FinalWin Prob.pScore
1463%97
86
2937%93
102
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
102.48484.9
MEM logo MEM
121.48483.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

GrizzliesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

GrizzliesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMEM
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA86
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0MEMMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0MEMMISS Mayo Reverse Layup86
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)86
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0MEMMISS Conley 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10MIAQuinn 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)86
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20MEMWarrick 9' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS)84
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41MIADiawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)84
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52MEMMayo 7' Floating Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Warrick 1 AST)81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:10MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)81
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23MEMMISS Milicic Reverse Layup81
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:38MEMMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:41MIAMISS Quinn 27' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:57MEMGay 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Conley 3 AST)81
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:11MEMGay Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)81
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 3:18MIAMarion Layup (7 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)81
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 3:29MIAHeat Rebound79
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 3:29MIAMilicic BLOCK (5 BLK)79
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 3:38MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)79
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 3:41MEMMISS Milicic 12' Turnaround Jump Shot79
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 3:58MIACook 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)79
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 4:15MEMMayo Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)76
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 4:15MEMMayo Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)76
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 4:36MIAChalmers 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS)76
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 4:44MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)74
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 4:45MIAMISS Marion 7' Jump Shot74
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:57MEMWarrick Foul Turnover (P2.T7)74
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 5:18MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)74
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 5:19MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot74
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 5:42MEMWarrick Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)74
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 5:42MEMWarrick Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)74
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 5:52MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)74
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q4 - 5:55MIAMilicic BLOCK (4 BLK)74
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q4 - 6:07MIAHeat Rebound74
1.5%
90
98.5%
Q4 - 6:08MEMMISS Gay Layup74
1.3%
90
98.7%
Q4 - 6:23MIAAnthony Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Cook 4 AST)74
1.1%
90
98.9%
Q4 - 6:32MIAHeat Rebound72
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 6:32MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q4 - 6:40MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)72
