FinalWin Prob.pScore
1745%100
103
2555%102
121
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
102.0101106.6
MIL logo MIL
123.59893.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL103
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0MILCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)103
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0INDMISS McRoberts 27' 3PT Jump Shot103
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:25.0MILCroshere 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Sessions 5 AST)103
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:40.0MILCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)103
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0INDMISS Rush 23' Jump Shot103
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)103
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)103
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)103
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot103
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26MILJefferson 16' Jump Shot (20 PTS)103
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45MILBogut REBOUND (Off:6 Def:14)103
0.3%
114
99.7%
Q4 - 1:46INDMISS Ford 15' Jump Shot103
0.4%
114
99.6%
Q4 - 1:56MILJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)103
0.6%
114
99.4%
Q4 - 1:56MILJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)103
0.6%
113
99.4%
Q4 - 2:09MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)103
0.8%
112
99.2%
Q4 - 2:11INDMISS Murphy 3PT Jump Shot103
1.0%
112
99.0%
Q4 - 2:30MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)103
1.6%
112
98.4%
Q4 - 2:39INDJefferson STEAL (3 STL)103
3.5%
109
96.5%
Q4 - 2:50MILRedd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Jefferson 3 AST)103
6.9%
109
93.1%
Q4 - 3:04MILBogut REBOUND (Off:6 Def:13)103
16.5%
106
83.5%
Q4 - 3:06INDMISS Jack 11' Jump Shot103
19.0%
106
81.0%
Q4 - 3:19MILJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)103
26.5%
106
73.5%
Q4 - 3:19MILJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)103
28.1%
105
71.9%
Q4 - 3:19MILBogut REBOUND (Off:6 Def:12)103
32.7%
104
67.3%
Q4 - 3:23INDVillanueva BLOCK (3 BLK)103
37.0%
104
63.0%
Q4 - 3:39MILJefferson 10' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)103
46.1%
104
53.9%
Q4 - 4:00INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)103
54.9%
102
45.1%
Q4 - 4:24INDFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)103
65.1%
102
34.9%
Q4 - 4:26MILMISS Ridnour 27' 3PT Jump Shot103
62.1%
102
37.9%
Q4 - 4:42INDFord 16' Jump Shot (27 PTS)103
55.0%
102
45.0%
Q4 - 4:53MILRedd 26' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Ridnour 6 AST)101
45.9%
102
54.1%
Q4 - 5:04INDFord 17' Jump Shot (25 PTS)101
62.1%
99
37.9%
Q4 - 5:21MILRidnour 9' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)99
54.3%
99
45.7%
Q4 - 5:33INDFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)99
62.3%
97
37.7%
Q4 - 5:33INDFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)98
61.3%
97
38.7%
Q4 - 5:33INDPacers Rebound97
54.4%
97
45.6%
Q4 - 5:33MILMISS Ridnour 10' Jump Shot97
51.7%
97
48.3%
Q4 - 5:46INDDaniels Driving Layup (7 PTS)97
45.5%
97
54.5%
Q4 - 6:04MILJefferson 6' Jump Shot (12 PTS)95
38.8%
97
61.2%
Q4 - 6:15MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)95
45.8%
95
54.2%
Q4 - 6:16INDMISS Foster Free Throw 2 of 295
46.9%
95
53.1%
Q4 - 6:16INDMISS Foster Free Throw 1 of 295
51.0%
95
49.0%
Q4 - 6:16INDPacers Rebound95
53.7%
95
46.3%
Q4 - 6:17INDMISS Murphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
48.2%
95
51.8%
Q4 - 6:30INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)95
53.7%
95
46.3%
Q4 - 6:31MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot95
51.3%
95
48.7%
