FinalWin Prob.pScore
307%86
104
493%104
109
ORTG#PossPace
OKC logo OKC
114.39191.5
SAS logo SAS
119.89190.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventOKCSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS104
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)104
0.2%
109
99.8%
Q4 - 0:19.0OKCMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot104
0.3%
109
99.7%
Q4 - 0:28.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)104
1.2%
109
98.8%
Q4 - 0:29.0OKCDurant 2' Driving Layup (28 PTS)104
5.8%
106
94.2%
Q4 - 0:34.0OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)102
2.7%
106
97.3%
Q4 - 0:34.0SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 2102
2.4%
106
97.6%
Q4 - 0:34.0SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 2102
1.3%
106
98.7%
Q4 - 0:35.0OKCGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (33 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)102
1.0%
106
99.0%
Q4 - 0:37.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)99
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 0:37.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)99
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 0:44.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)99
0.9%
104
99.1%
Q4 - 0:45.0OKCDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)99
1.2%
104
98.8%
Q4 - 0:54.0SASParker 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)99
2.5%
104
97.5%
Q4 - 1:14OKCGreen 2' Driving Slam Dunk (30 PTS)99
6.1%
102
93.9%
Q4 - 1:31OKCMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)97
4.6%
102
95.4%
Q4 - 1:34OKCMISS Collison 8' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot97
3.1%
102
96.9%
Q4 - 1:49SASParker 1' Layup (18 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)97
5.2%
102
94.8%
Q4 - 2:01OKCDurant 5' Driving Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Green 4 AST)97
8.0%
100
92.0%
Q4 - 2:19OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)95
6.1%
100
93.9%
Q4 - 2:20SASMISS Bonner 3' Running Hook Shot95
5.0%
100
95.0%
Q4 - 2:29SASSPURS Rebound95
3.1%
100
96.9%
Q4 - 2:31SASMISS Duncan 7' Fadeaway Bank Shot95
5.0%
100
95.0%
Q4 - 2:43OKCCollison Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)95
3.1%
100
96.9%
Q4 - 2:56SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)92
1.6%
100
98.4%
Q4 - 3:10OKCGreen 2' Driving Layup (28 PTS)92
3.5%
97
96.5%
Q4 - 3:21OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)90
2.6%
97
97.4%
Q4 - 3:23SASMISS Parker 6' Floating Jump Shot90
2.1%
97
97.9%
Q4 - 3:34OKCMason 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Watson 4 AST)90
2.4%
97
97.6%
Q4 - 3:44SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)88
1.7%
97
98.3%
Q4 - 3:44SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)88
1.8%
96
98.2%
Q4 - 3:53SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)88
2.3%
95
97.7%
Q4 - 3:54OKCMISS Collison Free Throw 2 of 288
2.4%
95
97.6%
Q4 - 3:54OKCCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)88
3.1%
95
96.9%
Q4 - 4:02OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)87
2.3%
95
97.7%
Q4 - 4:04OKCMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
1.8%
95
98.2%
Q4 - 4:14OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
2.3%
95
97.7%
Q4 - 4:15SASMISS Duncan 7' Turnaround Jump Shot87
2.0%
95
98.0%
Q4 - 4:35OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)87
1.5%
95
98.5%
Q4 - 4:35OKCCollison 1' Putback Layup (6 PTS)87
1.5%
95
98.5%
Q4 - 4:37OKCMISS Green 10' Jump Shot85
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 4:52SASBonner 14' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)85
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 5:07OKCGreen Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)85
2.3%
93
97.7%
Q4 - 5:20SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)85
3.1%
93
96.9%
Q4 - 5:20SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)85
3.4%
92
96.6%
Q4 - 5:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)85
4.3%
91
95.7%
