Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, December 11, 2008

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	28	Bobcats	16%	87	90
	6	Mavericks	84%	100	95

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
CHA	104.7	86	80.8
DAL	111.8	85	92.0

Scoring Opportunities

CHA

+13

-10

DAL

+11

-7

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.01 50.6%

DAL

1.04 52.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	DAL
Q4 - 0:00.0	DAL		90 0%	95 100%
Q4 - 0:13.0	DAL	Terry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	90 0.2%	95 99.8%
Q4 - 0:14.0	CHA	MISS Felton 25' 3PT Jump Shot	90 0.3%	95 99.7%
Q4 - 0:19.0	DAL	Terry Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)	90 0.7%	95 99.3%
Q4 - 0:19.0	DAL	Terry Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)	90 0.8%	94 99.2%
Q4 - 0:22.0	DAL	Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)	90 2.2%	93 97.8%
Q4 - 0:23.0	CHA	MISS Felton Free Throw 2 of 2	90 2.6%	93 97.4%
Q4 - 0:23.0	CHA	Felton Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)	90 4.8%	93 95.2%
Q4 - 0:28.0	DAL	Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Kidd 7 AST)	89 3.1%	93 96.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0	CHA	Kidd STEAL (3 STL)	89 17.0%	90 83.0%
Q4 - 1:08	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13)	89 31.2%	90 68.8%
Q4 - 1:10	DAL	MISS Nowitzki 12' Jump Shot	89 27.2%	90 72.8%
Q4 - 1:12	DAL	Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)	89 19.5%	90 80.5%
Q4 - 1:14	DAL	MISS Nowitzki Driving Layup	89 27.7%	90 72.3%
Q4 - 1:34	DAL	Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)	89 20.9%	90 79.1%
Q4 - 1:36	DAL	MISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot	89 28.6%	90 71.4%
Q4 - 2:00	CHA	Okafor Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)	89 21.1%	90 78.9%
Q4 - 2:00	CHA	MISS Okafor Free Throw 1 of 2	88 18.4%	90 81.6%
Q4 - 2:18	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)	88 25.3%	90 74.7%
Q4 - 2:19	DAL	MISS Terry 14' Jump Shot	88 21.3%	90 78.7%
Q4 - 2:42	CHA	Felton Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)	88 14.1%	90 85.9%
Q4 - 2:54	DAL	Terry Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)	88 23.8%	90 76.2%
Q4 - 2:54	DAL	Terry Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)	88 24.9%	89 75.1%
Q4 - 3:10	CHA	Hollins Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Augustin 10 AST)	88 30.1%	88 69.9%
Q4 - 3:32	CHA	Felton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	86 22.9%	88 77.1%
Q4 - 3:33	DAL	MISS Bass 17' Jump Shot	86 20.8%	88 79.2%
Q4 - 3:49	CHA	Hollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	86 16.2%	88 83.8%
Q4 - 3:49	CHA	Hollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)	85 14.9%	88 85.1%
Q4 - 3:55	CHA	Hollins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	84 11.9%	88 88.1%
Q4 - 3:57	DAL	MISS Kidd Layup	84 10.6%	88 89.4%
Q4 - 4:10	DAL	Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)	84 8.1%	88 91.9%
Q4 - 4:11	CHA	MISS Felton 15' Pullup Jump Shot	84 9.1%	88 90.9%
Q4 - 4:29	DAL	Terry 9' Pullup Jump Shot (22 PTS)	84 11.7%	88 88.3%
Q4 - 4:50	CHA	Felton 17' Floating Jump Shot (15 PTS)	84 16.0%	86 84.0%
Q4 - 4:58	CHA	Augustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	82 11.6%	86 88.4%
Q4 - 4:58	DAL	MISS Nowitzki 17' Fadeaway Jumper	82 10.4%	86 89.6%
Q4 - 5:23	CHA	Carroll 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Augustin 9 AST)	82 9.7%	86 90.3%
Q4 - 5:53	DAL	Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Kidd 6 AST)	80 7.1%	86 92.9%
Q4 - 6:00	DAL	Bass REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)	80 13.0%	83 87.0%
Q4 - 6:01	CHA	MISS Okafor 5' Jump Hook Shot	80 14.7%	83 85.3%
Q4 - 6:15	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)	80 17.7%	83 82.3%
Q4 - 6:16	DAL	MISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot	80 16.3%	83 83.7%
Q4 - 6:28	DAL	Bass REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)	80 13.5%	83 86.5%
Q4 - 6:28	CHA	MISS Morrison Free Throw 2 of 2	80 14.0%	83 86.0%
Q4 - 6:28	CHA	MISS Morrison Free Throw 1 of 2	80 16.5%	83 83.5%
Q4 - 6:52	DAL	Barea 11' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)	80 17.7%	83 82.3%