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 6:42MEMMISS Gay 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot72
0.7%
90
99.3%
Q4 - 7:03MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
0.9%
90
99.1%
Q4 - 7:05MIAMISS Cook 22' Jump Shot72
1.0%
90
99.0%
Q4 - 7:14MEMMayo Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)72
1.2%
90
98.8%
Q4 - 7:14MEMMayo Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)72
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q4 - 7:31MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)72
1.6%
88
98.4%
Q4 - 7:32MEMMISS Mayo 12' Jump Shot72
1.9%
88
98.1%
Q4 - 7:50MEMConley Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)72
1.6%
88
98.4%
Q4 - 7:50MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)72
2.1%
87
97.9%
Q4 - 8:00MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)72
2.7%
87
97.3%
Q4 - 8:01MEMMISS Conley 13' Jump Shot72
3.6%
87
96.4%
Q4 - 8:14MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)72
3.0%
87
97.0%
Q4 - 8:28MEMConley 8' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)69
1.8%
87
98.2%
Q4 - 8:52MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)69
2.3%
85
97.7%
Q4 - 8:52MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 268
2.2%
85
97.8%
Q4 - 9:03MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)68
3.1%
85
96.9%
Q4 - 9:17MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
5.0%
82
95.0%
Q4 - 9:18MIAMISS Diawara 3PT Jump Shot68
5.3%
82
94.7%
Q4 - 9:37MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)68
6.1%
82
93.9%
Q4 - 9:38MEMMISS Conley Free Throw 2 of 268
5.9%
82
94.1%
Q4 - 9:38MEMConley Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)68
5.1%
82
94.9%
Q4 - 9:48MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
6.2%
81
93.8%
Q4 - 9:53MIAMISS Quinn Running Layup68
6.6%
81
93.4%
Q4 - 10:13MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)68
9.2%
81
90.8%
Q4 - 10:14MEMMISS Conley 17' Jump Shot68
8.6%
81
91.4%
Q4 - 10:36MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)68
7.4%
81
92.6%
Q4 - 10:36MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)67
7.1%
81
92.9%
Q4 - 10:44MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
6.0%
81
94.0%
Q4 - 10:46MEMMISS Warrick 27' 3PT Jump Shot66
5.6%
81
94.4%
Q4 - 11:11MEMRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
5.9%
81
94.1%
Q4 - 11:12MIAMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
6.3%
81
93.7%
Q4 - 11:27MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)66
7.1%
81
92.9%
Q4 - 11:29MEMMISS Warrick 9' Jump Shot66
6.7%
81
93.3%
Q4 - 11:46MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
5.9%
81
94.1%
Q4 - 11:47MIAMISS Cook 21' Jump Shot66
6.2%
81
93.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEM66
7.1%
81
92.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEMRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
5.8%
81
94.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Wade 12' Running Jump Shot66
7.3%
81
92.7%
Q3 - 0:25.0MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)66
8.1%
81
91.9%
Q3 - 0:25.0MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 266
8.5%
80
91.5%
Q3 - 0:40.0MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
8.3%
80
91.7%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
8.7%
80
91.3%
Q3 - 0:56.0MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)66
9.7%
80
90.3%
Q3 - 0:56.0MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 266
10.2%
79
89.8%
Q3 - 0:56.0MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound66
9.9%
79
90.1%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAMISS Quinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
10.4%
79
89.6%
Q3 - 1:28MEMGay Slam Dunk (14 PTS)66
12.6%
79
87.4%
Q3 - 1:32MIAGay STEAL (1 STL)66
15.1%
77
84.9%
Q3 - 1:39MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)66
17.6%
77
82.4%
Q3 - 1:42MEMMISS Mayo 22' Fadeaway Jumper66
16.8%
77
83.2%
Q3 - 1:57MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
15.1%
77
84.9%
Q3 - 2:00MIAGasol BLOCK (3 BLK)66
15.8%
77
84.2%
Q3 - 2:02MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)66
19.4%
77
80.6%
Q3 - 2:05MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)66
19.4%
77
80.6%
