FinalWin Prob.pScore
1344%93
78
1456%95
85
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
97.58079.3
ATL logo ATL
103.78282.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETATL
Q4 - 0:00.0DET78
0%
85
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)78
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)78
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)78
0.2%
83
99.8%
Q4 - 0:13.0DETMISS Prince 27' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 0:20.0DETPistons Rebound78
1.0%
83
99.0%
Q4 - 0:21.0ATLMISS Johnson 9' Running Jump Shot78
1.1%
83
98.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)78
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q4 - 0:41.0ATLMISS Johnson 19' Fadeaway Jumper78
2.7%
83
97.3%
Q4 - 1:03DETStuckey 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS)78
3.1%
83
96.9%
Q4 - 1:14ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)76
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q4 - 1:14ATLMISS Bibby Free Throw Technical76
2.2%
82
97.8%
Q4 - 1:14ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 276
2.7%
82
97.3%
Q4 - 1:14ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)76
2.2%
82
97.8%
Q4 - 1:14ATLMISS Smith Putback Layup76
3.4%
82
96.6%
Q4 - 1:15ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)76
2.2%
82
97.8%
Q4 - 1:17ATLMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot76
3.6%
82
96.4%
Q4 - 1:29DETBibby STEAL (3 STL)76
2.8%
82
97.2%
Q4 - 1:46DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)76
6.3%
82
93.7%
Q4 - 1:49DETMISS Wallace 19' Fadeaway Jumper76
4.6%
82
95.4%
Q4 - 2:06ATLBibby 21' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Horford 4 AST)76
6.8%
82
93.2%
Q4 - 2:29DETWallace 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Prince 4 AST)76
9.0%
80
91.0%
Q4 - 2:52ATLJohnson 17' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)74
8.2%
80
91.8%
Q4 - 3:08DETWallace 11' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)74
10.9%
78
89.1%
Q4 - 3:26ATLSmith Foul Turnover (P2.T12)72
8.1%
78
91.9%
Q4 - 3:30DETWilliams STEAL (1 STL)72
4.6%
78
95.4%
Q4 - 3:38DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)72
11.2%
78
88.8%
Q4 - 3:40ATLMISS Johnson 12' Fadeaway Jumper72
10.0%
78
90.0%
Q4 - 4:00DETMcDyess Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)72
7.4%
78
92.6%
Q4 - 4:22DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
10.6%
78
89.4%
Q4 - 4:23ATLMISS Bibby 17' Jump Shot72
9.5%
78
90.5%
Q4 - 4:38DETBibby STEAL (2 STL)72
7.2%
78
92.8%
Q4 - 4:40DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
10.5%
78
89.5%
Q4 - 4:41ATLMISS Johnson 15' Fadeaway Jumper72
9.4%
78
90.6%
Q4 - 5:05DETMcDyess 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wallace 4 AST)72
9.8%
78
90.2%
Q4 - 5:26ATLBibby 18' Jump Shot (25 PTS)70
7.2%
78
92.8%
Q4 - 5:42DETWallace 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Iverson 6 AST)70
9.6%
76
90.4%
Q4 - 6:07ATLHorford 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)68
9.2%
76
90.8%
Q4 - 6:28ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)68
11.8%
74
88.2%
Q4 - 6:30DETMISS Iverson 18' Fadeaway Jumper68
12.8%
74
87.2%
Q4 - 6:54ATLJohnson Foul Turnover (P4.T11)68
15.4%
74
84.6%
Q4 - 7:02ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
13.4%
74
86.6%
Q4 - 7:04DETMISS Hamilton 9' Jump Shot68
14.5%
74
85.5%
Q4 - 7:26ATLJohnson Traveling Turnover (P3.T10)68
17.2%
74
82.8%
Q4 - 7:47ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)68
13.3%
74
86.7%
Q4 - 7:48DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
14.3%
74
85.7%
Q4 - 8:12ATLJohnson 15' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)68
18.6%
74
81.4%
Q4 - 8:27DETIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)68
