FinalWin Prob.pScore
1638%94
87
1362%98
73
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
102.48590.5
MIA logo MIA
85.98580.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL87
100%
73
0%
Q4 - 0:13.0ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Blount 19' Jump Shot87
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0ATLLaw Foul Turnover (P1.T13)87
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)87
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Blount 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0ATLMurray Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)87
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 1:15MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST)87
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 1:26ATLWest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)87
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 1:47ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)87
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 1:48MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 1:54MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 1:55ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot87
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 2:20ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)87
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 2:21MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 2:34MIAHEAT Rebound87
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 2:34ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 2:54ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)87
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 2:55MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot87
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 3:06ATLChalmers STEAL (2 STL)87
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 3:18ATLHawks Rebound87
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 3:18ATLMISS Horford Tip Shot87
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 3:19ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)87
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 3:20ATLMISS Johnson Layup87
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 3:36MIAMarion Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)87
99.8%
70
0.2%
Q4 - 3:50ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)87
99.8%
70
0.2%
Q4 - 3:50ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)86
99.8%
70
0.2%
Q4 - 4:05MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS)85
99.7%
70
0.3%
Q4 - 4:21ATLHorford Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Bibby 8 AST)85
99.8%
68
0.2%
Q4 - 4:51ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)83
99.7%
68
0.3%
Q4 - 4:53ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
99.6%
68
0.4%
Q4 - 5:19MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)83
99.4%
68
0.6%
Q4 - 5:30MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
99.7%
65
0.3%
Q4 - 5:31ATLMISS Johnson 12' Jump Shot83
99.7%
65
0.3%
Q4 - 5:51MIAChalmers 7' Jump Shot (14 PTS)83
99.8%
65
0.2%
Q4 - 6:06ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)83
99.7%
63
0.3%
Q4 - 6:06ATLHawks Rebound83
99.7%
63
0.3%
Q4 - 6:07ATLWade BLOCK (2 BLK)83
99.7%
63
0.3%
Q4 - 6:31ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)83
99.8%
63
0.2%
Q4 - 6:32MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
99.7%
63
0.3%
Q4 - 6:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)83
99.7%
63
0.3%
Q4 - 6:45ATLMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot83
99.7%
63
0.3%
Q4 - 7:05ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)83
99.6%
63
0.4%
Q4 - 7:06MIAMISS Cook 19' Jump Shot83
99.5%
63
0.5%
Q4 - 7:14ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)83
99.5%
63
0.5%
Q4 - 7:14ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)82
99.4%
63
0.6%
Q4 - 7:18ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)81
99.3%
63
0.7%
Q4 - 7:20MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
99.2%
63
0.8%
