FinalWin Prob.pScore
1637%92
84
1163%96
92
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
93.39087.2
HOU logo HOU
104.58891.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU84
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0ATLWilliams Dunk (11 PTS) (West 1 AST)84
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0HOULandry Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)82
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0HOUWafer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)82
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0ATLLandry BLOCK (2 BLK)82
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0HOUWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)82
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0HOUWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)82
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0ATLJohnson 5' Hook Shot (22 PTS)82
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 0:57.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)80
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 0:58.0HOUMISS Yao 18' Jump Shot80
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 1:17ATLJohnson Driving Layup (20 PTS)80
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 1:27HOUYao 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)78
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 1:44HOULandry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)78
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 1:45ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 1:55HOUYao 8' Hook Shot (22 PTS)78
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 2:14HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)78
1.2%
86
98.8%
Q4 - 2:15ATLMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
1.4%
86
98.6%
Q4 - 2:30HOUAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)78
2.3%
86
97.7%
Q4 - 2:46HOUYao REBOUND (Off:4 Def:15)78
4.9%
83
95.1%
Q4 - 2:47ATLMISS Pachulia Layup78
6.1%
83
93.9%
Q4 - 3:09HOUWorld Peace Driving Layup (17 PTS)78
10.8%
83
89.2%
Q4 - 3:13HOUWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)78
14.1%
81
85.9%
Q4 - 3:15ATLMISS Johnson 11' Running Jump Shot78
16.5%
81
83.5%
Q4 - 3:28HOUAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)78
23.5%
81
76.5%
Q4 - 3:28HOUAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)78
25.2%
80
74.8%
Q4 - 3:36HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
31.9%
79
68.1%
Q4 - 3:38ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot78
34.6%
79
65.4%
Q4 - 3:53HOUYao Layup (20 PTS) (World Peace 5 AST)78
41.3%
79
58.7%
Q4 - 4:03HOUROCKETS Rebound78
50.1%
77
49.9%
Q4 - 4:03HOUMISS Landry Layup78
57.3%
77
42.7%
Q4 - 4:21ATLHorford 8' Turnaround Fadeaway (14 PTS)78
50.2%
77
49.8%
Q4 - 4:40HOUYao Foul Turnover (P5.T15)76
41.2%
77
58.8%
Q4 - 4:52HOUYao REBOUND (Off:4 Def:14)76
31.4%
77
68.6%
Q4 - 4:53ATLMISS Bibby 23' Jump Shot76
34.3%
77
65.7%
Q4 - 5:11HOUWorld Peace 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)76
41.0%
77
59.0%
Q4 - 5:36ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)76
57.5%
74
42.5%
Q4 - 5:39HOUAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)76
65.9%
74
34.1%
Q4 - 5:52HOUWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)76
57.6%
74
42.4%
Q4 - 5:54ATLMISS Smith 9' Jump Shot76
60.2%
74
39.8%
Q4 - 6:10HOUYao Traveling Turnover (P4.T13)76
63.1%
74
36.9%
Q4 - 6:19ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)76
55.5%
74
44.5%
Q4 - 6:43ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)76
63.2%
74
36.8%
Q4 - 6:44HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 1 of 176
62.2%
74
37.8%
Q4 - 6:53HOUWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)76
69.7%
72
30.3%
Q4 - 6:54ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
71.7%
72
28.3%
Q4 - 7:15ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)76
73.2%
72
26.8%
Q4 - 7:15HOUMISS Landry Free Throw 1 of 176
72.4%
72
27.6%
Q4 - 7:16HOULandry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)76
78.0%
70
22.0%
Q4 - 7:17HOUMISS World Peace Driving Layup76
81.4%
70
18.6%