Q4 - 7:11	CHA	Felton 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS)	80 21.4%	81 78.6%
Q4 - 7:35	DAL	Bass Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS)	78 17.4%	81 82.6%
Q4 - 7:39	DAL	Bass REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)	78 21.5%	79 78.5%
Q4 - 7:40	DAL	MISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot	78 25.2%	79 74.8%
Q4 - 7:59	DAL	Bass REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	78 21.5%	79 78.5%
Q4 - 8:00	CHA	MISS Morrison 3PT Jump Shot	78 23.1%	79 76.9%
Q4 - 8:19	CHA	May REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	78 25.9%	79 74.1%
Q4 - 8:20	DAL	MISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot	78 24.5%	79 75.5%
Q4 - 8:39	DAL	Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)	78 21.4%	79 78.6%
Q4 - 8:40	CHA	MISS May 15' Step Back Jump Shot	78 22.8%	79 77.2%
Q4 - 9:03	DAL	Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)	78 25.6%	79 74.4%
Q4 - 9:08	CHA	Terry STEAL (2 STL)	78 36.1%	76 63.9%
Q4 - 9:14	CHA	Felton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	78 41.5%	76 58.5%
Q4 - 9:15	CHA	MISS Felton 5' Jump Shot	78 37.7%	76 62.3%
Q4 - 9:34	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)	78 41.6%	76 58.4%
Q4 - 9:35	DAL	MISS Barea Driving Layup	78 39.9%	76 60.1%
Q4 - 9:41	CHA	Terry STEAL (1 STL)	78 36.2%	76 63.8%
Q4 - 10:05	DAL	Terry 9' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Nowitzki 5 AST)	78 39.7%	76 60.3%
Q4 - 10:26	CHA	Nowitzki STEAL (1 STL)	78 45.4%	74 54.6%
Q4 - 10:42	CHA	Felton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	78 51.1%	74 48.9%
Q4 - 10:43	DAL	MISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot	78 49.4%	74 50.6%
Q4 - 11:00	CHA	May 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	78 45.5%	74 54.5%
Q4 - 11:15	CHA	Felton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	76 38.1%	74 61.9%
Q4 - 11:17	DAL	Bass REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	76 33.5%	74 66.5%
Q4 - 11:17	DAL	MISS Bass Layup	76 36.7%	74 63.3%
Q4 - 11:18	DAL	Bass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	76 33.5%	74 66.5%
Q4 - 11:18	DAL	MISS Bass Layup	76 36.7%	74 63.3%
Q4 - 11:19	DAL	MISS Terry 18' Jump Shot	76 36.7%	74 63.3%
Q4 - 11:38	CHA	Okafor Layup (26 PTS)	76 33.5%	74 66.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0	DAL		74 28.7%	74 71.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0	DAL	MAVERICKS Rebound	74 24.7%	74 75.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0	DAL	MISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot	74 27.4%	74 72.6%
Q3 - 0:04.0	CHA	Hollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)	74 24.5%	74 75.5%
Q3 - 0:04.0	CHA	MISS Hollins Free Throw 1 of 2	73 23.4%	74 76.6%
Q3 - 0:04.0	CHA	Hollins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	73 24.1%	74 75.9%
Q3 - 0:05.0	CHA	MISS Augustin Driving Reverse Layup	73 21.9%	74 78.1%
Q3 - 0:29.0	DAL	Terry Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)	73 24.1%	74 75.9%
Q3 - 0:29.0	DAL	Terry Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)	73 24.6%	73 75.4%
Q3 - 0:39.0	DAL	MAVERICKS Rebound	73 28.5%	72 71.5%
Q3 - 0:39.0	CHA	MISS Augustin Layup	73 29.6%	72 70.4%
Q3 - 0:40.0	CHA	Hollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	73 32.3%	72 67.7%
Q3 - 0:42.0	CHA	MISS Augustin 6' Driving Jump Shot	73 29.6%	72 70.4%
Q3 - 1:05	DAL	Kidd 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)	73 31.5%	72 68.5%
Q3 - 1:16	DAL	Bass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	73 41.0%	69 59.0%
Q3 - 1:17	CHA	MISS Carroll 21' Jump Shot	73 42.3%	69 57.7%
Q3 - 1:36	DAL	Kidd Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)	73 45.4%	69 54.6%
Q3 - 1:36	DAL	Kidd Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)	73 46.4%	68 53.6%
Q3 - 1:46	CHA	Bobcats Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)	73 50.8%	67 49.2%
Q3 - 1:46	CHA	Bobcats Rebound	73 55.3%	67 44.7%
Q3 - 1:46	CHA	MISS Augustin 5' Hook Shot	73 52.2%	67 47.8%
Q3 - 2:10	CHA	Brown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	73 52.7%	67 47.3%
Q3 - 2:11	DAL	MISS Bass 19' Jump Shot	73 51.3%	67 48.7%
Q3 - 2:30	CHA	Brown Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Carroll 1 AST)	73 48.2%	67 51.8%
