| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 28 | 28% | 93 | 86 | |
| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAS | 108.9 | 90 | 78.7 |
| MIN | 100.0 | 86 | 100.4 |
Scoring Opportunities
SAS
80
+12
-10
92
MIN
77
+17
-9
94
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
SAS
1.07 53.3%
MIN
0.87 43.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | SAS | MIN |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | SAS | 98 100% | 86 0% | |
| Q4 - 0:04.0 | MIN | Foye Driving Layup (19 PTS) | 98 99.9% | 86 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:12.0 | MIN | Love REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5) | 98 99.9% | 84 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:13.0 | SAS | MISS Mason Jr. 21' Jump Shot | 98 99.9% | 84 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:33.0 | MIN | Jefferson Layup (29 PTS) (Foye 6 AST) | 98 99.9% | 84 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:46.0 | SAS | Udoka 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST) | 98 99.9% | 82 0.1% |
| Q4 - 1:03 | MIN | Love 8' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Gomes 4 AST) | 95 99.9% | 82 0.1% |
| Q4 - 1:24 | SAS | Oberto Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 95 99.9% | 80 0.1% |
| Q4 - 1:24 | SAS | MISS Oberto Free Throw 1 of 2 | 94 99.9% | 80 0.1% |
| Q4 - 1:25 | SAS | Oberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 94 99.9% | 80 0.1% |
| Q4 - 1:26 | SAS | Smith BLOCK (1 BLK) | 94 99.9% | 80 0.1% |
| Q4 - 1:47 | MIN | Jefferson Driving Layup (27 PTS) | 94 99.9% | 80 0.1% |
| Q4 - 2:01 | SAS | Parker Layup (17 PTS) | 94 99.9% | 78 0.1% |
| Q4 - 2:22 | MIN | Foye Driving Layup (17 PTS) | 92 99.9% | 78 0.1% |
| Q4 - 2:38 | SAS | Parker 19' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS) | 92 99.9% | 76 0.1% |
| Q4 - 2:56 | SAS | Hill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 90 99.9% | 76 0.1% |
| Q4 - 2:58 | SAS | MISS Duncan 20' Jump Shot | 90 99.9% | 76 0.1% |
| Q4 - 3:19 | MIN | Smith 5' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Foye 5 AST) | 90 99.9% | 76 0.1% |
| Q4 - 3:39 | SAS | Duncan 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Parker 9 AST) | 90 99.8% | 74 0.2% |
| Q4 - 4:01 | MIN | Foye 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST) | 88 99.8% | 74 0.2% |
| Q4 - 4:20 | SAS | Hill 9' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 88 99.9% | 71 0.1% |
| Q4 - 4:38 | MIN | Jefferson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9) | 86 99.9% | 71 0.1% |
| Q4 - 4:38 | MIN | Jefferson Tip Shot (25 PTS) | 86 99.9% | 71 0.1% |
| Q4 - 4:40 | MIN | MISS Foye 7' Running Jump Shot | 86 99.9% | 69 0.1% |
| Q4 - 4:54 | SAS | Parker Driving Reverse Layup (13 PTS) | 86 99.9% | 69 0.1% |
| Q4 - 4:58 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10) | 84 99.9% | 69 0.1% |
| Q4 - 5:00 | MIN | MISS Jefferson Layup | 84 99.9% | 69 0.1% |
| Q4 - 5:15 | SAS | Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS) | 84 99.6% | 69 0.4% |
| Q4 - 5:15 | SAS | Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS) | 83 99.6% | 69 0.4% |
| Q4 - 5:17 | SAS | Ginobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 82 99.4% | 69 0.6% |
| Q4 - 5:18 | SAS | MISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 2 | 82 99.3% | 69 0.7% |
| Q4 - 5:18 | SAS | Duncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS) | 82 99.4% | 69 0.6% |
| Q4 - 5:26 | SAS | Ginobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 81 99.2% | 69 0.8% |
| Q4 - 5:27 | MIN | MISS Jefferson 9' Jump Shot | 81 99.1% | 69 0.9% |
| Q4 - 5:44 | SAS | Parker 8' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 81 98.9% | 69 1.1% |
| Q4 - 6:02 | MIN | Jefferson Layup (23 PTS) (Gomes 3 AST) | 79 98.0% | 69 2.0% |
| Q4 - 6:18 | SAS | Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 8 AST) | 79 98.5% | 67 1.5% |
| Q4 - 6:30 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9) | 76 97.3% | 67 2.7% |
| Q4 - 6:30 | MIN | MISS Love Free Throw 2 of 2 | 76 97.2% | 67 2.8% |
| Q4 - 6:30 | MIN | MISS Love Free Throw 1 of 2 | 76 96.7% | 67 3.3% |
| Q4 - 6:30 | MIN | TIMBERWOLVES Rebound | 76 96.4% | 67 3.6% |