Q4 - 5:34OKCMISS Green 10' Jump Bank Shot85
4.7%
91
95.3%
Q4 - 5:53OKCThunder Rebound85
5.9%
91
94.1%
Q4 - 5:54SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
5.4%
91
94.6%
Q4 - 6:03SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
4.8%
91
95.2%
Q4 - 6:04OKCMISS Durant 10' Step Back Jump Shot85
5.3%
91
94.7%
Q4 - 6:13OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)85
6.5%
91
93.5%
Q4 - 6:14SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
5.9%
91
94.1%
Q4 - 6:23SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)85
4.8%
91
95.2%
Q4 - 6:25SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot85
5.9%
91
94.1%
Q4 - 6:46OKCWatson 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Collison 5 AST)85
4.8%
91
95.2%
Q4 - 7:14SASBonner 12' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)82
3.0%
91
97.0%
Q4 - 7:40OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)82
3.9%
89
96.1%
Q4 - 7:59SASDuncan 3' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Finley 4 AST)79
2.3%
89
97.7%
Q4 - 8:11SASFinley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)79
3.4%
87
96.6%
Q4 - 8:12SASMISS Parker 1' Layup79
4.0%
87
96.0%
Q4 - 8:30OKCWatson 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)79
3.3%
87
96.7%
Q4 - 8:44OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
2.6%
87
97.4%
Q4 - 8:46SASMISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
2.4%
87
97.6%
Q4 - 8:53SASBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)77
2.0%
87
98.0%
Q4 - 8:55OKCMISS Durant 3' Layup77
2.2%
87
97.8%
Q4 - 9:14SASDuncan 11' Jump Bank Shot (16 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)77
3.0%
87
97.0%
Q4 - 9:29OKCCollison 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Watson 3 AST)77
3.8%
85
96.2%
Q4 - 9:37OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
3.0%
85
97.0%
Q4 - 9:38SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot75
2.8%
85
97.2%
Q4 - 9:56OKCMason 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Collison 3 AST)75
2.3%
85
97.7%
Q4 - 10:09OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)73
2.1%
85
97.9%
Q4 - 10:11SASMISS Hill 1' Layup73
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q4 - 10:29OKCGreen 1' Alley Oop Dunk (26 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)73
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q4 - 10:34SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)71
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q4 - 10:49OKCMason 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Collison 2 AST)71
1.1%
85
98.9%
Q4 - 11:05SASHill 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)69
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q4 - 11:20SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
1.2%
83
98.8%
Q4 - 11:21OKCMISS Durant 16' Jump Shot69
1.3%
83
98.7%
Q4 - 11:40OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q4 - 11:41SASMISS Mason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot69
1.4%
83
98.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0OKC69
1.2%
83
98.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)69
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q3 - 0:05.0OKCThunder Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)69
2.1%
81
97.9%
Q3 - 0:29.0OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)69
2.5%
81
97.5%
Q3 - 0:30.0SASMISS Hill 17' Jump Shot69
2.4%
81
97.6%
Q3 - 0:41.0SASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
2.1%
81
97.9%
Q3 - 0:43.0OKCMISS Durant 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
2.2%
81
97.8%
Q3 - 0:50.0OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
2.5%
81
97.5%
Q3 - 0:52.0SASMISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot69
2.4%
81
97.6%
Q3 - 1:12OKCGreen 1' Layup (24 PTS)69
2.2%
81
97.8%
Q3 - 1:28SASHill 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)67
1.8%
81
98.2%
Q3 - 1:48OKCWatson 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)67
2.2%
79
97.8%