Q3 - 2:34	CHA	Carroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	71 43.5%	67 56.5%
Q3 - 2:36	DAL	MISS Terry 18' Jump Shot	71 42.1%	67 57.9%
Q3 - 2:54	CHA	Carroll 7' Driving Jump Shot (6 PTS)	71 39.1%	67 60.9%
Q3 - 3:08	CHA	May REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	69 32.9%	67 67.1%
Q3 - 3:09	DAL	MISS George 24' 3PT Jump Shot	69 31.6%	67 68.4%
Q3 - 3:30	CHA	Carroll 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Augustin 8 AST)	69 28.9%	67 71.1%
Q3 - 3:41	DAL	MAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)	67 25.5%	67 74.5%
Q3 - 3:41	DAL	MAVERICKS Rebound	67 22.1%	67 77.9%
Q3 - 3:41	DAL	MISS Kidd 23' Jump Shot	67 24.5%	67 75.5%
Q3 - 4:17	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)	67 21.6%	67 78.4%
Q3 - 4:17	CHA	Okafor Tip Shot (24 PTS)	67 21.6%	67 78.4%
Q3 - 4:19	CHA	MISS Augustin 5' Driving Bank Shot	65 17.2%	67 82.8%
Q3 - 4:37	DAL	Kidd Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)	65 19.3%	67 80.7%
Q3 - 4:45	DAL	Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)	65 16.3%	67 83.7%
Q3 - 4:46	CHA	MISS Felton Layup	65 17.2%	67 82.8%
Q3 - 5:07	DAL	Dampier Putback Dunk (9 PTS)	65 18.7%	67 81.3%
Q3 - 5:08	DAL	Dampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	65 21.1%	65 78.9%
Q3 - 5:09	DAL	MISS Kidd 5' Driving Jump Shot	65 23.3%	65 76.7%
Q3 - 5:26	CHA	Hollins Foul Turnover (P2.T5)	65 21.1%	65 78.9%
Q3 - 5:42	DAL	Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Kidd 5 AST)	65 24.5%	65 75.5%
Q3 - 6:07	CHA	Okafor 5' Jump Hook Shot (22 PTS)	65 26.3%	63 73.7%
Q3 - 6:08	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)	63 23.6%	63 76.4%
Q3 - 6:10	CHA	MISS Felton 20' Jump Shot	63 21.5%	63 78.5%
Q3 - 6:24	DAL	Nowitzki Driving Layup (15 PTS) (Kidd 4 AST)	63 23.6%	63 76.4%
Q3 - 6:28	CHA	Kidd STEAL (2 STL)	63 26.4%	61 73.6%
Q3 - 6:49	DAL	Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS)	63 29.9%	61 70.1%
Q3 - 7:10	CHA	Hollins Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)	63 31.8%	59 68.2%
Q3 - 7:31	CHA	Hollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	63 35.5%	59 64.5%
Q3 - 7:33	DAL	MISS George Driving Layup	63 34.3%	59 65.7%
Q3 - 7:46	CHA	Felton Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Augustin 7 AST)	63 31.9%	59 68.1%
Q3 - 7:50	CHA	Augustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	61 28.8%	59 71.2%
Q3 - 7:52	DAL	MISS Barea Driving Layup	61 27.8%	59 72.2%
Q3 - 8:04	CHA	Okafor Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)	61 25.0%	59 75.0%
Q3 - 8:04	CHA	MISS Okafor Free Throw 1 of 2	60 24.0%	59 76.0%
Q3 - 8:30	DAL	Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Barea 5 AST)	60 25.2%	59 74.8%
Q3 - 8:44	DAL	Dampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	60 28.0%	57 72.0%
Q3 - 8:45	CHA	Kidd BLOCK (1 BLK)	60 29.0%	57 71.0%
Q3 - 9:10	CHA	Felton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	60 30.5%	57 69.5%
Q3 - 9:11	DAL	MISS Nowitzki 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot	60 29.6%	57 70.4%
Q3 - 9:25	DAL	Kidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	60 27.5%	57 72.5%
Q3 - 9:26	CHA	MISS Okafor 10' Jump Shot	60 28.4%	57 71.6%
Q3 - 9:48	DAL	Nowitzki Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)	60 30.6%	57 69.4%
Q3 - 9:52	DAL	Dampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	60 27.5%	57 72.5%
Q3 - 9:54	CHA	MISS Augustin 16' Jump Shot	60 28.4%	57 71.6%
Q3 - 10:08	CHA	Carroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	60 29.5%	57 70.5%
Q3 - 10:09	DAL	MISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot	60 28.6%	57 71.4%
Q3 - 10:28	CHA	Felton Running Dunk (9 PTS)	60 26.7%	57 73.3%
Q3 - 10:32	DAL	Dampier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)	58 24.0%	57 76.0%
Q3 - 10:48	CHA	Okafor Driving Finger Roll Layup (19 PTS) (Felton 6 AST)	58 21.5%	57 78.5%
Q3 - 11:04	DAL	Barea Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)	56 18.8%	57 81.2%
Q3 - 11:28	CHA	Hollins Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Augustin 6 AST)	56 20.8%	55 79.2%
Q3 - 11:43	DAL	George 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)	54 18.8%	55 81.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0	CHA		54 20.9%	53 79.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0	CHA	Bobcats Rebound	54 23.4%	53 76.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0	CHA	MISS Augustin 46' 3PT Jump Shot	54 21.6%	53 78.4%