| Q4 - 6:31 | SAS | MISS Parker 16' Jump Shot | 76 96.7% | 67 3.3% |
| Q4 - 6:45 | MIN | Foye 8' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS) | 76 97.4% | 67 2.6% |
| Q4 - 6:57 | MIN | Jefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9) | 76 98.0% | 65 2.0% |
| Q4 - 6:58 | SAS | MISS Ginobili 21' Jump Shot | 76 98.2% | 65 1.8% |
| Q4 - 7:13 | MIN | Miller Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 76 98.2% | 65 1.8% |
| Q4 - 7:13 | MIN | MISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 2 | 76 98.3% | 64 1.7% |
| Q4 - 7:21 | MIN | Jefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8) | 76 98.1% | 64 1.9% |
| Q4 - 7:23 | SAS | MISS Ginobili 6' Jump Shot | 76 98.3% | 64 1.7% |
| Q4 - 7:42 | MIN | Foye Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9) | 76 98.6% | 64 1.4% |
| Q4 - 7:48 | MIN | Foye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 76 98.2% | 64 1.8% |
| Q4 - 7:50 | SAS | MISS Thomas Layup | 76 98.3% | 64 1.7% |
| Q4 - 7:53 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8) | 76 98.6% | 64 1.4% |
| Q4 - 7:55 | SAS | MISS Parker 14' Jump Shot | 76 98.3% | 64 1.7% |
| Q4 - 8:11 | SAS | Mason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 76 98.3% | 64 1.7% |
| Q4 - 8:13 | MIN | MISS McCants Layup | 76 98.1% | 64 1.9% |
| Q4 - 8:17 | SAS | Foye STEAL (2 STL) | 76 97.8% | 64 2.2% |
| Q4 - 8:32 | MIN | Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS) | 76 98.3% | 64 1.7% |
| Q4 - 8:32 | MIN | Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS) | 76 98.4% | 63 1.6% |
| Q4 - 8:46 | MIN | TIMBERWOLVES Rebound | 76 98.7% | 62 1.3% |
| Q4 - 8:47 | SAS | MISS Parker 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 76 98.8% | 62 1.2% |
| Q4 - 9:12 | MIN | Jefferson 7' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Miller 2 AST) | 76 98.7% | 62 1.3% |
| Q4 - 9:36 | SAS | Finley Layup (12 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST) | 76 99.0% | 60 1.0% |
| Q4 - 9:40 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8) | 74 98.7% | 60 1.3% |
| Q4 - 9:41 | MIN | MISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 | 74 98.6% | 60 1.4% |
| Q4 - 9:41 | MIN | Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS) | 74 98.4% | 60 1.6% |
| Q4 - 9:57 | SAS | Parker Driving Layup (9 PTS) | 74 98.7% | 59 1.3% |
| Q4 - 10:03 | SAS | Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 72 98.0% | 59 2.0% |
| Q4 - 10:04 | MIN | MISS McCants Layup | 72 97.9% | 59 2.1% |
| Q4 - 10:29 | SAS | Parker Driving Layup (7 PTS) | 72 97.5% | 59 2.5% |
| Q4 - 10:44 | SAS | Finley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 70 96.9% | 59 3.1% |
| Q4 - 10:44 | MIN | MISS Gomes Free Throw 2 of 2 | 70 96.8% | 59 3.2% |
| Q4 - 10:44 | MIN | MISS Gomes Free Throw 1 of 2 | 70 96.3% | 59 3.7% |
| Q4 - 10:45 | MIN | Gomes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 70 96.2% | 59 3.8% |
| Q4 - 10:46 | MIN | MISS Gomes Layup | 70 96.7% | 59 3.3% |
| Q4 - 10:59 | SAS | Parker Driving Layup (5 PTS) | 70 96.2% | 59 3.8% |
| Q4 - 11:15 | MIN | Gomes Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 68 94.7% | 59 5.3% |
| Q4 - 11:15 | MIN | Gomes Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 68 94.9% | 58 5.1% |
| Q4 - 11:30 | SAS | Parker Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 68 95.7% | 57 4.3% |
| Q4 - 11:30 | SAS | Parker Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS) | 67 95.5% | 57 4.5% |
| Q4 - 11:35 | SAS | Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 66 94.7% | 57 5.3% |
| Q4 - 11:36 | MIN | MISS McCants 9' Jump Shot | 66 94.4% | 57 5.6% |
| Q4 - 11:50 | SAS | Thomas Foul Turnover (P1.T10) | 66 93.6% | 57 6.4% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIN | 66 94.7% | 57 5.3% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIN | TIMBERWOLVES Rebound | 66 93.6% | 57 6.4% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIN | MISS McCants 17' Jump Shot | 66 94.4% | 57 5.6% |
| Q3 - 0:03.0 | SAS | Spurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9) | 66 93.0% | 57 7.0% |
| Q3 - 0:25.0 | SAS | Finley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 66 94.1% | 57 5.9% |
