FinalWin Prob.pScore
1527%96
103
773%103
94
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
113.29190.2
UTA logo UTA
102.29294.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

JazzMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

JazzMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLUTA
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL103
100%
94
0%
Q4 - 0:09.0UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)103
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot103
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)103
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0UTAMISS Okur 21' Jump Shot103
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)103
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2102
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:43.0ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)102
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0UTAMISS D. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot102
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:57.0ORLTurkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Lewis 3 AST)102
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:20UTAD. Williams Driving Layup (17 PTS)99
99.0%
91
1.0%
Q4 - 1:27ORLNelson 15' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS)99
99.3%
89
0.7%
Q4 - 1:47ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)97
98.0%
89
2.0%
Q4 - 1:50ORLMISS Turkoglu 20' Jump Shot97
97.0%
89
3.0%
Q4 - 2:03ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)97
98.2%
89
1.8%
Q4 - 2:05UTAMISS D. Williams Driving Layup97
97.9%
89
2.1%
Q4 - 2:18ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)97
96.8%
89
3.2%
Q4 - 2:18ORLLewis Putback Dunk (27 PTS)97
96.8%
89
3.2%
Q4 - 2:21ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
93.2%
89
6.8%
Q4 - 2:42UTAMillsap Slam Dunk (14 PTS) (D. Williams 11 AST)95
95.7%
89
4.3%
Q4 - 2:53ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)95
95.3%
87
4.7%
Q4 - 3:09UTAMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)92
90.5%
87
9.5%
Q4 - 3:09UTAMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)92
91.4%
86
8.6%
Q4 - 3:13ORLMillsap STEAL (5 STL)92
93.1%
85
6.9%
Q4 - 3:38UTAOkur Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)92
92.2%
85
7.8%
Q4 - 3:38UTAOkur Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)92
92.6%
84
7.4%
Q4 - 3:38UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)92
94.3%
83
5.7%
Q4 - 3:38ORLMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot92
95.0%
83
5.0%
Q4 - 3:55ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)92
96.4%
83
3.6%
Q4 - 3:56UTAMISS Okur 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
95.9%
83
4.1%
Q4 - 4:14ORLBogans 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)92
94.8%
83
5.2%
Q4 - 4:32ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)89
89.8%
83
10.2%
Q4 - 4:33UTAMISS Korver 3PT Jump Shot89
88.6%
83
11.4%
Q4 - 4:41UTAKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
85.3%
83
14.7%
Q4 - 4:42ORLMISS Lewis Layup89
86.9%
83
13.1%
Q4 - 5:01UTAKirilenko 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (D. Williams 10 AST)89
85.4%
83
14.6%
Q4 - 5:14UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)89
89.1%
81
10.9%
Q4 - 5:16UTAMISS Okur Free Throw 2 of 289
91.7%
81
8.3%
Q4 - 5:16UTAOkur Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)89
89.8%
81
10.2%
Q4 - 5:29UTAKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
92.1%
80
7.9%
Q4 - 5:31ORLMISS Turkoglu 23' Jump Shot89
92.8%
80
7.2%
Q4 - 5:52UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)89
94.3%
80
5.7%
Q4 - 5:52UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)89