Q3 - 2:05MIAMISS Beasley Tip Shot66
17.4%
77
82.6%
Q3 - 2:06MIAMISS Beasley Layup66
17.4%
77
82.6%
Q3 - 2:15MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)66
19.3%
77
80.7%
Q3 - 2:16MIAMISS Quinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
17.4%
77
82.6%
Q3 - 2:28MEMGay Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)66
19.3%
77
80.7%
Q3 - 2:40MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)66
16.5%
77
83.5%
Q3 - 2:40MIAHeat Rebound66
19.2%
77
80.8%
Q3 - 2:40MIAGasol BLOCK (2 BLK)66
17.3%
77
82.7%
Q3 - 3:09MEMMayo 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)66
21.3%
77
78.7%
Q3 - 3:13MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)66
27.7%
74
72.3%
Q3 - 3:15MEMMISS Gay Layup66
30.4%
74
69.6%
Q3 - 3:35MIAAnthony 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)66
27.6%
74
72.4%
Q3 - 3:51MEMArthur Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Lowry 5 AST)64
24.3%
74
75.7%
Q3 - 3:58MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
27.5%
72
72.5%
Q3 - 4:00MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
28.7%
72
71.3%
Q3 - 4:05MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
32.6%
72
67.4%
Q3 - 4:09MEMMISS Gay Slam Dunk64
31.3%
72
68.7%
Q3 - 4:13MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
28.3%
72
71.7%
Q3 - 4:15MIAArthur BLOCK (2 BLK)64
29.6%
72
70.4%
Q3 - 4:30MEMArthur Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)64
32.6%
72
67.4%
Q3 - 4:45MIAWade Layup (16 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)64
40.0%
69
60.0%
Q3 - 4:49MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
36.5%
69
63.5%
Q3 - 4:53MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
32.0%
69
68.0%
Q3 - 4:53MEMMISS Arthur Layup62
35.1%
69
64.9%
Q3 - 4:57MEMMISS Mayo Layup62
35.1%
69
64.9%
Q3 - 5:06MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound62
33.2%
69
66.8%
Q3 - 5:07MIAMISS Wade Layup62
34.5%
69
65.5%
Q3 - 5:20MIAHeat Rebound62
37.4%
69
62.6%
Q3 - 5:20MEMMISS Arthur Dunk62
36.1%
69
63.9%
Q3 - 5:41MIABeasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)62
33.1%
69
66.9%
Q3 - 6:04MEMMayo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)59
28.0%
69
72.0%
Q3 - 6:16MIAAnthony Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)59
34.6%
66
65.4%
Q3 - 6:28MEMGay 9' Jump Shot (12 PTS)57
31.3%
66
68.7%
Q3 - 6:40MIAMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)57
34.6%
64
65.4%
Q3 - 6:40MIAMISS Marion Free Throw 1 of 256
33.8%
64
66.2%
Q3 - 6:52MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)56
34.8%
64
65.2%
Q3 - 6:56MIAMISS Marion Reverse Dunk56
32.1%
64
67.9%
Q3 - 7:00MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)56
34.8%
64
65.2%
Q3 - 7:02MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot56
33.4%
64
66.6%
Q3 - 7:06MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
35.9%
64
64.1%
Q3 - 7:07MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
33.4%
64
66.6%
Q3 - 7:23MEMGay 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS)56
35.9%
64
64.1%
Q3 - 7:42MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P2.T8)56
39.3%
62
60.7%
Q3 - 7:45MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)56
43.2%
62
56.8%
Q3 - 7:49MEMMISS Mayo 10' Running Jump Shot56
42.0%
62
58.0%
Q3 - 8:08MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)56
39.8%
62
60.2%
Q3 - 8:24MEMLowry 10' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)52
29.8%
62
70.2%
Q3 - 8:29MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
32.8%
60
67.2%
Q3 - 8:31MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot52
33.9%
60
66.1%
Q3 - 8:45MEMMayo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Milicic 1 AST)52
36.5%
60
63.5%
Q3 - 9:00MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)52
43.4%
57
56.6%
Q3 - 9:00MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)51
42.7%
57
57.3%
Q3 - 9:16MEMGay 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)50
40.7%
57
59.3%
Q3 - 9:33MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
44.2%
55
55.8%
Q3 - 9:37MIAMilicic BLOCK (3 BLK)50
45.4%
55
54.6%
Q3 - 9:51MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)50
48.0%
55
52.0%
Q3 - 9:53MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