Q2 - 0:02.0	DAL	Terry 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Kidd 3 AST)	54 22.6%	53 77.4%
Q2 - 0:07.0	CHA	Augustin Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)	54 28.4%	50 71.6%
Q2 - 0:07.0	CHA	Augustin Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)	53 28.0%	50 72.0%
Q2 - 0:25.0	DAL	Kidd Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)	52 25.1%	50 74.9%
Q2 - 0:30.0	DAL	Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	52 28.4%	48 71.6%
Q2 - 0:31.0	CHA	MISS Felton 22' Jump Shot	52 29.0%	48 71.0%
Q2 - 0:43.0	DAL	Terry 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (George 2 AST)	52 30.5%	48 69.5%
Q2 - 1:04	CHA	Augustin 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Felton 5 AST)	52 36.3%	45 63.7%
Q2 - 1:28	DAL	Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)	49 29.8%	45 70.2%
Q2 - 1:45	CHA	Mohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	49 33.4%	43 66.6%
Q2 - 1:45	CHA	Mohammed Putback Layup (6 PTS)	49 33.4%	43 66.6%
Q2 - 1:46	CHA	MISS Felton Driving Layup	47 28.4%	43 71.6%
Q2 - 2:01	DAL	Terry 11' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Kidd 2 AST)	47 29.1%	43 70.9%
Q2 - 2:15	CHA	Okafor 12' Jump Shot (17 PTS)	47 31.7%	41 68.3%
Q2 - 2:30	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)	45 29.1%	41 70.9%
Q2 - 2:32	DAL	MISS Nowitzki Driving Layup	45 28.3%	41 71.7%
Q2 - 2:37	CHA	Okafor Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)	45 26.5%	41 73.5%
Q2 - 2:54	CHA	Mohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	45 29.1%	41 70.9%
Q2 - 2:55	DAL	MISS Kidd Driving Layup	45 28.3%	41 71.7%
Q2 - 3:21	CHA	Okafor Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Mohammed 1 AST)	45 25.6%	41 74.4%
Q2 - 3:36	DAL	Terry Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	43 23.7%	41 76.3%
Q2 - 3:36	DAL	MISS Terry Free Throw 1 of 2	43 24.0%	40 76.0%
Q2 - 3:46	CHA	Morrison 10' Driving Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Augustin 5 AST)	43 23.3%	40 76.7%
Q2 - 4:07	DAL	George Running Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Kidd 1 AST)	41 20.8%	40 79.2%
Q2 - 4:12	DAL	Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	41 22.8%	38 77.2%
Q2 - 4:12	CHA	MISS Felton 19' Jump Shot	41 23.5%	38 76.5%
Q2 - 4:37	DAL	Terry 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dampier 2 AST)	41 25.2%	38 74.8%
Q2 - 4:53	CHA	Mohammed 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Augustin 4 AST)	41 27.4%	36 72.6%
Q2 - 5:15	DAL	Dampier Running Dunk (7 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)	39 24.5%	36 75.5%
Q2 - 5:34	DAL	Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	39 26.9%	34 73.1%
Q2 - 5:35	CHA	MISS Felton Free Throw 2 of 2	39 27.2%	34 72.8%
Q2 - 5:35	CHA	Felton Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	39 28.9%	34 71.1%
Q2 - 5:39	CHA	Augustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	38 26.8%	34 73.2%
Q2 - 5:40	DAL	MISS Kidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot	38 26.2%	34 73.8%
Q2 - 6:06	CHA	Morrison 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Felton 4 AST)	38 24.1%	34 75.9%
Q2 - 6:20	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)	35 20.5%	34 79.5%
Q2 - 6:23	DAL	MISS Bass 5' Driving Jump Shot	35 19.8%	34 80.2%
Q2 - 6:42	CHA	Augustin Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Felton 3 AST)	35 18.4%	34 81.6%
Q2 - 6:46	DAL	Barea Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)	33 16.9%	34 83.1%
Q2 - 6:49	DAL	Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	33 15.1%	34 84.9%
Q2 - 6:51	CHA	MISS Felton 20' Jump Shot	33 15.7%	34 84.3%
Q2 - 7:02	DAL	Barea Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	33 16.4%	34 83.6%
Q2 - 7:02	DAL	Barea Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	33 16.7%	33 83.3%
Q2 - 7:08	DAL	Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	33 18.0%	32 82.0%
Q2 - 7:09	CHA	MISS Augustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot	33 18.5%	32 81.5%
Q2 - 7:29	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)	33 19.8%	32 80.2%
