FinalWin Prob.pScore
2624%97
99
1476%106
115
ORTG#PossPace
GSW logo GSW
102.197103.0
ATL logo ATL
119.89690.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventGSWATL
Q4 - 0:00.0GSW99
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0ATLJones 3' Layup (7 PTS) (West 1 AST)99
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:21.0GSWMorrow Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)99
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0GSWMISS Morrow Free Throw 1 of 298
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0ATLJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)98
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0ATLJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)98
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0GSWBelinelli 2' Driving Layup (27 PTS)98
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0ATLMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)96
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0ATLMISS Murray Free Throw 1 of 296
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05GSWMurray STEAL (1 STL)96
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15ATLMurray Driving Dunk (19 PTS)96
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35GSWMorrow 2' Layup (14 PTS) (Belinelli 6 AST)96
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:39ATLMurray Running Dunk (17 PTS) (Horford 5 AST)94
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42GSWSmith STEAL (4 STL)94
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52ATLMurray Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)94
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 2:11ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)94
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12GSWMISS Belinelli 29' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 2:21GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)94
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 2:23ATLMISS Johnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 2:47GSWWright 7' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Belinelli 5 AST)94
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)92
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 3:00ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 2 of 292
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:00ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)92
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)92
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:09GSWMISS Azubuike 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 3:30ATLWilliams Dunk (22 PTS) (Smith 7 AST)92
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 3:46GSWWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)92
0.8%
103
99.2%
Q4 - 3:46GSWWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)91
0.7%
103
99.3%
Q4 - 3:57ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)90
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 3:57ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)90
0.6%
102
99.4%
Q4 - 3:57ATLHAWKS Rebound90
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q4 - 3:57GSWMISS Crawford 18' Jump Shot90
0.8%
101
99.2%
Q4 - 4:12ATLMurray 2' Running Reverse Layup (15 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)90
1.1%
101
98.9%
Q4 - 4:18GSWWilliams STEAL (1 STL)90
1.5%
99
98.5%
Q4 - 4:36ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)90
2.3%
99
97.7%
Q4 - 4:36ATLWilliams Putback Layup (20 PTS)90
2.3%
99
97.7%
Q4 - 4:38ATLMISS Murray 2' Layup90
4.3%
97
95.7%
Q4 - 4:43GSWSmith STEAL (3 STL)90
3.2%
97
96.8%
Q4 - 4:58ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)90
4.8%
97
95.2%
Q4 - 5:00ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)90
9.6%
94
90.4%
Q4 - 5:03ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot90
14.5%
94
85.5%