Q3 - 2:11SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)65
1.9%
79
98.1%
Q3 - 2:11SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 265
2.0%
78
98.0%
Q3 - 2:20OKCWestbrook Foul Turnover (P2.T9)65
1.9%
78
98.1%
Q3 - 2:44SASParker 2' Layup (14 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)65
2.3%
78
97.7%
Q3 - 3:00OKCWestbrook 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS)65
2.8%
76
97.2%
Q3 - 3:09OKCPetro REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
2.4%
76
97.6%
Q3 - 3:10SASMISS Parker 2' Driving Layup63
2.2%
76
97.8%
Q3 - 3:16SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
2.0%
76
98.0%
Q3 - 3:17OKCMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
2.1%
76
97.9%
Q3 - 3:35OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)63
2.4%
76
97.6%
Q3 - 3:38OKCMISS Durant 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
2.1%
76
97.9%
Q3 - 3:57SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)63
2.4%
76
97.6%
Q3 - 4:01SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)63
2.1%
76
97.9%
Q3 - 4:02OKCMISS Durant 2' Driving Layup63
2.2%
76
97.8%
Q3 - 4:19OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)63
2.5%
76
97.5%
Q3 - 4:20SASMISS Parker 14' Jump Shot63
2.4%
76
97.6%
Q3 - 4:39OKCPetro 1' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Green 3 AST)63
2.1%
76
97.9%
Q3 - 4:45SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)61
1.8%
76
98.2%
Q3 - 4:49SASBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)61
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q3 - 4:50OKCMISS Westbrook 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q3 - 5:03SASGinobili Foul Turnover (P1.T7)61
1.9%
76
98.1%
Q3 - 5:18OKCDurant 5' Jump Shot (21 PTS)61
1.6%
76
98.4%
Q3 - 5:24OKCThunder Rebound59
1.4%
76
98.6%
Q3 - 5:24OKCMISS Green 4' Jump Shot59
1.2%
76
98.8%
Q3 - 5:31OKCThunder Rebound59
1.4%
76
98.6%
Q3 - 5:31OKCGinobili BLOCK (1 BLK)59
1.2%
76
98.8%
Q3 - 5:46SASDuncan 6' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS) (Mason Jr. 2 AST)59
1.4%
76
98.6%
Q3 - 6:10OKCDurant 15' Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Westbrook 2 AST)59
1.6%
74
98.4%
Q3 - 6:22SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)57
1.4%
74
98.6%
Q3 - 6:22SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)57
1.5%
73
98.5%
Q3 - 6:39OKCDurant 2' Dunk (17 PTS) (Westbrook 1 AST)57
1.6%
72
98.4%
Q3 - 6:45OKCPetro REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
1.4%
72
98.6%
Q3 - 6:46SASMISS Parker 2' Layup55
1.3%
72
98.7%
Q3 - 6:53OKCBonner STEAL (2 STL)55
1.2%
72
98.8%
Q3 - 7:17SASParker 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS)55
1.5%
72
98.5%
Q3 - 7:37OKCWilkins 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Green 2 AST)55
1.8%
70
98.2%
Q3 - 7:55SASBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Finley 3 AST)52
1.3%
70
98.7%
Q3 - 8:03SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
1.8%
67
98.2%
Q3 - 8:04OKCMISS Durant 15' Jump Shot52
1.9%
67
98.1%
Q3 - 8:11OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
2.1%
67
97.9%
Q3 - 8:13SASMISS Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
2.0%
67
98.0%
Q3 - 8:40OKCGreen 16' Jump Shot (22 PTS)52
1.8%
67
98.2%
Q3 - 8:59SASDuncan 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)50
1.6%
67
98.4%
Q3 - 9:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)50
1.9%
65
98.1%
Q3 - 9:15OKCMISS Wilkins 19' Jump Shot50
1.9%
65
98.1%
Q3 - 9:22SASBonner Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)50
2.2%
65
97.8%
Q3 - 9:36SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)50
1.9%
65
98.1%
Q3 - 9:38OKCMISS Petro 15' Jump Shot50
1.9%
65
98.1%
Q3 - 9:45SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)50
2.2%
65
97.8%
Q3 - 10:09OKCDurant 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS)50
1.9%
65
98.1%
Q3 - 10:17OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)48
1.7%
65
98.3%
Q3 - 10:19SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot48
1.6%
65
98.4%