Q4 - 6:55INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)95
45.8%
95
54.2%
Q4 - 6:55INDFoster Tip Shot (14 PTS)95
45.8%
95
54.2%
Q4 - 6:57INDMISS Daniels Layup93
33.6%
95
66.4%
Q4 - 7:09INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)93
39.4%
95
60.6%
Q4 - 7:10MILMISS Jefferson 21' Jump Shot93
37.2%
95
62.8%
Q4 - 7:24INDDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)93
32.5%
95
67.5%
Q4 - 7:24INDMISS Daniels Free Throw 1 of 292
31.1%
95
68.9%
Q4 - 7:28INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)92
32.9%
95
67.1%
Q4 - 7:30MILMISS Redd 19' Jump Shot92
30.9%
95
69.1%
Q4 - 7:51INDRush 9' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Murphy 2 AST)92
26.6%
95
73.4%
Q4 - 7:54INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)90
21.8%
95
78.2%
Q4 - 7:55INDMISS Murphy 7' Jump Shot90
18.5%
95
81.5%
Q4 - 8:08INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)90
23.3%
95
76.7%
Q4 - 8:09MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 2 of 290
22.7%
95
77.3%
Q4 - 8:09MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)90
20.5%
95
79.5%
Q4 - 8:28INDRush Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)90
23.4%
94
76.6%
Q4 - 8:28INDRush Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)89
22.3%
94
77.7%
Q4 - 8:45MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)88
18.9%
94
81.1%
Q4 - 8:45MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)88
20.4%
93
79.6%
Q4 - 8:45MILBogut REBOUND (Off:6 Def:11)88
23.3%
92
76.7%
Q4 - 8:45MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot88
26.6%
92
73.4%
Q4 - 8:58INDMurphy Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T17)88
23.3%
92
76.7%
Q4 - 9:05INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)88
29.5%
92
70.5%
Q4 - 9:07MILMISS Villanueva 11' Jump Shot88
28.1%
92
71.9%
Q4 - 9:16MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
24.9%
92
75.1%
Q4 - 9:19INDVillanueva BLOCK (2 BLK)88
26.3%
92
73.7%
Q4 - 9:33MILSessions Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Bell 3 AST)88
29.4%
92
70.6%
Q4 - 9:45INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)88
34.9%
90
65.1%
Q4 - 9:45INDFoster Layup (12 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)88
34.9%
90
65.1%
Q4 - 9:52INDMISS Foster 12' Jump Shot86
26.2%
90
73.8%
Q4 - 10:22MILBogut Layup (14 PTS) (Mbah a Moute 1 AST)86
30.3%
90
69.7%
Q4 - 10:41INDRush 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ford 6 AST)86
35.4%
88
64.6%
Q4 - 10:47INDFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
25.7%
88
74.3%
Q4 - 10:48INDMISS Foster 16' Jump Shot83
22.9%
88
77.1%
Q4 - 11:00INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
25.7%
88
74.3%
Q4 - 11:02MILMISS Bell Layup83
25.5%
88
74.5%
Q4 - 11:08MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)83
22.9%
88
77.1%
Q4 - 11:09INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
24.0%
88
76.0%
Q4 - 11:29MILSessions 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Redd 4 AST)83
26.6%
88
73.4%
Q4 - 11:45INDSessions STEAL (1 STL)83
31.2%
86
68.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL83
35.7%
86
64.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDFoster 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ford 5 AST)83
31.2%
86
68.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0MILMbah a Moute 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Sessions 4 AST)80
23.4%
86
76.6%
Q3 - 0:23.0INDGranger Foul Turnover (P3.T15)80
27.7%
84
72.3%
Q3 - 0:30.0INDFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
31.4%
84
68.6%
Q3 - 0:32.0MILMISS Bell 18' Jump Shot80
30.2%
84
69.8%
Q3 - 0:40.0INDFord 13' Jump Shot (21 PTS)80
27.7%
84
72.3%
Q3 - 0:47.0INDPacers Rebound78
23.3%
84
76.7%
Q3 - 0:47.0INDBogut BLOCK (2 BLK)78
21.2%
84
78.8%