45.3%
55
54.7%
Q3 - 10:09MEMMilicic Layup (13 PTS) (Mayo 4 AST)50
48.8%
55
51.2%
Q3 - 10:28MIAMarion 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)50
52.3%
53
47.7%
Q3 - 10:45MEMArthur Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)48
48.7%
53
51.3%
Q3 - 10:52MEMLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
55.8%
50
44.2%
Q3 - 10:53MIAMISS Diawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
56.9%
50
43.1%
Q3 - 11:17MEMMayo Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)48
60.1%
50
39.9%
Q3 - 11:17MEMMayo Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)48
60.5%
49
39.5%
Q3 - 11:24MIAMarion Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)48
63.1%
48
36.9%
Q3 - 11:46MEMMilicic 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)46
60.0%
48
40.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEM46
63.1%
46
36.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound46
63.1%
46
36.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEMMISS Mayo 9' Jump Shot46
65.4%
46
34.6%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAWade 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS)46
64.0%
46
36.0%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)44
60.0%
46
40.0%
Q2 - 0:28.0MEMMISS Ross 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
59.3%
46
40.7%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)44
57.5%
46
42.5%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)43
56.8%
46
43.2%
Q2 - 1:03MEMMayo 8' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS)42
54.0%
46
46.0%
Q2 - 1:17MIAWade Illegal Screen Turnover (P2.T7)42
58.0%
44
42.0%
Q2 - 1:27MEMGay 10' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)42
60.3%
44
39.7%
Q2 - 1:42MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
64.3%
42
35.7%
Q2 - 1:43MIAMISS Wade 19' Pullup Jump Shot42
64.9%
42
35.1%
Q2 - 2:03MEMMayo Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)42
67.1%
42
32.9%
Q2 - 2:03MEMMayo Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)42
67.4%
41
32.6%
Q2 - 2:11MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
69.7%
40
30.3%
Q2 - 2:15MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
72.4%
40
27.6%
Q2 - 2:15MIAMISS Marion Tip Shot42
70.5%
40
29.5%
Q2 - 2:16MIAMISS Wade Running Layup42
70.5%
40
29.5%
Q2 - 2:28MEMMayo 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS)42
72.4%
40
27.6%
Q2 - 2:47MIAMayo STEAL (1 STL)42
74.8%
38
25.2%
Q2 - 3:04MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)42
77.4%
38
22.6%
Q2 - 3:06MEMMISS Conley Layup42
76.6%
38
23.4%
Q2 - 3:25MIAAnthony Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Cook 3 AST)42
74.7%
38
25.3%
Q2 - 3:32MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)40
72.7%
38
27.3%
Q2 - 3:33MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
70.7%
38
29.3%
Q2 - 3:54MEMRoss 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mayo 3 AST)40
72.7%
38
27.3%
Q2 - 4:00MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
74.7%
36
25.3%
Q2 - 4:04MIAMISS Chalmers Running Layup40
75.5%
36
24.5%
Q2 - 4:12MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)40
77.2%
36
22.8%
Q2 - 4:14MEMMISS Conley 3PT Jump Shot40
76.5%
36
23.5%
Q2 - 4:25MEMRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
74.8%
36
25.2%
Q2 - 4:28MIAMISS Quinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
75.5%
36
24.5%
Q2 - 4:34MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
77.2%
36
22.8%
Q2 - 4:36MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
74.8%
36
25.2%
Q2 - 4:36MEMMISS Gasol Tip Shot40
76.5%
36
23.5%
Q2 - 4:38MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
74.8%
36
25.2%
Q2 - 4:38MEMMISS Gasol Tip Shot40
76.5%
36
23.5%
Q2 - 4:41MEMMISS Conley Layup40
76.5%
36
23.5%
Q2 - 4:57MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)40
74.8%
36
25.2%
Q2 - 4:57MIAAnthony Layup (4 PTS)40
74.8%
36
25.2%
Q2 - 4:59MIAMISS Marion 8' Running Jump Shot38
70.8%
36
29.2%
Q2 - 5:13MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
72.6%
36
27.4%
Q2 - 5:16MEMMISS Ross Driving Layup38
71.9%
36
28.1%
Q2 - 5:39MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Cook 2 AST)38
70.3%
36
29.7%