Q3 - 10:43OKCGreen 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS)48
1.5%
65
98.5%
Q3 - 11:04SASParker 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)46
1.3%
65
98.7%
Q3 - 11:16SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
1.5%
63
98.5%
Q3 - 11:17OKCMISS Wilkins 10' Jump Shot46
1.6%
63
98.4%
Q3 - 11:29SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)46
1.7%
63
98.3%
Q3 - 11:29SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 246
1.8%
62
98.2%
Q3 - 11:43OKCPetro 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Green 1 AST)46
1.7%
62
98.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0OKC44
1.5%
62
98.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0OKCThunder Rebound44
1.5%
62
98.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0OKCMISS Weaver 51' 3PT Jump Shot44
1.4%
62
98.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASMason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)44
1.6%
62
98.4%
Q2 - 0:21.0OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)44
2.1%
59
97.9%
Q2 - 0:21.0OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)43
2.1%
59
97.9%
Q2 - 0:24.0OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)42
1.8%
59
98.2%
Q2 - 0:25.0SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Bank Shot42
1.7%
59
98.3%
Q2 - 0:43.0SASBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)42
1.6%
59
98.4%
Q2 - 0:44.0OKCMISS Watson 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
1.7%
59
98.3%
Q2 - 1:07OKCSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
1.8%
59
98.2%
Q2 - 1:07SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 242
1.8%
59
98.2%
Q2 - 1:07SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)42
1.6%
59
98.4%
Q2 - 1:21OKCGreen 2' Slam Dunk (18 PTS) (Durant 2 AST)42
1.9%
58
98.1%
Q2 - 1:38SASHill Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)40
1.6%
58
98.4%
Q2 - 1:58SASBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)40
1.5%
58
98.5%
Q2 - 1:59OKCMISS Green Free Throw 2 of 240
1.5%
58
98.5%
Q2 - 1:59OKCGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)40
1.6%
58
98.4%
Q2 - 2:08OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
1.5%
58
98.5%
Q2 - 2:10SASMISS Finley 16' Jump Shot39
1.4%
58
98.6%
Q2 - 2:28OKCDurant 2' Dunk (11 PTS)39
1.3%
58
98.7%
Q2 - 2:43OKCWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
1.2%
58
98.8%
Q2 - 2:44SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot37
1.1%
58
98.9%
Q2 - 3:05OKCGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Durant 1 AST)37
1.0%
58
99.0%
Q2 - 3:20OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
0.8%
58
99.2%
Q2 - 3:21SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot34
0.8%
58
99.2%
Q2 - 3:34OKCSmith 3' Hook Shot (4 PTS)34
0.7%
58
99.3%
Q2 - 3:45OKCSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)32
0.6%
58
99.4%
Q2 - 3:46OKCMISS Weaver 21' Jump Shot32
0.6%
58
99.4%
Q2 - 4:04SASParker 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)32
0.7%
58
99.3%
Q2 - 4:24OKCGreen 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS)32
0.7%
56
99.3%
Q2 - 4:40SASDuncan 3' Running Layup (7 PTS)30
0.7%
56
99.3%
Q2 - 5:00OKCGreen 3' Layup (10 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)30
0.7%
54
99.3%
Q2 - 5:13SASBonner 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)28
0.7%
54
99.3%
Q2 - 5:34OKCWeaver Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)28
0.8%
52
99.2%
Q2 - 5:37OKCWeaver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
0.9%
52
99.1%
Q2 - 5:38SASMISS Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
0.9%
52
99.1%
Q2 - 5:58OKCSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
0.8%
52
99.2%
Q2 - 5:58OKCSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
0.8%
52
99.2%
Q2 - 5:59OKCSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
0.7%
52
99.3%
Q2 - 6:00OKCMISS Weaver 1' Reverse Layup26
0.6%
52
99.4%
Q2 - 6:14SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
0.8%
52
99.2%
Q2 - 6:14SASFinley 1' Tip Shot (7 PTS)26
0.8%
52
