FinalWin Prob.pScore
265%102
87
1635%97
89
ORTG#PossPace
LAL logo LAL
94.692101.4
MIA logo MIA
95.79385.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventLALMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA87
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)87
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 0:01.0LALMISS Bryant 12' Jump Shot87
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS)87
15.0%
89
85.0%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 287
18.3%
88
81.7%
Q4 - 0:08.0LALGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)87
13.9%
88
86.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0LALLakers Rebound86
18.7%
88
81.3%
Q4 - 0:08.0LALMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 286
11.4%
88
88.6%
Q4 - 0:09.0LALLakers Rebound86
19.7%
88
80.3%
Q4 - 0:10.0LALWade BLOCK (2 BLK)86
8.5%
88
91.5%
Q4 - 0:11.0LALGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)86
21.7%
88
78.3%
Q4 - 0:12.0LALWade BLOCK (1 BLK)86
9.6%
88
90.4%
Q4 - 0:13.0LALOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)86
24.6%
88
75.4%
Q4 - 0:14.0LALAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)86
11.3%
88
88.7%
Q4 - 0:21.0LALAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
27.4%
88
72.6%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot86
21.4%
88
78.6%
Q4 - 0:41.0LALBryant 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (28 PTS)86
18.1%
88
81.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0LALAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
12.8%
88
87.2%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 284
11.8%
88
88.2%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 284
8.0%
88
92.0%
Q4 - 1:14LALGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)84
9.8%
88
90.2%
Q4 - 1:14LALGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)83
8.8%
88
91.2%
Q4 - 1:18MIAWade 22' Jump Shot (34 PTS)82
6.4%
88
93.6%
Q4 - 1:31LALGasol Dunk (10 PTS) (Fisher 4 AST)82
11.9%
86
88.1%
Q4 - 1:37MIAWade 10' Running Jump Shot (32 PTS)80
8.4%
86
91.6%
Q4 - 1:46MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw Technical80
13.8%
84
86.2%
Q4 - 2:02LALAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)80
13.0%
84
87.0%
Q4 - 2:17LALLakers Rebound77
6.0%
84
94.0%
Q4 - 2:18MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot77
4.9%
84
95.1%
Q4 - 2:31MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)77
3.1%
84
96.9%
Q4 - 2:33LALMISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 277
3.4%
84
96.6%
Q4 - 2:33LALMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 277
4.4%
84
95.6%
Q4 - 2:45MIAHaslem 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS)77
6.0%
84
94.0%
Q4 - 3:07LALFisher Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)77
10.9%
82
89.1%
Q4 - 3:07LALMISS Fisher Free Throw 1 of 276
10.4%
82
89.6%
Q4 - 3:22MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T19)76
11.9%
82
88.1%
Q4 - 3:29MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
7.0%
82
93.0%
Q4 - 3:30LALMISS Bynum 14' Jump Shot76
8.2%
82
91.8%
Q4 - 3:52MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)76
16.7%
82
83.3%
Q4 - 4:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
21.8%
80
78.2%
Q4 - 4:13LALMISS Bryant 20' Jump Shot76
24.1%
80
75.9%
Q4 - 4:26MIAWade Backcourt Turnover (P5.T18)76
29.7%
80
70.3%
Q4 - 4:41LALBryant Dunk (26 PTS) (Fisher 3 AST)76
21.6%
80
78.4%
Q4 - 4:45LALGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)74
16.1%
80
83.9%
Q4 - 4:46MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup74
14.4%
80
85.6%
Q4 - 4:59LALFisher Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T21)74
11.1%
80
88.9%
Q4 - 5:15MIAChalmers Driving Layup (10 PTS)74
20.3%
80
79.7%
Q4 - 5:31LALAriza 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Powell 1 AST)74
25.9%
78
74.1%
Q4 - 5:46LALPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
20.1%
78
79.9%
Q4 - 5:47MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
18.4%
78
81.6%
Q4 - 5:53MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)72