Q4 - 5:28GSWCrawford 4' Driving Layup (6 PTS)90
11.6%
94
88.4%
Q4 - 5:53ATLJohnson 18' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)88
8.6%
94
91.4%
Q4 - 6:09GSWBiedrins Traveling Turnover (P4.T11)88
12.7%
92
87.3%
Q4 - 6:20ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)88
16.7%
92
83.3%
Q4 - 6:24ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)88
12.7%
92
87.3%
Q4 - 6:25GSWMISS Biedrins 4' Running Layup88
13.8%
92
86.2%
Q4 - 6:41ATLMurray 16' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS)88
16.7%
92
83.3%
Q4 - 7:00GSWAzubuike Putback Layup (13 PTS)88
21.1%
90
78.9%
Q4 - 7:02GSWAzubuike REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)86
17.1%
90
82.9%
Q4 - 7:03GSWMISS Belinelli 22' Jump Shot86
14.3%
90
85.7%
Q4 - 7:08GSWWarriors Rebound86
17.1%
90
82.9%
Q4 - 7:08GSWHorford BLOCK (3 BLK)86
14.3%
90
85.7%
Q4 - 7:33ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)86
17.1%
90
82.9%
Q4 - 7:33ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)86
18.0%
89
82.0%
Q4 - 7:41ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)86
21.0%
88
79.0%
Q4 - 7:41ATLMISS Pachulia Putback Layup86
24.7%
88
75.3%
Q4 - 7:42ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)86
21.0%
88
79.0%
Q4 - 7:44ATLMISS Pachulia 6' Driving Jump Shot86
24.7%
88
75.3%
Q4 - 8:07ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)86
21.6%
88
78.4%
Q4 - 8:08GSWMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
22.9%
88
77.1%
Q4 - 8:16GSWBelinelli REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
26.1%
88
73.9%
Q4 - 8:18ATLMISS Johnson 6' Jump Shot86
24.7%
88
75.3%
Q4 - 8:39GSWBiedrins 4' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Turiaf 3 AST)86
21.6%
88
78.4%
Q4 - 8:59ATLMurray 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)84
17.4%
88
82.6%
Q4 - 9:20GSWBiedrins Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)84
26.5%
85
73.5%
Q4 - 9:20GSWBiedrins Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)83
24.9%
85
75.1%
Q4 - 9:24GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)82
21.9%
85
78.1%
Q4 - 9:27ATLMISS Johnson 21' Fadeaway Jumper82
20.7%
85
79.3%
Q4 - 9:39ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)82
18.2%
85
81.8%
Q4 - 9:40GSWMISS Morrow 28' 3PT Jump Shot82
19.3%
85
80.7%
Q4 - 10:03ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)82
22.0%
85
78.0%
Q4 - 10:03ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)82
22.8%
84
77.2%
Q4 - 10:18ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)82
26.2%
83
73.8%
Q4 - 10:19GSWMISS Morrow 17' Fadeaway Jumper82
27.5%
83
72.5%
Q4 - 10:46ATLMurray 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS)82
30.8%
83
69.2%
Q4 - 10:52ATLHAWKS Rebound82
35.9%
81
64.1%
Q4 - 10:53ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot82
39.6%
81
60.4%
Q4 - 10:57ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)82
35.9%
81
64.1%
Q4 - 10:59ATLMISS Murray 18' Jump Shot82
39.6%
81
60.4%
Q4 - 11:22ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)82
35.2%
81
64.8%
Q4 - 11:24GSWMISS Wright Free Throw 2 of 282
35.9%
81
64.1%
Q4 - 11:24GSWWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)82
39.0%
81
61.0%
Q4 - 11:45ATLJohnson 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)81
35.0%
81
65.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL81
40.3%
79
59.7%
Q3 - 0:14.0ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
39.6%
79
60.4%
Q3 - 0:16.0GSWJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)81
40.9%
79
59.1%
Q3 - 0:36.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)81
44.0%
79
56.0%
Q3 - 0:36.0ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 281
45.2%
78
54.8%
Q3 - 0:42.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
44.6%
78
55.4%
Q3 - 0:43.0GSWMISS Wright Putback Layup81
46.0%
78
54.0%
Q3 - 0:44.0GSWWright REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)81
49.1%
78
50.9%
