Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, December 15, 2008

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	26	Bobcats	29%	89	79
	13	Hawks	71%	96	83

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
CHA	94.0	84	91.8
ATL	100.0	83	76.5

Scoring Opportunities

CHA

+11

-6

ATL

+12

-9

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

0.88 43.9%

ATL

0.95 47.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	ATL
Q4 - 0:00.0	ATL		79 0%	83 100%
Q4 - 0:04.0	ATL	Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	77 0.1%	83 99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0	ATL	MISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 2	77 0.1%	82 99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	77 0.1%	82 99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0	CHA	Smith BLOCK (5 BLK)	77 0.2%	82 99.8%
Q4 - 0:24.0	ATL	Johnson 17' Fadeaway Jumper (28 PTS)	77 1.4%	82 98.6%
Q4 - 0:47.0	CHA	Felton Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)	77 5.8%	80 94.2%
Q4 - 0:47.0	CHA	Felton Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)	76 5.1%	80 94.9%
Q4 - 1:04	ATL	HAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)	75 4.5%	80 95.5%
Q4 - 1:04	ATL	HAWKS Rebound	75 2.4%	80 97.6%
Q4 - 1:04	ATL	MISS Smith 17' Jump Shot	75 3.7%	80 96.3%
Q4 - 1:29	CHA	Felton 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Augustin 4 AST)	75 3.6%	80 96.4%
Q4 - 1:38	CHA	Bell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	73 2.7%	80 97.3%
Q4 - 1:39	ATL	MISS Smith 18' Jump Shot	73 2.3%	80 97.7%
Q4 - 1:53	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:13)	73 1.8%	80 98.2%
Q4 - 1:56	CHA	MISS Okafor 6' Hook Shot	73 2.1%	80 97.9%
Q4 - 2:01	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)	73 3.3%	80 96.7%
Q4 - 2:02	CHA	MISS Diaw 16' Jump Shot	73 2.1%	80 97.9%
Q4 - 2:13	ATL	Horford Foul Turnover (P3.T9)	73 3.3%	80 96.7%
Q4 - 2:38	CHA	Diaw 6' Hook Shot (25 PTS)	73 1.7%	80 98.3%
Q4 - 2:44	CHA	Diaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	71 1.2%	80 98.8%
Q4 - 2:46	CHA	Smith BLOCK (4 BLK)	71 0.8%	80 99.2%
Q4 - 2:57	CHA	Felton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	71 1.6%	80 98.4%
Q4 - 2:58	ATL	MISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot	71 1.4%	80 98.6%
Q4 - 3:17	CHA	Diaw Foul Turnover (P2.T6)	71 0.9%	80 99.1%
Q4 - 3:37	ATL	Horford Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)	71 2.8%	80 97.2%
Q4 - 3:55	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	71 1.8%	80 98.2%
Q4 - 3:57	CHA	MISS Diaw 28' 3PT Jump Shot	71 2.0%	80 98.0%
Q4 - 4:22	ATL	Horford 6' Running Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Bibby 6 AST)	71 2.6%	80 97.4%
Q4 - 4:38	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)	71 3.6%	78 96.4%
Q4 - 4:40	CHA	MISS Augustin 13' Fadeaway Jumper	71 4.0%	78 96.0%
Q4 - 5:07	ATL	Johnson 20' Jump Shot (26 PTS)	71 7.2%	78 92.8%
Q4 - 5:30	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)	71 9.5%	76 90.5%
Q4 - 5:31	CHA	MISS Felton 4' Driving Layup	71 10.5%	76 89.5%
Q4 - 5:53	ATL	Smith 11' Hook Shot (15 PTS) (Johnson 8 AST)	71 12.9%	76 87.1%
Q4 - 6:12	CHA	Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	71 18.3%	74 81.7%
Q4 - 6:12	CHA	MISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2	70 17.3%	74 82.7%
Q4 - 6:15	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)	70 18.5%	74 81.5%
Q4 - 6:17	ATL	MISS Horford 8' Turnaround Jump Shot	70 17.1%	74 82.9%
Q4 - 6:35	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)	70 14.2%	74 85.8%
Q4 - 6:37	CHA	Horford BLOCK (2 BLK)	70 15.4%	74 84.6%
Q4 - 6:56	CHA	Diaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	70 18.5%	74 81.5%
Q4 - 6:58	ATL	MISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 2	70 17.8%	74 82.2%
Q4 - 6:58	ATL	MISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 2	70 15.2%	74 84.8%
Q4 - 7:16	CHA	Diaw Putback Layup (23 PTS)	70 14.9%	74 85.1%
Q4 - 7:17	CHA	Diaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	68 11.9%	74 88.1%
Q4 - 7:19	CHA	MISS Augustin 29' 3PT Jump Shot	68 9.8%	74 90.2%