23.0%
72
77.0%
Q4 - 8:27DETIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)67
22.2%
72
77.8%
Q4 - 8:30ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)66
18.6%
72
81.4%
Q4 - 8:38ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)66
15.1%
72
84.9%
Q4 - 8:40ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot66
17.4%
72
82.6%
Q4 - 8:59ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)66
15.0%
72
85.0%
Q4 - 9:01DETMISS Hamilton 22' Jump Shot66
17.8%
72
82.2%
Q4 - 9:14DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
20.2%
72
79.8%
Q4 - 9:15ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 266
19.7%
72
80.3%
Q4 - 9:15ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)66
17.4%
72
82.6%
Q4 - 9:48DETWallace 28' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Iverson 5 AST)66
20.2%
71
79.8%
Q4 - 10:00DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
13.4%
71
86.6%
Q4 - 10:01ATLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot63
13.8%
71
86.2%
Q4 - 10:19ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
12.1%
71
87.9%
Q4 - 10:21DETMISS Wallace 15' Turnaround Jump Shot63
12.8%
71
87.2%
Q4 - 10:47ATLHorford Dunk (9 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)63
14.6%
71
85.4%
Q4 - 10:58ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)63
17.7%
69
82.3%
Q4 - 10:59DETMISS McDyess 2' Reverse Layup63
18.7%
69
81.3%
Q4 - 11:14DETIverson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
22.2%
69
77.8%
Q4 - 11:16ATLMISS Smith Putback Layup63
21.2%
69
78.8%
Q4 - 11:17ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
18.9%
69
81.1%
Q4 - 11:20ATLMISS Smith 3' Jump Shot63
21.1%
69
78.9%
Q4 - 11:44DETMurray STEAL (3 STL)63
18.8%
69
81.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET63
22.1%
69
77.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLEvans Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)63
22.1%
69
77.9%
Q3 - 0:03.0DETStuckey Running Layup (18 PTS)63
19.9%
69
80.1%
Q3 - 0:05.0ATLJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)61
16.5%
69
83.5%
Q3 - 0:27.0ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
14.2%
69
85.8%
Q3 - 0:28.0DETMISS McDyess 2' Layup61
14.8%
69
85.2%
Q3 - 0:37.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
16.5%
69
83.5%
Q3 - 0:40.0ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot61
15.7%
69
84.3%
Q3 - 0:55.0DETHamilton 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)61
14.1%
69
85.9%
Q3 - 1:11ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)59
12.2%
69
87.8%
Q3 - 1:11ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 259
12.7%
68
87.3%
Q3 - 1:33DETStuckey 27' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Iverson 4 AST)59
12.4%
68
87.6%
Q3 - 1:44DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
8.5%
68
91.5%
Q3 - 1:46ATLMISS Evans 13' Jump Shot56
8.1%
68
91.9%
Q3 - 2:10DETStuckey 11' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)56
7.9%
68
92.1%
Q3 - 2:24DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
6.6%
68
93.4%
Q3 - 2:25ATLMISS Evans 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
6.3%
68
93.7%
Q3 - 2:33ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)54
5.6%
68
94.4%
Q3 - 2:35ATLMISS Horford 6' Jump Shot54
6.3%
68
93.7%
Q3 - 2:50DETHamilton Foul Turnover (P1.T5)54
5.5%
68
94.5%
Q3 - 3:14ATLHorford 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)54
7.3%
68
92.7%
Q3 - 3:25ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
8.6%
66
91.4%
Q3 - 3:26DETMISS Iverson 21' Jump Shot54
9.0%
66
91.0%
Q3 - 3:44ATLJohnson Driving Layup (13 PTS)54
10.2%
66
89.8%
Q3 - 3:55DETIverson 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)54
11.8%
64
88.2%