Q3 - 0:45.0GSWMISS Turiaf 10' Jump Shot81
46.0%
78
54.0%
Q3 - 1:04GSWMorrow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)81
47.9%
78
52.1%
Q3 - 1:09ATLMISS Williams 9' Running Hook Shot81
46.5%
78
53.5%
Q3 - 1:26GSWWright Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)81
43.5%
78
56.5%
Q3 - 1:31GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)81
47.9%
78
52.1%
Q3 - 1:33ATLMISS Murray 29' 3PT Jump Shot81
46.6%
78
53.4%
Q3 - 1:39GSWEvans STEAL (2 STL)81
43.5%
78
56.5%
Q3 - 2:00ATLJohnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)81
48.0%
78
52.0%
Q3 - 2:03ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)81
55.7%
75
44.3%
Q3 - 2:05ATLMISS Evans 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
58.9%
75
41.1%
Q3 - 2:22GSWWarriors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)81
55.8%
75
44.2%
Q3 - 2:47GSWWright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)81
60.5%
75
39.5%
Q3 - 2:50ATLMISS Williams 3' Alley Oop Layup81
59.1%
75
40.9%
Q3 - 3:04GSWBiedrins Alley Oop Layup (10 PTS) (Crawford 5 AST)81
53.4%
75
46.6%
Q3 - 3:10GSWWright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)79
49.3%
75
50.7%
Q3 - 3:12ATLMISS Bibby 28' 3PT Jump Shot79
47.8%
75
52.2%
Q3 - 3:17ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
44.6%
75
55.4%
Q3 - 3:19ATLMISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
47.9%
75
52.1%
Q3 - 3:27GSWMorrow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)79
44.6%
75
55.4%
Q3 - 3:27GSWMorrow Putback Layup (12 PTS)79
44.6%
75
55.4%
Q3 - 3:29GSWPachulia BLOCK (1 BLK)77
37.3%
75
62.7%
Q3 - 3:32GSWMorrow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
40.5%
75
59.5%
Q3 - 3:33GSWMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot77
37.3%
75
62.7%
Q3 - 3:59ATLBibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Evans 2 AST)77
40.5%
75
59.5%
Q3 - 4:06ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
47.8%
72
52.2%
Q3 - 4:07GSWMISS Crawford 3' Driving Layup77
49.4%
72
50.6%
Q3 - 4:15GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)77
53.0%
72
47.0%
Q3 - 4:16ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot77
51.4%
72
48.6%
Q3 - 4:31GSWMorrow 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Belinelli 4 AST)77
47.9%
72
52.1%
Q3 - 4:48ATLWilliams 7' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)75
44.3%
72
55.7%
Q3 - 5:06GSWWright 12' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Biedrins 6 AST)75
46.2%
70
53.8%
Q3 - 5:20GSWWright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)73
42.7%
70
57.3%
Q3 - 5:22ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 173
42.1%
70
57.9%
Q3 - 5:26ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)73
46.3%
68
53.7%
Q3 - 5:28GSWMISS Azubuike 17' Jump Bank Shot73
47.8%
68
52.2%
Q3 - 5:42GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)73
51.1%
68
48.9%
Q3 - 5:45GSWMISS Crawford 17' Jump Shot73
47.8%
68
52.2%
Q3 - 5:53ATLWilliams Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)73
51.1%
68
48.9%
Q3 - 6:05GSWBiedrins 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Azubuike 1 AST)73
45.0%
68
55.0%
Q3 - 6:24ATLJohnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)71
41.4%
68
58.6%
Q3 - 6:41GSWAzubuike 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Crawford 4 AST)71
49.1%
65
50.9%
Q3 - 6:48GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)69
45.4%
65
54.6%
Q3 - 6:50ATLMISS Bibby 17' Jump Shot69
44.1%
65
55.9%
Q3 - 7:09GSWWright Running Dunk (12 PTS) (Crawford 3 AST)69
39.8%
65
60.2%
Q3 - 7:15ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T13)67
36.4%
65
63.6%
Q3 - 7:31GSWAzubuike 5' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)67
32.8%
65
67.2%
Q3 - 7:36GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)65
29.6%
65
70.4%
Q3 - 7:37ATLMISS Bibby 6' Running Jump Shot65
28.6%
65
71.4%