99.2%
Q2 - 6:15SASMISS Parker 2' Layup26
0.9%
50
99.1%
Q2 - 6:22OKCParker STEAL (1 STL)26
0.8%
50
99.2%
Q2 - 6:31SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)26
1.0%
50
99.0%
Q2 - 6:31SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 226
1.0%
49
99.0%
Q2 - 6:36SASBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)26
0.9%
49
99.1%
Q2 - 6:37OKCMISS Durant 21' Jump Shot26
1.0%
49
99.0%
Q2 - 6:49SASParker 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)26
1.1%
49
98.9%
Q2 - 6:56OKCBonner STEAL (1 STL)26
1.2%
47
98.8%
Q2 - 7:01SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)26
1.4%
47
98.6%
Q2 - 7:13OKCDurant Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)26
1.2%
47
98.8%
Q2 - 7:22SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Smith: Tip to Mason26
1.4%
47
98.6%
Q2 - 7:22SASMISS Duncan 3' Layup26
1.3%
47
98.7%
Q2 - 7:37OKCWeaver 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)26
1.2%
47
98.8%
Q2 - 7:56SASParker 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)23
1.0%
47
99.0%
Q2 - 8:04SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
1.2%
45
98.8%
Q2 - 8:05OKCMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot23
1.2%
45
98.8%
Q2 - 8:31SASThomas 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)23
1.3%
45
98.7%
Q2 - 8:54OKCMason 1' Layup (2 PTS)23
1.4%
43
98.6%
Q2 - 9:07SASThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)21
1.3%
43
98.7%
Q2 - 9:07SASThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
1.4%
42
98.6%
Q2 - 9:23SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
1.5%
41
98.5%
Q2 - 9:24OKCBowen BLOCK (1 BLK)21
1.5%
41
98.5%
Q2 - 9:33OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
1.6%
41
98.4%
Q2 - 9:34SASMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot21
1.6%
41
98.4%
Q2 - 9:52SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
1.5%
41
98.5%
Q2 - 9:53OKCMISS Watson 18' Jump Shot21
1.5%
41
98.5%
Q2 - 10:03OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
1.7%
41
98.3%
Q2 - 10:04SASMISS Ginobili 13' Jump Shot21
1.7%
41
98.3%
Q2 - 10:29OKCWestbrook Foul Turnover (P1.T3)21
1.5%
41
98.5%
Q2 - 10:40SASFinley 11' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)21
1.7%
41
98.3%
Q2 - 11:02OKCWatson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
2.0%
39
98.0%
Q2 - 11:12OKCWeaver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
1.8%
39
98.2%
Q2 - 11:13SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
1.8%
39
98.2%
Q2 - 11:16SASSPURS Rebound19
1.6%
39
98.4%
Q2 - 11:16SASMISS Thomas 19' Jump Shot19
1.8%
39
98.2%
Q2 - 11:40SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
1.6%
39
98.4%
Q2 - 11:41OKCMISS Mason 6' Jump Shot19
1.7%
39
98.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0OKC19
1.8%
39
98.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASGinobili 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
1.8%
39
98.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
2.1%
37
97.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0SASMISS Mason Jr. 28' 3PT Jump Shot19
2.2%
37
97.8%
Q1 - 0:24.0OKCDurant 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)19
2.1%
37
97.9%
Q1 - 0:34.0SASMason Jr. 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)16
1.7%
37
98.3%
Q1 - 0:51.0OKCCollison 1' Layup (2 PTS)16
1.9%
35
98.1%
Q1 - 0:51.0OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
1.7%
35
98.3%
Q1 - 0:52.0OKCMISS Watson 1' Reverse Layup14
1.6%
35
98.4%
Q1 - 1:08SASHill 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)14
1.8%
35
98.2%
Q1 - 1:15SASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
2.0%
33
98.0%
Q1 - 1:16OKCMISS Mason 19' Jump Shot14
2.1%
33
97.9%
Q1 - 1:35SASGinobili 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)14
2.2%
33
97.8%
Q1 - 1:51SASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
2.4%
31
97.6%
Q1 - 1:52OKCMISS Green 13' Jump Bank Shot14
2.5%
31
97.5%
Q1 - 2:09SASHill 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)14
2.7%
31
97.3%
