:06MIACook Dunk (2 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)17
21.5%
19
78.5%
Q1 - 2:11MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
23.3%
17
76.7%
Q1 - 2:13GSWMagloire BLOCK (1 BLK)17
23.8%
17
76.2%
Q1 - 2:31GSWAzubuike REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
24.7%
17
75.3%
Q1 - 2:33MIAMISS Magloire 5' Hook Shot17
24.3%
17
75.7%
Q1 - 2:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
23.4%
17
76.6%
Q1 - 2:55GSWMISS Randolph 18' Jump Shot17
23.8%
17
76.2%
Q1 - 3:11MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)17
24.6%
17
75.4%
Q1 - 3:23GSWAzubuike Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)17
28.2%
14
71.8%
Q1 - 3:35GSWBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
30.1%
14
69.9%
Q1 - 3:36MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot17
29.5%
14
70.5%
Q1 - 3:50GSWWatson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)17
28.2%
14
71.8%
Q1 - 3:57MIAHEAT Turnover: Backcourt (T#4)14
24.6%
14
75.4%
Q1 - 4:16GSWAzubuike 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
22.6%
14
77.4%
Q1 - 4:18GSWAzubuike REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
21.2%
14
78.8%
Q1 - 4:18GSWMISS Randolph Driving Layup12
20.1%
14
79.9%
Q1 - 4:23MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)12
21.2%
14
78.8%
Q1 - 4:38GSWBiedrins Putback Layup (4 PTS)12
19.6%
14
80.4%
Q1 - 4:39GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)10
18.3%
14
81.7%
Q1 - 4:41GSWMISS Belinelli Driving Layup10
17.4%
14
82.6%
Q1 - 4:48GSWRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
18.3%
14
81.7%
Q1 - 4:49MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot10
17.9%
14
82.1%
Q1 - 5:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
17.2%
14
82.8%
Q1 - 5:08GSWMISS Watson 21' Jump Shot10
17.6%
14
82.4%
Q1 - 5:29MIAHaslem 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
18.6%
14
81.4%
Q1 - 5:49MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
19.7%
12
80.3%
Q1 - 5:50GSWMISS Watson 16' Jump Shot10
20.2%
12
79.8%
Q1 - 6:02GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)10
20.9%
12
79.1%
Q1 - 6:03GSWMISS Azubuike 17' Jump Shot10
19.9%
12
80.1%
Q1 - 6:17MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)10
20.9%
12
79.1%
Q1 - 6:34GSWBiedrins 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)10
22.3%
10
77.7%
Q1 - 6:48MIAChalmers 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)8
21.0%
10
79.0%
Q1 - 6:55MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
22.4%
8
77.6%
Q1 - 6:56GSWMISS Azubuike 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
22.8%
8
77.2%
Q1 - 7:15MIAWade Driving Layup (5 PTS)8
23.7%
8
76.3%
Q1 - 7:32GSWWatson 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Biedrins 2 AST)8
25.0%
6
75.0%
Q1 - 7:43MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)6
23.7%
6
76.3%
Q1 - 7:43MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 26
23.9%
5
76.1%
Q1 - 7:55GSWWatson Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)6
23.5%
5
76.5%
Q1 - 8:08MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)6
24.8%
5
75.2%
Q1 - 8:08MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 26
25.3%
4
74.7%
Q1 - 8:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
24.8%
4
75.2%
Q1 - 8:13GSWMISS Belinelli 22' Jump Shot6
25.3%
4
74.7%
Q1 - 8:20MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)6
26.4%
4
73.6%
Q1 - 8:38GSWAzubuike Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
24.9%
4
75.1%
Q1 - 8:38GSWAzubuike Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
24.5%
4
75.5%
Q1 - 8:46GSWAzubuike REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
23.3%
4
76.7%
Q1 - 8:47MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup4
22.9%
4
77.1%
Q1 - 9:08GSWWatson Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
21.9%
4
78.1%
Q1 - 9:25MIAMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
20.4%
4
79.6%
Q1 - 9:25MIAMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
20.7%
3
79.3%
Q1 - 9:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
21.9%
2
78.1%
Q1 - 9:45GSWMISS Wright 14' Jump Shot2
22.2%
2
77.8%
Q1 - 10:00MIAWade 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
23.1%
2
76.9%
Q1 - 10:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
24.2%
0
75.8%
Q1 - 10:05GSWHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)2
24.7%
0
75.3%
Q1 - 10:06GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
25.7%
0
74.3%
Q1 - 10:07GSWMISS Wright Layup2
24.7%
0
75.3%
Q1 - 10:11GSWWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
25.7%
0
74.3%
Q1 - 10:12GSWMISS Azubuike 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