94.6%
79
5.4%
Q4 - 5:56UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)89
95.9%
78
4.1%
Q4 - 5:58ORLMISS Nelson 27' 3PT Jump Shot89
96.3%
78
3.7%
Q4 - 6:17ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)89
95.3%
78
4.7%
Q4 - 6:19UTAMISS Okur 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
94.9%
78
5.1%
Q4 - 6:28ORLTurkoglu Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T17)89
93.8%
78
6.2%
Q4 - 6:48UTAKorver 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS)89
95.4%
78
4.6%
Q4 - 7:11ORLOkur STEAL (1 STL)89
95.0%
76
5.0%
Q4 - 7:32UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)89
96.3%
76
3.7%
Q4 - 7:32UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)89
96.5%
75
3.5%
Q4 - 7:56UTAJump Ball Millsap vs. Nelson: Tip to Kirilenko89
97.2%
74
2.8%
Q4 - 8:08UTAD. Williams Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T22)89
96.9%
74
3.1%
Q4 - 8:17ORLNelson 25' 3PT Running Bank Shot (15 PTS)89
96.1%
74
3.9%
Q4 - 8:49UTAKirilenko 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Knight 6 AST)86
93.7%
74
6.3%
Q4 - 8:55UTAKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)86
96.2%
71
3.8%
Q4 - 8:56UTAMISS Korver 13' Turnaround Jump Shot86
96.8%
71
3.2%
Q4 - 9:17ORLCook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Turkoglu 5 AST)86
94.9%
71
5.1%
Q4 - 9:25ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)83
92.0%
71
8.0%
Q4 - 9:26UTAMISS Koufos 13' Jump Hook Shot83
91.5%
71
8.5%
Q4 - 9:52ORLLee Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)83
90.2%
71
9.8%
Q4 - 10:02ORLCook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
90.3%
71
9.7%
Q4 - 10:03UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)83
88.1%
71
11.9%
Q4 - 10:03UTAMISS Millsap Layup83
89.7%
71
10.3%
Q4 - 10:06UTAMISS Kirilenko 19' Jump Shot83
89.7%
71
10.3%
Q4 - 10:15UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)83
88.2%
71
11.8%
Q4 - 10:15UTAMISS Koufos Free Throw 2 of 283
90.1%
71
9.9%
Q4 - 10:15UTAKoufos Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)83
88.8%
71
11.2%
Q4 - 10:23UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)83
90.4%
70
9.6%
Q4 - 10:25ORLMISS Lee 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
91.0%
70
9.0%
Q4 - 10:33UTAMillsap Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T21)83
92.2%
70
7.8%
Q4 - 10:47UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)83
90.5%
70
9.5%
Q4 - 10:48UTAMISS Korver 19' Jump Shot83
91.7%
70
8.3%
Q4 - 11:01ORLCook 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)83
88.7%
70
11.3%
Q4 - 11:16UTAMillsap Traveling Turnover (P3.T20)80
83.5%
70
16.5%
Q4 - 11:21UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)80
80.6%
70
19.4%
Q4 - 11:22ORLMISS Cook Layup80
81.5%
70
18.5%
Q4 - 11:40UTAKoufos 8' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)80
83.6%
70
16.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTA80
86.5%
68
13.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTAJAZZ Rebound80
86.5%
68
13.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTAMISS Knight 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
88.1%
68
11.9%
Q3 - 0:07.0ORLLee Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)80
84.8%
68
15.2%
Q3 - 0:07.0ORLMISS Lee Free Throw 1 of 279
84.2%
68
15.8%
Q3 - 0:11.0ORLCook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
84.5%
68
15.5%
Q3 - 0:12.0UTAMISS Knight 22' Jump Shot79
83.7%
68
16.3%
Q3 - 0:32.0ORLJohnson Dunk (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)79
82.1%
68
17.9%
Q3 - 0:35.0UTAKirilenko Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T19)77
78.5%
68
21.5%