Q4 - 7:44	ATL	Murray 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)	68 11.8%	74 88.2%
Q4 - 8:05	ATL	Murray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	68 16.0%	72 84.0%
Q4 - 8:08	CHA	Horford BLOCK (1 BLK)	68 17.0%	72 83.0%
Q4 - 8:23	ATL	Johnson 12' Running Jump Shot (24 PTS)	68 19.5%	72 80.5%
Q4 - 8:37	ATL	Evans REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)	68 24.1%	70 75.9%
Q4 - 8:39	CHA	Smith BLOCK (3 BLK)	68 25.5%	70 74.5%
Q4 - 8:54	CHA	Augustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	68 29.0%	70 71.0%
Q4 - 8:55	ATL	MISS Evans Putback Layup	68 27.4%	70 72.6%
Q4 - 8:56	ATL	Evans REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)	68 24.1%	70 75.9%
Q4 - 8:59	ATL	MISS Evans 3' Dunk	68 27.4%	70 72.6%
Q4 - 9:03	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	68 24.8%	70 75.2%
Q4 - 9:05	CHA	Smith BLOCK (2 BLK)	68 26.1%	70 73.9%
Q4 - 9:11	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)	68 29.3%	70 70.7%
Q4 - 9:12	ATL	MISS Murray 17' Jump Shot	68 27.8%	70 72.2%
Q4 - 9:33	CHA	Evans STEAL (1 STL)	68 24.7%	70 75.3%
Q4 - 9:56	CHA	Mohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	68 29.2%	70 70.8%
Q4 - 9:57	ATL	MISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot	68 27.8%	70 72.2%
Q4 - 10:20	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	68 24.8%	70 75.2%
Q4 - 10:23	CHA	MISS Felton 19' Jump Shot	68 26.1%	70 73.9%
Q4 - 10:45	CHA	Bobcats Rebound	68 29.2%	70 70.8%
Q4 - 10:46	CHA	MISS Diaw 7' Hook Shot	68 26.1%	70 73.9%
Q4 - 11:11	ATL	Horford Putback Layup (10 PTS)	68 29.0%	70 71.0%
Q4 - 11:12	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)	68 33.9%	68 66.1%
Q4 - 11:14	ATL	MISS Evans 4' Driving Jump Shot	68 37.1%	68 62.9%
Q4 - 11:20	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)	68 33.9%	68 66.1%
Q4 - 11:21	CHA	MISS Diaw 3' Layup	68 35.3%	68 64.7%
Q4 - 11:44	CHA	Bobcats Rebound	68 38.6%	68 61.4%
Q4 - 11:44	CHA	MISS Diaw 6' Turnaround Jump Shot	68 35.3%	68 64.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0	CHA		68 38.6%	68 61.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0	CHA	Bobcats Rebound	68 38.6%	68 61.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0	CHA	MISS Bell 39' 3PT Jump Shot	68 35.3%	68 64.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0	ATL	Horford 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)	68 37.9%	68 62.1%
Q3 - 0:25.0	ATL	Evans REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	68 43.5%	66 56.5%
Q3 - 0:27.0	CHA	MISS Diaw 15' Jump Shot	68 44.8%	66 55.2%
Q3 - 0:46.0	ATL	Johnson 7' Running Jump Shot (22 PTS)	68 48.0%	66 52.0%
Q3 - 0:52.0	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	68 53.7%	64 46.3%
Q3 - 0:53.0	CHA	MISS Augustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot	68 55.0%	64 45.0%
Q3 - 1:05	CHA	Bell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	68 56.7%	64 43.3%
Q3 - 1:06	ATL	MISS Horford 18' Jump Shot	68 55.4%	64 44.6%
Q3 - 1:33	CHA	Augustin 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)	68 52.4%	64 47.6%
Q3 - 1:42	ATL	Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Horford 5 AST)	65 42.1%	64 57.9%
Q3 - 2:08	CHA	Wallace Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)	65 50.5%	61 49.5%
Q3 - 2:22	ATL	Smith Reverse Dunk (13 PTS)	65 55.2%	61 44.8%
Q3 - 2:23	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	65 59.8%	59 40.2%
Q3 - 2:25	ATL	MISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot	65 62.9%	59 37.1%
Q3 - 2:41	ATL	MISS Johnson Free Throw Technical	65 59.9%	59 40.1%
Q3 - 2:42	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)	65 59.9%	59 40.1%
Q3 - 2:43	CHA	MISS Morrison 12' Turnaround Jump Shot	65 61.3%	59 38.7%
Q3 - 3:00	ATL	Bibby 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Horford 4 AST)	65 64.3%	59 35.7%
Q3 - 3:17	CHA	Felton 3' Running Layup (11 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)	65 66.3%	57 33.7%
Q3 - 3:22	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)	63 62.4%	57 37.6%
Q3 - 3:23	ATL	MISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot	63 61.1%	57 38.9%
