FinalWin Prob.pScore
2442%97
98
1858%100
83
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
112.68781.8
MIA logo MIA
96.58691.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL98
100%
83
0%
Q4 - 0:15.0MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)98
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Quinn 18' Jump Shot98
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0MILGadzuric 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Sessions 2 AST)98
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)96
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Banks 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)96
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0MILMISS Mbah a Moute 16' Jump Shot96
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 1:17MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)96
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 1:19MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 1:33MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)96
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 1:35MILMISS Villanueva Free Throw 1 of 196
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 1:49MIAAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)94
99.6%
83
0.4%
Q4 - 2:13MILVillanueva 11' Hook Shot (18 PTS)94
99.4%
83
0.6%
Q4 - 2:33MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P5.T13)92
99.2%
83
0.8%
Q4 - 2:44MILJefferson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)92
98.5%
83
1.5%
Q4 - 3:04MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Chalmers 8 AST)92
98.7%
83
1.3%
Q4 - 3:15MILJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)92
99.4%
80
0.6%
Q4 - 3:15MILJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)91
99.4%
80
0.6%
Q4 - 3:36MIAChalmers Driving Layup (20 PTS)90
98.1%
80
1.9%
Q4 - 3:52MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)90
98.7%
78
1.3%
Q4 - 3:54MILMISS Villanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
98.9%
78
1.1%
Q4 - 4:10MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)90
99.2%
78
0.8%
Q4 - 4:12MILMISS Bell 3PT Jump Shot90
98.9%
78
1.1%
Q4 - 4:32MIAMarion Putback Dunk (15 PTS)90
99.2%
78
0.8%
Q4 - 4:34MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)90
99.4%
76
0.6%
Q4 - 4:36MIAMISS Wade Layup90
99.6%
76
0.4%
Q4 - 4:40MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)90
99.4%
76
0.6%
Q4 - 4:43MILMarion BLOCK (2 BLK)90
99.5%
76
0.5%
Q4 - 5:00MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)90
99.6%
76
0.4%
Q4 - 5:22MILBogut Dunk (20 PTS) (Villanueva 5 AST)90
99.6%
73
0.4%
Q4 - 5:31MIACook Free Throw 3 of 3 (7 PTS)88
99.4%
73
0.6%
Q4 - 5:31MIAMISS Cook Free Throw 2 of 388
99.5%
72
0.5%
Q4 - 5:31MIAMISS Cook Free Throw 1 of 388
99.3%
72
0.7%
Q4 - 5:42MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)88
99.4%
72
0.6%
Q4 - 6:04MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)88
99.3%
72
0.7%
Q4 - 6:05MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
99.2%
72
0.8%
Q4 - 6:24MILBell Layup (7 PTS)88
99.0%
72
1.0%
Q4 - 6:28MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
98.7%
72
1.3%
Q4 - 6:29MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot86
98.6%
72
1.4%
Q4 - 6:38MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
98.2%
72
1.8%
Q4 - 6:42MILAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)86
98.4%
72
1.6%
Q4 - 7:02MIAQuinn 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)86
98.1%
72
1.9%
Q4 - 7:18MIAHEAT Rebound86
98.9%
69
1.1%
Q4 - 7:20MILMISS Bell 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
99.0%
69
1.0%
Q4 - 7:33MILBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)86
99.2%
69
0.8%
Q4 - 7:35MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
99.1%
69
0.9%
Q4 - 7:41MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