Q2 - 7:30	DAL	MISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot	33 19.3%	32 80.7%
Q2 - 7:51	CHA	Morrison Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Felton 2 AST)	33 18.0%	32 82.0%
Q2 - 7:55	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	31 16.5%	32 83.5%
Q2 - 7:57	DAL	MISS Wright Driving Layup	31 16.0%	32 84.0%
Q2 - 8:12	DAL	Wright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	31 14.8%	32 85.2%
Q2 - 8:13	CHA	MISS Morrison 16' Jump Shot	31 15.3%	32 84.7%
Q2 - 8:28	DAL	Terry Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)	31 16.2%	32 83.8%
Q2 - 8:40	CHA	Okafor Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)	31 14.8%	32 85.2%
Q2 - 8:52	DAL	Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Barea 4 AST)	28 12.2%	32 87.8%
Q2 - 9:09	DAL	Bass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	28 13.3%	30 86.7%
Q2 - 9:10	CHA	MISS Ajinca 9' Turnaround Hook Shot	28 13.7%	30 86.3%
Q2 - 9:25	DAL	Barea Running Layup (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)	28 14.6%	30 85.4%
Q2 - 9:40	DAL	Wright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	28 16.0%	28 84.0%
Q2 - 9:41	CHA	MISS Augustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot	28 16.5%	28 83.5%
Q2 - 9:58	DAL	Bass Reverse Dunk (9 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)	28 17.5%	28 82.5%
Q2 - 10:07	DAL	Barea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	28 19.0%	26 81.0%
Q2 - 10:09	CHA	MISS Brown 16' Jump Shot	28 19.5%	26 80.5%
Q2 - 10:23	CHA	Morrison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	28 20.7%	26 79.3%
Q2 - 10:24	DAL	MISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot	28 20.2%	26 79.8%
Q2 - 10:36	DAL	Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	28 19.0%	26 81.0%
Q2 - 10:38	CHA	MISS Okafor Layup	28 19.5%	26 80.5%
Q2 - 10:59	CHA	May REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	28 20.7%	26 79.3%
Q2 - 11:00	DAL	MISS Bass 14' Jump Shot	28 20.2%	26 79.8%
Q2 - 11:15	CHA	Okafor 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS) (May 1 AST)	28 19.0%	26 81.0%
Q2 - 11:37	CHA	May REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	26 17.5%	26 82.5%
Q2 - 11:38	DAL	MISS Bass 16' Jump Shot	26 17.1%	26 82.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0	DAL		26 16.1%	26 83.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0	CHA	May REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	26 16.1%	26 83.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0	CHA	May Putback Layup (4 PTS)	26 16.1%	26 83.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0	CHA	MISS Brown 26' 3PT Jump Shot	24 13.9%	26 86.1%
Q1 - 0:03.0	CHA	Brown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	24 14.3%	26 85.7%
Q1 - 0:04.0	CHA	Mohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	24 14.3%	26 85.7%
Q1 - 0:04.0	CHA	MISS Mohammed Layup	24 13.7%	26 86.3%
Q1 - 0:06.0	CHA	MISS May 10' Jump Shot	24 13.7%	26 86.3%
Q1 - 0:28.0	DAL	Bass Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)	24 14.4%	26 85.6%
Q1 - 0:32.0	DAL	Barea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	24 17.3%	23 82.7%
Q1 - 0:33.0	CHA	MISS May 20' Jump Shot	24 17.6%	23 82.4%
Q1 - 0:44.0	DAL	Wright Driving Layup (2 PTS)	24 18.4%	23 81.6%
Q1 - 1:00	CHA	May 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)	24 20.3%	21 79.7%
Q1 - 1:20	DAL	Bass 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST)	22 18.0%	21 82.0%
Q1 - 1:32	DAL	Bass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	22 20.0%	19 80.0%
Q1 - 1:33	DAL	MISS Terry 26' 3PT Jump Shot	22 20.7%	19 79.3%
Q1 - 1:48	CHA	Felton Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	22 20.0%	19 80.0%
Q1 - 1:48	CHA	Felton Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	21 19.7%	19 80.3%
Q1 - 2:06	DAL	Bass 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)	20 18.0%	19 82.0%
Q1 - 2:25	CHA	Morrison 13' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)	20 19.7%	17 80.3%
Q1 - 2:52	DAL	Terry 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)	18 18.0%	17 82.0%
Q1 - 3:08	CHA	Augustin 17' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)	18 19.2%	15 80.8%
Q1 - 3:33	DAL	Kidd 13' Pullup Bank Shot (5 PTS)	16 17.8%	15 82.2%