Q3 - 7:47ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)65
26.4%
65
73.6%
Q3 - 7:48GSWMISS Crawford 28' 3PT Jump Shot65
27.3%
65
72.7%
Q3 - 7:58ATLJohnson Driving Layup (7 PTS)65
29.6%
65
70.4%
Q3 - 8:12GSWBelinelli 29' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS)65
32.2%
63
67.8%
Q3 - 8:23ATLSmith 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Horford 4 AST)62
26.2%
63
73.8%
Q3 - 8:47GSWAzubuike Putback Layup (7 PTS)62
29.0%
61
71.0%
Q3 - 8:47GSWAzubuike REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
26.2%
61
73.8%
Q3 - 8:48GSWMISS Biedrins 3' Layup60
24.1%
61
75.9%
Q3 - 9:05ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)60
25.9%
61
74.1%
Q3 - 9:09ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)60
31.9%
58
68.1%
Q3 - 9:10ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot60
34.2%
58
65.8%
Q3 - 9:19GSWCrawford 4' Driving Layup (4 PTS)60
31.9%
58
68.1%
Q3 - 9:34ATLHorford 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)58
28.8%
58
71.2%
Q3 - 9:53GSWBiedrins Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)58
31.9%
56
68.1%
Q3 - 9:59GSWAzubuike REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
35.3%
56
64.7%
Q3 - 10:01ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 158
34.0%
56
66.0%
Q3 - 10:20GSWAzubuike 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Biedrins 5 AST)58
37.7%
54
62.3%
Q3 - 10:30GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)56
34.4%
54
65.6%
Q3 - 10:31ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)56
31.3%
54
68.7%
Q3 - 10:31ATLMISS Horford Tip Shot56
33.5%
54
66.5%
Q3 - 10:33ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
31.3%
54
68.7%
Q3 - 10:33ATLMISS Horford Putback Layup56
33.5%
54
66.5%
Q3 - 10:35ATLMISS Smith Layup56
33.5%
54
66.5%
Q3 - 10:36ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
31.3%
54
68.7%
Q3 - 10:39ATLMISS Johnson 8' Jump Shot56
33.5%
54
66.5%
Q3 - 10:55GSWBelinelli 4' Layup (22 PTS) (Biedrins 4 AST)56
31.3%
54
68.7%
Q3 - 10:57GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)54
28.3%
54
71.7%
Q3 - 10:58GSWMISS Belinelli 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
26.3%
54
73.7%
Q3 - 11:17ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)54
27.9%
54
72.1%
Q3 - 11:17ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)54
28.6%
53
71.4%
Q3 - 11:17GSWSmith STEAL (2 STL)54
30.6%
52
69.4%
Q3 - 11:19GSWKurz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
33.8%
52
66.2%
Q3 - 11:21ATLMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot54
32.8%
52
67.2%
Q3 - 11:37ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
30.6%
52
69.4%
Q3 - 11:39GSWMISS Azubuike 28' 3PT Jump Shot54
31.6%
52
68.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL54
33.8%
52
66.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
30.6%
52
69.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0GSWMISS Belinelli 27' 3PT Jump Shot54
31.6%
52
68.4%
Q2 - 0:10.0ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)54
32.9%
52
67.1%
Q2 - 0:31.0GSWBiedrins 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Belinelli 3 AST)54
30.7%
52
69.3%
Q2 - 0:40.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)52
27.3%
52
72.7%
Q2 - 0:44.0ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
33.6%
49
66.4%
Q2 - 0:45.0GSWMISS Crawford 20' Jump Shot52
34.3%
49
65.7%
Q2 - 0:56.0ATLEvans Running Dunk (7 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)52
36.0%
49
64.0%
Q2 - 0:58.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
39.9%
47
60.1%
Q2 - 1:00GSWHorford BLOCK (2 BLK)52
40.6%
47
59.4%
Q2 - 1:10GSWCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
41.6%
47
58.4%
Q2 - 1:12ATLMISS Horford 3' Layup52
40.8%
47
59.2%
Q2 - 1:29GSWWright Putback Layup (10 PTS)52
39.3%
47
60.7%
Q2 - 1:30GSWWright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)50
35.4%
47
64.6%