Q3 - 0:43.0UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
75.3%
68
24.7%
Q3 - 0:45.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 19' Jump Shot77
76.3%
68
23.7%
Q3 - 1:06UTAKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Knight 5 AST)77
76.8%
68
23.2%
Q3 - 1:13ORLKnight STEAL (2 STL)77
83.3%
65
16.7%
Q3 - 1:38UTAKnight Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T18)77
85.8%
65
14.2%
Q3 - 1:50ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)77
83.4%
65
16.6%
Q3 - 1:54ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
85.8%
65
14.2%
Q3 - 1:56UTAMISS Koufos 9' Running Hook Shot77
85.1%
65
14.9%
Q3 - 2:11ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)77
81.2%
65
18.8%
Q3 - 2:11ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)76
80.8%
65
19.2%
Q3 - 2:24UTAOkur Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)75
78.2%
65
21.8%
Q3 - 2:24UTAOkur Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)75
78.8%
64
21.2%
Q3 - 2:39ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)75
81.3%
63
18.7%
Q3 - 2:39ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 1 of 274
80.9%
63
19.1%
Q3 - 2:51UTAD. Williams Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T17)74
81.3%
63
18.7%
Q3 - 2:59ORLBogans Layup (7 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)74
78.4%
63
21.6%
Q3 - 3:05UTAD. Williams Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T16)72
72.8%
63
27.2%
Q3 - 3:11UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
68.9%
63
31.1%
Q3 - 3:12ORLMISS Nelson 3PT Jump Shot72
70.1%
63
29.9%
Q3 - 3:31UTAKorver 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (D. Williams 9 AST)72
72.9%
63
27.1%
Q3 - 3:47ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)72
76.1%
61
23.9%
Q3 - 3:59ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
69.3%
61
30.7%
Q3 - 4:00ORLMISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
66.4%
61
33.6%
Q3 - 4:13ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
68.1%
61
31.9%
Q3 - 4:14UTAMISS Millsap Layup69
66.7%
61
33.3%
Q3 - 4:15UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)69
63.5%
61
36.5%
Q3 - 4:16UTAMISS Okur Layup69
66.7%
61
33.3%
Q3 - 4:28ORLLewis Layup (22 PTS)69
63.5%
61
36.5%
Q3 - 4:51UTAD. Williams 13' Jump Shot (13 PTS)67
60.1%
61
39.9%
Q3 - 5:11ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)67
61.5%
59
38.5%
Q3 - 5:25UTAOkur Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)64
54.0%
59
46.0%
Q3 - 5:25UTAMISS Okur Free Throw 1 of 264
54.7%
58
45.3%
Q3 - 5:33UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)64
53.5%
58
46.5%
Q3 - 5:34ORLMISS Battie 16' Jump Shot64
54.9%
58
45.1%
Q3 - 5:45ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
58.2%
58
41.8%
Q3 - 5:48UTAMISS Okur Layup64
56.8%
58
43.2%
Q3 - 6:07ORLBogans Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)64
52.1%
58
47.9%
Q3 - 6:07ORLBogans Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)63
51.2%
58
48.8%
Q3 - 6:27ORLMagic Rebound62
48.4%
58
51.6%
Q3 - 6:27UTAMISS Millsap Free Throw 2 of 262
47.8%
58
52.2%
Q3 - 6:27UTAMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)62
45.4%
58
54.6%
Q3 - 6:44ORLNelson 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)62
48.1%
57
51.9%
Q3 - 6:49ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
44.4%
57
55.6%
Q3 - 6:52UTAMISS Okur 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
43.1%
57
56.9%
Q3 - 7:09ORLLewis 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (17 PTS)60
39.1%
57
60.9%
Q3 - 7:29UTAMillsap Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)58
35.7%
57
64.3%
Q3 - 7:55ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Bogans 2 AST)58
32.1%
57
67.9%