Q3 - 4:12ATLBibby 29' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)52
10.8%
64
89.2%
Q3 - 4:26DETHamilton 3' Running Layup (14 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)52
14.2%
61
85.8%
Q3 - 4:40ATLEvans 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)50
12.5%
61
87.5%
Q3 - 4:57DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)50
14.2%
59
85.8%
Q3 - 5:04DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)47
11.4%
59
88.6%
Q3 - 5:06ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot47
10.8%
59
89.2%
Q3 - 5:11ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)47
9.6%
59
90.4%
Q3 - 5:13ATLMISS Smith 28' 3PT Jump Shot47
10.8%
59
89.2%
Q3 - 5:34ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)47
9.6%
59
90.4%
Q3 - 5:37DETMISS Hamilton 15' Turnaround Jump Shot47
10.1%
59
89.9%
Q3 - 5:48DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)47
11.3%
59
88.7%
Q3 - 5:49ATLMISS Horford 20' Jump Shot47
10.8%
59
89.2%
Q3 - 6:11ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
10.3%
59
89.7%
Q3 - 6:12DETMISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
10.8%
59
89.2%
Q3 - 6:43DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)47
12.0%
59
88.0%
Q3 - 6:45ATLMISS Johnson 19' Fadeaway Jumper47
11.4%
59
88.6%
Q3 - 7:12DETHamilton 3' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)47
10.9%
59
89.1%
Q3 - 7:33DETIverson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
9.6%
59
90.4%
Q3 - 7:35ATLMISS Williams 5' Jump Shot45
9.1%
59
90.9%
Q3 - 8:00DETStuckey 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)45
8.2%
59
91.8%
Q3 - 8:19DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)43
7.5%
59
92.5%
Q3 - 8:22ATLMISS Johnson 16' Fadeaway Jumper43
7.2%
59
92.8%
Q3 - 8:49DETWallace 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)43
6.5%
59
93.5%
Q3 - 9:02DETIverson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
6.0%
59
94.0%
Q3 - 9:05ATLMISS Smith 16' Turnaround Jump Shot41
5.7%
59
94.3%
Q3 - 9:24ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)41
5.2%
59
94.8%
Q3 - 9:26DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot41
5.4%
59
94.6%
Q3 - 9:42ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)41
6.0%
59
94.0%
Q3 - 9:42ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)41
6.2%
58
93.8%
Q3 - 9:56DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)41
6.8%
57
93.2%
Q3 - 10:21ATLWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T6)41
8.4%
57
91.6%
Q3 - 10:30ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)41
7.3%
57
92.7%
Q3 - 10:31DETMISS Prince 2' Driving Layup41
7.6%
57
92.4%
Q3 - 10:53ATLJohnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST)41
8.3%
57
91.7%
Q3 - 11:14ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)41
11.3%
54
88.7%
Q3 - 11:15DETMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot41
11.8%
54
88.2%
Q3 - 11:36ATLJohnson Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)41
12.9%
54
87.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET41
14.4%
52
85.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)41
16.3%
52
83.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Horford 9' Jump Shot41
15.7%
52
84.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
15.4%
52
84.6%
Q2 - 0:03.0ATLMISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot41
16.3%
52
83.7%
Q2 - 0:16.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
15.3%
52
84.7%
Q2 - 0:18.0DETMISS Prince 18' Jump Shot41
15.7%
52
84.3%
Q2 - 0:35.0ATLHAWKS Turnover: 5 Second Inbound (T#5)41
16.7%
52
83.3%
Q2 - 0:49.0DETPrince 4' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS)41
15.3%
52
84.7%
Q2 - 1:02DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)39
13.7%
52
86.3%