Q3 - 0:52.0INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)78
23.3%
84
76.7%
Q3 - 0:53.0MILMISS Redd 13' Jump Shot78
22.4%
84
77.6%
Q3 - 1:12INDRush 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)78
20.7%
84
79.3%
Q3 - 1:29MILSessions Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)76
17.4%
84
82.6%
Q3 - 1:45MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)76
15.0%
84
85.0%
Q3 - 1:46MILMISS Bogut 7' Hook Shot76
16.6%
84
83.4%
Q3 - 2:01INDJack 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Granger 2 AST)76
15.8%
84
84.2%
Q3 - 2:18MILRedd Layup (21 PTS)73
11.4%
84
88.6%
Q3 - 2:26MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)73
13.4%
82
86.6%
Q3 - 2:28INDMISS Rush 22' Jump Shot73
14.1%
82
85.9%
Q3 - 2:36MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)73
15.7%
82
84.3%
Q3 - 2:36MILBogut Tip Shot (12 PTS)73
15.7%
82
84.3%
Q3 - 2:37MILMISS Redd Layup73
20.4%
80
79.6%
Q3 - 2:46MILBogut Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (10 PTS)73
18.4%
80
81.6%
Q3 - 2:46MILBogut Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (9 PTS)73
19.6%
79
80.4%
Q3 - 3:06INDRush Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)73
25.4%
78
74.6%
Q3 - 3:06INDRush Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)72
24.5%
78
75.5%
Q3 - 3:12MILVillanueva Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15)71
22.3%
78
77.7%
Q3 - 3:25INDGranger 11' Jump Shot (14 PTS)71
19.1%
78
80.9%
Q3 - 3:37INDPacers Rebound69
16.6%
78
83.4%
Q3 - 3:38MILMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
15.8%
78
84.2%
Q3 - 3:48INDFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)69
14.1%
78
85.9%
Q3 - 3:48INDFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)68
13.9%
78
86.1%
Q3 - 3:53INDJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
12.2%
78
87.8%
Q3 - 3:55MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
11.6%
78
88.4%
Q3 - 4:01MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
10.8%
78
89.2%
Q3 - 4:04INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
11.4%
78
88.6%
Q3 - 4:26MILVillanueva Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T14)67
12.9%
78
87.1%
Q3 - 4:30MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)67
10.7%
78
89.3%
Q3 - 4:32INDMISS Rush 6' Jump Shot67
11.4%
78
88.6%
Q3 - 4:45MILBogut Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)67
12.9%
78
87.1%
Q3 - 4:57MILMISS Ridnour Free Throw Technical67
10.7%
78
89.3%
Q3 - 4:57INDFord Foul Turnover (P2.T14)67
10.7%
78
89.3%
Q3 - 5:07MILRedd Driving Layup (19 PTS)67
13.5%
78
86.5%
Q3 - 5:20INDFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)67
15.3%
76
84.7%
Q3 - 5:20INDFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)66
15.0%
76
85.0%
Q3 - 5:28MILRidnour 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS)65
13.5%
76
86.5%
Q3 - 5:46INDJack Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)65
15.3%
74
84.7%
Q3 - 5:54MILRedd 4' Jump Shot (17 PTS)62
11.6%
74
88.4%
Q3 - 6:28INDRush 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST)62
14.0%
72
86.0%
Q3 - 6:45MILJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)59
10.6%
72
89.4%
Q3 - 6:45MILJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)59
10.9%
71
89.1%
Q3 - 6:59INDGranger Layup (12 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)59
12.1%
70
87.9%
Q3 - 7:07MILBogut Kicked Ball Violation Turnover (P3.T12)57
11.3%
70
88.7%
Q3 - 7:26INDHibbert Dunk (8 PTS)57
9.8%
70
90.2%
Q3 - 7:26INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
8.5%
70
91.5%
Q3 - 7:27INDBogut BLOCK (1 BLK)55
7.7%
70
92.3%
Q3 - 7:32INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
8.5%
70
91.5%
Q3 - 7:33MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
8.2%
70
91.8%
Q3 - 7:47MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)55