Q2 - 1:32GSWMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
33.9%
47
66.1%
Q2 - 1:53ATLBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)50
35.4%
47
64.6%
Q2 - 1:53ATLBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)50
35.9%
46
64.1%
Q2 - 2:05GSWAzubuike Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)50
37.7%
45
62.3%
Q2 - 2:09ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)47
32.1%
45
67.9%
Q2 - 2:24GSWBelinelli Driving Layup (20 PTS)47
29.3%
45
70.7%
Q2 - 2:31GSWBelinelli REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
26.8%
45
73.2%
Q2 - 2:34ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
26.0%
45
74.0%
Q2 - 2:49GSWCrawford 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)45
24.3%
45
75.7%
Q2 - 2:55GSWTuriaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
22.1%
45
77.9%
Q2 - 2:57ATLMISS Smith 12' Turnaround Hook Shot43
21.4%
45
78.6%
Q2 - 3:18GSWTuriaf Dunk (2 PTS) (Belinelli 2 AST)43
19.6%
45
80.4%
Q2 - 3:40ATLSmith 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)41
18.0%
45
82.0%
Q2 - 4:03GSWBelinelli Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)41
19.4%
43
80.6%
Q2 - 4:26ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)38
16.0%
43
84.0%
Q2 - 4:44GSWMorrow 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)38
14.3%
43
85.7%
Q2 - 4:55GSWTuriaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
11.7%
43
88.3%
Q2 - 4:56ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
11.3%
43
88.7%
Q2 - 5:13GSWWright Dunk (8 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)35
10.6%
43
89.4%
Q2 - 5:19GSWCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
9.5%
43
90.5%
Q2 - 5:20ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot33
9.2%
43
90.8%
Q2 - 5:34ATLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
8.6%
43
91.4%
Q2 - 5:35GSWMISS Wright Free Throw 2 of 233
8.7%
43
91.3%
Q2 - 5:35GSWMISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 233
9.3%
43
90.7%
Q2 - 5:38GSWAzubuike REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
9.5%
43
90.5%
Q2 - 5:40ATLMISS Jones Layup33
9.2%
43
90.8%
Q2 - 5:49ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
8.6%
43
91.4%
Q2 - 5:50GSWMISS Crawford 4' Driving Layup33
8.8%
43
91.2%
Q2 - 6:10ATLJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)33
9.9%
43
90.1%
Q2 - 6:13ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)33
11.9%
40
88.1%
Q2 - 6:14GSWMISS Wright 7' Jump Shot33
12.3%
40
87.7%
Q2 - 6:18GSWWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)33
13.4%
40
86.6%
Q2 - 6:19GSWMISS Azubuike 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
12.3%
40
87.7%
Q2 - 6:33ATLSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)33
13.4%
40
86.6%
Q2 - 6:51GSWWright 4' Running Layup (6 PTS) (Turiaf 2 AST)33
11.9%
40
88.1%
Q2 - 7:09ATLSmith Foul Turnover (P2.T8)31
10.8%
40
89.2%
Q2 - 7:09ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
9.7%
40
90.3%
Q2 - 7:10GSWMISS Crawford 17' Jump Shot31
10.1%
40
89.9%
Q2 - 7:13ATLLaw Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)31
10.8%
40
89.2%
Q2 - 7:39GSWCrawford Backcourt Turnover (P1.T5)31
9.7%
40
90.3%
Q2 - 7:52ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)31
10.8%
40
89.2%
Q2 - 7:52ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 231
11.0%
39
89.0%
Q2 - 7:55ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
10.8%
39
89.2%
Q2 - 7:56GSWMISS Morrow 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
11.1%
39
88.9%
Q2 - 8:02ATLMurray Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)31
12.1%
39
87.9%
Q2 - 8:22ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
11.0%
39
89.0%
Q2 - 8:24ATLMISS Jones Putback Layup31
11.8%
39
88.2%
Q2 - 8:25ATLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
11.0%
39
89.0%
Q2 - 8:27ATLMISS Law 3' Driving Layup31
11.8%
39
88.2%
Q2 - 8:35GSWBelinelli Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)31