Q3 - 8:11UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)55
25.7%
57
74.3%
Q3 - 8:11UTAMISS D. Williams Free Throw 1 of 255
26.2%
56
73.8%
Q3 - 8:19UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
25.5%
56
74.5%
Q3 - 8:20ORLMISS Lewis 15' Jump Shot55
26.5%
56
73.5%
Q3 - 8:35UTAMillsap Traveling Turnover (P1.T14)55
28.7%
56
71.3%
Q3 - 8:37UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
25.5%
56
74.5%
Q3 - 8:38UTAMISS Almond 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
27.7%
56
72.3%
Q3 - 9:05UTAAlmond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)55
25.4%
56
74.6%
Q3 - 9:05UTAMISS Okur 6' Jump Shot55
27.5%
56
72.5%
Q3 - 9:05ORLNelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)55
25.4%
56
74.6%
Q3 - 9:19ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
20.3%
56
79.7%
Q3 - 9:20UTAMISS D. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
19.6%
56
80.4%
Q3 - 9:48ORLBogans 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)52
18.0%
56
82.0%
Q3 - 10:06ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
14.2%
56
85.8%
Q3 - 10:09UTAMISS Miles 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
13.7%
56
86.3%
Q3 - 10:26UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)49
12.5%
56
87.5%
Q3 - 10:28ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
13.0%
56
87.0%
Q3 - 10:41ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
14.2%
56
85.8%
Q3 - 10:42UTAMISS D. Williams 19' Jump Shot49
13.6%
56
86.4%
Q3 - 11:00ORLNelson Foul Turnover (P4.T11)49
12.5%
56
87.5%
Q3 - 11:09ORLNelson Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)49
14.4%
56
85.6%
Q3 - 11:23ORLMagic Rebound48
12.7%
56
87.3%
Q3 - 11:23UTAMISS Okur 19' Jump Shot48
12.2%
56
87.8%
Q3 - 11:43ORLTurkoglu 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)48
11.2%
56
88.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTA46
9.9%
56
90.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTAJAZZ Rebound46
8.7%
56
91.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTAMISS Almond 3PT Jump Shot46
9.5%
56
90.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)46
8.7%
56
91.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0UTAMISS D. Williams Layup46
9.8%
56
90.2%
Q2 - 0:19.0ORLD. Williams STEAL (2 STL)46
9.2%
56
90.8%
Q2 - 0:32.0ORLMagic Rebound46
10.0%
56
90.0%
Q2 - 0:32.0UTAMISS D. Williams 19' Jump Shot46
9.8%
56
90.2%
Q2 - 0:39.0UTAAlmond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)46
9.1%
56
90.9%
Q2 - 0:41.0ORLMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
9.4%
56
90.6%
Q2 - 1:00UTAD. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)46
10.0%
56
90.0%
Q2 - 1:17ORLGortat Foul Turnover (P2.T9)46
13.3%
53
86.7%
Q2 - 1:37UTAOkur 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (D. Williams 8 AST)46
14.4%
53
85.6%
Q2 - 1:51ORLGortat Layup (4 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)46
16.6%
51
83.4%
Q2 - 2:06UTAMiles 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (D. Williams 7 AST)44
14.7%
51
85.3%
Q2 - 2:24ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)44
16.3%
49
83.7%
Q2 - 2:40UTAKirilenko Layup (10 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)41
13.1%
49
86.9%
Q2 - 2:55ORLD. Williams STEAL (1 STL)41
14.6%
47
85.4%
Q2 - 3:12UTAD. Williams 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)41
16.4%
47
83.6%
Q2 - 3:37ORLRedick 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)41
17.9%
45
82.1%
Q2 - 3:45UTAD. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)39
16.4%
45
83.6%
Q2 - 3:54UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)39
14.5%
45
85.5%
Q2 - 3:56ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