98.9%
69
1.1%
Q4 - 7:47MILAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)86
99.0%
69
1.0%
Q4 - 8:19MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)86
98.8%
69
1.2%
Q4 - 8:20MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot86
98.7%
69
1.3%
Q4 - 8:39MILBell 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Redd 5 AST)86
98.5%
69
1.5%
Q4 - 8:55MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
97.5%
69
2.5%
Q4 - 8:56MIAMISS Beasley 18' Jump Shot83
97.3%
69
2.7%
Q4 - 9:14MILBell 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)83
95.8%
69
4.2%
Q4 - 9:38MIAWade Driving Layup (15 PTS)81
94.8%
69
5.2%
Q4 - 9:46MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)81
95.9%
67
4.1%
Q4 - 9:47MILMISS Redd 17' Jump Shot81
96.2%
67
3.8%
Q4 - 9:56MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)81
96.7%
67
3.3%
Q4 - 10:08MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
94.9%
67
5.1%
Q4 - 10:10MILMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
95.2%
67
4.8%
Q4 - 10:22MILBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
95.9%
67
4.1%
Q4 - 10:23MIAMISS Beasley 11' Jump Shot81
95.7%
67
4.3%
Q4 - 10:44MILBogut Layup (18 PTS) (Sessions 1 AST)81
95.0%
67
5.0%
Q4 - 10:57MIABeasley 10' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)79
93.8%
67
6.2%
Q4 - 11:22MILBogut Layup (16 PTS) (Villanueva 4 AST)79
94.0%
65
6.0%
Q4 - 11:41MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)77
92.7%
65
7.3%
Q4 - 11:43MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
92.3%
65
7.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA77
91.2%
65
8.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
91.2%
65
8.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILMISS Sessions Layup77
91.7%
65
8.3%
Q3 - 0:08.0MIAChalmers Dunk (18 PTS)77
91.5%
65
8.5%
Q3 - 0:10.0MILChalmers STEAL (1 STL)77
93.1%
63
6.9%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAMarion Layup (13 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)77
94.2%
63
5.8%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)77
95.4%
61
4.6%
Q3 - 0:40.0MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 2 of 277
95.5%
61
4.5%
Q3 - 0:40.0MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 277
95.9%
61
4.1%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAWade Driving Layup (13 PTS)77
96.1%
61
3.9%
Q3 - 1:13MILJefferson 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Villanueva 3 AST)77
96.4%
59
3.6%
Q3 - 1:30MIAAnthony 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)75
95.6%
59
4.4%
Q3 - 1:48MILMarion STEAL (1 STL)75
96.4%
57
3.6%
Q3 - 2:06MIAMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)75
96.4%
57
3.6%
Q3 - 2:06MIAMISS Marion Free Throw 1 of 275
96.5%
56
3.5%
Q3 - 2:24MILBogut 7' Hook Shot (14 PTS)75
96.4%
56
3.6%
Q3 - 2:42MILBucks Rebound73
95.7%
56
4.3%
Q3 - 2:44MILMISS Sessions 11' Jump Shot73
95.1%
56
4.9%
Q3 - 3:03MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)73
95.1%
56
4.9%
Q3 - 3:03MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 273
95.2%
55
4.8%
Q3 - 3:03MIAHEAT Rebound73
95.0%
55
5.0%
Q3 - 3:03MILMISS Villanueva Layup73
95.3%
55
4.7%
Q3 - 3:20MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
95.9%
55
4.1%
Q3 - 3:21MIAMISS Anthony 6' Jump Shot73
95.6%
55
4.4%
Q3 - 3:32MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
95.0%
55
5.0%
Q3 - 3:33MILMISS Villanueva 10' Jump Shot73
95.3%
55
4.7%
Q3 - 3:55MIABeasley Layup (10 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)73
95.9%
55
4.1%
Q3 - 4:01MILWade STEAL (2 STL)73
96.0%
53
4.0%
Q3 - 4:13MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
96.7%
53
3.3%
Q3 - 4:15MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 2 of 273
96.6%
53
3.4%
Q3 - 4:15MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)73
96.3%
53