| Q3 - 0:27.0 | MIN | MISS Love Layup | 66 93.8% | 57 6.2% |
| Q3 - 0:30.0 | MIN | Love REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4) | 66 93.1% | 57 6.9% |
| Q3 - 0:32.0 | MIN | MISS Telfair 15' Jump Shot | 66 93.8% | 57 6.2% |
| Q3 - 0:49.0 | SAS | Finley 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hill 1 AST) | 66 93.1% | 57 6.9% |
| Q3 - 1:05 | SAS | Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 63 89.2% | 57 10.8% |
| Q3 - 1:06 | MIN | MISS McCants 19' Pullup Jump Shot | 63 88.7% | 57 11.3% |
| Q3 - 1:20 | SAS | Hill Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 63 87.4% | 57 12.6% |
| Q3 - 1:20 | SAS | Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 62 86.9% | 57 13.1% |
| Q3 - 1:20 | MIN | Carney Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8) | 61 84.8% | 57 15.2% |
| Q3 - 1:21 | MIN | TIMBERWOLVES Rebound | 61 82.4% | 57 17.6% |
| Q3 - 1:21 | MIN | MISS Foye Layup | 61 84.1% | 57 15.9% |
| Q3 - 1:37 | MIN | Love REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4) | 61 82.4% | 57 17.6% |
| Q3 - 1:38 | SAS | MISS Thomas 18' Jump Shot | 61 83.2% | 57 16.8% |
| Q3 - 1:52 | MIN | Foye Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 61 84.8% | 57 15.2% |
| Q3 - 1:52 | MIN | Foye Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 61 85.2% | 56 14.8% |
| Q3 - 2:16 | SAS | Duncan 8' Jump Shot (14 PTS) | 61 86.9% | 55 13.1% |
| Q3 - 2:32 | SAS | Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 59 84.6% | 55 15.4% |
| Q3 - 2:33 | SAS | MISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 2 | 59 82.4% | 55 17.6% |
| Q3 - 2:33 | SAS | MISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 2 | 59 84.0% | 55 16.0% |
| Q3 - 2:42 | MIN | Foye Driving Layup (8 PTS) | 59 84.6% | 55 15.4% |
| Q3 - 2:53 | SAS | Ginobili 5' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS) | 59 86.9% | 53 13.1% |
| Q3 - 3:09 | MIN | Foye Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 57 84.9% | 53 15.1% |
| Q3 - 3:09 | MIN | Foye Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 57 85.2% | 52 14.8% |
| Q3 - 3:19 | SAS | Thomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 57 87.0% | 51 13.0% |
| Q3 - 3:19 | SAS | Thomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 56 86.5% | 51 13.5% |
| Q3 - 3:37 | MIN | Gomes 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 55 84.9% | 51 15.1% |
| Q3 - 3:56 | SAS | Ginobili 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST) | 55 86.9% | 49 13.1% |
| Q3 - 4:09 | MIN | Smith Foul Turnover (P4.T7) | 53 84.7% | 49 15.3% |
| Q3 - 4:15 | MIN | Gomes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 53 81.9% | 49 18.1% |
| Q3 - 4:16 | SAS | MISS Duncan 3' Jump Shot | 53 82.8% | 49 17.2% |
| Q3 - 4:34 | MIN | Jefferson 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Gomes 2 AST) | 53 84.7% | 49 15.3% |
| Q3 - 4:48 | SAS | Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 53 86.5% | 47 13.5% |
| Q3 - 4:48 | SAS | MISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 2 | 52 86.3% | 47 13.7% |
| Q3 - 5:03 | SAS | Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 52 86.3% | 47 13.7% |
| Q3 - 5:04 | MIN | Miller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 52 84.0% | 47 16.0% |
| Q3 - 5:04 | MIN | MISS Miller Tip Shot | 52 85.6% | 47 14.4% |
| Q3 - 5:05 | MIN | MISS Smith Layup | 52 85.6% | 47 14.4% |
| Q3 - 5:18 | SAS | Ginobili 21' Step Back Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 52 84.0% | 47 16.0% |
| Q3 - 5:32 | SAS | Bonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 50 81.9% | 47 18.1% |
| Q3 - 5:34 | SAS | MISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot | 50 79.9% | 47 20.1% |
| Q3 - 5:41 | SAS | Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 50 81.9% | 47 18.1% |
| Q3 - 5:43 | MIN | MISS Gomes 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 50 81.1% | 47 18.9% |
| Q3 - 5:56 | MIN | Jefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7) | 50 78.9% | 47 21.1% |
| Q3 - 5:57 | SAS | MISS Ginobili 8' Running Jump Shot | 50 79.9% | 47 20.1% |
| Q3 - 6:16 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 50 81.9% | 47 18.1% |
