FinalWin Prob.pScore
442%93
78
1158%96
90
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
85.79191.4
ORL logo ORL
96.89392.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL78
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0SASVaughn 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)78
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)76
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)76
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0SASMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 275
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0SASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02ORLMISS Gortat 17' Jump Shot75
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30SASUdoka 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Vaughn 2 AST)75
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51ORLNelson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)72
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06SASThomas 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)72
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 2:25ORLMISS Turkoglu 3PT Jump Shot70
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29ORLMAGIC Rebound70
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31ORLMISS Lee Driving Layup70
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 2:48ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49SASMISS Mason Jr. 20' Jump Shot70
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)70
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)70
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10SASGortat BLOCK (2 BLK)70
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 3:21ORLGortat 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)70
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 3:41SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)70
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 3:58ORLNelson Driving Layup (21 PTS)67
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q4 - 4:07ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q4 - 4:09ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q4 - 4:30SASLee STEAL (2 STL)67
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q4 - 4:50ORLNelson 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS)67
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q4 - 5:04ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q4 - 5:06SASMISS Ginobili 13' Jump Shot67
1.5%
79
98.5%
Q4 - 5:17ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)67
1.9%
79
98.1%
Q4 - 5:17ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 267
2.0%
78
98.0%
Q4 - 5:21ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
1.9%
78
98.1%
Q4 - 5:22SASMISS Parker 14' Jump Shot67
2.1%
78
97.9%
Q4 - 5:42ORLLewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nelson 7 AST)67
2.6%
78
97.4%
Q4 - 6:06SASDuncan Layup (19 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)67
6.5%
75
93.5%
Q4 - 6:21ORLNelson 16' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS)65
4.9%
75
95.1%
Q4 - 6:32SASGortat STEAL (2 STL)65
6.4%
73
93.6%
Q4 - 6:50ORLNelson Driving Layup (15 PTS)65
8.6%
73
91.4%
Q4 - 7:01SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)65
12.6%
71
87.4%
Q4 - 7:01SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)64
12.0%
71
88.0%
Q4 - 7:16SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)63
10.0%
71
90.0%
Q4 - 7:17ORLMISS Nelson 23' Jump Shot63
9.2%
71
90.8%
Q4 - 7:33ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
7.6%
71
92.4%
Q4 - 7:35SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Bank Shot63
8.2%
71
91.8%
Q4 - 7:51SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)63
9.9%
71
90.1%
Q4 - 7:52ORLMISS Lewis 13' Fadeaway Jumper63
9.1%
71
90.9%
Q4 - 8:10SASMason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)63
9.1%
71
90.9%
Q4 - 8:21ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P4.T12)60