Q2 - 1:03ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 2 of 239
13.6%
52
86.4%
Q2 - 1:03ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)39
12.6%
52
87.4%
Q2 - 1:07ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)39
14.2%
51
85.8%
Q2 - 1:09DETIverson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
15.4%
51
84.6%
Q2 - 1:09DETMISS Iverson Tip Shot39
14.5%
51
85.5%
Q2 - 1:10DETMISS Stuckey 3' Running Layup39
14.5%
51
85.5%
Q2 - 1:16ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)39
15.4%
51
84.6%
Q2 - 1:20ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
14.1%
51
85.9%
Q2 - 1:23DETMISS Prince 9' Turnaround Hook Shot39
14.5%
51
85.5%
Q2 - 1:48ATLBibby 28' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)39
15.3%
51
84.7%
Q2 - 2:05ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
19.7%
48
80.3%
Q2 - 2:06DETMISS Hamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
20.4%
48
79.6%
Q2 - 2:13DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
21.9%
48
78.1%
Q2 - 2:14ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
21.2%
48
78.8%
Q2 - 2:36DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)39
19.7%
48
80.3%
Q2 - 2:36DETStuckey Putback Layup (6 PTS)39
19.7%
48
80.3%
Q2 - 2:37DETMISS Stuckey Putback Layup37
16.5%
48
83.5%
Q2 - 2:40DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)37
17.8%
48
82.2%
Q2 - 2:41DETMISS Stuckey 6' Jump Shot37
16.5%
48
83.5%
Q2 - 2:54DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
17.8%
48
82.2%
Q2 - 2:55ATLMISS Smith 6' Hook Shot37
17.2%
48
82.8%
Q2 - 3:05ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
16.3%
48
83.7%
Q2 - 3:06DETMISS Wallace 15' Turnaround Jump Shot37
16.9%
48
83.1%
Q2 - 3:22ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)37
18.3%
48
81.7%
Q2 - 3:22ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)37
18.6%
47
81.4%
Q2 - 3:37DETWallace 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)37
19.9%
46
80.1%
Q2 - 4:00DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
18.3%
46
81.7%
Q2 - 4:01ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 235
18.4%
46
81.6%
Q2 - 4:01ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)35
17.2%
46
82.8%
Q2 - 4:01ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
18.5%
45
81.5%
Q2 - 4:02ATLMISS Smith 6' Running Jump Shot35
19.9%
45
80.1%
Q2 - 4:06ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
18.5%
45
81.5%
Q2 - 4:08DETMISS Iverson 3' Driving Layup35
19.1%
45
80.9%
Q2 - 4:19DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
20.5%
45
79.5%
Q2 - 4:20ATLMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
19.9%
45
80.1%
Q2 - 4:40ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
18.5%
45
81.5%
Q2 - 4:42DETMISS Wallace 12' Turnaround Jump Shot35
19.1%
45
80.9%
Q2 - 5:05ATLBibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)35
21.1%
45
78.9%
Q2 - 5:26DETStuckey 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Iverson 3 AST)35
25.3%
42
74.7%
Q2 - 5:48ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)33
23.0%
42
77.0%
Q2 - 5:48ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)33
23.4%
41
76.6%
Q2 - 5:48ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
25.3%
40
74.7%
Q2 - 5:48ATLMISS Williams 4' Driving Jump Shot33
26.8%
40
73.2%
Q2 - 6:06DETHamilton 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)33
25.4%
40
74.6%
Q2 - 6:09DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
23.7%
40
76.3%
Q2 - 6:11DETMISS Wallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot31
22.0%
40
78.0%
Q2 - 6:26ATLSmith 5' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)31
23.7%
40
76.3%
Q2 - 6:40DETMcDyess 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)31
25.4%
38
74.6%