15.1%
45
84.9%
Q2 - 4:16UTAMiles 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)39
16.3%
45
83.7%
Q2 - 4:33ORLLewis 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)39
17.9%
43
82.1%
Q2 - 4:48UTAOkur Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)37
16.3%
43
83.7%
Q2 - 4:48UTAOkur Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)37
16.6%
42
83.4%
Q2 - 5:00UTAJAZZ Rebound37
17.9%
41
82.1%
Q2 - 5:00UTAMISS Miles Layup37
19.3%
41
80.7%
Q2 - 5:06ORLKirilenko STEAL (1 STL)37
18.1%
41
81.9%
Q2 - 5:12UTAKirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)37
19.9%
41
80.1%
Q2 - 5:25ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)37
18.1%
41
81.9%
Q2 - 5:41UTAD. Williams 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Kirilenko 2 AST)37
19.9%
41
80.1%
Q2 - 5:56ORLLewis Free Throw 3 of 3 (10 PTS)37
21.9%
39
78.1%
Q2 - 5:56ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 3 (9 PTS)36
21.6%
39
78.4%
Q2 - 5:56ORLMISS Lewis Free Throw 1 of 335
21.3%
39
78.7%
Q2 - 6:13ORLMagic Rebound35
20.2%
39
79.8%
Q2 - 6:14UTAMISS Millsap Layup35
19.5%
39
80.5%
Q2 - 6:23UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)35
18.1%
39
81.9%
Q2 - 6:24ORLMISS Nelson Running Layup35
18.7%
39
81.3%
Q2 - 6:29UTAMiles Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)35
20.2%
39
79.8%
Q2 - 6:42ORLMillsap STEAL (3 STL)35
18.1%
39
81.9%
Q2 - 6:44ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)35
20.2%
39
79.8%
Q2 - 6:45ORLKirilenko BLOCK (1 BLK)35
18.7%
39
81.3%
Q2 - 6:56UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)35
20.2%
39
79.8%
Q2 - 6:56UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)35
20.5%
38
79.5%
Q2 - 7:14UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
21.7%
37
78.3%
Q2 - 7:15UTAMISS Kirilenko 20' Jump Shot35
23.1%
37
76.9%
Q2 - 7:21UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
21.7%
37
78.3%
Q2 - 7:22ORLMISS Bogans 12' Jump Shot35
22.3%
37
77.7%
Q2 - 7:44ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)35
23.8%
37
76.2%
Q2 - 7:44ORLMISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
22.3%
37
77.7%
Q2 - 8:03UTAKirilenko Driving Layup (6 PTS)35
23.6%
37
76.4%
Q2 - 8:19ORLTurkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)35
25.7%
35
74.3%
Q2 - 8:25ORLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
21.7%
35
78.3%
Q2 - 8:26UTAMISS Harpring 6' Jump Shot32
21.1%
35
78.9%
Q2 - 8:36UTAJAZZ Rebound32
19.9%
35
80.1%
Q2 - 8:36UTAMISS Millsap 20' Jump Shot32
21.1%
35
78.9%
Q2 - 8:50ORLTurkoglu 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS)32
19.9%
35
80.1%
Q2 - 9:06UTAKirilenko 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Korver 1 AST)30
18.1%
35
81.9%
Q2 - 9:30UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
19.8%
33
80.2%
Q2 - 9:32ORLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
20.3%
33
79.7%
Q2 - 9:47UTAKirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)30
21.5%
33
78.5%
Q2 - 10:03ORLCook 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)30
19.9%
33
80.1%
Q2 - 10:24UTAMillsap Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Knight 4 AST)27
16.8%
33
83.2%
Q2 - 10:29UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
18.2%
31
81.8%
Q2 - 10:30ORLMISS Cook 20' Jump Shot27
18.7%
31
81.3%
Q2 - 10:45UTAHarpring Foul Turnover (P1.T9)27
19.9%
31
80.1%
Q2 - 10:55ORLLee Driving Layup (4 PTS)27
18.2%
31
81.8%
Q2 - 11:11UTAKirilenko 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Knight 3 AST)25
17.0%
31
83.0%
Q2 - 11:19ORLKnight STEAL (1 STL)25
18.5%
29
81.5%
Q2 - 11:33UTAKorver 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)25
20.1%
29
79.9%