5.5%
71
94.5%
Q4 - 8:24ORLLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
4.4%
71
95.6%
Q4 - 8:26SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot60
4.7%
71
95.3%
Q4 - 8:47ORLCook Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)60
5.5%
71
94.5%
Q4 - 9:08SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)60
8.3%
69
91.7%
Q4 - 9:08SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)59
7.8%
69
92.2%
Q4 - 9:24ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)58
6.6%
69
93.4%
Q4 - 9:38ORLMAGIC Rebound58
5.3%
69
94.7%
Q4 - 9:40ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
6.1%
69
93.9%
Q4 - 10:05SASMason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)58
6.1%
69
93.9%
Q4 - 10:18SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
3.9%
69
96.1%
Q4 - 10:20ORLMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
3.7%
69
96.3%
Q4 - 10:39SASUdoka 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)55
3.1%
69
96.9%
Q4 - 10:52ORLTurkoglu 17' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)52
2.0%
69
98.0%
Q4 - 11:10SASHill Traveling Turnover (P1.T13)52
3.1%
67
96.9%
Q4 - 11:27ORLLee Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)52
3.7%
67
96.3%
Q4 - 11:36ORLMAGIC Rebound52
4.6%
65
95.4%
Q4 - 11:36ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)52
4.6%
65
95.4%
Q4 - 11:36ORLMISS Howard Tip Shot52
5.2%
65
94.8%
Q4 - 11:36ORLMISS Turkoglu 15' Jump Shot52
5.2%
65
94.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL52
4.6%
65
95.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0SASTurkoglu STEAL (1 STL)52
5.3%
65
94.7%
Q3 - 0:08.0ORLBogans Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)52
6.2%
65
93.8%
Q3 - 0:12.0SASBogans STEAL (2 STL)52
5.2%
65
94.8%
Q3 - 0:34.0SASSpurs Rebound52
6.2%
65
93.8%
Q3 - 0:34.0ORLMISS Lewis Layup52
5.9%
65
94.1%
Q3 - 0:59.0SASDuncan 15' Jump Bank Shot (15 PTS)52
5.2%
65
94.8%
Q3 - 1:17ORLLewis 6' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)50
4.6%
65
95.4%
Q3 - 1:37SASDuncan 8' Jump Shot (13 PTS)50
5.6%
63
94.4%
Q3 - 1:47SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)48
4.6%
63
95.4%
Q3 - 1:49SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
4.1%
63
95.9%
Q3 - 2:09SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)48
5.2%
63
94.8%
Q3 - 2:11SASMISS Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
4.6%
63
95.4%
Q3 - 2:31SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)48
5.2%
63
94.8%
Q3 - 2:33ORLMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
4.9%
63
95.1%
Q3 - 2:57SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)48
4.3%
63
95.7%
Q3 - 2:57SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)47
4.1%
63
95.9%
Q3 - 3:04SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
4.1%
63
95.9%
Q3 - 3:05ORLMISS Lee 16' Jump Shot46
3.9%
63
96.1%
Q3 - 3:21ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)46
3.4%
63
96.6%
Q3 - 3:22ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
3.8%
63
96.2%
Q3 - 3:38SASDuncan 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)46
3.4%
63
96.6%
Q3 - 3:49ORLHoward Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T9)44
2.9%
63
97.1%
Q3 - 3:58ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)44
2.4%
63
97.6%
Q3 - 4:00SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot44
2.5%
63
97.5%
Q3 - 4:24ORLNelson 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)44
3.2%
63
96.8%
Q3 - 4:44SASBonner 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)44
3.6%
61
96.4%
Q3 - 4:59ORLHoward Dunk (14 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)41
2.7%
61
97.3%
Q3 - 5:14SASParker Reverse Layup (7 PTS)41
3.5%
59
96.5%
Q3 - 5:27ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)39
3.0%
59
97.0%
Q3 - 5:27SASLewis STEAL (1 STL)39
4.0%
56
96.0%
Q3 - 5:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)39
4.8%
56
95.2%
Q3 - 5:31ORLMISS Lewis 12' Jump Shot39