Q2 - 5:55MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
65.0%
36
35.0%
Q2 - 6:00MEMMISS Mayo 14' Pullup Jump Shot35
64.2%
36
35.8%
Q2 - 6:14MIAWarrick STEAL (1 STL)35
62.0%
36
38.0%
Q2 - 6:30MEMConley 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mayo 2 AST)35
65.2%
36
34.8%
Q2 - 6:45MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
69.8%
33
30.2%
Q2 - 6:46MIAMISS Cook 22' Jump Shot35
70.7%
33
29.3%
Q2 - 7:10MEMRoss 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)35
72.6%
33
27.4%
Q2 - 7:27MIABeasley Layup (15 PTS)35
76.8%
30
23.2%
Q2 - 7:29MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
74.8%
30
25.2%
Q2 - 7:31MIAMISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot33
73.2%
30
26.8%
Q2 - 7:53MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)33
74.8%
30
25.2%
Q2 - 7:54MEMMISS Warrick 8' Jump Shot33
74.1%
30
25.9%
Q2 - 8:13MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound33
72.4%
30
27.6%
Q2 - 8:13MIAMISS Quinn 20' Jump Shot33
73.1%
30
26.9%
Q2 - 8:23MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
74.5%
30
25.5%
Q2 - 8:28MEMMISS Mayo 16' Fadeaway Jumper33
73.9%
30
26.1%
Q2 - 8:43MIAQuinn 11' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)33
72.5%
30
27.5%
Q2 - 8:59MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)31
70.2%
30
29.8%
Q2 - 9:00MEMMISS Gasol 22' Jump Shot31
69.5%
30
30.5%
Q2 - 9:16MIABeasley 8' Running Bank Shot (13 PTS)31
67.7%
30
32.3%
Q2 - 9:26MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)29
65.3%
30
34.7%
Q2 - 9:29MEMMISS Arthur 9' Turnaround Jump Shot29
64.5%
30
35.5%
Q2 - 9:47MIACook 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)29
62.8%
30
37.2%
Q2 - 10:07MEMGasol Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Mayo 1 AST)26
57.9%
30
42.1%
Q2 - 10:29MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P1.T4)26
60.4%
28
39.6%
Q2 - 10:34MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)26
62.9%
28
37.1%
Q2 - 10:34MIAMISS Beasley Dunk26
61.2%
28
38.8%
Q2 - 10:34MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
62.9%
28
37.1%
Q2 - 10:36MIAArthur BLOCK (1 BLK)26
61.2%
28
38.8%
Q2 - 10:54MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
62.9%
28
37.1%
Q2 - 10:56MEMMISS Milicic Free Throw 2 of 226
62.6%
28
37.4%
Q2 - 10:56MEMMilicic Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)26
61.3%
28
38.7%
Q2 - 11:16MIAWade Driving Layup (8 PTS)26
62.8%
27
37.2%
Q2 - 11:32MEMMayo 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Conley 1 AST)24
60.4%
27
39.6%
Q2 - 11:47MIABeasley Slam Dunk (11 PTS)24
62.8%
25
37.2%
Q2 - 11:51MEMConley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)22
60.4%
25
39.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA22
57.9%
25
42.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound22
60.4%
25
39.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAGasol BLOCK (1 BLK)22
59.1%
25
40.9%
Q1 - 0:10.0MIAHeat Rebound22
60.3%
25
39.7%
Q1 - 0:10.0MIAMilicic BLOCK (2 BLK)22
59.1%
25
40.9%
Q1 - 0:11.0MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)22
60.3%
25
39.7%
Q1 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Cook 7' Running Jump Shot22
59.1%
25
40.9%
Q1 - 0:35.0MEMRoss Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)22
60.3%
25
39.7%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIARoss STEAL (1 STL)22
58.5%
25
41.5%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
60.3%
25
39.7%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAMilicic BLOCK (1 BLK)22
59.0%
25
41.0%
Q1 - 1:01MEMConley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)22
60.7%
25
39.3%
Q1 - 1:26MIABeasley 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)22
65.8%
22
34.2%
Q1 - 1:50MEMConley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
62.9%
22
37.1%
Q1 - 1:50MEMConley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
63.4%
21
36.6%
Q1 - 2:04MIABeasley Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)20
65.7%
20
34.3%
Q1 - 2:15MEMRoss Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)18
63.2%
20
36.8%
Q1 - 2:31MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)18
61.5%
20
38.5%
Q1 - 2:31MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)17
61.0%
20
39.0%