14.9%
78
85.1%
Q4 - 5:55MIAMISS Cook 15' Jump Shot72
18.3%
78
81.7%
Q4 - 6:27LALFarmar Layup (12 PTS)72
19.0%
78
81.0%
Q4 - 6:31MIACook Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T17)70
14.9%
78
85.1%
Q4 - 6:47MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)70
11.2%
78
88.8%
Q4 - 6:48LALMISS Ariza 21' Jump Shot70
12.2%
78
87.8%
Q4 - 7:00MIACook 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)70
14.8%
78
85.2%
Q4 - 7:15MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)70
27.3%
75
72.7%
Q4 - 7:16LALMISS Powell 15' Jump Shot70
29.1%
75
70.9%
Q4 - 7:35LALAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
33.5%
75
66.5%
Q4 - 7:36MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot70
31.5%
75
68.5%
Q4 - 7:53LALVujacic 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Farmar 2 AST)70
27.1%
75
72.9%
Q4 - 8:05LALVujacic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
25.3%
75
74.7%
Q4 - 8:07MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup68
23.9%
75
76.1%
Q4 - 8:15MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
20.8%
75
79.2%
Q4 - 8:17LALMISS Farmar Layup68
22.1%
75
77.9%
Q4 - 8:21LALFarmar REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
25.1%
75
74.9%
Q4 - 8:23MIAMISS Wade 16' Turnaround Jump Shot68
23.7%
75
76.3%
Q4 - 8:47LALVujacic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)68
20.6%
75
79.4%
Q4 - 8:53MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)65
13.3%
75
86.7%
Q4 - 9:12LALBynum 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS)65
12.9%
75
87.1%
Q4 - 9:16LALBynum REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)63
10.4%
75
89.6%
Q4 - 9:17LALMISS Radmanovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
9.0%
75
91.0%
Q4 - 9:37MIAWade Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P4.T15)63
10.3%
75
89.7%
Q4 - 9:55MIAHEAT Rebound63
8.3%
75
91.7%
Q4 - 9:56LALMISS Farmar 9' Running Jump Shot63
8.9%
75
91.1%
Q4 - 10:03LALAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
12.1%
75
87.9%
Q4 - 10:04MIAMISS Anthony 6' Hook Shot63
11.4%
75
88.6%
Q4 - 10:08MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)63
9.9%
75
90.1%
Q4 - 10:09MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
11.4%
75
88.6%
Q4 - 10:27LALRadmanovic Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T20)63
9.9%
75
90.1%
Q4 - 10:44MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)63
12.0%
75
88.0%
Q4 - 10:56MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)63
9.8%
75
90.2%
Q4 - 10:57LALAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)63
10.4%
75
89.6%
Q4 - 10:59LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
12.0%
75
88.0%
Q4 - 11:01LALMISS Farmar Driving Layup63
12.2%
75
87.8%
Q4 - 11:11LALBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
13.8%
75
86.2%
Q4 - 11:12MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
13.0%
75
87.0%
Q4 - 11:26LALRadmanovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T19)63
11.5%
75
88.5%
Q4 - 11:42MIABeasley Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T13)63
13.7%
75
86.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0LAL63
11.4%
75
88.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAWade 33' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS)63
13.6%
75
86.4%
Q3 - 0:23.0LALAriza Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T18)63
21.5%
72
78.5%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)63
24.6%
72
75.4%
Q3 - 0:44.0LALOdom Foul Turnover (P2.T17)63
21.4%
72
78.6%
Q3 - 0:52.0LALGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)63
24.6%
72
75.4%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Anthony Layup63
23.6%
72
76.4%
Q3 - 0:59.0MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)63
21.4%
72
78.6%
Q3 - 1:00MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot63
23.6%
72
76.4%
Q3 - 1:09MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
22.4%
72
77.6%
Q3 - 1:10LALMISS Bryant 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
23.4%
72
76.6%
Q3 - 1:22MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)63