Q2 - 6:51ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)29
23.6%
38
76.4%
Q2 - 6:53ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
21.3%
38
78.7%
Q2 - 6:55ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot29
22.9%
38
77.1%
Q2 - 6:59ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
21.3%
38
78.7%
Q2 - 7:02DETMISS Iverson 2' Driving Layup29
22.4%
38
77.6%
Q2 - 7:19ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)29
23.8%
38
76.2%
Q2 - 7:19ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 229
24.2%
37
75.8%
Q2 - 7:29ATLHAWKS Rebound29
23.7%
37
76.3%
Q2 - 7:29DETMISS Iverson 16' Jump Shot29
24.4%
37
75.6%
Q2 - 7:51ATLPachulia 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)29
25.9%
37
74.1%
Q2 - 7:55ATLHAWKS Rebound29
28.0%
35
72.0%
Q2 - 7:55ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
28.0%
35
72.0%
Q2 - 7:55ATLMISS Murray Tip Shot29
29.7%
35
70.3%
Q2 - 7:58ATLMISS Bibby 21' Jump Shot29
29.7%
35
70.3%
Q2 - 8:12ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
28.5%
35
71.5%
Q2 - 8:12DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 2 of 229
28.8%
35
71.2%
Q2 - 8:12DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 229
30.4%
35
69.6%
Q2 - 8:32ATLBibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Evans 3 AST)29
30.8%
35
69.2%
Q2 - 8:38ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
35.7%
32
64.3%
Q2 - 8:39DETMISS Iverson 21' Jump Shot29
36.4%
32
63.6%
Q2 - 8:56ATLWilliams 3' Running Layup (5 PTS)29
38.2%
32
61.8%
Q2 - 9:02DETMurray STEAL (2 STL)29
40.6%
30
59.4%
Q2 - 9:24ATLMurray Running Layup (2 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)29
43.3%
30
56.7%
Q2 - 9:30ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
45.9%
28
54.1%
Q2 - 9:32DETWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)29
46.7%
28
53.3%
Q2 - 9:52ATLBibby 29' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Evans 2 AST)29
48.6%
28
51.4%
Q2 - 9:59ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
54.0%
25
46.0%
Q2 - 10:00DETMISS McDyess 20' Jump Shot29
54.8%
25
45.2%
Q2 - 10:20ATLMurray Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)29
56.3%
25
43.7%
Q2 - 10:38DETMcDyess 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bynum 2 AST)29
53.7%
25
46.3%
Q2 - 10:47DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)27
51.1%
25
48.9%
Q2 - 10:49ATLMISS Murray 28' 3PT Jump Shot27
50.3%
25
49.7%
Q2 - 11:14DETAfflalo 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Iverson 2 AST)27
48.3%
25
51.7%
Q2 - 11:39ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)25
45.8%
25
54.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET25
50.8%
22
49.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
53.5%
22
46.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
52.7%
22
47.3%
Q1 - 0:08.0DETHamilton Running Layup (8 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)25
50.6%
22
49.4%
Q1 - 0:11.0ATLMurray Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)23
47.6%
22
52.4%
Q1 - 0:26.0ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
45.7%
22
54.3%
Q1 - 0:27.0ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot23
47.0%
22
53.0%
Q1 - 0:46.0DETJohnson 3' Putback Layup (2 PTS)23
45.7%
22
54.3%
Q1 - 0:46.0DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)21
42.8%
22
57.2%
Q1 - 0:48.0DETMISS Hamilton 28' 3PT Jump Shot21
41.5%
22
58.5%
Q1 - 1:11DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
42.7%
22
57.3%
Q1 - 1:13ATLMISS Johnson 22' Fadeaway Jumper21
42.2%
22
57.8%
Q1 - 1:21ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
41.1%
22
58.9%
Q1 - 1:23DETMISS Prince 14' Jump Shot21
41.6%
22
58.4%
Q1 - 1:34DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
42.7%
22
57.3%