| Q3 - 6:18 | SAS | MISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 2 | 50 79.6% | 47 20.4% |
| Q3 - 6:18 | SAS | Parker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 50 81.2% | 47 18.8% |
| Q3 - 6:27 | SAS | Spurs Rebound | 49 79.4% | 47 20.6% |
| Q3 - 6:28 | MIN | MISS Smith 8' Jump Shot | 49 78.5% | 47 21.5% |
| Q3 - 6:45 | MIN | Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 49 76.4% | 47 23.6% |
| Q3 - 6:46 | SAS | MISS Parker 5' Floating Jump Shot | 49 77.4% | 47 22.6% |
| Q3 - 7:03 | MIN | Smith 7' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Foye 4 AST) | 49 79.1% | 47 20.9% |
| Q3 - 7:14 | MIN | Jefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6) | 49 81.4% | 45 18.6% |
| Q3 - 7:16 | SAS | MISS Finley 18' Jump Shot | 49 82.2% | 45 17.8% |
| Q3 - 7:29 | SAS | Spurs Rebound | 49 83.8% | 45 16.2% |
| Q3 - 7:30 | MIN | Jefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 49 81.4% | 45 18.6% |
| Q3 - 7:30 | MIN | MISS Jefferson Tip Shot | 49 83.1% | 45 16.9% |
| Q3 - 7:31 | MIN | MISS Foye Driving Layup | 49 83.1% | 45 16.9% |
| Q3 - 7:46 | SAS | Duncan 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 7 AST) | 49 81.5% | 45 18.5% |
| Q3 - 8:06 | SAS | Bonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 47 79.0% | 45 21.0% |
| Q3 - 8:08 | MIN | MISS Miller 18' Jump Shot | 47 78.2% | 45 21.8% |
| Q3 - 8:23 | SAS | Finley 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 6 AST) | 47 76.2% | 45 23.8% |
| Q3 - 8:32 | MIN | Smith 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T6) | 45 73.6% | 45 26.4% |
| Q3 - 8:52 | SAS | Duncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 45 70.3% | 45 29.7% |
| Q3 - 8:52 | SAS | Duncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 44 69.4% | 45 30.6% |
| Q3 - 9:11 | MIN | Jefferson Dunk (14 PTS) (Smith 2 AST) | 43 67.7% | 45 32.3% |
| Q3 - 9:23 | MIN | Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 43 70.8% | 43 29.2% |
| Q3 - 9:24 | SAS | MISS Parker 6' Jump Shot | 43 71.7% | 43 28.3% |
| Q3 - 9:30 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 43 73.8% | 43 26.2% |
| Q3 - 9:32 | MIN | MISS Smith Layup | 43 72.9% | 43 27.1% |
| Q3 - 9:41 | MIN | Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 43 70.7% | 43 29.3% |
| Q3 - 9:42 | SAS | MISS Mason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 43 71.7% | 43 28.3% |
| Q3 - 9:59 | SAS | Mason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 43 73.8% | 43 26.2% |
| Q3 - 10:00 | MIN | MISS Jefferson 19' Jump Shot | 43 72.9% | 43 27.1% |
| Q3 - 10:09 | MIN | Gomes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 43 71.2% | 43 28.8% |
| Q3 - 10:10 | SAS | MISS Finley 14' Jump Shot | 43 72.1% | 43 27.9% |
| Q3 - 10:22 | SAS | Finley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 43 74.0% | 43 26.0% |
| Q3 - 10:23 | MIN | MISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 43 73.2% | 43 26.8% |
| Q3 - 10:40 | SAS | Duncan 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 5 AST) | 43 71.2% | 43 28.8% |
| Q3 - 10:56 | MIN | Jump Ball Miller vs. Duncan: Tip to Bonner | 41 68.2% | 43 31.8% |
| Q3 - 10:59 | MIN | MISS Foye Driving Layup | 41 67.2% | 43 32.8% |
| Q3 - 11:03 | SAS | Foye STEAL (1 STL) | 41 65.9% | 43 34.1% |
| Q3 - 11:16 | MIN | Smith Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5) | 41 69.1% | 43 30.9% |
| Q3 - 11:29 | MIN | Jefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 41 65.8% | 43 34.2% |
| Q3 - 11:30 | SAS | MISS Mason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 41 66.8% | 43 33.2% |
| Q3 - 11:46 | MIN | Miller Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Foye 3 AST) | 41 69.0% | 43 31.0% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIN | 41 71.7% | 41 28.3% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIN | Love REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3) | 41 71.7% | 41 28.3% |
| Q2 - 0:01.0 | SAS | MISS Ginobili 12' Jump Shot | 41 73.2% | 41 26.8% |
| Q2 - 0:06.0 | MIN | Foye 13' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 41 74.5% | 41 25.5% |
| Q2 - 0:28.0 | MIN | Jefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 41 77.6% | 39 22.4% |