Q4 - 7:32ATLEvans 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS)81
99.1%
63
0.9%
Q4 - 7:49MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS)79
98.8%
63
1.2%
Q4 - 8:06ATLHorford 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS)79
98.7%
61
1.3%
Q4 - 8:29MIAWade Layup (17 PTS)77
98.3%
61
1.7%
Q4 - 8:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)77
98.7%
59
1.3%
Q4 - 8:32MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup77
98.9%
59
1.1%
Q4 - 8:46ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)77
98.7%
59
1.3%
Q4 - 8:46ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)77
99.0%
59
1.0%
Q4 - 8:47ATLMarion BLOCK (2 BLK)77
98.8%
59
1.2%
Q4 - 9:10MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)77
98.5%
59
1.5%
Q4 - 9:36MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)77
98.2%
59
1.8%
Q4 - 9:37ATLMISS Murray 16' Jump Shot77
98.3%
59
1.7%
Q4 - 10:15ATLHawks Rebound77
98.8%
57
1.2%
Q4 - 10:15ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)77
98.5%
57
1.5%
Q4 - 10:15ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 276
98.4%
57
1.6%
Q4 - 10:15ATLBibby Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)76
98.5%
57
1.5%
Q4 - 10:32MIAMagloire Dunk (3 PTS)75
98.1%
57
1.9%
Q4 - 10:54ATLMarion STEAL (2 STL)75
98.5%
55
1.5%
Q4 - 11:00ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)75
98.8%
55
1.2%
Q4 - 11:01MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup75
98.3%
55
1.7%
Q4 - 11:11MIAHEAT Rebound75
98.0%
55
2.0%
Q4 - 11:12MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
98.3%
55
1.7%
Q4 - 11:18MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)75
98.0%
55
2.0%
Q4 - 11:19ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
98.1%
55
1.9%
Q4 - 11:34ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
98.4%
55
1.6%
Q4 - 11:35ATLMISS Bibby 3PT Jump Shot75
98.2%
55
1.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL75
98.4%
55
1.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound75
98.4%
55
1.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Pachulia 65' 3PT Jump Shot75
98.2%
55
1.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
97.9%
55
2.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Chalmers 8' Jump Shot75
97.8%
55
2.2%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
97.6%
55
2.4%
Q3 - 0:27.0ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot75
97.7%
55
2.3%
Q3 - 0:38.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
98.0%
55
2.0%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
97.9%
55
2.1%
Q3 - 0:55.0ATLPachulia 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bibby 7 AST)75
97.6%
55
2.4%
Q3 - 1:06ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)73
96.5%
55
3.5%
Q3 - 1:07MIAMISS Cook 17' Jump Shot73
96.3%
55
3.7%
Q3 - 1:19ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)73
95.9%
55
4.1%
Q3 - 1:19ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)72
95.7%
55
4.3%
Q3 - 1:30ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
94.9%
55
5.1%
Q3 - 1:31MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 271
94.8%
55
5.2%
Q3 - 1:31MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 271
94.3%
55
5.7%
Q3 - 1:48ATLEvans Dunk (10 PTS) (Bibby 6 AST)71
94.0%
55
6.0%
Q3 - 1:52ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)69
92.7%
55
7.3%
Q3 - 1:53MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
92.3%
55
7.7%
Q3 - 2:18ATLPachulia Layup (4 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)69
90.1%
55
9.9%
Q3 - 2:26MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)67
88.3%
55
11.7%
Q3 - 2:47ATLSmith Dunk (13 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)67
86.3%
55
13.7%
Q3 - 2:50ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
83.9%
55
16.1%
Q3 - 2:51MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot65
83.1%
55
16.9%
Q3 - 3:05ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)65
79.5%
55
20.5%
Q3 - 3:05ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)64
78.8%
55
21.2%
Q3 - 3:09ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
76.7%
55
23.3%