3.7%
Q3 - 4:33MILJefferson Driving Dunk (10 PTS)73
96.7%
52
3.3%
Q3 - 4:49MIAChalmers Driving Layup (16 PTS)71
96.2%
52
3.8%
Q3 - 5:01MILJefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ridnour 2 AST)71
96.0%
50
4.0%
Q3 - 5:16MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS)68
94.7%
50
5.3%
Q3 - 5:37MILBogut 7' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)68
95.4%
48
4.6%
Q3 - 5:40MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)66
94.7%
48
5.3%
Q3 - 5:41MILMISS Redd 12' Jump Shot66
94.0%
48
6.0%
Q3 - 5:53MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)66
94.7%
48
5.3%
Q3 - 5:55MILMISS Jefferson 5' Running Jump Shot66
94.0%
48
6.0%
Q3 - 6:14MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)66
94.0%
48
6.0%
Q3 - 6:15MIAMISS Beasley 9' Turnaround Jump Shot66
93.7%
48
6.3%
Q3 - 6:37MILRidnour 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jefferson 4 AST)66
93.0%
48
7.0%
Q3 - 6:43MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)64
92.0%
48
8.0%
Q3 - 6:53MIAHEAT Rebound64
90.6%
48
9.4%
Q3 - 6:54MILMISS Bogut Layup64
91.0%
48
9.0%
Q3 - 7:05MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)64
90.8%
48
9.2%
Q3 - 7:24MILWade STEAL (1 STL)64
93.1%
45
6.9%
Q3 - 7:31MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)64
94.1%
45
5.9%
Q3 - 7:35MILMISS Jefferson 7' Running Jump Shot64
93.4%
45
6.6%
Q3 - 7:49MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)64
94.1%
45
5.9%
Q3 - 7:49MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)64
94.3%
44
5.7%
Q3 - 8:05MILMbah a Moute Driving Layup (4 PTS)64
94.4%
43
5.6%
Q3 - 8:19MIAMarion 8' Running Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)62
93.6%
43
6.4%
Q3 - 8:35MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)62
94.4%
41
5.6%
Q3 - 8:35MILMISS Ridnour 18' Jump Shot62
94.7%
41
5.3%
Q3 - 8:49MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)62
95.2%
41
4.8%
Q3 - 8:52MIAMISS Haslem 12' Jump Shot62
95.0%
41
5.0%
Q3 - 9:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
94.1%
41
5.9%
Q3 - 9:19MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot62
94.6%
41
5.4%
Q3 - 9:37MILRidnour 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Redd 4 AST)62
94.1%
41
5.9%
Q3 - 9:49MIAMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)60
93.2%
41
6.8%
Q3 - 9:49MIAMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)60
93.4%
40
6.6%
Q3 - 10:01MILJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)60
93.4%
39
6.6%
Q3 - 10:01MILJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)59
93.2%
39
6.8%
Q3 - 10:14MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T10)58
92.5%
39
7.5%
Q3 - 10:36MILBogut 14' Hook Shot (10 PTS)58
91.5%
39
8.5%
Q3 - 10:52MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
90.3%
39
9.7%
Q3 - 10:54MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
89.9%
39
10.1%
Q3 - 11:00MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
89.0%
39
11.0%
Q3 - 11:02MILMISS Jefferson 19' Jump Shot56
88.6%
39
11.4%
Q3 - 11:20MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)56
89.6%
39
10.4%
Q3 - 11:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
91.9%
36
8.1%
Q3 - 11:37MILMarion BLOCK (1 BLK)56
92.2%
36
7.8%
Q3 - 11:39MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)56
92.9%
36
7.1%
Q3 - 11:40MILMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
92.2%
36
7.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL56
92.9%
36
7.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
92.1%
36
7.9%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot56
91.9%
36
8.1%
Q2 - 0:22.0MILCook STEAL (1 STL)56
91.4%
36
8.6%
Q2 - 0:24.0MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
92.2%
36
7.8%
Q2 - 0:27.0MILBeasley BLOCK (1 BLK)56
91.7%
36
8.3%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)56