| Q2 - 0:29.0 | SAS | MISS Parker 19' Jump Shot | 41 78.1% | 39 21.9% |
| Q2 - 0:36.0 | SAS | Ginobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 41 79.3% | 39 20.7% |
| Q2 - 0:38.0 | SAS | MISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 41 78.1% | 39 21.9% |
| Q2 - 0:54.0 | MIN | Gomes 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS) | 41 79.3% | 39 20.7% |
| Q2 - 1:07 | SAS | Gomes STEAL (2 STL) | 41 82.0% | 37 18.0% |
| Q2 - 1:16 | SAS | Finley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 41 83.4% | 37 16.6% |
| Q2 - 1:18 | MIN | Love REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2) | 41 82.0% | 37 18.0% |
| Q2 - 1:18 | MIN | MISS Love Tip Shot | 41 83.0% | 37 17.0% |
| Q2 - 1:20 | MIN | MISS Foye 20' Jump Shot | 41 83.0% | 37 17.0% |
| Q2 - 1:54 | SAS | Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bonner 3 AST) | 41 82.0% | 37 18.0% |
| Q2 - 2:08 | MIN | Love Layup (2 PTS) | 38 77.8% | 37 22.2% |
| Q2 - 2:10 | MIN | Love REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 38 79.8% | 35 20.2% |
| Q2 - 2:11 | MIN | MISS Jefferson Layup | 38 81.3% | 35 18.7% |
| Q2 - 2:12 | MIN | Jefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 38 79.8% | 35 20.2% |
| Q2 - 2:14 | MIN | MISS McCants Layup | 38 81.3% | 35 18.7% |
| Q2 - 2:18 | MIN | Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 38 79.8% | 35 20.2% |
| Q2 - 2:19 | MIN | MISS Miller 20' Jump Shot | 38 81.3% | 35 18.7% |
| Q2 - 2:37 | MIN | Love REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 38 79.8% | 35 20.2% |
| Q2 - 2:38 | SAS | MISS Ginobili 18' Jump Shot | 38 80.5% | 35 19.5% |
| Q2 - 2:51 | MIN | Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS) | 38 81.8% | 35 18.2% |
| Q2 - 3:06 | SAS | Bonner 23' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 4 AST) | 38 85.3% | 32 14.7% |
| Q2 - 3:30 | MIN | McCants Slam Dunk (7 PTS) | 36 83.9% | 32 16.1% |
| Q2 - 3:37 | MIN | Love REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 36 85.3% | 30 14.7% |
| Q2 - 3:39 | SAS | Jefferson BLOCK (1 BLK) | 36 85.8% | 30 14.2% |
| Q2 - 3:48 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 36 87.0% | 30 13.0% |
| Q2 - 3:50 | SAS | MISS Duncan 7' Running Hook Shot | 36 85.8% | 30 14.2% |
| Q2 - 4:05 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 36 86.9% | 30 13.1% |
| Q2 - 4:07 | MIN | MISS Love 17' Jump Shot | 36 86.4% | 30 13.6% |
| Q2 - 4:20 | SAS | Duncan Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6) | 36 85.3% | 30 14.7% |
| Q2 - 4:24 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 36 86.9% | 30 13.1% |
| Q2 - 4:26 | MIN | MISS McCants Layup | 36 86.4% | 30 13.6% |
| Q2 - 4:47 | SAS | Bonner 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 3 AST) | 36 85.3% | 30 14.7% |
| Q2 - 5:06 | SAS | Finley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 34 83.9% | 30 16.1% |
| Q2 - 5:07 | MIN | MISS Love 4' Jump Bank Shot | 34 83.4% | 30 16.6% |
| Q2 - 5:09 | MIN | Love REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 34 82.3% | 30 17.7% |
| Q2 - 5:10 | MIN | MISS Jefferson 8' Jump Shot | 34 83.4% | 30 16.6% |
| Q2 - 5:30 | SAS | Duncan Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Mason Jr. 2 AST) | 34 82.3% | 30 17.7% |
| Q2 - 5:47 | MIN | Jefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 32 80.4% | 30 19.6% |
| Q2 - 5:47 | MIN | Jefferson Tip Shot (9 PTS) | 32 80.4% | 30 19.6% |
| Q2 - 5:49 | MIN | MISS Jefferson Layup | 32 83.4% | 28 16.6% |
| Q2 - 6:07 | SAS | Mason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bonner 2 AST) | 32 81.8% | 28 18.2% |
| Q2 - 6:32 | MIN | Telfair 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 29 78.4% | 28 21.6% |
| Q2 - 6:56 | SAS | Finley 19' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST) | 29 80.0% | 26 20.0% |
| Q2 - 7:15 | SAS | Finley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 27 78.6% | 26 21.4% |
| Q2 - 7:17 | MIN | MISS McCants Driving Layup | 27 78.0% | 26 22.0% |
| Q2 - 7:26 | MIN | TIMBERWOLVES Rebound | 27 76.6% | 26 23.4% |
| Q2 - 7:27 | MIN | MISS Jefferson 8' Jump Hook Shot | 27 78.0% | 26 22.0% |
| Q2 - 7:49 | SAS | Duncan 6' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST) | 27 76.5% | 26 23.5% |