Q3 - 3:10MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
75.6%
55
24.4%
Q3 - 3:36ATLEvans 12' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)63
73.2%
55
26.8%
Q3 - 3:59MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)61
69.7%
55
30.3%
Q3 - 3:59MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 261
70.5%
54
29.5%
Q3 - 4:23ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST)61
68.3%
54
31.7%
Q3 - 4:29ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
61.0%
54
39.0%
Q3 - 4:30MIAMISS Banks Layup58
59.5%
54
40.5%
Q3 - 4:36MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)58
56.1%
54
43.9%
Q3 - 4:38ATLMISS Johnson 11' Jump Shot58
57.6%
54
42.4%
Q3 - 4:59MIACook 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)58
61.0%
54
39.0%
Q3 - 5:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)58
63.0%
52
37.0%
Q3 - 5:18ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot58
64.3%
52
35.7%
Q3 - 5:34MIAMarion 4' Jump Shot (10 PTS)58
67.3%
52
32.7%
Q3 - 5:36MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)58
70.5%
50
29.5%
Q3 - 5:37MIAMISS Banks 18' Jump Shot58
73.1%
50
26.9%
Q3 - 5:55ATLJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)58
70.5%
50
29.5%
Q3 - 6:11MIAMarion 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)55
62.3%
50
37.7%
Q3 - 6:26ATLSmith Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)55
65.8%
48
34.2%
Q3 - 6:40ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)53
62.4%
48
37.6%
Q3 - 6:41ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
59.5%
48
40.5%
Q3 - 7:01MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS)53
60.8%
48
39.2%
Q3 - 7:21ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)53
64.3%
46
35.7%
Q3 - 7:21ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 252
63.8%
46
36.2%
Q3 - 7:21ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
64.5%
46
35.5%
Q3 - 7:23MIAMISS Wade Layup52
63.3%
46
36.7%
Q3 - 7:38ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)52
60.8%
46
39.2%
Q3 - 7:42ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)49
53.4%
46
46.6%
Q3 - 7:43ATLMISS Williams 6' Jump Shot49
50.6%
46
49.4%
Q3 - 7:47ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)49
53.4%
46
46.6%
Q3 - 7:48ATLMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot49
50.6%
46
49.4%
Q3 - 8:05ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
52.8%
46
47.2%
Q3 - 8:06MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot49
51.6%
46
48.4%
Q3 - 8:26ATLBanks STEAL (1 STL)49
48.7%
46
51.3%
Q3 - 8:30ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
52.8%
46
47.2%
Q3 - 8:32MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot49
51.6%
46
48.4%
Q3 - 8:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
48.7%
46
51.3%
Q3 - 8:41ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
50.0%
46
50.0%
Q3 - 9:06MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)49
52.2%
46
47.8%
Q3 - 9:06MIAAnthony Tip Shot (2 PTS)49
52.2%
46
47.8%
Q3 - 9:07MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot49
58.4%
44
41.6%
Q3 - 9:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
55.8%
44
44.2%
Q3 - 9:18ATLMISS Bibby 18' Jump Shot49
57.0%
44
43.0%
Q3 - 9:34MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P2.T7)49
59.5%
44
40.5%
Q3 - 9:46ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)49
55.9%
44
44.1%
Q3 - 9:55ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
48.6%
44
51.4%
Q3 - 9:57MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot46
47.4%
44
52.6%
Q3 - 10:15ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)46
44.4%
44
55.6%
Q3 - 10:15ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 245
43.5%
44
56.5%
Q3 - 10:29MIAChalmers 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)45
44.4%
44
55.6%
Q3 - 10:50ATLSmith Driving Layup (7 PTS)45
47.9%
42
52.1%
Q3 - 11:12MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)43
44.2%
42
55.8%
Q3 - 11:20MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
40.6%
42
59.4%
Q3 - 11:21ATLMISS Horford Dunk43
41.7%
42
58.3%