Q1 - 1:35ATLMISS Murray 17' Turnaround Jump Shot21
42.2%
22
57.8%
Q1 - 1:49DETMurray STEAL (1 STL)21
41.1%
22
58.9%
Q1 - 2:13ATLJohnson 20' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)21
42.9%
22
57.1%
Q1 - 2:35ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
45.6%
20
54.4%
Q1 - 2:37DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot21
46.2%
20
53.8%
Q1 - 2:41DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
47.5%
20
52.5%
Q1 - 2:44DETHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)21
46.2%
20
53.8%
Q1 - 2:59DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
47.5%
20
52.5%
Q1 - 3:01ATLMISS Evans 27' 3PT Jump Shot21
47.0%
20
53.0%
Q1 - 3:36ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
45.4%
20
54.6%
Q1 - 3:37DETMISS Prince 17' Turnaround Jump Shot21
46.1%
20
53.9%
Q1 - 4:01ATLJohnson 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)21
47.4%
20
52.6%
Q1 - 4:08DETBibby STEAL (1 STL)21
49.5%
18
50.5%
Q1 - 4:25ATLJohnson 12' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)21
51.8%
18
48.2%
Q1 - 4:35DETHamilton 8' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)21
53.9%
16
46.1%
Q1 - 4:44DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
51.8%
16
48.2%
Q1 - 4:47ATLMISS Smith 6' Jump Shot19
51.1%
16
48.9%
Q1 - 4:56ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
49.5%
16
50.5%
Q1 - 4:58DETMISS Wallace 28' 3PT Jump Shot19
50.2%
16
49.8%
Q1 - 5:17DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
51.6%
16
48.4%
Q1 - 5:18ATLMISS Bibby 7' Running Jump Shot19
50.8%
16
49.2%
Q1 - 5:23ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
49.1%
16
50.9%
Q1 - 5:24DETMISS Wallace 16' Jump Shot19
49.9%
16
50.1%
Q1 - 5:50ATLSmith 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)19
51.6%
16
48.4%
Q1 - 6:12DETStuckey 3' Putback Layup (2 PTS)19
53.2%
14
46.8%
Q1 - 6:13DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
51.2%
14
48.8%
Q1 - 6:15DETMISS Wallace 4' Jump Shot17
49.7%
14
50.3%
Q1 - 6:38ATLBibby Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)17
51.2%
14
48.8%
Q1 - 6:45ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
55.4%
11
44.6%
Q1 - 6:46DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot17
56.0%
11
44.0%
Q1 - 7:11ATLSmith 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)17
57.4%
11
42.6%
Q1 - 7:26DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
59.3%
9
40.7%
Q1 - 7:26DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
59.0%
9
41.0%
Q1 - 7:29DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
57.4%
9
42.6%
Q1 - 7:31ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot15
56.7%
9
43.3%
Q1 - 7:48DETIverson 2' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)15
55.1%
9
44.9%
Q1 - 7:55DETIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
53.3%
9
46.8%
Q1 - 7:56ATLMISS Horford 18' Jump Shot13
52.5%
9
47.5%
Q1 - 8:07DETWallace 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)13
50.9%
9
49.1%
Q1 - 8:30ATLHorford 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
48.8%
9
51.2%
Q1 - 8:57DETWallace 29' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Iverson 1 AST)11
50.9%
7
49.1%
Q1 - 9:25ATLWilliams 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)8
46.7%
7
53.3%
Q1 - 9:43DETIverson 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)8
50.9%
4
49.1%
Q1 - 10:04ATLHorford 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)6
48.3%
4
51.7%
Q1 - 10:24DETHamilton 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)6
50.1%
2
49.9%
Q1 - 10:45ATLBibby 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)4
48.3%
2
51.7%
Q1 - 11:04DETIverson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
49.2%
0
50.8%