7.3%
70
92.7%
Q3 - 7:48INDMISS Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 155
7.5%
70
92.5%
Q3 - 8:09MILRidnour Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)53
6.7%
70
93.3%
Q3 - 8:14INDFord Layup (15 PTS)53
5.8%
70
94.2%
Q3 - 8:22INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
5.1%
70
94.9%
Q3 - 8:24MILMISS Mbah a Moute 19' Jump Shot51
4.8%
70
95.2%
Q3 - 8:34MILBUCKS Rebound51
4.3%
70
95.7%
Q3 - 8:34INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)51
5.1%
70
94.9%
Q3 - 8:34INDMISS Granger Tip Shot51
4.6%
70
95.4%
Q3 - 8:36INDMISS Hibbert 9' Jump Shot51
4.6%
70
95.4%
Q3 - 8:51INDPacers Rebound51
5.1%
70
94.9%
Q3 - 8:51MILMISS Jefferson 10' Jump Shot51
4.8%
70
95.2%
Q3 - 9:08MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)51
4.6%
70
95.4%
Q3 - 9:10INDMISS Granger 5' Jump Shot51
4.9%
70
95.1%
Q3 - 9:26MILRedd Traveling Turnover (P4.T10)51
5.3%
70
94.7%
Q3 - 9:36INDGranger Foul Turnover (P2.T13)51
4.6%
70
95.4%
Q3 - 9:42INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
5.3%
70
94.7%
Q3 - 9:44INDGranger 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)51
4.6%
70
95.4%
Q3 - 9:44MILMISS Jefferson 15' Jump Shot49
3.9%
70
96.1%
Q3 - 10:22INDPacers Rebound49
4.4%
70
95.6%
Q3 - 10:22MILMISS Bogut Layup49
4.2%
70
95.8%
Q3 - 10:32MILBogut Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (8 PTS)49
3.8%
70
96.2%
Q3 - 10:32MILBogut Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (7 PTS)49
4.1%
69
95.9%
Q3 - 10:45INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)49
5.0%
68
95.0%
Q3 - 10:59INDFord Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)49
5.8%
68
94.2%
Q3 - 11:17MILRedd 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)48
5.5%
68
94.5%
Q3 - 11:29INDHibbert 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)48
6.2%
66
93.8%
Q3 - 11:46MILJefferson 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ridnour 5 AST)46
5.5%
66
94.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL46
6.2%
64
93.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)46
6.2%
64
93.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0INDMISS Ford Layup46
7.0%
64
93.0%
Q2 - 0:05.0MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)46
7.5%
64
92.5%
Q2 - 0:12.0MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
6.8%
64
93.2%
Q2 - 0:14.0INDMISS Ford Layup46
7.0%
64
93.0%
Q2 - 0:30.0MILVillanueva 12' Hook Shot (24 PTS) (Sessions 3 AST)46
7.5%
64
92.5%
Q2 - 0:38.0INDMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)46
8.7%
62
91.3%
Q2 - 0:38.0INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)45
8.5%
62
91.5%
Q2 - 0:38.0INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
7.5%
62
92.5%
Q2 - 0:39.0INDMISS Daniels 27' 3PT Jump Shot44
7.0%
62
93.0%
Q2 - 0:56.0MILRidnour Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)44
7.5%
62
92.5%
Q2 - 0:56.0MILRidnour Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)44
7.6%
61
92.4%
Q2 - 1:01INDDaniels Traveling Turnover (P5.T11)44
9.2%
60
90.8%
Q2 - 1:14MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)44
10.0%
60
90.0%
Q2 - 1:14MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)44
10.2%
59
89.8%
Q2 - 1:28MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)44
11.6%
58
88.4%
Q2 - 1:30INDMISS Ford Layup44
11.9%
58
88.1%
Q2 - 1:41MILBogut 8' Hook Shot (6 PTS)44
12.6%
58
87.4%
Q2 - 1:55INDRidnour STEAL (3 STL)44
14.5%
56
85.5%
Q2 - 2:08INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
16.5%
56
83.5%
Q2 - 2:09MILMISS Ridnour 9' Jump Shot44
16.0%
56
84.0%
Q2 - 2:18INDDaniels Traveling Turnover (P4.T9)44
14.8%
56
85.2%
Q2 - 2:19MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)44
16.5%
56
83.5%
Q2 - 2:43INDFord 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS)44