92.2%
36
7.8%
Q2 - 1:00MILVillanueva Reverse Layup (16 PTS) (Ridnour 1 AST)56
94.1%
33
5.9%
Q2 - 1:04MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
92.6%
33
7.4%
Q2 - 1:06MILMISS Villanueva 5' Jump Shot54
92.1%
33
7.9%
Q2 - 1:21MILRedd Free Throw Technical (21 PTS)54
92.6%
33
7.4%
Q2 - 1:21MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)53
91.7%
33
8.3%
Q2 - 1:34MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)53
93.7%
30
6.3%
Q2 - 1:34MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)52
93.6%
30
6.4%
Q2 - 1:51MIAMarion Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)51
92.6%
30
7.4%
Q2 - 2:06MILVillanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Redd 3 AST)51
91.1%
30
8.9%
Q2 - 2:25MIAMarion Dunk (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)48
88.9%
30
11.1%
Q2 - 2:41MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)48
90.1%
28
9.9%
Q2 - 2:41MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)47
89.9%
28
10.1%
Q2 - 2:54MILBucks Rebound46
88.9%
28
11.1%
Q2 - 2:55MIAMISS Anthony Dunk46
88.5%
28
11.5%
Q2 - 3:05MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
86.9%
28
13.1%
Q2 - 3:06MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
87.4%
28
12.6%
Q2 - 3:15MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
88.4%
28
11.6%
Q2 - 3:18MIAMISS Wade Layup46
88.0%
28
12.0%
Q2 - 3:36MILBogut 6' Hook Shot (8 PTS)46
86.9%
28
13.1%
Q2 - 3:55MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)44
85.7%
28
14.3%
Q2 - 3:55MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)44
85.9%
27
14.1%
Q2 - 4:01MILBogut Layup (6 PTS) (Villanueva 2 AST)44
86.2%
26
13.8%
Q2 - 4:03MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)42
84.8%
26
15.2%
Q2 - 4:07MILMISS Bell 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
83.6%
26
16.4%
Q2 - 4:33MIABeasley Dunk (7 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)42
84.8%
26
15.2%
Q2 - 4:56MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)42
86.3%
24
13.7%
Q2 - 4:56MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)41
86.1%
24
13.9%
Q2 - 5:06MILBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
84.1%
24
15.9%
Q2 - 5:07MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
83.6%
24
16.4%
Q2 - 5:18MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
82.5%
24
17.5%
Q2 - 5:19MILMISS Villanueva 18' Jump Shot40
83.0%
24
17.0%
Q2 - 5:41MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)40
84.1%
24
15.9%
Q2 - 5:46MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
87.1%
21
12.9%
Q2 - 5:48MILMISS Villanueva Tip Shot40
87.5%
21
12.5%
Q2 - 5:49MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
88.3%
21
11.7%
Q2 - 5:52MILMISS Redd 8' Jump Shot40
87.5%
21
12.5%
Q2 - 5:56MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
88.3%
21
11.7%
Q2 - 5:58MIAMISS Beasley 18' Jump Shot40
88.0%
21
12.0%
Q2 - 6:14MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)40
86.1%
21
13.9%
Q2 - 6:41MIABeasley Driving Layup (2 PTS)37
83.4%
21
16.6%
Q2 - 6:57MILSessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)37
84.8%
19
15.2%
Q2 - 6:57MILSessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
84.5%
19
15.5%
Q2 - 7:07MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
82.7%
19
17.3%
Q2 - 7:09MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot35
82.2%
19
17.8%
Q2 - 7:24MILGadzuric 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)35
81.0%
19
19.0%
Q2 - 7:42MIADiawara Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T8)33
79.3%
19
20.7%
Q2 - 7:46MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
77.3%
19
22.7%
Q2 - 7:47MILMISS Mbah a Moute 19' Jump Shot33
77.9%
19
22.1%
Q2 - 8:02MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
78.2%
19
21.8%
Q2 - 8:04MIAMISS Diawara 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