Q3 - 3:30	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	63 57.9%	57 42.1%
Q3 - 3:32	ATL	MISS Bibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot	63 61.1%	57 38.9%
Q3 - 3:40	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	63 57.9%	57 42.1%
Q3 - 3:42	CHA	MISS Wallace 2' Running Layup	63 59.3%	57 40.7%
Q3 - 3:58	CHA	Bobcats Rebound	63 62.5%	57 37.5%
Q3 - 3:58	ATL	MISS Johnson 9' Turnaround Jump Shot	63 61.1%	57 38.9%
Q3 - 4:23	CHA	Wallace 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Morrison 1 AST)	63 56.6%	57 43.4%
Q3 - 4:37	ATL	Williams Dunk (5 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)	61 53.0%	57 47.0%
Q3 - 4:47	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	61 56.6%	55 43.4%
Q3 - 4:49	CHA	MISS Felton 22' Jump Shot	61 58.1%	55 41.9%
Q3 - 5:11	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	61 59.5%	55 40.5%
Q3 - 5:13	ATL	MISS Johnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot	61 58.1%	55 41.9%
Q3 - 5:36	ATL	HAWKS Rebound	61 55.0%	55 45.0%
Q3 - 5:39	CHA	MISS Felton 6' Jump Shot	61 56.4%	55 43.6%
Q3 - 5:43	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)	61 59.7%	55 40.3%
Q3 - 5:44	ATL	MISS Johnson 10' Running Jump Shot	61 58.3%	55 41.7%
Q3 - 6:02	CHA	Diaw 28' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Felton 7 AST)	61 53.6%	55 46.4%
Q3 - 6:22	ATL	Horford Dunk (6 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)	58 46.0%	55 54.0%
Q3 - 6:26	ATL	Bibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	58 49.7%	53 50.3%
Q3 - 6:29	CHA	MISS Bell 15' Fadeaway Jumper	58 51.0%	53 49.0%
Q3 - 6:42	ATL	Smith 7' Running Hook Shot (11 PTS)	58 54.0%	53 46.0%
Q3 - 6:46	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	58 57.7%	51 42.3%
Q3 - 6:47	CHA	MISS Diaw 8' Jump Shot	58 59.0%	51 41.0%
Q3 - 7:02	ATL	Johnson 5' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST)	58 59.8%	51 40.2%
Q3 - 7:16	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	58 63.4%	49 36.6%
Q3 - 7:17	CHA	MISS Diaw Free Throw 2 of 2	58 63.9%	49 36.1%
Q3 - 7:17	CHA	Diaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)	58 66.0%	49 34.0%
Q3 - 7:33	ATL	Horford Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)	57 63.6%	49 36.4%
Q3 - 7:54	CHA	Diaw 22' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Felton 6 AST)	57 59.9%	49 40.1%
Q3 - 8:12	ATL	Smith 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)	55 55.3%	49 44.7%
Q3 - 8:29	CHA	Felton 28' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)	55 51.3%	49 48.7%
Q3 - 8:52	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)	52 44.0%	49 56.0%
Q3 - 8:56	ATL	MISS Smith 8' Turnaround Hook Shot	52 42.8%	49 57.2%
Q3 - 9:18	CHA	Diaw 3' Driving Layup (15 PTS) (Felton 5 AST)	52 39.7%	49 60.3%
Q3 - 9:27	CHA	Bell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	50 36.3%	49 63.7%
Q3 - 9:29	ATL	MISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot	50 35.2%	49 64.8%
Q3 - 9:34	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	50 32.9%	49 67.1%
Q3 - 9:35	CHA	MISS Felton 6' Driving Jump Shot	50 33.9%	49 66.1%
Q3 - 9:53	ATL	Bibby 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)	50 36.3%	49 63.7%
Q3 - 10:15	CHA	Okafor 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)	50 38.9%	47 61.1%
Q3 - 10:27	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	48 35.7%	47 64.3%
Q3 - 10:29	ATL	MISS Horford 2' Running Layup	48 34.7%	47 65.3%
Q3 - 10:34	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	48 32.4%	47 67.6%
Q3 - 10:35	CHA	MISS Okafor 6' Jump Shot	48 33.4%	47 66.6%
Q3 - 10:37	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	48 35.7%	47 64.3%
Q3 - 10:39	CHA	MISS Bell 26' 3PT Jump Shot	48 33.4%	47 66.6%
Q3 - 11:02	ATL	Johnson 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)	48 35.2%	47 64.8%
Q3 - 11:16	ATL	HAWKS Rebound	48 41.6%	44 58.4%
Q3 - 11:16	CHA	MISS Felton 3PT Jump Shot	48 42.7%	44 57.3%
Q3 - 11:28	CHA	Bobcats Rebound	48 45.2%	44 54.8%
Q3 - 11:28	CHA	MISS Diaw 4' Driving Layup	48 42.7%	44 57.3%