14.8%
56
85.2%
Q2 - 2:58INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
13.2%
56
86.8%
Q2 - 2:59MILMISS Villanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot42
12.8%
56
87.2%
Q2 - 3:17INDFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)42
12.1%
56
87.9%
Q2 - 3:17INDFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)41
12.0%
56
88.0%
Q2 - 3:19MILRedd Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)40
11.1%
56
88.9%
Q2 - 3:23INDJefferson STEAL (2 STL)40
9.7%
56
90.3%
Q2 - 3:40MILVillanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)40
11.0%
56
89.0%
Q2 - 3:46MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
13.5%
53
86.5%
Q2 - 3:47MILMISS Jefferson 15' Jump Shot40
14.7%
53
85.3%
Q2 - 4:06MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
14.0%
53
86.0%
Q2 - 4:07MILMISS Redd 27' 3PT Jump Shot40
15.2%
53
84.8%
Q2 - 4:15INDMbah a Moute STEAL (1 STL)40
14.0%
53
86.0%
Q2 - 4:21MILJefferson Layup (6 PTS)40
15.7%
53
84.3%
Q2 - 4:29MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
17.2%
51
82.8%
Q2 - 4:30INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
17.8%
51
82.2%
Q2 - 4:35INDJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
19.2%
51
80.8%
Q2 - 4:38MILMISS Jefferson Layup40
18.5%
51
81.5%
Q2 - 4:44MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)40
17.2%
51
82.8%
Q2 - 4:45INDMISS Daniels 10' Jump Shot40
17.8%
51
82.2%
Q2 - 4:56MILMbah a Moute Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)40
19.1%
51
80.9%
Q2 - 5:01INDFord 29' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nesterovic 2 AST)40
18.0%
51
82.0%
Q2 - 5:14MILRidnour Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)37
14.7%
51
85.3%
Q2 - 5:14MILRidnour Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)37
14.8%
50
85.2%
Q2 - 5:20MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
16.3%
49
83.7%
Q2 - 5:21INDMISS Nesterovic 18' Jump Shot37
16.7%
49
83.3%
Q2 - 5:35MILBogut Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)37
17.9%
49
82.1%
Q2 - 5:59MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)37
16.2%
49
83.8%
Q2 - 6:00INDMISS Ford Free Throw 2 of 237
16.4%
49
83.6%
Q2 - 6:00INDFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)37
17.7%
49
82.3%
Q2 - 6:03MILVillanueva Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)36
16.9%
49
83.1%
Q2 - 6:10INDDaniels 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Foster 3 AST)36
15.0%
49
85.0%
Q2 - 6:15INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)34
13.9%
49
86.1%
Q2 - 6:16INDMISS Granger 19' Jump Shot34
12.8%
49
87.2%
Q2 - 6:30MILSessions 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
13.8%
49
86.2%
Q2 - 6:44INDFord Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Foster 2 AST)34
15.0%
47
85.0%
Q2 - 6:56INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
13.8%
47
86.2%
Q2 - 6:57MILMISS Jefferson 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
13.3%
47
86.7%
Q2 - 7:07INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)32
12.7%
47
87.3%
Q2 - 7:07INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)31
12.6%
47
87.4%
Q2 - 7:26MILVillanueva 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Sessions 2 AST)30
11.6%
47
88.4%
Q2 - 7:35MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)30
12.7%
45
87.3%
Q2 - 7:39INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
13.1%
45
86.9%
Q2 - 7:45MILBell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)30
14.1%
45
85.9%
Q2 - 7:48INDBell STEAL (1 STL)30
12.7%
45
87.3%
Q2 - 8:17MILVillanueva Layup (17 PTS) (Bell 2 AST)30
14.7%
45
85.3%
Q2 - 8:32INDDaniels 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)30
16.1%
43
83.9%
Q2 - 8:44MILCroshere 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Sessions 1 AST)28