Q1 - 11:12DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
47.6%
0
52.4%
Q1 - 11:13ATLMISS Johnson 19' Fadeaway Jumper2
47.1%
0
52.9%
Q1 - 11:39DETWallace 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)2
45.9%
0
54.1%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Wallace: Tip to Stuckey0
44.3%
0
55.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.94 47.0%
ATL
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
11
22
50%
ATL
9
15
60%
Midrange
DET
21
43
49%
ATL
14
41
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
3
4.5
10
30%
45%
ATL
8
12.0
18
44%
67%
Free Throws
DET
5
7
71%
ATL
15
22
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Wallace2056%10.0 / 18
R. Stuckey2077%10.0 / 13
R. Hamilton1647%8.0 / 17
A. Iverson1042%5.0 / 12
A. McDyess650%3.0 / 6
T. Prince213%1.0 / 8
A. Johnson2100%1.0 / 1
A. Afflalo2100%1.0 / 1
W. Bynum0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Bibby27104%13.5 / 13
J. Johnson1941%9.5 / 23
J. Smith1132%5.5 / 17
A. Horford1155%5.5 / 10
M. Williams950%4.5 / 9
Z. Pachulia467%2.0 / 3
M. Evans220%1.0 / 5
R. Murray225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
71
+8
-9
79
ATL
71
+14
-11
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.94 47.0%
ATL
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.8
109.2
DET 97.5 +6.2
ATL 103.7
Pace
87.3
89.8
DET 79.3
ATL 82.7 +3.4
Avg. Poss. Time
17.1
15.9
DET 18.2
ATL 17.4 +0.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.3%
50.4%
DET 48.7% +1.4%
ATL 47.3%
TO %
12.7%
13.6%
DET 11.4% +1.1%
ATL 12.5%
ORB %
27.9%
26.0%
DET 20.0%
ATL 29.5% +9.5%
FTrt
28.2
32.3
DET 9.3
ATL 29.7 +20.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.7%
56.1%
DET 60.0%
ATL 67.7% +7.7%
STL %
6.8%
8.2%
DET 7.5%
ATL 8.5% +1.0%
BLK %
7.3%
7.4%
DET 3.6% +0.5%
ATL 3.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.0%
53.2%
DET 47.0%
ATL 50.0% +3.0%
Rim FG%
58.7%
60.5%
DET 50.0%
ATL 60.0% +10.0%
Mid FG%
41.2%
40.2%
DET 48.8% +14.7%
ATL 34.1%
3P %
34.9%
36.6%
DET 30.0%
ATL 44.4% +14.4%
FT %
75.1%
73.8%
DET 71.4% +3.2%
ATL 68.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.0%
32.2%
DET 29.3% +9.1%
ATL 20.3%
Mid Att. %
53.5%
42.4%
DET 57.3%
ATL 55.4% +1.9%
3P Att. %
16.5%
25.3%
DET 13.3%
ATL 24.3% +11.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.34 and 2.34.
Game TotalsDETATL
Possessions8082
Possession Minutes24.223.8
Points7885
Rebounds3945
Assists2121
Steals67
Blocks22
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (0)13 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)32 (1)
Field Goals35-7531-74
At-the-Rim FG11-229-15
Midrange FG21-4314-41
2-Point FG32-6523-56
3-Point FG3-108-18
Free Throws5-715-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 193 · 31
42.3
16
47%
1
1
1
0
3
3
1
0
2-2
100%
7-13
54%
0-3
0%
C · 6'11" 230 · 34
41.6
20
56%
5
4
1
2
1
3
0
5
0-0
-
7-13
54%
2-5
40%
G · 6'0" 165 · 34
40.8
10
42%
5
6
1
0
1
1
1
4
2-2
100%
4-11
36%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 23
36.4
20
77%
9
3
2
0
1
5
3
6
1-3
33%
8-11
73%
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 212 · 29
34.3
2
13%
8
4
0
0
1
1
0
8
0-0
-
1-7
14%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34
24.9
6
50%
7
1
0
0
2
3
1
6
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 22
8.4
2
100%
4
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 185 · 26
6.8
0
0%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
4.5
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 260 · 26
C · 6'11" 290 · 27
F · 6'9" 225 · 29
#6 · G · 6'5" 185 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#42 · F · 6'9" 245 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
78
47%
39
21
6
2
9
0
8
31
5-7
71%
32-65
49%
3-10
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.