Q4 - 7:22HOUWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)76
78.0%
70
22.0%
Q4 - 7:23ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
79.5%
70
20.5%
Q4 - 7:41HOUYao 7' Hook Shot (16 PTS)76
82.8%
70
17.2%
Q4 - 7:58ATLSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)76
86.2%
68
13.8%
Q4 - 8:04ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
75.8%
68
24.2%
Q4 - 8:06ATLLandry BLOCK (1 BLK)73
72.5%
68
27.5%
Q4 - 8:10ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
75.8%
68
24.2%
Q4 - 8:12HOUMISS Battier 12' Running Jump Shot73
74.4%
68
25.6%
Q4 - 8:19HOUScola REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)73
71.0%
68
29.0%
Q4 - 8:22HOUMISS Wafer Driving Layup73
74.5%
68
25.5%
Q4 - 8:41ATLJohnson 19' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)73
71.1%
68
28.9%
Q4 - 9:04HOUWafer Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)71
63.5%
68
36.5%
Q4 - 9:04HOUWafer Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)71
64.8%
67
35.2%
Q4 - 9:29ATLHorford 8' Hook Bank Shot (12 PTS)71
69.2%
66
30.8%
Q4 - 9:48HOULandry Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)69
63.6%
66
36.4%
Q4 - 9:57HOUScola REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)69
74.2%
63
25.8%
Q4 - 9:58ATLMISS Smith Layup69
75.5%
63
24.5%
Q4 - 10:12HOUBattier Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)69
76.3%
63
23.7%
Q4 - 10:29ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)69
72.1%
63
27.9%
Q4 - 10:44HOUWafer Foul Turnover (P2.T11)66
62.0%
63
38.0%
Q4 - 11:03ATLJohnson Driving Layup (13 PTS)66
55.5%
63
44.5%
Q4 - 11:26HOUBattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wafer 2 AST)64
49.9%
63
50.1%
Q4 - 11:47ATLSmith Driving Slam Dunk (10 PTS)64
60.8%
60
39.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL62
55.3%
60
44.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound62
55.3%
60
44.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Murray Reverse Layup62
51.8%
60
48.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound62
55.3%
60
44.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLWafer BLOCK (2 BLK)62
51.8%
60
48.2%
Q3 - 0:08.0HOUYao Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)62
54.1%
60
45.9%
Q3 - 0:27.0HOUWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
49.6%
60
50.4%
Q3 - 0:28.0HOUYao REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13)62
49.6%
60
50.4%
Q3 - 0:28.0HOUMISS Yao Tip Shot62
52.8%
60
47.2%
Q3 - 0:29.0HOUMISS Scola 10' Jump Shot62
52.8%
60
47.2%
Q3 - 0:46.0ATLJohnson 30' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)62
49.6%
60
50.4%
Q3 - 1:13HOUWorld Peace Layup (12 PTS)59
38.7%
60
61.3%
Q3 - 1:35HOUYao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)59
43.9%
58
56.1%
Q3 - 1:36ATLMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot59
45.3%
58
54.7%
Q3 - 2:06HOUAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)59
47.6%
58
52.4%
Q3 - 2:07HOUROCKETS Rebound59
43.0%
58
57.0%
Q3 - 2:07HOUMISS Wafer Driving Layup59
46.2%
58
53.8%
Q3 - 2:11HOUScola REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)59
43.0%
58
57.0%
Q3 - 2:12ATLMISS Bibby 22' Jump Shot59
44.4%
58
55.6%
Q3 - 2:17ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)59
47.7%
58
52.3%
Q3 - 2:19ATLWafer BLOCK (1 BLK)59
44.4%
58
55.6%
Q3 - 2:35ATLHawks Rebound59
47.7%
58
52.3%
Q3 - 2:35HOUMISS World Peace Layup59
46.3%
58
53.7%
Q3 - 2:49HOUYao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)59
43.1%
58
56.9%
Q3 - 2:50ATLMISS Evans 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
44.5%
58
55.5%
Q3 - 3:15HOUWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)59
47.1%
58
52.9%
Q3 - 3:15HOUMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 259
48.1%
57
51.9%
Q3 - 3:27HOUYao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)59
46.8%
57
53.2%
Q3 - 3:28ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot59
48.2%
57
51.8%
Q3 - 3:42ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)59
51.6%
57
48.4%
Q3 - 3:44HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
50.1%
57
49.9%
Q3 - 3:54HOUYao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)59
46.8%
57
53.2%
Q3 - 3:56ATLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot59
48.3%
57
51.7%
Q3 - 4:18ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
51.2%
57
48.8%
Q3 - 4:18HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 1 of 159
50.5%
57
49.5%
Q3 - 4:34ATLHorford 9' Running Hook Shot (10 PTS)59
54.8%
55
45.2%
Q3 - 4:49ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)57
51.2%
55
48.8%
Q3 - 4:49HOUMISS Scola Free Throw 2 of 257
50.5%
55
49.5%
Q3 - 4:49HOUMISS Scola Free Throw 1 of 257
47.9%
55
52.1%
Q3 - 4:51ATLScola STEAL (2 STL)57
46.1%
55
53.9%
Q3 - 4:59ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)57
51.2%
55
48.8%
Q3 - 5:01HOUMISS Yao 9' Hook Shot57
48.5%
55
51.5%
Q3 - 5:21ATLJohnson Layup (8 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)57
45.3%
55
54.7%
Q3 - 5:50ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
41.8%
55
58.2%
Q3 - 5:52HOUMISS Yao 9' Hook Shot55
40.4%
55
59.6%
Q3 - 5:59HOUYao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)55
37.2%
55
62.8%
Q3 - 5:59HOUMISS Scola 7' Hook Shot55
40.4%
55
59.6%
Q3 - 6:25ATLAlston STEAL (2 STL)55
37.1%
55
62.9%
Q3 - 6:29ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)55
41.2%
55
58.8%
Q3 - 6:30ATLMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot55
38.3%
55
61.7%
Q3 - 6:50HOUScola REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)55
41.2%
55
58.8%
Q3 - 6:50HOUScola Layup (12 PTS)55
41.2%
55
58.8%
Q3 - 6:51HOUMISS Alston Layup55
47.9%
53
52.1%
Q3 - 6:56ATLAlston STEAL (1 STL)55
44.9%
53
55.1%
Q3 - 7:16HOUWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)55
48.1%
53
51.9%
Q3 - 7:16HOUWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)55
49.0%
52
51.0%
Q3 - 7:17HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)55
51.8%
51
48.2%
Q3 - 7:19HOUMISS Scola Layup55
54.6%
51
45.4%
Q3 - 7:22HOUScola REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
51.8%
51
48.2%
Q3 - 7:23HOUMISS World Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
54.6%
51
45.4%
Q3 - 7:41ATLHorford 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)55
51.9%
51
48.1%
Q3 - 7:46ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)53
48.2%
51
51.8%
Q3 - 7:47ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot53
45.4%
51
54.6%
Q3 - 7:51ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
48.2%
51
51.8%
Q3 - 7:54HOUMISS Yao Layup53
46.9%
51
53.1%
Q3 - 7:56HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)53
44.2%
51
55.8%
Q3 - 7:57HOUMISS Alston 22' Jump Shot53
46.9%
51
53.1%
Q3 - 8:01HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
43.6%
51
56.4%
Q3 - 8:02HOUMISS Alston Layup53
46.4%
51
53.6%
Q3 - 8:08ATLYao STEAL (1 STL)53
43.6%
51
56.4%
Q3 - 8:12ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)53
47.7%
51
52.3%
Q3 - 8:13ATLMISS Horford 18' Jump Shot53
44.9%
51
55.1%
Q3 - 8:25HOUWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)53
47.7%
51
52.3%
Q3 - 8:25HOUWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)53
48.5%
50
51.5%
Q3 - 8:39ATLBibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)53
51.2%
49
48.8%
Q3 - 8:45ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
43.9%
49
56.1%
Q3 - 8:46HOUMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot50
42.7%
49
57.3%
Q3 - 9:08ATLWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)50
39.9%
49
60.1%
Q3 - 9:20ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
33.1%
49
66.9%
Q3 - 9:22HOUMISS Yao 10' Turnaround Jump Shot47
32.1%
49
67.9%
Q3 - 9:37ATLHorford 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)47
29.8%
49
70.2%
Q3 - 9:54ATLHawks Rebound45
26.9%
49
73.1%
Q3 - 9:55HOUMISS Alston Layup45
26.0%
49
74.0%
Q3 - 10:11ATLBibby 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)45
24.2%
49
75.8%
Q3 - 10:20HOUYao Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)42
19.4%
49
80.6%
Q3 - 10:39ATLWilliams Layup (6 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)42
17.2%
49
82.8%
Q3 - 10:44HOUWorld Peace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)40
15.3%
49
84.7%
Q3 - 10:55HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)40
13.5%
49
86.5%
Q3 - 10:57ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot40
14.0%
49
86.0%
Q3 - 11:19HOUAlston 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Yao 1 AST)40
15.7%
49
84.3%
Q3 - 11:31ATLHorford Driving Layup (4 PTS)40
19.6%
46
80.4%
Q3 - 11:43HOUYao Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)38
17.6%
46
82.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU38
15.6%
46
84.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLBibby 10' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)38
15.6%
46
84.4%
Q2 - 0:24.0HOUWorld Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Scola 2 AST)36
14.2%
46
85.8%
Q2 - 0:29.0HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
18.2%
43
81.8%
Q2 - 0:31.0ATLYao BLOCK (2 BLK)36
18.7%
43
81.3%
Q2 - 0:44.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
19.8%
43
80.2%
Q2 - 0:45.0ATLMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
18.7%
43
81.3%
Q2 - 0:54.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
19.8%
43
80.2%
Q2 - 0:56.0HOUMISS Alston 27' 3PT Jump Shot36
19.3%
43
80.7%
Q2 - 1:19HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
18.6%
43
81.4%
Q2 - 1:21ATLMISS Bibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot36
19.0%
43
81.0%
Q2 - 1:46HOUScola 5' Hook Shot (10 PTS)36
20.0%
43
80.0%
Q2 - 2:12ATLMurray Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)36
22.6%
41
77.4%
Q2 - 2:15HOUScola Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)34
20.5%
41
79.5%
Q2 - 2:28ATLHorford 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)34
18.4%
41
81.6%
Q2 - 2:44HOUBattier 8' Running Hook Shot (7 PTS) (World Peace 4 AST)32
16.6%
41
83.4%
Q2 - 3:03HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)32
18.5%
39
81.5%
Q2 - 3:04ATLMISS Johnson 23' Jump Shot32
19.2%
39
80.8%
Q2 - 3:19HOUYao Layup (12 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)32
20.8%
39
79.2%
Q2 - 3:35ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)32
22.5%
37
77.5%
Q2 - 3:47ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)29
18.8%
37
81.2%
Q2 - 3:48HOUMISS Alston 12' Jump Shot29
18.1%
37
81.9%
Q2 - 3:54HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
16.7%
37
83.3%
Q2 - 3:55ATLMISS Smith Layup29
17.3%
37
82.7%
Q2 - 4:11HOUYao Layup (10 PTS) (Scola 1 AST)29
18.8%
37
81.2%
Q2 - 4:28HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
20.6%
35
79.4%
Q2 - 4:28ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 229
20.9%
35
79.1%
Q2 - 4:28ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)29
22.2%
35
77.8%
Q2 - 4:40HOUJump Ball Alston vs. Johnson: Tip to28
20.8%
35
79.2%
Q2 - 4:55HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)28
18.7%
35
81.3%
Q2 - 4:56ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot28
19.3%
35
80.7%
Q2 - 5:05ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)28
21.0%
35
79.0%
Q2 - 5:06HOUMISS Brooks 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
20.5%
35
79.5%
Q2 - 5:17ATLSmith Layup (8 PTS)28
19.2%
35
80.8%
Q2 - 5:18ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)26
17.4%
35
82.6%
Q2 - 5:20ATLHayes BLOCK (1 BLK)26
16.2%
35
83.8%
Q2 - 5:26ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)26
17.3%
35
82.7%
Q2 - 5:27HOUMISS Yao 6' Hook Shot26
16.8%
35
83.2%
Q2 - 5:39HOUROCKETS Rebound26
15.7%
35
84.3%
Q2 - 5:40HOUMISS Yao 8' Turnaround Jump Shot26
16.8%
35
83.2%
Q2 - 5:45HOUWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
15.7%
35
84.3%
Q2 - 5:47HOUMISS World Peace 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
16.8%
35
83.2%
Q2 - 6:06HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)26
15.9%
35
84.1%
Q2 - 6:06ATLMISS Bibby Free Throw 1 of 126
16.2%
35
83.8%
Q2 - 6:35HOUBrooks 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wafer 1 AST)24
14.7%
35
85.3%
Q2 - 6:43HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
15.9%
33
84.1%
Q2 - 6:44ATLWorld Peace BLOCK (2 BLK)24
16.5%
33
83.5%
Q2 - 6:48ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
17.8%
33
82.2%
Q2 - 6:49HOUMISS Brooks 27' 3PT Jump Shot24
17.2%
33
82.8%
Q2 - 7:04ATLPachulia Driving Layup (4 PTS)24
16.2%
33
83.8%
Q2 - 7:19ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
14.8%
33
85.2%
Q2 - 7:20HOUMISS Wafer 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
14.3%
33
85.7%
Q2 - 7:41ATLSmith Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)22
13.3%
33
86.7%
Q2 - 7:43ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
12.1%
33
87.9%
Q2 - 7:45HOUMISS Landry Layup20
11.7%
33
88.3%
Q2 - 7:48HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
10.9%
33
89.1%
Q2 - 7:50HOUMISS Wafer Layup20
11.7%
33
88.3%
Q2 - 8:12ATLMurray 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
11.4%
33
88.6%
Q2 - 8:31HOUWorld Peace Layup (2 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST)18
10.3%
33
89.7%
Q2 - 8:46ATLBibby 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)18
11.4%
31
88.6%
Q2 - 8:58HOUWafer Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)16
10.3%
31
89.7%
Q2 - 9:12ATLHayes STEAL (1 STL)16
9.5%
31
90.5%
Q2 - 9:33HOULandry 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brooks 1 AST)16
10.5%
31
89.5%
Q2 - 9:45HOUBrooks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
11.5%
29
88.5%
Q2 - 9:48ATLMISS Law 16' Pullup Jump Shot16
11.9%
29
88.1%
Q2 - 9:56ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)16
12.7%
29
87.3%
Q2 - 9:58HOUMISS Wafer 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot16
12.3%
29
87.7%
Q2 - 10:20ATLMurray Foul Turnover (P1.T2)16
11.9%
29
88.1%
Q2 - 10:23ATLLaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
13.1%
29
86.9%
Q2 - 10:25HOUMISS Brooks Driving Layup16
12.7%
29
87.3%
Q2 - 10:32HOUWafer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
11.9%
29
88.1%
Q2 - 10:35ATLMISS Pachulia 19' Jump Shot16
12.2%
29
87.8%
Q2 - 11:00HOUWafer Driving Layup (4 PTS)16
13.0%
29
87.0%
Q2 - 11:03HOUWafer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)16
14.7%
27
85.3%
Q2 - 11:04HOUMISS Brooks 23' Jump Shot16
15.6%
27
84.4%
Q2 - 11:23HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
14.7%
27
85.3%
Q2 - 11:24ATLMISS Williams 8' Jump Shot16
15.1%
27
84.9%
Q2 - 11:45ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
16.0%
27
84.0%
Q2 - 11:46HOUMISS Wafer 15' Jump Shot16
15.6%
27
84.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL16
14.6%
27
85.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound16
16.0%
27
84.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Pachulia Layup16
15.0%
27
85.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)16
16.2%
27
83.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot16
15.5%
27
84.5%
Q1 - 0:23.0HOUWafer Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
16.2%
27
83.8%
Q1 - 0:23.0HOUWafer Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
16.5%
26
83.5%
Q1 - 0:40.0ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)16
17.9%
25
82.1%
Q1 - 0:45.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
14.9%
25
85.1%
Q1 - 0:46.0HOUMISS Wafer 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
14.6%
25
85.4%
Q1 - 1:09ATLWilliams 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
14.5%
25
85.5%
Q1 - 1:18ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)11
13.0%
25
87.0%
Q1 - 1:20HOUMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
12.8%
25
87.2%
Q1 - 1:37ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)11
12.3%
25
87.7%
Q1 - 1:37ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)10
12.1%
25
87.9%
Q1 - 1:50HOUScola 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)9
11.0%
25
89.0%
Q1 - 2:14ATLWilliams 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Law 1 AST)9
12.6%
23
87.4%
Q1 - 2:35ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
11.5%
23
88.5%
Q1 - 2:36HOUMISS Landry 21' Jump Shot7
11.2%
23
88.8%
Q1 - 2:55HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)7
10.7%
23
89.3%
Q1 - 2:57ATLMISS Pachulia Driving Layup7
10.9%
23
89.1%
Q1 - 3:09HOUScola Layup (6 PTS) (World Peace 3 AST)7
11.6%
23
88.4%
Q1 - 3:19HOUWafer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
12.6%
21
87.4%
Q1 - 3:21HOUMISS Wafer 17' Jump Shot7
13.3%
21
86.7%
Q1 - 3:28ATLScola STEAL (1 STL)7
12.6%
21
87.4%
Q1 - 3:37ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
13.7%
21
86.3%
Q1 - 3:38HOUMISS World Peace 21' Jump Shot7
13.3%
21
86.7%
Q1 - 3:53ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)7
12.6%
21
87.4%
Q1 - 3:53ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 26
12.5%
21
87.5%
Q1 - 4:00ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
12.6%
21
87.4%
Q1 - 4:01HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
11.9%
21
88.1%
Q1 - 4:01HOUMISS Alston Tip Shot6
12.6%
21
87.4%
Q1 - 4:02HOUMISS Alston Layup6
12.6%
21
87.4%
Q1 - 4:13HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)6
11.9%
21
88.1%
Q1 - 4:14ATLMISS Evans 20' Jump Shot6
12.2%
21
87.8%
Q1 - 4:31HOUYao Driving Layup (8 PTS)6
12.9%
21
87.1%
Q1 - 4:48ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
13.9%
19
86.1%
Q1 - 4:48ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
13.6%
19
86.4%
Q1 - 4:59ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
12.9%
19
87.1%
Q1 - 5:01HOUMISS Yao Layup4
13.0%
19
87.0%
Q1 - 5:11HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
12.2%
19
87.8%
Q1 - 5:13ATLMISS Smith Layup4
12.6%
19
87.4%
Q1 - 5:21HOUAlston Driving Layup (4 PTS)4
13.3%
19
86.7%
Q1 - 5:35ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
14.2%
17
85.8%
Q1 - 5:35ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
13.9%
17
86.1%
Q1 - 5:51HOUScola Layup (4 PTS)2
13.3%
17
86.7%
Q1 - 6:05HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)2
14.3%
15
85.7%
Q1 - 6:07ATLMISS Bibby 11' Running Jump Shot2
14.7%
15
85.3%
Q1 - 6:26HOUYao 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (World Peace 2 AST)2
15.4%
15
84.6%
Q1 - 6:52ATLSmith Layup (2 PTS)2
16.5%
13
83.5%
Q1 - 6:53ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
15.5%
13
84.5%
Q1 - 6:55ATLYao BLOCK (1 BLK)0
14.7%
13
85.3%
Q1 - 7:00HOUAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)0
15.5%
13
84.5%
Q1 - 7:04HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
14.2%
13
85.8%
Q1 - 7:06ATLMISS Johnson Reverse Layup0
14.6%
13
85.4%
Q1 - 7:26HOUAlston Driving Layup (2 PTS)0
15.4%
13
84.6%
Q1 - 7:38HOUWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)0
16.4%
11
83.6%
Q1 - 7:39ATLWorld Peace BLOCK (1 BLK)0
16.8%
11
83.2%
Q1 - 7:49ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
17.7%
11
82.3%
Q1 - 7:50HOUMISS Scola 10' Jump Shot0
17.3%
11
82.7%
Q1 - 7:58HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
16.4%
11
83.6%
Q1 - 8:00ATLMISS Smith 19' Fadeaway Jumper0
16.8%
11
83.2%
Q1 - 8:26HOUYao 10' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (World Peace 1 AST)0
17.6%
11
82.4%
Q1 - 8:36HOUWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
18.9%
9
81.1%
Q1 - 8:38ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot0
19.3%
9
80.7%
Q1 - 9:03HOUBattier Layup (5 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)0
20.9%
9
79.1%
Q1 - 9:07HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)0
22.4%
7
77.6%
Q1 - 9:08ATLMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
22.8%
7
77.2%
Q1 - 9:24ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.6%
7
76.4%
Q1 - 9:25HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
23.2%
7
76.8%
Q1 - 9:31HOUWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
22.3%
7
77.7%
Q1 - 9:33ATLMISS Johnson Layup0
22.7%
7
77.3%
Q1 - 9:55HOUBattier 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)0
23.6%
7
76.4%
Q1 - 10:05HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
27.1%
4
72.9%
Q1 - 10:07ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot0
27.5%
4
72.5%
Q1 - 10:19HOUBattier Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)0
28.6%
4
71.4%
Q1 - 10:36HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
27.1%
4
72.9%
Q1 - 10:37ATLMISS Horford 17' Jump Shot0
27.5%
4
72.5%
Q1 - 10:47HOUScola Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)0
28.6%
4
71.4%
Q1 - 11:00HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
30.1%
2
69.9%
Q1 - 11:01ATLMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot0
30.5%
2
69.5%
Q1 - 11:12ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
31.6%
2
68.4%
Q1 - 11:13ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot0
30.5%
2
69.5%
Q1 - 11:27HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
31.6%
2
68.4%
Q1 - 11:27HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
31.8%
1
68.2%
Q1 - 11:41HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
33.0%
0
67.0%
Q1 - 11:42ATLMISS Bibby 21' Jump Shot0
33.4%
0
66.6%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Yao vs. Smith: Tip to Bibby0
34.5%
0
65.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.88 44.2%
HOU
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
13
30
43%
HOU
19
36
53%
Midrange
ATL
13
36
36%
HOU
10
28
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
8
12.0
21
38%
57%
HOU
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
Free Throws
ATL
8
11
73%
HOU
16
22
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson2252%11.0 / 21
M. Bibby1558%7.5 / 13
A. Horford1470%7.0 / 10
J. Smith1333%6.5 / 20
M. Williams1161%5.5 / 9
Z. Pachulia536%2.5 / 7
R. Murray450%2.0 / 4
M. Evans0-0.0 / 6
A. Law0-0.0 / 1
M. West0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
Yao2457%12.0 / 21
M. World Peace1968%9.5 / 14
R. Alston1238%6.0 / 16
L. Scola1255%6.0 / 11
S. Battier1083%5.0 / 6
C. Landry758%3.5 / 6
V. Wafer627%3.0 / 11
A. Brooks220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
82
+13
-8
95
HOU
72
+18
-16
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.88 44.2%
HOU
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
107.9
ATL 93.3 +11.2
HOU 104.5
Pace
89.8
90.7
ATL 87.2
HOU 91.0 +3.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
16.2
ATL 16.5
HOU 15.8 +0.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
50.1%
ATL 43.7%
HOU 46.9% +3.2%
TO %
13.6%
14.6%
ATL 8.9% +6.1%
HOU 15.0%
ORB %
26.0%
26.6%
ATL 19.2%
HOU 33.3% +14.1%
FTrt
32.3
29.2
ATL 12.6
HOU 27.2 +14.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.1%
56.2%
ATL 47.1%
HOU 57.1% +10.0%
STL %
8.2%
7.4%
ATL 10.0% +3.2%
HOU 6.8%
BLK %
7.4%
6.5%
ATL 15.6% +2.0%
HOU 13.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.2%
53.0%
ATL 44.2%
HOU 50.0% +5.8%
Rim FG%
60.5%
55.5%
ATL 43.3%
HOU 52.8% +9.5%
Mid FG%
40.2%
41.5%
ATL 36.1% +0.4%
HOU 35.7%
3P %
36.6%
37.5%
ATL 38.1% +2.8%
HOU 35.3%
FT %
73.8%
80.7%
ATL 72.7%
HOU 72.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.2%
34.8%
ATL 34.5%
HOU 44.4% +10.0%
Mid Att. %
42.4%
39.8%
ATL 41.4%
HOU 34.6% +6.8%
3P Att. %
25.3%
25.4%
ATL 24.1% +3.2%
HOU 21.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLHOU
Possessions9088
Possession Minutes24.823.2
Points8492
Rebounds4057
Assists1620
Steals96
Blocks109
Turnovers (Team)8 (1)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)15 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)42 (0)
Field Goals34-8735-81
At-the-Rim FG13-3019-36
Midrange FG13-3610-28
2-Point FG26-6629-64
3-Point FG8-216-17
Free Throws8-1116-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 240 · 27
41.2
22
52%
5
4
1
0
3
4
1
4
3-4
75%
5-11
45%
3-8
38%
F · 6'9" 225 · 23
35.5
13
33%
11
4
3
5
2
3
4
7
2-2
100%
4-15
27%
1-4
25%
G · 6'2" 195 · 31
31.8
15
58%
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-1
0%
3-8
38%
3-5
60%
C · 6'10" 245 · 23
31.4
14
70%
8
2
2
0
0
4
3
5
0-0
-
7-10
70%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 237 · 22
27.7
11
61%
3
1
0
2
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
57%
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30
22.1
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 270 · 25
21.4
5
36%
8
0
0
1
0
4
1
7
3-4
75%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 29
18.1
4
50%
2
2
2
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 202 · 24
9.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 24
0.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 24
0.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 275 · 23
#50 · · 6'8" 225 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'5" 225 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
44%
40
16
9
10
8
0
10
30
8-11
73%
26-66
39%
8-21
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.