11.0%
39
89.0%
Q2 - 8:35GSWMISS Belinelli Free Throw 1 of 230
10.7%
39
89.3%
Q2 - 8:52ATLMurray 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Law 5 AST)30
11.0%
39
89.0%
Q2 - 8:58ATLLaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
13.3%
36
86.7%
Q2 - 8:59GSWMISS Belinelli 28' 3PT Jump Shot30
13.7%
36
86.3%
Q2 - 9:22GSWMorrow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
14.6%
36
85.4%
Q2 - 9:24ATLMISS Murray 29' 3PT Jump Shot30
14.2%
36
85.8%
Q2 - 9:38GSWWatson Foul Turnover (P1.T4)30
13.3%
36
86.7%
Q2 - 9:45ATLEvans 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)30
14.6%
36
85.4%
Q2 - 10:06GSWWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)30
17.6%
33
82.4%
Q2 - 10:06GSWWright Putback Layup (4 PTS)30
17.6%
33
82.4%
Q2 - 10:08GSWMISS Wright 6' Jump Shot28
15.2%
33
84.8%
Q2 - 10:22ATLSmith 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Law 4 AST)28
16.1%
33
83.9%
Q2 - 10:45GSWBelinelli REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
17.6%
31
82.4%
Q2 - 10:45GSWBelinelli Tip Shot (14 PTS)28
17.6%
31
82.4%
Q2 - 10:47GSWMISS Wright Putback Layup26
15.1%
31
84.9%
Q2 - 10:48GSWWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
16.1%
31
83.9%
Q2 - 10:50GSWMISS Belinelli 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
15.1%
31
84.9%
Q2 - 10:56ATLMurray Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)26
16.1%
31
83.9%
Q2 - 11:13GSWWatson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turiaf 1 AST)26
15.0%
31
85.0%
Q2 - 11:29ATLMurray Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)23
12.6%
31
87.4%
Q2 - 11:45GSWWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
11.5%
31
88.5%
Q2 - 11:45GSWWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
11.2%
31
88.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL21
10.5%
31
89.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
9.5%
31
90.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0GSWEvans BLOCK (1 BLK)21
10.0%
31
90.0%
Q1 - 0:25.0ATLWilliams Running Dunk (10 PTS) (Law 3 AST)21
10.5%
31
89.5%
Q1 - 0:28.0GSWPachulia STEAL (1 STL)21
11.7%
29
88.3%
Q1 - 0:30.0GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)21
12.5%
29
87.5%
Q1 - 0:32.0GSWMISS Watson 17' Jump Shot21
12.0%
29
88.0%
Q1 - 0:38.0ATLPachulia 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Law 2 AST)21
12.5%
29
87.5%
Q1 - 0:58.0GSWBelinelli 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Biedrins 3 AST)21
13.9%
27
86.1%
Q1 - 1:11ATLMurray 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Law 1 AST)19
12.7%
27
87.3%
Q1 - 1:30GSWMorrow 18' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)19
15.3%
24
84.7%
Q1 - 1:50GSWWarriors Rebound17
13.7%
24
86.3%
Q1 - 1:51ATLMISS Evans 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
13.5%
24
86.5%
Q1 - 1:59ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
13.0%
24
87.0%
Q1 - 2:01ATLMISS Johnson 30' 3PT Jump Shot17
13.7%
24
86.3%
Q1 - 2:28GSWMorrow 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Biedrins 2 AST)17
13.1%
24
86.9%
Q1 - 2:49ATLEvans Dunk (2 PTS)14
11.0%
24
89.0%
Q1 - 2:52GSWEvans STEAL (1 STL)14
12.1%
22
87.9%
Q1 - 2:54GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
12.9%
22
87.1%
Q1 - 2:55ATLMISS Evans 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
12.7%
22
87.3%
Q1 - 3:04ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)14
11.9%
22
88.1%
Q1 - 3:05GSWMISS Watson 3' Driving Layup14
12.2%
22
87.8%
Q1 - 3:13GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
12.9%
22
87.1%
Q1 - 3:15ATLMISS Johnson 29' 3PT Jump Shot14
12.6%
22
87.4%
Q1 - 3:34GSWBelinelli 2' Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Kurz 2 AST)14
12.0%
22
88.0%
Q1 - 3:37GSWKurz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
11.0%
22
89.0%
Q1 - 3:38GSWMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
10.4%