4.6%
56
95.4%
Q3 - 5:48SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)39
4.0%
56
96.0%
Q3 - 5:52ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)36
3.0%
56
97.0%
Q3 - 6:06ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)36
2.8%
56
97.2%
Q3 - 6:07SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot36
3.0%
56
97.0%
Q3 - 6:25ORLTurkoglu Layup (8 PTS)36
3.3%
56
96.7%
Q3 - 6:27ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)36
3.8%
54
96.2%
Q3 - 6:29ORLMISS Turkoglu 21' Jump Shot36
4.3%
54
95.7%
Q3 - 6:46ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
3.8%
54
96.2%
Q3 - 6:48SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
4.0%
54
96.0%
Q3 - 6:55SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)36
4.5%
54
95.5%
Q3 - 6:56ORLMISS Bogans 3PT Jump Shot36
4.3%
54
95.7%
Q3 - 7:15SASGinobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)36
4.3%
54
95.7%
Q3 - 7:20SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)33
3.2%
54
96.8%
Q3 - 7:22ORLMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot33
3.0%
54
97.0%
Q3 - 7:38SASGinobili 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)33
2.7%
54
97.3%
Q3 - 7:49SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
2.3%
54
97.7%
Q3 - 7:50ORLMISS Nelson 12' Jump Shot31
2.2%
54
97.8%
Q3 - 8:05ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)31
2.2%
54
97.8%
Q3 - 8:07SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot31
2.3%
54
97.7%
Q3 - 8:31ORLNelson Layup (11 PTS)31
2.5%
54
97.5%
Q3 - 8:47ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)31
2.9%
52
97.1%
Q3 - 8:48SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot31
3.0%
52
97.0%
Q3 - 9:11ORLHoward Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)31
3.6%
52
96.4%
Q3 - 9:27ORLMAGIC Rebound31
4.1%
50
95.9%
Q3 - 9:27SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot31
4.3%
50
95.7%
Q3 - 9:40ORLNelson 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)31
4.7%
50
95.3%
Q3 - 9:48ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
5.4%
48
94.6%
Q3 - 9:51SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Bank Shot31
5.7%
48
94.3%
Q3 - 10:13ORLNelson 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)31
6.7%
48
93.3%
Q3 - 10:23ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)31
7.6%
46
92.4%
Q3 - 10:25SASMISS Bonner 12' Jump Shot31
8.0%
46
92.0%
Q3 - 10:47ORLNelson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)31
8.7%
46
91.3%
Q3 - 10:51ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
7.6%
46
92.4%
Q3 - 10:53SASMISS Bonner 3PT Jump Shot31
7.9%
46
92.1%
Q3 - 11:03ORLBogans Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)31
9.3%
46
90.7%
Q3 - 11:12SASHoward STEAL (1 STL)31
8.1%
46
91.9%
Q3 - 11:32ORLNelson 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)31
9.2%
46
90.8%
Q3 - 11:44SASDuncan 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bonner 2 AST)31
10.4%
44
89.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL29
9.2%
44
90.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound29
8.1%
44
91.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASMISS Mason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
9.0%
44
91.0%
Q2 - 0:14.0SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)29
9.6%
44
90.4%
Q2 - 0:15.0ORLMISS Bogans 3PT Jump Shot29
9.3%
44
90.7%
Q2 - 0:24.0ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)29
8.7%
44
91.3%
Q2 - 0:26.0SASMISS Parker Layup29
9.0%
44
91.0%
Q2 - 0:31.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
9.6%
44
90.4%
Q2 - 0:33.0ORLMISS Lewis Layup29
9.3%
44
90.7%
Q2 - 0:43.0ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)29
8.7%
44
91.3%
Q2 - 0:45.0SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot29
9.0%
44
91.0%
Q2 - 0:57.0ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)29
9.6%
44
90.4%
Q2 - 1:10SASThomas 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)29