77.6%
19
22.4%
Q2 - 8:18MILSessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)33
76.3%
19
23.7%
Q2 - 8:18MILSessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
76.0%
19
24.0%
Q2 - 8:33MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7)31
74.3%
19
25.7%
Q2 - 8:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
72.2%
19
27.8%
Q2 - 8:34MILMISS Villanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
72.9%
19
27.1%
Q2 - 8:39MILBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
74.3%
19
25.7%
Q2 - 8:42MILMISS Villanueva 10' Hook Shot31
72.9%
19
27.1%
Q2 - 9:03MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
73.5%
19
26.5%
Q2 - 9:06MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 231
73.2%
19
26.8%
Q2 - 9:06MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)31
71.8%
19
28.2%
Q2 - 9:19MILVillanueva 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)31
73.5%
18
26.5%
Q2 - 9:33MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
71.4%
18
28.6%
Q2 - 9:34MIAMISS Cook 15' Jump Shot29
70.7%
18
29.3%
Q2 - 9:46MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
69.1%
18
30.9%
Q2 - 9:47MILMISS Jefferson Layup29
69.8%
18
30.2%
Q2 - 9:53MIAMarion Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)29
71.4%
18
28.6%
Q2 - 10:18MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
68.5%
18
31.5%
Q2 - 10:21MILMISS Sessions 11' Running Jump Shot29
69.2%
18
30.8%
Q2 - 10:29MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
70.8%
18
29.2%
Q2 - 10:30MIAMISS Cook 18' Jump Shot29
70.1%
18
29.9%
Q2 - 10:41MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
68.5%
18
31.5%
Q2 - 10:43MILMISS Gadzuric 17' Jump Shot29
69.2%
18
30.8%
Q2 - 11:02MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
70.0%
18
30.0%
Q2 - 11:03MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
69.3%
18
30.7%
Q2 - 11:12MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
67.8%
18
32.2%
Q2 - 11:14MILMISS Jefferson 5' Running Jump Shot29
68.5%
18
31.5%
Q2 - 11:33MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
70.0%
18
30.0%
Q2 - 11:35MIAMISS Beasley 13' Jump Shot29
69.4%
18
30.6%
Q2 - 11:47MILVillanueva 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)29
67.8%
18
32.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL27
65.6%
18
34.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound27
65.6%
18
34.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0MILMISS Sessions 19' Jump Shot27
62.9%
18
37.1%
Q1 - 0:05.0MIACook 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)27
64.1%
18
35.9%
Q1 - 0:30.0MILRedd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)27
69.1%
15
30.9%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAMarion Tip Shot (4 PTS)24
64.2%
15
35.8%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
67.0%
13
33.0%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Quinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
68.1%
13
31.9%
Q1 - 1:02MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)24
66.2%
13
33.8%
Q1 - 1:02MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)23
65.8%
13
34.2%
Q1 - 1:08MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
63.3%
13
36.7%
Q1 - 1:09MILMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
62.3%
13
37.7%
Q1 - 1:23MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
63.4%
13
36.6%
Q1 - 1:25MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot22
62.9%
13
37.1%
Q1 - 1:40MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
61.9%
13
38.1%
Q1 - 1:40MILRedd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Villanueva 1 AST)22
61.9%
13
38.1%
Q1 - 1:41MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
55.4%
13
44.6%
Q1 - 1:53MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
56.6%
13
43.4%
Q1 - 1:56MIAMISS Wade Driving Dunk19
56.1%
13