Q2 - 11:42UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
23.5%
26
76.5%
Q2 - 11:43ORLMISS Johnson 11' Jump Shot25
24.1%
26
75.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTA25
25.4%
26
74.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTAJAZZ Rebound25
23.5%
26
76.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTAMISS Knight 21' Jump Shot25
24.9%
26
75.1%
Q1 - 0:03.0ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)25
23.5%
26
76.5%
Q1 - 0:03.0ORLBattie Tip Shot (4 PTS)25
23.5%
26
76.5%
Q1 - 0:03.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
20.5%
26
79.5%
Q1 - 0:25.0ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
21.4%
26
78.6%
Q1 - 0:26.0UTAMISS Almond Layup23
21.0%
26
79.0%
Q1 - 0:28.0UTAAlmond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)23
20.2%
26
79.8%
Q1 - 0:30.0UTAMISS Almond Layup23
21.0%
26
79.0%
Q1 - 0:37.0UTAKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
20.2%
26
79.8%
Q1 - 0:38.0ORLMISS Turkoglu Layup23
20.5%
26
79.5%
Q1 - 0:55.0UTAKoufos Dunk (2 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)23
21.4%
26
78.6%
Q1 - 0:57.0UTAKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
23.5%
24
76.5%
Q1 - 1:01ORLKoufos BLOCK (1 BLK)23
23.9%
24
76.1%
Q1 - 1:20UTAKnight 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)23
24.7%
24
75.3%
Q1 - 1:29UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
27.1%
22
72.9%
Q1 - 1:30ORLMISS Lee 20' Jump Shot23
27.5%
22
72.5%
Q1 - 1:43UTAKirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)23
28.4%
22
71.6%
Q1 - 1:55ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)23
27.1%
22
72.9%
Q1 - 1:55ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)22
26.8%
22
73.2%
Q1 - 1:59ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
24.7%
22
75.3%
Q1 - 2:06UTAMISS Almond Free Throw 2 of 221
24.6%
22
75.4%
Q1 - 2:06ORLTurkoglu Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)21
23.4%
22
76.6%
Q1 - 2:06UTAMISS Almond Free Throw 1 of 220
21.9%
22
78.1%
Q1 - 2:10UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
21.8%
22
78.2%
Q1 - 2:12ORLMISS Johnson Layup20
22.2%
22
77.8%
Q1 - 2:27UTAJump Ball Almond vs. Cook: Tip to Lee20
23.1%
22
76.9%
Q1 - 2:28UTAAlmond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)20
21.8%
22
78.2%
Q1 - 2:30ORLMISS Battie Free Throw 2 of 220
22.0%
22
78.0%
Q1 - 2:30ORLMISS Battie Free Throw 1 of 220
22.9%
22
77.1%
Q1 - 2:41ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
23.1%
22
76.9%
Q1 - 2:42ORLKorver BLOCK (1 BLK)20
22.2%
22
77.8%
Q1 - 2:57UTAKorver Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)20
23.1%
22
76.9%
Q1 - 3:13ORLNelson Driving Layup (2 PTS)20
21.5%
22
78.5%
Q1 - 3:27UTAAlmond Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)18
20.0%
22
80.0%
Q1 - 3:43ORLLee Driving Layup (2 PTS)18
18.6%
22
81.4%
Q1 - 4:02UTAOkur 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (D. Williams 6 AST)16
17.2%
22
82.8%
Q1 - 4:26ORLMillsap STEAL (2 STL)16
18.4%
20
81.6%
Q1 - 4:38UTAMillsap Running Dunk (7 PTS) (D. Williams 5 AST)16
19.9%
20
80.1%
Q1 - 4:56ORLBattie 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
21.3%
18
78.7%
Q1 - 5:10ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
20.2%
18
79.8%
Q1 - 5:11UTAMISS Okur Free Throw 2 of 214
19.9%
18
80.1%
Q1 - 5:11UTAMISS Okur Free Throw 1 of 214
19.0%
18
81.0%
Q1 - 5:19ORLLewis Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)14
18.6%
18
81.4%
Q1 - 5:27UTAKorver 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (D. Williams 4 AST)14
20.1%
18
79.9%
Q1 - 5:43ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)14
21.4%
16
78.6%
Q1 - 5:49ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