Q3 - 11:42	ATL	Johnson 13' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)	48 45.2%	44 54.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0	CHA		48 48.5%	42 51.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	48 52.2%	42 47.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0	ATL	MISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot	48 49.9%	42 50.1%
Q2 - 0:21.0	ATL	Evans REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	48 48.2%	42 51.8%
Q2 - 0:24.0	ATL	MISS Murray 29' 3PT Jump Shot	48 50.0%	42 50.0%
Q2 - 0:40.0	CHA	Felton 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Augustin 3 AST)	48 48.2%	42 51.8%
Q2 - 0:58.0	ATL	Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	45 40.8%	42 59.2%
Q2 - 0:58.0	ATL	Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	45 41.4%	41 58.6%
Q2 - 1:15	ATL	HAWKS Rebound	45 44.3%	40 55.7%
Q2 - 1:16	CHA	MISS Augustin 28' 3PT Jump Shot	45 45.0%	40 55.0%
Q2 - 1:38	ATL	Bibby 10' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)	45 46.7%	40 53.3%
Q2 - 1:44	ATL	Bibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	45 50.9%	38 49.1%
Q2 - 1:46	ATL	MISS Murray 3' Running Layup	45 52.5%	38 47.5%
Q2 - 1:52	CHA	Murray STEAL (1 STL)	45 50.9%	38 49.1%
Q2 - 2:12	ATL	Johnson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)	45 52.5%	38 47.5%
Q2 - 2:29	CHA	Okafor Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	45 55.6%	36 44.4%
Q2 - 2:29	CHA	Okafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	44 54.5%	36 45.5%
Q2 - 2:29	CHA	Bobcats Rebound	43 52.5%	36 47.5%
Q2 - 2:29	ATL	MISS Evans 26' 3PT Jump Shot	43 51.5%	36 48.5%
Q2 - 2:41	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	43 49.3%	36 50.7%
Q2 - 2:43	CHA	MISS Diaw Free Throw 2 of 2	43 49.7%	36 50.3%
Q2 - 2:43	CHA	MISS Diaw Free Throw 1 of 2	43 51.7%	36 48.3%
Q2 - 2:54	CHA	Bobcats Rebound	43 52.5%	36 47.5%
Q2 - 2:56	ATL	MISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot	43 51.5%	36 48.5%
Q2 - 3:03	ATL	Evans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	43 48.2%	36 51.8%
Q2 - 3:04	CHA	MISS Augustin 26' 3PT Jump Shot	43 49.3%	36 50.7%
Q2 - 3:22	ATL	Johnson 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)	43 51.8%	36 48.2%
Q2 - 3:45	CHA	Diaw 3' Reverse Layup (13 PTS) (Felton 4 AST)	43 54.5%	34 45.5%
Q2 - 4:06	ATL	Horford 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)	41 50.6%	34 49.4%
Q2 - 4:26	CHA	Okafor Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	41 53.5%	32 46.5%
Q2 - 4:26	CHA	Okafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	40 52.4%	32 47.6%
Q2 - 4:40	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	39 50.7%	32 49.3%
Q2 - 4:43	ATL	MISS Evans 27' 3PT Jump Shot	39 49.7%	32 50.3%
Q2 - 5:02	CHA	Wallace 2' Driving Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)	39 46.9%	32 53.1%
Q2 - 5:22	ATL	Bibby 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)	37 43.9%	32 56.1%
Q2 - 5:36	CHA	Wallace Foul Turnover (P1.T2)	37 46.9%	30 53.1%
Q2 - 5:39	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	37 49.8%	30 50.2%
Q2 - 5:40	ATL	MISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot	37 48.9%	30 51.1%
Q2 - 6:05	CHA	Augustin 11' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)	37 45.9%	30 54.1%
Q2 - 6:15	CHA	Augustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	35 43.6%	30 56.4%
Q2 - 6:16	ATL	MISS Williams 15' Jump Shot	35 42.6%	30 57.4%
Q2 - 6:27	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	35 40.3%	30 59.7%
Q2 - 6:28	CHA	MISS Wallace 21' Jump Shot	35 41.3%	30 58.7%
Q2 - 6:53	ATL	Johnson 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS)	35 43.6%	30 56.4%
Q2 - 7:09	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	35 45.4%	28 54.6%
Q2 - 7:10	CHA	MISS Felton 20' Jump Shot	35 46.3%	28 53.8%
Q2 - 7:13	CHA	Bobcats Rebound	35 48.3%	28 51.7%
Q2 - 7:13	CHA	Johnson BLOCK (1 BLK)	35 46.3%	28 53.7%
Q2 - 7:33	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	35 48.3%	28 51.7%
Q2 - 7:34	ATL	MISS Horford 5' Running Hook Shot	35 47.4%	28 52.6%
Q2 - 7:52	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	35 45.4%	28 54.6%
Q2 - 7:54	CHA	MISS Diaw 2' Driving Layup	35 46.3%	28 53.7%
Q2 - 8:24	ATL	Law Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)	35 47.3%	28 52.7%