43.9%
Q1 - 2:08MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
54.4%
13
45.6%
Q1 - 2:09MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
55.0%
13
45.0%
Q1 - 2:25MIAMarion Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)19
56.3%
13
43.7%
Q1 - 2:41MILVillanueva 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jefferson 3 AST)19
59.0%
11
41.0%
Q1 - 2:59MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
56.3%
11
43.7%
Q1 - 3:00MIAMISS Marion 3PT Jump Shot17
55.7%
11
44.3%
Q1 - 3:16MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
54.1%
11
45.9%
Q1 - 3:17MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot17
55.7%
11
44.3%
Q1 - 3:33MILHaslem STEAL (2 STL)17
54.1%
11
45.9%
Q1 - 3:48MIAChalmers 8' Jump Shot (5 PTS)17
56.3%
11
43.7%
Q1 - 3:51MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
58.6%
9
41.4%
Q1 - 3:53MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup17
60.1%
9
39.9%
Q1 - 4:16MILBogut Dunk (4 PTS) (Mbah a Moute 2 AST)17
57.7%
9
42.3%
Q1 - 4:23MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
55.7%
9
44.3%
Q1 - 4:24MIAMISS Marion 10' Hook Shot15
55.0%
9
45.0%
Q1 - 4:41MILMbah a Moute 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)15
53.4%
9
46.6%
Q1 - 4:58MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)13
51.3%
9
48.7%
Q1 - 5:15MILRedd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mbah a Moute 1 AST)13
52.9%
7
47.1%
Q1 - 5:39MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)10
48.8%
7
51.2%
Q1 - 5:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
52.9%
4
47.1%
Q1 - 5:49MILMISS Jefferson 7' Jump Shot10
53.6%
4
46.4%
Q1 - 6:00MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
55.3%
4
44.7%
Q1 - 6:03MIAMISS Marion 7' Running Hook Shot10
54.1%
4
45.9%
Q1 - 6:24MILBogut Dunk (2 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)10
52.6%
4
47.4%
Q1 - 6:43MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T5)8
50.6%
4
49.4%
Q1 - 7:00MILJefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)8
48.4%
4
51.6%
Q1 - 7:18MIAWade Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T4)5
44.1%
4
55.9%
Q1 - 7:23MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
41.8%
4
58.2%
Q1 - 7:24MILMISS Ridnour 20' Jump Shot5
42.5%
4
57.5%
Q1 - 7:50MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)5
44.1%
4
55.9%
Q1 - 8:07MILHaslem STEAL (1 STL)5
46.0%
2
54.0%
Q1 - 8:14MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
48.0%
2
52.0%
Q1 - 8:16MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot5
47.4%
2
52.6%
Q1 - 8:29MILMbah a Moute 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)5
46.0%
2
54.0%
Q1 - 8:45MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P2.T3)5
48.1%
2
51.9%
Q1 - 8:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
46.0%
2
54.0%
Q1 - 8:52MILMISS Bogut 6' Jump Shot5
46.6%
2
53.4%
Q1 - 9:10MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)5
47.8%
2
52.2%
Q1 - 9:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
46.0%
2
54.0%
Q1 - 9:31MILMISS Jefferson 21' Jump Shot5
46.5%
2
53.5%
Q1 - 9:41MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)5
47.8%
2
52.2%
Q1 - 10:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
48.9%
0
51.1%
Q1 - 10:05MILMISS Redd 17' Turnaround Jump Shot5
49.5%
0
50.5%
Q1 - 10:22MILBucks Rebound5
50.9%
0
49.1%
Q1 - 10:23MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Bank Shot5
50.4%
0
49.6%
Q1 - 10:31MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
49.0%
0
51.0%
Q1 - 10:33MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot5
50.4%
0
49.6%
Q1 - 10:53MILRedd Driving Layup (5 PTS)5
49.1%
0
50.9%
Q1 - 11:02MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)3
46.3%
0
53.7%
Q1 - 11:15MILRedd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)3
44.6%
0
55.4%