Q3 - 11:36MIAChalmers Driving Reverse Layup (8 PTS)43
44.2%
42
55.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL43
47.4%
40
52.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
51.1%
40
48.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade Layup43
50.0%
40
50.0%
Q2 - 0:16.0ATLJohnson 3' Jump Shot (10 PTS)43
47.6%
40
52.4%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAMarion 6' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)41
43.5%
40
56.5%
Q2 - 0:34.0ATLMarion STEAL (1 STL)41
47.6%
38
52.4%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAHaslem 14' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)41
50.2%
38
49.8%
Q2 - 1:11MIAHEAT Rebound41
53.9%
36
46.1%
Q2 - 1:12ATLMISS Bibby Driving Layup41
54.6%
36
45.4%
Q2 - 1:17ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
56.3%
36
43.7%
Q2 - 1:18MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
55.6%
36
44.4%
Q2 - 1:48ATLSmith Dunk (5 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)41
53.9%
36
46.1%
Q2 - 1:55ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
49.7%
36
50.3%
Q2 - 1:56MIAMISS Haslem 12' Jump Shot39
49.0%
36
51.0%
Q2 - 2:17ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)39
46.3%
36
53.7%
Q2 - 2:33ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)36
40.1%
36
59.9%
Q2 - 2:35MIAMISS Marion Layup36
39.2%
36
60.8%
Q2 - 2:49MIAHEAT Rebound36
37.0%
36
63.0%
Q2 - 2:50ATLMISS Johnson 4' Running Jump Shot36
38.0%
36
62.0%
Q2 - 2:54ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
40.1%
36
59.9%
Q2 - 2:56MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
39.2%
36
60.8%
Q2 - 3:22ATLJohnson 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)36
36.7%
36
63.3%
Q2 - 3:43MIAWade Driving Dunk (14 PTS)34
34.3%
36
65.7%
Q2 - 3:57ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)34
36.7%
34
63.3%
Q2 - 3:57ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 233
36.0%
34
64.0%
Q2 - 3:57ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
37.1%
34
62.9%
Q2 - 3:58MIAMISS Marion 9' Jump Shot33
36.1%
34
63.9%
Q2 - 4:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)33
33.8%
34
66.2%
Q2 - 4:16ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 233
34.2%
34
65.8%
Q2 - 4:16ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
36.2%
34
63.8%
Q2 - 4:17ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
34.0%
34
66.0%
Q2 - 4:20MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup32
33.1%
34
66.9%
Q2 - 4:28MIAHEAT Rebound32
31.1%
34
68.9%
Q2 - 4:29MIAMISS Anthony 9' Jump Shot32
33.1%
34
66.9%
Q2 - 4:33MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)32
31.1%
34
68.9%
Q2 - 4:34MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot32
33.1%
34
66.9%
Q2 - 4:46MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)32
31.1%
34
68.9%
Q2 - 4:47ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 232
31.5%
34
68.5%
Q2 - 4:47ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 232
33.4%
34
66.6%
Q2 - 4:47ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)32
34.0%
34
66.0%
Q2 - 4:48MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 132
33.6%
34
66.4%
Q2 - 5:03ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)32
36.8%
32
63.2%
Q2 - 5:18ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
31.3%
32
68.7%
Q2 - 5:19MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot29
30.6%
32
69.4%
Q2 - 5:40ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)29
28.9%
32
71.1%
Q2 - 5:48ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)26
24.2%
32
75.8%
Q2 - 5:49ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
22.8%
32
77.2%
Q2 - 5:57ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
24.2%
32
75.8%
Q2 - 5:59ATLWade BLOCK (1 BLK)26
22.8%
32
77.2%
Q2 - 6:15MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)26
24.7%
32
75.3%
Q2 - 6:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
22.2%
32
77.8%
Q2 - 6:39ATLMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot26
23.0%
32
77.0%
Q2 - 6:55MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)26
24.6%
32
75.4%