9.1%
44
90.9%
Q2 - 1:20SASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
7.8%
44
92.2%
Q2 - 1:22ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
7.6%
44
92.4%
Q2 - 1:46SASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
7.2%
44
92.8%
Q2 - 1:46SASThomas 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
7.2%
44
92.8%
Q2 - 1:50SASMISS Ginobili 16' Jump Shot25
5.8%
44
94.2%
Q2 - 1:53SASSpurs Rebound25
6.1%
44
93.9%
Q2 - 1:53SASLewis BLOCK (2 BLK)25
5.8%
44
94.2%
Q2 - 1:56SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
6.1%
44
93.9%
Q2 - 1:58ORLMISS Nelson 12' Running Jump Shot25
6.0%
44
94.0%
Q2 - 2:12SASBonner 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS)25
5.8%
44
94.2%
Q2 - 2:21SASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
5.2%
44
94.8%
Q2 - 2:23ORLMISS Howard 5' Hook Shot23
5.0%
44
95.0%
Q2 - 2:39SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)23
4.6%
44
95.4%
Q2 - 2:44SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)23
5.2%
44
94.8%
Q2 - 2:45ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot23
5.0%
44
95.0%
Q2 - 2:52ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
4.6%
44
95.4%
Q2 - 2:54SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
4.7%
44
95.3%
Q2 - 3:17ORLHoward Layup (10 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)23
5.5%
44
94.5%
Q2 - 3:22ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)23
6.0%
42
94.0%
Q2 - 3:24SASLewis BLOCK (1 BLK)23
6.3%
42
93.7%
Q2 - 3:35ORLTurkoglu 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)23
6.9%
42
93.1%
Q2 - 3:59SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)23
7.6%
40
92.4%
Q2 - 3:59SASGinobili Layup (5 PTS)23
7.6%
40
92.4%
Q2 - 4:01SASMISS Hill 19' Jump Shot21
6.6%
40
93.4%
Q2 - 4:23ORLLewis 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)21
7.2%
40
92.8%
Q2 - 4:47ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
8.9%
37
91.1%
Q2 - 4:48SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot21
9.2%
37
90.8%
Q2 - 4:59SASSpurs Rebound21
10.0%
37
90.0%
Q2 - 5:00ORLMISS Bogans 3PT Jump Shot21
9.7%
37
90.3%
Q2 - 5:19SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)21
9.5%
37
90.5%
Q2 - 5:19SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 220
9.3%
37
90.7%
Q2 - 5:19SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
9.4%
37
90.6%
Q2 - 5:21SASMISS Finley 19' Jump Shot20
8.8%
37
91.2%
Q2 - 5:44ORLBogans 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)20
9.4%
37
90.6%
Q2 - 5:50ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
11.7%
34
88.3%
Q2 - 5:52SASMISS Duncan 7' Hook Shot20
12.0%
34
88.0%
Q2 - 6:04SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
13.5%
34
86.5%
Q2 - 6:06ORLMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
13.1%
34
86.9%
Q2 - 6:23ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
12.0%
34
88.0%
Q2 - 6:25SASMISS Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
12.4%
34
87.6%
Q2 - 6:37ORLHoward Layup (8 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)20
13.5%
34
86.5%
Q2 - 6:52SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)20
14.7%
32
85.3%
Q2 - 6:52SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 219
14.3%
32
85.7%
Q2 - 7:09ORLJohnson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
15.1%
32
84.9%
Q2 - 7:18ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)19
16.5%
30
83.5%
Q2 - 7:20SASMISS Duncan 7' Hook Shot19
17.0%
30
83.0%
Q2 - 7:39ORLLee Layup (8 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)19
18.2%
30
81.8%
Q2 - 7:45ORLLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
19.9%
28
80.1%
Q2 - 7:49SASHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)19
20.5%
28
79.5%
Q2 - 7:58ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)19
21.9%
28
78.1%
Q2 - 7:58ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)19
22.6%
27
77.4%
Q2 - 8:16SASFinley 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