18.8%
16
81.2%
Q1 - 5:50ORLMISS Turkoglu Driving Layup11
17.8%
16
82.2%
Q1 - 6:03UTAMiles 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (D. Williams 3 AST)11
18.5%
16
81.5%
Q1 - 6:12ORLMillsap STEAL (1 STL)11
21.1%
13
78.9%
Q1 - 6:13ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
22.6%
13
77.4%
Q1 - 6:14ORLMISS Lewis 4' Jump Shot11
21.6%
13
78.4%
Q1 - 6:30UTAMiles Foul Turnover (P1.T4)11
22.7%
13
77.3%
Q1 - 6:46UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
21.2%
13
78.8%
Q1 - 6:47ORLMISS Turkoglu 20' Jump Shot11
21.6%
13
78.4%
Q1 - 7:03UTAAlmond Running Layup (5 PTS) (D. Williams 2 AST)11
22.5%
13
77.5%
Q1 - 7:20ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)11
23.8%
11
76.2%
Q1 - 7:37UTAAlmond 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miles 1 AST)8
21.0%
11
79.0%
Q1 - 7:42UTAJAZZ Rebound8
23.8%
8
76.2%
Q1 - 7:42UTAMISS Okur Layup8
25.0%
8
75.0%
Q1 - 7:44UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
23.8%
8
76.2%
Q1 - 7:47UTAAlmond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
23.8%
8
76.2%
Q1 - 7:47UTAMISS Almond Layup8
25.0%
8
75.0%
Q1 - 7:49UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)8
23.8%
8
76.2%
Q1 - 7:49UTAMISS Okur Layup8
25.0%
8
75.0%
Q1 - 7:50UTAMISS Okur Layup8
25.0%
8
75.0%
Q1 - 7:51UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
23.8%
8
76.2%
Q1 - 7:52UTAMISS Millsap Layup8
25.0%
8
75.0%
Q1 - 7:59UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
23.8%
8
76.2%
Q1 - 8:00ORLMISS Nelson 22' Jump Shot8
24.3%
8
75.7%
Q1 - 8:10UTAD. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Almond 2 AST)8
25.2%
8
74.8%
Q1 - 8:31ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
28.5%
5
71.5%
Q1 - 8:31ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
28.3%
5
71.7%
Q1 - 8:41UTAMillsap Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)6
26.8%
5
73.2%
Q1 - 8:49UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
30.3%
2
69.7%
Q1 - 8:52ORLMiles BLOCK (1 BLK)6
30.8%
2
69.2%
Q1 - 8:57ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
32.1%
2
67.9%
Q1 - 8:58UTAMISS Almond 20' Jump Shot6
31.5%
2
68.5%
Q1 - 9:14ORLLewis Layup (2 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)6
29.9%
2
70.1%
Q1 - 9:24UTAOkur Foul Turnover (P1.T3)4
28.2%
2
71.8%
Q1 - 9:30UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
26.7%
2
73.3%
Q1 - 9:31ORLMISS Gortat 7' Hook Shot4
27.2%
2
72.8%
Q1 - 9:49UTAMillsap Layup (2 PTS) (D. Williams 1 AST)4
28.2%
2
71.8%
Q1 - 9:55UTAAlmond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
30.0%
0
70.0%
Q1 - 9:57UTAMISS Miles 18' Jump Shot4
31.0%
0
69.0%
Q1 - 10:16UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
29.2%
0
70.8%
Q1 - 10:17ORLMISS Gortat Layup4
29.7%
0
70.3%
Q1 - 10:26UTAD. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
30.8%
0
69.2%
Q1 - 10:48ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
29.2%
0
70.8%
Q1 - 10:48ORLGortat Layup (2 PTS)4
29.2%
0
70.8%
Q1 - 10:50ORLMISS Turkoglu Layup2
26.7%
0
73.3%
Q1 - 11:04UTAAlmond Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
26.9%
0
73.1%
Q1 - 11:07UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
25.6%
0
74.4%
Q1 - 11:09UTAMISS D. Williams 17' Jump Shot2
26.5%
0
73.5%
Q1 - 11:27ORLTurkoglu Layup (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)2
25.6%
0
74.4%
Q1 - 11:29ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
24.4%
0
75.6%
Q1 - 11:33ORLMISS Nelson Layup0
23.5%
0
76.5%
Q1 - 11:42ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
24.4%
0
75.6%
Q1 - 11:43UTAMISS Millsap 13' Jump Shot0
24.0%
0
76.0%
Q1 - 12:00UTAJump Ball Okur vs. Gortat: Tip to D. Williams0
23.2%
0