Q2 - 6:55MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 226
25.1%
31
74.9%
Q2 - 7:14ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
24.5%
31
75.5%
Q2 - 7:14ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
24.0%
31
76.0%
Q2 - 7:27MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)24
22.5%
31
77.5%
Q2 - 7:49MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
20.5%
31
79.5%
Q2 - 7:50ATLMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot24
21.1%
31
78.9%
Q2 - 8:03MIACook 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)24
22.8%
31
77.2%
Q2 - 8:16MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
24.8%
29
75.2%
Q2 - 8:18ATLMISS Evans Reverse Layup24
25.4%
29
74.6%
Q2 - 8:33ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
26.9%
29
73.1%
Q2 - 8:34ATLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot24
25.4%
29
74.6%
Q2 - 8:43ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
26.9%
29
73.1%
Q2 - 8:44MIAMISS Quinn 13' Jump Shot24
26.2%
29
73.8%
Q2 - 8:56MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
24.8%
29
75.2%
Q2 - 8:57ATLMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
25.4%
29
74.6%
Q2 - 9:14ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
26.8%
29
73.2%
Q2 - 9:15MIAMISS Diawara 3PT Jump Shot24
26.2%
29
73.8%
Q2 - 9:28MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)24
24.8%
29
75.2%
Q2 - 9:29ATLMISS Law 16' Jump Shot24
25.4%
29
74.6%
Q2 - 9:59MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)24
26.9%
29
73.1%
Q2 - 10:23ATLWilliams 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)24
31.3%
26
68.7%
Q2 - 10:35ATLLaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
29.2%
26
70.8%
Q2 - 10:36MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
28.5%
26
71.5%
Q2 - 10:51MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)22
27.0%
26
73.0%
Q2 - 10:52MIAMISS Marion 8' Jump Shot22
28.5%
26
71.5%
Q2 - 11:06ATLEvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)22
27.3%
26
72.7%
Q2 - 11:06ATLEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)21
26.8%
26
73.2%
Q2 - 11:27ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
25.3%
26
74.7%
Q2 - 11:29MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 220
25.1%
26
74.9%
Q2 - 11:29MIAMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
24.1%
26
75.9%
Q2 - 11:29MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
25.3%
25
74.7%
Q2 - 11:30MIAMISS Cook Reverse Layup20
26.7%
25
73.3%
Q2 - 11:40MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
25.3%
25
74.7%
Q2 - 11:41MIAMISS Cook 16' Jump Shot20
26.7%
25
73.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA20
25.3%
25
74.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
25.3%
25
74.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
26.7%
25
73.3%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
25.7%
25
74.3%
Q1 - 0:05.0ATLMISS Murray 8' Jump Shot20
26.1%
25
73.9%
Q1 - 0:26.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
27.1%
25
72.9%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Diawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
26.6%
25
73.4%
Q1 - 0:54.0ATLMurray Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)20
25.6%
25
74.4%
Q1 - 1:02MIAMagloire Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)17
22.1%
25
77.9%
Q1 - 1:23MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
20.9%
25
79.1%
Q1 - 1:25ATLMISS Evans Free Throw 1 of 117
21.1%
25
78.9%
Q1 - 1:27ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
18.9%
25
81.1%
Q1 - 1:29MIAMISS Wade Driving Dunk15
18.6%
25
81.4%
Q1 - 1:43ATLJohnson 4' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)15
18.0%
25
82.0%
Q1 - 1:57MIAQuinn 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)13
16.2%
25
83.8%
Q1 - 2:17ATLEvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)13
18.3%
23
81.7%
Q1 - 2:17ATLEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
18.0%
23
82.0%
Q1 - 2:18ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
16.7%
23
83.3%
Q1 - 2:20ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot11
16.0%
23