24.3%
26
75.7%
Q2 - 8:28SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
22.2%
26
77.8%
Q2 - 8:30ORLMISS Lee 17' Jump Shot17
21.7%
26
78.3%
Q2 - 8:42SASBonner Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)17
20.4%
26
79.6%
Q2 - 8:52ORLLee Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)17
22.2%
26
77.8%
Q2 - 8:54SASLee STEAL (1 STL)17
26.3%
23
73.7%
Q2 - 8:59SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)17
28.4%
23
71.6%
Q2 - 9:02ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
27.8%
23
72.2%
Q2 - 9:33SASMason Jr. 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
26.3%
23
73.7%
Q2 - 9:51ORLCook 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gortat 1 AST)15
24.3%
23
75.7%
Q2 - 10:11SASMason Jr. 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
26.7%
21
73.3%
Q2 - 10:17SASSpurs Rebound13
24.7%
21
75.3%
Q2 - 10:17SASMISS Ginobili 19' Jump Shot13
23.3%
21
76.7%
Q2 - 10:37ORLCook Foul Turnover (P1.T4)13
24.7%
21
75.3%
Q2 - 10:49ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
22.7%
21
77.3%
Q2 - 10:51SASMISS Thomas 19' Jump Shot13
23.3%
21
76.7%
Q2 - 11:09ORLTurkoglu 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
25.1%
21
74.9%
Q2 - 11:23ORLCook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
27.0%
19
73.0%
Q2 - 11:25SASMISS Thomas 19' Jump Shot13
27.6%
19
72.4%
Q2 - 11:32SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
29.1%
19
70.9%
Q2 - 11:34ORLMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
28.4%
19
71.6%
Q2 - 11:43ORLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
27.0%
19
73.0%
Q2 - 11:46SASGortat BLOCK (1 BLK)13
27.6%
19
72.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL13
29.1%
19
70.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound13
27.0%
19
73.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Lee 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
28.4%
19
71.6%
Q1 - 0:11.0SASHill Layup (2 PTS)13
27.5%
19
72.5%
Q1 - 0:13.0ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)11
25.1%
19
74.9%
Q1 - 0:16.0ORLMAGIC Rebound11
23.7%
19
76.3%
Q1 - 0:16.0ORLMISS Turkoglu Layup11
24.7%
19
75.3%
Q1 - 0:33.0ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
23.7%
19
76.3%
Q1 - 0:35.0SASMISS Ginobili Layup11
24.1%
19
75.9%
Q1 - 0:46.0ORLLewis 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)11
25.1%
19
74.9%
Q1 - 1:01ORLMAGIC Rebound11
28.0%
17
72.0%
Q1 - 1:02ORLMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot11
28.9%
17
71.1%
Q1 - 1:14ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
28.0%
17
72.0%
Q1 - 1:16SASMISS Ginobili 8' Running Hook Shot11
28.4%
17
71.6%
Q1 - 1:28ORLTurkoglu Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)11
29.3%
17
70.7%
Q1 - 1:50SASGortat STEAL (1 STL)11
27.9%
17
72.1%
Q1 - 2:02SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
29.8%
17
70.2%
Q1 - 2:03ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
29.3%
17
70.7%
Q1 - 2:22ORLMAGIC Rebound11
28.2%
17
71.8%
Q1 - 2:24ORLMISS Bogans 3PT Jump Shot11
29.3%
17
70.7%
Q1 - 2:31ORLLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
28.2%
17
71.8%
Q1 - 2:32SASMISS Udoka 20' Jump Shot11
28.7%
17
71.3%
Q1 - 2:44SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
29.7%
17
70.3%
Q1 - 2:45ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot11
29.2%
17
70.8%
Q1 - 2:52ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)11
28.2%
17
71.8%
Q1 - 2:53SASMISS Parker 15' Jump Shot11
28.6%
17
71.4%
Q1 - 3:17ORLNelson Driving Layup (3 PTS)11
30.0%
17
70.0%
Q1 - 3:31SASDuncan Layup (4 PTS)11
32.0%
15
68.0%
Q1 - 3:48SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
30.0%
15
70.0%
Q1 - 3:49ORLMISS Lee 17' Jump Shot9
29.4%
15
70.6%
Q1 - 3:59ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
28.1%
15
71.9%
Q1 - 4:00SASMISS Udoka 26' 3PT Jump Shot9
28.7%
15
71.3%
Q1 - 4:19ORLLee 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)9
30.1%