14.6%
43
85.4%
Q2 - 9:07MILBUCKS Rebound28
16.4%
41
83.6%
Q2 - 9:07INDMISS Murphy 19' Jump Shot28
16.8%
41
83.2%
Q2 - 9:23MILVillanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Redd 3 AST)28
17.9%
41
82.1%
Q2 - 9:37INDGranger Layup (6 PTS)28
21.3%
38
78.7%
Q2 - 9:50INDPacers Rebound26
19.5%
38
80.5%
Q2 - 9:51MILMISS Bell 13' Jump Shot26
19.0%
38
81.0%
Q2 - 9:51MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
17.9%
38
82.1%
Q2 - 9:53INDMISS Nesterovic 15' Jump Shot26
18.4%
38
81.6%
Q2 - 9:56INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)26
19.5%
38
80.5%
Q2 - 9:59INDMISS Nesterovic 17' Jump Shot26
18.4%
38
81.6%
Q2 - 10:42MILVillanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)26
20.0%
38
80.0%
Q2 - 10:57INDFoster Layup (7 PTS) (Rush 1 AST)26
23.5%
35
76.5%
Q2 - 11:15INDJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
22.2%
35
77.8%
Q2 - 11:17MILMISS Redd 13' Jump Shot24
21.7%
35
78.3%
Q2 - 11:30MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)24
20.4%
35
79.6%
Q2 - 11:31INDMISS Daniels 8' Jump Shot24
21.0%
35
79.0%
Q2 - 11:47MILCroshere Layup (2 PTS) (Villanueva 1 AST)24
22.2%
35
77.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND24
24.0%
33
76.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound24
24.0%
33
76.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMISS Redd Layup24
25.3%
33
74.7%
Q1 - 0:03.0INDVillanueva BLOCK (1 BLK)24
25.1%
33
74.9%
Q1 - 0:26.0MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
25.6%
33
74.4%
Q1 - 0:26.0INDJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
24.6%
33
75.4%
Q1 - 0:35.0INDDaniels Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)24
24.6%
33
75.4%
Q1 - 0:38.0INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
26.1%
33
73.9%
Q1 - 0:39.0INDMISS Daniels 22' Jump Shot24
25.1%
33
74.9%
Q1 - 0:50.0MILBogut Layup (4 PTS)24
26.1%
33
73.9%
Q1 - 0:58.0INDRush 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)24
28.4%
31
71.6%
Q1 - 1:11MILRedd 5' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)22
26.6%
31
73.4%
Q1 - 1:15MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)22
29.1%
29
70.9%
Q1 - 1:16MILMISS Bogut 9' Jump Shot22
30.1%
29
69.9%
Q1 - 1:28INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)22
29.1%
29
70.9%
Q1 - 1:28INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
24.8%
29
75.2%
Q1 - 1:29INDMISS Jack 13' Jump Shot19
24.0%
29
76.0%
Q1 - 1:40INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
24.8%
29
75.2%
Q1 - 1:41MILMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
24.4%
29
75.6%
Q1 - 1:51INDRidnour STEAL (2 STL)19
23.6%
29
76.4%
Q1 - 2:04MILRedd 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ridnour 4 AST)19
25.4%
29
74.6%
Q1 - 2:17MILBUCKS Rebound19
29.4%
26
70.6%
Q1 - 2:18INDMISS Foster 19' Jump Shot19
29.9%
26
70.1%
Q1 - 2:33MILVillanueva Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)19
31.0%
26
69.0%
Q1 - 2:42MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)19
29.4%
26
70.6%
Q1 - 2:44INDMISS Nesterovic 13' Jump Shot19
29.9%
26
70.1%
Q1 - 3:04MILRedd 28' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)19
31.3%
26
68.7%
Q1 - 3:07MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)19
35.4%
23
64.6%
Q1 - 3:08MILMISS Jefferson 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
36.8%
23
63.2%
Q1 - 3:23INDJack 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
35.4%
23
64.6%
Q1 - 3:43MILJefferson Layup (4 PTS)17
33.3%
23
66.7%
Q1 - 3:44MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
35.4%
21
64.6%
Q1 - 3:45MILMISS Jefferson Alley Oop Layup17
36.8%
21
63.2%
Q1 - 3:52INDJefferson STEAL (1 STL)17
35.4%
21
64.6%
Q1 - 4:10MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)17
37.5%
21
62.5%