84.0%
Q1 - 2:39MIAWade Driving Layup (9 PTS)11
16.7%
23
83.3%
Q1 - 2:53MIAHEAT Rebound11
18.3%
21
81.7%
Q1 - 2:54ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
18.6%
21
81.4%
Q1 - 3:17MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)11
19.6%
21
80.4%
Q1 - 3:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)11
22.7%
18
77.3%
Q1 - 3:25ATLMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot11
23.2%
18
76.8%
Q1 - 3:32ATLHawks Rebound11
24.3%
18
75.7%
Q1 - 3:33ATLMISS Horford 16' Jump Shot11
23.2%
18
76.8%
Q1 - 3:45ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
24.3%
18
75.7%
Q1 - 3:47MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
23.8%
18
76.2%
Q1 - 3:49MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
22.7%
18
77.3%
Q1 - 3:50MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
23.8%
18
76.2%
Q1 - 4:13ATLSmith Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)11
22.7%
18
77.3%
Q1 - 4:19ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
21.3%
18
78.7%
Q1 - 4:21MIAMISS Anthony 7' Hook Shot9
20.8%
18
79.2%
Q1 - 4:23MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
19.8%
18
80.2%
Q1 - 4:24MIAMISS Chalmers 10' Jump Shot9
20.8%
18
79.2%
Q1 - 4:39ATLBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)9
19.7%
18
80.3%
Q1 - 4:39ATLBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)8
19.5%
18
80.5%
Q1 - 4:42MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)7
18.4%
18
81.6%
Q1 - 4:53ATLJohnson Tip Shot (4 PTS)7
17.1%
18
82.9%
Q1 - 4:54ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)5
15.9%
18
84.1%
Q1 - 4:55ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
15.1%
18
84.9%
Q1 - 5:18MIAHaslem Tip Shot (4 PTS)5
16.4%
18
83.6%
Q1 - 5:19MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)5
17.4%
16
82.6%
Q1 - 5:20MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup5
18.4%
16
81.6%
Q1 - 5:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
17.4%
16
82.6%
Q1 - 5:31ATLAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)5
17.8%
16
82.2%
Q1 - 5:33ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
18.9%
16
81.1%
Q1 - 5:34ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
17.8%
16
82.2%
Q1 - 5:38ATLHawks Rebound5
18.9%
16
81.1%
Q1 - 5:39ATLMarion BLOCK (1 BLK)5
17.8%
16
82.2%
Q1 - 5:48MIAWade Driving Dunk (4 PTS)5
18.8%
16
81.2%
Q1 - 5:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
20.0%
14
80.0%
Q1 - 5:59ATLMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot5
20.5%
14
79.5%
Q1 - 6:11MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)5
21.6%
14
78.4%
Q1 - 6:39ATLBibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)5
24.5%
11
75.5%
Q1 - 6:45ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
21.6%
11
78.4%
Q1 - 6:46MIAMISS Marion 10' Jump Shot2
21.1%
11
78.9%
Q1 - 7:08ATLJohnson 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)2
20.0%
11
80.0%
Q1 - 7:14MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
18.8%
11
81.2%
Q1 - 7:30ATLHorford Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)0
17.4%
11
82.6%
Q1 - 7:44ATLHawks Rebound0
18.8%
11
81.2%
Q1 - 7:45MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot0
18.4%
11
81.6%
Q1 - 8:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
17.5%
11
82.5%
Q1 - 8:14ATLMISS Smith 16' Hook Shot0
17.8%
11
82.2%
Q1 - 8:32MIAWade 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
18.7%
11
81.3%
Q1 - 8:49MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
20.0%
9
80.0%
Q1 - 8:50ATLMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot0
20.4%
9
79.6%
Q1 - 9:05MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
22.1%
9
77.9%
Q1 - 9:20ATLChalmers STEAL (1 STL)0
23.6%
7
76.4%
Q1 - 9:44MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)0
24.9%
7
75.1%
Q1 - 10:11MIAHEAT Rebound0
28.5%
4
71.5%
Q1 - 10:12ATLMISS Williams 8' Jump Shot0
29.0%
4
71.0%
Q1 - 10:31MIAMarion 11' Hook Shot (4 PTS)0
30.1%
4
69.9%
Q1 - 10:51ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)0
31.6%
2
68.4%
Q1 - 11:03ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