Q2 - 8:31	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	35 44.7%	28 55.3%
Q2 - 8:32	CHA	MISS Carroll 27' 3PT Jump Shot	35 45.5%	28 54.5%
Q2 - 8:55	ATL	Williams Putback Layup (3 PTS)	35 47.3%	28 52.7%
Q2 - 8:57	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	35 50.2%	26 49.8%
Q2 - 8:58	ATL	MISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot	35 52.0%	26 48.0%
Q2 - 9:14	CHA	Augustin 10' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)	35 49.2%	26 50.8%
Q2 - 9:31	CHA	Bobcats Rebound	33 46.5%	26 53.5%
Q2 - 9:31	CHA	MISS Morrison 6' Jump Shot	33 44.7%	26 55.3%
Q2 - 9:43	ATL	Pachulia Foul Turnover (P1.T4)	33 46.5%	26 53.5%
Q2 - 9:59	ATL	Evans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	33 43.9%	26 56.1%
Q2 - 10:00	CHA	MISS Mohammed 3' Reverse Layup	33 44.7%	26 55.3%
Q2 - 10:12	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	33 46.0%	26 54.0%
Q2 - 10:13	ATL	MISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 2	33 45.6%	26 54.4%
Q2 - 10:13	ATL	Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	33 43.8%	26 56.2%
Q2 - 10:29	CHA	Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	33 45.9%	25 54.1%
Q2 - 10:29	CHA	Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	32 45.3%	25 54.7%
Q2 - 10:38	CHA	Mohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	31 43.4%	25 56.6%
Q2 - 10:39	ATL	MISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 2	31 43.1%	25 56.9%
Q2 - 10:39	ATL	MISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 2	31 41.4%	25 58.6%
Q2 - 10:59	CHA	Mohammed Dunk (2 PTS) (Augustin 2 AST)	31 40.8%	25 59.2%
Q2 - 11:17	ATL	Pachulia 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)	29 38.1%	25 61.9%
Q2 - 11:20	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	29 40.5%	23 59.5%
Q2 - 11:22	ATL	MISS Pachulia 3' Jump Shot	29 42.2%	23 57.8%
Q2 - 11:48	CHA	Carroll 3' Running Layup (5 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST)	29 40.5%	23 59.5%
Q2 - 11:54	ATL	Murray Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)	27 38.1%	23 61.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0	CHA		27 35.7%	23 64.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0	CHA	Bobcats Rebound	27 38.1%	23 61.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0	CHA	MISS Augustin 37' 3PT Jump Shot	27 36.4%	23 63.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	27 38.1%	23 61.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0	ATL	MISS Murray 4' Driving Jump Shot	27 36.3%	23 63.7%
Q1 - 0:10.0	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	27 35.2%	23 64.8%
Q1 - 0:12.0	ATL	MISS Murray 29' 3PT Jump Shot	27 36.4%	23 63.6%
Q1 - 0:32.0	CHA	Augustin Running Layup (2 PTS)	27 35.2%	23 64.8%
Q1 - 0:34.0	ATL	Murray Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)	25 32.5%	23 67.5%
Q1 - 0:40.0	ATL	HAWKS Rebound	25 30.9%	23 69.1%
Q1 - 0:44.0	CHA	MISS Augustin 28' 3PT Jump Shot	25 31.4%	23 68.6%
Q1 - 1:02	ATL	Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	25 32.1%	23 67.9%
Q1 - 1:02	ATL	Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	25 32.6%	22 67.4%
Q1 - 1:26	CHA	Carroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Felton 3 AST)	25 34.9%	21 65.1%
Q1 - 1:45	ATL	Evans 4' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)	22 30.1%	21 69.9%
Q1 - 2:08	ATL	Murray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	22 32.4%	19 67.6%
Q1 - 2:09	CHA	MISS Morrison 18' Jump Shot	22 32.9%	19 67.1%
Q1 - 2:31	ATL	Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)	22 34.1%	19 65.9%
Q1 - 2:52	CHA	Okafor 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carroll 1 AST)	22 38.8%	16 61.2%
Q1 - 3:11	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	20 36.1%	16 63.9%
Q1 - 3:12	ATL	MISS Bibby 28' 3PT Jump Shot	20 35.4%	16 64.6%
Q1 - 3:15	ATL	Evans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	20 34.0%	16 66.0%
Q1 - 3:17	ATL	MISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot	20 35.4%	16 64.6%
Q1 - 3:21	ATL	Evans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	20 34.0%	16 66.0%