Q1 - 4:10MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)17
37.9%
20
62.1%
Q1 - 4:10MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
39.5%
19
60.5%
Q1 - 4:12MILMISS Bogut 6' Jump Shot17
41.1%
19
58.9%
Q1 - 4:26INDGranger 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
39.5%
19
60.5%
Q1 - 4:41MILJefferson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ridnour 3 AST)15
37.5%
19
62.5%
Q1 - 4:53INDFoster 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jack 1 AST)15
39.5%
17
60.5%
Q1 - 5:14MILBogut Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Ridnour 2 AST)13
37.7%
17
62.3%
Q1 - 5:35INDGranger 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)13
39.4%
15
60.6%
Q1 - 5:53MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)11
37.6%
15
62.4%
Q1 - 6:05INDHibbert Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)11
41.5%
12
58.5%
Q1 - 6:24MILVillanueva Layup (7 PTS) (Ridnour 1 AST)11
43.7%
12
56.3%
Q1 - 6:30INDRidnour STEAL (1 STL)11
45.7%
10
54.3%
Q1 - 6:43MILRidnour Layup (5 PTS)11
47.9%
10
52.1%
Q1 - 6:46MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)11
50.0%
8
50.0%
Q1 - 6:49INDMISS Ford Layup11
50.6%
8
49.4%
Q1 - 7:07MILVillanueva 13' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)11
52.1%
8
47.9%
Q1 - 7:25INDHibbert 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)11
54.0%
6
46.0%
Q1 - 7:42MILRidnour 13' Running Jump Shot (3 PTS)9
52.1%
6
47.9%
Q1 - 8:08INDMurphy 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)9
54.0%
4
46.0%
Q1 - 8:33MILVillanueva Layup (3 PTS)7
51.9%
4
48.1%
Q1 - 8:34MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
54.0%
2
46.0%
Q1 - 8:36MILMISS Villanueva 8' Jump Shot7
55.4%
2
44.6%
Q1 - 8:53MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
54.0%
2
46.0%
Q1 - 8:54INDMISS Granger 27' 3PT Jump Shot7
54.6%
2
45.4%
Q1 - 9:10MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)7
55.6%
2
44.4%
Q1 - 9:10MILMISS Villanueva Free Throw 1 of 27
56.0%
1
44.0%
Q1 - 9:19MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
55.8%
1
44.2%
Q1 - 9:20INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot7
56.4%
1
43.6%
Q1 - 9:26INDFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
57.6%
1
42.4%
Q1 - 9:28MILMISS Villanueva 20' Jump Shot7
57.1%
1
42.9%
Q1 - 9:49INDMurphy 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)7
55.8%
1
44.2%
Q1 - 10:03INDPacers Rebound4
51.1%
1
48.9%
Q1 - 10:03MILMISS Redd 27' 3PT Jump Shot4
50.5%
1
49.5%
Q1 - 10:07MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
49.2%
1
50.8%
Q1 - 10:09MILMISS Jefferson 23' Jump Shot4
50.6%
1
49.4%
Q1 - 10:21MILRidnour Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)4
49.2%
1
50.8%
Q1 - 10:30INDMISS Ford 18' Jump Shot4
51.7%
0
48.3%
Q1 - 10:37MILMISS Mbah a Moute 17' Jump Shot4
52.4%
0
47.6%
Q1 - 10:37INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
51.1%
0
48.9%
Q1 - 10:54INDMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
51.1%
0
48.9%
Q1 - 10:54INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
50.8%
0
49.2%
Q1 - 10:58MILBogut Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
49.4%
0
50.6%
Q1 - 11:02MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
46.9%
0
53.1%
Q1 - 11:04INDMISS Hibbert Layup2
47.4%
0
52.6%
Q1 - 11:12INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
48.6%
0
51.4%
Q1 - 11:13MILMISS Bogut 9' Hook Shot2
48.1%
0
51.9%
Q1 - 11:31INDFord 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
46.9%
0
53.1%
Q1 - 11:36INDFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
45.3%
0
54.7%
Q1 - 11:39MILMISS Jefferson Layup0
44.8%
0
55.2%
Q1 - 11:44MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
43.6%
0
56.4%
Q1 - 11:46INDMISS Hibbert Dunk0
44.1%
0
55.9%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Bogut vs. Hibbert: Tip to Ford0