25.7%
72
74.3%
Q3 - 1:34MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)63
34.3%
69
65.7%
Q3 - 1:35LALMISS Gasol 7' Hook Shot63
35.5%
69
64.5%
Q3 - 1:49MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)63
38.4%
69
61.6%
Q3 - 1:49MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)63
39.3%
68
60.7%
Q3 - 2:00LALBryant 7' Jump Bank Shot (24 PTS)63
43.6%
67
56.4%
Q3 - 2:16MIACook 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)61
40.1%
67
59.9%
Q3 - 2:41MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
44.6%
65
55.4%
Q3 - 2:42LALMISS Bryant 15' Jump Shot61
46.0%
65
54.0%
Q3 - 3:03MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)61
51.2%
65
48.8%
Q3 - 3:13MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)61
55.3%
63
44.7%
Q3 - 3:14LALMISS Fisher 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
56.8%
63
43.2%
Q3 - 3:33MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)61
59.9%
63
40.1%
Q3 - 3:33MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 261
60.8%
62
39.2%
Q3 - 3:44LALBryant Layup (22 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)61
59.7%
62
40.3%
Q3 - 3:56MIAMarion Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)59
55.5%
62
44.5%
Q3 - 4:13MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
63.7%
59
36.3%
Q3 - 4:14LALMISS Bryant Free Throw 2 of 259
64.4%
59
35.6%
Q3 - 4:14LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)59
67.2%
59
32.8%
Q3 - 4:29MIAMarion Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T11)58
64.4%
59
35.6%
Q3 - 4:52LALBryant 16' Jump Shot (19 PTS)58
59.7%
59
40.3%
Q3 - 5:10MIACook 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)56
56.4%
59
43.6%
Q3 - 5:25MIAHEAT Rebound56
63.8%
56
36.2%
Q3 - 5:26LALMISS Fisher 20' Jump Shot56
65.2%
56
34.8%
Q3 - 5:40LALBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
68.1%
56
31.9%
Q3 - 5:41MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
66.8%
56
33.2%
Q3 - 6:00LALHaslem STEAL (3 STL)56
63.8%
56
36.2%
Q3 - 6:09LALGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)56
68.4%
56
31.6%
Q3 - 6:10MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
67.2%
56
32.8%
Q3 - 6:26LALFisher Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)56
64.5%
56
35.5%
Q3 - 6:26LALFisher Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)55
64.0%
56
36.0%
Q3 - 6:29MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)54
61.0%
56
39.0%
Q3 - 6:35LALAnthony STEAL (3 STL)54
56.8%
56
43.2%
Q3 - 6:37LALBryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
61.0%
56
39.0%
Q3 - 6:39LALMISS Bryant Driving Layup54
58.0%
56
42.0%
Q3 - 7:08MIAWade Driving Dunk (22 PTS)54
61.0%
56
39.0%
Q3 - 7:15LALWade STEAL (3 STL)54
64.5%
54
35.5%
Q3 - 7:27MIAMarion 9' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)54
68.1%
54
31.9%
Q3 - 7:46LALWalton Layup (2 PTS)54
71.3%
52
28.7%
Q3 - 7:47LALWalton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)52
68.1%
52
31.9%
Q3 - 7:48LALMISS Walton Layup52
65.6%
52
34.4%
Q3 - 8:01LALLakers Rebound52
68.1%
52
31.9%
Q3 - 8:02MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot52
67.0%
52
33.0%
Q3 - 8:19LALFisher 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)52
64.5%
52
35.5%
Q3 - 8:43MIAMarion Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)50
61.2%
52
38.8%
Q3 - 9:05LALGasol 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Fisher 2 AST)50
57.9%
52
42.1%
Q3 - 9:27MIAWade Driving Layup (20 PTS)48
54.4%
52
45.6%
Q3 - 9:41MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
57.9%
50
42.1%
Q3 - 9:43LALLakers Rebound48
61.5%
50
38.5%
Q3 - 9:43LALMISS Gasol Free Throw 2 of 248
58.4%
50
41.6%
Q3 - 9:43LALMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 248
60.7%
50
39.3%
Q3 - 9:49MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)48
61.5%
50
38.5%
Q3 - 9:49MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)48
62.6%
49
37.4%
Q3 - 9:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)48
64.9%
48
35.1%
Q3 - 9:58LALHaslem BLOCK (2 BLK)48
65.9%
48
34.1%