Q1 - 11:32MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
41.4%
0
58.6%
Q1 - 11:35MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
40.9%
0
59.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Bogut: Tip to Haslem0
39.8%
0
60.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.05 52.7%
MIA
1.05 52.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
11
23
48%
MIA
14
19
74%
Midrange
MIL
17
38
45%
MIA
9
31
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
8
12.0
19
42%
63%
MIA
8
12.0
20
40%
60%
Free Throws
MIL
18
21
86%
MIA
13
19
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd2170%10.5 / 15
A. Bogut2077%10.0 / 13
C. Villanueva2050%10.0 / 20
R. Jefferson1447%7.0 / 15
C. Bell750%3.5 / 7
L. Ridnour440%2.0 / 5
L. Mbah a Moute440%2.0 / 5
R. Sessions433%2.0 / 6
D. Gadzuric467%2.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Chalmers2077%10.0 / 13
S. Marion1568%7.5 / 11
D. Wade1542%7.5 / 18
M. Beasley1350%6.5 / 13
D. Cook1381%6.5 / 8
C. Quinn338%1.5 / 4
J. Anthony233%1.0 / 3
U. Haslem220%1.0 / 5
Y. Diawara0-0.0 / 1
M. Banks0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
78
+14
-9
92
MIA
72
+6
-14
78
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.05 52.7%
MIA
1.05 52.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.3
107.6
MIL 112.6
MIA 96.5 +16.1
Pace
93.0
90.2
MIL 81.8
MIA 91.9 +10.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
16.3
MIL 17.6
MIA 15.7 +1.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.3%
50.0%
MIL 50.0%
MIA 50.0%
TO %
14.6%
13.1%
MIL 10.1% +5.1%
MIA 15.2%
ORB %
27.9%
24.6%
MIL 29.3% +13.9%
MIA 15.4%
FTrt
30.6
28.2
MIL 26.3
MIA 27.1 +0.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.9%
55.1%
MIL 58.3%
MIA 61.3% +3.0%
STL %
7.9%
8.7%
MIL 4.6%
MIA 8.1% +3.5%
BLK %
6.5%
9.2%
MIL 2.0%
MIA 8.2% +6.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.8%
52.6%
MIL 52.7% +0.2%
MIA 52.5%
Rim FG%
55.5%
59.5%
MIL 47.8%
MIA 73.7% +25.9%
Mid FG%
40.3%
41.8%
MIL 44.7% +15.7%
MIA 29.0%
3P %
36.3%
35.7%
MIL 42.1% +2.1%
MIA 40.0%
FT %
78.0%
75.4%
MIL 85.7% +17.3%
MIA 68.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
30.3%
MIL 28.7% +1.6%
MIA 27.1%
Mid Att. %
45.9%
45.2%
MIL 47.5%
MIA 44.3% +3.2%
3P Att. %
20.8%
24.5%
MIL 23.8%
MIA 28.6% +4.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILMIA
Possessions8786
Possession Minutes25.522.5
Points9883
Rebounds4535
Assists2119
Steals47
Blocks15
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (2)6 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)29 (3)
Field Goals36-8031-70
At-the-Rim FG11-2314-19
Midrange FG17-389-31
2-Point FG28-6123-50
3-Point FG8-198-20
Free Throws18-2113-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 7'0" 260 · 24
40.1
20
77%
11
0
0
0
0
3
3
8
0-2
0%
10-12
83%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 29
36.2
21
70%
3
5
1
0
0
1
1
2
7-7
100%
1-5
20%
4-7
57%
F · 6'7" 233 · 28
32.6
14
47%
4
4
1
0
2
4
1
3
4-4
100%
2-10
20%
2-3
67%
G · 6'2" 175 · 28
29.8
4
40%
3
2
0
0
3
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 230 · 22
22.3
4
40%
7
2
0
1
1
3
4
3
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 232 · 24
30.2
20
50%
6
5
1
0
2
2
2
4
3-4
75%
7-14
50%
1-5
20%
G · 6'3" 200 · 30
20.2
7
50%
5
1
0
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-4
25%
G · 6'3" 190 · 23
18.2
4
33%
3
2
0
0
1
0
0
3
4-4
100%
0-4
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 31
7.9
4
67%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 32
1.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 230 · 22
1.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 240 · 34
#30 · F · 6'10" 255 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#19 · G · 6'3" 195 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
53%
45
21
4
1
9
0
12
33
18-21
86%
28-61
46%
8-19
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.