Q1 - 2:24OKCWatson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)14
3.3%
28
96.7%
Q1 - 2:29SASMISS Mason Jr. Free Throw Technical14
3.5%
28
96.5%
Q1 - 2:29SASHill Foul Turnover (P1.T2)14
3.5%
28
96.5%
Q1 - 2:42OKCGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)14
3.3%
28
96.7%
Q1 - 2:42OKCGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)13
3.2%
28
96.8%
Q1 - 2:57SASMason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)12
3.0%
28
97.0%
Q1 - 3:01SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
3.5%
25
96.5%
Q1 - 3:02SASMISS Thomas 11' Jump Bank Shot12
3.7%
25
96.3%
Q1 - 3:19OKCGreen 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS)12
3.5%
25
96.5%
Q1 - 3:32SASThomas 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)10
3.2%
25
96.8%
Q1 - 3:45SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
3.5%
23
96.5%
Q1 - 3:46OKCMISS Durant 22' Jump Shot10
3.6%
23
96.4%
Q1 - 4:05SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
3.9%
23
96.1%
Q1 - 4:05SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
4.0%
22
96.0%
Q1 - 4:19SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
4.2%
21
95.8%
Q1 - 4:20OKCMISS Petro 20' Jump Shot10
4.3%
21
95.7%
Q1 - 4:37SASBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)10
4.6%
21
95.4%
Q1 - 4:37SASBonner 3' Tip Shot (8 PTS)10
4.6%
21
95.4%
Q1 - 4:38SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
5.3%
19
94.7%
Q1 - 4:51SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
5.0%
19
95.0%
Q1 - 4:52OKCMISS Mason 5' Jump Shot10
5.1%
19
94.9%
Q1 - 5:14SASParker 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)10
5.6%
19
94.4%
Q1 - 5:24OKCDurant 2' Reverse Layup (6 PTS)10
6.0%
17
94.0%
Q1 - 5:41SASMason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)8
5.6%
17
94.4%
Q1 - 6:05SASSPURS Rebound8
6.4%
14
93.6%
Q1 - 6:06OKCMISS Westbrook 17' Jump Shot8
6.5%
14
93.5%
Q1 - 6:19SASMason Jr. Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)8
6.9%
14
93.1%
Q1 - 6:30OKCDurant 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
6.4%
14
93.6%
Q1 - 6:51SASMason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)6
5.9%
14
94.1%
Q1 - 7:03SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
6.7%
11
93.3%
Q1 - 7:04OKCMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
6.9%
11
93.1%
Q1 - 7:14OKCPetro REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
7.3%
11
92.7%
Q1 - 7:16SASMISS Mason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
7.1%
11
92.9%
Q1 - 7:28OKCPetro Foul Turnover (P1.T1)6
6.7%
11
93.3%
Q1 - 7:42OKCPetro REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
7.3%
11
92.7%
Q1 - 7:43OKCMISS Wilkins 3PT Jump Shot6
6.9%
11
93.1%
Q1 - 8:00SASDuncan 14' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)6
7.3%
11
92.7%
Q1 - 8:16SASSPURS Rebound6
7.7%
9
92.3%
Q1 - 8:16OKCMISS Petro 3' Jump Shot6
7.9%
9
92.1%
Q1 - 8:34SASBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)6
8.3%
9
91.7%
Q1 - 8:51SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
9.7%
6
90.3%
Q1 - 8:52OKCMISS Wilkins 16' Jump Shot6
10.0%
6
90.0%
Q1 - 9:04SASFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)6
10.3%
6
89.7%
Q1 - 9:18SASSPURS Rebound6
11.9%
3
88.1%
Q1 - 9:19SASMISS Bonner 4' Jump Shot6
12.5%
3
87.5%
Q1 - 9:36OKCGreen 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
11.9%
3
88.1%
Q1 - 9:50OKCPetro REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
11.1%
3
88.9%
Q1 - 9:51SASMISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
10.8%
3
89.2%
Q1 - 10:03OKCGreen 7' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)4
10.1%
3
89.9%
Q1 - 10:22OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
9.5%
3
90.5%
Q1 - 10:23SASMISS Bonner 17' Jump Shot2
9.3%
3
90.7%
Q1 - 10:50OKCDurant 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
8.9%
3
91.1%
Q1 - 11:03OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
8.1%
3
91.9%
Q1 - 11:05SASMISS Finley 16' Jump Shot0
8.0%
3
92.0%
Q1 - 11:11SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