Q3 - 10:08MIAWade 20' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)48
68.4%
48
31.6%
Q3 - 10:25MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
71.4%
46
28.6%
Q3 - 10:26LALMISS Bynum Free Throw 1 of 148
71.8%
46
28.2%
Q3 - 10:42LALFisher REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
68.4%
46
31.6%
Q3 - 10:43MIAMISS Chalmers 5' Jump Shot46
67.4%
46
32.6%
Q3 - 10:58LALHaslem STEAL (2 STL)46
65.2%
46
34.8%
Q3 - 11:06LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
69.0%
46
31.0%
Q3 - 11:07MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot46
68.0%
46
32.0%
Q3 - 11:16MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
65.7%
46
34.3%
Q3 - 11:17LALMISS Bryant 22' Jump Shot46
66.7%
46
33.3%
Q3 - 11:23LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
68.9%
46
31.1%
Q3 - 11:24MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot46
68.0%
46
32.0%
Q3 - 11:49MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
65.7%
46
34.3%
Q3 - 11:50LALMISS Gasol 9' Jump Shot46
66.7%
46
33.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0LAL46
68.9%
46
31.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMarion Dunk (7 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)46
68.7%
46
31.3%
Q2 - 0:10.0LALBryant Driving Finger Roll Layup (17 PTS)46
72.3%
44
27.7%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)44
68.8%
44
31.2%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)44
69.5%
43
30.5%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)44
72.2%
42
27.8%
Q2 - 0:47.0LALMISS Bryant 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
72.8%
42
27.2%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)44
74.3%
42
25.7%
Q2 - 1:21LALWade STEAL (2 STL)44
79.6%
39
20.4%
Q2 - 1:27MIAAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)44
81.1%
39
18.9%
Q2 - 1:29MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)44
79.6%
39
20.4%
Q2 - 1:31LALMISS Gasol 8' Jump Shot44
80.0%
39
20.0%
Q2 - 1:44MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)44
81.1%
39
18.9%
Q2 - 2:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)44
79.1%
39
20.9%
Q2 - 2:03LALMISS Bryant 20' Jump Shot44
79.8%
39
20.2%
Q2 - 2:28MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)44
81.2%
39
18.8%
Q2 - 2:44LALBryant 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Fisher 1 AST)44
83.1%
37
16.9%
Q2 - 2:52LALLakers Rebound41
79.2%
37
20.8%
Q2 - 2:52LALHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)41
77.7%
37
22.3%
Q2 - 3:00LALGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)41
79.2%
37
20.8%
Q2 - 3:01MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot41
78.7%
37
21.3%
Q2 - 3:17LALBryant Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)41
76.9%
37
23.1%
Q2 - 3:23LALGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)41
79.4%
37
20.6%
Q2 - 3:24MIAMISS Marion 6' Running Hook Shot41
78.7%
37
21.3%
Q2 - 3:47MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
76.9%
37
23.1%
Q2 - 3:48LALMISS Fisher 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
77.7%
37
22.3%
Q2 - 4:04MIAWade 20' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)41
79.2%
37
20.8%
Q2 - 4:06MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)41
81.1%
35
18.9%
Q2 - 4:07MIAMISS Marion Tip Shot41
82.4%
35
17.6%
Q2 - 4:08MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)41
81.1%
35
18.9%
Q2 - 4:09MIAMISS Anthony 7' Jump Shot41
82.4%
35
17.6%
Q2 - 4:25MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)41
81.1%
35
18.9%
Q2 - 4:26MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot41
82.4%
35
17.6%
Q2 - 4:37LALBryant Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)41
81.1%
35
18.9%
Q2 - 4:54MIAHaslem Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)41
83.0%
35
17.0%
Q2 - 5:07LALBryant 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)41
84.5%
33
15.5%
Q2 - 5:31MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P2.T6)39
82.9%
33
17.1%
Q2 - 5:54LALBryant Driving Layup (10 PTS)39
81.1%
33
18.9%
Q2 - 6:03MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)37