Q1 - 3:23	ATL	MISS Smith 3' Alley Oop Layup	20 35.4%	16 64.6%
Q1 - 3:28	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	20 34.0%	16 66.0%
Q1 - 3:29	CHA	MISS Felton 17' Jump Shot	20 34.6%	16 65.4%
Q1 - 3:36	CHA	Carroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	20 36.1%	16 63.9%
Q1 - 3:38	ATL	MISS Evans 2' Layup	20 35.4%	16 64.6%
Q1 - 3:42	ATL	Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	20 34.0%	16 66.0%
Q1 - 3:43	CHA	MISS Wallace 10' Jump Shot	20 34.6%	16 65.4%
Q1 - 3:54	ATL	Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	20 36.1%	16 63.9%
Q1 - 3:54	ATL	Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	20 36.4%	15 63.6%
Q1 - 4:09	CHA	Bell 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	20 37.3%	14 62.7%
Q1 - 4:34	ATL	Smith 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)	18 35.4%	14 64.6%
Q1 - 4:53	CHA	Diaw 4' Driving Hook Shot (11 PTS)	18 37.4%	12 62.6%
Q1 - 5:12	ATL	Smith 8' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)	16 35.3%	12 64.7%
Q1 - 5:35	CHA	Diaw Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)	16 37.0%	10 63.0%
Q1 - 5:45	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	13 33.4%	10 66.6%
Q1 - 5:46	ATL	MISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot	13 32.7%	10 67.3%
Q1 - 6:05	CHA	Felton Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)	13 30.8%	10 69.2%
Q1 - 6:20	ATL	Bibby 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)	10 27.4%	10 72.6%
Q1 - 6:37	CHA	Diaw 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Okafor 1 AST)	10 29.1%	8 70.9%
Q1 - 6:50	ATL	Smith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	8 27.4%	8 72.6%
Q1 - 6:50	ATL	Smith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	8 27.9%	7 72.1%
Q1 - 7:05	CHA	Diaw 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)	8 28.7%	6 71.3%
Q1 - 7:20	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	6 27.2%	6 72.8%
Q1 - 7:21	ATL	MISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot	6 26.6%	6 73.4%
Q1 - 7:29	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	6 25.4%	6 74.6%
Q1 - 7:31	CHA	MISS Wallace 21' Jump Shot	6 25.9%	6 74.1%
Q1 - 7:45	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	6 27.2%	6 72.8%
Q1 - 7:46	ATL	MISS Horford 16' Jump Shot	6 26.6%	6 73.4%
Q1 - 7:55	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	6 25.4%	6 74.6%
Q1 - 7:58	CHA	Smith BLOCK (1 BLK)	6 25.9%	6 74.1%
Q1 - 8:21	ATL	Bibby 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	6 26.8%	6 73.2%
Q1 - 8:28	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	6 28.5%	4 71.5%
Q1 - 8:29	CHA	MISS Diaw 20' Jump Shot	6 29.1%	4 70.9%
Q1 - 8:42	ATL	Bibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	6 30.3%	4 69.7%
Q1 - 8:47	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	6 28.5%	4 71.5%
Q1 - 8:48	CHA	MISS Bell 7' Jump Shot	6 29.1%	4 70.9%
Q1 - 9:10	ATL	Horford 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)	6 29.9%	4 70.1%
Q1 - 9:32	CHA	Wallace 3' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)	6 31.8%	2 68.2%
Q1 - 9:48	CHA	Bobcats Rebound	4 29.9%	2 70.1%
Q1 - 9:48	ATL	MISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot	4 29.5%	2 70.5%
Q1 - 9:55	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4 28.4%	2 71.6%
Q1 - 9:57	CHA	MISS Bell 19' Jump Shot	4 28.9%	2 71.1%
Q1 - 10:18	ATL	Bibby 4' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)	4 29.5%	2 70.5%
Q1 - 10:31	CHA	Diaw 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)	4 31.0%	0 69.0%
Q1 - 10:45	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	2 29.6%	0 70.4%
Q1 - 10:46	ATL	MISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot	2 29.1%	0 70.9%
Q1 - 11:05	CHA	Wallace 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Felton 1 AST)	2 27.3%	0 72.7%
Q1 - 11:16	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 26.0%	0 74.0%
Q1 - 11:18	ATL	MISS Horford 19' Jump Shot	0 25.6%	0 74.4%
Q1 - 11:40	CHA	Okafor Foul Turnover (P1.T1)	0 24.7%	0 75.3%
Q1 - 12:00	ATL	Jump Ball Smith vs. Okafor: Tip to Bell	0 26.1%	0 73.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