Q1 - 2:41MEMMilicic Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)16
58.8%
20
41.2%
Q1 - 3:01MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)16
61.7%
18
38.3%
Q1 - 3:01MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 215
61.2%
18
38.8%
Q1 - 3:18MEMMilicic 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)15
61.7%
18
38.3%
Q1 - 3:29MIABeasley 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
63.8%
16
36.2%
Q1 - 3:49MEMGay 9' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
61.6%
16
38.4%
Q1 - 4:08MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
63.8%
14
36.2%
Q1 - 4:11MIAMISS Wade Dunk13
64.5%
14
35.5%
Q1 - 4:25MEMWarrick Foul Turnover (P1.T2)13
66.0%
14
34.0%
Q1 - 4:48MIABeasley 1' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)13
63.8%
14
36.2%
Q1 - 5:02MEMMilicic Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)11
61.7%
14
38.3%
Q1 - 5:02MEMMilicic Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
62.4%
13
37.6%
Q1 - 5:14MIADiawara 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)11
63.5%
12
36.5%
Q1 - 5:38MEMGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
59.7%
12
40.3%
Q1 - 5:38MEMGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
60.0%
11
40.0%
Q1 - 5:58MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
61.5%
10
38.5%
Q1 - 6:00MIAMISS Diawara 3PT Jump Shot8
62.2%
10
37.8%
Q1 - 6:08MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
64.0%
10
36.0%
Q1 - 6:11MEMMISS Warrick 7' Turnaround Jump Shot8
63.3%
10
36.7%
Q1 - 6:27MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
61.9%
10
38.1%
Q1 - 6:27MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
61.2%
10
38.8%
Q1 - 6:27MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
59.9%
10
40.1%
Q1 - 6:28MIAMISS Wade 5' Running Jump Shot6
58.4%
10
41.6%
Q1 - 6:45MEMLowry 15' Jump Shot (3 PTS)6
59.9%
10
40.1%
Q1 - 7:04MEMMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
62.0%
8
38.0%
Q1 - 7:06MEMMISS Lowry Free Throw 2 of 26
63.9%
8
36.1%
Q1 - 7:06MEMLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
62.6%
8
37.4%
Q1 - 7:13MIAWade Layup (4 PTS)6
64.0%
7
36.0%
Q1 - 7:17MEMLowry Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
62.2%
7
37.8%
Q1 - 7:19MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
60.0%
7
40.0%
Q1 - 7:21MIAMISS Marion 1' Alley Oop Layup4
60.7%
7
39.3%
Q1 - 7:30MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
62.2%
7
37.8%
Q1 - 7:33MEMMISS Milicic 6' Turnaround Jump Shot4
61.5%
7
38.5%
Q1 - 7:42MEMMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
60.0%
7
40.0%
Q1 - 7:44MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 14
60.3%
7
39.7%
Q1 - 8:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
58.3%
7
41.7%
Q1 - 8:05MEMMISS Gay 14' Turnaround Jump Shot2
57.7%
7
42.3%
Q1 - 8:24MIAWade Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
56.3%
7
43.7%
Q1 - 8:46MEMMayo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gay 1 AST)0
54.2%
7
45.8%
Q1 - 8:58MIALowry STEAL (1 STL)0
58.3%
4
41.7%
Q1 - 9:17MEMArthur 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)0
61.2%
4
38.8%
Q1 - 9:38MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound0
63.2%
2
36.8%
Q1 - 9:39MIAMISS Chalmers 23' Jump Shot0
63.7%
2
36.3%
Q1 - 9:47MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
64.9%
2
35.1%
Q1 - 9:50MEMMISS Gay 9' Running Jump Shot0
64.3%
2
35.7%
Q1 - 9:58MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
63.2%
2
36.8%
Q1 - 10:00MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot0
63.7%
2
36.3%
Q1 - 10:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
65.3%
2
34.7%
Q1 - 10:08MEMMISS Arthur Layup0
64.8%
2
35.2%
Q1 - 10:16MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
63.5%
2
36.5%
Q1 - 10:16MEMMISS Mayo 10' Running Jump Shot0
64.8%
2
35.2%
Q1 - 10:22MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
63.5%
2
36.5%
Q1 - 10:24MIAMISS Marion 7' Jump Shot0
64.1%
2
35.9%
Q1 - 10:34MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
65.3%
2
34.7%
Q1 - 10:35MEMMISS Arthur 21' Jump Shot0
64.8%
2
35.2%
Q1 - 10:48MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound0
63.5%
2
36.5%
Q1 - 10:48MEMMISS Lowry Layup0
64.8%
2
35.2%