79.0%
33
21.0%
Q2 - 6:12MIAHEAT Rebound37
76.7%
33
23.3%
Q2 - 6:13LALMISS Odom Driving Finger Roll Layup37
77.4%
33
22.6%
Q2 - 6:19LALGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
79.0%
33
21.0%
Q2 - 6:20MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
78.3%
33
21.7%
Q2 - 6:35LALFisher 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bryant 3 AST)37
76.7%
33
23.3%
Q2 - 6:59MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)34
72.7%
33
27.3%
Q2 - 6:59MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)34
73.2%
32
26.8%
Q2 - 7:23MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
74.9%
31
25.1%
Q2 - 7:24LALMISS Vujacic 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
75.6%
31
24.4%
Q2 - 7:31MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)34
77.1%
31
22.9%
Q2 - 7:38LALBeasley STEAL (1 STL)34
74.9%
31
25.1%
Q2 - 7:55MIAMagloire Layup (2 PTS)34
77.1%
31
22.9%
Q2 - 8:16LALFarmar Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)34
78.8%
29
21.2%
Q2 - 8:29LALAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
76.9%
29
23.1%
Q2 - 8:30MIAMISS Diawara 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
76.3%
29
23.7%
Q2 - 8:43MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
74.9%
29
25.1%
Q2 - 8:44LALMISS Odom 27' 3PT Jump Shot32
75.5%
29
24.5%
Q2 - 9:10MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)32
76.7%
29
23.3%
Q2 - 9:20MIAHEAT Rebound32
74.7%
29
25.3%
Q2 - 9:20LALMISS Odom 20' Jump Shot32
75.3%
29
24.7%
Q2 - 9:36MIACook Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)32
76.7%
29
23.3%
Q2 - 9:55LALFarmar 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)32
74.7%
29
25.3%
Q2 - 10:12LALFarmar REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
70.4%
29
29.6%
Q2 - 10:13MIAMISS Quinn 16' Jump Shot29
69.7%
29
30.3%
Q2 - 10:35LALFarmar Foul Turnover (P2.T8)29
68.1%
29
31.9%
Q2 - 10:54MIACook 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)29
70.4%
29
29.6%
Q2 - 11:16LALOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)29
74.2%
26
25.8%
Q2 - 11:16LALMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 228
73.7%
26
26.3%
Q2 - 11:23LALBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
74.3%
26
25.7%
Q2 - 11:24MIAMISS Cook 17' Jump Shot28
73.7%
26
26.3%
Q2 - 11:43LALFarmar Driving Layup (5 PTS)28
72.2%
26
27.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA26
70.2%
26
29.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0LALBryant Layup (8 PTS)26
68.0%
26
32.0%
Q1 - 0:04.0LALOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)24
65.6%
26
34.4%
Q1 - 0:05.0LALMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
64.4%
26
35.6%
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAMarion 8' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)24
65.6%
26
34.4%
Q1 - 0:50.0LALOdom Layup (2 PTS)24
68.2%
24
31.8%
Q1 - 0:51.0LALOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
65.6%
24
34.4%
Q1 - 0:52.0LALMISS Gasol 8' Hook Shot22
64.4%
24
35.6%
Q1 - 1:13MIAMarion Layup (3 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)22
65.9%
24
34.1%
Q1 - 1:27LALFarmar 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)22
68.6%
22
31.4%
Q1 - 1:50MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)19
63.7%
22
36.3%
Q1 - 1:50MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)19
64.1%
21
35.9%
Q1 - 2:11LALAriza Dunk (2 PTS) (Farmar 1 AST)19
66.6%
20
33.4%
Q1 - 2:30LALGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
64.1%
20
35.9%
Q1 - 2:31MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
63.6%
20
36.4%
Q1 - 2:51LALFarmar Foul Turnover (P1.T7)17
62.4%
20
37.6%
Q1 - 2:58MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
64.1%
20
35.9%
Q1 - 2:58MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)17
64.6%
19
35.4%
Q1 - 3:21LALGasol Dunk (6 PTS) (Walton 1 AST)17
66.8%
18
33.2%
Q1 - 3:25LALWalton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
64.7%
18
35.3%
Q1 - 3:27MIAMISS Haslem 4' Hook Shot15
64.1%
18
35.9%
Q1 - 3:50LALFisher 13' Jump Shot (5 PTS)15
62.6%
18
37.4%