15
69.9%
Q1 - 4:26ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)9
33.8%
12
66.2%
Q1 - 4:28SASMISS Ginobili Layup9
34.5%
12
65.5%
Q1 - 4:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)9
36.0%
12
64.0%
Q1 - 4:34SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot9
34.5%
12
65.5%
Q1 - 4:54ORLBogans Driving Layup (5 PTS)9
36.0%
12
64.0%
Q1 - 4:59SASBogans STEAL (1 STL)9
37.9%
10
62.1%
Q1 - 5:17ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)9
40.2%
10
59.8%
Q1 - 5:17ORLHoward Tip Shot (4 PTS)9
40.2%
10
59.8%
Q1 - 5:18ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)9
42.0%
8
58.0%
Q1 - 5:18ORLMISS Howard Tip Shot9
43.6%
8
56.4%
Q1 - 5:20ORLMISS Lewis Layup9
43.6%
8
56.4%
Q1 - 5:29ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
42.0%
8
58.0%
Q1 - 5:30SASMISS Duncan 7' Hook Shot9
42.7%
8
57.3%
Q1 - 5:48ORLBogans 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)9
44.4%
8
55.6%
Q1 - 6:08SASBonner Backcourt Turnover (P1.T3)9
48.2%
5
51.8%
Q1 - 6:25ORLHoward Layup (2 PTS)9
50.4%
5
49.6%
Q1 - 6:43SASGinobili Layup (2 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)9
52.4%
3
47.6%
Q1 - 7:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
50.3%
3
49.7%
Q1 - 7:04ORLMISS Lewis 10' Jump Shot7
49.6%
3
50.4%
Q1 - 7:19SASParker Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)7
47.9%
3
52.1%
Q1 - 7:34ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)7
50.3%
3
49.7%
Q1 - 7:34ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 1 of 27
50.6%
2
49.4%
Q1 - 7:39ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
50.1%
2
49.9%
Q1 - 7:40SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot7
50.8%
2
49.2%
Q1 - 8:00SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
52.4%
2
47.6%
Q1 - 8:03ORLMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot7
51.4%
2
48.6%
Q1 - 8:08ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
50.0%
2
50.0%
Q1 - 8:09SASMISS Parker Layup7
50.6%
2
49.4%
Q1 - 8:14SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)7
52.1%
2
47.9%
Q1 - 8:18ORLMISS Bogans 11' Jump Shot7
51.4%
2
48.5%
Q1 - 8:31SASParker 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)7
50.0%
2
50.0%
Q1 - 8:53ORLTurkoglu 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
47.9%
2
52.1%
Q1 - 8:59ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
50.0%
0
50.0%
Q1 - 9:00SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot5
50.6%
0
49.4%
Q1 - 9:09SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
51.6%
0
48.4%
Q1 - 9:11ORLMISS Howard 9' Jump Hook Shot5
51.0%
0
49.0%
Q1 - 9:29SASBonner 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)5
49.8%
0
50.2%
Q1 - 9:40ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
45.6%
0
54.4%
Q1 - 9:57SASFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
43.8%
0
56.2%
Q1 - 10:11SASSpurs Rebound2
45.3%
0
54.7%
Q1 - 10:11SASHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)2
43.9%
0
56.1%
Q1 - 10:16SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)2
45.3%
0
54.7%
Q1 - 10:18ORLMISS Bogans Driving Layup2
44.7%
0
55.3%
Q1 - 10:27ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
43.4%
0
56.6%
Q1 - 10:28SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot2
43.9%
0
56.1%
Q1 - 10:37SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
45.3%
0
54.7%
Q1 - 10:39ORLMISS Howard 4' Hook Shot2
44.7%
0
55.3%
Q1 - 10:51ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
43.4%
0
56.6%
Q1 - 10:54SASMISS Mason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
44.0%
0
56.0%
Q1 - 10:58SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
45.3%
0
54.7%
Q1 - 11:00SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
44.0%
0
56.0%
Q1 - 11:10SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
44.5%
0
55.5%
Q1 - 11:12ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
44.0%
0
56.0%
Q1 - 11:24SASDuncan 15' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)2