45.3%
0
54.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.05 52.6%
MIL
1.23 61.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
14
27
52%
MIL
18
25
72%
Midrange
IND
17
39
44%
MIL
17
39
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
MIL
8
12.0
20
40%
60%
Free Throws
IND
23
28
82%
MIL
27
30
90%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Ford2771%13.5 / 19
B. Rush1673%8.0 / 11
D. Granger1454%7.0 / 13
J. Foster1464%7.0 / 11
T. Murphy938%4.5 / 12
R. Hibbert857%4.0 / 7
J. Jack857%4.0 / 7
M. Daniels735%3.5 / 10
R. Nesterovic0-0.0 / 4
J. McRoberts0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd2759%13.5 / 23
C. Villanueva2672%13.0 / 18
A. Bogut2077%10.0 / 13
R. Jefferson2050%10.0 / 20
L. Ridnour1381%6.5 / 8
A. Croshere7117%3.5 / 3
R. Sessions6100%3.0 / 3
L. Mbah a Moute233%1.0 / 3
C. Bell0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
84
+15
-17
99
MIL
82
+12
-16
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.05 52.6%
MIL
1.23 61.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
106.3
IND 102.0
MIL 123.5 +21.5
Pace
96.5
93.0
IND 106.6 +12.7
MIL 93.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.5
15.2
IND 13.5 +1.8
MIL 15.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.1%
48.3%
IND 48.2%
MIL 56.0% +7.8%
TO %
14.4%
14.6%
IND 16.6%
MIL 14.1% +2.5%
ORB %
25.5%
27.9%
IND 28.3%
MIL 33.3% +5.0%
FTrt
26.7
30.6
IND 33.7
MIL 35.7 +2.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.1%
59.9%
IND 51.4%
MIL 58.1% +6.7%
STL %
7.2%
7.9%
IND 8.9%
MIL 9.2% +0.3%
BLK %
8.1%
6.5%
IND 3.1%
MIL 7.6% +4.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.2%
51.8%
IND 52.6%
MIL 61.7% +9.1%
Rim FG%
56.5%
55.5%
IND 51.9%
MIL 72.0% +20.1%
Mid FG%
40.6%
40.3%
IND 43.6%
MIL 43.6%
3P %
37.8%
36.3%
IND 35.3%
MIL 40.0% +4.7%
FT %
80.7%
78.0%
IND 82.1%
MIL 90.0% +7.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
33.3%
IND 32.5% +2.8%
MIL 29.8%
Mid Att. %
40.6%
45.9%
IND 47.0%
MIL 46.4% +0.6%
3P Att. %
24.4%
20.8%
IND 20.5%
MIL 23.8% +3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDMIL
Possessions10198
Possession Minutes22.725.1
Points103121
Rebounds3544
Assists1925
Steals99
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)17 (2)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (2)11 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)22 (6)33 (3)
Field Goals37-8343-84
At-the-Rim FG14-2718-25
Midrange FG17-3917-39
2-Point FG31-6635-64
3-Point FG6-178-20
Free Throws23-2827-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'0" 165 · 26
35.2
27
71%
5
6
2
0
2
2
1
4
10-11
91%
7-13
54%
1-1
100%
F · 6'11" 245 · 29
34.2
9
38%
11
2
0
0
1
4
2
9
4-4
100%
1-3
33%
1-7
14%
G · 6'6" 200 · 28
30.0
7
35%
1
2
3
1
5
0
0
1
1-2
50%
3-8
38%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 222 · 26
25.5
14
54%
2
2
0
0
3
5
1
1
2-2
100%
6-9
67%
0-3
0%
C · 7'2" 270 · 22
18.3
8
57%
2
0
0
1
1
3
1
1
0-1
0%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 25
30.8
8
57%
4
1
0
0
1
1
0
4
1-1
100%
2-6
33%
1-1
100%
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23
27.9
16
73%
2
1
2
0
1
3
0
2
4-4
100%
3-7
43%
2-2
100%
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 32
25.7
14
64%
5
3
2
0
2
3
4
1
1-3
33%
5-9
56%
1-1
100%
C · 7'0" 255 · 33
11.6
0
0%
3
2
0
0
1
3
2
1
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-0
-
· 6'10" 240 · 22
1.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27
F · 6'10" 230 · 33
#17 · G-F · 6'9" 230 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · G · 6'3" 188 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · G · 6'1" 175 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
53%
35
19
9
2
17
0
13
22
23-28
82%
31-66
47%
6-17
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.