Q1 - 4:05LALLakers Rebound13
60.8%
18
39.2%
Q1 - 4:06MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot13
60.1%
18
39.9%
Q1 - 4:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
58.6%
18
41.4%
Q1 - 4:11LALMISS Walton Driving Layup13
59.3%
18
40.7%
Q1 - 4:18LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
60.8%
18
39.2%
Q1 - 4:20MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot13
60.1%
18
39.9%
Q1 - 4:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)13
58.6%
18
41.4%
Q1 - 4:24MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
60.1%
18
39.9%
Q1 - 4:35LALHaslem STEAL (1 STL)13
58.6%
18
41.4%
Q1 - 4:45MIABeasley 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
60.8%
18
39.2%
Q1 - 4:47MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
62.8%
16
37.2%
Q1 - 4:48MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
64.3%
16
35.7%
Q1 - 5:00LALGasol Tip Shot (4 PTS)13
62.8%
16
37.2%
Q1 - 5:01LALGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
60.7%
16
39.3%
Q1 - 5:02LALMISS Bryant 21' Jump Shot11
59.1%
16
40.9%
Q1 - 5:15MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)11
60.7%
16
39.3%
Q1 - 5:31LALBryant Driving Layup (6 PTS)11
62.5%
14
37.5%
Q1 - 5:48MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)9
60.8%
14
39.2%
Q1 - 6:07LALBryant Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)9
65.0%
11
35.0%
Q1 - 6:29MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)7
63.1%
11
36.9%
Q1 - 7:04LALGasol 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bryant 2 AST)7
67.0%
8
33.0%
Q1 - 7:15LALWalton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
65.4%
8
34.6%
Q1 - 7:16LALMISS Bryant 21' Jump Shot5
63.9%
8
36.1%
Q1 - 7:30MIAWade 12' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)5
65.3%
8
34.7%
Q1 - 7:46LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)5
67.0%
6
33.0%
Q1 - 7:46LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
66.8%
6
33.2%
Q1 - 7:52MIAWade 6' Jump Shot (3 PTS)3
65.3%
6
34.7%
Q1 - 7:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
67.0%
4
33.0%
Q1 - 7:55MIAMISS Marion 12' Floating Jump Shot3
68.5%
4
31.5%
Q1 - 8:13LALBynum Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T5)3
67.4%
4
32.6%
Q1 - 8:31LALFisher REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
69.2%
4
30.8%
Q1 - 8:32MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup3
68.7%
4
31.3%
Q1 - 8:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
67.4%
4
32.6%
Q1 - 8:43LALMISS Walton 18' Jump Shot3
67.9%
4
32.1%
Q1 - 8:53LALFisher REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
69.2%
4
30.8%
Q1 - 8:54MIAMISS Marion 11' Floating Jump Shot3
68.6%
4
31.4%
Q1 - 9:15LALAnthony STEAL (2 STL)3
68.2%
4
31.8%
Q1 - 9:21LALBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
69.7%
4
30.3%
Q1 - 9:23MIAMISS Anthony Tip Shot3
69.2%
4
30.8%
Q1 - 9:24MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)3
68.1%
4
31.9%
Q1 - 9:25MIAMISS Wade 11' Floating Jump Shot3
69.2%
4
30.8%
Q1 - 9:33LALAnthony STEAL (1 STL)3
68.1%
4
31.9%
Q1 - 9:55LALGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
69.7%
4
30.3%
Q1 - 9:56MIAMISS Marion Free Throw 2 of 23
69.5%
4
30.5%
Q1 - 9:56MIAMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
68.3%
4
31.7%
Q1 - 9:59LALChalmers STEAL (1 STL)3
69.8%
3
30.2%
Q1 - 10:17MIAAnthony Tip Shot (2 PTS)3
71.5%
3
28.5%
Q1 - 10:18MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
72.9%
1
27.1%
Q1 - 10:19MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot3
73.9%
1
26.1%
Q1 - 10:29LALWade STEAL (1 STL)3
72.9%
1
27.1%
Q1 - 10:37LALWalton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
74.4%
1
25.6%
Q1 - 10:39MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 23
74.2%
1
25.8%
Q1 - 10:39MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
73.3%
1
26.7%
Q1 - 10:56LALFisher 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bryant 1 AST)3
74.3%
0
25.7%
Q1 - 11:19MIAChalmers Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)0
71.5%
0
28.5%
Q1 - 11:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