0.88 43.9%

ATL

0.95 47.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHA

55%

ATL

60%

Midrange

CHA

29%

ATL

53%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHA

7.5

31%

47%

ATL

4.5

15%

23%

Free Throws

CHA

75%

ATL

59%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bobcats

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Diaw	25	50%	12.5 / 25
R. Felton	15	47%	7.5 / 16
G. Wallace	11	55%	5.5 / 10
E. Okafor	10	56%	5.0 / 9
D. Augustin	9	35%	4.5 / 13
M. Carroll	5	83%	2.5 / 3
R. Bell	2	17%	1.0 / 6
N. Mohammed	2	50%	1.0 / 2
A. Morrison	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Johnson	28	70%	14.0 / 20
J. Smith	15	58%	7.5 / 13
M. Bibby	14	47%	7.0 / 15
A. Horford	12	50%	6.0 / 12
M. Williams	6	50%	3.0 / 6
Z. Pachulia	4	50%	2.0 / 4
M. Evans	2	13%	1.0 / 8
R. Murray	2	14%	1.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA

+11

-6

ATL

+12

-9

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

0.88 43.9%

ATL

0.95 47.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	104.9 109.2	CHA 94.0 +6.0 ATL 100.0
Pace	88.2 89.8	CHA 91.8 +15.3 ATL 76.5
Avg. Poss. Time	16.5 15.9	CHA 15.7 +3.1 ATL 18.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	49.4% 50.4%	CHA 41.9% ATL 47.4% +5.5%
TO %	16.7% 13.6%	CHA 6.4% +4.2% ATL 10.6%
ORB %	27.8% 26.0%	CHA 10.0% ATL 27.5% +17.5%
FTrt	31.2 32.3	CHA 20.0 ATL 22.1 +2.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	60.7% 56.1%	CHA 67.7% ATL 68.6% +0.9%
STL %	7.9% 8.2%	CHA 3.6% +1.2% ATL 2.4%
BLK %	8.2% 7.4%	CHA 3.5% ATL 12.5% +9.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	52.0% 53.2%	CHA 43.9% ATL 47.7% +3.8%
Rim FG%	55.2% 60.5%	CHA 55.2% ATL 60.0% +4.8%
Mid FG%	40.4% 40.2%	CHA 28.6% ATL 53.1% +24.5%
3P %	36.6% 36.6%	CHA 31.3% +16.3% ATL 15.0%
FT %	74.0% 73.8%	CHA 75.0% +16.2% ATL 58.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	40.0% 32.2%	CHA 36.3% +3.8% ATL 32.5%
Mid Att. %	38.8% 42.4%	CHA 43.8% ATL 41.6% +2.2%
3P Att. %	21.3% 25.3%	CHA 20.0% ATL 26.0% +6.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CHA	ATL
Possessions	84	83
Possession Minutes	22.0	26.0
Points	79	83
Rebounds	33	47
Assists	21	24
Steals	3	2
Blocks	2	8
Turnovers (Team)	6 (0)	9 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	4 (7)	11 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (4)	36 (4)
Field Goals	31-80	35-77
At-the-Rim FG	16-29	15-25
Midrange FG	10-35	17-32
2-Point FG	26-64	32-57
3-Point FG	5-16	3-20
Free Throws	12-16	10-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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26 Charlotte Bobcats