Q1 - 10:56MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)0
63.5%
2
36.5%
Q1 - 10:56MIAHeat Rebound0
65.3%
2
34.7%
Q1 - 10:56MIAMISS Marion 18' Jump Shot0
64.1%
2
35.9%
Q1 - 11:21MEMMilicic Layup (2 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)0
65.6%
2
34.4%
Q1 - 11:40MEMLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
67.0%
0
33.0%
Q1 - 11:41MIAMISS Diawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
67.5%
0
32.5%
Q1 - 12:00MEMJump Ball Milicic vs. Anthony: Tip to Marion0
68.5%
0
31.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.86 43.0%
MEM
1.15 57.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
37
41%
MEM
8
23
35%
Midrange
MIA
9
25
36%
MEM
18
37
49%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
26
31%
46%
MEM
8
12.0
13
62%
92%
Free Throws
MIA
14
18
78%
MEM
26
31
84%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Beasley2053%10.0 / 19
D. Wade1743%8.5 / 20
J. Anthony12100%6.0 / 6
D. Cook938%4.5 / 12
M. Chalmers850%4.0 / 8
S. Marion727%3.5 / 13
C. Quinn735%3.5 / 10
Y. Diawara650%3.0 / 6
J. Magloire0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
O. Mayo2867%14.0 / 21
R. Gay1864%9.0 / 14
D. Milicic1365%6.5 / 10
M. Conley1255%6.0 / 11
D. Arthur1056%5.0 / 9
M. Gasol750%3.5 / 7
K. Lowry563%2.5 / 4
Q. Ross563%2.5 / 4
H. Warrick433%2.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
75
+23
-9
98
MEM
77
+10
-7
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.86 43.0%
MEM
1.15 57.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.6
103.4
MIA 102.4
MEM 121.4 +19.0
Pace
90.2
90.3
MIA 84.9 +1.9
MEM 83.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
16.2
MIA 17.0 +0.4
MEM 17.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
48.6%
MIA 40.9%
MEM 52.1% +11.2%
TO %
13.1%
15.6%
MIA 10.3%
MEM 8.5% +1.8%
ORB %
24.6%
25.9%
MIA 36.2% +15.1%
MEM 21.1%
FTrt
28.2
32.9
MIA 20.5
MEM 42.5 +22.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.1%
49.7%
MIA 50.0%
MEM 55.9% +5.9%
STL %
8.7%
8.2%
MIA 3.6%
MEM 6.0% +2.4%
BLK %
9.2%
7.9%
MIA 10.0%
MEM 16.1% +6.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.46 and 2.46.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.6%
51.5%
MIA 43.0%
MEM 57.3% +14.3%
Rim FG%
59.5%
55.3%
MIA 40.5% +5.7%
MEM 34.8%
Mid FG%
41.8%
40.9%
MIA 36.0%
MEM 48.6% +12.6%
3P %
35.7%
36.0%
MIA 30.8%
MEM 61.5% +30.7%
FT %
75.4%
75.6%
MIA 77.8%
MEM 83.9% +6.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
37.2%
MIA 42.0% +10.5%
MEM 31.5%
Mid Att. %
45.2%
45.3%
MIA 28.4% +22.3%
MEM 50.7%
3P Att. %
24.5%
17.5%
MIA 29.5% +11.7%
MEM 17.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAMEM
Possessions8484
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points86102
Rebounds4738
Assists1619
Steals35
Blocks610
Turnovers (Team)9 (2)7 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)17 (6)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)30 (4)
Field Goals32-8834-73
At-the-Rim FG15-378-23
Midrange FG9-2518-37
2-Point FG24-6226-60
3-Point FG8-268-13
Free Throws14-1826-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 190 · 23
34.9
8
50%
1
3
0
0
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
1-3
33%
C · 6'9" 245 · 26
34.8
12
100%
13
1
0
5
0
3
5
8
2-2
100%
5-5
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 27
31.3
17
43%
2
5
1
0
4
5
0
2
7-8
88%
5-14
36%
0-2
0%
F · 6'7" 228 · 31
30.7
7
27%
13
1
0
0
1
4
4
9
1-2
50%
3-12
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 225 · 26
25.2
6
50%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-6
33%
G · 6'5" 210 · 22
28.0
9
38%
1
4
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
0%
3-8
38%
F · 6'9" 235 · 20
24.2
20
53%
8
0
1
0
2
4
4
4
3-4
75%
7-15
47%
1-2
50%
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
20.7
7
35%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-5
20%
C · 6'11" 265 · 31
7.1
0
0%
5
0
0
0
1
1
3
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33
3.2
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 192 · 23
G · 6'2" 205 · 27
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#22 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
43%
47
16
3
6
9
0
17
30
14-18
78%
24-62
39%
8-26
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.