7.6%
3
92.4%
Q1 - 11:12SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Bank Shot0
8.0%
3
92.0%
Q1 - 11:25SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
7.6%
3
92.4%
Q1 - 11:26OKCMISS Green 1' Driving Layup0
7.8%
3
92.2%
Q1 - 11:39SASBonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)0
8.1%
3
91.9%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Green: Tip to Parker0
9.2%
0
90.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
1.11 55.3%
SAS
1.18 59.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
OKC
24
32
75%
SAS
15
24
63%
Midrange
OKC
14
36
39%
SAS
17
33
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
OKC
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
SAS
9
13.5
23
39%
59%
Free Throws
OKC
10
12
83%
SAS
18
25
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Green3366%16.5 / 25
K. Durant2856%14.0 / 25
N. Collison1083%5.0 / 6
E. Watson964%4.5 / 7
D. Mason857%4.0 / 7
J. Petro440%2.0 / 5
J. Smith467%2.0 / 3
D. Wilkins330%1.5 / 5
K. Weaver338%1.5 / 4
R. Westbrook233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker2255%11.0 / 20
T. Duncan2059%10.0 / 17
M. Bonner1771%8.5 / 12
R. Mason Jr.1488%7.0 / 8
M. Ginobili1454%7.0 / 13
G. Hill956%4.5 / 8
M. Finley744%3.5 / 8
K. Thomas660%3.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

OKC
81
+11
-10
92
SAS
81
+10
-10
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
1.11 55.3%
SAS
1.18 59.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.4
108.3
OKC 114.3
SAS 119.8 +5.5
Pace
94.1
88.7
OKC 91.5 +1.0
SAS 90.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.5
OKC 15.7 +0.2
SAS 15.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.1%
51.3%
OKC 55.3%
SAS 56.9% +1.6%
TO %
16.4%
12.4%
OKC 10.9%
SAS 9.9% +1.0%
ORB %
28.7%
22.2%
OKC 21.1% +1.7%
SAS 19.4%
FTrt
30.8
25.1
OKC 14.1
SAS 31.3 +17.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.5%
57.1%
OKC 43.2%
SAS 68.3% +25.1%
STL %
7.8%
6.5%
OKC 5.5% +2.2%
SAS 3.3%
BLK %
6.9%
6.1%
OKC 10.5% +6.1%
SAS 4.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.8%
53.4%
OKC 55.3%
SAS 59.2% +3.9%
Rim FG%
57.9%
58.8%
OKC 75.0% +12.5%
SAS 62.5%
Mid FG%
37.1%
42.7%
OKC 38.9%
SAS 51.5% +12.6%
3P %
34.6%
38.6%
OKC 35.3%
SAS 39.1% +3.8%
FT %
78.6%
76.2%
OKC 83.3% +11.3%
SAS 72.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.0%
30.3%
OKC 37.6% +7.6%
SAS 30.0%
Mid Att. %
47.9%
44.9%
OKC 42.4%
SAS 41.3% +1.1%
3P Att. %
14.1%
24.8%
OKC 20.0%
SAS 28.7% +8.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsOKCSAS
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points104109
Rebounds3737
Assists1928
Steals53
Blocks63
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)30 (2)
Field Goals44-8541-80
At-the-Rim FG24-3215-24
Midrange FG14-3617-33
2-Point FG38-6832-57
3-Point FG6-179-23
Free Throws10-1218-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 240 · 20
46.5
28
56%
13
3
0
4
1
2
1
12
3-3
100%
11-20
55%
1-4
25%
F · 6'8" 235 · 22
42.5
33
66%
4
4
0
0
1
1
0
4
3-4
75%
12-17
71%
2-6
33%
G · 6'3" 200 · 20
19.1
2
33%
0
2
1
0
2
4
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 247 · 23
17.6
4
40%
5
0
1
0
1
3
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 225 · 29
15.6
3
30%
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'1" 199 · 30
30.4
9
64%
1
4
1
0
3
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 222 · 31
25.9
8
57%
1
1
0
0
0
4
1
0
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 28
21.3
10
83%
8
5
1
0
0
4
3
5
2-3
67%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 201 · 23
12.0
3
38%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 33
9.1
4
67%
3
0
0
2
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 230 · 23
C · 7'0" 245 · 23
#3 · F · 6'9" 250 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#31 · C · 7'1" 270 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#54 · F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
55%
37
19
5
6
10
0
8
29
10-12
83%
38-68
56%
6-17
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.