24.7%
0
75.3%
Q1 - 10:33MIAMarion Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
25.7%
0
74.3%
Q1 - 10:47MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
24.3%
0
75.7%
Q1 - 10:48GSWMISS Biedrins 4' Jump Shot2
24.7%
0
75.3%
Q1 - 11:05GSWWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
24.8%
0
75.2%
Q1 - 11:06MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot2
24.4%
0
75.6%
Q1 - 11:29GSWWright 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Biedrins 1 AST)2
23.6%
0
76.4%
Q1 - 11:42GSWAzubuike REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
22.5%
0
77.5%
Q1 - 11:43MIAMISS Anthony 6' Jump Shot0
22.1%
0
77.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Biedrins: Tip to Haslem0
21.3%
0
78.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
0.91 45.4%
MIA
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
GSW
19
37
51%
MIA
16
25
64%
Midrange
GSW
9
37
24%
MIA
16
34
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
GSW
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
MIA
6
9.0
15
40%
60%
Free Throws
GSW
17
19
89%
MIA
14
25
56%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Watson1860%9.0 / 15
K. Azubuike1640%8.0 / 20
B. Wright1275%6.0 / 8
A. Randolph1050%5.0 / 10
A. Morrow836%4.0 / 11
M. Belinelli732%3.5 / 11
A. Biedrins633%3.0 / 9
D. Nelson643%3.0 / 7
R. Turiaf563%2.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3253%16.0 / 30
D. Cook2083%10.0 / 12
U. Haslem1667%8.0 / 12
S. Marion950%4.5 / 9
M. Chalmers750%3.5 / 7
J. Anthony770%3.5 / 5
M. Beasley531%2.5 / 8
Y. Diawara0-0.0 / 2
J. Magloire0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

GSW
80
+17
-16
97
MIA
77
+13
-19
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
0.91 45.4%
MIA
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.1
107.6
GSW 91.7 +8.3
MIA 100.0
Pace
98.6
90.2
GSW 101.3 +9.8
MIA 91.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
16.3
GSW 14.2 +1.5
MIA 15.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.7%
50.0%
GSW 39.9%
MIA 55.4% +15.5%
TO %
14.3%
13.1%
GSW 14.9% +4.9%
MIA 19.8%
ORB %
26.1%
24.6%
GSW 29.1% +2.6%
MIA 26.5%
FTrt
33.9
28.2
GSW 21.3
MIA 33.8 +12.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.0%
55.1%
GSW 42.4%
MIA 52.6% +10.2%
STL %
7.8%
8.7%
GSW 12.5% +6.2%
MIA 6.3%
BLK %
9.2%
9.2%
GSW 5.1%
MIA 9.5% +4.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.26 and 2.26.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.7%
52.6%
GSW 45.4%
MIA 52.7% +7.3%
Rim FG%
57.8%
59.5%
GSW 51.4%
MIA 64.0% +12.6%
Mid FG%
39.2%
41.8%
GSW 24.3%
MIA 47.1% +22.8%
3P %
37.3%
35.7%
GSW 33.3%
MIA 40.0% +6.7%
FT %
79.1%
75.4%
GSW 89.5% +33.5%
MIA 56.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
30.3%
GSW 41.6% +7.8%
MIA 33.8%
Mid Att. %
41.5%
45.2%
GSW 41.6% +4.4%
MIA 45.9%
3P Att. %
20.9%
24.5%
GSW 16.9%
MIA 20.3% +3.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsGSWMIA
Possessions9696
Possession Minutes22.825.2
Points8896
Rebounds4148
Assists1420
Steals126
Blocks37
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)19 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (1)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (2)39 (1)
Field Goals33-8938-74
At-the-Rim FG19-3716-25
Midrange FG9-3716-34
2-Point FG28-7432-59
3-Point FG5-156-15
Free Throws17-1914-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'5" 215 · 25
39.5
16
40%
9
3
0
0
4
3
3
6
2-2
100%
4-13
31%
2-6
33%
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
39.2
18
60%
1
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2-2
100%
5-11
45%
2-4
50%
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
31.7
7
32%
1
3
1
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-7
29%
1-4
25%
C · 7'0" 250 · 23
30.4
6
33%
9
2
5
0
1
4
5
4
0-2
0%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 21
17.8
12
75%
2
0
2
1
0
0
0
2
4-4
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
27.3
8
36%
7
1
1
0
2
3
2
5
2-2
100%
3-10
30%
0-1
0%
· 6'10" 225 · 19
20.4
10
50%
6
0
1
2
3
1
2
4
2-2
100%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 249 · 26
17.5
5
63%
5
2
0
0
1
3
2
3
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 200 · 23
16.0
6
43%
1
1
2
0
2
5
1
0
4-4
100%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 185 · 29
F · 6'9" 232 · 24
G · 6'3" 205 · 23
#1 · G-F · 6'8" 220 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · G · 6'3" 185 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#50 · F · 6'6" 225 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
45%
41
14
12
3
16
0
16
25
17-19
89%
28-74
38%
5-15
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.