33.2%
2
66.8%
Q1 - 11:04MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot0
32.7%
2
67.3%
Q1 - 11:18MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
31.7%
2
68.3%
Q1 - 11:19ATLMISS Bibby 21' Jump Shot0
32.1%
2
67.9%
Q1 - 11:37MIAMarion Dunk (2 PTS)0
33.2%
2
66.8%
Q1 - 11:42ATLWade STEAL (1 STL)0
34.6%
0
65.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Smith: Tip to Johnson0
36.2%
0
63.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.94 46.8%
MIA
0.82 41.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
14
23
61%
MIA
13
23
57%
Midrange
ATL
7
28
25%
MIA
14
38
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
7
10.5
23
30%
46%
MIA
5
7.5
22
23%
34%
Free Throws
ATL
24
32
75%
MIA
4
10
40%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson2150%10.5 / 21
M. Bibby1554%7.5 / 14
J. Smith1554%7.5 / 14
M. Evans1267%6.0 / 9
A. Horford857%4.0 / 7
Z. Pachulia770%3.5 / 5
M. Williams621%3.0 / 14
R. Murray350%1.5 / 3
A. Law0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2140%10.5 / 26
M. Chalmers1450%7.0 / 14
D. Cook1346%6.5 / 14
S. Marion1056%5.0 / 9
U. Haslem844%4.0 / 9
J. Magloire350%1.5 / 3
J. Anthony233%1.0 / 3
C. Quinn233%1.0 / 3
Y. Diawara0-0.0 / 2
M. Banks0-0.0 / 2
M. Blount0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
74
+18
-11
92
MIA
76
+13
-9
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.94 46.8%
MIA
0.82 41.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
107.6
ATL 102.4
MIA 85.9 +16.5
Pace
89.8
90.2
ATL 90.5 +10.4
MIA 80.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
16.3
ATL 15.9 +2.1
MIA 18.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
50.0%
ATL 42.6% +1.0%
MIA 41.6%
TO %
13.6%
13.1%
ATL 12.9%
MIA 10.3% +2.6%
ORB %
26.0%
24.6%
ATL 33.3% +11.7%
MIA 21.6%
FTrt
32.3
28.2
ATL 43.2 +31.2
MIA 12.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.1%
55.1%
ATL 64.3% +33.0%
MIA 31.3%
STL %
8.2%
8.7%
ATL 8.2% +1.1%
MIA 7.1%
BLK %
7.4%
9.2%
ATL 4.9%
MIA 9.8% +4.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.2%
52.6%
ATL 46.8% +5.8%
MIA 41.0%
Rim FG%
60.5%
59.5%
ATL 60.9% +4.4%
MIA 56.5%
Mid FG%
40.2%
41.8%
ATL 25.0%
MIA 36.8% +11.8%
3P %
36.6%
35.7%
ATL 30.4% +7.7%
MIA 22.7%
FT %
73.8%
75.4%
ATL 75.0% +35.0%
MIA 40.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.2%
30.3%
ATL 31.1% +3.4%
MIA 27.7%
Mid Att. %
42.4%
45.2%
ATL 37.8% +7.9%
MIA 45.8%
3P Att. %
25.3%
24.5%
ATL 31.1% +4.6%
MIA 26.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions8585
Possession Minutes22.525.5
Points8773
Rebounds5337
Assists1810
Steals76
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)11 (2)9 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (5)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)40 (2)26 (5)
Field Goals28-7432-83
At-the-Rim FG14-2313-23
Midrange FG7-2814-38
2-Point FG21-5127-61
3-Point FG7-235-22
Free Throws24-324-10
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 240 · 27
39.9
21
50%
7
4
1
0
4
1
2
5
2-2
100%
5-12
42%
3-8
38%
F · 6'9" 237 · 22
37.0
6
21%
9
0
1
1
0
0
4
5
4-8
50%
1-8
13%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 195 · 31
35.5
15
54%
4
8
2
0
2
1
0
4
3-3
100%
0-6
0%
4-7
57%
C · 6'10" 245 · 23
31.5
8
57%
10
2
1
1
1
1
4
6
2-3
67%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 23
28.1
15
54%
7
3
1
1
1
3
0
7
5-6
83%
5-8
63%
0-3
0%
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30
24.0
12
67%
6
0
1
0
0
1
2
4
4-5
80%
4-5
80%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 200 · 29
18.1
3
50%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 270 · 25
16.9
7
70%
7
0
0
0
0
4
1
6
3-4
75%
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 202 · 24
5.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 24
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 24
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 275 · 23
#50 · · 6'8" 225 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'5" 225 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
47%
53
18
7
3
11
0
13
40
24-32
75%
21-51
41%
7-23
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.