| Q2 - 7:57 | SAS | Spurs Rebound | 25 74.5% | 26 25.5% |
| Q2 - 7:58 | SAS | MISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 25 72.9% | 26 27.1% |
| Q2 - 8:09 | SAS | Ginobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 25 74.7% | 26 25.3% |
| Q2 - 8:10 | MIN | MISS Telfair 14' Jump Shot | 25 74.0% | 26 26.0% |
| Q2 - 8:26 | SAS | Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST) | 25 72.6% | 26 27.4% |
| Q2 - 8:46 | SAS | Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 22 67.9% | 26 32.1% |
| Q2 - 8:48 | MIN | MISS Carney 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 22 67.2% | 26 32.8% |
| Q2 - 9:03 | MIN | Love REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 22 65.7% | 26 34.3% |
| Q2 - 9:04 | MIN | MISS McCants 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 22 67.4% | 26 32.6% |
| Q2 - 9:14 | SAS | Love STEAL (1 STL) | 22 65.7% | 26 34.3% |
| Q2 - 9:39 | MIN | McCants 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Carney 1 AST) | 22 68.1% | 26 31.9% |
| Q2 - 9:47 | MIN | Carney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 22 72.5% | 23 27.5% |
| Q2 - 9:48 | SAS | MISS Ginobili 14' Running Jump Shot | 22 73.2% | 23 26.8% |
| Q2 - 10:12 | MIN | Smith Driving Layup (8 PTS) | 22 74.7% | 23 25.3% |
| Q2 - 10:16 | MIN | Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 22 76.6% | 21 23.4% |
| Q2 - 10:18 | SAS | MISS Ginobili Layup | 22 77.2% | 21 22.8% |
| Q2 - 10:30 | SAS | Oberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 22 78.5% | 21 21.5% |
| Q2 - 10:31 | SAS | MISS Hill 21' Jump Shot | 22 77.2% | 21 22.8% |
| Q2 - 10:45 | MIN | McCants 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 22 78.5% | 21 21.5% |
| Q2 - 11:03 | MIN | McCants REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 22 79.9% | 19 20.1% |
| Q2 - 11:04 | SAS | MISS Hill Layup | 22 80.4% | 19 19.6% |
| Q2 - 11:09 | MIN | McCants Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4) | 22 81.5% | 19 18.5% |
| Q2 - 11:26 | SAS | Hill 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST) | 22 79.9% | 19 20.1% |
| Q2 - 11:42 | SAS | Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 19 76.4% | 19 23.6% |
| Q2 - 11:43 | MIN | MISS Love 21' Jump Shot | 19 75.9% | 19 24.1% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIN | 19 74.5% | 19 25.5% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | SAS | Thomas 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Oberto 2 AST) | 19 74.5% | 19 25.5% |
| Q1 - 0:18.0 | SAS | Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 17 72.5% | 19 27.5% |
| Q1 - 0:20.0 | MIN | MISS Love Layup | 17 72.0% | 19 28.0% |
| Q1 - 0:32.0 | SAS | Thomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 17 70.9% | 19 29.1% |
| Q1 - 0:32.0 | SAS | Thomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 16 70.5% | 19 29.5% |
| Q1 - 0:32.0 | SAS | Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 15 68.4% | 19 31.6% |
| Q1 - 0:33.0 | SAS | MISS Oberto 5' Jump Hook Shot | 15 67.2% | 19 32.8% |
| Q1 - 0:46.0 | SAS | Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 15 68.4% | 19 31.6% |
| Q1 - 0:48.0 | MIN | MISS Foye Layup | 15 67.9% | 19 32.1% |
| Q1 - 1:04 | SAS | Hill Layup (2 PTS) (Oberto 1 AST) | 15 67.5% | 19 32.5% |
| Q1 - 1:15 | MIN | Jefferson 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Foye 1 AST) | 13 64.7% | 19 35.3% |
| Q1 - 1:26 | MIN | Gomes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 13 67.5% | 17 32.5% |
| Q1 - 1:28 | SAS | MISS Thomas 17' Jump Shot | 13 67.9% | 17 32.1% |
| Q1 - 1:38 | SAS | Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 13 68.9% | 17 31.1% |
| Q1 - 1:40 | MIN | MISS McCants 15' Jump Shot | 13 68.5% | 17 31.5% |
| Q1 - 1:52 | MIN | Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 13 67.5% | 17 32.5% |
| Q1 - 1:53 | SAS | MISS Ginobili 19' Running Jump Shot | 13 67.9% | 17 32.1% |
| Q1 - 2:05 | MIN | Smith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3) | 13 69.3% | 17 30.7% |
| Q1 - 2:25 | SAS | Ginobili 19' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 13 67.7% | 17 32.3% |
| Q1 - 2:40 | MIN | Smith 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gomes 1 AST) | 11 65.3% | 17 34.7% |