76.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.21 60.6%
UTA
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
13
25
52%
UTA
9
24
38%
Midrange
ORL
9
23
39%
UTA
16
35
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
14
21.0
27
52%
78%
UTA
8
12.0
18
44%
67%
Free Throws
ORL
17
23
74%
UTA
20
29
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Lewis2775%13.5 / 18
H. Turkoglu2361%11.5 / 19
J. Nelson1765%8.5 / 13
K. Bogans1071%5.0 / 7
B. Cook975%4.5 / 6
C. Lee542%2.5 / 6
M. Gortat440%2.0 / 5
T. Battie440%2.0 / 5
A. Johnson225%1.0 / 4
J. Redick2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Williams1757%8.5 / 15
A. Kirilenko1785%8.5 / 10
K. Korver1583%7.5 / 9
P. Millsap1454%7.0 / 13
M. Okur1232%6.0 / 19
C. Miles758%3.5 / 6
M. Almond528%2.5 / 9
K. Koufos550%2.5 / 5
B. Knight225%1.0 / 4
M. Harpring0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
73
+11
-18
84
UTA
70
+23
-22
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.21 60.6%
UTA
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.0
109.4
ORL 113.2 +11.0
UTA 102.2
Pace
92.5
93.8
ORL 90.2
UTA 94.0 +3.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
15.5
ORL 16.0
UTA 15.3 +0.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.0%
50.4%
ORL 57.3% +9.2%
UTA 48.1%
TO %
14.6%
15.1%
ORL 17.5% +2.2%
UTA 19.7%
ORB %
24.1%
28.3%
ORL 27.5%
UTA 43.6% +16.1%
FTrt
35.1
35.5
ORL 30.7
UTA 37.7 +7.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
64.4%
ORL 50.0%
UTA 75.8% +25.8%
STL %
7.5%
9.3%
ORL 14.3% +2.3%
UTA 12.0%
BLK %
8.0%
7.4%
ORL 10.2% +1.9%
UTA 8.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.4%
54.1%
ORL 60.6% +10.6%
UTA 50.0%
Rim FG%
60.9%
59.1%
ORL 52.0% +14.5%
UTA 37.5%
Mid FG%
39.3%
41.4%
ORL 39.1%
UTA 45.7% +6.6%
3P %
38.1%
34.9%
ORL 51.9% +7.5%
UTA 44.4%
FT %
71.5%
77.2%
ORL 73.9% +4.9%
UTA 69.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.3%
40.5%
ORL 33.3% +2.2%
UTA 31.2%
Mid Att. %
35.2%
42.5%
ORL 30.7% +14.8%
UTA 45.5%
3P Att. %
33.5%
16.9%
ORL 36.0% +12.6%
UTA 23.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.58 and 2.58.
Game TotalsORLUTA
Possessions9192
Possession Minutes24.223.5
Points10394
Rebounds3346
Assists1825
Steals1311
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)22 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (0)17 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)22 (4)29 (0)
Field Goals36-7533-77
At-the-Rim FG13-259-24
Midrange FG9-2316-35
2-Point FG22-4825-59
3-Point FG14-278-18
Free Throws17-2320-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 220 · 30
40.0
23
61%
3
5
3
0
3
3
0
3
8-9
89%
3-10
30%
3-5
60%
F · 6'10" 235 · 29
35.8
27
75%
9
3
1
1
4
0
3
6
4-5
80%
7-11
64%
3-6
50%
G · 6'0" 190 · 27
34.2
17
65%
4
6
3
0
5
4
1
3
2-3
67%
3-6
50%
3-6
50%
C · 6'11" 240 · 25
30.3
4
40%
4
0
1
5
2
5
3
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 215 · 29
26.2
10
71%
5
2
1
0
0
4
1
4
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
G · 6'5" 200 · 23
20.0
5
42%
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 240 · 33
17.7
4
40%
5
0
0
0
1
2
3
2
0-2
0%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28
15.0
9
75%
2
0
2
0
0
5
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
3-4
75%
G · 6'3" 195 · 34
13.8
2
25%
1
1
1
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 24
7.0
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 270 · 34
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 25
#20 · F · 6'6" 215 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#29 · G · 5'10" 180 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
61%
33
18
13
6
18
0
11
22
17-23
74%
22-48
46%
14-27
52%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.