Q1 - 3:46	CHA	Kidd STEAL (1 STL)	16 19.2%	13 80.8%
Q1 - 3:56	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	16 20.7%	13 79.3%
Q1 - 3:58	DAL	MISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot	16 20.2%	13 79.8%
Q1 - 4:04	DAL	Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	16 18.6%	13 81.4%
Q1 - 4:06	CHA	MISS Mohammed 11' Hook Shot	16 19.1%	13 80.9%
Q1 - 4:26	CHA	Mohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	16 20.1%	13 79.9%
Q1 - 4:28	DAL	MISS Terry 11' Jump Shot	16 19.7%	13 80.3%
Q1 - 4:47	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	16 18.7%	13 81.3%
Q1 - 4:47	CHA	Okafor Putback Dunk (8 PTS)	16 18.7%	13 81.3%
Q1 - 4:48	CHA	MISS Augustin Layup	14 16.5%	13 83.5%
Q1 - 5:14	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	14 17.6%	13 82.4%
Q1 - 5:15	DAL	MISS Nowitzki 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot	14 17.2%	13 82.8%
Q1 - 5:38	CHA	Mohammed 10' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot (2 PTS)	14 16.2%	13 83.8%
Q1 - 5:57	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	12 15.2%	13 84.8%
Q1 - 5:58	DAL	MISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot	12 14.8%	13 85.2%
Q1 - 6:16	CHA	Okafor 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Felton 1 AST)	12 13.7%	13 86.3%
Q1 - 6:41	DAL	Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Barea 2 AST)	10 12.8%	13 87.2%
Q1 - 6:46	DAL	George REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	10 14.8%	10 85.2%
Q1 - 6:48	DAL	MISS Kidd 23' Jump Shot	10 15.6%	10 84.4%
Q1 - 7:09	CHA	Felton 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Augustin 2 AST)	10 14.4%	10 85.6%
Q1 - 7:27	DAL	Dampier 4' Jump Hook Shot (5 PTS)	8 13.5%	10 86.5%
Q1 - 7:28	DAL	Dampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	8 14.4%	8 85.6%
Q1 - 7:29	DAL	MISS George 17' Jump Shot	8 15.2%	8 84.8%
Q1 - 7:48	CHA	Felton Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST)	8 14.4%	8 85.6%
Q1 - 7:52	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	6 13.5%	8 86.5%
Q1 - 7:54	DAL	MISS Barea Driving Layup	6 13.2%	8 86.8%
Q1 - 8:05	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	6 12.3%	8 87.7%
Q1 - 8:05	CHA	Okafor Putback Layup (4 PTS)	6 12.3%	8 87.7%
Q1 - 8:07	CHA	MISS Augustin Driving Reverse Layup	4 10.8%	8 89.2%
Q1 - 8:26	DAL	Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (George 1 AST)	4 11.4%	8 88.6%
Q1 - 8:42	DAL	Kidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4 13.2%	5 86.8%
Q1 - 8:43	CHA	MISS Okafor 13' Jump Shot	4 13.5%	5 86.5%
Q1 - 8:57	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4 14.2%	5 85.8%
Q1 - 8:59	DAL	MISS George 3PT Jump Shot	4 13.9%	5 86.1%
Q1 - 9:09	CHA	Carroll 21' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)	4 13.2%	5 86.8%
Q1 - 9:25	DAL	Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	2 12.2%	5 87.8%
Q1 - 9:25	DAL	Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	2 12.3%	4 87.7%
Q1 - 9:41	CHA	Okafor 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	2 13.2%	3 86.8%
Q1 - 9:57	DAL	Nowitzki Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)	0 12.2%	3 87.8%
Q1 - 10:15	DAL	Barea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	0 11.5%	3 88.5%
Q1 - 10:15	CHA	MISS Augustin 16' Jump Shot	0 11.8%	3 88.2%
Q1 - 10:26	DAL	Dampier Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)	0 12.3%	3 87.7%
Q1 - 10:46	DAL	Dampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 14.0%	0 86.0%
Q1 - 10:47	CHA	MISS Okafor 5' Jump Hook Shot	0 14.2%	0 85.8%
Q1 - 11:05	DAL	Barea Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)	0 14.4%	0 85.6%
Q1 - 11:20	DAL	Barea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	0 13.6%	0 86.4%
Q1 - 11:21	CHA	MISS Carroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot	0 13.9%	0 86.1%
Q1 - 11:29	CHA	Carroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 14.5%	0 85.5%
Q1 - 11:30	DAL	MISS Barea Driving Layup	0 14.2%	0 85.8%
Q1 - 11:36	DAL	Barea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 13.6%	0 86.4%
Q1 - 11:37	CHA	MISS Felton 24' 3PT Jump Shot	0 13.9%	0 86.1%
Q1 - 12:00	DAL	Jump Ball Dampier vs. Hollins: Tip to Augustin	0 14.5%	0 85.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.01 50.6%