| Q1 - 2:42 | MIN | TIMBERWOLVES Rebound | 11 67.7% | 15 32.3% |
| Q1 - 2:43 | MIN | MISS Smith Layup | 11 68.8% | 15 31.2% |
| Q1 - 3:05 | SAS | Ginobili 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 11 68.1% | 15 31.9% |
| Q1 - 3:15 | SAS | Oberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 9 66.1% | 15 33.9% |
| Q1 - 3:16 | MIN | MISS Foye 23' Jump Shot | 9 65.4% | 15 34.6% |
| Q1 - 3:37 | SAS | Miller STEAL (1 STL) | 9 64.0% | 15 36.0% |
| Q1 - 3:41 | MIN | Foye Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 9 66.0% | 15 34.0% |
| Q1 - 3:51 | MIN | Foye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 9 63.9% | 15 36.1% |
| Q1 - 3:53 | SAS | MISS Duncan 13' Turnaround Jump Shot | 9 64.6% | 15 35.4% |
| Q1 - 4:10 | MIN | Jefferson Driving Layup (5 PTS) | 9 66.5% | 15 33.5% |
| Q1 - 4:24 | MIN | Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 9 68.4% | 13 31.6% |
| Q1 - 4:26 | SAS | MISS Ginobili 32' 3PT Jump Shot | 9 69.0% | 13 31.0% |
| Q1 - 4:57 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 9 70.4% | 13 29.6% |
| Q1 - 4:58 | MIN | MISS Gomes 7' Jump Shot | 9 69.8% | 13 30.2% |
| Q1 - 5:04 | SAS | Gomes STEAL (1 STL) | 9 68.1% | 13 31.9% |
| Q1 - 5:17 | MIN | Gomes 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 9 70.2% | 13 29.8% |
| Q1 - 5:21 | MIN | Gomes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 9 71.7% | 11 28.3% |
| Q1 - 5:22 | MIN | MISS Smith 6' Jump Shot | 9 73.1% | 11 26.9% |
| Q1 - 5:37 | MIN | Jefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 9 71.7% | 11 28.3% |
| Q1 - 5:38 | SAS | MISS Parker Driving Reverse Layup | 9 72.3% | 11 27.7% |
| Q1 - 5:53 | MIN | Gomes 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST) | 9 73.7% | 11 26.3% |
| Q1 - 6:06 | MIN | Jefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 9 75.6% | 9 24.4% |
| Q1 - 6:07 | SAS | MISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 9 76.1% | 9 23.9% |
| Q1 - 6:28 | MIN | Smith Driving Layup (4 PTS) | 9 77.1% | 9 22.9% |
| Q1 - 6:41 | MIN | Gomes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 9 78.5% | 7 21.5% |
| Q1 - 6:42 | SAS | MISS Bonner 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 9 79.0% | 7 21.0% |
| Q1 - 6:57 | MIN | Jefferson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1) | 9 80.0% | 7 20.0% |
| Q1 - 7:12 | SAS | Mason Jr. Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2) | 9 78.7% | 7 21.3% |
| Q1 - 7:30 | SAS | Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 9 80.2% | 7 19.8% |
| Q1 - 7:31 | MIN | MISS Jefferson 14' Jump Shot | 9 79.8% | 7 20.2% |
| Q1 - 7:49 | SAS | Mason Jr. 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Finley 1 AST) | 9 78.7% | 7 21.3% |
| Q1 - 8:16 | MIN | Foye Running Layup (2 PTS) | 7 77.6% | 7 22.4% |
| Q1 - 8:22 | MIN | Jefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 7 79.0% | 5 21.0% |
| Q1 - 8:24 | SAS | MISS Mason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 7 79.4% | 5 20.6% |
| Q1 - 8:37 | SAS | Bonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 7 80.4% | 5 19.6% |
| Q1 - 8:38 | MIN | MISS Gomes 18' Jump Shot | 7 80.0% | 5 20.0% |
| Q1 - 8:47 | MIN | Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 7 79.0% | 5 21.0% |
| Q1 - 8:48 | SAS | MISS Duncan 11' Jump Shot | 7 79.4% | 5 20.6% |
| Q1 - 9:02 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 7 80.6% | 5 19.4% |
| Q1 - 9:03 | MIN | MISS Jefferson Layup | 7 80.3% | 5 19.7% |
| Q1 - 9:24 | SAS | Bonner 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 2 AST) | 7 79.4% | 5 20.6% |
| Q1 - 9:34 | SAS | Bonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 76.6% | 5 23.4% |
| Q1 - 9:35 | MIN | MISS Jefferson 17' Jump Shot | 4 76.2% | 5 23.8% |
| Q1 - 9:46 | MIN | Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 75.2% | 5 24.8% |
| Q1 - 9:48 | SAS | MISS Duncan 14' Turnaround Jump Shot | 4 75.6% | 5 24.4% |
| Q1 - 10:12 | MIN | Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS) | 4 76.9% | 5 23.1% |
| Q1 - 10:13 | SAS | Jefferson STEAL (1 STL) | 4 79.3% | 2 20.7% |
| Q1 - 10:14 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 80.5% | 2 19.5% |