70.1%
0
29.9%
Q1 - 11:29LALMISS Fisher 3PT Jump Shot0
70.5%
0
29.5%
Q1 - 11:40LALGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
71.5%
0
28.5%
Q1 - 11:41MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot0
71.1%
0
28.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Bynum: Tip to Marion0
70.1%
0
29.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
1.02 51.2%
MIA
1.03 51.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
LAL
18
28
64%
MIA
9
17
53%
Midrange
LAL
10
30
33%
MIA
15
38
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
LAL
7
10.5
16
44%
66%
MIA
8
12.0
18
44%
67%
Free Throws
LAL
10
19
53%
MIA
17
24
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Bryant2854%14.0 / 26
P. Gasol1350%6.5 / 13
D. Fisher1365%6.5 / 10
J. Farmar1275%6.0 / 8
T. Ariza770%3.5 / 5
S. Vujacic583%2.5 / 3
A. Bynum450%2.0 / 4
L. Odom319%1.5 / 8
L. Walton225%1.0 / 4
V. Radmanovic0-0.0 / 1
J. Powell0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3558%17.5 / 30
D. Cook1478%7.0 / 9
S. Marion1260%6.0 / 10
M. Chalmers1038%5.0 / 13
U. Haslem633%3.0 / 9
M. Beasley675%3.0 / 4
J. Anthony433%2.0 / 6
J. Magloire2100%1.0 / 1
Y. Diawara0-0.0 / 1
C. Quinn0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

LAL
71
+14
-21
85
MIA
74
+11
-19
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
1.02 51.2%
MIA
1.03 51.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.4
107.6
LAL 94.6
MIA 95.7 +1.1
Pace
94.7
90.2
LAL 101.4 +16.2
MIA 85.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.3
LAL 14.2 +2.7
MIA 16.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.3%
50.0%
LAL 52.0% +2.7%
MIA 49.3%
TO %
13.8%
13.1%
LAL 20.3%
MIA 18.5% +1.8%
ORB %
29.3%
24.6%
LAL 27.0% +0.2%
MIA 26.8%
FTrt
29.9
28.2
LAL 25.7
MIA 32.9 +7.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.7%
55.1%
LAL 45.7% +1.9%
MIA 43.8%
STL %
9.2%
8.7%
LAL 7.6%
MIA 11.8% +4.2%
BLK %
8.2%
9.2%
LAL 1.8%
MIA 10.3% +8.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.2%
52.6%
LAL 51.2%
MIA 51.7% +0.5%
Rim FG%
61.0%
59.5%
LAL 64.3% +11.4%
MIA 52.9%
Mid FG%
41.8%
41.8%
LAL 33.3%
MIA 39.5% +6.2%
3P %
36.1%
35.7%
LAL 43.8%
MIA 44.4% +0.6%
FT %
77.1%
75.4%
LAL 52.6%
MIA 70.8% +18.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.5%
30.3%
LAL 37.8% +14.6%
MIA 23.3%
Mid Att. %
42.8%
45.2%
LAL 40.5% +11.5%
MIA 52.1%
3P Att. %
21.7%
24.5%
LAL 21.6%
MIA 24.7% +3.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsLALMIA
Possessions9293
Possession Minutes21.826.2
Points8789
Rebounds4038
Assists1614
Steals711
Blocks16
Turnovers (Team)21 (0)19 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (4)11 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (3)27 (4)
Field Goals35-7432-73
At-the-Rim FG18-289-17
Midrange FG10-3015-38
2-Point FG28-5824-55
3-Point FG7-168-18
Free Throws10-1917-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 212 · 30
35.5
28
54%
3
3
0
0
5
3
1
2
3-4
75%
11-21
52%
1-3
33%
F · 7'0" 250 · 28
34.8
13
50%
11
3
0
1
2
0
2
9
3-6
50%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 210 · 34
30.2
13
65%
3
4
2
0
3
4
0
3
3-4
75%
2-3
67%
2-5
40%
C · 7'0" 285 · 21
27.2
4
50%
6
1
1
0
2
4
2
4
0-1
0%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 29
16.8
2
25%
4
1
0
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 23
27.0
7
70%
5
0
2
0
1
3
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
F · 6'10" 230 · 29
26.5
3
19%
4
1
0
0
2
5
3
1
1-4
25%
1-5
20%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 180 · 22
17.8
12
75%
2
2
2
0
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
50%
2-2
100%
G · 6'7" 195 · 25
16.8
5
83%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
F · 6'10" 235 · 28
4.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 240 · 26
2.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 265 · 29
#9 · G · 6'9" 205 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#28 · C · 7'0" 255 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
51%
40
16
7
1
21
0
10
30
10-19
53%
28-58
48%
7-16
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.