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Boris Diaw F · 6'8" 250 · 27	40.3	25	50%	3	3	1	0	2	4	2	1	2-5	40%	10-21	48%	1-2	50%
Raymond Felton G · 6'1" 205 · 24	39.2	15	47%	1	7	0	0	0	1	0	1	3-3	100%	3-12	25%	2-3	67%
Emeka Okafor C · 6'10" 255 · 26	36.1	10	56%	11	1	0	0	1	1	2	9	4-4	100%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Gerald Wallace F · 6'7" 220 · 26	36.0	11	55%	10	2	0	2	3	2	0	10	3-4	75%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Raja Bell G · 6'5" 210 · 32	28.5	2	17%	3	2	0	0	0	5	0	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-2	0%
D.J. Augustin G · 6'0" 183 · 21	28.2	9	35%	2	4	0	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-7	14%
Matt Carroll G · 6'6" 212 · 28	12.9	5	83%	1	1	2	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Adam Morrison F · 6'8" 205 · 24	11.6	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Nazr Mohammed C · 6'10" 250 · 31	7.2	2	50%	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Ryan Hollins C · 7'0" 240 · 24
Alexis Ajinca C · 7'2" 248 · 21
Juwan Howard F · 6'9" 250 · 36
Sean May #42 · C-F · 6'9" 266 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Shannon Brown #12 · G · 6'3" 215 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Sean Singletary #44 · G · 6'0" 185 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	79	44%	33	21	3	2	6	0	4	29	12-16	75%	26-64	41%	5-16	31%

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26 Charlotte Bobcats

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Boris Diaw F · 6'8" 250 · 27	40.3	25	50%	3	3	1	0	2	4	2	1	2-5	40%	10-21	48%	1-2	50%
Raymond Felton G · 6'1" 205 · 24	39.2	15	47%	1	7	0	0	0	1	0	1	3-3	100%	3-12	25%	2-3	67%
Emeka Okafor C · 6'10" 255 · 26	36.1	10	56%	11	1	0	0	1	1	2	9	4-4	100%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Gerald Wallace F · 6'7" 220 · 26	36.0	11	55%	10	2	0	2	3	2	0	10	3-4	75%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Raja Bell G · 6'5" 210 · 32	28.5	2	17%	3	2	0	0	0	5	0	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-2	0%
D.J. Augustin G · 6'0" 183 · 21	28.2	9	35%	2	4	0	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-7	14%
Matt Carroll G · 6'6" 212 · 28	12.9	5	83%	1	1	2	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Adam Morrison F · 6'8" 205 · 24	11.6	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Nazr Mohammed C · 6'10" 250 · 31	7.2	2	50%	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Ryan Hollins C · 7'0" 240 · 24
Alexis Ajinca C · 7'2" 248 · 21
Juwan Howard F · 6'9" 250 · 36
Sean May #42 · C-F · 6'9" 266 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Shannon Brown #12 · G · 6'3" 215 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Sean Singletary #44 · G · 6'0" 185 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	79	44%	33	21	3	2	6	0	4	29	12-16	75%	26-64	41%	5-16	31%

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13 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Joe Johnson G · 6'7" 240 · 27	45.0	28	70%	5	8	0	1	0	3	1	4	4-5	80%	9-12	75%	2-6	33%
Al Horford C · 6'10" 245 · 23	38.5	12	50%	14	5	0	2	3	5	1	13	0-0	-	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Mike Bibby G · 6'2" 195 · 31	34.3	14	47%	3	6	0	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	7-10	70%	0-5	0%
Marvin Williams F · 6'9" 237 · 22	34.1	6	50%	6	2	0	0	0	2	2	4	2-4	50%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 23	33.7	15	58%	7	2	0	5	1	3	1	6	2-4	50%	5-9	56%	1-2	50%
Maurice Evans G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30	20.8	2	13%	8	1	1	0	0	1	4	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-3	0%
Flip Murray G · 6'3" 200 · 29	16.9	2	14%	2	0	1	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-3	0%
Acie Law G · 6'3" 202 · 24	7.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Zaza Pachulia C · 6'11" 270 · 25	7.0	4	50%	2	0	0	0	1	3	1	1	2-4	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Solomon Jones F · 6'10" 235 · 24	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Randolph Morris C · 6'11" 275 · 23	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Mario West G · 6'5" 210 · 24	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Othello Hunter #50 · · 6'8" 225 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Thomas Gardner #3 · G · 6'5" 225 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Speedy Claxton #12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	83	48%	47	24	2	8	9	0	11	36	10-17	59%	32-57	56%	3-20	15%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE