FinalWin Prob.pScore
1625%89
89
375%98
95
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
101.18891.0
SAS logo SAS
109.28784.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL89
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0SASFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)89
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0SASFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)89
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0ATLJohnson 8' Jump Shot (29 PTS)89
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 0:14.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)87
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 0:14.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)87
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 0:15.0ATLBibby 1' Layup (9 PTS)87
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 0:20.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)85
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 0:20.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)85
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 0:20.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 0:21.0ATLMISS Murray 1' Layup85
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q4 - 0:32.0SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (23 PTS)85
3.7%
89
96.3%
Q4 - 0:54.0ATLJohnson 8' Jump Shot (27 PTS)85
11.6%
87
88.4%
Q4 - 1:00SASGinobili Traveling Turnover (P4.T17)83
7.1%
87
92.9%
Q4 - 1:18ATLMurray 6' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)83
5.1%
87
94.9%
Q4 - 1:31SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)81
3.8%
87
96.2%
Q4 - 1:31SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 281
4.3%
86
95.7%
Q4 - 1:31SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)81
3.5%
86
96.5%
Q4 - 1:31SASMISS Duncan 3' Jump Shot81
5.3%
86
94.7%
Q4 - 1:53ATLMurray 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)81
4.4%
86
95.6%
Q4 - 1:57ATLHawks Rebound78
1.7%
86
98.3%
Q4 - 1:57ATLMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot78
1.2%
86
98.8%
Q4 - 2:13SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)78
1.9%
86
98.1%
Q4 - 2:39ATLJohnson 2' Layup (25 PTS) (Bibby 7 AST)78
4.1%
83
95.9%
Q4 - 2:45SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)76
3.1%
83
96.9%
Q4 - 3:00SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
2.1%
83
97.9%
Q4 - 3:01ATLMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
2.5%
83
97.5%
Q4 - 3:13SASDuncan 6' Jump Bank Shot (18 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)76
3.7%
83
96.3%
Q4 - 3:27SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)76
4.9%
81
95.1%
Q4 - 3:27SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (17 PTS)76
7.6%
80
92.4%
Q4 - 3:34SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)76
14.5%
79
85.5%
Q4 - 3:35ATLMISS Bibby 7' Jump Shot76
16.1%
79
83.9%
Q4 - 3:49SASHill Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)76
20.1%
79
79.9%
Q4 - 4:00ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)76
14.1%
79
85.9%
Q4 - 4:16SASFinley 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Hill 5 AST)73
7.2%
79
92.8%
Q4 - 4:40ATLMurray 1' Layup (12 PTS)73
9.8%
77
90.2%
Q4 - 4:45SASFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)71
7.1%
77
92.9%
Q4 - 5:07SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
6.5%
77
93.5%
Q4 - 5:07ATLMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
7.2%
77
92.8%
Q4 - 5:23SASFinley 14' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)71
8.9%
77
91.1%
Q4 - 5:53ATLJohnson 2' Layup (20 PTS) (Murray 3 AST)71
11.8%
75
88.2%
Q4 - 6:00SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)69
8.8%
75
91.2%
Q4 - 6:11SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
7.6%
75
92.4%
Q4 - 6:12ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot69
8.3%
75
91.7%
Q4 - 6:15ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)69
10.1%
75
89.9%
Q4 - 6:16ATLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot69
8.3%
75
91.7%
Q4 - 6:34SASFinley 9' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)69
10.0%
75
90.0%
Q4 - 6:49ATLBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)69
13.0%
73
87.0%
Q4 - 6:49ATLBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)68
12.4%
73
87.6%
Q4 - 7:12SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Hill 4 AST)67
10.8%
73
89.2%
Q4 - 7:32ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Bibby 6 AST)67
17.1%
70
82.9%
Q4 - 7:37ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
10.8%
70
89.2%
Q4 - 7:39SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot64
9.9%
70
90.1%
Q4 - 8:08ATLBibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)64
9.2%
70
90.8%
Q4 - 8:24SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)61
5.6%
70
94.4%
Q4 - 8:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)61
4.4%
70
95.6%
Q4 - 8:33ATLMISS Johnson 3' Layup61
4.7%
70
95.3%
Q4 - 8:51SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)61
5.6%
70
94.4%
Q4 - 8:51SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 261
5.9%
69
94.1%
Q4 - 9:01SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
6.5%
69
93.5%
Q4 - 9:02ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 2 of 261
6.7%
69
93.3%
Q4 - 9:02ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)61
7.7%
69
92.3%
Q4 - 9:08SASOberto Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)60
6.4%
69
93.6%
Q4 - 9:26ATLMurray 9' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST)60
5.1%
69
94.9%
Q4 - 9:29SASUdoka Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)58
4.0%
69
96.0%
Q4 - 9:32SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
3.2%
69
96.8%
Q4 - 9:33ATLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot58
3.5%
69
96.5%
Q4 - 9:53SASMason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)58
4.0%
69
96.0%
Q4 - 9:58SASOberto REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)58
6.4%
66
93.6%
Q4 - 10:02SASMISS Parker 3' Jump Shot58
8.0%
66
92.0%
Q4 - 10:16ATLEvans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)58
7.0%
66
93.0%
Q4 - 10:34SASParker 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)55
4.5%
66
95.5%
Q4 - 10:57SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
5.6%
64
94.4%
Q4 - 10:58ATLMISS Law 15' Jump Shot55
6.0%
64
94.0%
Q4 - 11:22SASParker 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)55
7.5%
64
92.5%
Q4 - 11:39ATLLaw Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T10)55
9.2%
62
90.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS55
11.0%
62
89.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound55
9.1%
62
90.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Hill 45' 3PT Jump Shot55
10.4%
62
89.6%
Q3 - 0:03.0ATLMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)55
9.8%
62
90.2%
Q3 - 0:03.0ATLMISS Murray Free Throw 1 of 254
9.4%
62
90.6%
Q3 - 0:24.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
9.5%
62
90.5%
Q3 - 0:25.0SASMISS Duncan 21' Jump Shot54
9.1%
62
90.9%
Q3 - 0:40.0SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
8.1%
62
91.9%
Q3 - 0:40.0ATLMISS Evans 1' Layup54
8.5%
62
91.5%
Q3 - 0:45.0ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
9.5%
62
90.5%
Q3 - 0:46.0SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot54
9.1%
62
90.9%
Q3 - 1:08ATLEvans 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)54
8.4%
62
91.6%
Q3 - 1:24SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)52
6.9%
62
93.1%
Q3 - 1:24SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 252
7.2%
61
92.8%
Q3 - 1:24SASSPURS Rebound52
7.0%
61
93.0%
Q3 - 1:25SASMISS Bowen 10' Running Jump Shot52
7.8%
61
92.2%
Q3 - 1:43ATLPachulia 1' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Law 1 AST)52
7.0%
61
93.0%
Q3 - 2:01SASBowen Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T9)50
6.1%
61
93.9%
Q3 - 2:19ATLMurray 1' Dunk (7 PTS)50
5.1%
61
94.9%
Q3 - 2:25SASHill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)48
4.3%
61
95.7%
Q3 - 2:41ATLEvans 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)48
3.6%
61
96.4%
Q3 - 3:05SASGinobili 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)46
3.2%
61
96.8%
Q3 - 3:18ATLPachulia Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)46
3.8%
59
96.2%
Q3 - 3:27SASHill 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)46
4.5%
59
95.5%
Q3 - 3:43ATLPachulia 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)46
5.3%
57
94.7%
Q3 - 3:59SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)44
4.5%
57
95.5%
Q3 - 3:59SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)44
4.7%
56
95.3%
Q3 - 4:05SASSPURS Rebound44
5.5%
55
94.5%
Q3 - 4:05SASMISS Hill 2' Layup44
6.3%
55
93.7%
Q3 - 4:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)44
5.5%
55
94.5%
Q3 - 4:10ATLMISS Smith 4' Running Jump Shot44
5.8%
55
94.2%
Q3 - 4:29SASHill 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bonner 2 AST)44
6.7%
55
93.3%
Q3 - 4:47SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)44
8.9%
52
91.1%
Q3 - 4:49ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
9.5%
52
90.5%
Q3 - 4:59ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
10.7%
52
89.3%
Q3 - 5:00SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot44
10.2%
52
89.8%
Q3 - 5:14SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
9.2%
52
90.8%
Q3 - 5:15ATLMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot44
9.7%
52
90.3%
Q3 - 5:33ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
10.9%
52
89.1%
Q3 - 5:35SASMISS Bonner 17' Jump Shot44
10.4%
52
89.6%
Q3 - 5:50ATLJohnson 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS)44
9.2%
52
90.8%
Q3 - 6:14ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
8.3%
52
91.7%
Q3 - 6:15SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 242
8.1%
52
91.9%
Q3 - 6:15SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 242
7.4%
52
92.6%
Q3 - 6:20SASBonner REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)42
7.0%
52
93.0%
Q3 - 6:22ATLMISS Bibby 18' Jump Shot42
7.4%
52
92.6%
Q3 - 6:29ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
8.3%
52
91.7%
Q3 - 6:30SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot42
7.9%
52
92.1%
Q3 - 6:49ATLJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)42
7.0%
52
93.0%
Q3 - 6:57ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
5.3%
52
94.7%
Q3 - 6:58SASMISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
5.0%
52
95.0%
Q3 - 7:04SASBonner REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)39
4.8%
52
95.2%
Q3 - 7:06ATLDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)39
5.0%
52
95.0%
Q3 - 7:24SASDuncan 11' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)39
5.5%
52
94.5%
Q3 - 7:48ATLHorford Traveling Turnover (P3.T8)39
6.3%
50
93.7%
Q3 - 8:13SASDuncan 3' Layup (10 PTS)39
7.6%
50
92.4%
Q3 - 8:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)39
8.6%
48
91.4%
Q3 - 8:32ATLMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot39
9.0%
48
91.0%
Q3 - 8:54SASMason Jr. 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)39
9.9%
48
90.1%
Q3 - 9:06SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
11.4%
46
88.6%
Q3 - 9:08ATLMISS Horford 9' Jump Bank Shot39
11.9%
46
88.1%
Q3 - 9:22ATLHawks Rebound39
13.0%
46
87.0%
Q3 - 9:24SASMISS Bonner 3' Jump Shot39
12.5%
46
87.5%
Q3 - 9:26SASBonner REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)39
11.4%
46
88.6%
Q3 - 9:27SASMISS Duncan 3' Jump Shot39
12.5%
46
87.5%
Q3 - 9:34ATLJohnson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)39
11.4%
46
88.6%
Q3 - 9:52ATLHawks Rebound39
13.0%
46
87.0%
Q3 - 9:52SASMISS Parker 12' Jump Shot39
12.5%
46
87.5%
Q3 - 10:15ATLJohnson 5' Jump Shot (10 PTS)39
11.6%
46
88.4%
Q3 - 10:41SASFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Mason Jr. 2 AST)37
10.2%
46
89.8%
Q3 - 10:44SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
13.1%
43
86.9%
Q3 - 10:46SASMISS Parker 6' Jump Shot37
14.3%
43
85.7%
Q3 - 11:07ATLHorford 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)37
13.2%
43
86.8%
Q3 - 11:26ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
11.7%
43
88.3%
Q3 - 11:28SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Bank Shot35
11.3%
43
88.7%
Q3 - 11:41SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)35
10.3%
43
89.7%
Q3 - 11:42SASMISS Finley 19' Jump Shot35
11.3%
43
88.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL35
10.3%
43
89.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)35
11.7%
43
88.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0SASMISS Parker 15' Jump Shot35
11.4%
43
88.6%
Q2 - 0:08.0SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)35
10.8%
43
89.2%
Q2 - 0:09.0ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 135
10.9%
43
89.1%
Q2 - 0:29.0SASBonner 2' Layup (9 PTS)33
9.2%
43
90.8%
Q2 - 0:29.0SASBonner REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)33
10.7%
41
89.3%
Q2 - 0:30.0SASMISS Mason Jr. 17' Jump Shot33
11.4%
41
88.6%
Q2 - 0:38.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
10.7%
41
89.3%
Q2 - 0:39.0ATLMISS Bibby 8' Floating Jump Shot33
11.0%
41
89.0%
Q2 - 0:46.0SASMason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)33
11.8%
41
88.2%
Q2 - 0:52.0SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
15.2%
38
84.8%
Q2 - 0:53.0ATLMISS Smith 8' Turnaround Jump Shot33
15.7%
38
84.3%
Q2 - 1:03ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
16.7%
38
83.3%
Q2 - 1:05SASMISS Oberto 5' Jump Shot33
16.2%
38
83.8%
Q2 - 1:32ATLJohnson 9' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)33
15.4%
38
84.6%
Q2 - 1:49SASBonner 8' Jump Shot (7 PTS)31
13.3%
38
86.7%
Q2 - 1:51SASBonner REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)31
15.4%
36
84.6%
Q2 - 1:52SASMISS Ginobili 20' Jump Shot31
16.2%
36
83.8%
Q2 - 2:14ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)31
15.0%
36
85.0%
Q2 - 2:14ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
14.8%
36
85.2%
Q2 - 2:17ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
13.5%
36
86.5%
Q2 - 2:19SASMISS Mason Jr. 20' Jump Shot29
13.0%
36
87.0%
Q2 - 2:43ATLLaw 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)29
12.1%
36
87.9%
Q2 - 2:48SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)27
10.8%
36
89.2%
Q2 - 3:04SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)27
9.6%
36
90.4%
Q2 - 3:06ATLMISS Law 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
10.0%
36
90.0%
Q2 - 3:30SASParker 16' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
10.9%
36
89.1%
Q2 - 3:48SASBonner REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)27
12.0%
34
88.0%
Q2 - 3:49ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
12.4%
34
87.6%
Q2 - 3:57ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
13.6%
34
86.4%
Q2 - 3:58SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup27
13.1%
34
86.9%
Q2 - 4:18ATLBonner STEAL (1 STL)27
12.1%
34
87.9%
Q2 - 4:35SASParker Foul Turnover (P1.T6)27
13.5%
34
86.5%
Q2 - 4:59ATLWilliams 4' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)27
12.0%
34
88.0%
Q2 - 5:19ATLLaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
11.0%
34
89.0%
Q2 - 5:20SASMISS Parker 5' Jump Shot25
10.7%
34
89.3%
Q2 - 5:50ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)25
9.9%
34
90.1%
Q2 - 5:53SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)22
8.0%
34
92.0%
Q2 - 6:10ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
7.3%
34
92.7%
Q2 - 6:10ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
7.2%
34
92.8%
Q2 - 6:24SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)20
6.7%
34
93.3%
Q2 - 6:26ATLGinobili STEAL (1 STL)20
5.9%
34
94.1%
Q2 - 6:39SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)20
6.7%
34
93.3%
Q2 - 6:45SASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
5.9%
34
94.1%
Q2 - 6:47ATLMISS Smith 5' Jump Shot20
6.1%
34
93.9%
Q2 - 7:05SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)20
6.7%
34
93.3%
Q2 - 7:27ATLLaw Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)20
8.3%
31
91.7%
Q2 - 7:43SASGinobili 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)17
6.7%
31
93.3%
Q2 - 7:57SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
7.4%
29
92.6%
Q2 - 7:59ATLMISS Law 17' Jump Shot17
7.7%
29
92.3%
Q2 - 8:23SASThomas 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)17
8.5%
29
91.5%
Q2 - 8:30SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
9.4%
27
90.6%
Q2 - 8:31ATLOberto BLOCK (1 BLK)17
9.7%
27
90.3%
Q2 - 8:50SASMason Jr. Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)17
10.4%
27
89.6%
Q2 - 9:10SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
9.5%
27
90.5%
Q2 - 9:12ATLMISS Murray 11' Jump Shot17
9.8%
27
90.2%
Q2 - 9:21ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
10.4%
27
89.6%
Q2 - 9:23SASMISS Parker 13' Jump Shot17
10.1%
27
89.9%
Q2 - 9:47ATLMurray Foul Turnover (P1.T4)17
9.5%
27
90.5%
Q2 - 10:02SASMason Jr. 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
10.7%
27
89.3%
Q2 - 10:15ATLHorford Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)17
11.7%
25
88.3%
Q2 - 10:26ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
12.8%
25
87.2%
Q2 - 10:27SASMISS Oberto 12' Jump Shot17
12.5%
25
87.5%
Q2 - 10:44SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)17
11.7%
25
88.3%
Q2 - 10:46SASMISS Thomas 16' Jump Shot17
12.5%
25
87.5%
Q2 - 10:57SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
11.7%
25
88.3%
Q2 - 10:58ATLMISS Horford 12' Jump Shot17
12.0%
25
88.0%
Q2 - 11:16ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)17
13.1%
25
86.9%
Q2 - 11:18SASMISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
12.7%
25
87.3%
Q2 - 11:28SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
12.0%
25
88.0%
Q2 - 11:29ATLMISS Horford 9' Turnaround Jump Shot17
12.3%
25
87.7%
Q2 - 11:45ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
13.1%
25
86.9%
Q2 - 11:46SASMISS Parker 10' Jump Shot17
12.7%
25
87.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS17
11.9%
25
88.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound17
11.9%
25
88.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
12.7%
25
87.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLMurray 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)17
12.2%
25
87.8%
Q1 - 0:20.0SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
10.0%
25
90.0%
Q1 - 0:20.0SASMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 214
10.2%
24
89.8%
Q1 - 0:34.0ATLPachulia 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)14
10.3%
24
89.7%
Q1 - 0:41.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
9.2%
24
90.8%
Q1 - 0:42.0SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
8.6%
24
91.4%
Q1 - 0:42.0SASMISS Oberto 2' Layup12
9.0%
24
91.0%
Q1 - 0:44.0SASMISS Ginobili 5' Running Jump Shot12
9.0%
24
91.0%
Q1 - 1:12ATLHorford 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
8.9%
24
91.1%
Q1 - 1:29SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)10
7.9%
24
92.1%
Q1 - 1:29SASMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 210
8.1%
23
91.9%
Q1 - 1:33ATLHill STEAL (1 STL)10
8.1%
23
91.9%
Q1 - 1:36ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
8.6%
23
91.4%
Q1 - 1:38ATLMISS Evans 20' Jump Shot10
8.3%
23
91.7%
Q1 - 2:01SASGinobili 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS)10
9.0%
23
91.0%
Q1 - 2:18SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
10.7%
20
89.3%
Q1 - 2:19ATLMISS Horford 8' Turnaround Jump Shot10
11.0%
20
89.0%
Q1 - 2:37ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
11.5%
20
88.5%
Q1 - 2:39SASMISS Bonner 3PT Jump Shot10
11.2%
20
88.8%
Q1 - 2:48SASBonner REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)10
10.7%
20
89.3%
Q1 - 2:50SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
11.2%
20
88.8%
Q1 - 3:01SASSPURS Rebound10
10.6%
20
89.4%
Q1 - 3:02SASMISS Hill 3' Driving Layup10
11.2%
20
88.8%
Q1 - 3:14ATLMurray 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
10.6%
20
89.4%
Q1 - 3:43SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)8
9.8%
20
90.2%
Q1 - 3:52SASBonner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)8
11.5%
17
88.5%
Q1 - 3:54SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
12.2%
17
87.8%
Q1 - 4:06SASBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)8
11.5%
17
88.5%
Q1 - 4:08ATLMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot8
11.8%
17
88.2%
Q1 - 4:10ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
12.5%
17
87.5%
Q1 - 4:12ATLBonner BLOCK (1 BLK)8
11.8%
17
88.2%
Q1 - 4:31SASDuncan 3' Running Layup (8 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)8
12.5%
17
87.5%
Q1 - 4:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
13.4%
15
86.6%
Q1 - 4:48SASMISS Finley 17' Jump Shot8
14.2%
15
85.8%
Q1 - 5:01SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
13.7%
15
86.3%
Q1 - 5:03ATLFinley BLOCK (2 BLK)8
14.1%
15
85.9%
Q1 - 5:36SASFinley 14' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)8
14.9%
15
85.1%
Q1 - 5:51SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
15.8%
13
84.2%
Q1 - 5:52ATLMISS Bibby 6' Jump Bank Shot8
16.2%
13
83.8%
Q1 - 6:17SASFinley 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)8
16.9%
13
83.1%
Q1 - 6:23SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
18.1%
11
81.9%
Q1 - 6:25ATLMISS Pachulia 11' Jump Bank Shot8
18.5%
11
81.5%
Q1 - 6:35SASDuncan 2' Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)8
19.5%
11
80.5%
Q1 - 6:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
20.8%
9
79.2%
Q1 - 6:54ATLMISS Johnson 8' Jump Shot8
21.2%
9
78.8%
Q1 - 7:13SASDuncan 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)8
22.0%
9
78.0%
Q1 - 7:29ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
23.3%
7
76.7%
Q1 - 7:29ATLJohnson 2' Layup (4 PTS)8
23.3%
7
76.7%
Q1 - 7:30ATLFinley BLOCK (1 BLK)6
20.9%
7
79.1%
Q1 - 7:38ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
22.0%
7
78.0%
Q1 - 7:40SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup6
21.5%
7
78.5%
Q1 - 7:50SASBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)6
20.4%
7
79.6%
Q1 - 7:52ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot6
20.9%
7
79.1%
Q1 - 8:03ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
21.6%
7
78.4%
Q1 - 8:05SASMISS Mason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot6
21.2%
7
78.8%
Q1 - 8:15SASBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)6
20.3%
7
79.7%
Q1 - 8:17ATLMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
20.7%
7
79.3%
Q1 - 8:35SASDuncan 2' Layup (2 PTS)6
21.7%
7
78.3%
Q1 - 8:37SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
23.2%
5
76.8%
Q1 - 8:39SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot6
24.2%
5
75.8%
Q1 - 8:50ATLHorford Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)6
23.2%
5
76.8%
Q1 - 9:08SASBonner 1' Layup (5 PTS)6
24.4%
5
75.6%
Q1 - 9:10SASBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)6
26.1%
3
73.9%
Q1 - 9:12SASMISS Parker 2' Driving Reverse Layup6
27.0%
3
73.0%
Q1 - 9:36ATLSmith 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)6
26.1%
3
73.9%
Q1 - 10:00SASBonner 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)4
24.4%
3
75.6%
Q1 - 10:18SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
26.9%
0
73.1%
Q1 - 10:19ATLMISS Williams 12' Jump Shot4
27.3%
0
72.7%
Q1 - 10:39ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
28.4%
0
71.6%
Q1 - 10:41SASMISS Bonner 3' Layup4
28.0%
0
72.0%
Q1 - 10:48SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
26.9%
0
73.1%
Q1 - 10:49SASMISS Parker 14' Jump Shot4
28.0%
0
72.0%
Q1 - 11:06ATLBibby 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)4
25.9%
0
74.1%
Q1 - 11:18SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)2
24.7%
0
75.3%
Q1 - 11:45ATLJohnson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)2
23.5%
0
76.5%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Smith: Tip to Johnson0
22.3%
0
77.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.06 53.0%
SAS
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
15
24
63%
SAS
11
25
44%
Midrange
ATL
15
34
44%
SAS
14
34
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
SAS
10
15.0
20
50%
75%
Free Throws
ATL
11
14
79%
SAS
15
22
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson2973%14.5 / 20
R. Murray1777%8.5 / 11
M. Bibby938%4.5 / 12
A. Horford844%4.0 / 9
M. Evans750%3.5 / 7
Z. Pachulia660%3.0 / 5
A. Law550%2.5 / 5
M. Williams429%2.0 / 7
J. Smith433%2.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili2796%13.5 / 14
T. Duncan1950%9.5 / 19
M. Finley1563%7.5 / 12
R. Mason Jr.1056%5.0 / 9
M. Bonner956%4.5 / 8
G. Hill750%3.5 / 7
T. Parker621%3.0 / 14
K. Thomas250%1.0 / 2
B. Bowen0-0.0 / 1
F. Oberto0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
78
+6
-10
84
SAS
71
+20
-16
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.06 53.0%
SAS
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
108.3
ATL 101.1
SAS 109.2 +8.1
Pace
89.8
88.7
ATL 91.0 +6.8
SAS 84.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
16.5
ATL 15.8 +1.3
SAS 17.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
51.3%
ATL 50.6%
SAS 50.6%
TO %
13.6%
12.4%
ATL 10.7% +5.4%
SAS 16.1%
ORB %
26.0%
22.2%
ATL 9.8%
SAS 39.5% +29.7%
FTrt
32.3
25.1
ATL 18.2
SAS 27.8 +9.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.1%
57.1%
ATL 52.8% +1.4%
SAS 51.4%
STL %
8.2%
6.5%
ATL 13.6% +10.2%
SAS 3.4%
BLK %
7.4%
6.1%
ATL 18.6% +10.0%
SAS 8.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.2%
53.4%
ATL 53.0% +1.4%
SAS 51.6%
Rim FG%
60.5%
58.8%
ATL 62.5% +18.5%
SAS 44.0%
Mid FG%
40.2%
42.7%
ATL 44.1% +2.9%
SAS 41.2%
3P %
36.6%
38.6%
ATL 31.6%
SAS 50.0% +18.4%
FT %
73.8%
76.2%
ATL 78.6% +10.4%
SAS 68.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.2%
30.3%
ATL 31.2%
SAS 31.6% +0.5%
Mid Att. %
42.4%
44.9%
ATL 44.2%
SAS 43.0% +1.1%
3P Att. %
25.3%
24.8%
ATL 24.7%
SAS 25.3% +0.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLSAS
Possessions8887
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points8995
Rebounds2752
Assists1918
Steals123
Blocks115
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (2)15 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (2)37 (0)
Field Goals36-7735-79
At-the-Rim FG15-2411-25
Midrange FG15-3414-34
2-Point FG30-5825-59
3-Point FG6-1910-20
Free Throws11-1415-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'10" 245 · 23
36.5
8
44%
7
0
0
4
3
4
2
5
2-3
67%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 240 · 27
33.9
29
73%
2
6
2
2
2
3
1
1
1-2
50%
11-15
73%
2-5
40%
F · 6'9" 237 · 22
30.6
4
29%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 195 · 31
29.8
9
38%
4
7
2
0
0
3
0
4
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
1-5
20%
F · 6'9" 225 · 23
24.2
4
33%
3
2
1
2
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 29
26.1
17
77%
1
3
4
2
1
5
0
1
1-2
50%
5-7
71%
2-3
67%
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30
23.6
7
50%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 270 · 25
19.1
6
60%
5
0
1
0
2
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 202 · 24
16.1
5
50%
1
1
2
1
2
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 235 · 24
C · 6'11" 275 · 23
G · 6'5" 210 · 24
#12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'5" 225 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#50 · · 6'8" 225 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
53%
27
19
12
11
10
0
4
23
11-14
79%
30-58
52%
6-19
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.