| Q1 - 10:15 | MIN | MISS Jefferson 6' Jump Shot | 4 80.2% | 2 19.8% |
| Q1 - 10:32 | SAS | Bonner 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST) | 4 79.3% | 2 20.7% |
| Q1 - 10:51 | MIN | Smith Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST) | 2 78.1% | 2 21.9% |
| Q1 - 11:01 | MIN | Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 79.3% | 0 20.7% |
| Q1 - 11:02 | SAS | MISS Parker 17' Pullup Jump Shot | 2 79.7% | 0 20.3% |
| Q1 - 11:23 | SAS | Finley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 80.4% | 0 19.6% |
| Q1 - 11:24 | MIN | MISS Gomes 9' Turnaround Jump Shot | 2 80.1% | 0 19.9% |
| Q1 - 11:42 | SAS | Duncan 16' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) | 2 79.3% | 0 20.7% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | MIN | Jump Ball Jefferson vs. Duncan: Tip to Bonner | 0 78.2% | 0 21.8% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
SAS
1.07 53.3%
MIN
0.87 43.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
9
17
53%
MIN
21
44
48%
Midrange
SAS
20
44
45%
MIN
13
38
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
8
12.0
18
44%
67%
MIN
2
3.0
6
33%
50%
Free Throws
SAS
16
22
73%
MIN
12
18
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Spurs| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Parker | 17 | 50% | 8.5 / 17 | |
| T. Duncan | 17 | 53% | 8.5 / 16 | |
| M. Ginobili | 16 | 42% | 8.0 / 19 | |
| M. Bonner | 12 | 86% | 6.0 / 7 | |
| M. Finley | 12 | 67% | 6.0 / 9 | |
| G. Hill | 9 | 75% | 4.5 / 6 | |
| K. Thomas | 6 | 50% | 3.0 / 6 | |
| R. Mason Jr. | 5 | 42% | 2.5 / 6 | |
| I. Udoka | 3 | 150% | 1.5 / 1 | |
| F. Oberto | 1 | 25% | 0.5 / 2 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Timberwolves| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Jefferson | 29 | 58% | 14.5 / 25 | |
| R. Foye | 19 | 59% | 9.5 / 16 | |
| C. Smith | 12 | 55% | 6.0 / 11 | |
| R. Gomes | 10 | 45% | 5.0 / 11 | |
| R. McCants | 7 | 27% | 3.5 / 13 | |
| K. Love | 4 | 22% | 2.0 / 9 | |
| M. Miller | 3 | 25% | 1.5 / 6 | |
| S. Telfair | 2 | 33% | 1.0 / 3 | |
| R. Carney | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
SAS
80
+12
-10
92
MIN
77
+17
-9
94
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
SAS
1.07 53.3%
MIN
0.87 43.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 108.3 105.6 | SAS 108.9 +8.9 MIN 100.0 |
| Pace | 88.7 92.1 | SAS 78.7 MIN 100.4 +21.6 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 16.5 15.6 | SAS 18.3 MIN 14.3 +3.9 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 51.3% 48.1% | SAS 51.9% +9.9% MIN 42.0% |
| TO % | 12.4% 14.6% | SAS 11.0% MIN 8.6% +2.4% |
| ORB % | 22.2% 27.8% | SAS 26.2% MIN 26.5% +0.3% |
| FTrt | 25.1 28.9 | SAS 27.8 +7.3 MIN 20.5 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 57.1% 56.1% | SAS 62.2% +17.8% MIN 44.4% |
| STL % | 6.5% 6.7% | SAS 5.6% MIN 8.1% +2.5% |
| BLK % | 6.1% 6.3% | SAS 14.6% +11.3% MIN 3.3% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 53.4% 51.1% | SAS 53.3% +9.9% MIN 43.4% |
| Rim FG% | 58.8% 55.6% | SAS 52.9% +5.2% MIN 47.7% |
| Mid FG% | 42.7% 38.6% | SAS 45.5% +11.3% MIN 34.2% |
| 3P % | 38.6% 35.3% | SAS 44.4% +11.1% MIN 33.3% |
| FT % | 76.2% 76.9% | SAS 72.7% +6.0% MIN 66.7% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 30.3% 36.9% | SAS 21.5% MIN 50.0% +28.5% |
| Mid Att. % | 44.9% 40.3% | SAS 55.7% MIN 43.2% +12.5% |
| 3P Att. % | 24.8% 22.7% | SAS 22.8% +16.0% MIN 6.8% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
| Game Totals | SAS | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 90 | 86 |
| Possession Minutes | 27.4 | 20.6 |
| Points | 98 | 86 |
| Rebounds | 47 | 44 |
| Assists | 23 | 16 |
| Steals | 5 | 7 |
| Blocks | 12 | 2 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 10 (1) | 9 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 11 (1) | 13 (4) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 36 (2) | 31 (2) |
| Field Goals | 37-79 | 36-88 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 9-17 | 21-44 |
| Midrange FG | 20-44 | 13-38 |
| 2-Point FG | 29-61 | 34-82 |
| 3-Point FG | 8-18 | 2-6 |
| Free Throws | 16-22 | 12-18 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.