22
89.6%
Q1 - 4:02ATLJohnson 19' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)12
11.1%
22
88.9%
Q1 - 4:14GSWBelinelli 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)12
11.9%
20
88.1%
Q1 - 4:23GSWMorrow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
11.1%
20
88.9%
Q1 - 4:25ATLMISS Horford 11' Fadeaway Jumper10
10.8%
20
89.2%
Q1 - 4:46ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
10.2%
20
89.8%
Q1 - 4:47GSWMISS Kurz 16' Jump Shot10
10.4%
20
89.6%
Q1 - 5:05ATLWilliams Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)10
11.4%
20
88.6%
Q1 - 5:10GSWSmith STEAL (1 STL)10
12.2%
18
87.8%
Q1 - 5:27ATLSmith Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)10
13.2%
18
86.8%
Q1 - 5:30ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)10
14.1%
16
85.9%
Q1 - 5:31GSWMISS Azubuike 17' Jump Shot10
14.5%
16
85.5%
Q1 - 5:33GSWAzubuike REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
15.4%
16
84.6%
Q1 - 5:35GSWMISS Belinelli 28' 3PT Jump Shot10
14.5%
16
85.5%
Q1 - 5:47ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)10
15.3%
16
84.7%
Q1 - 5:50ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)10
14.1%
16
85.9%
Q1 - 5:51GSWMISS Crawford 20' Jump Shot10
14.5%
16
85.5%
Q1 - 6:01ATLWilliams 4' Running Layup (6 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)10
15.1%
16
84.9%
Q1 - 6:16GSWBelinelli 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Biedrins 1 AST)10
16.2%
14
83.8%
Q1 - 6:33ATLBibby 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)7
14.1%
14
85.9%
Q1 - 6:41ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
15.1%
12
84.9%
Q1 - 6:43ATLMISS Williams 28' 3PT Jump Shot7
15.9%
12
84.1%
Q1 - 7:02GSWBelinelli 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)7
14.8%
12
85.2%
Q1 - 7:30ATLHorford Layup (6 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)4
12.9%
12
87.1%
Q1 - 7:50ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)4
13.8%
10
86.2%
Q1 - 7:51GSWMISS Kurz 17' Jump Shot4
14.1%
10
85.9%
Q1 - 8:00ATLHorford 6' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)4
14.9%
10
85.1%
Q1 - 8:14GSWBiedrins 2' Running Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Kurz 1 AST)4
15.8%
8
84.2%
Q1 - 8:24ATLWilliams Running Layup (4 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)2
14.7%
8
85.3%
Q1 - 8:32ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
15.8%
6
84.2%
Q1 - 8:33GSWMISS Crawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
16.2%
6
83.8%
Q1 - 8:36GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
17.0%
6
83.0%
Q1 - 8:40ATLMISS Smith 3' Alley Oop Dunk2
16.6%
6
83.4%
Q1 - 8:56GSWBiedrins Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)2
15.8%
6
84.2%
Q1 - 9:18GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
14.9%
6
85.1%
Q1 - 9:19ATLMISS Bibby 28' 3PT Jump Shot0
14.7%
6
85.3%
Q1 - 9:32ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)0
14.0%
6
86.0%
Q1 - 9:34GSWHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)0
14.3%
6
85.7%
Q1 - 9:54ATLWilliams Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)0
14.9%
6
85.1%
Q1 - 9:57ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
16.1%
4
83.9%
Q1 - 9:59GSWSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)0
16.4%
4
83.6%
Q1 - 10:19ATLJohnson 19' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)0
17.3%
4
82.7%
Q1 - 10:28ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
18.3%
2
81.7%
Q1 - 10:29GSWMISS Kurz 28' 3PT Jump Shot0
18.7%
2
81.3%
Q1 - 10:43ATLBibby Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)0
19.5%
2
80.5%
Q1 - 10:46ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
18.3%
2
81.7%
Q1 - 10:48GSWMISS Crawford 18' Jump Shot0
18.7%
2
81.3%
Q1 - 10:54ATLSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
19.5%
2
80.5%
Q1 - 11:23ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
18.2%
2
81.8%
Q1 - 11:26GSWMISS Belinelli 18' Jump Shot0
18.5%
2
81.5%
Q1 - 11:43ATLHorford 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)0
19.3%
2
80.7%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Biedrins: Tip to Horford0
20.3%
0
79.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
0.99 49.5%
ATL
1.17 58.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
GSW
27
38
71%
ATL
27
38
71%
Midrange
GSW
8
29
28%
ATL
10
25
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
GSW
6
9.0
24
25%
38%
ATL
7
10.5
22
32%
48%
Free Throws
GSW
11
16
69%
ATL
20
26
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Belinelli2761%13.5 / 22
B. Wright1956%9.5 / 17
A. Morrow1563%7.5 / 12
A. Biedrins1470%7.0 / 10
K. Azubuike1350%6.5 / 13
J. Crawford620%3.0 / 15
C. Watson350%1.5 / 3
R. Turiaf250%1.0 / 2
R. Kurz0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Williams2285%11.0 / 13
R. Murray2077%10.0 / 13
J. Johnson1945%9.5 / 21
J. Smith1470%7.0 / 10
A. Horford1464%7.0 / 11
M. Bibby739%3.5 / 9
M. Evans750%3.5 / 7
S. Jones770%3.5 / 5
Z. Pachulia550%2.5 / 5
A. Law0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

GSW
83
+17
-14
100
ATL
80
+16
-16
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
0.99 49.5%
ATL
1.17 58.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.1
109.2
GSW 102.1
ATL 119.8 +17.7
Pace
98.6
89.8
GSW 103.0 +12.3
ATL 90.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
15.9
GSW 14.0 +1.9
ATL 15.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.7%
50.4%
GSW 48.4%
ATL 55.9% +7.5%
TO %
14.3%
13.6%
GSW 13.3% +0.9%
ATL 14.2%
ORB %
26.1%
26.0%
GSW 30.6%
ATL 35.7% +5.1%
FTrt
33.9
32.3
GSW 17.6
ATL 30.6 +13.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.0%
56.1%
GSW 58.5%
ATL 79.5% +21.0%
STL %
7.8%
8.2%
GSW 11.3% +1.9%
ATL 9.4%
BLK %
9.2%
7.4%
GSW 6.3%
ATL 10.4% +4.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.26 and 2.26.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.7%
53.2%
GSW 49.5%
ATL 58.7% +9.2%
Rim FG%
57.8%
60.5%
GSW 71.1%
ATL 71.1%
Mid FG%
39.2%
40.2%
GSW 27.6%
ATL 40.0% +12.4%
3P %
37.3%
36.6%
GSW 25.0%
ATL 31.8% +6.8%
FT %
79.1%
73.8%
GSW 68.8%
ATL 76.9% +8.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
32.2%
GSW 41.8%
ATL 44.7% +2.9%
Mid Att. %
41.5%
42.4%
GSW 31.9%
ATL 29.4% +2.5%
3P Att. %
20.9%
25.3%
GSW 26.4% +0.5%
ATL 25.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsGSWATL
Possessions9796
Possession Minutes22.625.4
Points99115
Rebounds4249
Assists2435
Steals119
Blocks47
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (2)15 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (1)34 (1)
Field Goals41-9144-85
At-the-Rim FG27-3827-38
Midrange FG8-2910-25
2-Point FG35-6737-63
3-Point FG6-247-22
Free Throws11-1620-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
42.4
27
61%
3
6
2
0
4
3
1
2
2-3
67%
8-11
73%
3-10
30%
G · 6'5" 185 · 29
35.4
6
20%
2
5
2
0
3
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-11
27%
0-4
0%
C · 7'0" 250 · 23
32.5
14
70%
15
6
0
1
4
3
3
12
2-2
100%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'5" 215 · 25
27.4
13
50%
5
1
3
0
0
1
3
2
1-1
100%
6-10
60%
0-3
0%
F · 6'9" 232 · 24
12.5
0
0%
2
2
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21
30.0
19
56%
8
0
2
0
1
3
5
3
5-8
63%
7-12
58%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
26.2
15
63%
5
1
2
0
0
4
2
3
1-2
50%
4-7
57%
2-4
50%
C · 6'10" 249 · 26
20.2
2
50%
2
3
0
3
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
13.5
3
50%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
G · 6'4" 200 · 23
· 6'10" 225 · 19
G · 6'3" 205 · 23
#8 · G · 6'3" 185 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#50 · F · 6'6" 225 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · G-F · 6'8" 220 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
50%
42
24
11
4
14
0
15
27
11-16
69%
35-67
52%
6-24
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.