DAL

1.04 52.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHA

58%

DAL

48%

Midrange

CHA

49%

DAL

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHA

3.0

20%

30%

DAL

12.0

40%

60%

Free Throws

CHA

63%

DAL

94%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bobcats

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
E. Okafor	27	71%	13.5 / 19
R. Felton	16	42%	8.0 / 19
D. Augustin	9	26%	4.5 / 17
A. Morrison	9	64%	4.5 / 7
M. Carroll	8	67%	4.0 / 6
R. Hollins	7	88%	3.5 / 4
S. May	6	50%	3.0 / 6
N. Mohammed	6	60%	3.0 / 5
S. Brown	2	33%	1.0 / 3
A. Ajinca	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Terry	26	65%	13.0 / 20
D. Nowitzki	23	52%	11.5 / 22
J. Kidd	12	55%	6.0 / 11
B. Bass	11	46%	5.5 / 12
E. Dampier	9	113%	4.5 / 4
J. Barea	8	50%	4.0 / 8
D. George	4	33%	2.0 / 6
A. Wright	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA

+13

-10

DAL

+11

-7

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.01 50.6%

DAL

1.04 52.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	104.9 110.3	CHA 104.7 DAL 111.8 +7.1
Pace	88.2 91.7	CHA 80.8 DAL 92.0 +11.2
Avg. Poss. Time	16.5 16.0	CHA 17.8 DAL 15.7 +2.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	49.4% 50.4%	CHA 50.0% DAL 50.0%
TO %	16.7% 13.2%	CHA 11.3% DAL 8.4% +2.9%
ORB %	27.8% 26.6%	CHA 27.5% +6.1% DAL 21.4%
FTrt	31.2 27.4	CHA 24.4 +4.4 DAL 20.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	60.7% 56.9%	CHA 50.0% DAL 69.4% +19.4%
STL %	7.9% 7.8%	CHA 3.5% DAL 7.1% +3.6%
BLK %	8.2% 8.0%	CHA 13.3% +11.8% DAL 1.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	52.0% 53.6%	CHA 50.6% DAL 52.2% +1.6%
Rim FG%	55.2% 57.7%	CHA 58.1% +10.0% DAL 48.1%
Mid FG%	40.4% 44.9%	CHA 48.6% +3.1% DAL 45.5%
3P %	36.6% 35.0%	CHA 20.0% DAL 40.0% +20.0%
FT %	74.0% 81.9%	CHA 63.2% DAL 93.8% +30.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	40.0% 28.9%	CHA 39.7% +6.0% DAL 33.8%
Mid Att. %	38.8% 47.0%	CHA 47.4% DAL 41.3% +6.2%
3P Att. %	21.3% 24.1%	CHA 12.8% DAL 25.0% +12.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.44 and 2.44.