42.8%
0
57.2%
Q1 - 11:40SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
41.3%
0
58.7%
Q1 - 11:41ORLMISS Howard Layup0
40.7%
0
59.3%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Duncan: Tip to Lewis0
39.6%
0
60.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.91 45.3%
ORL
0.96 47.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
7
16
44%
ORL
17
28
61%
Midrange
SAS
15
44
34%
ORL
15
32
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
8
12.0
20
40%
60%
ORL
6
9.0
25
24%
36%
Free Throws
SAS
10
13
77%
ORL
8
10
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan1948%9.5 / 20
R. Mason Jr.1071%5.0 / 7
M. Ginobili1038%5.0 / 13
T. Parker925%4.5 / 18
M. Bonner880%4.0 / 5
I. Udoka675%3.0 / 4
K. Thomas660%3.0 / 5
B. Bowen375%1.5 / 2
G. Hill330%1.5 / 5
M. Finley217%1.0 / 6
J. Vaughn2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Nelson2463%12.0 / 19
R. Lewis1547%7.5 / 16
D. Howard1454%7.0 / 13
H. Turkoglu1142%5.5 / 13
C. Lee1056%5.0 / 9
K. Bogans836%4.0 / 11
B. Cook450%2.0 / 4
A. Johnson250%1.0 / 2
M. Gortat250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
76
+10
-15
86
ORL
81
+13
-12
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.91 45.3%
ORL
0.96 47.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.3
109.0
SAS 85.7
ORL 96.8 +11.1
Pace
88.7
92.5
SAS 91.4
ORL 92.6 +1.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.5
SAS 15.8
ORL 15.5 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.3%
52.0%
SAS 42.5%
ORL 48.2% +5.7%
TO %
12.4%
14.6%
SAS 14.9%
ORL 12.7% +2.2%
ORB %
22.2%
24.1%
SAS 15.6%
ORL 15.8% +0.2%
FTrt
25.1
35.1
SAS 16.3 +4.5
ORL 11.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.1%
54.4%
SAS 50.0% +7.9%
ORL 42.1%
STL %
6.5%
7.5%
SAS 6.6%
ORL 9.7% +3.1%
BLK %
6.1%
8.0%
SAS 5.0%
ORL 10.0% +5.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.4%
54.4%
SAS 45.3%
ORL 47.9% +2.6%
Rim FG%
58.8%
60.9%
SAS 43.8%
ORL 60.7% +16.9%
Mid FG%
42.7%
39.3%
SAS 34.1%
ORL 46.9% +12.8%
3P %
38.6%
38.1%
SAS 40.0% +16.0%
ORL 24.0%
FT %
76.2%
71.5%
SAS 76.9%
ORL 80.0% +3.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
31.3%
SAS 20.0%
ORL 32.9% +12.9%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
35.2%
SAS 55.0%
ORL 37.6% +17.4%
3P Att. %
24.8%
33.5%
SAS 25.0%
ORL 29.4% +4.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.58 and 2.58.
Game TotalsSASORL
Possessions9193
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points7890
Rebounds3944
Assists1516
Steals69
Blocks36
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)6 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (2)38 (2)
Field Goals30-8038-85
At-the-Rim FG7-1617-28
Midrange FG15-4415-32
2-Point FG22-6032-60
3-Point FG8-206-25
Free Throws10-138-10
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 33
36.8
19
48%
9
3
0
0
1
3
2
7
5-6
83%
7-17
41%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 27
36.5
9
25%
1
4
0
0
4
1
0
1
3-3
100%
3-16
19%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 205 · 28
27.1
10
71%
7
0
2
0
2
1
1
6
0-0
-
2-3
67%
2-4
50%
C · 6'10" 235 · 29
21.6
8
80%
2
2
1
1
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
F · 6'7" 225 · 36
15.4
2
17%
3
0
2
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-3
0%
G · 6'6" 205 · 31
28.7
10
38%
8
3
0
0
3
2
3
5
1-2
50%
3-9
33%
1-3
33%
F · 6'7" 200 · 38
20.8
3
75%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 188 · 23
20.5
3
30%
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31
18.9
6
75%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
F · 6'9" 240 · 36
11.2
6
60%
4
0
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 34
2.5
2
100%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 245 · 34
#28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#35 · F · 6'8" 240 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
78
45%
39
15
6
3
15
0
7
32
10-13
77%
22-60
37%
8-20
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.