Game Totals	CHA	DAL
Possessions	86	85
Possession Minutes	25.6	22.2
Points	90	95
Rebounds	44	38
Assists	19	25
Steals	3	6
Blocks	8	1
Turnovers (Team)	10 (1)	7 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (2)	9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (0)	29 (1)
Field Goals	38-78	36-80
At-the-Rim FG	18-31	13-27
Midrange FG	18-37	15-33
2-Point FG	36-68	28-60
3-Point FG	2-10	8-20
Free Throws	12-19	15-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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28 Charlotte Bobcats

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
D.J. Augustin G · 6'0" 183 · 21	42.9	9	26%	3	10	0	0	1	2	0	3	2-2	100%	2-12	17%	1-4	25%
Emeka Okafor F · 6'10" 255 · 26	41.0	27	71%	17	0	0	3	1	2	4	13	3-5	60%	12-17	71%	0-0	-
Raymond Felton G · 6'1" 205 · 24	40.7	16	42%	5	6	3	0	1	1	1	4	4-6	67%	6-14	43%	0-2	0%
Matt Carroll F · 6'6" 212 · 28	28.7	8	67%	3	1	0	1	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Ryan Hollins C · 7'0" 240 · 24	21.2	7	88%	4	0	0	1	2	5	2	2	3-4	75%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Adam Morrison F · 6'8" 205 · 24	19.2	9	64%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-2	0%	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Sean May C-F · 6'9" 266 · 25	14.9	6	50%	5	1	0	0	1	3	1	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Nazr Mohammed C · 6'10" 250 · 31	14.9	6	60%	4	1	0	2	1	1	2	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Shannon Brown G · 6'3" 215 · 23	12.4	2	33%	2	0	0	0	2	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Alexis Ajinca C · 7'2" 248 · 21	4.0	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Gerald Wallace F · 6'7" 220 · 26
Dwayne Jones F-C · 6'11" 248 · 26
Boris Diaw #32 · C-F · 6'8" 250 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Raja Bell #19 · G · 6'5" 210 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Sean Singletary #44 · G · 6'0" 185 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	51%	44	19	3	8	10	0	11	33	12-19	63%	36-68	53%	2-10	20%

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28 Charlotte Bobcats

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
D.J. Augustin G · 6'0" 183 · 21	42.9	9	26%	3	10	0	0	1	2	0	3	2-2	100%	2-12	17%	1-4	25%
Emeka Okafor F · 6'10" 255 · 26	41.0	27	71%	17	0	0	3	1	2	4	13	3-5	60%	12-17	71%	0-0	-
Raymond Felton G · 6'1" 205 · 24	40.7	16	42%	5	6	3	0	1	1	1	4	4-6	67%	6-14	43%	0-2	0%
Matt Carroll F · 6'6" 212 · 28	28.7	8	67%	3	1	0	1	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Ryan Hollins C · 7'0" 240 · 24	21.2	7	88%	4	0	0	1	2	5	2	2	3-4	75%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Adam Morrison F · 6'8" 205 · 24	19.2	9	64%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-2	0%	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Sean May C-F · 6'9" 266 · 25	14.9	6	50%	5	1	0	0	1	3	1	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Nazr Mohammed C · 6'10" 250 · 31	14.9	6	60%	4	1	0	2	1	1	2	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Shannon Brown G · 6'3" 215 · 23	12.4	2	33%	2	0	0	0	2	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Alexis Ajinca C · 7'2" 248 · 21	4.0	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Gerald Wallace F · 6'7" 220 · 26
Dwayne Jones F-C · 6'11" 248 · 26
Boris Diaw #32 · C-F · 6'8" 250 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Raja Bell #19 · G · 6'5" 210 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Sean Singletary #44 · G · 6'0" 185 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	51%	44	19	3	8	10	0	11	33	12-19	63%	36-68	53%	2-10	20%

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6 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dirk Nowitzki F · 7'0" 245 · 30	39.5	23	52%	13	5	1	0	2	2	2	11	2-2	100%	6-15	40%	3-6	50%
Jason Kidd G · 6'4" 210 · 36	35.7	12	55%	2	7	3	1	1	1	0	2	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	2-3	67%
J.J. Barea G · 6'0" 185 · 24	33.9	8	50%	5	5	0	0	2	0	0	5	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Erick Dampier C · 6'11" 265 · 33	29.0	9	113%	5	2	0	0	1	1	2	3	1-1	100%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Devean George F · 6'8" 235 · 31	23.6	4	33%	1	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Jason Terry G · 6'2" 185 · 31	33.0	26	65%	1	3	2	0	1	2	0	1	7-8	88%	5-9	56%	3-7	43%
Brandon Bass F · 6'8" 250 · 24	23.9	11	46%	9	0	0	0	0	1	4	5	1-1	100%	5-12	42%	0-0	-
Antoine Wright F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25	18.1	2	25%	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
DeSagana Diop C · 7'0" 280 · 27	3.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Shawne Williams F · 6'10" 230 · 23
James Singleton F · 6'8" 230 · 27
Gerald Green G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23
Josh Howard #5 · F-G · 6'7" 210 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jerry Stackhouse #42 · F · 6'6" 218 · 34	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	52%	38	25	6	1	7	0	9	29	15-16	94%	28-60	47%	8-20	40%

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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).

indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE